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Cardiff Metropolitan University, Cardiff Prifysgol Fetropolitan Caerdydd BA. (Hons) Business Economics Final Year Dissertation Youth Unemployment; How well is the UK government addressing the issue? Tim Mogford 2014 Dissertation submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements of Cardiff Metropolitan University for the degree of Bachelor of Arts.

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Cardiff Metropolitan University, Cardiff

Prifysgol Fetropolitan Caerdydd

BA. (Hons) Business Economics

Final Year Dissertation

Youth Unemployment; How well is the UK government addressing the issue?

Tim Mogford

2014

Dissertation submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements of Cardiff

Metropolitan University for the degree of Bachelor of Arts.

1

DECLARATION

I declare that this dissertation has not already been accepted in substance for any

degree and is not concurrently submitted in candidature for any degree. It is the result

of my own independent research except where otherwise stated.

....................................................................Tim Mogford, Candidate.

2

Acknowledgements

I would like to begin by thanking my supervisor Stephen Bibby for his support and

guidance throughout this investigation. His knowledge and expertise in my chosen

research field has been invaluable.

A massive thanks to my housemates and friends who have supported me through the

stressful times over the last few months, without their support I would never have

been able to complete this project.

Lastly, huge thanks to my parents Robert and Heather who have been there for me and

supported me through all walks of my education. Without them, I would not be where

I am today.

3

Abstract

The aim of this investigation was to test whether the UK government is

currently doing enough to target the problem of youth unemployment.

Through the use primary data in the form questionnaire’s, participants

between the age of 18-24 were randomly selected to give information on

their current position within the labour market and to discuss any issues

they have had in finding employment.

Secondly, an interview with an experienced manager in a local Jobcentre

was carried out to gain a further understanding of the current mis-match

between employers and young people to further determine the causes of

youth unemployment in the UK.

Once the causes were fully determined and researched, an investigation

into the current policies being implemented by the UK government was

undertaken where the policies were critically evaluated to determine if

they were sufficiently targeting the problem and to see how effective they

had been.

The overall findings of this investigation were that although youth

unemployment has been steadily decreasing since the policies were

initiated, they are not sufficiently targeting the main causes of youth

unemployment found through the research. The problem is far more

structural that first assumed and extreme reform of both labour market

policy and the education system is required if the current youth

population in the UK are not to become a ‘lost generation.’

4

Contents

Acknowledgements……………………………………………………………..Page 2

Abstract…………………………………………………………………………Page 3

Contents Page………………………………………………………..............Page 4/5/6

List of Abbreviations……………………………………………………………Page 7

1 – Introduction………………………………………………………………..Page 8

1.1 Research Question..........................................................................................Page 8

1.2 Background Information................................................................................Page 8

1.3 Aims and Objectives………………………………………………………..Page 11

2 – Literature Review…………………………………………………………Page 12

2.1 What is Youth and Unemployed....................................................................Page 12

2.1.1 Who are the Youth......................................................................................Page 12

2.1.2 What is Unemployment..............................................................................Page 13

2.2 Youth Unemployment in the UK……...........................................................Page 14

2.3 Why young people more susceptible to being unemployed than adults........Page 15

2.4 Causes of Youth Unemployment in the UK………………………………..Page 16

2.4.1 Cyclical Unemployment………………………………………………….Page 16

2.4.2 Minimum Wage…………………………………………………………..Page 18

2.4.3 Immigration………………………………………………………………Page 19

2.4.4 Frictional Unemployment………………………………………………...Page 19

2.5 Costs of Youth Unemployment……………………………………………..Page 20

2.5.1 Cost to the Individual Employment………………………………………Page 21

2.5.2 Cost to Individual Wage………………………………………………….Page 21

2.5.3 Cost to Individual Health………………………………………………....Page 22

5

2.5.4 Cost to Society……………………………………………………………Page 22

2.6 Youth Unemployment Policies in the UK………………………………….Page 22

2.6.1 Wage Incentives…………………………………………………………..Page 23

2.6.2 Apprenticeship Grant for Employers……………………………………..Page 24

2.6.3 Work Experience Placements…………………………………………….Page 24

3 – Methodology………………………………………………………………Page 26

3.1 Introduction………………………………………………………………...Page 26

3.2 Definitions………………………………………………………………….Page 26

3.2.1 Types of Research Methods………………………………………………Page 26

3.2.2 Philosophical Approaches to Research Methodology……………………Page 26

3.2.3 Reasoning Involved with Research Methodology………………………..Page 27

3.3 Research Methodology……………………………………………………..Page 27

3.4 Data Collection……………………………………………………………..Page 29

3.4.1 Primary Data……………………………………………………………...Page 29

3.4.2 Secondary Data…………………………………………………………...Page 31

4 – Results, Analysis and Discussion…………………………………………Page 32

4.1 Introduction………………………………………………………………...Page 32

4.2 Results of Primary Data – Questionnaire………………………………….Page 32

4.2.1 Prepared for Work after Education…………………………………….....Page 33

4.2.2 Demand for Particular Set of Skills………………………………………Page 34

4.2.3 Wage Expectations………………………………………………………..Page 35

4.2.4 Under-Employment………………………………………………………Page 36

4.2.5 Reason for Unemployment……………………………………………….Page 36

4.3 Results of Primary Data – Interview………………………………………Page 37

4.4 Analysis and Discussion of Data…………………………………………...Page 38

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4.4.1 Soft Skill Preparation……………………………………………………..Page 38

4.4.2 Skill-Set Demand…………………………………………………………Page 40

4.4.3 Wage Expectations………………………………………………………..Page 43

4.4.4 Frictional Unemployment………………………………………………...Page 43

4.4.5 Minimum Wage…………………………………………………………..Page 45

4.5 Analysis and Discussion of Government Policies………………………….Page 45

4.5.1 Wage Incentives………………………………………………………......Page 46

4.5.2 Apprenticeship Grant for Employers……………………………………..Page 48

4.5.3 Work Experience Placements……………………………………………Page 52

5 – Conclusion………………………………………………………………....Page 55

5.1 Conclusion of Causes……………………………………………………..Page 55

5.2 Conclusion of Policies…………………………………………………….Page 56

Appendices……………………………………………………………………Page 59

Bibliography…………………………………………………………………..Page 77

Table 1…………………………………………………………………………Page 51

Figure 1……………………………………………………………………….Page 33

Figure 2………………………………………………………………………..Page 35

Figure 3………………………………………………………………………..Page 39

Figure 4………………………………………………………………………..Page 42

Figure 5………………………………………………………………………..Page 47

Figure 6………………………………………………………………………..Page 49

Figure 7……………………………………………………………………….Page 53

7

Abbreviations

AGE Apprenticeship Grant for Employers

DWP Department for Work and Pensions

FTE Full-Time Education

ILO International Labour Organisation

JSA Job Seekers Allowance

NEET Not in Education, Employment or Training

NMW National Minimum Wage

ONS Office for National Statistics

TUC Trades Union Congress

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Chapter 1 – Introduction

1.1 Research Question

Youth Unemployment; How well is the UK government addressing this issue?

The research question will be assessed through investigating the causes of youth

unemployment through previous literature along with the analysis of both primary and

secondary data to gain an understanding of the mismatch in the youth labour market.

Government policies such as the Youth Contract will then be critiqued to determine

whether they are sufficiently targeting the causes of the problem.

1.2 Background Information

The UK faces a crisis of youth unemployment. Although the topic is not a new

phenomenon in the UK as in the past 30 years the amount of unemployed youths has

not fallen below 500,000 and at least 1 in 7 has been out of either work or education at

every point in that period.

Firstly, what constitutes “youth” and “unemployed” must be distinguished to avoid

any confusion and both these terms are defined and covered in chapter 2 of the

literature review.

As of February 2014, there was officially 917 000 young people between the age of

16-24 unemployed in the UK labour market. Although this is down 48 000 from the

last quarter and 58 000 down from the previous year it still presents itself as a huge

issue in the UK due to its constant rise over the last 10 years, the current youth

unemployment rate is calculated at 19.9%. The issue with the youth unemployment

rate is that it’s undisputedly higher than the unemployment rate across the whole

population. (ONS, 2014)

9

This high rate of unemployment is due to factors such as young people tend to move

between jobs more frequently as they try to establish their careers and find themselves

in a transitional period of unemployment once left school as the labour market may

not require the skills they have acquired in education, also known as frictional

unemployment.

Furthermore, there are business cycle fluctuations that influence the level of youth

unemployment. This is because when aggregate demand is low in the economy,

youths with little job experience and have been most recently hired are the first to lose

their jobs under the ‘last in, first out’ policy many employers operate.

More recently, youth unemployment in the UK has been adversely and unequally

affected by the economic downturn suffered since 2008 onwards. In order to make a

substantial recovery not only is an increase in economic growth required but suitable,

effective youth unemployment policies, such as The Youth Contract, targeting the

causes is essential.

The debated effect of the National Minimum Wage introduced in 1998 on the youth

unemployment rate must also be taken into account as many disbelievers in it such as

(Worstall, 2011) have made a considerable case for the correlation between the

increasing minimum wage and increased youth unemployment.

Additionally, it is those who suffer youth unemployment have the most severe

consequences. The long-term effects of unemployment ‘scarring’ on wages,

employment and health of those who undergo it are also be considered in this

investigation which is why addressing the problems for this age group pose such a

serious challenge for policymakers.

10

One of the aims of this investigation is to establish the causes of youth unemployment

in the UK through the analysis of primary and secondary data to decide whether

current government policies are sufficient in reducing the rate.

The Youth Contract is a much needed set of measures implemented by the UK

government in April 2012 which is aimed at easing the labour market disadvantage

experienced by youths. It consists of 4 main elements; wage incentive payments,

additional work experience placements, additional apprenticeship grants, and

payment-by-results initiative for 16-17 year olds. However, due to the ethical

restrictions of the investigation it is not possible to investigate unemployment

experienced by those under the age of 18, so only the first 4 policies will be looked at.

