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Date of Tiberius Caesar’s 15 th Year using Least Squares Regression & Consensus Dating O. P. Armstrong - July 2014 _______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 The Gregorian Date for the Fifteenth Year of Tiberius Caesar was determined using least squares regression analysis and consensus statistical analysis applied to the Chronology by Prophecy (CbP ) method. The most likely date of Tiberius Caesar‟s 15 th year was determined by this analysis to be 27AD using a normalized data set and 30AD without normalization, Table 1. The results are shown in Table 1 Column b. Table 1 also shows Christ birth year (col.c), Exodus year (col.d), and year of Solomon‟s Temple Completion (col.e), based on these two results. The most likely correct date of Tiberius Caesar‟s 15 th year is 27AD. This consideration is from the birth year of baby Jesus. A year of 1BC is too late by most chronologists. As given in Table 1, the most likely year for Israel‟s Exodus from Egypt would be 1462BC and the most likely date for the completion year of Solomon‟s Temple would be 975BC for Tiberius Caesar‟s 15 th year being 27AD. Method A grand total of 19 dates were used to statically determine Tiberius Caesar‟s 15 th year. The method used least squares minimization of error difference. Two error functions were computed and averaged. The 1 st is the difference between TC‟s 15 th years and the Exodus date as determined by various workers. Chronology by Prophesy determined there to be 1488.5 years difference between these two dates. See Table 2 to review method calculation. The second error function (Table 3) looked at the years between TC‟s 15 th year and the completion date for Solomon‟s temple. CbP finds the year difference to be 1000.9. The error function minimized the difference between provided data and 1000.9 years. The RMS sum of the error is then minimized by changing the assumed correct base year for TC‟s 15 th year using the Solver routine of Excel to find min error. A further refinement was made by tossing out the high and low years for the 2 events (Exodus and Temple Completion). AKA normalization This overall method is known as consensus forecasting. The implications of this work are given by Table4. The method of calculation is shown in Appendix 4 . Other objective functions, (OF‟s), were also evaluated by this method. The result of using an additional 4 OF‟s confirmed a late 26 to 27AD result. Those functions were 1) Rebuild Decree & 483 Year Prophesy, 2) Passover Count & midst of week (3.5Y) cutoff or crucify, 3) Jesus Birth Year & About 30Yr old, 4) Jerusalem destroyed 70AD & Jonah Sign.. Table1 Least Square Regression Results method ADa χb BC Exodus Temple Norm'zld 27.1 4BC 1462BC 975BC All 30.1 1BC 1459BC 972BC a b c d e Table 2 Tiberius Caesar 15th Year by Exodus Date using LSR & Chronology by Prophecy X year dY(X) χ a AD dY CbP err min Ref.a 1626 1652.1 27.1 1488.5 26761 Ref1 1552 1578.1 27.1 1488.5 8026 Ref2 1538 1564.1 27.1 1488.5 5714 Ref3 1513 1539.1 27.1 1488.5 2559 Ref4 1462 1488.1 27.1 1488.5 0 Ref5 1461 1487.1 27.1 1488.5 2 Ref6 1452 1478.1 27.1 1488.5 108 Ref7 1450 1476.1 27.1 1488.5 154 Ref8 1446 1472.1 27.1 1488.5 269 Ref9 1313 1339.1 27.1 1488.5 22324 Ref0 1225 1251.1 27.1 1488.5 56364 Ref11 30.1AD all or AD 27.1 Norm'zld 66.0 Table 3 (below) Tiberius Caesar 15th Yr. by Solomon Temple Completion Date using LSR & CbP Tc year dY(X) χ a AD dY CbP err min Ref.b 949 975.1 27.1 1000.9 666 Ref1 953 979.1 27.1 1000.9 476 Ref2 964 990.1 27.1 1000.9 117 Ref3 968 994.1 27.1 1000.9 46 Ref4 973 999.1 27.1 1000.9 3 Ref5 974 1000.1 27.1 1000.9 1 Ref6 1000 1026.1 27.1 1000.9 634 Ref7 1004 1030.1 27.1 1000.9 852 Ref8 30.1 AD all or AD 27.1 Norm'zld 14.6 Table4 Rapture Tribulation Early April2016 May 2016 Late July 2017 Aug 2017

