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Document of The World Bank FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Report No: 67626-CN PROJECT APPRAISAL DOCUMENT ON A PROPOSED LOAN IN THE AMOUNT OF US$80.0 MILLION TO THE PEOPLE‘S REPUBLIC OF CHINA FOR THE NINGXIA DESERTIFICATION CONTROL AND ECOLOGICAL PROTECTION PROJECT April 12, 2012 China & Mongolia Sustainable Development Sustainable Development Department East Asia and Pacific Region This document is being made publicly available prior to Board consideration. This does not imply a presumed outcome. This document may be updated following Board consideration and the updated document will be made publicly available in accordance with the Bank‘s policy on Access to Information. Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized

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Page 1: The World Bank FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLYdocuments.worldbank.org/curated/en/... · area) are described as desertification-affected, of which sand encroachment is a threat to 1.73 million

Document of

The World Bank

FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY

Report No: 67626-CN

PROJECT APPRAISAL DOCUMENT

ON A

PROPOSED LOAN

IN THE AMOUNT OF US$80.0 MILLION

TO THE

PEOPLE‘S REPUBLIC OF CHINA

FOR THE

NINGXIA DESERTIFICATION CONTROL AND ECOLOGICAL PROTECTION PROJECT

April 12, 2012

China & Mongolia Sustainable Development

Sustainable Development Department

East Asia and Pacific Region

This document is being made publicly available prior to Board consideration. This does not

imply a presumed outcome. This document may be updated following Board consideration and

the updated document will be made publicly available in accordance with the Bank‘s policy on

Access to Information.

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CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS

(Exchange Rate Effective December 31, 2011)

Currency Unit = RMB (Yuan)

RMB 6.3 = US$1

US$ 0.158 = RMB 1

FISCAL YEAR

July 1 – June 30

ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS

CNAO China National Audit Office

CPS Country Partnership Strategy

CQ Consultant Qualifications

DA Designated Account

EMP Environmental Management Plan

FMM Financial Management Manual

IBRD International Bank for Reconstruction and Development

ICB International Competitive Bidding

IFR Interim Financial Report

NCB National Competitive Bidding

NRDRC Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region Development and Reform Commission

NFB Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region Forestry Bureau

NFD Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region Finance Department

NXAO Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region‘s Audit Office

PAD Project Appraisal Document

PDO Project Development Objective

PM Procurement Manual

QBS Quality-Based Selection

QCBS Quality-and-Cost-Based Selection

RPMO Regional Project Management Office

SBD Standard Bidding Document

SIL Specific Investment Loan

Vice President: Pamela Cox, EAPVP

Country Director: Klaus Rohland, EACCF

Sector Director:

Sector Manager:

John A. Roome, EASSD

Paul Kriss, EASCS

Task Team Leader: Ulrich Schmitt, EASCS

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China

Ningxia Desertification Control and Ecological Protection Project

Table of Contents I. STRATEGIC CONTEXT ....................................................................................................... 1

A. Country Context ............................................................................................................... 1

B. Sectoral and Institutional Context .................................................................................... 2

C. Higher Level Objectives to which the Project Contributes .............................................. 3

II. PROJECT DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVES ......................................................................... 3

A. PDO .................................................................................................................................. 3

Project Beneficiaries ................................................................................................................ 4

PDO Level Results Indicators ................................................................................................. 4

III. PROJECT DESCRIPTION .................................................................................................. 4

A. Project Components ......................................................................................................... 4

B. Project Financing.............................................................................................................. 5

Lending Instrument ................................................................................................................. 5

Project Cost and Financing ...................................................................................................... 5

C. Lessons Learned and Reflected in the Project Design ..................................................... 6

IV. IMPLEMENTATION .......................................................................................................... 7

A. Institutional and Implementation Arrangements .............................................................. 7

B. Results Monitoring and Evaluation .................................................................................. 7

C. Sustainability .................................................................................................................... 8

V. KEY RISKS AND MITIGATION MEASURES ................................................................... 8

VI. APPRAISAL SUMMARY .................................................................................................. 9

Annex 1: Results Framework and Monitoring.............................................................................. 14

Annex 2: Detailed Project Description ........................................................................................ 16

Annex 3: Implementation Arrangements ..................................................................................... 21

Annex 4 Operational Risk Assessment Framework (ORAF) ...................................................... 32

Annex 5: Implementation Support Plan ........................................................................................ 34

MAP IBRD 39020 ........................................................................................................................ 36

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.

PAD DATA SHEET

China

Ningxia Desertification Control and Ecological Protection Project (P121289)

PROJECT APPRAISAL DOCUMENT .

EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC

EASCS

.

Basic Information

Date: 12-Apr-2012 Sectors: General agriculture, fishing and forestry sector

(90%), Irrigation and drainage (10%)

Country Director: Klaus Rohland Themes: Other environment and natural resources

management (80%), Rural services and

infrastructure (10%), Water resource

management (10%)

Sector

Manager/Director: Paul Kriss/John A.

Roome

Project ID: P121289 EA

Category: B - Partial Assessment

Lending

Instrument: Specific Investment

Loan

Team Leader(s): Ulrich K. H. M.

Schmitt

Joint IFC: No .

Borrower: International Department, Ministry of Finance

Responsible Agency: Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region Forestry Bureau

Contact: Mr. He Quanfa Title: Project Management Office Director

Telephone No.: Email: [email protected] .

Project Implementation Period: Start Date: 17-May-2012 End Date: 30-Sep-2017

Expected Effectiveness Date: 01-Oct-2012

Expected Closing Date: 31-Mar-2018 .

Project Financing Data(US$M)

[ X ] Loan [ ] Grant [ ] Other

[ ] Credit [ ] Guarantee

For Loans/Credits/Others

Total Project Cost (US$M): 113.75

Total Bank Financing (US$M): 80.00

.

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Financing Source Amount(US$M)

Borrower 33.75

International Bank for Reconstruction and

Development 80.00

Total 113.75 .

Expected Disbursements (in USD Million)

Fiscal Year 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Annual 10.00 15.00 15.00 20.00 15.00 4.00 1.00

Cumulative 10.00 25.00 40.00 60.00 75.00 79.00 80.00 .

Project Development Objective(s)

The Project Development Objective is to control desertification and degradation and protect key

farmland and infrastructure in strategically selected locations in Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region. .

Components

Component Name Cost (USD Millions)

Component 1: Controlling Desertification and Degradation 89.38

Component 2: Protective Shelterbelt Plantations 17.37

Component 3: Project Management, Capacity Building and M&E 6.80 .

Compliance

Policy

Does the project depart from the CAS in content or in other significant

respects? Yes [ ] No [ X ]

.

Does the project require any waivers of Bank policies? Yes [ ] No [ X ]

Have these been approved by Bank management? Yes [ ] No [ X ]

Is approval for any policy waiver sought from the Board? Yes [ ] No [ X ]

Does the project meet the Regional criteria for readiness for implementation? Yes [ X ] No [ ] .

Safeguard Policies Triggered by the Project Yes No

Environmental Assessment OP/BP 4.01 X

Natural Habitats OP/BP 4.04 X

Forests OP/BP 4.36 X

Pest Management OP 4.09 X

Physical Cultural Resources OP/BP 4.11 X

Indigenous Peoples OP/BP 4.10 X

Involuntary Resettlement OP/BP 4.12 X

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Safety of Dams OP/BP 4.37 X

Projects on International Waterways OP/BP 7.50 X

Projects in Disputed Areas OP/BP 7.60 X .

Legal Covenants

Name Recurrent Due Date Frequency

Project Implementation Arrangement and

Implementation Units X Yearly

Description of Covenant

Throughout implementation, Ningxia shall maintain a Regional Leading Group, Regional Management Office,

County Project Management Offices, and Expert Working Group acceptable to the Bank.

Name Recurrent Due Date Frequency

Project Implementation Manual X Yearly

Description of Covenant

Ningxia shall apply and cause the Project Counties to apply in the implementation of the Project, the Project

Implementation Manual, in an efficient and timely manner satisfactory to the Bank.

Name Recurrent Due Date Frequency

Safeguard Instruments X Yearly

Description of Covenant

Ningxia shall implement and cause the Project Counties to implement the Process Framework, Environmental

Protection Guidelines, and Pest Management Plan, in a manner satisfactory to the Bank.

Name Recurrent Due Date Frequency

Process Framework X Yearly

Description of Covenant

Ningxia shall carry out measures for improving the living standards of Project Affected Persons in accordance with

the Process Framework, and carry out external monitoring and reporting.

Name Recurrent Due Date Frequency

Cultural Heritage X Yearly

Description of Covenant

Ningxia shall take or cause to be taken all such action as shall be necessary in the implementation of the Project to

protect cultural heritage sites in the area of influence of the Project.

Name Recurrent Due Date Frequency

Annual Implementation Plan X Yearly

Description of Covenant

Ningxia shall furnish to the Bank a final annual implementation plan, including Bank's comments, by December

31, and implement the project according to the annual implementation plan.

Name Recurrent Due Date Frequency

Implementation X Yearly

Description of Covenant

Ningxia shall not amend, suspend, fail to enforce or waive the Process Framework, the EPG, the PMP or any

annual implementation plan.

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Name Recurrent Due Date Frequency

Treatment Models and Technical Standards X Yearly

Description of Covenant

Ningxia shall cause the Project Counties to implement and protect plantation and vegetation rehabilitation

according to agreed models and standards and adequate land management arrangements.

Name Recurrent Due Date Frequency

Straw Market Analysis X Yearly

Description of Covenant

Ningxia shall, periodically, carry out a market analysis of the local straw markets in order to monitor price

developments and any market distortions from the extensive procurement of straw.

Name Recurrent Due Date Frequency

Financial Management and Procurement Manuals X Yearly

Description of Covenant

Ningxia shall apply the Financial Management Manual and the Procurement Manual in implementing the Project

for monitoring the entire procurement process and the financial transactions. .

Team Composition

Bank Staff

Name Title Specialization Unit

Marta Molares-Halberg Lead Counsel Lead Counsel LEGES

Syed I. Ahmed Lead Counsel Lead Counsel LEGES

Zong-Cheng Lin Senior Social

Development Specialist Senior Social

Development Specialist EASCS

Jinan Shi Senior Procurement

Specialist Senior Procurement

Specialist EAPPR

Junxue Chu Senior Finance Officer Senior Finance Officer CTRLN

Wenyan Dong Operations Analyst Operations Analyst EASCS

Jin Liu Senior Rural

Development Specialist Senior Rural

Development Specialist EASCS

Chunxiang Zhang Operations Analyst Operations Analyst GFDRR

Haiyan Wang Senior Finance Officer Senior Finance Officer CTRLN

Ulrich K. H. M. Schmitt Sr Natural Resources

Econ. Team Lead EASCS

David I Sr Financial

Management Specialist Sr Financial

Management Specialist EAPFM

Haixia Li Sr Financial

Management Specialist Sr Financial

Management Specialist EAPFM

Yiren Feng Senior Environmental

Specialist Senior Environmental

Specialist EASCS

Yunqing Tian Program Assistant Program Assistant EACCF

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Zijing Niu Program Assistant Program Assistant EACCF

Yuan Wang Procurement Specialist Procurement Specialist EAPPR

Guzman Garcia-Rivero Consultant Consultant Advisor EASIS

Non Bank Staff

Name Title Office Phone City

Josef Ernstberger Senior Agriculture

Economist

.

