8
The Valuation of an Equity-Linked Life Insurance Using the Theory of Indifference Pricing Jungmin Choi Abstract—This study addresses the valuation problem of an equity-linked term life insurance in two mortality models - a deterministic mortality and a stochastic mortality. For each case, the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) Partial Differential Equation (PDE) for the corresponding utility function is derived with a continuous time model, and the principle of equivalent utility is applied to obtain a PDE for the indifferent price of the premium when an exponential utility function is employed. Numerical examples are performed with Gompertz’s law of mortality for the deterministic model and with a mean-reverting Brownian Gompertz (MRBG) process for the stochastic model. Index Terms—Equity-Linked Life Insurance, indifference pricing, stochastic mortality. I. I NTRODUCTION T HIS study focuses on the valuation problem of an equity-linked term life insurance using the theory of indifference pricing. In addition to a mortality risk like any other life insurance product, an equity-linked term life insurance has a market risk from the underlying asset. In recent years, insurers have offered more flexible life insurance products that combine the death benefit coverage with an investment component, to compete with other forms of the policy holder’s savings, for example, mutual funds or banks. An equity-linked life insurance product can offer a benefit from the performance of an underlying asset by defining the death benefit to depend on the account value of the underlying asset. The pricing and hedging problem of the equity-linked life insurance has been investigated extensively, and it is well summarized by Melnikov and Romanyuk [12]. As mentioned in their article, insurance firms do not consider the mortality risk in valuation of the policies nor adopt adequate mortality rates. This leads to an overpricing or underpricing of the premiums and the burden falls on the customers or the firm itself. Young [19] considered the same problem using the theory of indifference pricing when the mortality rate is computed using Gompertz’s law of mortality. The purpose of this study is to extend their idea to include a stochastic mortality rate. Indifference pricing, also known as reservation pricing or private valuation, is a method of pricing financial derivatives with regard to a utility function. It is one of the pricing tools in incomplete financial markets, and it uses the principle of equivalent utility. Utility functions are widely used for problems in pricing and hedging of financial derivatives, see [8] and [15], for example. Utility indifference pricing was first introduced by Hodges and Neuberger [6] when they considered transaction costs in replicating contingent claims. The main idea of indifference pricing is that by comparing the maximal expected utilities with and without a Jungmin Choi is with the department of Mathematics at East Carolina University, Greenville, North Carolina, USA. (email: [email protected]) contingent claim, one can find a value of the price function which is indifferent to the existence of the contingent claim. This idea was used to price insurance risks in a dynamic financial market setting by Young and Zariphopoulou [20] using an exponential utility. The same idea was extended by Young [19] to study an equity-indexed life insurance, and the derived PDE for premiums and reserves generalized the Black-Scholes equation by including a nonlinear term reflecting the nonhedgeable mortality risk. We will adopt their model to study the indifference pricing of an equity- indexed life insurance with two different mortality risk models: a deterministic and a stochastic. Indifference pricing is also used in pricing problems in an incomplete market. The valuation of options in a stochastic volatility model for stock price using indifference pricing was studied by Sircar and Sturm [18] and Kumar [7]. Stochastic mortality became important especially for the mortality contingent claim. In [14], Milevsky and Promislow studied the pricing problem of an option to annuitize when considering stochastic mortality rates and stochastic interest rates. They also studied how to hedge an option to annuitize using pure endowments, default free bonds, and life insur- ance contracts. Variable annuities under stochastic mortality were also considered by Ballotta and Haberman [1]. Pricing, reserving and hedging of a guaranteed annuity option (GAO) valuation problem was studied when mortality risk was incorporated via a stochastic model of the underlying hazard rates. Assuming a stochastic mortality that is independent of the financial risk, a general pricing model was proposed, and the Monte Carlo method was used for the estimation of the value of GAO. Their stochastic mortality model was also used by Piscopo and Haberman [16], who considered a Guaranteed Lifelong Withdrawal Benefits (GLWB) contract under the hypothesis of a predetermined withdrawal amount. The valuation approach was based on the decomposition of the product into living and death benefits, and a no arbitrage model was used to derive the valuation formula, with a fixed mortality and a stochastic mortality. Indifference pricing of mortality contingent claims was in- vestigated by Ludkovsky and Young [10] with both stochastic hazard rates in the population mortality and the stochastic interest rates. The resulting PDEs were linear for pure endowments and temporary life annuities in a continuous time model, and it was found that the price-per-risk increases as more contracts are sold. A study of the indifference pricing of a traditional life insurance and pension products portfolio with stochastic mortality was presented by Delong [5], when a financial market consists of a risk-free asset with a constant rate of return and a risky asset whose price is driven by a Levy process. He applied techniques from stochastic control theory to solve the optimization problems. In this paper, we consider the pricing problem of an equity- IAENG International Journal of Applied Mathematics, 46:4, IJAM_46_4_10 (Advance online publication: 26 November 2016) ______________________________________________________________________________________

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Page 1: The Valuation of an Equity-Linked Life Insurance Using the ...Index Terms—Equity-Linked Life Insurance, indifference pricing, stochastic mortality. I. INTRODUCTION THIS study focuses

The Valuation of an Equity-Linked Life InsuranceUsing the Theory of Indifference Pricing

Jungmin Choi

Abstract—This study addresses the valuation problem of anequity-linked term life insurance in two mortality models - adeterministic mortality and a stochastic mortality. For eachcase, the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) Partial DifferentialEquation (PDE) for the corresponding utility function is derivedwith a continuous time model, and the principle of equivalentutility is applied to obtain a PDE for the indifferent price ofthe premium when an exponential utility function is employed.Numerical examples are performed with Gompertz’s law ofmortality for the deterministic model and with a mean-revertingBrownian Gompertz (MRBG) process for the stochastic model.

