Facebook Updates

Thailand Investment Forum

2011

Update (+ ) 18,000

Facebook | www.facebook.com/ThInvestForum Twitter | @ThInvestForum

136 Updates 11,404 Likes 1,691,619+ Impressions

Founder Thailand Investment Forum TIF 2 18,018 2 TIF (Notes) Real-time Bisnews Bloomberg Anywhere Update Page Facebook Update ( Like) Wall Update TIF Thailand Investment Forum Facebook Update 2011 Update 2554 () 2 TIF 16 2554 Thailand Investment Forum Facebook Updates 2011 TIF Like ()

TIFs Founder16 2554

2

1. 2. 3 4. 5. 6. 7. TIF . 4 3 Admin ... 6 TIF .. 8 Update 1 | SET Index 1,047.48 | 8,224 ... 9 Update 2 | SET Index 1,041.48 ) | 11,941 ... 17 Update 3 | SET Index 916.21 ) | 17,284 .................. 31 Update | SET Index 15 955.81 | 18,018 .. 48----------------------------

3

TIF( Note 28 2553) . :) -------------------------- VI - . "... VI VI 80 ..." http://portal.settrade.com/blog/nivate/2010/06/26/879 --------------------------- Value Investor . Technical Value 2 . TIF 3,000 2 TIF TIF 4

TIF :) [ note TIF :)] TIF Page page facebook page TIF TIF TIF :) _/\_ --------------------------: TIF 28 ..54 Wall " TIF " " " " ..."

5

3 Admin( Note 17 2554 6 2554) 1 Thailand Investment Forum TIF 16 2552 admin TIF 12,000 admin admin TIF admin 3 Admin "SJ" TIF 5,000 SJ () (Bangkok First Investment & Trust Public Company Limited "BFIT") Head of Treasury & Investment Department 3,800 Certified Investment & Securities Analyst Level 2 (CISA II) ... . SJ (MBA, Finance) The University of Western Australia () SJ Technical Analysis 2553 Note Update TIF SJ fundmanagertalk.com (http://fundmanagertalk.com/author/keng/) "Keng" "SJ" Admin 2 SY TIF 5,000 SY IT Futures SY 6

Admin 3 PJ TIF 6,272 PJ Master 10 http://valuezen.blogspot.com/ PJ TIF admin Admin TIF Financial knowledge & Mentality "" ( ) ... SJ @ TIF

7

TIFActive Users ( TIF 1 , 1 , 1 )

* facebook 19 2553 ()

Like

Like

17,765,082 Like Comment 94,482 ( facebook 19 2553 13 2554)8

Update 1 2554 ( SET Index 14.72 )

"" update Stop loss () () Low New Low Low 24 2554 ( SET Index 42.89 ) 40 Like | 7,219

rebound Momentum 5 , MACD Stochastic "" "" Low ( Low ) = = ... 26 2554 22 Like | 8,311

:D Wizard Kid Proprietary Trader Day Trading Day Trading + 2 2554 11 Like | 8,319

9

"A society grows great when old people plant trees whose shade they know they shall never sit in." - Greek proverb " " - 12 2554 35 Like | 9,161

" " - .23 2554 75 Like | 8,697

'' offset 24 2554 47 Like | 20,656

" " - Sarinee Achavanuntakul // TIF " "27 2554 57 Like | 7,959 10

Rating TIF Like write a comment :)1 2554 250 Like | 10,923

1. ? - , , 2. ? - , 3. ? - 4. ? - 3 5. ? - ( ), 2 2554 38 Like | 11,100

Value Technical 3 1) '' '' 2) 3) 4 2554 51 Like | 8,620

11

CFA CISA 3 Level ( Level ) CFA CISA :)5 2554 65 Like | 11,133

... ... ... ... 8 2554 65 Like | 8,240

( Cap Gain & ) ... , ..., ..., ... (), ... ...10 2554 113 Like | 11,522

12

Post ( like 94 ) ' ' ? ... finance P/E P/BV Discount Cash Flows 11 2554 26 Like | 9,560