Locations

Country First

Administrative

Division

Location Planned Actual Comments

China Ningxia Hui

Autonomous

Region

Ningxia Hui

Autonomous

Region

x The project will be

implemented in 7

cities/districts/counties

within the territory of

the Ningxia Hui

Autonomous Region. .

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1

I. STRATEGIC CONTEXT

A. Country Context

1. Desertification in the arid and semi-arid areas of Northwest China is among the many

environmental issues that China is facing today. Desertification is caused by the complex

interaction of environmental and anthropogenic factors over long periods of time.

Environmental factors include a naturally dry climate, recurrent periods of prolonged draughts,

and specific topographic and geographic conditions. Among the anthropogenic factors, which

are often exacerbating the natural proneness to degradation and desertification, are poor land

management, inadequate farming techniques and over-cultivation, overgrazing and removal of

natural vegetation, misuse of water resources, and poor environmental and ecosystem

management. These latter factors are generally regarded as the main driving forces behind

desertification. About 2.62 million square kilometers (about 27.3 percent of China‘s total land

area) are described as desertification-affected, of which sand encroachment is a threat to 1.73

million square kilometers. About 400 million people are estimated to be affected by

desertification and eco-refugees have appeared in some regions due to desertification.

2. Desertification is not an isolated environmental issue but acts as an impediment to the

Government‘s development efforts in Northwest China. Advancing sand areas, loss of farmland

and dwindling water resources are threatening the gains made over the past decades in rural and

agriculture development and in infrastructure construction and, ultimately, are threatening human

livelihood. Desertification impacts are not confined locally. They are felt across all of northern

China, including the main coastal cities, and even regionally in neighboring countries and have

become a global concern.

3. National efforts to address desertification threats started back in 1978 with the initiation

of the Three North Shelterbelt Program. In 2001, the Government integrated the various efforts

into six major ecological programs, including the: Natural Forest Protection Program,

Conversion of Cropland to Forest Program, Key Protective Forest Program in Three North and

Yangtze River, Combating Desertification Program in Sand Desert Areas Around Beijing and

Tianjin, Wildlife Conservation and Natural Reserve Development Program, and Forestry

Industries Base Development Program in Key Regions. Of these, the Combating Desertification

Program and the Fourth Phase of the Three North Shelterbelt Program cover more than 85

percent of the land area in China that is exposed to desertification dynamics. These programs

represent the main efforts of China‘s program for national combating desertification.

4. Implementation of these programs has yielded encouraging results in terms of at least

halting the aggregate expansion of desertification and degradation and, in some locations, even

resulted in a slight reversal, as documented in the latest National Survey on Desertification and

Land Degradation carried out in 20091. Despite these positive signs, the country‘s arid and semi-

arid areas remain in a highly fragile balance that is threatened by continuing pressure from

population growth and economic development, with the expected climate change being an

additional risk factor that could trigger and accelerate desertification forces.

1 According to the 4

th National Monitoring Survey (2009), desertification areas in China decreased by 12,454 square

kilometers or by 0.47% during the period from 2004 to 2009.

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2

B. Sectoral and Institutional Context

5. The Government has paid much attention to combat desertification. The country is a

signatory of the United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD) since 1994.

China coordinates desertification control and monitoring following international standards and

agreements. In 1996, China developed (and revised in 2003) a National Action Plan to Combat

Desertification, which includes improved legislation and institution building, as well as a range

of programs to prevent land degradation and desertification. Over the past 20 years, a

comprehensive legal and institutional framework has been put in place, which includes a number

of important laws directly relevant to combat desertification: the Integrated Law on Combating

Desertification (2002), the Forest Law (1998), the Land Management Law (1986, revised in

2004), the Soil and Water Conservation Law (1991), the Water Law (2002), and the Grassland

Law (2002).

6. A National Coordinating and Leading Group on Combat Desertification, set up by the

State Council in 1991, provides overall guidance and coordination on national desertification

control efforts. The State Forestry Administration with its National Bureau to Combat

Desertification, the National Research and Development Center on Combating Desertification at

the Chinese Academy of Forestry, the National Training Center on Combating Desertification at

the Beijing Forestry University, and the China National Desertification Monitoring Center are

among the major national level institutions involved in desertification control programs.

7. In 2008, the State Council issued the circular ―Comments of the State Council on Further

Promoting Economic and Social Development of Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region‖ and selected

Ningxia to become a national demonstration area for desertification control and environmental

rehabilitation in Northwestern China. Ningxia‘s desertification area is about 2.97 million

hectares covering about 57 percent of the total territory of the Region. More than 3 million

people in 13 counties are estimated to be impacted by desertification, sandstorms and land

degradation. With Ningxia also being one of the poorest regions in China, the purpose of

demonstration goes beyond environmental protection and rehabilitation but also includes aspects

of regional economic development, reducing poverty and protecting and improving agriculture,

food production, and local livelihoods. With expanding investments into economic development

in the Yellow River plains, the main development area of Ningxia, desertification control has

become a matter of critical importance.

8. Over the past decade, Ningxia has gained substantial technical expertise and practical

experiences in desertification control. The Region has implemented numerous related

international cooperation projects (with an estimated total investment volume of CNY300

million) that have promoted the establishment of shelterbelts, the reclamation of sandy soils

through irrigation and cultivation, the establishment of vegetation cover in sand dune areas, hill

side and mountain closures, and albeit limited in scale, even the manual excavation of sand-

buried farming soils. These technical approaches to combat desertification have been the

outcome of decade-long intensive local research efforts and have been well tested in the field

through numerous pilots and through project implementation.

9. Investment efforts in desertification control and environmental protection are

nevertheless deemed to have been insufficient. One the one hand, weak local fiscal capacity and

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3

funding gaps have prevented the scaling up of desertification control interventions in a strategic

manner. On the other, the need to fulfill top-down planning targets may have diverted attention

away from the environmentally and ecologically most appropriate measures for desertification

control and have often led to less than optimal implementation outcomes. A typical example is

the focus on tree planting, often accompanied by costly investments in permanent supplemental

irrigation, in places that are not suitable for tree growth in the long-term because of lack of

natural precipitation. These over-investments have often come at the expense of neglecting the

more suitable restoration and management of natural grassland or shrub vegetation. Survival

rates of such tree plantations have often been low and tree cover has only been maintained

through increased water consumption, and the implementation of effective management and

maintenance models has lagged behind. As a result, desertification has advanced in many areas

and is threatening critical infrastructure, settlements and farmland in the Yellow River corridor.

10. The Government of Ningxia is providing strong leadership to control desertification

throughout the province, and has integrated control measures firmly into the local economic and

social development strategy. In 2003, Ningxia also introduced a grazing ban to support

vegetation rehabilitation on state and collective lands. A Provincial Leading Group, chaired by

the Governor of Ningxia, and with representation from the departments of Finance, Development

and Reform, Water Resources, Transport, Environmental Protection, Forestry and other line

agencies is coordinating all foreign-funded projects, including the proposed World Bank project,

with the aim of directing these investments strategically across the Region. Areas for

desertification control and rehabilitation are being prioritized along key farmland areas,

waterways and urban and industrial centers and include primarily state-owned land, i.e. state

forest farms, and collectively-owned lands.

C. Higher Level Objectives to which the Project Contributes

11. The World Bank‘s Country Partnership Strategy (CPS) for China for 2006-20102, under

its third pillar, is supporting China toward better ―managing resource scarcity and environmental

challenges‖ with a focus on improving the management of natural resources such as land,

grasslands, forests and water resources. The CPS also promotes the piloting of improved

approaches to natural resource management, by involving communities and promoting socially-

responsible private investment, to contain resource degradation and the resulting negative

externalities. The project is fully in line with the objectives and directions of the CPS.

12. The project would contribute to the objectives and targets of China‘s 12th

Five-Year Plan

(2011-2015) with its focus on environmental sustainability, development of the Western

Regions, sustainable growth, and improving the quality of life.

II. PROJECT DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVES

A. PDO

13. The PDO is to control desertification and degradation and protect key farmland and

infrastructure in strategically selected locations in Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region.

2A new Country Partnership Strategy 2011-2015 is currently under preparation but has not yet been finalized.

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Project Beneficiaries

14. The project will support desertification control, vegetation rehabilitation and ecological

protection measures in seven cities/districts/counties of Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region,

including: Pingluo County, Lingwu City, Litong District, Qingtongxia City, Xingqing District,

Yanchi County, and Zhongwei City. The project is expected to generate local environmental

benefits for the entire population within the participating cities/districts/counties estimated at

around three million people, as well as to protect a number of key infrastructure facilities on the

eastern bank of the Yellow River, which are of strategic importance for the economic

development of the Region. Since the project areas are located in a wind corridor affecting

major parts of Northern China and have been identified as one of the major sources of

sandstorms, the project would benefit indirectly a much larger number of people living as far as

Beijing or Tianjin.

PDO Level Results Indicators

15. Achievement of the PDO will be measured by: (a) the extent of the areas treated under

the project where desertification is controlled in a manner that prevents further desertification

and degradation; and (b) the economic value of infrastructure and farmland protected under the

project. Desertification is considered controlled when vegetation cover exceeds the pre-defined

threshold of a minimum ground coverage of 30 percent on moving sand dunes, and when a

ground vegetation cover of above 40 percent has been permanently established on degraded arid

and semi-arid land.

III. PROJECT DESCRIPTION

A. Project Components

16. The project will be implemented over a period of five years. Desertification control and

ecological restoration activities will cover an approximate total area of 72,000 hectares in

Ningxia. The project will include three components, as described below:

17. Component 1: Controlling Desertification and Degradation (Total Cost: US$89.38

million). The component will address the main drivers of desertification and degradation which

relate to moving sand through wind erosion dynamics and unsustainable land use practices. It

comprises three sub-components:

(a) Moving Sand Stabilization (Total Cost: US$68.50 million), carrying out a program to

halt the movement of shifting sand dunes and prevent encroachment of shifting sand onto

agricultural land, settlements and infrastructure through, inter alia, the establishment of

straw checker boards combined with the seeding and planting of indigenous shrub and

grass on about 19,000 hectares of moving and semi-moving sand dune areas in Ningxia,

and implementing fire control measures, including the construction of fire breaking tracks

and passage routes, watch towers, and small buildings for technical staff and workers,

information boards and warning signs.

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(b) Degradation Control and Re-vegetation (Total Cost: US$15.44 million), carrying out a

program to control and reverse degradation of arid and semi-arid shrubland and steppe

areas through, inter alia, closing, protecting and managing for natural re-vegetation about

42,000 hectares of degraded arid and semi-arid areas, shrub planting and assisted

vegetation restoration in an additional 4,600 hectares, including construction of access

tracks serving as fire breaks, watch towers and other infrastructure required to manage

and monitor the rehabilitated areas.

(c) Integrated Land Management (Total Cost: US$5.44 million), carrying out a program to

mitigate any potential negative impacts on land users from desertification control and

vegetation rehabilitation measures resulting from the implementation of component 1 (a)

and (b) of the project, including implementing the Process Framework, carrying out

economic tree plantations and fodder production for livestock to compensate for access

restrictions to grazing areas, and developing long-term land management arrangements

for selected sites.