Tiberius Caesar's 15th Year and Tribulation Start 2016

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The Gregorian Date for the Fifteenth Year of Tiberius Caesar was determined using least squares regression analysis and consensus statistical analysis applied to the Chronology by Prophecy method. The most likely date of Tiberius Caesar’s 15th year was determined by this analysis to be 27AD using a normalized data set and 30AD without normalization. Based on the 27AD start date for the Kingdom of God (law and prophets were until John, since then the Kingdom of God) one may expect the tribulation to start anytime between January 2016 andAugusty 2017. Since rapture will happen sometime before tribulation start, make sure you have done as the wise virgins, not as the foolish maidens. The wise were prepared to go out and meet the bridegroom. Time is short to make your preparations for the call. My hope and prayer is that all who read will be ready. A summary of the date rangesestimate early laterapture: April 2016 & July 2017tribulation start: May 2016 & August 2017

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  • Date of Tiberius Caesars 15th Year using Least Squares Regression & Consensus Dating O. P. Armstrong - July 2014

    _______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    1

    The Gregorian Date for the Fifteenth Year of Tiberius Caesar was determined using least squares regression analysis and consensus statistical analysis applied to the Chronology by Prophecy (CbP) method. The most likely date of Tiberius Caesars 15th year was determined by this analysis to be 27AD using a normalized data set and 30AD without normalization, Table 1. The results are shown in Table 1 Column b. Table 1 also shows Christ birth year (col.c), Exodus year (col.d), and year of Solomons Temple Completion (col.e), based on these two results. The most likely correct date of Tiberius Caesars 15th year is 27AD. This consideration is from the birth year of baby Jesus. A year of 1BC is too late by most chronologists.

    As given in Table 1, the most likely year for Israels

    Exodus from Egypt would be 1462BC and the most likely

    date for the completion year of Solomons Temple would

    be 975BC for Tiberius Caesars 15th year being 27AD.

    Method

    A grand total of 19 dates were used to statically

    determine Tiberius Caesars 15th year. The method

    used least squares minimization of error difference.

    Two error functions were computed and averaged.

    The 1st is the difference between TCs 15

    th years and

    the Exodus date as determined by various workers.

    Chronology by Prophesy determined there to be

    1488.5 years difference between these two dates. See

    Table 2 to review method calculation.

    The second error function (Table 3) looked at the years

    between TCs 15th year and the completion date for

    Solomons temple. CbP finds the year difference to be

    1000.9. The error function minimized the difference

    between provided data and 1000.9 years.

    The RMS sum of the error is then minimized by

    changing the assumed correct base year for TCs 15th

    year using the Solver routine of Excel to find min error.

    A further refinement was made by tossing out the high

    and low years for the 2 events (Exodus and Temple

    Completion). AKA normalization

    This overall method is known as consensus forecasting.

    The implications of this work are given by Table4. The

    method of calculation is shown in Appendix 4. Other objective

    functions, (OFs), were also evaluated by this method. The result of

    using an additional 4 OFs confirmed a late 26 to 27AD result.

    Those functions were 1) Rebuild Decree & 483 Year Prophesy, 2)

    Passover Count & midst of week (3.5Y) cutoff or crucify, 3) Jesus

    Birth Year & About 30Yr old, 4) Jerusalem destroyed 70AD & Jonah Sign..

    Table1 Least Square Regression Results

    method ADa b BC Exodus Temple

    Norm'zld 27.1 4BC 1462BC 975BC

    All 30.1 1BC 1459BC 972BC

    a b c d e

    Table 2

    Tiberius Caesar 15th Year by Exodus Date using LSR & Chronology by Prophecy

    X year dY(X)

    a AD dY CbP err min Ref.a

    1626 1652.1 27.1 1488.5 26761 Ref1

    1552 1578.1 27.1 1488.5 8026 Ref2

    1538 1564.1 27.1 1488.5 5714 Ref3

    1513 1539.1 27.1 1488.5 2559 Ref4

    1462 1488.1 27.1 1488.5 0 Ref5

    1461 1487.1 27.1 1488.5 2 Ref6

    1452 1478.1 27.1 1488.5 108 Ref7

    1450 1476.1 27.1 1488.5 154 Ref8

    1446 1472.1 27.1 1488.5 269 Ref9

    1313 1339.1 27.1 1488.5 22324 Ref0

    1225 1251.1 27.1 1488.5 56364 Ref11

    30.1AD all or AD 27.1 Norm'zld

    66.0

    Table 3 (below)

