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Source: IPCC The temperature of the world is changing
Citation preview
Tim Daley
Northwest Climate Change Partnership
Climate Change Adaptation in the Northwest
What is Climate Change?
Long term changes in weather patterns – 30 year trends
Source: IPCC
The temperature of the world is changing
As is the UK’s…
…and the Northwest of England’s Variation from 1961-1990 mean (annual average maximum and
minimum temperature) - Ringway weather station data
-1.50
-1.00
-0.50
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
1949
1954
1959
1964
1969
1974
1979
1984
1989
1994
1999
degr
ee C
Variation from 1961-1990 mean - annual maximum temperature
Variation from 1961-1990 mean - annual minimum temperature
Source: Met Office data for Ringway weather station
What is the problem with Climate Change? Complex Impacts directly upon local activities Impacts indirectly on the activities of
suppliers, labour supply and external markets
Impacts in the Northwest
Impacts in the Northwest
Impacts in the Northwest Impacts and Opportunities
What are our options?1. Do nothing2. Act now
Mitigation Adaptation
Mitigation – dealing with the causes of climate change - reducing emissions from our current activities
Adaptation – dealing with the effects of climate change – reducing vulnerability to risks associated with climate impacts
Why can’t we mitigate now and adapt later?3 main
reasons
Mitigation takes time to work…..
Why can’t we mitigate now and adapt later? Vulnerability
is not solely related to climate impacts…
Why can’t we mitigate now and adapt later?Adaptation
now is cheaper than later…
How does an organisation adapt?Through risk
management Assess exposure to
climate related risks (or rather the impact of
climate change on existing sources of risk)
Decide on vulnerability to those risks
Review options and implement actions
Review implementation in light of changing conditions – climate risks will continue to present moving goalposts
What role is there for the new projections?How likely…. Offer the opportunity to
your organisations to “quantify” the risk to your operations.
What are we doing in the Northwest?
“Transforming action” in the Regional Economic Strategy (RES)
What are we doing in the Northwest?North West action plan for
climate changeVision for a low carbon
economy and well adapted region by 2020
Action plan developed by a range of advisory groups and partners
Actions on MitigationActions on Adaptation
Focused largely on building adaptive capacity
What are we doing in the Northwest?Using UKCIP
projections to assess the exposure of different sectors to climate-enhanced risks
What are we doing in the Northwest? Incorporating
enhanced coastal and river flooding into current risk management strategies with partners
Assessing the economic cost of increased flood risk
What are we doing in the Northwest?
Assessing the role for Green infrastructure and forestry in alleviating direct impacts
What are we doing in the Northwest?Assessing the
exposure of our natural environment to direct impacts and the effect on our use of ecosystem services.
What are we doing in the Northwest?Engaging with
businesses through existing delivery partnerships to encourage assessment of climate risk to those activities
What are we doing in the Northwest?
Assessing how the region’s health and health services will be impacted upon
The Next Steps….why we are here…Embedding the new projections into everyday
management of risk