18. Component 2: Protective Shelterbelt Plantations (Total Cost: US$17.37 million).

This component includes carrying out a program to protect key farmland and infrastructure from

desertification and sand encroachment through, inter alia, the establishment of multi-layer and

multi-storey tree and shrub shelterbelts in about 5,500 hectares along roads, irrigation canals and

around agricultural fields and fruit orchards in selected locations, including installing

supplemental irrigation systems to ensure the successful establishment of shelterbelt plantings.

19. Component 3: Project Management, Capacity Building and M&E (Total Cost:

US$6.80 million). This component includes the provision of technical assistance support for

carrying out: (a) information and awareness campaigns for project beneficiaries and

stakeholders; (b) the detailed technical design, field implementation and construction,

construction supervision, and final acceptance checks of desertification control works,

safeguards supervision, and Project progress reporting; (c) applied research; (d) training on the

establishment, maintenance and post-management of desertification control and plantation

investments for long-term sustainability; and (e) desertification control impact monitoring and

field demonstration that is integrated into the national and regional desertification monitoring

systems.

B. Project Financing

Lending Instrument

20. The selected lending instrument is a Specific Investment Loan (SIL), denominated in

US$, with a variable spread interest rate , a five year grace period, and a total repayment term of

30 years.

Project Cost and Financing

21. Project costs by component and sub-component, and the share of IBRD financing are

summarized in Table 1, as follows:

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Table 1: Project Cost

Project components and Subcomponents

Total Cost

(including

Contingencies)

IBRD Loan

(US$

million) %

US$

million

Financing

%

A. Controlling Desertification and Degradation

Moving Sand Stabilization 68.50 60.2 50.69 74.0

Degradation Control and Re-vegetation 15.44 13.6 11.42 74.0

Integrated Land Management 5.44 4.8 4.02 74.0

Subtotal Controlling Desertification and Degradation 89.38 78.6 66.14 74.0

B. Protective Shelterbelt Plantations 17.37 15.3 12.86 74.0

C. Project Management, Capacity Building and M&E

Design, Construction Supervision & Management 3.95 3.5 - -

Applied Research 0.21 0.2 - -

Training and Extension 1.84 1.6 - -

Project Monitoring and Evaluation 0.80 0.7 0.80 100

Subtotal Management, Capacity Building, M&E 6.80 6.0 0.80 11.8

Total PROJECT COSTS 113.55 99.8 79.80 70.3

Front-end Fee 0.20 0.2 0.20 100.0

Total Costs to be Financed 113.75 100.0 80.00 70.3

22. Retroactive Financing. Retroactive financing will be allowed under the project for

eligible expenditures under all project components. Withdrawals for eligible expenditures up to

an aggregate amount not to exceed US$8 million may be made for payments within 12 months

prior to the date of Loan Signing, but on or after February 1, 2012.

C. Lessons Learned and Reflected in the Project Design

23. Project design builds on experiences gained in national programs and on relevant and

transferable experiences from other Bank-financed projects focused on resource management,

ecosystem restoration, and public environmental goods provision in China. Key lessons

incorporated into the design include: (a) the project is embedded into Government programs and

priorities; (b) it works through existing institutions and draws on experience and expertise

developed and available locally; (c) it builds on existing monitoring and evaluation methods and

works through the Government‘s mandated M&E institutions; (d) it builds on simple but locally

proven technologies and limits complex or challenging innovations in an implementation

environment where capacity is relatively weak and there is little experiences with Bank projects

and procedures; and (e) the project promotes local ownership through integrating local

stakeholders and providing tangible benefits through project participation.

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IV. IMPLEMENTATION

A. Institutional and Implementation Arrangements

24. The Regional Leading Group, chaired by the Governor of Ningxia and with

representation from the departments Finance, the Development and Reform Commission, Water

Resources, Transport, Environmental Protection, Forestry and other relevant agencies will be

provide overall policy guidance to the project and will oversee project implementation and

management of foreign funds, and coordinate to resolve any implementation problems that may

arise. It will establish the necessary regulatory framework for successful project implementation,

carry out project progress and performance reviews, and oversee the assessment of project

impacts and performance of the implementing agencies.

25. A Regional Project Management Office (RPMO) has been established within the Ningxia

International Forestry Cooperation Center of the Ningxia Forestry Bureau. The RPMO will

perform the operational coordination of project activities that will be implemented at the county

levels. It will prepare annual implementation plans, carry out the overall project impact

monitoring and evaluation (M&E) in coordination with the Ningxia Forestry Planning and

Design Institute, guide the implementation of the research and demonstration activities, and will

centralize reporting on physical progress, financial matters, and procurement planning. The

RPMO will also serve as the main liaison for the Bank‘s supervision and implementation support

activities.

26. Each project city/district/county has established a Project Management Office (PMO)

housed in the respective forestry bureaus. The PMOs are responsible for the day-to-day

implementation and management of project activities, technical supervision and acceptance

checks, and input-output and progress monitoring and reporting to the RPMO. The PMOs are

responsible for the preparation of county-level annual implementation plans and procurement

plans for submission to and consolidation by the RPMO. The PMOs are also responsible for

procurement plan implementation and contracting as well as for the financial reporting and

preparation and submission of reimbursement requests to the higher level authorities.

B. Results Monitoring and Evaluation

27. The project‘s monitoring and evaluation system will include: (a) a basic project progress

(input-output) monitoring and reporting system based on government procedures and project

requirements; and (b) a longer-term impact monitoring system to assess the desertification

control impacts of the project and the achievement of the PDO through the indicators referenced

in the project‘s Results Framework.

28. Detailed input and output monitoring will be undertaken by the PMOs, which will be

coordinated and verified by the RPMO. Impact monitoring will be integrated into the

Government‘s existing Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) framework for desertification control.

Monitoring will be based on remote sensing technologies, permanent plots and field verification,

and will apply existing monitoring protocols and indicators.

29. The Ningxia Forestry Planning and Design Institute, which has the mandate and is

responsible for the periodic assessments of the Government‘s desertification control programs,

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has been assigned the task of project impact monitoring and for integrating project outcomes into

the M&E framework of the Region. The specific responsibilities of the Institute are described in

the Project Implementation Manual along with the technical M&E approach and reporting.

Details of the incremental support to be provided through the project, such as supplementary

satellite imagery for project sites, and incremental operational costs, would be documented in a

Memorandum of Understanding between the Ningxia Finance Department, the RPMO and the

Institute and would be available in draft at negotiations and will be in place at project start-up.

The Regional PMO may also recruit qualified consultants to carry out the M&E work.

C. Sustainability

30. Several parameters assure the sustainability of the project investments and outcomes: (a)

the project is fully integrated into the overall context of regional and national policies, programs

and strategies for desertification control and prevention; (b) the project is implemented through

the established institutions, which have an ongoing mandate for desertification control and land

degradation prevention; and (c) the project follows non-complex technical designs, which have

evolved and have already been successfully tested in the project areas over several decades.

31. In addition, the project is integrated in the regions overall strategy of restructuring the

livestock sector and providing support to livestock owners for changing from grazing to pen

feeding based on produced fodder. In line with this strategy, the Integrated Land Management

Sub-component 1(c) will provide local farmers affected by and involved in project measures

(e.g. by the closing and protecting of areas from animal grazing) with alternative sources of

livelihood, for which the project provides funding. Integrating local stakeholders in

desertification control measures will be an important element for sustainability.

V. KEY RISKS AND MITIGATION MEASURES

A. Risk Ratings Summary Table

Risk Rating

Stakeholder Risk Low

Implementing Agency Risk

- Capacity Substantial

- Governance Low

Project Risk

- Design Low

- Social and Environmental Low

- Program and Donor Low

- Delivery Monitoring and Sustainability Moderate

Overall Implementation Risk Moderate

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B. Overall Risk Rating Explanation

32. Overall risk rating for the project implementation is moderate. Risks and associated

mitigation measures are presented in the Operational Risk Assessment Framework (Annex 4).

The main risks to the achievement of the PDO are: the lack of capacity of the implementing

agencies at the regional and county levels to implement a Bank project, especially in terms of

adherence to Bank procurement and financial management requirements; and delivery

monitoring in terms of contract management. Risk management measures have been included in

project design, including the adoption of a Project Implementation Manual, and procurement and

financial management training for relevant staff.

VI. APPRAISAL SUMMARY

A. Economic and Financial Analysis

33. The project is integrated in the Government‘s strategy for desertification control and land

degradation prevention in Ningxia in support of economic development and sustainability in the

Region, particularly in the Yellow River Corridor. The project may also generate benefits

through an improved environment that may extend across parts of northern and northwestern

China, including in areas as far away as Beijing or Tianjin. Such benefits have both a time and a

spatial dimension beyond the project duration and project area and thus pose a significant

challenge for quantification. In addition, attributing these benefits to a single project would not

be legitimate. Instead of a standard cost-benefit-analysis, a number of cost effectiveness

considerations have been taken into account to promote a cost effective use of project funds.

34. Site selection. The project site selection process focused on areas with the highest

possible impact. In areas of strategic importance, sand dune stabilization through straw

checkerboards and seeding/planting is proposed. Such sites include the Yindong Chemical

Production Base on the east bank of the Yellow River, important farmland resources, and the

Yellow River itself. Hill closures will cover those areas that are under immediate threat of

further degradation and are unlikely to recover naturally. Multi-layer shelterbelt plantations are

being selected only in areas of importance for high value agricultural production (e.g. grape and

fruit development areas) and along important roads and canals. The site selection has been

carried out in a consultative manner and participation of stakeholders in the project is voluntary.

35. Desertification control models. Technical options and models for the stabilization of

moving sand include sand bags, wind baffle boards, construction of ditches, or binding the

surface with adhesive agents or asphalt emulsion. A cost comparison shows that some of these

techniques may be cheaper on a per hectare basis. Environmental concerns and, in particular,

limited technical effectiveness make these methods unsuitable for application on a large scale.

The project‘s use of a combination of mechanical wind break (such as straw checker boards) and

biological measures (seeding and planting) is considered to be much more cost effective in the

long-run. The choice of material, type and age of seedlings, and planting densities proposed for

the project are the result of pilots and long-term implementation experience in Ningxia.

Technical models designed during project preparation represent an appropriate balance between

technical and cost effectiveness. These will be further fine-tuned during detailed design.

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36. Competitive contracting. Implementation of plantation works will follow competitive

procurement procedures to select contractors, which are expected to results in significant cost

savings compared to the Government‘s standard implementation procedures. Because of the

increased demand created by the project for local wheat straw (for use in checker boards), a price

effect on the local straw market cannot be excluded. The project includes regular market

analyses to monitor wheat straw price. If needed, the project would respond to price increases by

shifting to the use of alternative raw materials or procure straw from other locations.

37. Local acceptance and sustainability. Cost effectiveness will also be assured by paying

attention to the involvement of local communities in project design. In particular through

Component 1 (c), the project seeks to ensure that use regulations and management plans for

closed areas, along with compensatory livelihood measures, will generate sufficient interest and

acceptance among local farmers to maintain and protect project investments.

38. Fiscal impact. The public goods investments in desertification control and rehabilitation

are not expected to have significant fiscal impacts. The participating counties, districts and cities

have been selected based on their strong fiscal positions due to revenues from vibrant industry,

mining and agriculture sectors. Since the project will not create any new institutions, any

additional budgetary burden on government finances will be avoided as well.