    Tiberius Caesar 15th Yr. by Solomon Temple Completion Date using LSR & CbP

    Tc year dY(X)

    a AD dY CbP

    err min Ref.b

    949 975.1 27.1 1000.9 666 Ref1

    953 979.1 27.1 1000.9 476 Ref2

    964 990.1 27.1 1000.9 117 Ref3

    968 994.1 27.1 1000.9 46 Ref4

    973 999.1 27.1 1000.9 3 Ref5

    974 1000.1 27.1 1000.9 1 Ref6

    1000 1026.1 27.1 1000.9 634 Ref7

    1004 1030.1 27.1 1000.9 852 Ref8

    30.1 AD all or AD 27.1 Norm'zld 14.6

    Table4 Rapture Tribulation

    Early April2016 May 2016

    Late July 2017 Aug 2017

  • Date of Tiberius Caesars 15th Year using Least Squares Regression & Consensus Dating O. P. Armstrong - July 2014

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    2

    Appendix I Corresponding Witnesses, 1. Witness of Chronology Research A) Ussher Annals

    1A) The Romans dated the beginning of their

    history from the supposed date of the founding of

    the city ("Ab Urbe Condita" or AUC &

    754AUC=1AD as usually abbreviated). Dionysius

    Exiguus calculated that the year of our Lord's birth

    was 753 AUC, 1BC. He made his equivalence of

    dates from Lu3:1, "Now in the fifteenth year of the

    reign of Tiberius Caesar" etc., at which time Christ

    was 30 years of age according to Lu3:23. But it

    was ascertained later that a mistake of four years

    had been made; for it clearly appears by Mt2:1 that

    Christ was born before the death of Herod, who

    died in 749 AUC, 5BC Tiberius succeeded

    Augustus, Aug. 19, 767 AUC, 14AD. Hence his

    15th year would be 779 AUC, 26AD; and from

    those facts Dionysius was right in his calculation.

    But it was discovered in later years that Tiberius

    began to reign as colleague with Augustus four

    years before the latter died. Hence the 15th year

    mentioned by Luke was four years earlier than was

    supposed by Dionysius and consequently the birth

    of Christ was that many years earlier than the date

    selected by Exiguus, which date has been followed

    ever since. This must be allowed for in any

    computation of dates which involves events

    happening before Christ. "The Wonders of Bible Chronology", Page 84,85, Philip Mauro, first published 1922,

    Reprinted by, Reiner Publications, Swengel, Pennsylvania

    4030a AM, 4739 JP, 26 AD pp 6282. It was in the

    15th year of the reign of Tiberius Caesar, (which

    was the 13th of his empire which began after the

    death of Augustus) when Pontius Pilate was

    governor of Judea, Herod (Antipas), the tetrarch of

    Galilee and his brother Philip, tetrarch of Ituraea

    and the region of Trachonitis and Lysanias, tetrarch

    of Abylene, under the priesthoods of Annas and

    Caiphas. The word of the Lord came to John, the

    son of Zacharias in the desert. {Lu3:1,2} He by

    God's authority was a Nazarite who was both a

    priest and prophet of the Lord and baptized in the

    desert of Judea. (These cities were mentioned in

    {Jos15:1-6}) He preached the baptism of

    repentance for the remission of sins.

    {Mt3:1 Mr1:4 Lu3:3} By his ministry, he announced

    and made known to Israel, Christ who would come

    after him. {Joh1:7,8,13} So John would certainly

    know who he was, God gave him this sign.

    Whomever he saw the Holy Ghost descending on

    and remaining, he would know that it was he that

    should baptize others with the Holy Ghost.

