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The Value of The Value of Information in Information in Changing Markets Changing Markets Barbara Mariner-Volpe Barbara Mariner-Volpe Energy Information Administration Energy Information Administration U.S. Department of Energy U.S. Department of Energy September 23, 1997 September 23, 1997 NARUC/DOE Natural Gas Conference NARUC/DOE Natural Gas Conference Energy Information Administration

The Value of Information in Changing Markets Barbara Mariner-Volpe Energy Information Administration Energy Information Administration U.S. Department

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Page 1: The Value of Information in Changing Markets Barbara Mariner-Volpe Energy Information Administration Energy Information Administration U.S. Department

The Value of Information The Value of Information in Changing Marketsin Changing Markets

Barbara Mariner-VolpeBarbara Mariner-Volpe Energy Information AdministrationEnergy Information Administration

U.S. Department of EnergyU.S. Department of Energy

September 23, 1997September 23, 1997

NARUC/DOE Natural Gas ConferenceNARUC/DOE Natural Gas Conference

Energy Information Administration

Page 2: The Value of Information in Changing Markets Barbara Mariner-Volpe Energy Information Administration Energy Information Administration U.S. Department

MarketersMarketersBrokersBrokersTradersTraders

OPERATORSOPERATORS

ProducersProducersPipelinePipelineStorageStorageLDCsLDCs

Diverse Users ...Diverse Users ...

Trade Press and MediaTrade Press and Media

FINANCIALFINANCIAL

Risk ManagersRisk ManagersInvestorsInvestors

CONSUMERSCONSUMERS

Information Information AggregatorsAggregators

Market Market PlayersPlayers

GovernmentGovernment

Energy Information Administration

Page 3: The Value of Information in Changing Markets Barbara Mariner-Volpe Energy Information Administration Energy Information Administration U.S. Department

CONSUMERSCONSUMERSPricePriceTerms and Quality of ServiceTerms and Quality of ServiceAlternative Fuel PricesAlternative Fuel PricesLong-term AvailabilityLong-term Availability

Spot PricesSpot PricesFutures PricesFutures PricesSupply/DemandSupply/DemandForecastsForecastsMarket AnalysisMarket Analysis

MARKETERSMARKETERSSpot PricesSpot PricesFutures PricesFutures PricesStorage Storage ChangesChangesSupply Supply DemandDemandWeatherWeather

ReservesReservesFlow RatesFlow RatesNominationsNominationsReceipts/DeliveriesReceipts/DeliveriesWeatherWeatherPricesPrices

……With Diverse Information NeedsWith Diverse Information Needs

Information Information AggregatorsAggregators

Market Market PlayersPlayers

GovernmentGovernment Trade Press and MediaTrade Press and Media

OPERATORSOPERATORS FINANCIALFINANCIAL

Energy Information Administration

Page 4: The Value of Information in Changing Markets Barbara Mariner-Volpe Energy Information Administration Energy Information Administration U.S. Department

NominationsNominations Futures/Options, SwapsFutures/Options, Swaps Capacity TradingCapacity Trading Load BalancingLoad Balancing Hub ManagementHub Management Risk ManagementRisk Management RebundlingRebundling

Market information Market information needed to support:needed to support:

With Restructuring, Information Needs Have With Restructuring, Information Needs Have Grown ExponentiallyGrown Exponentially Natural Gas

Production

PRODUCERSPRODUCERS

PIPELINESPIPELINES

DISTRIBUTORS

MARKETERSMARKETERS

BROKERSBROKERS

TRADERSTRADERS

MARKET HUBSMARKET HUBS

Residential Commercial Industral Vehicle Fuel Electric UtilityResidential Commercial Industral Vehicle Fuel Electric Utility

Energy Information Administration

Storage

Page 5: The Value of Information in Changing Markets Barbara Mariner-Volpe Energy Information Administration Energy Information Administration U.S. Department

Energy Information Administration

Information Infrastructure and Information Infrastructure and Industry ChangesIndustry Changes

Futuresmarket

EBB’s ,

Weeklystorageestimate

s.

Electronicauctions

1997Internet

Order636

Spotmarket ?GISB,

EDI

Order

436

1985 1990 1992

1994

1996

1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1997 Future

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

(Do

lla

rs p

er

Th

ou

sa

nd

Cu

bic

Fe

et)

Na

tura

l G

as W

ellh

ea

d P

rice

01996

Monthly

Annual

Page 6: The Value of Information in Changing Markets Barbara Mariner-Volpe Energy Information Administration Energy Information Administration U.S. Department

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

Jul-95 Oct-95 Jan-96 Apr-96 Jul-96 Oct-96 Jan-97 Apr-97 Jul-97

Unique Daily Users of the EIA Web SiteUnique Daily Users of the EIA Web Site

Energy Information Administration

Page 7: The Value of Information in Changing Markets Barbara Mariner-Volpe Energy Information Administration Energy Information Administration U.S. Department

WeeklyWeeklyMarketMarket

UpdateUpdate

EIA's SpecializedNatural GasGeographicInformation

System(EIAGIS-NG)

NaturalNatural Gas Gas

http://www.eia.doe.gov

Page 8: The Value of Information in Changing Markets Barbara Mariner-Volpe Energy Information Administration Energy Information Administration U.S. Department

EIA Information - Valuable Support to EIA Information - Valuable Support to Many Energy Market ActivitiesMany Energy Market Activities

Energy Information Administration

EIA EIA InformationInformation

ComprehensiveComprehensive

AccurateAccurateTrend AnalysisTrend Analysis

ForecastingForecasting

Market AssessmentMarket Assessment

ProductsProducts

Market Market ActivitiesActivities

Page 9: The Value of Information in Changing Markets Barbara Mariner-Volpe Energy Information Administration Energy Information Administration U.S. Department

EIA’s Goal :EIA’s Goal : Cultivate Cultivate Partnerships Partnerships

We Want Your Input We Want Your Input

Energy Information Administration