B. Technical

39. Project areas have been selected following regional and national prioritization criteria to

assure the maximum impact.

40. Site conditions. Project sites have been assessed and classified by soil type, site

condition, topography, water availability (both precipitation and ground water), and the

prevailing natural vegetation in order to ensure that the plantation model applied is best suited

for the site conditions.

41. Technical models. The seven basic technical treatment models that will be used under

the project have been tested and successfully applied under similar conditions within Ningxia

and in the neighboring provinces. These models also take micro-conditions, such as different

moisture regimes and leeward and windward sloping areas, into account.

42. Technical standards. Detailed plantation designs for each site will specify technical

standards and implementation requirements to ensure highest possibly planting success and long-

term survival rates. Contractors will be accountable for adherence to the agreed standards and, if

required, responsible for replanting the following year to meet plantation and survival targets.

High quality seedlings will be selected from local nurseries to avoid excessive transportation

stress and guarantee adaptation to the local conditions.

43. Implementation phasing. Implementation planning and phasing of project activities

poses specific challenges due to the seasonality of the plantation program but also because

various preparatory activities need to be implemented in a specific sequence and time frame so

as to allow the plantation program to proceed on time and successfully. The planting season in

Ningxia is from April to June and from September to November each year. Critical steps in the

implementation planning include: the early dissemination of information of seedling

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requirements (number, species, specifications) to nurseries for the following year‘s plantation

season (at least one year may be required to produce the required seedlings of some species);

completion of detailed designs for plantation works in a given year; the competitive selection,

contracting, and mobilization of contractors at the beginning of the plantation season;

implementation of the plantation works; and field checks and acceptance. The sequence of these

recurrent project activities and the specific timing will be described in the Project

Implementation Manual.

C. Financial Management

44. The IBRD loan proceeds, including overseeing the Designated Account, will be managed

by Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region Finance Department. A financial management (FM)

assessment conducted by the Bank identified the principal risks as the lack of experiences of

financial management staff in the Regional PMO and county-level PMOs in the management of

Bank projects, and the timely and adequate provision of the required counterpart funds. Actions

to strengthen the project FM capacity have been agreed with the relevant implementing agencies

and include: implementation of a FM training plan throughout project implementation;

application of a Financial Management Manual; and confirmation of mobilization of counterpart

funds by local governments. The assessment concluded that with the implementation of these

actions, the proposed financial management arrangements will satisfy the Bank‘s minimum

requirements under OP/BP 10.02.

D. Procurement

45. The RPMO will: (a) lead and coordinate project procurement activities; (b) provide

guidance to the PMOs on procurement and contract management; (c) review procurement

documents prepared by county, city and district PMOs; (d) centralize procurement reporting for

the project and (e) supervise and monitor procurement activities carried out by PMOs. The

RPMO has limited experience with Bank procurement policies and procedures and limited

managerial capacity.

46. Procurement under the project will be carried out by each county/district/city PMO for

the investments in the respective jurisdictions in accordance with a Procurement Manual

reviewed by the Bank. For each PMO, a full-time procurement staff has been designated and is

in place. Procurement risk exists primarily because of the PMOs‘ lack of experience in

procurement for Bank-financed projects and that procurement would be implemented by staff

without any experience in Bank-financed projects. To manage and mitigate this risk, all

designated procurement staff at RPMO and PMO-levels will attend detailed procurement

training to be organized by the RPMO and, in addition, are required to attend World Bank

procurement training courses.

E. Social (including Safeguards)

47. Involuntary Resettlement (OP4.12). No involuntary resettlement or land acquisition is

expected under the project. The project will involve the protection of open access degraded

steppe and grassland areas through hill closures. These closures will reinforce the Government‘s

general grazing ban policy and may result in access restrictions to resource use on those lands. It

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is expected that a total area of around 42,000 hectares of open access areas will be closed for

vegetation rehabilitation and protection (Component 1(b)). The resulting access restrictions may

affect 24 villages and 5 forestry farms. The Bank‘s policy on Involuntary Resettlement (OP

4.12) will therefore be applicable.

48. Social Assessment. A Social Assessment was carried out during project preparation to

solicit stakeholder interest in participating in the project and identify risks and potential adverse

impacts to local people in project-affected areas. The assessment included an analysis of local

livelihood conditions, an assessment of potential impacts of hill closures on households, field

surveys, and consultations with farmers on collective land and workers on state farms of all

seven project counties. The assessment defined safeguard measures to mitigate and offset

potential negative impacts and provide livelihood alternatives. These measures have been

integrated in the project design (Component 1(c)).

49. A Process Framework has been developed to guide implementation of the safeguards

measures and provide a framework for community and household participation in the project. It

defines the mechanisms for information dissemination, training, and the participation of affected

people in the design and implementation of the project and in the design and implementation of

compensatory measures to restore income losses. The Process Framework also sets forth the

provision for social impact monitoring, and includes a complaints handling mechanism.

F. Environment (including Safeguards)

50. The project is a Category B project. It is designed to generate significant positive

environmental impacts in the project areas and to result in improvements of the ecological

environment in Ningxia. Negative impacts may occur if the project is not properly implemented,

for example, because of poor detailed design such as selection of unsuitable plantation models

and species, insufficient consideration of hydrological aspects of vegetation establishment, poor

site management, uncontrolled use of pesticides, etc. Such negative impacts are unlikely to

materialize because of the prior experience with such projects in Ningxia and the detailed

preparation work undertaken during project design. Applicable environmental safeguard policies

for the project include: Environmental Assessment (OP4.01); Natural Habitats (OP4.04); and

Pest Management (OP4.09).

51. Environmental Assessment (OP4.01). An Environmental Assessment was carried out

in accordance with Bank Operational Policy OP4.01. The assessment includes an analysis of the

potential positive and negative project impacts, an alternative project analysis, a description of

mitigation measures, and an environmental monitoring plan that is integrated into the project‘s

overall M&E approach. It documents the public consultation carried out during the preparation

of the project. The assessment concluded that the project will bring significant positive impacts

to the natural and the socio-economic environments. Project activities have been designed to

avoid or minimize any adverse impacts on the physical environment. Environmental Protection

Guidelines have been developed that specify mitigation measures in case any negative impacts

occur.

52. Natural Habitats (OP4.04). A number of project sites selected for natural rehabilitation

include habitats of Ammopiptanthus mongolicus, a second-class protected species indigenous to

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the desert areas of Western China, including Ningxia. Despite the current status of degradation,

these areas still represent valuable natural habitats. The Environmental Assessment and

Environmental Management Guidelines describe the current habitat status in Ningxia and in the

project areas and the threats to these areas to be addressed by the project. The guidelines also

detail the treatment measures to successfully rehabilitate these vegetation communities and

ecosystems. No conversion of the A. mongolicus or other natural habitats areas is foreseen.

53. Pest Management (OP4.09). The establishment and management of protective

plantings and shelterbelts may require the control of pests and use of pesticides. In accordance

with OP4.09, a Pest Management Plan has been prepared. It describes a range of pest and

disease control and management methods, including Integrated Pest Management, and the scope

of the recommended application in various situations. The plan also provides a detailed list of

pesticides and herbicides that may be required under the project and that are in compliance with

the provisions of the World Health Organization‘s recommended categories. The plan includes

detailed provisions for training for project stakeholders and a monitoring program.

Implementation of the training and monitoring programs has been included in the project cost.

54. Public consultation and disclosure. In accordance with the Bank‘s disclosure policy,

consultations with project-affected people were conducted during the Environmental Assessment

processes. The Environmental and Social Assessment Reports, including the Environmental

Protection Guidelines, the Pest Management Plan, and the Process Framework have been

reviewed by the Bank during project appraisal and have been disclosed locally in the project

areas in Ningxia, at the central government level in Beijing, and in the Bank‘s InfoShop.

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Annex 1: Results Framework and Monitoring

China: Ningxia Desertification Control and Ecological Protection Project

Project Development Objective (PDO): Desertification controlled and key farmland and infrastructure protected in strategically selected locations in Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region

PDO Level Results

Indicators*

Co

re Unit of

Measure Baseline

Cumulative Target Values** Frequency

Data Source/

Methodology

Responsibility for

Data Collection

Description

(indicator

definition etc.) YR 1 YR 2 YR3 YR 4 YR5

Indicator One: Project

areas, where desertification

is controlled3

ha 0 0 0 8,000 0 30,000

Mid-term,

end-project Field Survey

Ningxia Forestry

Planning and

Design Institute

Results can only be

judged 3 years

after control

measures

implemented

Indicator Two: Value of

infrastructure and farmland

protected by project

investments

US$

(billion)

0 0 0 7.5 0 30 Mid-term,

end-project Field Survey

RPMO/ Ningxia

Forestry Planning

and Design

Institute

INTERMEDIATE RESULTS

Intermediate Result (Component One): Controlling Desertification and Degradation

Intermediate Result indicator

One: Sand areas reaching

shrub vegetation cover

above 30%

ha 0 0 0 2,500 0 10,000

Mid-term,

end-project Field Survey

Ningxia Forestry

Planning and

Design Institute

Results for

indicators 1, 2 and

3 can only be

measured with a

time lag of 3 years

Intermediate Result indicator

Two: Closed areas reaching

a vegetation cover of over

30%

ha 0 0 0 5,000 0 17,000 Mid-term,

end-project Field Survey

Ningxia Forestry

Planning and

Design Institute

Intermediate Result indicator

Three: Project area of

degraded land restored with

trees and shrubs with a

cover of over 40%

ha 0 0 0 500 0 3,000 Mid-term,

end-project Field Survey

Ningxia Forestry

Planning and

Design Institute

Intermediate Result indicator

Four: No. of Households

involved in management

arrangements

No. 0 0 50 100 200 300 Annually

from year 2

Project

Reporting RPMO

3 Desertification is considered controlled by a vegetation cover of over 30% on moving sand dunes, and a shrub/tree cover of over 30% on degraded arid and

semi-arid land combined with a full protection from livestock grazing.

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Intermediate Result (Component Two): Shelter Belt Plantation Protecting Key Farmland and Infrastructure

Intermediate Result indicator

One: Areas of farmland

protected under project

ha 0 0 0 2,000 5,000 8,000 Annually

from year 3

Project

Reporting RPMO

Intermediate Result indicator

Two: Road and railway

infrastructure protected

km 0 0 0 200 400 600 Annually

from year 3

Project

Reporting RPMO

Intermediate Result (Component Three): Project management, capacity building and M&E

Intermediate Result indicator

One: Client days of training

provided.

Person

times 0 500 2,000 6,000 9,000 11,500 annually

Project

Reporting RPMO

*Please indicate whether the indicator is a Core Sector Indicator (see further http://coreindicators)

**Target values should be entered for the years data will be available, not necessarily annually.

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Annex 2: Detailed Project Description

CHINA: Ningxia Desertification Control and Ecological Protection Project

1. Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region is located between the middle reaches of the Yellow

River in a transitional belt between the Loess Plateau, and three of China‘s main deserts: the

Mao Wu Su to the east, the Tengger to the west, and the Ulan Buh to the north. In particular, the

Mao Wu Su Sand Land in the east and the Tengger Desert in the west cover extensive parts of

Ningxia in addition to fragmented pieces of sand-covered land in the middle of Ningxia and the

Yinchuan (Yellow River) Plain. The total area of land threatened by desertification dynamics in

Ningxia is 2.97 million hectares (57.2% of its total land area).

