The SmarthGrowth Story How collaboration provides certainty and delivers investment Duncan Tindall 9 th April 2015 SmartGrowth provides a unified vision,

The SmarthGrowth StoryHow collaboration provides certainty and delivers investment

Duncan Tindall9th April 2015

SmartGrowth provides a unified vision, direction and voice for the future of the western Bay.

2

Overview

• SmartGrowth – Who we are, what we do• What has SmartGrowth has achieved since

2001• Future infrastructure planning• Demographic projections – the challenge• A Vision for the sub-region in 50 years time


3SmartGrowth provides a unified vision, direction and voice for the future of the western Bay.


Who is SmartGrowth?

SmartGrowth Covers Many Matters

• 4-Wellbeings (economic, social, cultural and environmental)• Partnership and collaboration• Transport• Economic Development• Health• Tertiary Education• Community Development • Social Infrastructure• Range of other matters


6

What is the Foundation for SmartGrowth?

1. Partnership – relationships, trust, working together, voluntary, wider than local government

2. Collaborative leadership – plan together across boundaries using one blueprint

3. Integration – land-use/transport/funding considered together and SG is anchored throughout partnership

4. Evidence based – research 5. Live, work, learn and play – ensures balanced

approach to spatial planning.


7

History

• May 2000 – strong local growth predicted resulting in funding challenges for WBOPDC and TCC

• September 2000 – Joint bid to predict 50 years growth (initiation of SmartGrowth)

• September 2001 – Draft SG Strategy published• May 2004 – Prime Minister Helen Clark launches

first SmartGrowth Strategy• May 2007 SG Strategy updated• August 2013 Third generation Strategy adopted


8

Some Achievements To Date

• Provided clear direction on where growth to occur and associated infrastructure requirements

• Basis for engagement with government and then significant investment- roading, primary and secondary education facilities, health, police and fire services & facilities

• Certainty for investment by developers

• Implementation anchored in range of statutory documents and responsibilities with range of agencies, not just Councils


9

Key achievements through collaboration

• Second Harbour Crossing ($225m) + $150m Crown Grant

• 3rd Generation growth areas: Bethlehem West and north-west, the Lakes, Wairakei, Katikati (Middlebrooke, Park Road), Omokoroa (Stage 1), Te Puke (McLoughlin Drive) Waihi Beach. Total 15,750 h/holds

• Tauranga Eastern Link to support Rangiuru, access to Port of Tauranga ($455m)

• Strong progress towards Tertiary Education CampusSmartGrowth provides a unified vision, direction and voice for the future of the western Bay.

10

Urban Growth Areas


11

What is a Spatial Plan

• SmartGrowth is a spatial plan for the Western Bay of Plenty

• Spatial plan = a high level strategy which articulates an agreed vision and the priorities, actions and investments required to achieve the vision– Based on evidence and common data– Developed and implemented by multiple stakeholders who

share the vision, direction and implementation– Shared across agencies and across well-being's– Integrated - planning for land-use, infrastructure, & funding

• Growth management is part of spatial planSmartGrowth provides a unified vision, direction and voice for the future of the western Bay.

12

Our Spatial Plan

A mechanism to harness the collective impact of local government, iwi, business, central Government agencies, key industries and the community

It provides a shared pathway to guide us all towards a single vision - making Western Bay a great place to live, learn, work and play

Has medium to longer term focus (out 50 years) and provides framework for economic, social, cultural & environmental direction and development


13

SmartGrowth ‘Corridors’


14

The Four Well-beings

• Central to the 2013 Strategy• Required to be considered by Local

Government Act (2002)– Cultural– Social– Environment– Economic


15

The Four Well-beings


Cultural Economic Social Environment

Cultural Sense of identity and celebration of diversity

Arts, culture and heritage stimulates economic growth

Community spaces foster social connectivity

Understanding of cultural importance of

environment

Economic Greater funds for new projects and preservation

Balance of household income and

affordability of essential goods and

services, strong labour market , retention of

talent

Greater access to employment and opportunities to

purchase affordable basic goods

Investment can lead to preservation and

regeneration of land and waterways

Social Connected communities instils identity, maintains

support and creates cultural well-being

Strong society provides support to businesses

and individuals and promote local growth initiatives with skilled

labour

People co-exist in harmony with equal access to essential

services that they need including access to

education

Strong community leads to default

position of environmental guardianship

Environment Protected and well maintained waterways

and heritage sites contribute to cultural

well being

Investment in early environmental

protection prevents deterioration with far

greater long terms costs of response

Environmental well-being leads to locations that foster community

well-being

Balanced use of resources and

guardianship for future generations

16

SmartGrowth 2013 - 2023


17

Process

• SmartGrowth leads the identification and development of Urban Growth Areas

• Assessed for fatal flaws and relative benefits• ‘Big picture’ checks to balance infrastructure• Once agreed with partner councils, RMA

processes to include in RPS, District/City Plans, and RLTP.