Index Terms—Equity-Linked Life Insurance, indifferencepricing, stochastic mortality.

I. INTRODUCTION

THIS study focuses on the valuation problem of anequity-linked term life insurance using the theory of

indifference pricing. In addition to a mortality risk likeany other life insurance product, an equity-linked term lifeinsurance has a market risk from the underlying asset.

In recent years, insurers have offered more flexible lifeinsurance products that combine the death benefit coveragewith an investment component, to compete with other formsof the policy holder’s savings, for example, mutual fundsor banks. An equity-linked life insurance product can offera benefit from the performance of an underlying asset bydefining the death benefit to depend on the account value ofthe underlying asset. The pricing and hedging problem of theequity-linked life insurance has been investigated extensively,and it is well summarized by Melnikov and Romanyuk [12].As mentioned in their article, insurance firms do not considerthe mortality risk in valuation of the policies nor adoptadequate mortality rates. This leads to an overpricing orunderpricing of the premiums and the burden falls on thecustomers or the firm itself. Young [19] considered the sameproblem using the theory of indifference pricing when themortality rate is computed using Gompertz’s law of mortality.The purpose of this study is to extend their idea to includea stochastic mortality rate.

Indifference pricing, also known as reservation pricing orprivate valuation, is a method of pricing financial derivativeswith regard to a utility function. It is one of the pricing toolsin incomplete financial markets, and it uses the principleof equivalent utility. Utility functions are widely used forproblems in pricing and hedging of financial derivatives,see [8] and [15], for example. Utility indifference pricingwas first introduced by Hodges and Neuberger [6] whenthey considered transaction costs in replicating contingentclaims. The main idea of indifference pricing is that bycomparing the maximal expected utilities with and without a

Jungmin Choi is with the department of Mathematics at East CarolinaUniversity, Greenville, North Carolina, USA. (email: [email protected])

contingent claim, one can find a value of the price functionwhich is indifferent to the existence of the contingent claim.This idea was used to price insurance risks in a dynamicfinancial market setting by Young and Zariphopoulou [20]using an exponential utility. The same idea was extendedby Young [19] to study an equity-indexed life insurance,and the derived PDE for premiums and reserves generalizedthe Black-Scholes equation by including a nonlinear termreflecting the nonhedgeable mortality risk. We will adopttheir model to study the indifference pricing of an equity-indexed life insurance with two different mortality riskmodels: a deterministic and a stochastic. Indifference pricingis also used in pricing problems in an incomplete market.The valuation of options in a stochastic volatility model forstock price using indifference pricing was studied by Sircarand Sturm [18] and Kumar [7].

Stochastic mortality became important especially for themortality contingent claim. In [14], Milevsky and Promislowstudied the pricing problem of an option to annuitize whenconsidering stochastic mortality rates and stochastic interestrates. They also studied how to hedge an option to annuitizeusing pure endowments, default free bonds, and life insur-ance contracts. Variable annuities under stochastic mortalitywere also considered by Ballotta and Haberman [1]. Pricing,reserving and hedging of a guaranteed annuity option (GAO)valuation problem was studied when mortality risk wasincorporated via a stochastic model of the underlying hazardrates. Assuming a stochastic mortality that is independentof the financial risk, a general pricing model was proposed,and the Monte Carlo method was used for the estimationof the value of GAO. Their stochastic mortality model wasalso used by Piscopo and Haberman [16], who considered aGuaranteed Lifelong Withdrawal Benefits (GLWB) contractunder the hypothesis of a predetermined withdrawal amount.The valuation approach was based on the decomposition ofthe product into living and death benefits, and a no arbitragemodel was used to derive the valuation formula, with a fixedmortality and a stochastic mortality.

Indifference pricing of mortality contingent claims was in-vestigated by Ludkovsky and Young [10] with both stochastichazard rates in the population mortality and the stochasticinterest rates. The resulting PDEs were linear for pureendowments and temporary life annuities in a continuoustime model, and it was found that the price-per-risk increasesas more contracts are sold. A study of the indifference pricingof a traditional life insurance and pension products portfoliowith stochastic mortality was presented by Delong [5], whena financial market consists of a risk-free asset with a constantrate of return and a risky asset whose price is driven by aLevy process. He applied techniques from stochastic controltheory to solve the optimization problems.