2. Desert encroachment has been a historical challenge in Ningxia. During the first half of

the 20th century, intense over-cutting and overgrazing destroyed vegetation and caused many of

the former semi-fixed and fixed dunes (sandy lands) to lose their protective vegetation cover.

Most of these areas are considered unsuitable for any livestock grazing on a long-term

sustainable basis. The Government has thus followed a policy of restructuring the livestock

sector away from grazing towards systems based on fodder production and pen feeding.

3. A series of major programs implemented in the last three decades has worked to partially

restore some land productivity, resist the spread of shifting sand and reduce damage from

sandstorms, by gradually fixing some shifting sand and helping some semi-fixed dunes become

fixed. These efforts have resulted in a noticeable reduction of the overall desertification and land

degradation process, and in some locations, even in a slight reversal. Overall, the Region

remains in a fragile balance and is threatened by a continued pressure from population growth

and economic development. Combined with the expected climate change, the efforts against

desertification remain a continuous struggle. Currently, the Mao Wu Su Sand Land to the east of

the Yellow River covers 891,000 hectares covered by sand, of which 150,000 hectares are

drifting or semi-drifting sand dunes. The Tengger Desert in Zhongwei City stretches over

124,000 hectares of sandy land, of which 70,400 hectares are drifting or semi-drifting sand

dunes. These drifting sands are threatening farmland, villages and houses, as well as putting

important infrastructure assets at risk.

4. A combination of ecological vulnerability analysis and assessment of economic

development importance has been used under the project to select seven cities/counties/cities for

inclusion into the project: Pingluo County, Lingwu City, Litong District, Qingtongxia City,

Xingqing District, Yanchi County, and Zhongwei City. Project sites are linked to significant

economic infrastructure in Ningxia: Ningdong Heavy Chemical Energy Base, Yinchuan Hedong

Airport, Xin‘ning Energy and Chemical Base, Zhongwei Xiangshan Airport, Beijing-Tibet

Highway, West to East Gas Pipeline Project, Baotou-Lanzhou Railway, Taiyuan-Zhongwei-

Yinchuan Railway and West to East Electricity Transmission Corridor.

Project Design

5. The project has three components: (a) Controlling Desertification and Degradation; (b)

Protective Shelterbelt Plantations; and (c) Project Management, Capacity Building and M&E.

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The total project cost is estimated at US$114 million, of which US$80 million will be financed

by the IBRD loan; the remaining US$24 million will be provided as counterpart funds. The

project would be implemented over a period of five years. The components include the

following sub-components and activities:

6. Component 1: Controlling Desertification and Degradation (Total Cost: US$89.38

million). This component will address the main drivers of desertification and degradation which

relate to moving sand through wind erosion dynamics and unsustainable land use practices. It

comprises three sub-components:

(a) Moving Sand Stabilization (Total Cost: US$68.50 million). This sub-component will

support the planning, design, and establishment of straw checker boards and the seeding

and planting of indigenous shrub and grass on about 19,000 hectares of moving and semi-

moving sand dune areas, with focus on the Mao Wu Su Desert on the Eastern Bank of the

Yellow River and the Tengger Desert in Zhongwei. Both sand areas are continuously

expanding and encroaching on farm land, human settlements, roads and other

infrastructure. They threaten to impact the course of the Yellow River and thus pose an

additional risk to the stable flow of the river and for the existing infrastructure.

The establishment of straw grids, combined with supportive grass and shrub planting will

allow an initial fixation of the sand. The grids remain intact for about three to five years,

allowing time for the development of the vegetation cover and subsequently for the

permanent stabilization. This stabilization is a long-term process of ecological recovery.

It is sustained through the development of inorganic and organic soil crusts formed by

atmospheric dust, weathering, desert algae and mosses, and the accumulation of organic

matter over time along with the natural succession to shrub vegetation. Planting activities

will be complemented in selected sites by supporting investments in fire control

equipment, construction of fire breaking tracks and passage routes, watch towers, small

scale supplemental but temporary irrigation infrastructure, small buildings for technical

staff and workers, and project information and warning signs.

(b) Degradation Control and Re-vegetation (Total Cost: US$15.44 million). This sub-

component will control and reverse degradation of arid and semi-arid shrub-lands and

steppe areas caused by unsustainable land use, mainly overgrazing, and to restore a

natural protective vegetation cover. Some 42,000 hectares will be closed, protected, and

managed for natural re-vegetation supplemented by shrub planting and assisted

vegetation restoration in all seven project counties. An additional 4,600 hectares will be

planted with trees and shrubs. The sub-component will also support construction of

access tracks, fire breaks, watch towers and other infrastructure required to manage and

monitor the rehabilitated areas.

(c) Integrated Land Management (Total Cost US$5.44 million). This sub-component will

complement sub-components 1(a) and 1(b) by mitigating potential negative impacts on

land users and ensuring acceptance and long-term sustainability of the desertification

control outcomes. It will complement Government policies and programs of supporting a

restructuring of the livestock sector from traditional grazing to pen feeding, and support

the implementation of the project‘s Process Framework to improve acceptance and

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ensure long-term sustainability of project outcomes. It will finance compensatory

investments, such as economic tree plantations and fodder production for livestock where

access restrictions to grazing areas occur. Such alternative livelihood options would be

identified through a participatory process and would be funded under the project. It will

also support the development of long term land management arrangements for all

relevant project sites where such arrangements are feasible.

7. Component 2: Protective Shelterbelt Plantations (Total Cost: US$17.37 million). The objective of this component is to protect key farmland and infrastructure from desertification

by tree and shrub shelterbelt plantations. This component will provide funding for plantation

contracts for a total some 5,500 ha of shelterbelts along roads, irrigation canals and around

agricultural fields and fruit orchards in key strategically selected locations. These plantations

will serve as wind breaks, improve the ecological environment, and help sustain and increase

agricultural yields.

8. Component 3: Project Management, Capacity Building and M&E (Total Cost:

US$6.80 million). This component will support: (a) information and awareness campaigns for

project beneficiaries and stakeholders; (b) the detailed technical design, field implementation and

construction, construction supervision, and final acceptance checks of desertification control

works, safeguards supervision, and project progress reporting; (c) applied research on selected

topics such as desertification control, vegetation restoration, landscape and grazing management,

and other topics that will be demand-driven and identified during implementation; (d) training

and extension for staff of county-level Project Management Offices, and forest farms, as well as

communities and other local stakeholders on the establishment, maintenance and post-

management of desertification control and plantation investments for long-term sustainability;

and (e) desertification control impact monitoring and field demonstration that is integrated into

China‘s national and regional desertification monitoring system.

Specific Design Considerations

9. Site selection. Project sites have been assessed and classified in five categories

according to soil type, site condition, topography, water availability (both precipitation and

ground water) and existing natural vegetation to guide the selection of the most suitable

treatment models for each location. Based on the environmental conditions and strategic

protection importance, key project sites have been identified. A detailed list of project sites and

sub-sites is included in the Project Implementation Manual. Stakeholder interest in project

participation has been solicited during the preparation (social assessment) and voluntary

participation will be ensured through the application of the Process Framework. All sites and

investment activities focus primarily on public benefit plantation/protection and would be

implemented on state land or collective land, which do not require any land acquisition.

10. Treatment models. Seven basic treatment or technical models for desertification control

and vegetation rehabilitation have been designed taking into consideration the purpose of the

treatment and site conditions. The general approach of these models is to build on non-irrigative

plant protection and vegetation establishment. Some temporary watering is required for the

initial stage of plant establishment. In the longer term, however, vegetation cover would develop

based on the existing soil moisture and precipitation regimes without drawing on additional

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ground or surface water exploitation. Only locally adapted indigenous species or species widely

introduced and successfully tested in the project areas will be used. Treatment models, including

specific parameters such as site preparation, species, seedling types, planting densities, and

supplementary activities are described in the Project Implementation Manual.

11. Seedling supply and nursery infrastructure. The project will require about 25 million

seedlings annually during the main implementation period. There are about 2,000 hectares of

nursery gardens in the seven project counties/cities/districts that are supplying an estimated 110

million seedlings annually of a diverse range of species, including various types of broadleaved

and evergreen trees, fruit and economic trees and deciduous arbor trees and shrubs.

12. The existing nursery structure includes private and forest enterprise owned nurseries

(often sub-contracted to household operators) of different size and capacity. The existing

nursery capacity and structure is considered sufficient and flexible to respond to the project

needs. A specific challenge, however, is that the project will require a large number of

indigenous tree, shrub, and grass species that may not yet be readily available in the market. To

allow nursery operators to be ready and be able to respond to the project demand, each PMO will

implement an information dissemination program to all local nursery operators to inform

nurseries well in advance of the project‘s seedling requirements and give sufficient lead time to

expand seedling production and adjust the types of seedlings accordingly. Because the project

will not directly procure seeds and seedlings from nurseries but through contractors for

plantation works, contractors will have to rely on the availability of appropriate seedlings in the

plantation areas.

13. Straw for checkerboards. For the stabilization of drifting sand dunes, straw grids

(checker-boards) will be built covering nearly 20,000 hectares. Checker boards consist of 1x1

meter wide straw grids formed by strips which are about 10-20 centimeters high and 5-10

centimeters wide. Grid construction requires are about 12-15 tons of wheat straw per hectare,

equivalent to a total demand of 240,000-300,000 tons of straw over five years. Ningxia has an

annual wheat production area of some 230,000 hectares, potentially yielding around 300,000-

600,000 tons of straw annually. Straw is traditionally considered a by-product of limited value

in crop production and is often still being burnt on the field. However, its value as a source of

energy or raw material is increasingly recognized. In particular in Ningxia, a significant amount

of straw is harvested and used in the paper industry and for other on-going desertification control

programs. An additional project demand of about 60,000 to 80,000 tons per year (comprising

some 20-30 percent of the existing local production) could have a noticeable impact on the local

straw market.

14. To avoid market distortions, the RPMO will closely monitor the wheat straw market and

price developments and will prepare an annual market report. In case the project has a

significant influence4 of the project on local straw markets, alternative options would be

considered. These could include procuring straw from neighboring provinces or considering the

use of other materials for checker boards (e.g. rice straw).

4 ‗Significant influence‘ will be defined by observed price increases exceeding 20% over the average market prices

for the years 2009 to 2011.

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15. Monitoring long-term impact. The success and impact of desertification control

measures can only be assessed over the longer term, which is beyond the scope of the five-year

project. The project will therefore rely on and use the existing desertification monitoring

institutions and infrastructure and complement them. Specifically, the Ningxia Forestry

Planning and Design Institute, which has the formal mandate and is responsible for the periodic

monitoring and assessment of the Government‘s own programs on desertification control, would

be assigned the task of long-term monitoring. The specific responsibilities of the Institute as

well as the details of the incremental support to be provided through the project, including

supplementary satellite imagery and operational costs, will be detailed at project start-up in a

Memorandum of Agreement between the Ningxia Finance Department, the RPMO and the

Institute.

