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Cyrus Daruwala, Managing Director@ Cisco Innovate
The Technology Shift.
Rise of The OMNI Channels
© IDC Financial Insights Page 2
What the 100 of Us Do WorldwideResearch & Advisory On Outsourcing / In sourcing Performance
Benchmarking IT Optimization Virtualization Software as A Service
New anti-crisis regulations Big Data & Analytics Information & Data Security G. R. C Enterprise Risk Management
Research & Advisory On Vendor Selection &
Management Enterprise Info
Management Solution Selection
Vendor Consolidation Human Capital
Development
On Boarding Innovation Customer Data
Integration Single Customer View Channel Management
Channel Business
Research & Advisory On Research & Advisory On
250 Banks
160 Insurers
© IDC Financial Insights Page 3
The MarketScape for 2013 / 2015
1) Number of players in Asia/Pacific set to increase
2) Consumers More comfortable with BIG / STRONG institutions
The New Norm
3) The Rise of the Asian “Super Regional” Firms
© IDC Financial Insights Page 4
Weaker Customer LoyaltyThe post – crisis “Smarter Customer”
4) Has a tendency to churn
5) Wants Multiple Touch Points & Consistency
6) Wants to be KNOWN
© IDC Financial Insights Page 5
Emerging Technology Phenomena
7) Web 3.0
8) Cloud / Managed Services
9) Big Data & RT Analytics
© IDC Financial Insights Page 6
Continued Emphasis on Risk & Compliance
10) Spending on risk & compliance continue to dominate IT budgets
11) Financial & Market risk (Solvency II) becomingincreasingly crucial
12) IT & Ops Risk come up Tops. Regulators now Run the Firms!
© IDC Financial Insights Page 7
** All monetary units are in million USD
BFSI IT Spending Pool Pr
ojec
ted
CAG
R (5
yrs)
, 201
2-17
Overall IT Spending in US$ millions, 20110%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 18000
China
Australia
India
Korea
Indonesia
Thailand
Malaysia
Singapore
Hong Kong
Taiwan
New Zealand
ROAPPhilippines
Vietnam
© IDC Financial Insights Page 8
How The (New) IT & Ops $$ Are Being Spent
Multi Channels & Distribution28%
Business Process Re-engineering12%Core /Legacy
Refreshment / Replacement28%
EnterpriseData Management14%
Administration &Reporting5%
Payments13%
AustraliaUS$10(3) Billion
Singapore (regional)
US$4(1) Billion
IndiaUS$5 (2) Billion
ChinaUS$16(4) Billion
Thailand, Indonesia, Malaysia are all in excess ofUS$2(1) Billion
© IDC Financial Insights Page 9
IT optimization Virtualization Unified
Comms Pay Per Use Right Source
M Commerce Social
Business Mobile
Computing MERCHANTIZI
NG Biometrics P-2-P Pay
Core Business Exp
Shed Non Core Bus
Reaching for Others’ market share
M & A !
IT & OperationalSecurity
Compliance New G.R.C
Mandates PCI DSS
The Drivers behind the IT & Ops spend
© IDC Financial Insights Page 10
Key ‘Operational Issues’ for CXOs
Human Capital Management (COO) 15%
Cost and Performance Management (COO) 12%
Prioritization and Management of IT projects (CIO) 17%
Governance, Risk & Compliance(CRO/CFO/ COO) 29%
Cards, Payments, Lending (CIO/COO) 10%
Innovation and Market responsiveness10%
Business Process Improvements (CIO) 7%
© IDC Financial Insights Page 11
Banks will spend >US$74bn globally for GRC
Consequently, spending on risk mgt technologies, services & talent is outpacing overall technology spend & will surpass US$74bn worldwide in 2013
Globally, this will average 17% of overall IT budget in 2013 on >7.1% CAGR
For some tier 1s with large compliance obligations, YoY increment could spike to >30% vs. 2012 levels (double of forecast for last year)
© IDC Financial Insights Page 12
THIS DIVIDES YOU INTO 2 POOLS;