The wage incentive is a key component in the package of measures. It is designed as

payments to employers from the government to incentivise the recruitment of young

unemployed people. It is a demand side policy that needs to be reviewed for its

practicality, value for money but most importantly its effectiveness.

Additional work experience payments is a supply side policy which has the potential

to help many young people through targeting one of the main perceived causes of

youth unemployment; lack of relevant work experience in the labour market. The

quality of placements needs to be emphasised just as much as the quantity because as

(Semboja, 2007) states that policies must target supply & demand conditions in the

current labour market, meaning that any placements undertaken must be beneficial in

the search for future employment.

The Apprenticeship Grant for Employers was introduced in February 2012 for

employers to take on up to three young apprentices aged 16-24. The arrangement was

11

intended to assist employers with the early costs of the Apprenticeship and to

encourage retention of apprentices.

This investigation takes into account qualitative primary data from a group of

randomly selected 18-24 year olds to determine their position in the labour market and

potential reasoning behind any unemployment they may be currently facing and can

then be tested against the literature based causes in the UK.

Data from a semi-structured interview with an employee from the Jobcentre will also

be analysed to further establish the reasoning behind youth unemployment in the UK;

explanations ranging from job expectations being too high to readiness for

employment will be examined to gain a further understanding of the topic.

Secondary data from the Office for National Statistics will be systematically used

from previous research due to the scale of this investigation being too small to obtain

a full picture of the situation.

1.3 Aims and Objectives

To identify what constitutes ‘Youth’ and ‘Unemployed’ and to gather an

understanding of the current youth unemployment situation in the UK.

To examine the causes of youth unemployment in the UK using previous

literature along with both primary and secondary data.

Critically evaluate the effectiveness of youth unemployment policies in the

UK to determine whether they correspond to information found in the study.

12

Chapter 2 – Literature Review

Introduction

This chapter aims to discuss previous literatures concerning definitions, causes, costs

and policies regarding youth unemployment in the UK, accompanied with

background information on the current youth unemployment situation.

2.1 Defining Youth and Unemployed

2.1.1 Who are the youth?

Firstly, in order to gain a full understanding of the topic, a review of what

constitutes youth and unemployed must be decided because one of the purposes of

this dissertation is to analyse a segment of the UK population so it is worthwhile to

define the two terms separately.

According to the (UN, 2014) the definition of youth is the “age-group 15-24

inclusive” however in practice, it varies greatly according to the country in question

due to cultural and political factors. For example, (O’Higgins, 1997) states how that in

Britain “Youth Employment Policy” generally targets the age group of 16-18 whereas

in Southern Italy the policies can be targeted for people aged 14-32. The lower age

limit doesn’t tend to vary in the industrialised countries and is generally the age at

which compulsory education ends, which is 16 in the UK by law (Gov.UK, 2014),

whereas the upper limit varies from country to country.

I have chosen to use the definition of 15-24 because it incorporates two types of youth

groups which will be used in this study. That is teenagers and young adults, both of

which face different problems in the labour market.

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2.1.2 What is Unemployment?

When applying the definition of unemployment, the most widely used is

“those who have not worked more than 1 hour in the past week but are actively

seeking work and are currently available to do so.” (ILO, 2014)

This is generally the most widespread accepted definition however a critical point of

this would be as (Jones and Riddell, 1999) argue that students and discouraged

workers are not included in the definition, therefore there can never be a fully accurate

statistic of the actual youth unemployment rate due to these ‘hidden unemployed’ in

the UK. This contrasts with statistics in other countries in Europe, such as Norway,

where (Djernaes, 2014) points out how students seeking work are included in the

labour force therefore having an effect on the unemployment rate.

Furthermore, it is also argued that under-employment isn’t taken into account when

defining unemployed which is also a critical part of this investigation. Under-

employment is best described as highly skilled workers in low paid jobs or those in

part-time work seeking full time employment. (Glyde, 1997)

An example can help be illustrated by (Mosca and Wright, 2011) which illustrates

how currently 47% of all UK graduates are employed in non-graduate roles (see

Graph 1). So although I will be using the ILO definition for the purpose of this

project, it must be accepted that there are certain limitations when deciding who is to

be defined as unemployed so that may have an effect on analysis later on.

14

2.2 Youth Unemployment in the UK

As of February 2014, there was officially 917 000 young people between the

age of 16-24 unemployed in the UK labour market. Although this is down 48 000

from the last quarter and 58 000 down from the previous year it still presents itself as

a huge issue in the UK due to its constant rise over the last 10 years (see Graph 2) and

using data from (ONS, 2014) the unemployment rate for 16-24 in the UK is calculated

at 19.9%.

However, the UK’s rate is significantly higher than some its European counterparts

such as Germany which has experienced a continual fall in youth unemployment

throughout the same period as the UK; it was at its highest in 2005 at 17% but has

constantly decreased and now stands at 8% due to its far better structured policies

than the UK on youth unemployment. (Evans, 2014)

The case of youth unemployment in the UK can be seen in a cyclical fashion,

previous data shows how the UK last experienced such a high youth unemployment

rate in 1993 where it was around 18% but then decreased steadily by around 1% a

year until 2004, where it was at its lowest point of 10% but then began to spike again

in 2005, although three years short of when the recent recession actually occurred.

This can partly be explained by the change in policy enforcement in late 2004, the

employment services in the UK were given less incentive to concentrate on young

people on JSA but more to focus on other groups of unemployed such as those on

incapacity benefits and single parents (Van Reenen, 2014) so the timing of this change

explains the rise in youth unemployment prior to the financial crisis.

15

Yet as stated by (Van Reenen, 2014) there does not appear to be a special

problem of youth unemployment in this case compared with past experience in the

UK because young people suffering more during a downturn occurs during most

recessions. Nevertheless an important aspect to take into account is that the current

youth unemployment rate of 19.9% is still the highest recorded in UK since spring

1985. A contributing factor to this high rate is that the definition of the youth

unemployment rate is;

Youth Unemployment Rate = number of unemployed young persons in UK

Youth Labour Force

So with fewer people between the age of 16-24 being employed, the decision to stay

on for further education becomes far more rational because improving your stock of

knowledge increases your employability as well as your value to the economy, in

terms of potential output (Groot and De Brink, 2000.) However (Crawford and

Duckworth et al, 2011) argue that with a higher fraction of youth’s being inactive due

to FTE then it reduces the size of the Youth Labour Force which subsequently leads to

a higher youth unemployment rate.

2.3 Why are young people more susceptible to being unemployed than

adults?

There are many contributing reasons as to why the youth segment of the labour force

are particularly more vulnerable to unemployment than their elder counterparts,

especially during times of recession such as the UK faced from 2008 onwards.

16

One of the key reasons for higher youth unemployment rates is the existence of “job

queues” in the labour market as stated by (Makeham, 2001.) Young people tend to

find themselves at the back of the line for jobs and generally only hired when

aggregate demand is high in the economy because employers prefer workers with

experience, this is an example of the barriers to entry in the labour market that young

person’s face.

Furthermore, during recessions and in general when redundancies must be made,

firms in the UK have been known to operate the “last-in, first-out” principle, meaning

that employees who have worked there for the least amount of time will be made

redundant first. As pointed out by (Roberts, 1984) these fresh employees statistically

tend to be young persons from the age of 16-24 so their age and inexperience

contributes to why they lose their jobs, consequently answering why the youth are

more susceptible to unemployment.

2.4 Causes of Youth Unemployment in the UK

2.4.1 Cyclical Unemployment

One of the key causes of recent and previous spikes of youth unemployment in the

UK has been attributed to cyclical unemployment. According to (Luke, 2010) this

type of unemployment can be defined as “workers losing their jobs due to business

cycle fluctuations in output.” Aggregate demand plays a large part determining youth

unemployment levels; when the economy is thriving and unemployment is low, there

are no real effects. However, it is indicated by (O’Higgins, 1997) that a fall in

aggregate demand, such as in the 2008 recession, consequently leads to fall in demand

for labour and in particular youth labour.

17

When there is demand-deficient or cyclical unemployment in the UK economy,

aggregate demand shifts left which can be illustrated in (Graph 4) and when this

happens economic growth begins to decline which is what the UK experienced in

2007 when the % change in real GDP plummeted from +2% to -5% in a two year

period (Graph 5). It is argued by (Ryan, 2001) that youth unemployment fluctuates

much more than adult unemployment due to its super-cyclical nature and the

reasoning for this is that young workers generally have less job protection, gained less

work specific experience and the companies have invested less in training for them

which makes them easier to lay off, however (Pagés and Montenegro, 2007) argue

that redundancy packages cost more for a more experienced worker so it becomes

cheaper to fire a young worker and how that’s the main reason behind cyclical youth

unemployment.

Yet counter to both the previous two arguments is the belief that firms do not

necessarily sack workers but instead they cease to take on new employees in times of

an economic downturn. For example, evidence from (Pissarides, 1986) showed that

the youth unemployment increase that Britain experienced in the 1980’s was due to a

reduction in the outflow of unemployment rather than the inflow. To support this

further, (O’Higgins, 1997) has illustrated that variations in unemployment were due to

increased unemployment duration, meaning that youths were unable to find another

job once unemployed because employers were retaining existing staff without taking

more on. This can be further typified by more recent data showing the ‘unemployed

for longer than a year’ rate stood at 15.3% in 1999 but in 2012 stood at 28.2% further

supporting the difficulty youth’s face from getting out of unemployment once in.

18

2.4.2 The Minimum Wage

There has been much discussion as to the effect of the NMW on youth unemployment

levels in the UK. Opponents of the NMW believe that set too high and it will increase

youth unemployment through impacting on increasing the cost of hiring young

workers with respect to adults, who generally have more experience (Dickens and

Machin et al, 1999). They believe how increasing the minimum wage makes the

relative cost of hiring older, skilled workers more appealing.