    {Joh1:33}

    4030b AM, 4740 JP, 27 AD pp6288. When all the

    people were being baptized, Jesus came from

    Nazareth of Galilee to the Jordan to be baptized of

    John. {Lu3:21 Mt3:13 Mr1:9} John denied that Jesus

    needed any baptism from him but the Lord urged

    him and said that it was needful that all

    righteousness be fulfilled. Then John baptized him.

    {Mt3:14,15} Jesus was about 30 years old. {Lu3:23}

    1B) Analysis of Jay Rogers, Frontrunner

    In eastern provinces [of the Roman empire]

    years were reckoned from the accession of the

    reigning emperor, the second beginning on the first

    New Years day after the accession, and the date

    on which this occurred varied from one province to

    another (Encyclopedia Britannica).

    If Tiberius was installed before the New Year,

    which occurred in the late summer in the eastern

    provinces, it is likely that Luke and his audience of

    Greek speaking Christians counted the accession

    year twice. The year 14 AD in our modern

    reckoning, contained Tiberias first and second

    year. The fall of 15 AD was his third year, and so

    on until the fall of 27 AD, which was his 15th year.

    Another way of reckoning the beginning of Tiberias

    reign is to predate to 13 AD, the year when

    Tiberias became co-princeps with Augustus, a

    common arrangement among the Emperors. At this

    time, the powers held by Tiberius were made

    equal, rather than second, to Augustuss own

    powers. In the event of the Emperors passing the

    latter would simply continue to rule without any

    political upheaval. In this case, according to our

    modern reckoning of years, Tiberias fifteenth

    year would have been in the fall of 26AD

  • Date of Tiberius Caesars 15th Year using Least Squares Regression & Consensus Dating O. P. Armstrong - July 2014

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    Either of these two reckonings fits Lukes account. Since both John and Jesus were both 30 years old by 26 AD, they could have entered the ministry anytime from late 26 to late 27. This squares with the other dates offered by Luke.

    Pontius Pilate was ruler over Judea from 26 to 36 AD.

    Caiaphas was high priest during the same period, 26 to 35 AD.

    Herod Phillip II, tetrarch of Ituraea and Trachonitis was born in 4 BC and died in 34 AD.

    Herod Antipas, tetrarch of Galilee and Peraea, was born in 20 BC and died in 40 AD.

    Lysanias, tetrarch of Abilene, ruled the province between c.14 to 29 AD.

    When Luke numbers the year of Tiberias reign as 15 and gives the names of several other rulers, he indicates a time window of about three years for

    the beginning of Jesus ministry no earlier than 26 and no later than 29AD. Having decided on this, it becomes fairly certain that Jesus began His public ministry sometime between late 26AD to early 28 AD

    1C Mr. KF Doig, NT Chronology

    As with his other timed references, Luke, a Greek,

    was using the Syro-Macedonian calendar familiar

    to Theophilus, the Greek recipient of his letters in

    Antioch. This calendar system led to the dating of

    the Annunciation in the "sixth month" on March 25,

    coinciding with the appearance of the first nova, or

    Star of the Magi. Luke's use of this method of

    dating is here continued. This calendar was in use

    through much of the Middle East, including Judea,

    and would here be an expected reference. The

    usual reckoning was by the years of the Syrian

    Seleucid Era, which dated by the Syro-Macedonian

    calendar. The rulers of that area reckoned their

    reigns by this calendar, as discussed in the chapter

    on "Herodian Chronology."

    They used inclusive reckoning, with the new year

    beginning with the fall lunar month of Dios.1

    The dating of the reign of Tiberius can be

    according to Luke's Syro-Macedonian calendar

    Tiberius became Caesar on August 19, 14AD, and

    in that year Dios 1 fell on October 15.

