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The Tax Story Across the 50 States Texas Taxpayers and Research Association Annual Membership Meeting October 2, 2006 Council On State Taxation

The Tax Story Across the 50 States Texas Taxpayers and Research Association Annual Membership Meeting October 2, 2006 Council On State Taxation

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Page 1: The Tax Story Across the 50 States Texas Taxpayers and Research Association Annual Membership Meeting October 2, 2006 Council On State Taxation

The Tax Story Across the 50 StatesThe Tax Story Across the 50 States

Texas Taxpayers and Research AssociationAnnual Membership MeetingOctober 2, 2006

Council On State Taxation

Page 2: The Tax Story Across the 50 States Texas Taxpayers and Research Association Annual Membership Meeting October 2, 2006 Council On State Taxation

Council On State Taxation2

Overview

• Revenues & Business Taxes

• Federal Legislative Activity

• State Legislative Activity

Page 3: The Tax Story Across the 50 States Texas Taxpayers and Research Association Annual Membership Meeting October 2, 2006 Council On State Taxation

Council On State Taxation3

8.8%

10.2%

6.7%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007

State Year-End Balances As a Percentage of General Fund Expenditures (Source: NCSL)

Projected

Page 4: The Tax Story Across the 50 States Texas Taxpayers and Research Association Annual Membership Meeting October 2, 2006 Council On State Taxation

Council On State Taxation4

Percentage Change in FY 2006 Revenue Growth

Estimated vs. Actual (Source: NCSL)

2.7%

7.7%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

Original Estimate Actual49 states reporting.

Page 5: The Tax Story Across the 50 States Texas Taxpayers and Research Association Annual Membership Meeting October 2, 2006 Council On State Taxation

Council On State Taxation5

Projected Percentage Changes in Revenue and

Appropriations: FY 2007 (Source: NCSL)

7.6%

3.0%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

Appropriations Revenues49 states reporting.

Page 6: The Tax Story Across the 50 States Texas Taxpayers and Research Association Annual Membership Meeting October 2, 2006 Council On State Taxation

Council On State Taxation6

-$2.6

-$7.1 -$7.3

$9.1 $8.8

$4.1$3.4

$1.4

-$1.5

-$9.9

0.2%

-0.3%

0.6%0.8%1.6%1.6%

-0.6%

-1.6%-1.7% -2.0%

-$10

-$8

-$6

-$4

-$2

$0

$2

$4

$6

$8

$10

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006*-10%

-8%

-6%

-4%

-2%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

Billions of dollars

Percent of previous year's collections

Net State Tax ChangesBy Year of Enactment, 1997-2006* (Source: NCSL)

* 44 states reporting for FY 2006.

Page 7: The Tax Story Across the 50 States Texas Taxpayers and Research Association Annual Membership Meeting October 2, 2006 Council On State Taxation

Council On State Taxation7

$1.7$2.0

-$7.2

$11.5

-$4.0 -$2.4-$2.7

$4.3

-$2.2

-$9.8-$7.1

$5.9

$13.1

-$20

-$15

-$10

-$5

$0

$5

$10

$15

$20

1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006*

TotalNontaxTax

Total Tax and Nontax Revenuesin billions of dollars (Source: NCSL)

* 44 states reporting for FY 2006.

Page 8: The Tax Story Across the 50 States Texas Taxpayers and Research Association Annual Membership Meeting October 2, 2006 Council On State Taxation

Council On State Taxation8

State Structural Deficits in FY 2007, FY 2008 and Beyond (Source: NCSL)

37

26

19

10

19 20

0

10

20

30

40

50

FY 2007 FY 2008 Beyond FY 2008

Sta

tes

NoYes

Page 9: The Tax Story Across the 50 States Texas Taxpayers and Research Association Annual Membership Meeting October 2, 2006 Council On State Taxation

Council On State Taxation9

Longer-Term Fiscal Pressures

•K-12 education

•Medicaid

•Pension obligations & OPEB

• Infrastructure

Page 10: The Tax Story Across the 50 States Texas Taxpayers and Research Association Annual Membership Meeting October 2, 2006 Council On State Taxation

Council On State Taxation10

Total State & Local Business Taxes

• Nationwide, businesses paid $497 billion in

state-local taxes in FY05

• Businesses paid 44 percent of total taxes

collected by state and local governments

• State & local business taxes up by 25% -

over $100 billion – between FY02 and FY05

Page 11: The Tax Story Across the 50 States Texas Taxpayers and Research Association Annual Membership Meeting October 2, 2006 Council On State Taxation

Council On State Taxation11

Federal Legislation on State Taxation

• Authorizing State Tax Incentives after Cuno

• Nexus for Business Activity Taxes; PL 86-272

• Streamlined Sales Tax Legislation

• Withholding for Nonresident Employees

• State Taxation of Retirement Income

• Internet, Telecom, Pipelines…

Page 12: The Tax Story Across the 50 States Texas Taxpayers and Research Association Annual Membership Meeting October 2, 2006 Council On State Taxation

Council On State Taxation12

State Legislative Trends

• Gross Receipts Taxes

• Related Party Expense Addback (“anti-PIC”)

• Unitary Combined Reporting

• Sales Factor Trends

• Tax Shelter Disclosure

• SSTP, Property Tax Reform, Telecom Reform…

Page 13: The Tax Story Across the 50 States Texas Taxpayers and Research Association Annual Membership Meeting October 2, 2006 Council On State Taxation

Council On State Taxation13

Gross Receipts Taxes: Next Big Thing?