In this paper, we consider the pricing problem of an equity-

IAENG International Journal of Applied Mathematics, 46:4, IJAM_46_4_10

(Advance online publication: 26 November 2016)

______________________________________________________________________________________

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linked term life insurance using the theory of indifferencepricing, when the mortality of the insured is described by twodifferent mortality models: a deterministic mortality and astochastic mortality. The remainder of this paper is organizedas follows. In Section II, we present the pricing PDE ofan equity-indexed term life insurance using an exponentialutility in the continuous-time model with a deterministicmortality function, as described in [19]. The numericalsolutions of the PDE with Gompertz’s law of mortalityand the sensitivities of the indifference prices with respectto various parameters are also provided. The pricing PDEand numerical examples with a stochastic mortality modelare given in Section III. We adopt the MRBG process tomodel the mortality risk. Finally, Section IV summarizes ourfindings and outlines future works to extend our model.

II. INDIFFERENCE PRICING OF AN EQUITY-INDEXEDLIFE INSURANCE WITH A DETERMINISTIC MORTALITY

A. The Financial Market: Merton’s Model

We present the classical model by Merton [13] whichinvestigates the optimal investment strategies of an individualwith an initial wealth, who seeks to maximize the expectedutility of the terminal wealth. The investor has the oppor-tunity to trade between a risky asset (stock) and a risk-freeasset (U.S. treasury bond). The price of the risky asset Ss

for some time s > t, with a fixed time t, followsdSs = µSsds+ σSsdBs,St = S > 0,

where Bs is a standard Brownian motion on a probabilityspace (Ω,F ,P) with a filtration F and a probability measureP. The rate of return µ and the volatility σ are positiveconstants.

The price of the risk-free bond Ps for some time s > tfollows

dPs = rPsds,

where r is a constant rate of return (or force of return) ofthe risk-free bond, and we assume µ > r > 0.

Let w be the initial wealth of the insurer at time t, andWs be the wealth of the insurer at time s in [t, T ], where Tis the terminal time. Suppose the insurer trades dynamicallybetween the stock and the bond. Let πs be the amount ofwealth invested in the stock at time s. Then the amountinvested in the bond is πb

s = Ws − πs, and the dynamicsof the wealth process becomes

dWs = πbs

(dPs

Ps

)+ πs

(dSs

Ss

)= (Ws − πs)rds+ πs(µds+ σdBs).

Hence we havedWs = (rWs + (µ− r)πs)ds+ σπsdBs, t ≤ s ≤ T,Wt = w.

B. Expected Utility Without the insurance risk

Suppose the investor wants to maximize the expectedutility of the terminal wealth, and define the value functionV (t, w) as

V (t, w) = supπt∈A

E[u(WT )|Wt = w],

where A is the set of admissible policies, and u : R → R isa utility function, which is increasing, concave, and smooth.We will use an exponential utility function to derive a PDEfor the indifference price.

It has been shown in [2] that V satisfies the following HJBequation:

Vt +maxπt [(µ− r)πtVw +

1

2σ2π2

t Vww] + rwVw = 0,

V (T,w) = u(w).

Since the maximum function is quadratic in πt and theconcavity of the utility function u is inherited to the valuefunction, the maximum exists and we have the optimalinvestment process

π∗t = −µ− r

σ2· Vw(w, t)

Vww(w, t).

This gives a closed form PDE for V : Vt + rwVw − (µ− r)2

2σ2· V 2

w

Vww= 0,

V (T,w) = u(w).(1)

One of the advantages to considering an exponential utilityfunction is that we can find the closed form solution to (1).Suppose u(w) = − 1

γe−γw, for some γ > 0, then we obtain

the solution V (t, w) to be

V (t, w) = − 1

γexp

[−γwer(T−t) − (µ− r)2

2σ2(T − t)

].

(2)We also can find the corresponding optimal strategy

π∗t (t, w) =

µ− r

σ2· e

−r(T−t)

γ,

which is not stochastic and independent of w. It is generallyobserved when considering exponential utility. Since theabsolute risk aversion for the exponential utility function ismeasured by a constant γ, (−u′′(w)/u′(w) = γ), one canobserve that as the investor’s risk aversion (γ) increases,the amount of money invested in the risky asset (π∗

t ) de-creases [20].

C. Expected Utility with the insurance risk

The insurer has an opportunity to insure a person whoseage is x+ t at time t. The death benefit of this life insuranceis defined to be G = max(A0, Aτ ), where τ < T is thetime of death of the policy holder, A0 is the initial accountvalue of the underlying mutual fund at the time when thecontract is made, and As is the account value at time s. Thisinsurance policy is an equity-indexed product since it is tiedto an account value through the function G. Suppose theinsurer charges an insurance fee to hedge the market risk,and we assume that it is deducted from the account value asan ongoing fraction, α1. The dynamics of As follow

dAs = (µ− α)Asds+ σAsdBs,

where Bs is a standard Brownian motion on (Ω,F ,P), andµ (rate of return) and σ (volatility) are constants. Suppose

1For simplicity, we assume it is a fixed constant.

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the insurer wants to maximize the expected utility of theterminal wealth, and define the value function

U(t, w,A) = supπt∈A

Eu(WT )|Wt = w,At = A,

where A is the set of admissible policies, and u : R → R isa utility function, which is increasing, concave, and smooth.