    Thus, his first regnal year according to the Syro-Macedonian calendar would be from Dios 1 or October 25, 13 until October 14, 14AD. Luke would have measured the fifteen years from that year one by non-accession, or inclusive, reckoning. Thus, the "fifteenth year" fell from October 20, 27 to October 9, 28. According to Luke's Syro-Macedonian reckoning John the Baptist began his ministry between these two dates. This falls in line with the arrival of Pontius Pilate by the autumn of 27. The earliest first Passover of Jesus' ministry would have been in 28. Based on Luke's use of the Syro-Macedonian calendar it was established that John the Baptist began his ministry between October 20, 27 and October 9, 28. This was the "fifteenth year of Tiberius." John began his ministry after the arrival of Pontius Pilate, by the fall of 27. John baptized Jesus soon thereafter, and the traditional date of January 6 is here used. This date is supported by an understanding of Luke's usage of Jesus being "about thirty years" old at that time, and the thirty years are exact by the Jewish or Syro-Macedonian calendars. The chronology will proceed using January 6, 28 as the probable date for the baptism of Jesus. See J. Finegan, Handbook of Biblical Chronology (Princeton: Princeton Univ. Press, 1964), 61-69

    1D EF Martin: Are INCLUSIVE countings NORMAL

    in the writings of Luke? If Luke was employing the

    Syriac year (and traditionally both he and

    Theophilus were from Antioch), then Tiberius' 15th

    year began with Tishri 1, A.D. 27. This reckoning

    would dovetail with the Judahite year in Jerusalem.

    This latter deduction appears the most likely. The

    Messiah's statement recorded in Luke 4:16-21 can

    now be recognized as a reference to the Sabbatical

    Year of A.D. 27 to A.D. 28.

  • Date of Tiberius Caesars 15th Year using Least Squares Regression & Consensus Dating O. P. Armstrong - July 2014

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    4

    Appendix 2 The witness of Prophetic/ Historical for Daniel 69 Weeks

    The prophecy of Daniel 9.27 from the issue of decree to rebuild unto Messiah, The Prince also refers to

    Jesus revealing as Messiah by Johns baptism in 15th year of Tiberius Caesar. Thus a third method to

    find the occurrence of TCs 15th year date. The time from the proclamation unto TCs 15th year is fixed by

    prophecy to be 483 years. Daniel9 predicted there to be 69 weeks of years from the going forth of the

    decree to rebuild Jerusalem unto Messiah the

    prince. Ezra, a descendant of Seraiah the high

    priest, was living in Babylon when in the seventh

    year (~ 457 BCE) of Artaxerxes, king of Persia, the

    king sent him to Jerusalem to teach the laws of

    God to any who did not know them.

    Adding 69*7=483 years to, say 457BC, gives (483-

    457+1 BC2AD) or 27AD. If 458BC is used the

    Messianic Prince year would be 26AD April March.

    This is in agreement with Usshers work of 4th

    quarter 26AD to 4th quarter 27AD as Tiberius C.s

    15th year.

    Summary

    Three methods, 1) Statistical 2) Historical, & 3)

    Prophetic/ Historical confirm the Baptism Year of

    Jesus to within a narrow range from late 26AD unto

    early 28AD. The implications of this for Rapture

    and Tribulation Start dates are next considered.

    Results are in

    this Table.

    For the Law

    and the

    prophets

    were until John, since then the Kingdom of God is

    preached. The since then refers to Jesus baptism.

    Table4 Rapture Tribulation

    Early April2016 May 2016

    Late July 2017 Aug 2017

  • Date of Tiberius Caesars 15th Year using Least Squares Regression & Consensus Dating O. P. Armstrong - July 2014

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    5

    Appendix 3 Servant Before: John was to go before the kingdom but he was not the kingdom Behold, I will send my messenger, and he shall

    prepare the way before me: and the Lord, whom ye

    seek, shall suddenly come to his temple, even the

    messenger of the covenant, whom ye delight in:

    behold, he shall come, saith the Lord of hosts. &

    Behold, I will send you Elijah the prophet before the

    coming of the great and dreadful day of the Lord:

    And he shall turn the heart of the fathers to the

    children, and the heart of the children to their

    fathers, lest I come and smite the earth with a

    curse.

    John was not the kingdom for every kingdom

    needs a king. The word of John was prepare ye

    the way, make way the kingdom, the kingdom is at

    hand, not, 'the kingdom is here'.

    And saying, Repent ye: for the kingdom of

    heaven is at hand. For this is he that was

    spoken of by the prophet Esaias, saying, The

    voice of one crying in the wilderness, Prepare

    ye the way of the Lord, make his paths straight.