Theoretically speaking, (Gorman, 2008) states if skilled workers making £15 per hour

and young, unskilled workers earn the NMW of £3 per hour then increasing the

minimum wage to £5 makes older workers three times more expensive to hire rather

than five times. Employers hire the older worker as it becomes relatively cheaper and

youth unemployment is increased further. Evidence in (Graph 6) shows how the

NMW has increased faster than average weekly earnings in the UK from the period

between 2011 and 2013, further supporting the increased cost of hiring youth labour

when general earnings are unchanged.

However, there have been many studies disagreeing with the effect of the NMW on

youth unemployment such as that undertaken by (Bryan and Salvatori et al, 2012)

which specifically looked at the UK. They found empirical evidence that during the

2008 recession, the NMW increase’s only reduced basic weekly working hours by

around 3-5 hours for the youth segment of the population rather than increasing the

unemployment rate.

Furthermore, studies by (Card and Krueger, 1995) found that a study based in the

USA showed no statistical impact of minimum wage on employment. Closer to the

19

home, (Dolado, 1996) also provided a study on the effect of changes in the minimum

wage on youth unemployment in the UK to which there was also no correlation found

between the two.

2.4.3 Immigration in UK

The level of immigration has recently soared in the UK; back in the early 1990’s the

proportion of foreign born workers was just under 6% but now stands at 10%. Low

skilled immigrants are a closer substitute for inexperienced youth labour and are more

likely to take jobs that would generally be taken by youngsters rather than adults.

This can be backed up empirically by (Van Reenen, 2014) whose study found that in

the UK regions, for every one percentage point increase in the proportion of foreign-

born inside the working age population is correlated with youth unemployment

increase of 0.46 percentage points, so it could be decided that foreign migration does

harm the job prospects of young persons, however this conclusion is massively

influenced by the foreign-born population rate increase in London which shown by

(Gregg and Wadsworth, 2011) went from 28% to 40%. If London were excluded from

the sample selection, then the real effect would be minimal, meaning that there isn’t

enough compelling evidence to confirm increased immigration has caused youth

unemployment in the UK.

2.4.4 Frictional Unemployment

The transition from education to employment can be classified under frictional

unemployment where school/university leavers are searching for the right job which

might take time, this is not economically inefficient because over-qualified staff

taking lower paid jobs would contribute to under-employment, and therefore every

20

economy has to accept some form of frictional unemployment. Those who are more

likely to be unemployed once out of education do not receive sufficient support and

guidance, and it is argued that those pupils who are ‘hard to teach’ are often neglected

hence contributing to their frictional unemployment once they’ve left school. (Econ

Help, 2012)

A key issue that the UK faces is that although school standards have been consistently

rising, the success of schools is determined by those pupils who achieve five or more

GCSE’s at A*-C but not much representation is given for the lower achieving pupils.

This can be empirically backed up by (Van Reenen, 2014) whose evaluation of the

Excellence in Cities programme found that in disadvantaged areas, the programme

had a high success rate on high ability students but did not seem to assist the lower

ability pupils with academic achievement, therefore skewing the results of how well

the education system is progressing.

This is further backed up by (Wilson, 2013) who stated that since 2008, young people

with qualifications below level 2 account for 39% of those unemployed. This leads to

what can be considered excess frictional unemployment because those who leave with

few qualifications will inevitably require a longer transitional period between

education and work, therefore UK policies focusing on careers guidance for school

leavers is now essential to improve the position of young people.

2.5 Costs of Youth Unemployment

The costs of youth unemployment can be divided into two main categories; the cost to

the individual and the cost to the economy. Individual costs can have long-term

repercussions regarding future income, output and employment prospects whereas

21

costs to society can have spill over effects and stunt economic growth.

2.5.1 Cost to Individual Employment

There are numerous costs associated with the individual with regards to youth

unemployment; these are known as unemployment scarring effects vary greatly.

The first of which is the case of ‘hysteresis’ which is the belief that unemployment at

a young age will increase the likelihood of unemployment at a later age. Studies by

(ACEVO, 2012) at the University of Bristol show how those unemployed at a young

age will spend an additional two months per year out of work between the ages of 25-

29 than they would have had they more work experience. This can be further backed

up by (Gibbons, 1991) who has found that employers take youth unemployment spells

as a signalling device, suggesting that that the worker is less productive making them

less employable.

2.5.2 Cost to Individual Wage

Lower earnings potential is a further scarring effect to the individual, there is a study

by (Gregg and Tominey, 2005) which illustrates how there is a comparable difference

between the wage earned by those who have experienced unemployment in their

youth and those who haven’t. The ‘wage penalty’ was calculated at 13-21% of

earnings by age 42 however could be minimised to 9-11% if repeat spells of

unemployment were avoided; this avoidance is possible with the correct youth

employment policy.

22

2.5.3 Cost to Individual Health

Lastly, the health of the youth in question can also be adversely affected after a period

of youth unemployment. Psychological scarring such as illness, mental stress,

lessening of self-esteem and depression have all been linked with experiences of

worklessness. The (Audit Commission, 2010) found that young persons who are

NEET are three times more likely to succumb to depression. This is further backed up

by (The Prince’s Trust, 2014) whose study revealed that a quarter of young NEETs

unemployment was the source of family arguments in the household.

2.5.4 Cost to Society

The economic cost of youth unemployment can be measured in different ways.

According to (The Prince’s Trust, 2014) the weekly cost of people aged 18-24

claiming JSA is £22 million compared to the cost of lost productivity each week to be

around a further £26 million however the upper bound estimate ranges up to £133

million. Using the data in (Graph 8) the number of youth’s claiming JSA for over 12

months had increased from roughly 10,000 in 2011 to over 50,00 in 2012 showing

that the cost of unemployment benefits is likely to continue to rise unless issue is

addressed.

2.6 Youth Unemployment Policies in the UK

In this section, the different policies regarding youth unemployment in the UK will be

introduced for what they are and what they aim to achieve. As stated by (Hawley and

Nevala et al, 2012) young people are not a homogenous group and require tailored

policies that can address specific needs in a young person’s life.

23

The Youth Contract is the main policy which will be critiqued for its effectiveness as

it consists of all the sub-policies currently implemented in the UK, which when

grouped together are known as the Youth Contract.

It was announced in November 2011, when government decided on the measures it

would take to address the ever increasing youth unemployment problem in the UK.

Up to £1 billion has been allocated for the three year project starting in 2012. These

included;

160,000 wage incentive payments to employers, each worth up £2,275 for

those who employ an 18-24 year old from the Government Work Programme.

Funding for at least 20,000 extra Apprenticeship Grants for Employers.

An additional 250,000 work experience places a year for 16-24 year olds.

More flexible adviser support through the Jobcentre plus for all 18-24 year

olds once registered for JSA. (House of Commons, 2012)

2.6.1 Wage Incentives

The Wage incentive aspect of the Youth Contract is designed as motivation for

employers to take on younger, less experienced customers from the Work Programme

into real, existing job vacancies. This is meant to account for up to 160,000 of the

total 430,000 additional youth employment opportunities and consumes roughly one

third of the total allocated budget. (House of Commons, 2012)

From an economic point of view, the wage incentives are a demand-side approach

which is an attempt to increase the quantity of labour demanded through subsidising

the wage cost to employers. (Bartik, 2010)

24

The design of the wage incentives is to offer employers payments of up £2,275 when

they recruit an 18-24 year old from the Work Programme. The full payment is

available once a full-time job is secured, defined of at least 30 hours a week. The

placements are focused at those claimants on JSA for over nine months in order to

reduce the number of long-term unemployed youths because (Graph 8) showed that

the number of people 18-24 claiming JSA over 12 months had increased 5 fold in the

period 2011-2012. (House of Commons, 2012)

2.6.2 Apprenticeship Grant for Employers

The Apprenticeship Grant for Employers is a government funded subsidiary

programme of the Youth Contract that supports businesses to recruit individuals aged

16-24 into employment, aimed at businesses who would not otherwise be in a position

to do so. The grant consists of up to ten payments of £1,500 annually and has already

helped thousands of employers grow their business whilst having positive spill-over

effects on the economy in terms of increased employment. (AGE, 2014)

This specific type of government policy is aimed at creating jobs in an environment

where additional staff would help the productivity of a business but they are unable to

afford the added wage costs. This coincides with what (Semboja, 2007) stated how

“public policies that create an environment which are able to fit demand & supply

conditions in the labour market are just as essential as skills and training when

seeking employment.” So the AGE meets both requirements by providing an

additional supply of labour for which there is a demand for in the UK economy.

2.6.3 Work Experience Placements

Part of the youth contract is to emphasise the current Jobcentre’s work experience

25

scheme, with a further 250,000 places being announced for the scheme and work

academies alike. Its aim is to help young unemployed people obtain the experience

needed through various paid and unpaid placements with businesses lasting from 2-8

weeks at the employers’ diversity. (Jackson and Rowe, 2012)

According to (Snape, 1998) previous work experience is highly valued by employers

and these placements offer the opportunity for youths to gain the adequate skills for

employment through first-hand experience. Furthermore, (Kershaw, 2013) indicates

how in the current youth labour market previous experience is not only useful but

becoming essential as those with prior knowledge of the working environment are

three times more likely to land a job.

26

Chapter 3 – Methodology

3.1 Introduction

The aim of this chapter is now to critically evaluate the different methodological

approaches available in order to decide which best suits my research question. I will

begin by critiquing quantitative and qualitative economic methods then give reasoning

for my choice which will allow me to answer my research question proficiently then a

discussion on the collection of both my primary and secondary data will be

undertaken.

3.2 Definitions

Initially a few key definitions are required to establish the different;

3.2.1 Types of research methods

3.2.2 Philosophical approaches to research methodology

3.2.3 Reasoning involved with research methodology

3.2.1

Quantitative research in economics is defined by (Carus, 2009) as “collecting

numerical data and analysing it using statistical or econometric methods.”

Qualitative research according to (Helper, 2000) is “an empirical investigation where

data is observed in the form of words instead of numbers.”

3.2.2

Positivist philosophical approach is defined by (Robson, 2003) as “the nature of the

world existing regardless of people’s perceptions of it.”