The wealth process should follow dWs = [rWs + (µ− r)πs]ds+ σπsdBs,Wt = w,

Wτ+ = Wτ− −Gτ , if τ < T.

The HJB equation for U can be obtained as follows (seeAppendix)

Ut + rwUw + (µ− α)AUA + 12σ

2A2UAA

+λx(t)[V (w −G, t)− U ]+maxπt [(µ− r)πtUw + σ2πtAUwA

+12σ

2π2tUww] = 0,

U(T,w,A) = u(w),

(3)

where λx(t) is the force of mortality of a person aged x attime t.

The corresponding optimal strategy π∗t is

π∗t = −µ− r

σ2· Uw

Uww−A

UwA

Uww.

Suppose we use the exponential utility u(w) = − 1

γe−γw,

for some γ > 0. Because of the nature of the exponentialutility, we propose the solution of (3) to be in the form ofU(t, w,A) = V (t, w)·ϕ(t, A) [19]. Then the optimal strategybecomes

π∗t = −µ− r

σ2· Vw

Vww−A

Vw

Vww· ϕA

ϕ.

Let U = V · ϕ in (3). From (2), we also have

V 2w

Vww= V,

andV (t, w −G) = V (t, w) exp[γGer(T−t)].

Then we obtain the PDE for ϕ from (3):ϕt + (r − α)AϕA + 1

2σ2A2(ϕAA − ϕ2

A

ϕ )

+λx(t)(eγGer(T−t) − ϕ) = 0,

ϕ(T,A) = 1.

(4)

By introducing η(t, A) as ϕ(t, A) = eη(t,A), we haveηt + (r − α)AηA + 1

2σ2A2ηAA

+λx(t)(eγGer(T−t)−η − 1) = 0,

η(T,A) = 0.

(5)

Now let P (t, A) be the indifference price, that is, theminimum premium the insurer should have in exchange forinsuring the person whose age is x+ t at time t for a termlife insurance which expires at time T . Then P (t, A) shouldsolve

V (t, w) = U(t, w + P,A) = V (t, w + P )ϕ(t, A),

and using the closed form of V in (2), we have a formulafor P (t, A) with respect to η as

P (t, A) =1

γe−r(T−t) · η(t, A).

TABLE IPARAMETER VALUES

Age at inception x 50Risk free interest rate r 0.08

Volatility of the risky asset σ 0.2Insurance fee α 0.001

Term of policy T 15 years

Using this relationship in (5), we can derive a PDE forP (t, A)

−rP + Pt + (r − α)APA + 12σ

2A2PAA

=1

γe−r(T−t)λx(t)[1− e−γer(T−t)·(P−G)],

P (T,A) = 0.

(6)

D. Numerical Example and Sensitivity Analysis

0.51.0

1.52.0

05

10150

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

At

P

Fig. 1. Price with respect to time and account value

0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4 0.45 0.5 0.55 0.60.08

0.1

0.12

0.14

0.16

0.18

0.2

γ

P

Fig. 2. The relationship between γ and P (0, A0)

In this section, we solve (6) assuming the mortality λx(t)follows Gompertz’s law of mortality

λx(t) = B · Cx+t,

with B = 1.164 × 10−5 and C = 1.1096. These parameterestimations were obtained in [11] using 1959-1999 mortalitydata for Sweden. To solve (6) numerically, we use the finite

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0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4

x 10−3

0.114

0.116

0.118

0.12

0.122

α

P

Fig. 3. The relationship between insurance fee and P (0, A0)

40 45 50 55 60 65

0.15

0.2

0.25

0.3

0.35

0.4

0.45

0.5

0.55

0.6

0.65

Age at inception

P

σ=0.1

σ=0.15

σ=0.2

σ=0.25

Fig. 4. The relationship between volaility and P (0, A0)

difference method, particularly, backward difference schemefor the time t and the central difference scheme for theaccount value A. We set the minimum account value to bezero and the maximum account value to be 2, with the initialaccount value (A0) of 1.

We assume the PDE holds on the boundary since thedomain is truncated. For the boundary condition when theaccount value is maximum (A = 2), we assume the linearityof the premium P in terms of the account value, namely, weset PAA = 0, and solve

−rP+Pt+(r−α)APA =1

γe−r(T−t)λ[1−e−γer(T−t)·(P−G)].

When the account value is minimum (A = 0), we solve

−rP + Pt =1

γe−r(T−t)λ[1− e−γer(T−t)·(P−G)].

A typical solution for the premium function P is plottedin Figure 1 with respect to the time and the account value,using the parameters in Table I for the base case. From theplot, we can observe that P increases as the account valueA increases, which is expected since the higher the accountvalue is, the higher the death benefit G = max(A0, Aτ )will be. The insurer should receive more premium for ahigher death benefit. The premium P decreases as the timet increases,which is a common trend for an equity linkedfinancial derivative (for example, the theta, the rate of changeof the derivative with respect to the time t, is negative for aEuropean call option).