18

Efficient delivery of infrastructure

• Transport– Road, rail, cycle, sea

• Three Waters– Water supply, stormwater, waste water

• Social– Recreation, community facilities, health,

education, shopping(food)


19

The future

• International trends• National context• Upper North Island Context• Regional Context• Western Bay Context


20

International Trends

• Increased economic volatility• Finite resources and increased difficulty in

accessing them• Price and availability of fuel• Climate change• Unaffordable housing• Science and technological advances


21

International Trends (cont)

• Global insecurities and economic instability and inequalities, food and resource shortages, as well as political situations

• Ongoing globalisation• Increased awareness of natural hazard risk• Significant demographic changes driven by

population ageing• By 2031 global population +65years increases by

98million people• All other age groups combined reduces by 41million


22

National Context

• Population growth slows and ageing population• Increasing debt levels• Improving economic productivity• Funding challenges for growth areas• Uneven spread of future growth with majority

focussed in Auckland, Waikato, BOP, Canterbury and to a lesser extent Wellington


23

Upper North Island Context

• Akl, Waikato and BOP expected to grow greater rate than rest of country By 2031 may account for 53% of NZ population

• Already account for over half of national road and rail freight. Waikato to double by 2031

• The three generate 45% of national GDP (2012). Expected to reach 50% by 2025

• As well as transport linkages, need for spatial linkages to ensure social and economic wellbeing


24

Western Bay sub-region

• Rapid growth since 2000 • Slowed during GFC• But not evenly spread over sub-region


25

What has happened up till now?


1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 20140

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

Population Growth in Western Bay of Plenty region

Tauranga CityWestern Bay of Plenty DistrictOpotiki DistrictKawerau DistrictWhakatane DistrictRotorua District

26

Historic Population Change

• Growth across the region apart from Kawerau• Modest in Opotiki and Whakatane• Strong Growth in Western Bay District and Tauranga

City• Western Bay District from 36,000 in 1996 to 46,000 in

2014 (+29%)• Tauranga Growth from 80,000 in 1996 to 122,000 in

2014 (+53%)• Tauranga City Residents 34% of region in 1996 to 43%

in 2014SmartGrowth provides a unified vision, direction and voice for the future of the western Bay.

27

Components of change


28

Where is this going?


20132014

20152016

20172018

20192020

20212022

20232024

20252026

20272028

20292030

20312032

20332034

20352036

20372038

20392040

20412042

20430

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

Population projection for Western Bay of Plenty region

Tauranga City

Western Bay of Plenty District

Opotiki District

Kawerau District

Whakatane District

Rotorua District

29

Where is this going?


20132014

20152016

20172018

20192020

20212022

20232024

20252026

20272028

20292030

20312032

20332034

20352036

20372038

20392040

20412042

20430

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

Population projection for Western Bay of Plenty region

Tauranga City

Western Bay of Plenty District

Opotiki District

Kawerau District

Whakatane District

Rotorua District

30

Population Projections

• Declining population in Opotiki (-28%), Kawerau (-39%), Whakatane (–8%) and Rotorua (-5%)

• Growth in Western Bay (15%) and Tauranga (41%)

• Overall 17% regional increase from 283,000 to 332,000

• Tauranga City population becomes 52% of Regional population


31

What type of growth do we project?

• Between 2034 and 2063, most of the growth (80%) will come from the 65+ year age group

• The structure of our population is changing – it is getting older


32

Population Ages


Western Bay Tauranga City

33

Population Ages


Western Bay Tauranga City

34

Ageing population

• By 2063, 40 % of the population will be over 65 cw 20% today

• For Tauranga City by 2063, 43% of the population will be over 65 cw 20% today

• Between 2034 and 2063, most of the growth (80%) will come from the 65+ year age group


35

Transport


36

Transport Network Performance


• Overall, by 2031, a significant proportion of the strategic network will operate at less than target performance.