27

Relativism is explained by (Robson, 2003) as “the views that there are not absolute

truths and people have different ways of perceiving the world; complexity and

behaviour must be studied to gain true understanding.”

3.2.3

Deductive reasoning in economic research is put forward by (Saunders and Lewis et

al, 2003) as “when the researcher defines a theoretical position and proceeds to

analyse the assumption with the information obtained.”

Inductive reasoning is defined by (Chand, 2013) as “beginning with an individual

question and proceeding to form a general principle based on the evidence collected

in the real world economy.”

3.3 Research Methodology

The two main methods of research discussed are quantitative and qualitative which

both hold their own significance in different means. It is argued by (Starr, 2012) that

general usage of quantitative methods in economics consists of the collection of a pre-

determined set of information from research subjects such as data-reporting units. The

fundamental flaw with this technique is that research subjects cannot truly answer the

question they were asked or give reasoning behind their response; this ability to

answer unrestricted is critical to the research of this project therefore the use of

quantitative methods is discouraged.

In contrast, (Kanbur, 2003) states how the use of qualitative studies bears a more

flexible approach to gathering information were the research subjects are able to

freely answer questions giving a complete insight into the phenomenon of economic

interest; in this case youth unemployment.

28

With regards to my investigation, the use of qualitative methods allows an open-ended

approach to collecting data which yields far more information regarding the causes of

youth unemployment, which then permits a more detailed examination of the

subsequent government policies. However a limitation to my approach argued by

(Bamberger, 2000) is that due to the unstructured character of the qualitative

methodology; the more thorough information collected requires a more complicated

analysis than its quantitative counterpart.

The two key differing philosophical approaches to research in economics are

positivism and relativism. The former is associated with quantitative research methods

in which (Whitton, 2013) describes as being used to test hypotheses against obtained

facts therefore allowing casual relationships to be linked between events. A fault with

such an approach is that it does not take into account how economics is concerned

with the understanding of human phenomena involved with issues such as youth

unemployment. (Robson, 2003)

In this investigation, the relativist view will be adopted due to its strong links with

qualitative research and belief how theories can be generated from observing collected

information instead of purely testing a hypothesis from numerically obtained data.

Relativism can allow for participants to shed light on their own individual experiences

which provides invaluable insights for analysis unlike positivism which is restricted to

data tested conclusions. (Creswell, 2003)

There are also two methods of reasoning used in theoretical economics which are

deductive and inductive. Both are two forms of logic which help the researcher

29

establish the truth.

Deductive reasoning according to (Saunders and Lewis et al, 2003) is associated with

quantitative research and is a form of inference; in which a theoretical position is

outlined and then a theory is tested against collected facts. As outlined by (Chand,

2013) deductive methods are preferred because they give exactness in economic

analysis, they provide actual figures which determine the validity in any previous

assumptions made. However, for the purpose of this investigation deductive reasoning

is discouraged, this is because (Chand, 2013) further illustrates how those who follow

this method may be absorbed in mathematical toys and the impact of real world

behaviour may be forgotten.

Inductive methods are preferred because they explore a topic through collecting

information and then generate a theory based on results. This method is extremely

dynamic, as stated by (Allan and Skinner, 1991) the changing economic phenomena

can be analysed used the basis of experience so conclusions can be drawn then

appropriate curative measures can be implemented; this applies fully to the youth

unemployment problem where adequate policies are required to tackle the issue.

3.4 Data Collection

During this investigation two primary methods of data collection will be utilised to

gain an understanding of the youth unemployment issue. Both in-depth interviews and

questionnaires will be designed and streamlined to definitive theme seeking to gain

information on the causes/issues of youth unemployment.

3.4.1 Primary Data

Initially a short questionnaire will be prepared with some open/closed questions

30

regarding the individual’s current employment status, job expectations and views on

their position in the labour market. Participants will be selected based on their age

because this investigation is targeted at 18-24 year olds, who constitute the definition

of youth. Furthermore, the sample will be collected from different geographical

locations to obtain a wider range of information allowing for better analysis.

A blank version of the questionnaire has been included as appendix A. The

participation information sheet which includes a project summary, why the respondent

has been chosen to participate, project risks and how their privacy will be protected is

included as appendix B. The participation consent form is included as Appendix C

Information collected will then be analysed using the aforementioned inductive

approach using some statistical tests and observer impression which (Ratner, 2002)

describes as observing the data, interpreting it to form an impression and reporting it

in a structured form. This is to test whether current government policies are

sufficiently targeting the problem.

Secondly, an in-depth interview with a manager of a local job centre will be held to

try gain further information regarding the potential mismatch in the labour market.

Due to the scale of the project, the interview will be relatively unstructured to give an

unfiltered representation of the respondents view as I believe that to be most

beneficial to this investigation (Starr, 2012). The interview will be taped and later

transcribed to preserve the full content of information.

The full interview is included as appendix D and the letter to the organisation is

included as appendix E.

The collection of qualitative data tends to be resource-intensive so the purposive

31

sample technique will require a far less sample size than used in quantitative research.

This smaller sample size of around 20 participants for the questionnaire and 1 in-

depth interview is used because the purpose of the investigation to obtain an in-depth

understanding which would be forsaken if a larger, more general sample was used.

There are no significant risks or ethical issues with these methods of data collection as

there is no sensitive data sought after, only employment information. However to

ensure maximum privacy; all information will be held in full confidence and not

linked to personal details given, moreover once the study has been completed all

personal information such as consent signatures will be destroyed accordingly.

3.4.2 Secondary Data

This is data obtained by previous studies but is used for the current investigation.

Sources such as the ONS will be used to obtain large-scale data on the research

question. This method of data collection is designed to gain a fuller picture of the

issue because this high quality database provides data that would be unfeasible for an

individual researcher to collect.

Data and information from the Department for Business Innovation and Skills will

also be used due to their previous studies and expertise on current youth

unemployment policies. The quality of the information is high and has been gathered

on a scale much greater than possible in this investigation so will be crucial to further

the understanding and analysis of the topic.

Furthermore, it is essential to use secondary data when considering socio-economic

changes that have happened previously since no new questionnaire/interview can

accurately describe past events. (Schutt, 2003)

32

Chapter 4 -Actual Results, Analysis and Discussion

4.1 Introduction

This chapter aims to discuss the causes of the UK’s youth unemployment and the

subsequent policies to decide whether they have been effective in addressing the

issue. It will critique the different approaches by the government to decide whether

the causes found in the literature review and in the primary data collection have been

successfully targeted.

Key themes from the primary data i.e. questionnaire and interview will be

documented both graphically and scripted and compared to the aims and objectives.

Causes that have been found in the questionnaires will be contrasted with those found

in the lit review to determine the reasons behind the youth unemployment issue.

It will then lead on to an analysis and discussion of the findings to determine how

accurate both the primary and secondary data has been to the aims and objectives and

its similarity to the literature review along with critiquing subsequent government

policies and their relevance to the information I have found.

4.2 Results of Primary Data – Questionnaire

For the collection of the primary data, a questionnaire was produced which consisted

of 9 questions to 20 participants regarding their current employment position and

potential reasoning behind them being unemployed. The sample questionnaire can be

found as Appendix A.

The questionnaires were distributed randomly to persons in the local area as the

33

How Prepared For Work After Leaving Education

Very Poorly Prepared

Poorly Prepared

Well Prepared

Very Well Prepared

investigation was geographically limited. The technique was used to avoid any

overly-recurring answers and to obtain the widest range of information available.

4.2.1 Prepared for Work after Education

Initially, when the persons were questioned about how prepared felt they were for

work after leaving education it provided interesting results. Data can be illustrated

below;

Figure 1

The questionnaire contained a scale of 1-4 which asked the participant to rate how

well prepared for work they were once out of education. Figure 1 shows how 75% of

the participants rated they were poorly prepared upon leaving education, 15% thought

they were well prepared and 5% believed they were very well prepared.

34

This will be useful for discussion later on because it is relevant to one of the aims of

the investigation which is to find out the causes of youth unemployment and Figure 1

can help understand that perhaps poor readiness for work is preventing those aged 18-

24 from entering the right line of work and also preventing employers from hiring un-

suitable candidates.

4.2.2 Demand for Particular Set of Skills

Qualitative data was then obtained from the questionnaire regarding whether there

was a current demand by employers for the particular skills set that the person being

interviewed had. This is extremely relevant to the investigation because it gave an

insight into not only the current demand & supply conditions in the labour market but

also provided information as to whether the current education system was teaching the

correct skills which would be beneficial for respondents finding a job once out of

education.

A high percentage of the respondents stated how what they had learnt in university

was quite a specific subject area; meaning that once they had tried to enter the job

market, they found that there was a low demand for their set of skills because “only

the best get employed” and extra training or qualifications were required if they

wanted to find correct employment.

Some of the respondents found that their specific set of skills learnt in both college

and university revolved around the tourism trade. This will be particularly relevant to

this investigation because as mentioned in the literature review, demand deficient

unemployment is perceived to be a key cause of youth unemployment. This data

35

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

£10 000 - 15 000 £15 000 - 20 000 £20 000 - 25 000 £25 000 - 30 000

First Year Salary Expectation After Education

would potentially agree with that literature because after the 2008 economic crisis,

demand for tourism may have decreased as holidays are known in economics as a

luxury good; something that demand is reduced for when income is decreased in

times such as a recession.

Furthermore, information was also collected which stated how due to the less-specific

nature of the qualifications they had achieved that, although there was a demand for

them in the labour market, it would be beneficial to either move into further education

or seek additional training to present themselves as more employable and to “stand

out from the crowd” to employers. This information is essential in understanding the

problem of youth unemployment because it states how many identical degrees that

respondents had potentially due to the increasing number of university graduates in

the last 10 years, especially post-recession leading to high numbers of youths with

very similar qualifications.