Figure 2 shows the relationship between the risk aversionγ and the premium P . As observed in other studies ofmortality contingent claims ( [10], [19]), when the risk

aversion increases, the indifference price of the premium alsoincreases. Figure 3 shows the impact of the insurance fee αon the premium P . It is clear that they should have a negativerelationship, since if one has to pay more insurance fees, theprice of the product at time zero should decrease. A positiverelationship between the volatility σ of the risky asset andthe premium P is reflected in Figure 4, which is consistentwith a general financial theory that the financial product ismore expensive when the volatility is high. The premium Pis plotted against the age at inception x for various volatilitiesin the same figure, and we can observe that if a person optedto purchase the life insurance product at later dates (as xincreases), he should pay a higher price for the benefit. Thiscan be justified as follows: when x increases, the mortalityof the person increases, and, hence, the price of the lifeinsurance product should also increase.

III. INDIFFERENCE PRICING OF AN EQUITY-INDEXEDLIFE INSURANCE WITH A STOCHASTIC MORTALITY

A. Pricing PDE with stochastic mortality

Now we consider a stochastic model for the force ofmortality for an individual or a set of individuals of thesame age. We adopt the model proposed by Ludkovsky andYoung [10] and assume the force of mortality λ follows adiffusion process as

dλs = µ(s, λs)ds+ σ(s)λsdBλs , (7)

where Bλs is a Brownian motion on a probability space

(Ω,F ,P) which is independent of Bs in the previous section.The volatility σ is a nonzero continuous function of time sbounded below by a positive constant κ on [0, T ]. The driftµ(s, λ) is a continuous function of s and λ which is positivefor all s in [0, T ]. We will use the mean-reverting BrownianGompertz model in [14] for the numerical examples.

Suppose the account value As and the wealth process Ws

are defined as in Section II. The insurer agrees to pay Gτ =max(A0, Aτ ) upon death at τ < T given a person aged xat t = 0 purchased the life insurance product. Suppose theinsurer wants to maximize the expected utility of the terminalwealth, and define the value function

U(t, w,A, λ) = supπt∈A

u(WT )|Wt = w,At = A, λt = λ,

where A is the set of admissible policies, and u : R → R isa utility function, which is increasing, concave, and smooth.

The HJB equation for U can be obtained as follows (seeAppendix)

U t + rwUw + (µ− α)AUA + 1

2σ2A2UAA

+λ[V (t, w −G)− U ] + µλUλ + 12σ

2λ2Uλλ+maxπ[(µ− r)πUw + σ2πAUwA

+12σ

2π2Uww] = 0,U(T,w,A) = u(w).

(8)

Since the optimized terms are the same as in (3), it willassume the same optimal strategy

π∗t = −µ− r

σ2· Uw

Uww−A

UwA

Uww.

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Following the idea in Section II and using the same expo-nential utility u(w) = − 1

γ e−γw , we assume the solution of

(8) to be in the form of

U(t, w,A, λ) = V (t, w) · ϕ(t, A, λ).

Then the optimal strategy becomes

π∗t = −µ− r

σ2· Vw

Vww−A

Vw

Vww· ϕA

ϕ.

Let U = V · ϕ in (8). After collecting V terms and ϕ terms,(8) becomes

V [ϕs + (r − α)AϕA + 12σ

2A2ϕAA

+λ[exp(γGer(T−t))− ϕ]

+µλϕλ + 12σ

2λ2ϕλλ − 12σ

2A2 ϕ2A

ϕ]

+ϕ[Vs + rwVw − (µ−r)2

2σ2 V ] = 0.

The multiple to ϕ in the last term is zero because of (1),hence we obtain the PDE for ϕ

ϕt + (r − α)AϕA + 1

2σ2A2(ϕAA − ϕ

2A

ϕ)

+µλϕλ + 12σ

2λ2ϕλλ + λ(eγGer(T−t) − ϕ) = 0,

ϕ(T,A, λ) = 1.

(9)

To eliminate the nonlinear term ϕ2A

ϕin (4), let us define

η(t, A, λ) byϕ(t, A, λ) = eη(t,A,λ).

Then we have a PDE for η(t, A, λ):ηt + (r − α)AηA + 1

2σ2A2ηAA + µληλ

+12σ

2λ2(η2λ + ηλλ) + λ(eγGer(T−t)−η − 1) = 0,η(T,A, λ) = 0.

(10)Now let P (t, A, λ) be the indifference price, that is, the

minimum premium the insurer should have in exchange for aterm life insurance which expires at time T . Then P (t, A, λ)should solve

V (t, w) = U(t, w + P ,A, λ) = V (t, w + P )ϕ(t, A, λ),

and using the closed form of V in (2), we have a formulafor P (t, A, λ) with respect to η as

P (t, A, λ) =1

γe−r(T−t) · η(t, A, λ).

Using this relationship in (10), we can derive a PDE forP (t, A, λ)

−rP + P t + (r − α)APA + 12σ

2A2PAA

+µλPλ + 12σ

2λ2(γer(T−r)P2

λ + Pλλ)

=1

γe−r(T−t)λ[1− e−γer(T−t)·(P−G)],

P (T,A, λ) = 0.