'' ( ) '' ( )14 2554 48 Like | 11,728

13

email BB " 4 " 13.00. . ...16 2554 26 Like | 9,268

2 & 16 2554 106 Like | 13,084

... ( :P)17 2554 25 Like | 9,253

14

... ... 21 2554 66 Like | 7,358

:)22 2554 39 Like | 9,227

() ... Value ... VI ... ... 24 2554 51 Like | 8,177

15

( ) :)29 2554 59 Like | 8,956

( Jazz & Vios) Eco car ... '' ? ... 100 100 + 200 30 2554 41 Like | 7,417

16

Update 2 2554 ( SET Index 6.00 ) " " ... " ... (a.k.a. ) ... ... asset class "4 2554 26 Like | 9,169

: ... ... :)7 2554 51 Like | 7,894

17

TIF 2 1. ? 2. 2 Internet Trading ( LTF) Global Bonds Size . 7 2554 14 Like | 7,793

"All mankind is divided into three classes: those that are immovable, those that are movable, and those that move." - Benjamin Franklin // " 3 : , (), " - (, , , , )7 2554 39 Like | 7,425

150 ... 200 ... ... // ? ? ? ? ...() Good night :)11 2554 98 Like | 8,812 18

3 1. 2. 3. ... 13 2554 93 Like | 10,104

Credit Rating "S&P Credit Ratings " // Standard & Poor's (S&P) AAA AA+, AA, AA-... D ( http://www.standardandpoors.com/ratings/articles/en/ap/?assetID=1245299850426) Credit Rating 2 1. Credit Ratings (AAA, AA+,AA,AA-,...) 2. Credit Outlook (Positive, Stable, Negative) International Local Credit Rating "BBB+" International Local () AAA Inter Local (Global Local) US Credit Rating International AAA Credit Outlook Negative Negative Credit Rating AA+ 19 2554 20 Like | 8,665 19

" " " " - 21 2554 54 Like | 12,596

PE PBV ... = // = // = // = ... () ... good night :)21 2554 56 Like | 8,764

2 2 (1) (2) :)27 2554 27 Like | 11,660

20

.. Bill Gates Bill & Melinda Gates .. Mark Zuckerberg facebook ( IPO ) Coding ( Sales & Marketing) . 29 2554 70 Like | 10,162

TFEX TDEX ( TFEX) TFEX TDEX Buy & Hold Passive ... ... 3 6 Benchmark Passive Buy & Hold :P 4 2554 26 Like | 12,883

:)8 2554 59 Like | 11,664

21

... :)8 2554 55 Like | 11,595

" ... .. ... ... Day 60 min ... ... " ... " Pragasit Thitaram // Time Frame Week Month ( ) 9-10 () ... :) // 9 2554 77 Like | 10,910

... ... // ... ... // :P16 2554 63 Like | 8,345

22

" () " - facebook Barnard College, 17 .. 255418 2554 71 Like | 11,842

"Be forever curious. Volunteer for everything. Show up a lot. Treat failure as a learning experience." - Steve Jennings // ". . . " - (twitter: @stevejennings1)19 2554 27 Like | 11,555

... SET Fund Flow ... 2 SET Economic Recovery Earning Improvement24 2554 22 Like | 10,948

23

... ( B/E) 50 // ... ( ) 7 // 52 3.8 (http://bit.ly/mqPcI7) '' 0.20% 6 (0.40% ) 53 2.8 ( 7 ) 3.8 + 2.8 = 6.6 ... 7.5 (http://bit.ly/h54zO3) ... ?!? 40 NPL ... ... ( ) ( 10 ) 4-5 5-6 21 2554 29 Like | 12,780

24

1) "" % 2) '... '' ( ) ( '' ) // '' // 24 2554 15 Like | 10,584

... Prop Trade ... ...... '' 26 2554 59 Like | 10,950

... :P good night 28 2554 () 21 Like | 9,275

25

Admin 3 TIF .. TIF TIF .. .. ! 29 2554 61 Like | 8,916

" It ain't what you don't know that gets you into trouble. It's what you know for sure that just ain't so" - Mark Twain // " () " - 29 2554 48 Like | 7,795