1. KEEP THE LIGHTS ON = BAU, BETTER SERVICE, BETTER COST MANAGEMENT, BETTER G.R.C.
2. GROWTH !!! = NEW MARKETS, NEW PRODUCTS, NEW CHANNELS !!
© IDC Financial Insights Page 13
“I will never let any organisation that I work for get locked into proprietary hardware or software again…
I'll never tell my teams in the business that it will be weeks before we can provide them what they want ! ”
Michael HarteCIO, Commonwealth Bank of Australia
Pool 1
© IDC Financial Insights Page 14
Pool 2 - The Rise of Generation Y
“KIPPERS”
1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
© IDC Financial Insights Page 15
Pool 2 - The Rise of Generation Y
Googling
Quickly scanning PC
screens
Gaming
Non-linear text reading
Music
Collective WorkMulti-tasking
© IDC Financial Insights Page 16
Branch 2.0It’s here to stay
Branch growth in Asia/Pacific is at a record-low of 1.8% YoY
© IDC Financial Insights Page 17
Branch 2.0It’s here to stay
BUTwe are seeing are new things
© IDC Financial Insights Page 18
Branch 2.0It’s here to stay
“Flagship” banking superstores
Customer-pulling Experience-centered
Supported by dispersed network of back-offices/datacenters
Fostering fewer, deeper relationships
Low-density client creation network
Product-pushing Speed- and turnaround-centered
Supported by central back-office and remote database
Capturing low-margin, undertapped mass markets through low servicing overheads
© IDC Financial Insights Page 19
Branch 2.0It’s here to stay
A branch is aboutoriginating accounts & relationships
not just servicing themrelationships
“Local” branding Crowdsourcing
© IDC Financial Insights Page 20
“Really a lot more self-service!” New gadgets After-hours activitiesAre we getting more “collective” at the branches?
© IDC Financial Insights Page 21
It’s not a Music Store…..Its a FRANK Store
© IDC Financial Insights Page 22
22
Applications, applications, applicationsFor Screenagers
© IDC Financial Insights Page 23
Mobility
Social
Network
Real-time
Intelligence
Mobile Banking, Mobile Payments, Mobile Wallet, ..…What Will Stick ??
© IDC Financial Insights Page 24
Unfortunately, Most Banks Confuse this with M banking !
It’s the Whole Social Experience
It’s the Merchant, Mall, Retailer and Bank Pool
Its Secure, Converged and Data + Voice + Video Enabled
M-Commerce is the Omni Channel !
© IDC Financial Insights Page 25
Some Such As ANZ, CBA, SCB – Broke Away !
© IDC Financial Insights Page 26
What do they do differently ??
PAY MOBILE NO# PAY ANYONE HYPER PERSONILIZATION ON MOBILE
© IDC Financial Insights Page 27
Photo check deposit
Writing checks
Mobile Augmented Reality
Other capabilitieswe are seeing
AR refers to a display in which digital imagery, graphics, or information is superimposed on a view of the surrounding environment
© IDC Financial Insights Page 28
WHAT REALLY WORKS FOR BOTH POOLS ??
1. GREED !2. FEAR !!
© IDC Financial Insights Page 29
(A) Evolving regulatory framework
(B) Revolutionize fee-based income model
(C) Plays into new technologies & banking preferences:
Locational intelligenceLoyalty at point-of-salePersonal financial managementSocial media
Rise of the Non-Bank ..Banks !
© IDC Financial Insights Page 30 30
Rise of the Non-Banks - Lenders
Principles of social banking / insuringCommunities Underwrite the RiskYou are the Agent & The RecipientsNo intermediary fees
P2P Lenders & Insurers
Money Managers
Principles of Physical Cash CollectionCollective Community PoolsNo regulations …yet
© IDC Financial Insights Page 31
Conclusion – Everybody Has A Sweet-Spot !!
DeploymentCost
BusinessRisk
BusinessValue
ReasonableCost
OptimalRisk
GreatestBusiness
Value
None Modest Moderate Radical
Degree of ICT Changes
-+
-+
-
+
© IDC Financial Insights Page 32
Soo….What Can you Start With Tomorrow ?
Future-proof your Channel -Parameterize LOB, Away from Core
2
Align your ICT Capability to your Businesses Agility. Create New KPIs!
1
All new initiatives ‘must have’ a Mobility & Social media angle3
© IDC Financial Insights Page 33
Cyrus Daruwala
Managing Director,
IDC Financial Insights
Email: [email protected]
Tel: +65 6829 7718