4.2.3 Wage Expectations

Another aspect of the questionnaire was to assess the first year salary expectations if

the respondent had attended University, as the number of unemployed graduates is

continuing to rise. The results can be shown below;

Figure 2

36

These results show a consistent key theme that although obtaining a degree through

higher education is perceived to increase salary once in employment, 70% of

respondents expected to earn between £10 000 – 15 000 once they had left university.

This will provide a valuable insight when relating back to the aims and objectives of

the investigation because one theory was that the high level of youth unemployment

was due to wage expectations being too high therefore not taking jobs at the market

level price.

4.2.4 Under-Employment if Employed

50% of respondents stated how they did not feel that their current role in full-time

employment and some part-time was suited to their particular set of skills. They

believed that the skills they have obtained were suited to more demanding roles. An

example would be how 10% of respondents had business related degrees but worked

in retail as sales assistants.

This is vital information because although under-employment does not contribute to

the unemployment statistics, previous research has shown those who feel they are

overly-qualified are not only less productive but are also more likely not to stay in

that job meaning they will soon be contributing to the youth unemployment statistics.

4.2.5 Reason(s) for Unemployment

The general consensus gained from the information was that those youths who found

themselves currently unemployed were in that position because they were unable to

37

find jobs appropriate to the skills they had acquired in education. This could be partly

blamed on the lack of jobs currently available in the UK economy for school leavers

and graduates alike.

Furthermore, information collected also pointed towards the idea that once out of

education the correct pathways are not very clear for where to move into employment.

This is an important theme because without the correct guidance, school and

university leavers will be left without adequate preparation for work. With no sense of

direction, young persons will become NEET until they pointed in the right direction

whether it is re-entering education, vocational training or full-time employment.

4.3 Results of Primary Data – Interview

For further collection of primary data, a semi-structured interview consisting of 7

questions was arranged with a manager of a local job centre to try and gather a better

understanding of the topic in question. It contained both open and closed questions to

try and obtain a subjective view along with some factual information that could be

used for later analysis.

The full interview can be found at Appendix D.

One aspect of the interview which provided valuable qualitative information was how

the manager of the Jobcentre believed that the mismatch was due to a lack of relative

work experience that young people possessed which left them disadvantaged in the

job market. With employers preferring candidates with previous work experience,

youths are experiencing more and more difficult gaining work experience which

prevents them from gaining future employment.

38

Additionally, it would appear that from the interview, the period of transitional

unemployment is what seems to be troubling many youngsters. It was recorded that

some youths who are in long-term unemployment of over 1 year find it the hardest to

find work as they haven’t done anything to benefit their job prospects during that time

therefore become more difficult to employ than those in short-term unemployment.

The minimum wage argument was dismissed in the interview, it was stated that

although it does increase costs for businesses it was put in place to protect young

people being wage discriminated in the first place.

Generally speaking, the view of the interviewee was that job/wage expectations of

youngsters also isn’t the cause of the unemployment as many jobseekers were

prepared to take any employment possible but the sheer lack of recruitment by

businesses could be to blame.

4.4 Analysis and Discussion of Data

During the analysis of the data I have collected, not all the information obtained in the

questionnaires and interviews will be used. This is due to the high complexity of the

topic of youth unemployment therefore only a few key themes will be used for

thorough analysis and then cross-referenced with the effectiveness of policies that the

UK government has implemented.

4.4.1 Soft Skill Preparation

How well prepared for work after leaving education was illustrated in Figure 1 and

showed how 75% of respondents believed they were poorly prepared for work. This

39

can be interpreted as an important reason into why youths are unable to find

employment because if they do not feel they are adequately prepared for employment

then not only will they find it difficult once they do have a job but also will find it

difficult to find a job they feel confident in.

There is a clear mis-match between employers and employee’s here with regards to

readiness for work because data from the National Employers Skills survey illustrates

how employers feel that 58% of candidates are well prepared for employment once

they have left education. This can be illustrated below;

Figure 3 – Employers’ view on how well prepared young people are for work

The secondary data being analysed here contravenes with that found in the primary

research and the break-down in employment is from the supply side of labour. Un-

prepared for work youths appear to be a contribution to the high unemployment rate

although this particular cause was not found in any previous literature, therefore with

no evidence of a cause there have been little government policies targeting the reason.

40

Many youths have high ambitions for themselves but lack the core skills necessary to

achieve them. These soft skills include dedication, motivation and attitude which are

often just as important as qualifications to employers. (National Careers Service,

2014)

This can be further backed up by the Appendix 4 which stated how “many of the

youths lack soft skills such as commitment and punctuality”

After analysing this data it is clear that there is a clear need for policy intervention by

the UK government regarding the preparation of youths for employment post-

education, however through the use of previous literature it is clear that there has been

no attempt to implement such a policy thus helping to explain the current youth

unemployment problem. This is relevant when referring back to the title of the

investigation in that the UK government is not currently addressing the issue of youth

unemployment

However an evaluative point of this would be that “soft skills” are extremely difficult

to measure and even more difficult to teach. These non-technical qualities such as

persuasion, flexibility and punctuality are arguably something you are born with and

make it hard to learn in a class-room based environment and virtually impossible to

instil via government policy. (Adler, 2014)

4.4.2 Skill-Set Demand

The analysis of this qualitative information revolves around the idea that current job

market conditions are not suitable to the skills that young people have acquired

through education. The data showed how some of the respondents undertook

41

university degrees in subjects that would allow them to enter their chosen industry

freely; however this was not the case at all.

In agreement with what was found in previous literature by (O’Higgins, 1997) who

stated that during the time of a poor economic conditions e.g. recessions then

aggregate demand for products generally decreases and tourism is renown in

economics as a luxury good; a product who suffers an elastic demand. This would

perfectly coincide with the data previously found because demand-deficient

unemployment is a strong indicator of youth unemployment. (Economics Online,

2013)

Tourism graduates generally seek jobs that revolve around that particular industry,

therefore if it is known from economic knowledge that demand for their employment

is likely to decrease during times of recessions then this can be perhaps attributed to

many other university graduates who find there is no demand for their skills once

outside university.

Further analysis helps illustrate the growing problem of lack of demand for young

labour once out of education as the data also shows how that some of the respondents

achieved niche qualifications where the supply of labour is large but the demand by

employers is relatively small.

Mentioned in the literature review by (Pissarides, 1986) is how during recessions that

the unemployment problem stems from a reduction of the inflow of employment

rather than outflow, this meaning that firms don’t necessarily sack workers but cease

to take on new employees. This can be compared and likened to the data found in this

investigation because company’s demands for new labour is reduced therefore those

42

with specific qualifications find it hard to enter their desired industry.

Another consistent theme mentioned in the data is how many young people are

leaving education with very similar qualifications to fellow students which doesn’t

allow them to “stand out from the crowd” when it comes to being employed. The

issue with this that many youngsters are graduating with identical degrees to their

peers which doesn’t truly reflect the skills they have acquired, this can be blamed on

the constantly increasing number of university graduates in the UK which can be

illustrated below;

Figure 4

The steady increasing of graduates in the UK population illustrates why there is such

a significant issue with youth unemployment. As mentioned in the qualitative data,

there appears to be a lack of demand for graduate’s skills in the labour market and

Figure 4 shows exactly why there is a problem.

43

However, an evaluative point to this data would be that if the % of university

graduates has been constantly rising since 1992 then why does there appear to be such

an issue with youth unemployment in the past 5 years. The reason is because generic

degrees being taught throughout universities in the UK has left young people

disadvantaged when applying for jobs because they are just one in a bunch of

graduates who are unable to stand out to employers because the skills they possess are

shared with all their fellow graduates.

4.4.3 Wage Expectation

The data shown in Figure 2 illustrates how university graduates wage expectations are

based around £10 000–15 000 per annum which is contrary to popular belief in the

labour market. Studies by (Murphy and Gawthorpe, 2013) show that the average 1st

year graduate salary is actually around £20 000 per annum. Therefore information

found in this investigation disagrees with that study and proves that graduates

expectations really aren’t that high and shouldn’t be too blame for their lack of

employment as most would expect a salary of roughly half of the actual figure.

This is further back up by information in Appendix 4 which also states how most

young jobseekers are “down to earth about their employment prospects and salaries”

so the argument that young people expect too much from their first year of

employment is thus proved incorrect.

4.4.4 Frictional Unemployment

Transitional, also known as frictional unemployment is something that all economies

must encounter as it is the period between moving from education to employment for

44

young people, however the time spent in frictional unemployment is something that

should be minimised as statistics show that youngsters who spend longer than 12

months unemployed may suffer many long-term consequences found in previous

literature by (ACEVO, 2012) and find it even harder to find a job once past the 12

month mark.

Evidence from the questionnaire shows there is an apparent theme with young people

being unable to find an appropriate job once out of education as when asked what they

felt was the main reason they were currently unemployed, 40% of respondents stated

that “they did not feel the pathways to employment once out of education were good

enough.”

This is an extremely important theme and can be backed up by evidence found in the

literature review by (Econ Help, 2012) who also stated that student without the correct

guidance inevitably end up unemployed once out of education.

However, an important evaluative point would be that previous research by (Wilson,

2013) stated that it tends to be those with fewer qualifications who end up long-term

unemployed in their youth but evidence from the questionnaire in this investigation

argues that even those with university degrees are unable to find work due to the lack

of guidance when trying to enter the labour market.

The data gathered in Appendix 4 also verifies how young people with good

qualifications but have been unemployed for over 12 months find it extremely

difficult to find employment meaning that government intervention should be

assisting young people in finding work as soon as they leave education as the data

45

analysed in this section shows that those who are frictionally unemployed for longer

than 12 months find it extremely difficult to find employment.

4.4.5 Minimum Wage

Data gathered from the interview in Appendix 4 states how the argument that the ever

increasing minimum wage should not be to blame for the increasing youth

unemployment rate. It stated that “although the minimum wage increases basic costs

for business, it was put in place to protect young people in this first place.”

This disagrees with previous literature by (Dickens and Machin et al, 1999) and

(Gorman, 2008) who empirically found that constant increases in the minimum wage

makes employing older, more skilled workers more appealing as they cost less than

their younger counterparts.