2 2554 87 Like | 10,877

26

'' ... ... 3 2554 64 Like | 10,288

... US ( ) SET ... ... 8 2554 65 Like | 9,208

'' '...' ''8 2554 105 Like | 15,980

27

... 10 2554 53 Like | 9,858

" $1,000 $1,000 $10,000 $50,000 " " + + = :) 10 1 50 5 " - Peter Lynch - // + + = :)11 2554 183 Like | 13,990

& ... ... ... 13 2554 62 Like | 10,494

28

Technical Analysis ... work ... Trigger funds, Prop Traders Technical Analysis ... 15 2554 49 Like | 9,307

" '' " - quote ... '' ( ) ? ... ... 0.01% ( 0.000%) .... 18 2554 92 Like | 12,917

& & / ... / ... .... ? :)21 2554 70 Like | 12,470

29

" () ... ... ... "23 2554 54 Like | 11,287

... ... ... 28 2554 39 Like | 10,008

( ) ... ... IT IT real-time ... . :)30 2554 53 Like | 12,334

30

Update 3 2554 ( SET Index 125.27 ) " - . ... what do you excel in?1 2554 101 Like | 9,735

( X ) :P1 2554 () 88 Like | 11,762

...3 2554 89 Like | 13,079

- .7 2554 156 Like | 13,084

31

(Value Chain) Value Added --> --> --> --> ... ... 10 2554 89 Like | 17,991

Profile . http://on.fb.me/qe0zkx .. Finance () .. .. ... 11 2554 54 Like | 11,899

1. 2. Margin 3. () 13 2554 145 Like | 13,270

32

" " - . 17 2554 224 Like | 14,338

backpack & ... ... 27 2554 78 Like | 12,619

" Discount " ( Discount .....) " " "?" " ?"28 2554 52 Like | 11,875

33

Active ( ) Benchmark () Passive ... 3 ..54 3 () 1.0%, SET50 Index 9.5%, PTT 7.1% ... Passive ... ? ? ... status ( ) ( = , = , = ) 29 2554 84 Like | 11,762

... 1 2554 96 Like | 11,831

2 1. () 2. ( ) 4 2554 183 Like | 13,515 34

P/E P/BV ( ) () Valuation 4 2554 62 Like | 16,467

... ... ... PTT Peak 440 Low 134 .... 4 440 ... PTT 5 2554 137 Like | 14,336

... ... 10 2554 103 Like | 15,695

35

" ()" 11 2554 148 Like | 16,990

" " - . ... :) 12 2554 122 Like | 15,346

... ... :) . ( ) ... , CISA/CFA , 3 ... 16 2554 178 Like | 18,522

36

100% ... ... ... 20% 50% 10% 50% 5% 2.5% ... x () ... : 2.5% x 100% = 2.5% Property Fund: 8% x 80% ( ) = 6.4% Property Fund Property Fund 40% 8% x 40% = 3.2% 17 2554 102 Like | 16,903

( ) ( "" "" ) ... ( ) ()18 2554 150 Like | 20,102 37

BTS/MRT 40-50 7-11 "15 " 3 ... () 19 2554 112 Like | 17,427

... " :) "25 2554 124 Like | 16,099

: ? TIF : "" ... TFEX Mark-to-Market "" 30 2554 66 Like | 17,590

38

:)30 2554 113 Like | 17,472

"" "High Risk High Return" " ... "3 2554 111 Like | 18,661

Trader ... ... "skill & knowledge set" Trader ... Idol 7 2554 44 Like | 16,827 39

'' '' ... & ... 9 2554 113 Like | 15,625

... 79 ... 92 ... Talking Dic ... ... _/\_9 2554 144 Like | 14,539

(1,856 1,834 USD/Oz) Platinum :P10 2554 146 Like | 18,907

VI (Value Investor) Technical ... " & " "Value & Technical" " & "16 2554 108 Like | 23,125 40