    John question to Jesus before his martyrdom in jail

    was, "Are you the one or shall we look for

    another?" This we know was for benefit of John

    disciples. John was had been told 'He upon whom

    you see... Is He. From that event, John knew the

    kingdom was established at Jesus baptism. Jesus

    reply could summarized as ' the kingdom is being

    proclaimed with power. Jesus answered; You say

    that I am a king. To this end was I born, and for this

    cause came I into the world (Jn18.37)

    So the date we seek is not when John began

    preaching but rather when, under John's preaching,

    the Lord, whom ye seek, shall suddenly come to

    his temple. That temple was Christ Body for Jesus

    said destroy this temple and in 3 days shall I raise

    it again.

    The space between, start of John preaching and

    Jesus baptism, is more than 6 months and less

    than 1 year. Thus the date, in the 15th year of

    Tiberius Caesar, covers both events. Likely this

    uncertainty is where we come into no one knows

    the day nor the hour .

    Nothing says the return time cannot be ascertained

    within a year or a few months.

    In fact there are far too many places where we are

    told that the general time can be reasonably

    determined. Second is the witness of past actions,

    for example, In the fullness of time God sent forth

    his son born of a virgin, I shall send my servant

    before, For it was not yet his time

    Appendix4 Times Determination

    This is based on last half week postponement unto

    the end (after) both the 2520 Days Tribulation and

    after the millennium reign. There are 30.437 dy/mo

    &1260*2days is 82.8mo or 6year 10.8mo or 1week

    shy of 6y11mo. After 2 days He will revive us & on

    the 3rd day he shall raise us up to be in His glory.

    Daniel last half week is 3.5 years. So 3.5 years

    plus tribulation time of 6y11mo. The sum of these

    two times is 10y5mo less 7days.

    For an Oct26AD Baptism, then 3000 years forward

    is 3026.Oct. Now less 1000 year millennium is

    2026 October. Again, less 10year gives 2016Oct &

    less 5 mo is about. Mid May 2016 less Pentecost is

    April 2016 rapture early

    27.2AD is February 12 27AD & 3,000 years

    forward is 3027.2 less a 1000 year millennium is

    2027 February. 12, less 10y 2017Feb12 less 5 mo

    about. Mid Oct2016 less Pentecost (50days) is

    Sept2016 rapture mid

    Late is Doig at Jan 28AD & 3028 Jan less 10y5m is

    August 2017 less Pentecost. Late. July 2017

    rapture

    Results are summarized as a range of likely dates

    for tribulation & rapture starts in Table 4

    Table4 Rapture Tribulation

    Early April2016 May 2016

    Late July 2017 Aug 2017

  • Date of Tiberius Caesars 15th Year using Least Squares Regression & Consensus Dating O. P. Armstrong - July 2014

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    Another way to count years is from Temple destruction backwards. The date of Destruction is well documented as: Within hours, the temple was destroyed, August 10, 70AD, which was on 15 Av(Ab) 3830, not 9 Av of Talmudic tradition which had accorded "minor adjustments" thereto presumably in remembrance of the first temple's destruction. The new moon preceding the fire occurred July 26 70 AD @ 7:09:03 AM JST(JD 1746831.7), with the full moon @ 6:54:42 PM JST August 10(JD 1746847.2), and 1 Tishri of the following Hebrew calendar year 3831 fell on Monday, Sep 24, 70 AD, so August 10, 70 AD/15 Ab 3830 is definitely the correct date of the fire.

    By wicked Generation warning of Jonah is understood Jesus 40 year prophecy of Jerusalem destruction. Counting 40 years back gives August 10, 30AD. This being the likely date when Stephen was stoned and the Elders of the Temple rejected flatly the Gospel. For is found: Then they secretly induced men to say, "We have heard him speak blasphemous words against Moses and God." And they stirred up the people, the elders, and the scribes; and they came upon him, seized him, and brought him to the council. They also set up false witnesses who said, "This man does not cease to speak blasphemous words against this holy place and the law; for we have heard him say that this Jesus of Nazareth will destroy this place and change the customs which Moses delivered to us. Acts6. Indeed Jesus did weep over Jerusalem, saying For days will come upon you when your enemies will build an embankment around you, surround you and close you in on every side, and level you, and your children within you, to the ground; and they will not leave in you one stone upon another, because you did not know the time of your visitation."Then He went into the temple and began to drive out those who bought and sold in it. A confirmation of Jesus Baptism and Crucify date is obtained by count forward from the Rebuild decree year of 457BC by the numbered weeks (69 & 69.5) of Daniel, to arrive at 26.76AD, Baptism, and 30.26AD, Crucify.