• History–Washington–West Virginia (repealed 1987)– Indiana (repealed 2002)

• Today–New Jersey (sunsets after 7/1/2006)–Kentucky–Ohio–Texas

Page 14: The Tax Story Across the 50 States Texas Taxpayers and Research Association Annual Membership Meeting October 2, 2006 Council On State Taxation

Council On State Taxation14

Gross Receipts Taxes: Next Big Thing?

• Tomorrow ?– Illinois–Michigan– IN, WV, NC…

• Concerns–COST Policy Position & Survey Results–Joint COST / Tax Foundation Study

Page 15: The Tax Story Across the 50 States Texas Taxpayers and Research Association Annual Membership Meeting October 2, 2006 Council On State Taxation

Council On State Taxation15

Anti-PIC: State of the States

AK

HI

ME

RI

VT NH

MANY

CT

PA

NJ

MDDC

DE

VAWV

NC

SC

GA

FL

ILOH

IN

MIWI

KY

TN

ALMS

AR

LATX

OK

MOKS

IA

MN

ND

SD

NE

NMAZ

COUT

WY

MT

WA

OR

ID

NV

CA

Key

Not applicable (e.g., unitary or no corporate income tax)

Anti-PIC statute (SC-Geoffrey; TN-No addback if disclosed)

Anti-PIC legislation considered bin 2004 or 2005 or 2006 but not enacted (as of September)

Page 16: The Tax Story Across the 50 States Texas Taxpayers and Research Association Annual Membership Meeting October 2, 2006 Council On State Taxation

Council On State Taxation16

Trends in Expense Addback Proposals

• Scope: Royalties, interest, management fees?

• Safe Harbors

• Expansion of Sec. 482-type Powers

• MTC Model Language

Page 17: The Tax Story Across the 50 States Texas Taxpayers and Research Association Annual Membership Meeting October 2, 2006 Council On State Taxation

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Unitary Combined Reporting

• Vermont

• Kentucky AMC: Nexus Consolidated

• Ohio CAT: Consolidated or Combined

• Texas Margins Tax: Unitary Combined

• MTC Model Statute & “Tax Havens”

Page 18: The Tax Story Across the 50 States Texas Taxpayers and Research Association Annual Membership Meeting October 2, 2006 Council On State Taxation

Council On State Taxation18

Increased Sales Factor: Recent Activity

State Provision

Arizona HB 2139 (enacted) allows an election to increase the weight of the sales factor (to 80% by 2009)

California HB 1037 (proposal) would phase in single sales factor for targeted industries

Georgia HB 191 (enacted) phases-in a single sales factor by 2008

Indiana HB 1001 (enacted) phases-in a single sales factor by 2011

Louisiana HB 679 (enacted) establishes a single sales factor for taxpayers whose net apportionable income is primarily derived from manufacturing or merchandising

Michigan SB 634 (enacted) increases weight of sales factor (to 95% by 2008)

Minnesota HF 138 (enacted) phases-in a single sales factor by 2014 SF 3326 (proposed) would accelerate phase-in

New York AB 6845 (enacted) phases-in a single sales factor for most Art. 9-A and targeted Art. 32 taxpayers

Oregon SB 31 (enacted) accelerated the adoption of a single sales factor (by 7/1/05 instead of 7/1/08)

Pennsylvania HB 859 (enacted) increases the weight of the sales factor to 70%

Utah HB 78 (enacted) allows an optional double-weighted sales factor

Vermont 2004 enactment double-weights the sales factor

Wisconsin 2003 enactment of phased-in single sales factor by 2008

Page 19: The Tax Story Across the 50 States Texas Taxpayers and Research Association Annual Membership Meeting October 2, 2006 Council On State Taxation

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Tax Shelter Disclosure

• Enactments (in order of adoption)– California (2004)– Illinois (2005)– New York (2005)– Connecticut (2005)– Minnesota (2005)– Massachusetts (2005)– Utah (2006)– West Virginia (2006)

• MTC Model Statute & “51-State Spreadsheet”

Page 20: The Tax Story Across the 50 States Texas Taxpayers and Research Association Annual Membership Meeting October 2, 2006 Council On State Taxation

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Other Issues

• SSTP

• Property Tax Reform–Real Property (ID, SC, TX)–Business Personal Property (CT, KS, ME)

• TABOR

• Telecom Taxation

Page 21: The Tax Story Across the 50 States Texas Taxpayers and Research Association Annual Membership Meeting October 2, 2006 Council On State Taxation

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Questions?

Joseph R. Crosby

202/484-5225

[email protected]