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Annex 3: Implementation Arrangements

Project Institutional and Implementation Arrangements

1. Regional Leading Group. The Government of the Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region

has established a Regional Leading Group, which is chaired by the Governor of Ningxia and

includes representation from the departments of Finance, the Development and Reform

Commission, Water Resources, Transport, Environmental Protection, Forestry and other line

agencies, to provide overall guidance for foreign funded projects in Ningxia (Chart 1). The

Leading Group will be responsible for providing policy guidance and oversight of the project, for

establishing the regulatory framework for its implementation, and for the performance of the

implementing agencies. The Secretariat of the Leading Group is housed in the Foreign Debt

Management Department of the Ningxia Finance Bureau.

2. Regional Project Management Office (RPMO). A RPMO has been established in the

International Forestry Cooperation Center of the Ningxia Forestry Bureau. The RPMO will be

responsible for the overall coordination of project activities, M&E, and will centralize all

progress, financial, and procurement reporting for the project. Specific responsibilities include:

(a) preparation of consolidated annual implementation and procurement plans; (b) technical

supervision of the quality of outputs, including final check and acceptance; (c) coordination of

training and capacity building, technical exchange, training and studies; (d) coordination and

overall supervision of procurement implementation in the counties; (e) coordination of the

project impact M&E activities with the Ningxia Forest Planning and Design Institute; and (g)

liaison with the Bank for supervision and implementation support.

3. County/city/district Project Management Offices. Each project county, city and

district has established a PMO under the respective forestry bureaus. Main responsibilities

include: (a) formulate the annual work and procurement plans for submission and approval by

the RPMO; (b) implement the annual procurement plans and be responsible for all procurement

for activities to be implemented in the area; (c) be responsible for day-to-day implementation of

project activities; (d) carry out technical training and provide technical guidance to contractors

and staff; (e) supervise the performance of plantation works contractors; (f) carry out final

inspection and acceptance of plantation works; (g) carry out financial reporting in line with

government regulations; (h) prepare periodic physical progress reports to be submitted to the

RPMO for review and consolidation; and (i) under the coordination of the RPMO, participate in

the technical supervision of the project activities and collaborate in the implementation of the

M&E system.

4. Expert Working Group. The Project will enroll a group of qualified and experienced

specialists in key areas of expertise to constitute an Expert Working Group to provide all-around

consulting service for the project and provide technical guidance and support. The expert group

will work directly under the RPMO.

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Chart 1: Project Organizational Arrangements

Financial Management, Disbursement and Procurement

Financial Management

5. Financial management capacity. Designated financial staff with relevant educational

background and work experience has been assigned to the RPMO to be responsible for the

financial reporting and review of disbursement applications at the regional level. At the county

level, the PMOs have assigned dedicated financial staff as well. Most of the project financial

staff in the RPMO and the PMOs does not have experience in the management of Bank-financed

projects. The timely provision of adequate counterpart funds has also been identified as a project

risk. An action plan has therefore been developed to address the main weaknesses in financial

management (Table 1). The financial management risk was assessed as substantial. With the

implementation of the action plan, the residual risk is rated moderate.

Ningxia Government Foreign Debt Management Leading Group

Ningxia Development and

Reform Commission

(PDRC)

Ningxia Finance

Department

(NFD)

Ningxia Forestry Bureau

NFB)

Ningxia Regional Project

Management Office

(RPMO)

County (district, city) DRC County (district, city) Finance

Bureaus

County (district, city)

Forestry Bureaus

County (district, city) Project Implementation Offices

Pingluo PMO

Xingqing PMO

Lingwu PMO

Yanchi PMO

Litong PMO

Qingtongxia PMO

Zhongwei PMO

Consultant

Working Group

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Table 1: Action Plan to Address Weaknesses in Financial Management

Weakness Actions Responsible

Person

Completion

Date

Project financial staff

does not have experience

with Bank financed

projects.

FM training plan to be prepared.

All project financial staff to be trained

before and during project implementation.

NFD and

RPMO

Before and

during project

implementation

A Financial Management Manual has been

prepared to standardize FM procedures and

provide guidance to project financial staff

RPMO and

NFD

August 15, 2011

Lack of timely and

sufficient counterpart

funds

Local government need to confirm that

counterpart funds have been mobilized.

NFD and PMOs During project

implementation

6. Budgeting. Each PMO will prepare an annual project work plan, including an annual

project budget and list of funding sources. Counterpart funds committed by the county, district

and city governments will be reviewed and approved on an annual basis and be included in the

project budgets. A budget variance analysis will be conducted semi-annually to ensure that

project implementation can proceed as planned. The annual work (and budget) plan and the

budget variance analysis will be submitted to the RPMO for review and comments.

7. Accounting and Financial Reporting. The administration, accounting and reporting of

the project will be set up in accordance with Circular No. 13: ―Accounting Regulations for World

Bank Financed Projects‖ issued in January 2000 by MOF. The PMOs will be the lowest level

for project accounting. The RPMO and each of the PMO will be managing, monitoring and

maintaining their respective project accounting records for the activities they execute. Original

supporting documents will be retained by the originating PMO. The Bank will monitor the

accounting process, especially during the initial stage of implementation, to ensure complete and

accurate financial information will be provided in a timely manner.

8. The RPMO and the PMOs will be responsible for project financial reporting. The RPMO

and the PMOs will prepare their stand alone financial statements, which will be reviewed and

consolidated by the RPMO, with assistance from the Ningxia Finance Department, before

submission to the Bank for review. The unaudited semi-annual consolidated project financial

statements will be prepared and furnished to the Bank by the RPMO by March 15 and September

15. , in form and substance satisfactory to the Bank.

9. Internal Control. The Ministry of Finance has issued the relevant accounting policy,

procedures and regulations. The project Financial Management Manual issued by the RPMO

will align the financial management and disbursement requirements among PMOs. In addition,

monitoring by the RPMO and regional and county finance bureaus (which will review each

withdrawal application) and the annual external audit will serve as mechanisms to ensure that

financial management controls are functioning appropriately.

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10. Audit. The Audit Office of the Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region will carry out the

external audit of the project accounts and will issue an annual audit report. The annual audit

report of the project financial statements will be due to the Bank within six months after the end

of each calendar year. This requirement is stipulated in the loan agreement. The RPMO is the

responsible agency to provide the audit report to the Bank.

Disbursement

11. Disbursement Arrangements. Four disbursement methods will be applied under the

project: advance, reimbursement, direct payment and special commitment. Supporting

documents required for different disbursement methods will be documented in the Disbursement

Letter issued by the Bank. The Bank loan would be disbursed against eligible expenditures

(taxes inclusive) as presented in the Table 2.

Table 2: Disbursement Methods

Disbursement Category

IBRD Loan

Allocated Amount

(US$ million)

Percentage of Expenditures to

be Financed

1. Civil Works and Goods 79.00 74

2. Services, Training and

Incremental Operating Cost

0.80 100

3. Front-end-Fees 0.20 100

Total 80.00

12. Fund flow arrangements. A Designated Account, denominated in US dollar, will be

opened at a commercial bank acceptable to the Bank. The Designated Account with be managed

by Ningxia Finance Department. Bank loan proceeds will flow from the Bank into the

Designated Account. Loan proceeds will then be disbursed either to city/district county finance

bureaus and then to city/county/district PMOs or directly to contractors or suppliers based on

withdrawal applications. The finance bureaus at the regional and county levels will be

responsible for reviewing the withdrawal applications for Bank loan reimbursement. Chart 2

below describes the fund flow mechanism.

13. Retroactive financing. Retroactive financing of US$8.0 million will apply for this

project for eligible expenditures commencing February 1, 2012 and is specified in the Loan

Agreement.

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Chart 2: Fund Flow Arrangements

Procurement

14. Capacity assessment. The procurement capacity assessment identified the lack of

experience with World Bank financed projects of the procurement staff in the RPMO and the

PMOs as the principal risk. Mitigation measures include: (a) procurement training provided

during project preparation; (b) preparation of a procurement training plan by the RPMO to train

all procurement staff before and during project implementation; (c) preparation of a Procurement

Manual and issuance by the RPMO to standardize project procurement procedures and provide

guidance to project procurement staff; and (d) procurement agents with experience in World

Bank procurement procedures recruited by the RPMO or the PMOs to assist with procurement

planning and implementation. Overall procurement risk is considered ‗substantial‘.

15. Applicable guidelines. Procurement will be carried out in accordance with the

―Guidelines: Procurement of Goods, Works and Non-Consulting Services under IBRD Loans

and IDA Credits & Grants by World Bank Borrowers‖ dated January 2011; and ―Guidelines:

Selection and Employment of Consultants by World Bank Borrowers‖ dated January 2011; and

the provisions stipulated in the Loan Agreement. NCB shall be carried out in accordance with the

Law on Tendering and Bidding of the People’s Republic of China promulgated by Order of the

President of the People‘s Republic of China on August 30, 1999 subject to the modifications

stipulated in the Legal Agreement in order to ensure consistency with Bank Procurement

Guidelines.

Contractor/

Supplier

PMOs

WA Flow

Funds Flow

World Bank

NFD

CFBs

RPMO

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16. Procurement of Works. Works procured under this project will include: (a)

establishment of straw checker boards combined with indigenous shrub and grass seeding and

planting; (b) enclosure, protection and management of heavily degraded arid and semi-arid areas

and natural re-vegetation supplemented by shrub planting and assisted vegetation restoration; (c)

plantation of shelterbelts along roads, irrigation canals and around agricultural fields and fruit

orchards in selected locations; and (d) construction of access tracks, fire breaks, watch towers

and small buildings for staff and workers, and project information and warning signs.

Procurement will be conducted using the Bank‘s Standard Bidding Documents for all

International Competitive Bidding (ICB) and National Model Bidding Documents agreed with or

satisfactory to the Bank for all National Competitive Bidding (NCB).

17. Planting/seeding would be procured under single responsibility civil works contracts.

The contractor would be responsible for purchasing and planting of trees, indigenous shrub and

seedlings, in order to ensure the survival of the trees and indigenous shrub and seedlings planted.

18. Procurement of Goods. Goods procured under this project will include office and

monitoring equipment for the PMOs and the RPMO. Procurement will be done using the Bank‘s

Standard Bidding Documents for all ICB and National Model Bidding Documents agreed with or

satisfactory to the Bank for all NCB.

19. Selection of Consultants. Consulting services will include: (a) consulting services for

the supervision and acceptance checks of plantation works; (b) project M&E of implementation

achievements and environmental and socio-economic impacts; and (c) applied research and

demonstrations. Chinese universities and research institutes may be included in shortlists as a

source of consultants, provided they possess the relevant qualifications and they are not in a

conflict of interest situation. In such cases, QBS or CQS (for small assignments) would be used,

if the shortlist also includes consulting firms.

20. Training and Workshops. Plans for training and workshops will be developed by the

RPMO and the PMOs, and included in project annual work plan for Bank review. Expenditures

incurred in accordance with the approved plans for training and workshops will be the basis for

reimbursement.

21. Procurement Plan. A Procurement Plan for the first 18 months of project

implementation has been prepared by the PMOs and consolidated by the RPMO and found

acceptable by the Bank. It will be made available in the project‘s database and on the Bank‘s

external website. The Procurement Plan will be updated annually or as required to reflect

implementation needs and improvements in institutional capacity.

22. Frequency of Procurement Supervision. Prior review supervision will be carried out

through the World Bank office in Beijing. During the first year of implementation, the first civil

works contract in every county will be subject to prior review, regardless of the contract value.

Ex-post procurement reviews will be carried out by the Bank every 12 months. The ex-post

review sampling ratio will be one out of five contracts.