    The events between Pentecost and Stephens

    stoning happened in rapid succession. These

    events happen within June/July and all within

    40 years of 70AD

    Temple Destroyed Aug10,70AD

    Stephen Stoned Aug10,30AD

    40Yr Jonah Generation & yet 40Days

    Jesus Crucified Apr5,30AD

    Jesus Crucified fraction AD 30.26 AD

    Jesus Baptized, AD 26.76 AD

    Gregorian Yr from Decree 483.00

    Rebuild Decree BC -457.24

    Rebuild Decree +/- April 1 457BC

    Crucify, AD 30.26

    Years to Baptism -3.50

    Baptized AD 26.76

    3millenniul. Days+ 3000.00

    New Earth AD 3026.76

    last week Gog -3.50

    End 1000Y rest AD 3023.26

    1millen.DayRest -1000.0

    Start Sabbath AD 2023.26

    2*1260Dy Tribulation -6.90

    Start Tribulation AD 2016.36

    Find Month Day -2016.0

    Fraction Year 0.36

    month/Year 12.00

    4th Mo Year AD 4.33

    less whole -4.00

    Fraction month 0.33

    Days/month 30.00

    Day of 4th Month 9.77

    Start Tribulation AD April 10, 2016

  • Date of Tiberius Caesars 15th Year using Least Squares Regression & Consensus Dating O. P. Armstrong - July 2014

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    7

    This Table details methods and criteria for error minimization by 6 Independent items. The result

    determined the most likely 15th Year of Tiberius Caesar to be27.3AD. The result was marginally different

    from just using the 1st two criteria. . The 1st two criteria of Exodus date and Solomon temple completion

    date were discussed earlier. The rebuild decree date criteria looked at years 457,458, & 444BC. For the

    444 date the elapsed year criteria are lunar years converted back to solar years. The Passover count

    indicated there to be 3.5 years from anointing to crucify. Various crucify date were used with error count

    from Tiberius 15th year. Again a similar criterion is for assumed birth years 4-8 BC unto selected minimum

    there would be 31 years. The last criteria added was the 40 year Jonah warning from resurrection year

    unto 70AD.

    Since the likely baptism event of Jesus by John was in autumn, the closest date would be autumn 26 AD,

    and next closest autumn 27AD. Most scholars see either 30 or 33 AD as crucify, then only 26.75AD

    works for Jesus baptism, Birth year about 5BC, Passover as 30AD, and decree issue date 457BC and all

    that matched to the 40 year warning of Jonah alluded to by Jesus that foretold Jerusalem destroy date of

    70AD. The 3.5 year span from Baptism to crucify runs as 26.75AD+3.5=30.25AD.

    They who wish match 40year warning to 33AD crucify fall into post dating prophecy. For they must arrive

    at 30AD & that, say they, is baptism. However Jesus issued the Jonah warning mid to late ministry.

    Discussion of 6 Independent Error Minimization Criteria to find Tiberius Caesar 15th Yr as likely 27.3AD

    Criteria, sum of all criteria error over 6 is minimization object

    Min error Result for 15th Year Tiberius Caesar 27.3AD

    criteria = Yc err=|dY-Yc|

    & dY as below

    Tiberius Caesar 15th Year by Exodus Date using LSR & Chronology by Prophecy

    1461BC or 1462BC Exodus 1488Year from

    TCaesar15th

    Y.exod-Y.TC15

    Tiberius Caesar 15th Yr. by Solomon Temple Completion Date using LSR & CbP

    Solomon Temple complete 974BC 1000.9Yrs

    from TC's 15th

    Y.templ-YTC15

    Temple Rebuild Decree & 483 Yr Prophesy Rebuild decree 457 to 458, not 444

    BC 483 or 476.1

    |Ydecree-Y.TC15|

    Passover Count & midst week cutoff Crucify Spring 30AD or 31AD 3.5 years |Yxc-Y.TC15|