... Type I Error ... Type II Error ... Error Type I Type II :D16 2554 46 Like | 17,266

() 18 2554 108 Like | 18,935

: TIF:

? ... Up Trend Low Low VI Technical ...22 2554 90 Like | 18,099

41

(Roundfinger) Dow Jones rebound 10 22 2554 111 Like | 16,570

2 1. ( ) 2. () :)22 2554 217 Like | 21,081

blog Thailand Blog Award blog blog 555 . indicator 23 2554 83 Like | 13,595

42

: TIF :

? ... ( ) 24 2554 81 Like | 15,772

Window Dressing -> Window Dressing -> 26 2554 50 Like | 16,096

" OK OK = ! " - wall K. Troy OK OK :P26 2554 ( SET Index 51.10 ) 240 Like | 19,312

43

... ... () Double Check ... :)27 2554 108 Like | 15,475

... Cholesterol () 1 () ( ) :)27 2554 145 Like | 19,031

44

Cut Loss ... ... 10% ... 80% :P " " ( ) ...28 2554 175 Like | 19,205

"Cut Loss" "Take Profit" "" ... "" ... ... :)28 2554 195 Like | 17,205

45

: TIF :

?? Trailing Figure SCC 2008 15 ( 2005 - 2007 ) 2008 7.50 2009 8.50 ... 2008 SCC 15 28 2554 117 Like | 17,750

30 2554 98 Like | 17,591

46

Defensive ... ... "" 30% Defensive 15% () 5% ... 10% ... () "" & 30 2554 117 Like | 18,329

47

Status 2554 ( 15 SET Index 125.27 ) Technical Analysis "" "" ... ... . "" PDF ... Download http://inv2.asiaplus.co.th/cms/uploads/pdf_investor/thai/technical.zip ... () Share :)1 2554 225 Like | 19,76

2008 Undervalued ... ... () 3 2554 68 Like | 15,526

- ( VI )3 2554 148 Like | 15,170

48

eBook Status () TIF 2554 ... ... 2 TIF 16 .. ... :) eBooks :)3 2554 188 Like | 16,191

Apple iPhone 4 2554 104 Like | 16,688

( Credit Ratings) ... Rating France Spain CDS Greece Argentina "" CDS Credit Default Swap () CDS ... CDS "" ... CDS Basis point 5,000 basis point 50% 100 50 6 2554 41 Like | 14,612 49

Steve Jobs ( ) ... :)6 2554 201 Like | 8,048

SET Index Day Week ... ECB Positive Surprise ... "BET" Low LowHi ... 6 2554 ( SET Index 51 ) 61 Like | 16,412

50

Soros recession Krugman 50% recession Buffett 70 track - Buffett 3 :)7 2554 93 Like | 15,951

- 10 2554 104 Like | 15,515

10 2554 210 Like | 17,776

51

Update SET ... SET 800-1,000 ( 200 ) ... Weekly ... Daily MACD 909 ( 40 ) Hour 20% Day 30% Week 50% :P12 2554 40 Like | 14,029

TFEX SET50 Futures Cut Loss , Reversal Long Hold ... "" ... :)12 2554 49 Like | 14,988

20 - 50 / 20 / 10 200 / . 13 2554 57 Like | 12,892

52

1 // "" " " "" " " // 14 2554 226 Like |

53

"" ( ) "" "" ( ) Overlay ( EMA, Bollinger Band) Indicator ( RSI, MACD) (Global Fund Flow) ... 14 2554 78 Like |

Massachusetts Institute of Technology MIT ... 10 " " ( 2010) 2,000 http://ocw.mit.edu/index.htm (Course Syllabus) Investments Spring 2003 Sloan School of Management :D13 2554 121 Like | 11,685 54

facebook ... Admin TIF ... "3 9 " "" "" ( ) ... " 9 " ... 11 ... ( ) "" " " "" ? ... 1) 2) 15 2554 78 Like | 55

Thailand Investment Forum |

56