Yet the information from Appendix 4 can be fully backed up by statistical evidence by

(Bryan and Salvatori, 2012) whose study found that even during the 2008 recession,

the increase in the NMW only decreased basic working hours for youngsters by 3-5

hours and had no actual impact of youth unemployment levels, thus meaning is it

feasible to fully dismiss the argument that the NMW affects youth unemployment

levels by the primary data gathered in this investigation and by previous literature.

4.5 Analysis and Discussion of Government Policies

In this section, it will be covering one of the aims of this investigation and that is to

critically evaluate the effectiveness of government policies in targeting youth

unemployment. The three policies outlined in the literature review will be critiqued to

46

decide whether they have successfully targeted the causes of youth unemployment

found in the literature review and primary data of this investigation. The policies that

will be analysed to decide if they have been a success or a failure are;

Wage Incentives.

Apprenticeship Grant for Employers.

Work Experience Placements.

4.5.1 Wage Incentives

As outlined in the literature review, from April 2012 the government decided that in

attempt to encourage employers to hire young people from the age of 18-24 they

would subsidise the wage costs that these businesses face. Although it is difficult to

measure the actual effect of the scheme on youth employment levels at this stage,

using secondary data from (Jordan and McGinigal, 2013) it is possible to analyse the

effect of the policy on employer’s attitudes towards employing young people and to

decide whether the government has sufficiently targeted the problem.

Early indications show that an analysis of the policy has already showed it to be a

statistical failure because the initial target of the youth contract was to help 160,000

young people find work over a three year period, averaging 53,000 a year.

Analysis of the scheme shows that it had the following effect on employers;

47

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

Created an extraemployment vacany

Would not haverecruited a young,

unemployedotherwise

More likely to keepemployee for 6+

months

More likely torecruit young,

unemployed person

The Effect of Wage Incentives on Employers

Figure 5 - (Jordan and McGinigal, 2013)

Through the analysis of this secondary data, including detailed qualitative interviews

with Jobcentre staff is can be indicated that although wage incentives assisted with the

hiring of young, unemployed people it did not however assist much with the creation

of new jobs. This is shown in Figure 5 as only 9% of employers created an extra

vacancy due to the scheme.

Yet an evaluative point to this would be that the aim of the policy was to recruit young

people into existing vacancies and not to necessarily create new jobs; therefore the

policy has been a success in this sense.

Furthermore, 29% of employers were likely to keep an employee on for longer than 6

months due to the scheme; this could also be considered a success as retaining young

staff is an issue discussed in the previous literature by (Ryan, 2001) who indicated that

laying off younger workers is normally most appealing when looking to reduce staff

levels, but the success of the policy in reducing the wage cost of young workers has

led to just under 1 in 3 employers retaining young recruits.

48

In general, 71% of employers showed a positive attitude towards the wage incentive

scheme and believed that due to the low-level of bureaucracy who prevented the

success of wage schemes in the past; this time around the government had been more

relaxed with administration making the whole process easier for employers and

employees alike.

Figure 5 also showed how 33% of employers were now more likely to recruit a

young, unemployed person. This is important because it clearly shows that the scheme

has positively influenced the demand for young labour, which was in issue

encountered in the primary data and previous literature where the demand for such

labour was deemed to be a cause of youth unemployment. Therefore the scheme could

‘tip the balance’ in favour of recruiting a young person.

Yet numbers show that since the scheme’s launch wage incentives had been issued to

4,690 recruits from the period June 2012 till May 2013 when its target was around

53,000. Although since April 2012 youth unemployment has fallen by 59,000 and

youths claiming JSA has decreased by over 67,000, due to the low-take up of the

scheme means that the fall in youth unemployment cannot be attributed to the wage

incentives. So although the scheme may have had positive effects on the attitudes and

action of employers, statistically speaking it hasn’t done enough to target the problem.

4.5.2 Apprenticeship Grant for Employers

The Apprenticeship Grant for Employers (AGE) is a government funded subsidiary

programme of the Youth Contract that supports businesses to recruit individuals aged

16-24 into employment, aimed at businesses who would not otherwise be in a position

49

to do so.

This scheme was aimed at two of the main causes of youth unemployment found in

this investigation; preparation for work after employment and ensuring the

employability of young people in the labour market.

It furthermore addresses the issue raised by (Semboja, 2007) in that it is targeting

“demand and supply conditions in the labour market” because it is not creating

artificial jobs but training young people to fill the roles of jobs that are constantly

required in any economy, exemplified by the apprenticeships being offered in

business, administration, law, engineering, manufacturing and retail accounting for

75% of the total scheme.

Data in this investigation found that 75% of respondents were “poorly prepared for

work once leaving education” so the implementation of this policy particularly targets

this issue and is seen to prepare youths for employment by giving them a career

pathway.

However, previous literature by (Wilson, 2013) stated that young people

qualifications less than level 2 accounts for 39% of the youth unemployed and this

policy has been targeting those at higher qualification levels. Most of the

apprenticeships offered are not made available to those young unemployed persons

with few qualifications and in this sense, the scheme can be seen not to be addressing

the issue of targeting the youth who are the most difficult to employ and accounting

for over 1 in 3 of the unemployed.

Furthermore, the success of future young apprentices gaining employment through the

scheme can be illustrated below using information from (Department for Business

50

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Very Important Quite Important Would Help Not Important

Effectivness of the Grant for Future Youth Employment

Innovation and Skills, 2013)

Figure 6

Therefore, through the analysis of Figure 6 it can be seen that the scheme has been

effective in the sense that 46% of employers consider the AGE as a huge contributor

to future employment of young people.

However once again, with regards to the policy’s self-set targets it can be considered a

failure as the target of 40,00 apprenticeships for young people has not been met as it

delivered 29,00 through the year 2012/2013, although there were many issues

surrounding the policy such as current the economic climate and availability of

resources when it was introduced but a completion rate of 75% for each apprentice

should be considered a success and the policy has performed well in the related areas.

Lastly with regards to increasing the employability of young people in the labour

market, the following table can help illustrate the effectiveness of the policy in

enhancing the chances of being employed and also the effect on earnings per hour for

the apprentice;

51

Table 1

Using the data from this table, it can be estimated that young people with level 1

qualifications would earn 15% more if they achieved an intermediate apprenticeship

and 23% more if they achieved an advanced apprenticeship.

This information is vital when considering the potential effects of youth

unemployment on cost to individual wages that was discussed by (Gregg and

Tominey, 2005) in the literature review. So it can be concluded that participation in

the AGE can allow young people to avoid this ‘wage penalty’ and earn more than they

would have without the apprenticeship.

Another aim of the policy can be seen as effective when looking to increase the

employability of young people as the probability of being employed after undertaking

Effect on earning per hour

(% change)

Effect on the probability of

being employed (%

change)

Level 2 qualification 0.060 0.039

Level 2 qualification X

apprenticeship

0.091 0.028

Total Effect 0.151 0.067

Level 3 qualification 0.155 0.074

Level 3 qualification X

apprenticeship

0.074 0.023

Total Effect 0.229 0.097

52

an intermediate apprenticeship increases by 7% and increases by 10% if an advanced

apprenticeship is obtained.

Overall, the AGE can be seen to be successful in setting out to achieve its aims and

objectives by addressing some of the main causes of youth unemployment in the UK

which can be empirically backed up to an extent, but the target audience of the policy

is those with previous work experience and a wealth of qualifications which leaves

many young, less qualified, less employable young people in danger of not being able

to enter the programme.

4.5.3 Work Experience Programmes

Youth’s face barriers to entry in labour market due to lack of experience so this must

be targeted by UK policies such as the Work Experience Programme. The inability for

youths to enter the labour market can be backed up by the data in Appendix 4 which

stated how “the mismatch in the labour market between employers and young people

is that they lack general, practical work experience”

As outlined previously by (Jackson and Rowe, 2012) in the literature review, the work

experience programme was aimed at providing 250,000 work experience programmes

targeted at 18-24 year olds claiming JSA.

Initially, this seemed like an appropriate policy because it helped target potentially the

main cause of youth unemployment in the UK; lack of work experience acting as a

barrier for youths into the labour market. However, upon closer analysis by it

appeared that the government had been far too ambitious with its target of 250,000

because the job centre became under so much pressure to deliver this large number of

53

placements that it sacrificed quality over quantity and sourced a “huge proportion” in

the retail sector, which although was satisfying the targets but did not guarantee a

useful experience to enable youths to find future employment. (House of Commons,

2012)

Furthermore, there is also much debate as to the impact of the scheme on young

people’s employment prospects. An analysis of the first 1,300 participants found that

51% had come off benefits 13 weeks after starting the placement; a figure which the

Trades Union Congress didn’t expect to be too different for non-participants in the

scheme.

However, a more recent analysis by the DWP found that the impact of the scheme on

the likelihood of receiving benefits compared to if they had not participated was -6%,

as illustrated in Figure 7.

Figure 7

Through the analysis of this graph it can be safely concluded that the policy can be

seen as effective in addressing the issue of reducing the number of youth’s on JSA,

54

who ultimately contribute to the unemployment level.

After 16 weeks of the programme, 46% are off benefits who participated compared to

the 40% of comparable non-participants. 35% are recorded as being in employment

compared to 27% of non-participants so although the impact of the scheme isn’t

greatly significant, there is still clearly a positive net effect on those who participate in

the Work Experience programme.

Conclusively, the work experience policy should be targeted at those who stand to

benefit from it the most; those with little existing qualifications as without careful

monitoring by the government, work experience may be counter-productive for

youths with already strong employment prospects.

Reliability of Sources

During the analysis of both causes and policies, secondary data has been used from

the Department for Work and Pensions, Department for Business Innovation and

Skills and the House of Commons. All these sources are government funded and run

and the validity of them should all be held in high-esteem. The issue would be that

perhaps they would sometimes publish bias data towards making the youth

unemployment figure look smaller than it actually is and publishing results that would

enhance the effectiveness of the aforementioned policies.

