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Theater Shaping with Allies & Partners Scene Setter: Humanitarian Assistance & Disaster Relief
Pacific Operational Science & Technology Conference19 March 2012Jessica Ear, J.D.
Key Points
Disaster• Trends• Expectations• Needs
S&T• Considerations• Challenges• Opportunities• Cooperation
Summary Observations
What are the trends?
Urbanization and Poverty
IFRC World Disaster Report 2010
World
Low and middle income nations
Asia
8,000
Numbers of people affected by climate –related natural disasters
54%
People affected by climate-related disasters 1980 to 2007 (millions) with forecast to 2015
Source: CRED Source: CRED
Number of people reported affected by natural disasters 1975-2010
Number of people reported killed by natural disasters 1975-2010
Estimated damages (US billion) caused by reported natural disasters 1975-2010
What can we expect?• Complexities• Inclusion• Expansion
"We can't solve problems by using the same kind of thinking we used when we created them." Albert Einstein
What are disaster needs?
Mitigation
Preparedness
ResponseRecovery
For ALL HAZARDS
Disaster
How can S&T assist?
Risk = Hazard + Vulnerability Capacity
Hazar
dVulnerability
Capacity
Risk
S &T Considerations• Comprehensiveness• Community• Capacity• Communication• Context
S&T Opportunities
• Space based technology– Satellites, telecom, internet
• Robotics, electronics
• Environmental science
• Agricultural adaptations
• Systems and education
• Social, cultural adaptations
S&T Cooperation
• Education, Training • Technical Skill Exchanges• Resource, Expertise Sharing• Regional Centers• Partnerships• Ownership
Summary Observations
• Expect more complex disasters• S&T communities can help• Solutions must meet disaster needs• S&T solutions are only as smart as the
people managing them• S&T opportunities require cooperation"Any intelligent fool can make
things bigger, more complex, and more violent. It takes a touch of genius -- and a lot of courage -- to move in the opposite direction."
Albert Einstein
Thank You