23. Prior-Review Thresholds. The prior-review thresholds are indicated in the table 3

below.

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Table 3: Procurement Thresholds

Note: (a) ―—‖ refers to No Threshold; and (b) there are no contracts subject to international competition during the

first 18 months.

24. Retroactive financing. Civil works expected to be procured under retroactive financing

are included in the Procurement Plan and will be subject to 100% prior review.

Environmental and Social Aspects (including safeguards)

25. The project is a Category B project. The project is designed to generate significant

positive environmental impacts in the project areas and to result in improvements of the

ecological environment in Ningxia. Negative impacts are unlikely to materialize because of the

long-term experience with desertification control and protection activities in Ningxia and the

detailed preparation work undertaken during project design. Applicable environmental

safeguard policies include: Environmental Assessment (OP4.01); Natural Habitats (OP4.04); and

Pest Management (OP4.09).

26. Environmental Assessment (OP4.01). An Environmental Assessment was conducted in

accordance with Bank Operational Policy OP4.01 and national regulations and a comprehensive

Environmental Assessment Report was prepared. The assessment includes an analysis of

potential positive and negative impacts, an assessment of the various options of shrub and grass

species, planting models, planting sites selection, an alternative project analysis, a description of

mitigation measures, and an environmental monitoring plan that is integrated into the project‘s

overall M&E approach. It documents the public consultation carried out during preparation.

27. The Environmental Assessment concluded that the project will bring significant positive

impacts to the natural and socio-economic environments. The project would yield these benefits

through stabilizing the moving sands in project areas, restoring and increasing natural vegetation

cover, protecting key farmland areas and other measures. Project activities have been designed

in ways to avoid or minimize adverse impacts on the physical environment. Environmental

Protection Guidelines have been developed that specify mitigation measures in case negative

impacts materialize. With the proper implementation of the pre-designed desertification control

and planting models and adherence to these guidelines, negative environmental impacts can be

avoided.

Prior Review

Thresholds

(US$

million)

Procurement/Selection Method Thresholds (US$ million)

ICB NCB Shopping QCBS QBS CQS

Least

Cost SSS

Goods ≥0.3 ≥1.0 <1.0 <0.1

Works ≥5.0 ≥20 <20 <0.2

Consulting

Services

≥0.1 for

firms

≥0.05 for

individuals

All for SSS

-- -- <0.3 -- --

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28. Natural Habitats (OP4.04). A number of project sites selected for natural vegetation

rehabilitation and restoration include habitats of Ammopiptanthus mongolicus, an evergreen

xerophyte shrub indigenous to the desert areas of Western China, including Ningxia. This

species is also classified as a second class protected plant by the Chinese Government. Despite

the current status of severe degradation, these areas still represent valuable natural habitats. The

Environmental Assessment and the Environmental Management Guidelines describe the current

status of these habitats in Ningxia and within the project area as well as the threats to these

habitats that will be addressed by the project. The Guidelines also describe the specific treatment

models and measures to successfully rehabilitate these natural vegetation communities and

ecosystems. No conversion of the A. mongolicus steppe areas is foreseen under the project.

29. Pest Management (OP4.09). The establishment and the management of protective

plantings and shelterbelts may require the control of pest and diseases and the use of pesticides

and/or herbicides. The project will improve current pest management practices in the project

areas through: (a) promoting the primary use of Integrated Pest Management; (b) the use of the

application of high efficiency biological pesticides, and where needed, low toxic, low residual

effect chemicals; and (c) prohibiting the use of high toxic, high residual effect pesticides; (d)

reducing the reliance on chemical pesticides and chemical fertilizers; and (e) promoting the use

of non-chemical technologies for insect and pest control.

30. In accordance with OP4.09, a Pest Management Plan has been prepared. It describes the

overall policy framework and institutional responsibilities for pest management and control in

Ningxia, includes an environmental, occupational health and safety risk assessment. It also

describes a range of pest and disease control and management methods, including Integrated Pest

Management, and the scope of their recommended application in various situations. The Plan

also provides a list of pesticides and herbicides that may be required under the project potentially

and are in compliance with the provisions of the World Health Organization‘s recommended

categories. The Plan also includes detailed provisions for training of project stakeholders and a

monitoring program. Implementation of the training and monitoring programs has been included

in the project budget.

31. Arrangements for environmental monitoring. The Environmental Monitoring Plan

included in the Environmental Assessment and the provisions of the Environmental Protection

Guidelines and Pest Management Plan provide the framework for the project‘s compliance

monitoring with the environmental safeguards. Responsibility for such compliance monitoring

rests with the RPMO, the Ningxia Forestry Design and Planning Institute, and the PMOs. The

specific arrangements for environmental compliance monitoring are detailed in the Project

Implementation Manual.

32. Involuntary Resettlement (OP4.12). No involuntary resettlement or land acquisition is

expected under the project. The project will, however, involve the protection of open access

degraded steppe and grassland areas through hill closures. Such closures will reinforce the

Government‘s closure policy and general ban on grazing and may result in access restrictions to

resource use on those lands. It is expected that a total area of around 42,000 hectares will be

closed for vegetation rehabilitation and protection (Component 1(b)). The resulting access

restrictions to these open areas may affect 24 villages and 5 forestry farms with a total population

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of 23,250 people. The Bank‘s policy on Involuntary Resettlement (OP 4.12) will therefore be

applicable.

33. Social Assessment. As part of the overall due diligence process, a Social Assessment

Study was carried out during project preparation to identify the specific risks or potentially

adverse impacts to local people in project-affected areas. The social assessment focused on

those sites that have been selected for hill closure and vegetation rehabilitation. Project-

supported closures will reinforce the official hill closure policy and ban on grazing and thus may

result in the reinforcement of access restrictions to these open access lands with some livelihood

implications. The assessment included an analysis of local livelihood conditions and an

assessment of potential impacts of hill closures on households in project areas. The assessment

also included detailed field surveys and consultations with farmers on collective land and state

farm workers on state farms of all seven project counties. Although the hill closure sites are not

legally designated protected areas under Bank OP4.12, the social assessment defined various

safeguard measures to mitigate and offset potential negative impacts and provide livelihood

alternatives. These measures have been integrated in the project design (Component 1(c)).

34. Process Framework. A Process Framework has been developed to provide a framework

for household participation in project implementation and guide the implementation of the social

safeguards measures. The framework defines the mechanisms for information dissemination,

training, and the participation of affected people in the design and implementation of

compensatory measures to restore income losses. It also sets forth appropriate compensatory and

mitigation measures to ensure people‘s livelihoods are compensated and negative livelihood

impacts brought about by the project are avoided or mitigated. The framework sets forth a

number of livelihood activities to choose from, such as pen-breeding and feedlot construction,

fodder production and storage, rotational grazing, remunerative labor input to project activities,

and economic tree planting. The Process Framework also sets forth the provision for social

impact monitoring and includes a complaints handling mechanism. Responsibility for social

impact monitoring rests with the RPMO and the PMOs.

35. Public consultation and disclosure. In accordance with the Bank‘s disclosure policy,

consultations with project-affected people were conducted during the Environmental/Social

Assessment processes during July-October 2010 and during July-September 2011 and are

documented in the respective reports. Public participation under the Environmental Assessment

process included the publication and dissemination of project information in project areas (in

July 2010 and October 2010), solicitation of feedback on overall project design and technical

models during several occasions, and a separate questionnaire survey covering all seven project

counties/districts/cities and over 500 households. Results of the survey confirmed the public‘s

perception of the current bad environmental conditions and the strong support to the project. The

public consultation process under the Social Impact Assessment involved interviews with

government, forest farms, and local villagers, mapping and rapid rural appraisals, analysis of

stakeholder demands and expectations and consultations on the process and principles for

participation.

36. The Environmental and Social Assessment Reports, including the Environmental

Protection Guidelines, the Pest Management Plan, and the Process Framework were reviewed by

the Bank as part of project appraisal and disclosed locally in the project areas in Ningxia (in

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November and December 2011), at the central government in Beijing, and in the Bank‘s

InfoShop.

Monitoring and Evaluation

37. Input-output monitoring. Responsibility for physical progress (input-output)

monitoring rests with the PMOs at the county/city/district levels. The quality of all works

implemented under the project will be checked, and if technical standards are met, accepted by

the PMOs. The PMOs will be responsible for construction supervision and acceptance checking

of 100 percent of the (checker board/planting/seeding) works contracts implemented in their

respective areas, in accordance with government procedures and guidelines. The PMOs will also

prepare semi-annual progress reports, which will be consolidated by the RPMO.

38. The RPMO will check and verify at least 30 percent of all works based on random

selection. The RPMO will engage a construction supervision agency or agent to carry out such

random checks, but will retain the responsibility for ensuring timely progress reporting to the

Bank and for the accuracy of the information. To facilitate random field checks, detailed maps

and tables with all project activities geo-referenced and coded have been be prepared during

project preparation. These will be further detailed and confirmed during detailed design. The

location of individual project activities will be marked with coordinates. Remote-sensing

technology, in particular the Global Positioning System, will be used to verify field works. The

quality and accuracy of project works would be assured by assigning clear responsibilities within

the PMO management structure. Specific implementation arrangements and institutional

responsibilities are detailed in the Project Implementation Manual.

39. Impact Monitoring and Evaluation. Desertification monitoring in China is

implemented by the Desertification Monitoring Center of the Forestry Surveying and Planning

Institute of the State Forestry Administration. The Center was established with the responsibility

to: (a) formulate technical methods for desertification monitoring, data processing and

management, and forecasting of desertification trends; (b) guide the establishment of local

desertification monitoring systems; and (c) prepare national and regional desertification project

feasibility reports and progress reports. The Center has developed the: ―China Desertification

Monitoring Technical Regulations‖ and ―China Desertification Monitoring Indicator System‖.

Every five years, the center carries out a country-wide desertification survey and assessment; the

latest was carried out in 2009. At the Ningxia regional level, the Ningxia Forestry Planning and

Design Institute is the direct counterpart of the national level Desertification Monitoring Center.

The Institute has the official mandate for the periodic assessments of the Government‘s

desertification control programs in Ningxia.

40. Impact monitoring under the project will be integrated into the Government‘s existing

impact monitoring. It will be based on standard remote sensing technologies, field verification

(permanent plots), and will apply existing monitoring protocols for desertification control.

Specifically, for the purpose of project monitoring, the Ningxia Finance Department and the

RPMO will sign a Memorandum of Agreement with the Ningxia Forestry Planning and Design

Institute at project start-up or, alternatively, recruit qualified consultants. This agreement or

terms of reference will detail: (a) the list of indicators, which would include at least all indicators

listed in the project results framework as survey indicators; (b) sample size and sampling

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methods; (c) frequency of data collection; and (d) reporting format. The details of the

incremental support to be provided through the project, such as supplementary satellite imagery

for project sites, and incremental operational costs, would be confirmed at project start-up.

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Annex 4 Operational Risk Assessment Framework (ORAF)

China: Ningxia Desertification Control and Ecological Protection Project (P121289)

Project Stakeholder Risks

Stakeholder Risk Rating Low

Description: Risk Management:

The Project is integrated into the Regional Government‘s strategy of desertification

control, ecological rehabilitation, and economic development. The project also supports

national targets. There is strong commitment from the Regional Government to the project as is reflected in government strategic documents and program.