However, due to the nature of the information published, it would not appear that they

have been bias because analysis of the policies through the government information

has led them to look like they have had an effect on the unemployment figure but not

a substantial enough effect to question the integrity of the data.

55

Chapter 5 - Conclusion

5.1 Conclusion of Causes

With reference back to the aims and objectives of this investigation, the different

causes of youth unemployment have been addressed and analysed through both

primary and secondary data to decide what the underlying cause is behind the issue in

the UK.

Firstly, the data gathered that showed how 75% of respondents were poorly prepared

for work after education and this was backed up by a statement in Appendix 4 which

also demonstrated that young people lack the ‘soft skills’ required for employment,

this shows that it is a key cause of unemployment found in this investigation.

In answer to the research question, it can therefore be concluded that the government

is not addressing this issue as there is a distinct lack of any policy intervention

primarily targeting the preparation of youths for employment once out of education.

It is clear that many young people are not being equipped with the skills to progress

into further education or the world of work; something that needs to be addressed

from a young age.

The current education system and skills being taught within it are not relevant to

current labour market conditions and these needs to be addressed. Findings from the

data illustrated a lack of demand for current young people’s labour; however the

government has addressed this issue via the Wage Incentives policy which has helped

increase the demand for young labour. Although this can only be seen as a temporary

fix in a long-term structural problem.

It can also be concluded that the government is addressing the issue of young people

56

lacking work experience which is preventing them entering the labour market through

the work experience programme. Findings from Appendix 4 and secondary data

illustrated the need for practical work experience when applying for jobs so the

importance of that policy is key to this investigation.

A key cause found was the extended time young people spent in transitional

unemployment, findings showed how the lack of clear pathways and guidance once

out of school left many young people NEET for over a year and becoming increasing

difficult to employ. It is absolutely essential that post-education options are improved

which is where the government has attempted to address the issue through the

Apprenticeship Grant for Employers to encourage the employment of young staff.

Between 2012/2013 almost 75% of apprenticeships were accounted for by those 25+

years old and this has to change.

There were was no evidence of the minimum wage or high wage expectations having

any effect on youth unemployment in the data, these arguments have been verified

empirically so both causes can be dismissed.

5.2 Conclusion of Policies

The Wage Incentives scheme has been critically evaluated and can be concluded that

although it appears to have had a positive effect on employer’s perceptions towards

young people as 33% are more likely to now recruit a young, unemployed person

however only 9% created an extra vacancy due to the scheme.

Findings show that 71% of participants showed a positive attitude towards the scheme

and the government have attempted to address the issue of demand-deficient

57

unemployment through subsidising the cost of young labour however it would appear

that the policy only recruited under 5,000 recruits which is 49,000 short of its target

meaning that its actual reduction in the youth unemployment rate was 12%. The

scheme may have had positive effects on the attitudes and action of employers;

statistically speaking it hasn’t done enough to target the problem.

The Apprenticeship Grant for Employers scheme was aimed at another two main

causes of youth unemployment which was the increasing the employability of young

people in the labour market and preparing young people for work after education but

the policy failed to provide apprenticeships for those who needed them the most,

instead it recruited already employable youths and neglected the 1 in 3 poorly

qualified youths who constituted a significant portion of the unemployed. It achieved

just over 50% of its target apprenticeships but increased employability by 10% for

those who participated. It conclusively had positive effects but was targeted at the

wrong audience.

Work Experience Programmes was arguably the most successful policy as it attacked

the main cause of youth unemployment found in this investigation which was lack of

practical work experience before finding a job. Although many of the placements

lacked quality and were arguably created to fill the over-ambitious 250,000 spaces

promised by the government, it still had positive effects on increasing the chances of

employment by 35% after the placement had finished.

The UK has experienced a constant decrease in youth unemployment by around

60,000 per year since the policies were initiated so they can be classed as a sort of

success, however it is far away from their target figure and those who need help the

most.

58

Finally, implementing crisis-response policies such as the AGE, Work Experience and

Wage Incentives is simply not enough nor is purely reforming the education system.

Stronger links between education policy and labour market policy is essential if the

government wishes to fully address the issue, particularly focusing on those who need

assistance the most. The UK needs guarantees of quality vocational training and real,

quality work experience that prevents young people becoming inactive.

How well is the UK government addressing the issue of youth unemployment? As it

stands, it is fighting a forest fire with a water pistol.

59

Appendicies

Appendix 1

Appendix 2

60

Appendix 3

Appendix 4

61

Appendix 5

Appendix 6

62

Appendix 7

Appendix 8

63

SAMPLE QUESTIONNAIRE – APPENDIX 1

Youth Unemployment: How well is the UK government addressing this issue?

The purpose of this research project is to determine the reasons for such chronic youth

unemployment currently being experienced in the UK. The information you give will

be used as part of an investigation into whether the UK government is correctly

addressing the issue with its policies targeting youth unemployment. The timing of

this questionnaire should take approximately 5 minutes. If you would prefer not to

participate then thank you for your time and you need not complete the questionnaire.

If you are happy to participate then can you please answer the questions as accurately

as possible. All information given will be treated confidentially.

___________________________________________________________________

1. Are you male/ female? _______________________

2. What is your age (18+)? _______________________

3. Please indicate the highest educational qualification you have?

GCSE

A-Level

Degree or above

4. One a scale of 1-4, how well prepared for work were you after leaving education? (4

being the most prepared)

_______________________

5. What is your first year salary expectation after University? (if applicable)

£ 10 000 – 15 000

£ 15 000 – 20 000

£ 20 000 – 25 000

64

£ 25 000 – 30 000

6. Would you say there is currently a demand for your particular skill set in the jobs

market? Try and give as much detail as possible

7. Are you currently in employment?

___________(If no, please answer 9….If yes, please answer

8)

8. Is it the type of employment you expect/think your skills set are suited to?

9. If you had to give one reason for being currently unemployed, what would it be?

Please give details.

65

SAMPLE Participation Consent Form – Appendix 2

Reference Number -

Title of Project - Youth Unemployment; how well is the UK government

addressing the issue?

Name of Researcher - Tim Mogford

___________________________________________________________________

Participant to complete this section: Please tick each box.

1. I confirm that I have read and understand the information sheet

for the above study. I have had the opportunity to consider the information,

ask questions and have had these answered satisfactorily.

2. I understand that my participation is voluntary and that I am free to withdraw at any time, without giving any reason.

3. I agree to take part in the above study.

Signature of Participant _________________________________ Date

___________________

Signature of person taking consent_________________________ Date

__________________

66

Participant Information Sheet – Appendix 3

Youth Unemployment; How well is the UK government addressing the issue?

Project Summary

The purpose of this research is to establish why there is such a major issue with youth

unemployment in the UK currently and whether the policies that the UK government

are implementing are targeting the causes. Your participation will enable the

collection of information to be studied and analysed to decide whether these policies

are effective in solving the problem. It will all be undertaken as part of a study at

Cardiff Metropolitan University.

Why have you been asked to participate?

You have been asked to participate because you fit the segment of the population that

is required for this study, as the definition of “youth” in my study is between the ages

of 18-24 so you have been selected for that purpose. Furthermore, you may have

recently graduated and consequently in employment or seeking employment. If the

latter is the case, then information will be required from you regarding why you think

you have been unable to find a job and also discussing your expectations once you

had left university. The questionnaire will take approximately 5 minutes to complete.

Your participation requires the answering of a few small open and closed questions

and is completely voluntary; you may withdraw at any time.

Project Risks

The research involves the completion of a questionnaire which will be documented

for later analysis. I am not seeking to collect any sensitive data on you; the study is

only concerned with your job expectations and employment status post-university. I

do not feel that there are any significant risks associated with this study but if you do

feel at any time that I have asked an inappropriate question(s) then you may withdraw

from the study and your decision will be respected to the utmost.

How we protect your privacy?

All the information provided will be held in full confidence. Careful steps have been

taken to ensure that any information you may provide in the questionnaire will in no

way be directly linked to your personal details. Your details, such as consent

67

signature, will be held in a secure location different to your questionnaire answers to

maximise privacy. Once the study has been completed, all research data will be

destroyed permanently and any of your personal information will be destroyed

accordingly.

YOU WILL BE OFFERED A COPY OF THIS INFORMATION SHEET TO

KEEP FOR YOURSELF

If any further information is required about this project, please contact:

Tim Mogford, Cardiff Metropolitan University, Tel: +44 (0)29 2041 6138

email - [email protected]

68

INTERVIEW – Appendix 4

The purpose of this research project is to determine the reasons for such chronic youth

unemployment currently being experienced in the UK. The information you give will

be used as part of an investigation into whether the UK government is correctly

addressing the issue with its policies targeting youth unemployment. If you would

prefer not to participate then thank you for your time and you need not complete this

interview. If you are happy to participate then can you answer the questions as

accurately as possible. All information given will be treated confidentially. This

interview should take approximately 5 minutes.

___________________________________________________________________

1. What is your role in the organisation and how long have you worked here?

My role is area manager of the Jobcentre plus based in Cardiff city centre.

2. Firstly, an open question to try and gain as much background information as

possible, in your opinion why do you think there is such a current mismatch in

the jobs market between employers and employees? With specific reference to

16-24 year olds if possible?

From my experience, it appears that the current mis-match in the youth labour

market can be blamed on the lack of work experience that youths have when

looking for work. In ever increasingly difficult job market conditions, those

applying for even low-level jobs now can be older with more experience so

employers generally hire the older workers who tend to be more reliable and have

had potential experience in that industry before.

3. Do you feel that jobseekers (18-24) are coming in well prepared for

employment?

A lot of the young people who come here do generally have good

qualifications and some with very good CV’s but we do see our fair share of

youngsters who have been out of employment since they left school and have

69

found it very difficult to not only find a job but hold down a job once in

employment.