(11)

B. Numerical Example

For numerical examples that solves (11), we use thefollowing MRBG process proposed in [14]:

dλs =

(g +

1

2σ2 + κ(gs+ lnλ0 − lnλs)

)λsds+σλsdB

λs ,

with κ = 0.5. The process lnλs follows an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model with a linear drift g. The parameter values

TABLE IIPARAMETER VALUES

Risk free interest rate r 0.08Volatility of the risky asset σ 0.2

Insurance fee α 0.001Term of policy T 10 years

Volatility of the force of mortality σ 0.2Force of mortality at inception λ 0.003

Gompertz parameter g 0.1

0.0005

.001.0015

.002.0025 0

.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

0

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

0.1

0.12

0.14

P

Fig. 5. 3D plot of the solution P (0, A, λ)

in Table II are used to obtain the solutions unless notedotherwise.

The PDE for the premium P (t, A, λ) is solved in thedomain [0, T ]×[0, 2]×[0, 0.025] with an initial account value(A0) 1, using the backward in time finite difference method.As in the previous section, we assume the PDE holds onthe boundary, and assuming linearity when A = Amax andλ = λmax. The boundary conditions imposed are

1) A = 0:

−rP + P t ++µλPλ + 12σ

2λ2(γer(T−r)P2

λ + Pλλ)

=1

γe−r(T−t)λ[1− e−γer(T−t)·(P−G)]

2) A = Amax:

−rP + P t + (r − α)APA

+µλPλ + 12σ

2λ2(γer(T−r)P2

λ + Pλλ)

=1

γe−r(T−t)λ[1− e−γer(T−t)·(P−G)]

3) λ = 0:

−rP + P t + (r − α)APA +1

2σ2A2PAA = 0

4) λ = λmax:

−rP + P t + (r − α)APA + 12σ

2A2PAA

+µλPλ + 12σ

2λ2(γer(T−r)P2

λ)

=1

γe−r(T−t)λ[1− e−γer(T−t)·(P−G)]

A typical solution for the premium function P (0, A, λ)is given in Figure 5 at the time of inception (t = 0). It

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A0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2

P

0

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

0.1

0.12

λ=.0025

λ=.005

λ=.01λ=.015

λ=.02

Fig. 6. The relationship between A and P (0, A, λ) for various values of λ

0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

x 10−3

0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.07

λ

P

A=1.4

Fig. 7. The relationship between λ and P (0, A, λ) for various values of A

shows that P is an increasing function in A and λ, which isexpected since the price of a life insurance product shouldincrease when the account value increases or the mortalityrate increases. We can observe this more clearly in Figures6 and 7. The premium function P is plotted against A forvarious λ in Figure 6. The premium P is an increasingconvex function in the account value A for various values ofλ; the rate of change is more significant with a higher valueof A. It is clearer with a higher force of mortality λ. Thepremium function P is plotted against λ for various valuesof A in Figure 7. The premium P is an increasing concavefunction in λ; the rate of change is more significant with asmaller value of λ. It is clearer with a higher value of A. Asin the deterministic mortality model, the premium function Phas a positive relationship with the time to expiration (T − t)in Figure 8. Similar trends can be observed in other literature,for example, in the description of the death benefit in thestudy by Piscopo and Haberman [16].

To see the effect of the volatility of the force of mortalityin (7), the value of P (0, 1, 0.01) is plotted for differentvalues of σ. We observe that as the volatility increases,the premium also increases in Figure 9, which reflects thecommon phenomenon in the financial markets that the priceof a mortality contingent product increases when there ismore risk in mortality. The effects of the risk aversion rate γand the insurance fee α on the premium P is similar as in thecase with a deterministic mortality model in Section II. Thepremium P (0, 1, 0.01) with respect to the risk aversion ratesγ is plotted in Figure 10, and we observe that the premiumincreases as the risk aversion rate increases. The premiumP (0, 1, 0.01) with respect to the insurance fee α is plotted in

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 100

0.005

0.01

0.015

0.02

0.025

0.03

Time to Expiration

P

λ=.0025λ=.005λ=.01λ=.015

Fig. 8. The relationship between time to expiration T − t and P (T −t, 1.0, λ) for various values of λ

0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.50.0216

0.0218

0.022

0.0222

0.0224

0.0226

0.0228

0.023

0.0232

0.0234

σ

P

Fig. 9. The plot of P (0, 1, 0.01) with respect to σ

Figure 11, which shows that the premium of a life insuranceproduct should decrease when the policy holder pays a higherinsurance fee α.

IV. CONCLUSION

We have considered the valuation problem of an equity-indexed term life insurance with two different mortalitymodels, a deterministic mortality and a stochastic mortality.For the financial market, we employ Merton’s model anduse an exponential utility to obtain HJB equations for theutility functions with and without the life insurance risks.By using the theory of equivalent utility, we derive the PDEsfor the indifference price of the premium for both mortalitymodels. The PDE with a deterministic mortality is solvednumerically using Gompertz’ law of mortality, while theMRBG process is adopted for the stochastic mortality case.The derived PDEs are not simple and closed form solutionscannot be found, but straightforward applications of the finitedifference method with proper boundary conditions producesolutions that are reasonable for a life insurance contract. Thesensitivity analysis shows that the models are appropriateto explain the premiums of the equity-indexed term lifeinsurance.