    Birth Yr & About 30Yr old Between 4BC & 5BC 4 to 7BC less

    Y.TC15 |31-Yc|

    70AD Temple destroy Yr & 40Yr's of Jonah Crucify Spring 29AD or 30AD 70-Y.TC15-3.5 |40-Yc|

    For the 33AD crucify group, the 15th year of TC then jumps forward to 29AD. The effect is to bring

    forward Exodus and Temple completion dates by about 10 years, and add 6.9 years to the age at which

    Solomon departed from Torah. That runs the risk of nullifying only Solomon latter years as apostate. A

    33AD date also makes Adam age at Sin to be only 19.5. Fearfully close to being adolescent and under

    the age of accountability. A surprising effect of last whole week postponement is that Tribulation start

    date falls to end of year 2015. That is very close to the spring 2016 tribulation start for a 30AD crucify.

    Jesus Baptize AD.

    New Earth & Heaven

    postponed for Gog Magog

    Millennium Tribulation 2x1280days

    Start Trib

    Jesus Crucify, AD.

    29.75 3029.75 -6.9 -1000 -6.9 2015.95 33AD

    26.75 3026.75 -3.5 -1000 -6.9 2016.35 30AD

  • Date of Tiberius Caesars 15th Year using Least Squares Regression & Consensus Dating O. P. Armstrong - July 2014 _______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    8

    Jesus baptism by John began the Kingdom Epoch, the Law & the prophets were until John, since then the Kingdom is preached. If time is linear, then

    knowing one point in the divine calendar allows mapping all other seven days into Gregorian time. Whilst there may be minor disputing about the precise

    counting of the 15th year of Tiberius Caesar, etc, all concur to within a few years (range 26AD to 28AD). The birth of Jesus in Year 4BC fits within both

    historical and prophetic documentation. The Biblical Seven Days of Creation teach us to consider that God shall complete all his work with fallen mankind

    and make a new creation in seven days of one thousand years each. And I saw a New heaven and a New Earth spake John in his Revelation. Seven years

    tribulation 2017-2023.5, Gog Magog 3023.5 to 3027

  • Date of Tiberius Caesars 15th Year using Least Squares Regression & Consensus Dating O. P. Armstrong - July 2014 _______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    9

    The Balfour Century, 1917 - 2017

    Generation

    Consider the fig tree

    Year Start

    Age Limit

    Year End

    Ref 1 Ref 2

    when you see the fig tree start to put forth

    1. Noah Limit of Mans Age

    Termination 120 x Jubile

    1897 120 2017 Gen. 5, 7, 6.3-4 Matt24

    1st Zionist Return Conference

    earth brings forth fruit of herself (1)

    2. Balfour Generation - Century

    Judgment & Redemption

    1917 100 2017 Gen15 Gen5&6&7

    Balfour Decree Jewish homeland

    first the blade (2)

    3. Psalms Age Limit

    that which has been shall be

    1947 70/80 2017

    /3027

    Ps90.10 UN181 Israel created

    then the ear (3)

    4. Judgment Jubilee

    teach us to number our days, that we may apply our hearts unto wisdom

    1967 50 2017 Lev25.10 6 Day war: Jerusalem unto Israel

    after that the full corn in the ear (4)

    When Jesus was asked about the end of the age, his reply was to consider the fig tree. Know when you see the fig tree start to put forth its branches, then know that this Generation shall not pass away until all these things be fulfilled.

    For the earth brings forth fruit of herself; first the blade, then the ear, after that the full corn in the ear.

    After 2 days He shall revive us & on the 3rd day He shall raise us up to live in His presence

    Jew & Jewrusalem are Gods time piece, seventy weeks are determined upon thy people and your holy city to make an end

    As of this writing (July 2014), it very much appears that all the earth & especially the church are in a 3.5 year pre-jubilee window called, the time of the latter rain for a wonderful ingathering harvest.