Of note:• SH2 through

Bethlehem • SH29 from

Omanawa Rd to Maungatapu Bridge

• SH2 Hewletts to Girven

37

Transport (cont)

• Consider future growth area locations and form to minimise demand

• Consider how to diminish growth in travel demand

• Consider requirements to provide communities with alternatives

• Robust and consistent evidence base for required package of investments


38

Stormwater


• Increasing frequency of significant events• Topographical constraints focus effects• TCC proposed approach based on protecting life

not property – Long Term Plan Consultation• $250m for 765 properties (20yr event)• Future development required to mitigate

stormwater as part of development• Effects on infill and redevelopment

39

Waste water

• Chapel Street for the south and west City zones• Coastal strip ‘east’ by Te Maunga• Te Maunga able to be upgraded by modular

expansion• Chapel Street at capacity• Southern Pipeline under construction allows

flows between plants• Ocean outfall replacement c2026 $46m


40

Water supply

• Network capacity constraint• Modular upgrades possible• Some local additional reservoir capacity

required• Waiari treatment plant• Introduction of water meters delayed

investment by 10+ years.




43

Western Bay Water Supply

• Three zones• Gravity fed with

pump stations• Sourced from

streams and bores


44

Funding of infrastructure

• Combination of developer and public sector• Developers fund and provide ‘internal’ infrastructure• Public sector finances and provide external infrastructure• Development Contributions repay public sector debt as

land developed (houses built), however this leaves debt with public sector for several years

• Slow growth across multiple areas increases and prolongs debt

• High DCs reduce housing affordability and inhibit growth


45

Overall scale of infrastructure (30yrs)


State Highway Improvements Water Supply

TNL 200m Construct and commission Waiari Water Treatment Plan Stage 1 2016-2021 = $50m Stage 2 2026-2028 = $23m Stage 3 2040 = $5m

78m

SH2/Omokoroa Rd intersection 10m Waiari trunk mains and reservoirs 50mSH2/Te Puna intersection 5m Other Trunk mains and reservoirs

Cambridge Reservoirs = $4.6mEastern Reservoirs= $9.7mJoyce Reservoirs = $4.5mOropi Reservoirs = $4.6mKennedy Reservoirs = $9.5m

33m

SH2 safe system 60m Upgrades to mains and trunks 70mTauriko upgrade 200m District wide improvements to bores and reservoirs 11mCameron Road /Barkes corner grade separation 50m Slip lanes at twin roundabouts 2.5m Waste Water Oropi Road/SH 29 Flyover 50m Southern Pipeline 100mRoute K electronic tolling 8m Modular expansions of Te Maunga Treatment Plant 100mMaunganui/Girven and Te Maunga Intersection 100m Upgrade Te Maunga Outfall 45mTakitimu Drive/Elizabeth Street 5m Associated upgrades to pumps, mains and trunks 105mPapamoa East Interchange 25m Upgrading Katikati wastewater treatment plant 0.5mRangiuru Business Park Interchange 15m Upgrading Te Puke wastewater treatment plant 8m Major Local Road Improvements Stormwater Omokoroa Road upgrading 16m Land, ponds and pipes. 150mHairini Link stage 3 50m SH29/Cameron Road to Route K 4 laning 50m Welcome Bay Rd widening 2.5m District wide seal extension 15m Te Okuroa drive 25m Papamoa Beach Road upgrade 5m Domain Road 4-laning 7m Girven road 4-laning 9m TOTAL $1.7bnTara Rd 4-laning 9m

46

Key Challenges for SmartGrowth

• Predicting future needs– Housing typology– Population demographics– Available workforce– Technology / lifestyle changes demand

• Cost of infrastructure / Debt reduction– Ageing population

• National role vs local amenity– Access to Port vs local community well-being


47

The future?

• Tauranga urban area population 250,000+• 40% population over 65• But 75 is the new 60 - working longer in life• Large young population – tertiary education• Starting work later• Compact City – smaller housing, shared amenity,

stronger communities, distributed services• Public transport primary mode for urban trips• Car pooling for longer trips


48

The future?

• Port of Tauranga primary ‘industrial’ Port in New Zealand

• ‘Value add’ industry in the Mount associated with exports from port (food, wood products)

• Hi tech offices around CBD campus• Assembly/manufacture in Tauriko to onward

distribute to New Zealand• Centre for research in marine and Kiwi fruit /

Avocado production – training for youthSmartGrowth provides a unified vision, direction and voice for the future of the western Bay.

49

Concluding Observations

• Sub-region is key part of the ‘economic golden triangle’ with Waikato and Auckland, with half of nation’s population north of Taupo

• Contribution to national economy dependent on successful implementation of strategy, (and others) therefore wise investment in it, adds value

• Effective government engagement and collaboration• Partnership and collaboration being a way of life but take lots

of energy, ongoing commitment, management and looking at the common good

• SmartGrowth is about considering how the decisions of the present may affect the welfare of coming generations


Documents

The SmarthGrowth Story How collaboration provides certainty and delivers investment Duncan Tindall 9 th April 2015 SmartGrowth provides a unified vision,