Future research should consider the effect of stochasticinterest rates, since it is unreasonable to assume the risk-freerate is constant for a long period of time. We can also applythe indifference pricing theory to variable annuity productsexposed to similar risks, for example, with a GuaranteedMinimum Death Benefit option or a Guaranteed LifelongWithdrawal Benefit option.

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0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.90.01

0.015

0.02

0.025

0.03

0.035

0.04

γ

P

Fig. 10. The plot of P (0, 1, 0.01) with respect to γ

0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

x 10−3

0.0217

0.0217

0.0217

0.0217

0.0218

0.0218

0.0218

0.0218

0.0218

α

P

Fig. 11. The plot of P (0, 1, 0.01) with respect to α

REFERENCES

[1] Ballotta, L., and S. Haberman, ”The Fair Valuation Problem ofGuaranteed Annuity Options: The Stochastic Mortality EnvironmentCase.” Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 38:195-214, 2006.

[2] Bjork, T. Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time. Oxford UniversityPress, 1998.

[3] Carmona, R. Indifference Pricing. Princeton University Press, 2009.[4] Choi, J., and M. Gunzburger, ”Option Pricing in the Presence of

Random Arbitrage Return.” International Journal of Computer Math-ematics, 86(6): 1068-1081.

[5] Delong, L., ”Indifference Pricing of a Life Insurance Portfolio withSystematic Mortality Risk in a Market with an Asset Driven by a LevyProcess.” Scadinavian Actuarial Journal, 1:1-26, 2009.

[6] Hodges, S. D., and A. Neuberger, ”Optimal Replication of ContingentClaims under Transaction Costs.” Review of Futures Markets, 8:222-239, 1989.

[7] Kumar, R., ”Effect of Volatility Clustering on Indifference Pricing ofOptions by Convex Risk Measures.” Applied Mathematical Finance22(1):63-82, 2015, doi:10.1080/1350486X.2014.949805.

[8] Qiang Li, and Lap Keung Chu, ”A Multi-stage Financial HedgingStrategy for a Risk-averse Firm with Contingent Payment,” IAENGInternational Journal of Applied Mathematics, vol. 45, no. 1, pp71-76, 2015

[9] Loeve, M. Probabiliity Theory. New York: Springer, 1977.[10] Ludkovski, M. and V.R. Young, ”Indifference Pricing of Pure Endow-

ments and Life Annuities under Stochastic Hazard and Interest Rates.”Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 42:14-30, 2008.

[11] Melnikov, A. and Y. Romaniuk, ”Evaluating the Performance of Gom-pertz, Makeham and Lee-Carter mortality models for risk managementwith unit-linked contracts.” Insurance: Mathematics and Economics,39:310-329, 2006.

[12] Melnikov, A. and Y. Romaniuk, ”Efficient Hedging and Pricing ofEruity-Linked Life Insurance Contracts on Several Risky Assets.”International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance, 11(3): 295-323, 2008.

[13] Merton, R. C., ”Lifetime Portfolio Selection under uncertainty: theContinuous-time Case.” The Review of Economics and Statistics,51(3): 247-257, 1969.

[14] Milevsky, M. A., and S. D. Promislow, ”Mortality Derivatives and theOption to Annuitise.” Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 29:299-318, 2001.

[15] Mukupa G. M., and Offen E. R., ”The Impact of Utility Functionson The Equilibrium Equity Premium In A Production Economy WithJump Diffusion,” IAENG International Journal of Applied Mathemat-ics, vol. 45, no. 2, pp120-127, 2015

[16] Piscopo, G., and S. Haberman, ”The Valuation of Guaranteed LifelongWithdrawal Benefit Options in Variable Annuity Contracts and theImpact of Mortality Riak.” North American Actuarial Journal, 15(1):59-76, 2011.

[17] Sithole, T. Z., S. Haberman, and R. J. Verrall, ”An Investigation intoParametric Models for Mortality Projections, with Applications toImmediate Annuitants’ and Life Office Pensioners’ data.” Insurance:Mathematics and Economics, 27: 285-312, 2001.

[18] Sircar, S. and S. Sturm, ”From Smile Asymptotics to Mar-ket Risk Measures.” Mathematical Finance, 10:259-276, 2012.doi:10.1111/mafi.12015.

[19] Young, V. R., ”Equity-Indexed Life Insurance: Pricing and ReservingUsing the Principle of Equivalent Utility.” North American ActuarialJournal, 7(1): 68-86, 2003.

[20] Young, V. R., and T. Zariphopoulou, ”Pricing Dynamic InsuranceRisks Using the Principle of Equivalent Utility.” Scandinavian Ac-tuarial Journal, 4:246-279, 2002.