4. Do they have they have the right sets of skills required to find a job? What

about soft skills? (E.g. Attitude)

Many of them lack soft skills such as general dedication and commitment. We

see time and time again youngsters missing simple appointments with the

Jobcentre when it’s sometimes their only task of the week. How do they expect

to be employed when they can’t attend one meeting a week?

5. Do you think the ever rising minimum wage can be to blame for the youth

unemployment problem?

There is a case for the minimum wage causing increasing youth

unemployment but in my opinion I don’t feel it has had much of an effect.

Although it would appear that a minimum wage increases the cost of labour

for businesses, it was put in place to protect youngsters being discriminated

against when it comes to being paid. If it wasn’t in place, there would be just

as much controversy surrounding young people being underpaid.

6. Do you think that young jobseekers expectations are too high?

No I don’t, many of the young jobseekers are quite down to earth about their

employment prospects and most will take whatever is given to them but there

are obvious exceptions such as some with university degrees who sometimes

aren’t willing to even apply for low-level jobs in customer service, retail etc

but the threat of taking away their JSA soon fixes that problem.

7. What types of jobs are 20+ (recent graduates) year olds looking for?

They tend to inquire mainly about graduate schemes and how we can help

them but many of these company’s just require an online application and

rarely use the Job centre to advertise their roles.

70

7TH March 2014

Letter to Organisation – Appendix 5

Dear Sir/Madam,

I am a third year undergraduate student in Cardiff Met University and

am currently undertaking some primary research on youth unemployment in the UK

between 1992 and 2013 and how effective current government policies are at reducing

this issue and how effective they may have been in the past.

I would very much like to arrange a meeting with someone in the Jobcentre plus who

could answer some questions regarding current young people actively seeking

employment. The meeting would not last very long and would just consist of some

short open and closed questions to try and establish why there is such a current

mismatch in the labour market between employers and employees.

It would be extremely beneficial to my dissertation if someone could find the time to

attend the meeting with me and just shed some light on topics such as what types of

jobs are young people looking for at the minute? Are their expectations too high? And

what is your opinion on the minimum wage and its impact on employment levels.

Hope to hear from you soon,

Tim Mogford

Contact Details

If any further information is required about this project, please contact:

Tim Mogford, Cardiff Metropolitan University, Tel: +44 (0)29 2041 6138

email - [email protected]

71

Appendix 7 – Ethics Approval Application

When undertaking a research or enterprise project, Cardiff Met staff and students are

obliged to complete this form in order that the ethics implications of that project may

be considered.

If the project requires ethics approval from an external agency such as the NHS

or MoD, you will not need to seek additional ethics approval from Cardiff Met. You

should however complete Part One of this form and attach a copy of your NHS

application in order that your School is aware of the project.

The document Guidelines for obtaining ethics approval will help you complete this

form. It is available from the Cardiff Met website.

Once you have completed the form, sign the declaration and forward to your School

Research Ethics Committee.

PLEASE NOTE:

Participant recruitment or data collection must not commence until ethics

approval has been obtained.

PART ONE

Name of applicant: Tim Mogford

Supervisor (if student project): Stephen Bibby

School: School of Management

Student number (if applicable): ST10001364

Programme enrolled on (if applicable): BA Business Economics

Project Title: Youth Unemployment; how effective is the UK government in addressing

the issue? Expected Start Date: 01/01/2014

Approximate Duration: 10 weeks

Funding Body (if applicable): Not Applicable

Other researcher(s) working on the project: Not Applicable

Will the study involve NHS patients or

staff?

No

Will the study involve taking samples of human origin from participants?

No

In no more than 150 words, give a non technical summary of the project

72

The purpose of this research is to establish why there is such a major issue with youth unemployment in the UK currently and whether the policies that the UK government are implementing are targeting the causes. Literature will be reviewed

regarding current and past policies to see what has been effective before and whether it is applicable during this cyclical youth unemployment phase. There will

be a comparison made between the UK and other European countries to see what the fundamental differences are as well as looking at the UK in the 1990’s during its last youth unemployment spike. The result of the project will be to determine whether

the UK is doing enough regarding its policies and how effective these policies will be. Using information from the methodology section regarding what recent

graduates and the Jobcentre’s views are on the situation, and whether the government are actually targeting the perceived causes.

Does your project fall entirely within one of the following categories:

Paper based, involving only documents in the public domain

No

Laboratory based, not involving

human participants or human tissue samples

No

Practice based not involving human

participants (eg curatorial, practice audit)

No

Compulsory projects in professional

practice (eg Initial Teacher Education)

No

If you have answered YES to any of these questions, no further information regarding your project is required. If you have answered NO to all of these questions, you must complete Part 2 of this

form

DECLARATION:

I confirm that this project conforms with the Cardiff Met Research

Governance Framework

Signature of the applicant:

Date:

FOR STUDENT PROJECTS ONLY

Name of supervisor:

Date:

Signature of supervisor:

73

Research Ethics Committee use only

Decision reached: Project approved

Project approved in principle

Decision deferred

Project not approved

Project rejected

Project reference number: Click here to enter text.

Name: Click here to enter text. Date: Click here to

enter a date.

Signature:

Details of any conditions upon which approval is dependant: Click here to enter text.

74

PART TWO

A RESEARCH DESIGN

A1 Will you be using an approved protocol in your

project?

No

A2 If yes, please state the name and code of the approved protocol to be used1 Not Applicable

A3 Describe the research design to be used in your project

Questionnaire

To gain an understanding of the perceived causes of youth unemployment, a short questionnaire is prepared and distributed to young people that meet the criteria of being in between the age of 18-24. It will be ensured that the questionnaire is filled in

by different age groups inside 18-24 in order to get a full understanding of the problem and to gain a better all-around view.

The questionnaire will be short word document of around 7 questions looking to obtain information regarding the person’s education level, salary expectations and

how well their educational facility has prepared them for the world of work. This will then allow for careful analysis of government policies to see whether they are

targeting the actual problems that interviewed young people face. Data from the questionnaires will be compiled using Microsoft word because there

will be mainly qualitative information that can be inputted using word. There are some general open and closed questions which can be typed up and used for analytical

purposes later on in the project. Interview

Secondly, another method of qualitative data collection will be a semi-structured

interview with a local Jobcentre regarding young jobseekers and their employment aspects. The interview will take place on-site at a local centre with a manager to obtain the best possible answers to then be used for analysis. Questions will be asked

regarding the prospects of youths seeking work and what is creating the mismatch in the labour market. Information regarding what is perceived to be causing the youth

unemployment problem will be asked and used to compare to government policies later on.

Data from the interviews will be compiled using a combination of Microsoft word and excel because there will be mainly qualitative information that can be inputted using

word but there will be some numerical information that will be converted into graphs to compare against government statistics so excel will be required for this part of the study.

The anticipated sample size is around 20 participants because they are in-depth

1 An Approved Protocol is one which has been approved by Cardiff Met to be used under supervision

of designated members of staff; a l ist of approved protocols can be found on the Cardiff Met website here

75

qualitative interviews where a lot of information will be obtained per each participant so no more than 20 is required. The questionnaires will be handed out around Cardiff city centre and Swansea city

centre so that a variety of different potential university graduates are used because different universities can be held in higher esteem by employers so it is essential to

get a variety. Sample population needs to be enough so that I can obtain recurring results with as

little additional information as possible. My anticipated sample size of 20 should give me enough in-depth information to understand the problem of youth unemployment

with a lot to discuss. It would be difficult to obtain enough to become statistically significant so I just need to collect as much information as possible to be relatively significant.

Throughout the process, there shall be no racial or gender discrimination as to who is interviewed and questioned but the only category that will be prejudiced upon will be age because no one over the age of 24 is relevant to my study so cannot be included.

Consent from both the interviewee and the people being interviewed will be obtained

before any questions are asked and a participation information sheet will be provided detailing all that is required from the participant. In order to ensure maximum confidentiality, only the interviewer (myself) will have access to the personal details

of the participant and I will ensure that this information is kept private for the duration of the investigation and destroyed upon completion.

A4 Will the project involve deceptive or covert research?

No

A5 If yes, give a rationale for the use of deceptive or covert research

Not Applicable

B PREVIOUS EXPERIENCE

B1 What previous experience of research involving human participants relevant to this project do you have?

I have experience of collecting qualitative information via questionnaires and

interviews ranging back from my A-level education where I had to interview a large segment of the population of a local town to understand shopping and travel information. Although the data would not be relevant to my current project, I still

have the experience of involving human participants in a research project.

B2 Student project only What previous experience of research involving human participants relevant to this

project does your supervisor have?

Stephen Bibby is a former Research Officer at Middlesex university and has undertaken research sponsored by the ESRC undertaking interviews and analysis of

businesses and numerous surveys and data gathering exercises for the public and private sectors.

76

C POTENTIAL RISKS

C1 What potential risks do you foresee?

There are three aspects of my risk analysis for this project; the first being any risk to myself which might occur when interviewing someone who is unemployed might

cause them to be upset and potentially become upset. There may be factors out of my control such as an alcohol problem and that may contribute to their current employment situation and asking them questions about it could create a potential risk.

This is why I am ensuring that any interviews that take place are not too enforcing and likely to cause a risk, they will be undertaken in the safe environment of either Cardiff

Met campus or the government run job centre where every aspect can be controlled. The second aspect would be the person being interviewed could be a potential risk to themselves if upset by the nature of my questions, this is why I am treating this

project with utmost confidentiality and approaching it as sensitive as possible to minimise any danger.

The third aspect is a danger to the university, this may only occur when a questionnaire is being filled out on campus and something wrong could happen however the nature of my questionnaire is completely voluntary and anyone not

wishing to participate doesn’t have to. Furthermore, the secure nature of the campus with security guards ensures a safe environment for my research to be undertaken so

there should be no concern regarding the safety of the university and its students.

C2 How will you deal with the potential risks?

Not Applicable

When submitting your application you MUST attach a copy of the following:

All information sheets

Consent/assent form(s)

Refer to the document Guidelines for obtaining ethics approval for further details on

what format these documents should take.

77

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