Public perception of this project in the country, and particularly among local stakeholders, is expected to be positive because of the beneficial environmental impacts expected.

The Bank team will discuss desertification issues with central, regional, and county level governments on a regular basis to confirm

complementarity between government policies, plans, and activities and the project.

Resp: Bank Stage: Implementation Due Date: 31-Mar-2018 Status: Not Yet Due

Implementing Agency (IA) Risks (including Fiduciary Risks)

Capacity Rating Substantial

Description: Risk Management:

The RPMO and PMOs have only limited experience with Bank-financed projects and

need to develop and implement the required management, FM, procurement, and

reporting systems. Other capacity risks include:

(1) Limited experience in contract management. (2) Weak FM and procurement capacity

(3) Inter-departmental coordination issues.

(3) Phasing of project activities due to the seasonality of the planting program. (4) Possible counterpart funding shortages or delays.

Preparation and application of the detailed Project Implementation Manual, that describes the implementation procedures and

responsibilities, activity sequencing, project monitoring and reporting, procurement, financial management and other important

implementation aspects. Continuous training, particularly on procurement and financial management. Regular and on-demand Bank supervision and implementation support, including extensive prior review of procurement activities during the first year of

implementation.

Resp: Bank Stage: Implementation Due Date: 31-Mar-2018 Status: Not Yet Due

Governance Rating Low

Description: Risk Management:

A strong overall governance framework for project implementation is place. A Governor-

level leading group will oversee overall project implementation and provide policy

guidance. The Ningxia Finance Department is fully involved in financial management of

project funds.

Regular and on-demand supervision, with particular focus on ownership, commitment, accountability, and decision making, especially

on procurement and financial management.

Resp: Bank Stage: Implementation Due Date: 31-Mar-2018 Status: Not Yet Due

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Project Risks

Design Rating Low

Description: Risk Management:

The technical design of the project is straightforward and is based on prior experience in

Ningxia. Project activities will be concentrated in a small number of counties in Ningxia

and project sites have been identified. The models for desertification control and rehabilitation are tested.

The Project Leading Group and the RPMO will monitor implementation closely. Regular Bank supervision will monitor

implementation closely and identify any need for design changes or adjustment.

Resp: Bank Stage: Implementation Due Date: 31-Mar-2018 Status: Not Yet Due

Social and Environmental Rating Low

Description: Risk Management:

Environmental: Negative impacts may occur only, if the project is not properly

implemented, for example, because of selection of unsuitable plantation models and species, insufficient consideration of hydrological aspects of vegetation establishment,

poor site management, uncontrolled use of pesticides.

Social: Hill closures will reinforce the Government‘s general grazing ban. The resulting

access restrictions may affect 24 villages and 5 forestry farms.

Environmental:

Project sites have been carefully screened for maximum positive environmental impact in strategic locations. Possibly negative impacts of temporary nature will be managed through the implementation of the Environmental Protection Guidelines, Environmental

Monitoring Plan, and Pest Management Plan.

Social: The RPMO and the Bank team will carefully supervise: (a) the implementation of the Process Framework developed as part of the

Social Assessment and consultation process; and (b) implementation of compensatory measures under sub-component 1(c).

Resp: Client Stage: Implementation Due Date: 31-Mar-2018 Status: Not Yet Due

Program and Donor Rating Low

Description: Risk Management:

The project is free-standing and does not involve other donor or government activities.

The project can benefit from coordination with other ongoing programs.

The task team will liaise with Ningxia and other donors active in Ningxia on related activities during regular supervision.

Resp: Bank Stage: Implementation Due Date: 31-Mar-2018 Status: Not Yet Due

Delivery Monitoring and Sustainability Rating Moderate

Description: Risk Management:

Underdeveloped skills in project management and, in particular, limited experience in

procurement and contract management.

Input-output monitoring is based on standard government procedures and impact monitoring has been outsourced to the Ningxia Forestry Design and Planning Institute for

integration into an existing government M&E program.

Institutional and technical capacity to maintain project investments is well developed and

government programs are sufficiently funded to help maintain project outcomes.

Continuous training on procurement and financial management will be carried out. The County PMOs will recruit procurement agents

to assist procurement and contract management during the initial implementation phase. During the first year of implementation, all first civil works contracts regardless of contract value will be subjected to the Bank‘s prior review.

Resp: Bank Stage: Implementation Due Date: 31-Mar-2018 Status: Not Yet Due

Overall Risk

Preparation Risk Rating: Moderate Implementation Risk Rating: Moderate

Description:

Overall project management capacity was considered relatively weak at PCN stage. Capacity gaps and the inexperience with the Bank‘s fiduciary policies and procedures were to be taken into consideration by simplifying the

project design, training, and the development of clear manuals and procedures.

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Annex 5: Implementation Support Plan

Strategy and approach

1. Weak implementation capacity of the RPMO and the PMOs has been identified as the

key risk to implementation. Bank implementation support will focus on assisting the client in

strengthening implementation capacity, particularly in financial management and procurement,

immediately following project start-up. Frequent supervision early on during the first half of the

implementation period is expected to effectively assist the client to be in compliance with Bank

FM and procurement policies and procedures. In addition, Bank support will focus on building

capacity of the client through ensuring that the required training and capacity building measures

in financial management and procurement are being implemented quickly and will be continued

if needed.

2. Procurement capacity building will include: (a) the preparation and implementation of a

procurement training plan by the RPMO to train all procurement staff during project

implementation (including refresher training); and (b) the issuance of the Procurement Manual

by the RPMO to standardize project procurement procedures and provide guidance to project

procurement staff. The Bank team will ensure that procurement training is implemented as

planned and PMOs are required to attend Bank-organized procurement training.

3. In FM, the Bank team will supervise the implementation of the FM training plan and pay

specific attention to the timely provision of the required counterpart funds. The FM specialist

will ensure that counterpart funds committed by the Regional level as well as county, district and

city governments will be included in annual sectoral budgets. A budget variance analysis will be

conducted semi-annually. If needed, necessary remedial actions will be taken to make sure that

project implementation can proceed as planned. Standard provision on interim financial

reporting and external audit apply and their compliance will be monitored.

4. Specific technical expertise on desertification control, M&E, and economic aspects will

be mobilized during regular semi-annually supervision missions. The challenges associated with

the timely planning and careful phasing of activities to match the seasonality of the plantation

program will be monitored by the Bank‘s technical specialists during routine supervision. The

team‘s environmental specialist will monitor compliance with environmental safeguards and

adherence to the provisions of the Environmental Management Guidelines and Pest Management

Plan as well as Environmental Monitoring Program. The Bank‘s social specialist will pay

particular attention to the implementation of the Process Framework under component 1 (c) and

supervise PMO performance in monitoring livelihood impacts from access restrictions and

corresponding compensatory measures and benefits to local communities. Field visits are

required on a semi-annual basis. The Bank‘s task team leader and most of the team members are

based in Beijing and can provide timely and on-demand implementation support to the client

when needed.

5. An overview of the focus and timing of Bank support is presented in Table 1 and the

required skill mix in Table 2.

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Table 1: Supervision input requirements.

Time Focus Skills Needed

Resource

Estimate

(annually, in

staff weeks)

First twelve

months

Task and team leadership TTL 6 SW

Technical support to overall

project implementation

Technical Specialist/

Economist 6 SW

Process Framework

Implementation

Social Specialist 2 SW

EMP Implementation Environmental Specialist 1 SW

Financial Management FM specialist 2 SW

Procurement Procurement Specialist 2 SW

12-48 months Task and team leadership TTL 10 SW

Technical support to overall

project implementation

Technical Specialist/

Economist 20 SW

Process Framework

Implementation

Social Specialist 8 SW

EMP Implementation Environmental Specialist 4 SW

Financial Management FM specialist 6 SW

Procurement Procurement Specialist 8 SW

Table 2: Skill Mix

Skills Needed Number of Staff

Weeks

Number of

Trips Remark

TTL/ Rangeland Management/

Environment/ Desertification

Control

6 SWs annually 2 Bank staff

Agriculture economics 8 SWs annually 2 Bank staff / Consultants

Procurement 2 SWs annually 1-2 Country-office based

Social Development 2 SWs annually 1-2 Country-office based

Environmental Management 1 SW annually 1 Country-office based

Financial Management 2 SWs annually 1-2 Country-office based

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NEI MONGOL

SHAANXI

GANSU

NINGXIA

GANSU

Yanchianchi

CaijialiangCaijialiang

QingtongxiaQingtongxia

R.(H

uang

H

e)

Yellow

ToWuhai

ToWuqi

ToQinyang

ToQinyang

ToJingchuan

ToJingning

ToLanzhou

ToLanzhou

Helan

Yanchi

Haiyuan

Xiji

Longde

Jingyuan

Pengyang

Zhongning

Taoshankou

Machenghe

Guojiagou

MaojiagouYanchuanzi

Xiasi

Yingpanshui

Tongxin

YongningLinhe

Lingwu

Qingtongxia

Taole

Pingluo

Shizuishan

QingtongxiaQingtongxia((YYellow R. Bridge)ellow R. Bridge) Wanglejing

Fengjigou

Hui'anpu

Xingren Datanchuan

Xinzhuangi

Taiyangshan

Wanquanliang

Niumaojing

Gaoshawo

CaijialiangHuiminxiangGuyaozi

Qingtongxia(Yellow R. Bridge)

Xinqiao

Huinong Qu

Guyuan

Wuzhong

Yinchuan

YinchuanHedongAirport

106°

105°

107°

39°

38°

37°

36°

107°106°105°

36°

37°

38°

39°

IBRD 39020

JAN

UA

RY 2012

0 10 20 30 40 50

KILOMETERS

PROJECT AREAS

EXPRESSWAYS

NATIONAL ROADS

RAILROADS

AIRPORT

GREAT WALL

RIVERS

CITIES AND TOWNS

COUNTY CAPITALS

PREFECTURE CAPITALS

PROVINCE CAPITAL

COUNTY BOUNDARIES

PREFECTURE BOUNDARIES

PROVINCE BOUNDARIES

CHINANINGXIA

DESERTIFICATION CONTROLAND

ECOLOGICAL PROTECTIONPROJECT

This map was produced by the Map Design Unit of The World Bank. The boundaries, colors, denominations and any other information shown on this map do not imply, on the part of The World Bank Group, any judgment on the legal status of any territory, or any endorsement or acceptance of such boundaries.

BEIJING

HEILONGJIANG

JILIN

LIAONING

NEI MONGOL

HEBEI

BEIJING

TIANJIN

SHANXI

SHAANXIGANSU

QINGHAI

XINJIANG

XIZANG

SHANDONG

HENANANHUI

JIANGSU

ZHEJIANG

SHANGHAI

SICHUAN

CHO

NGQIN

G HUBEI

GUIZHOU

HUNANJIANGXI

FUJIAN

GUANGXI GUANGDONGTAIWAN

HAINAN

YUNNAN

HONG KONGMACAO

RUSSIANFEDERATION

MONGOLIA

JAPAN

PHILIPPINES

VIETNAMMYANMAR

LAO

REP. OFKOREA

D.P.R. OFKOREA

P.D.R.

Sea ofJapan

YellowSea

EastChinaSea

PACIFICOCEAN

National Capital

ProvinceBoundaries

InternationalBoundaries

NINGXIA