APPENDIX AHJB EQUATION FOR U WITH THE INSURANCE RISK

Here we derive the HJB equation for U . Assume that theinsurer follows an arbitrary investment policy πs betweent and t+ h, and after t+ h, the insurer follows the optimalinvestment policy π∗

s. If the insured aged x + t survivesuntil time t + h, the contract goes on. If the insured agedx+ t dies before t+h, the insurer pays Gt+h, and continuesunder V , the value function without the claim. Thus

U(t, w,A) ≥E[t+ h,U(Wt+h, At+h)|Wt = w,At = A] ·h px+t

+E[V (t+ h,Wt+h −Gt+h)|Wt = w] ·h qx+t,(12)

where hpx+t is the probability of a person aged x+t survivesuntil x + t + h, and hqx+t = 1 −h px+t. This will havean equality if and only if the investment policy is optimalbetween t and t+h. Assuming U and V are smooth enoughto have all the derivatives, we have

U(t+ h,Wt+h, At+h) = U(t, w,A) +

∫ t+h

t

dU, (13)

where dU is the differential of U . Using Ito’s formula,

dU = [Us + Uw(rw + (µ− r)π) + (µ− α)AUA

+12σ

2π2Uww + 12σ

2A2UAA + σ2πAUwA]ds+σπUwdB + σAUAdB.

The right hand side of (13) becomesU(t, w,A) +

∫ t+h

tL1Uds +

∫ t+h

tσπUwdB +∫ t+h

tσAUAdB,

where

L1U = Us + Uw(rw + (µ− r)π) + (µ− α)AUA+12σ

2π2Uww + 12σ

2A2UAA + σ2πAUwA,

and taking expectations yields the last two integrals zero.Similarly, for the value function without the claim V , we

have

V (t+h,wt+h) = V (t, w)+

∫ t+h

t

L2V +

∫ t+h

t

σπVwdBds,

where L2V = Vs + (rw + (µ− r)π)Vw + 12σ

2π2Vww.

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Now (12) becomes

U(t, w,A) ≥ Et,w,A[U(t, w,A) +∫ t+h

tL1Uds]hpx+t

+Ew,t[V (t, w −G) +∫ t+h

tL2V ds]hqx+t,

or

U(t, w,A) ·h qx+t ≥ Et,w,A[∫ t+h

tL1Uds] ·h px+t

+Ew,t[V (t, w −G) +∫ t+h

tL2V ds]hqx+h.

If we divide both sides by h and take limit h → 0, then

λx(t) · U ≥ L1U + V (w −G, t) · λx(t),

since hqx+t

h→ λx(t), the force of mortality of a person

aged x at time t, and hqx+t → 0 as h → 0.If the investment policy is optimal, we have an equality,

which gives the following HJB equation of U ;Ut + rwUw + (µ− α)AUA + 1

2σ2A2UAA

+λx(t)[V (w −G, t)− U ]+maxπ[(µ− r)πUw + σ2πAUwA + 1

2σ2π2Uww] = 0,

U(T,w,A) = u(w).(14)

APPENDIX BHJB EQUATION FOR U WITH THE INSURANCE RISK

The derivation of HJB equation for U is similar to theprocess for U . With the same assumption in the previoussection, we have

U(t, w,A, λ) ≥E[U(t+ h,Wt+h, At+h, λt+h)|Wt = w,At = A,λt = λ] ·h px+t

+E[V (t+ h,Wt+h −Gt+h)|Wt = w] ·h qx+t.(15)

This will have an equality if and only if the investment policyis optimal between t and t + h. Assuming U and V aresmooth enough to have all the derivatives, we have

U(t+ h,Wt+h, At+h, λt+h) = U(t, w,A, λ) +

∫ t+h

t

dU,

(16)where dU is the differential of U . Using Ito’s formula,

dU = [Us + Uw(rw + (µ− r)π) + (µ− α)AUA

+µλUλ + 12σ

2π2Uww

+12σ

2A2UAA + σ2πAUwA + 12σ

2λ2Uλλ]ds+(σπUw + σAUA)dB + σλUλdB

λ.

The right hand side of (16) becomes

U(t, w,A, λ) +∫ t+h

tL3Uds+

∫ t+h

tσπUwdB

+∫ t+h

tσAUAdB +

∫ t+h

tσλUλdB

λ,

where

L3U = Us + Uw(rw + (µ− r)π) + (µ− α)AUA

+µλUλ + 12σ

2π2Uww

+12σ

2A2UAA + σ2πAUwA + 12σ

2λ2Uλλ,

and taking expectations yields the last three integrals zero.Now (15) becomes

U(t, w,A, λ) ≥Et,w,A,λ[U(t, w,A, λ) +

∫ t+h

tL3Uds]hpx+t

+Et,w[V (t, w −G) +∫ t+h

tL2V ds]hqx+t,

or

U(t, w,A, λ) ·h qx+t ≥Et,w,A,λ[

∫ t+h

tL3Uds] ·h px+t

+Et,w[V (t, w −G) +∫ t+h

tL2V ds]hqx+h.

If we divide both sides by h and take limit h → 0, then

λ · U ≥ L3U + V (t, w −G) · λ.

If the investment policy is optimal, we have an equality,which gives the following HJB equation of U ;

U t + rwUw + (µ− α)AUA + 12σ

2A2UAA

+λ[V (w −G, t)− U ] + µλUλ + 12σ

2λ2Uλλ+maxπ[(µ− r)πUw + σ2πAUwA

+12σ

2π2Uww] = 0,U(w,A, T ) = u(w).

(17)

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