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The Shelf in 2019 9 January 2020 Director General Ingrid Sølvberg

The Shelf in 2019 - Oljedirektoratet · 2020-03-19 · 2. 3 A lot of exploration wells and a lot of discoveries. Exploration activity 2010 –2019 4. Many discoveries in 2019. The

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Page 1: The Shelf in 2019 - Oljedirektoratet · 2020-03-19 · 2. 3 A lot of exploration wells and a lot of discoveries. Exploration activity 2010 –2019 4. Many discoveries in 2019. The

The Shelf in 20199 January 2020

Director General Ingrid Sølvberg

Page 2: The Shelf in 2019 - Oljedirektoratet · 2020-03-19 · 2. 3 A lot of exploration wells and a lot of discoveries. Exploration activity 2010 –2019 4. Many discoveries in 2019. The

Photo: Tom Haga/Conoco Phillips

50 years since the Ekofisk discovery

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Page 3: The Shelf in 2019 - Oljedirektoratet · 2020-03-19 · 2. 3 A lot of exploration wells and a lot of discoveries. Exploration activity 2010 –2019 4. Many discoveries in 2019. The

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A lot of exploration wellsand a lot of discoveries

Page 4: The Shelf in 2019 - Oljedirektoratet · 2020-03-19 · 2. 3 A lot of exploration wells and a lot of discoveries. Exploration activity 2010 –2019 4. Many discoveries in 2019. The

Exploration activity 2010 – 2019

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Page 5: The Shelf in 2019 - Oljedirektoratet · 2020-03-19 · 2. 3 A lot of exploration wells and a lot of discoveries. Exploration activity 2010 –2019 4. Many discoveries in 2019. The

Many discoveries in 2019

Page 6: The Shelf in 2019 - Oljedirektoratet · 2020-03-19 · 2. 3 A lot of exploration wells and a lot of discoveries. Exploration activity 2010 –2019 4. Many discoveries in 2019. The

The value of "a small discovery"?

+Ryfast tunnel project New Stavanger University Hospital

Illustrations: Stavanger Aftenblad 6

Page 7: The Shelf in 2019 - Oljedirektoratet · 2020-03-19 · 2. 3 A lot of exploration wells and a lot of discoveries. Exploration activity 2010 –2019 4. Many discoveries in 2019. The

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Good access to acreage and a lot of exploration wells

Page 8: The Shelf in 2019 - Oljedirektoratet · 2020-03-19 · 2. 3 A lot of exploration wells and a lot of discoveries. Exploration activity 2010 –2019 4. Many discoveries in 2019. The

Good data – necessary for success

Illustration: Magseis-Fairfield8

Page 9: The Shelf in 2019 - Oljedirektoratet · 2020-03-19 · 2. 3 A lot of exploration wells and a lot of discoveries. Exploration activity 2010 –2019 4. Many discoveries in 2019. The

Proven petroleum in 2019

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Page 10: The Shelf in 2019 - Oljedirektoratet · 2020-03-19 · 2. 3 A lot of exploration wells and a lot of discoveries. Exploration activity 2010 –2019 4. Many discoveries in 2019. The

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Record number of fieldsin production

Page 11: The Shelf in 2019 - Oljedirektoratet · 2020-03-19 · 2. 3 A lot of exploration wells and a lot of discoveries. Exploration activity 2010 –2019 4. Many discoveries in 2019. The

Are we headed for a new production record?Production up to 2024, distributed by product

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Page 12: The Shelf in 2019 - Oljedirektoratet · 2020-03-19 · 2. 3 A lot of exploration wells and a lot of discoveries. Exploration activity 2010 –2019 4. Many discoveries in 2019. The

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Johan Sverdrup on stream in 2019

Photo: Equinor/Espen Rønnevik/Øyvind Gravås

Page 13: The Shelf in 2019 - Oljedirektoratet · 2020-03-19 · 2. 3 A lot of exploration wells and a lot of discoveries. Exploration activity 2010 –2019 4. Many discoveries in 2019. The

More fields that started operating in 2019Considerable values, even in the smaller developments

Total current value

NOK 31 billion

OdaHost field: Ula

TrestakkHost field: Åsgard

UtgardHost field: Sleipner

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Page 14: The Shelf in 2019 - Oljedirektoratet · 2020-03-19 · 2. 3 A lot of exploration wells and a lot of discoveries. Exploration activity 2010 –2019 4. Many discoveries in 2019. The

Gas from Oda increases reserves on Ula

Photo: Aker BP14

Page 15: The Shelf in 2019 - Oljedirektoratet · 2020-03-19 · 2. 3 A lot of exploration wells and a lot of discoveries. Exploration activity 2010 –2019 4. Many discoveries in 2019. The

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Other development plans approved in 2019

SolveigHost field: Edvard Grieg

Gjøa P1Host field: Gjøa

DuvaHost field: Gjøa

Opal sørHost field: Gullfaks

Shetland/Lista Host field: Gullfaks

Tor IIHost field: Ekofisk

Total current value

NOK 38 billion

Page 16: The Shelf in 2019 - Oljedirektoratet · 2020-03-19 · 2. 3 A lot of exploration wells and a lot of discoveries. Exploration activity 2010 –2019 4. Many discoveries in 2019. The

New life in old veterans

16Photo: Vår Energi Photo: Equinor/Harald Pettersen

Illustration: Conoco-Phillips

BALDER EKOFISK AND TOR II

STATFJORD

Page 17: The Shelf in 2019 - Oljedirektoratet · 2020-03-19 · 2. 3 A lot of exploration wells and a lot of discoveries. Exploration activity 2010 –2019 4. Many discoveries in 2019. The

The challenging barrelsConsiderable values could be left in place

17Researcher at the IOR Centre/University of Stavanger

Photo: Jan Inge Haga

Present oil and gas in tight reservoirs. Figures in million Sm3 oe

Page 18: The Shelf in 2019 - Oljedirektoratet · 2020-03-19 · 2. 3 A lot of exploration wells and a lot of discoveries. Exploration activity 2010 –2019 4. Many discoveries in 2019. The

Continued reserve growth for oil requires decisions

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Page 19: The Shelf in 2019 - Oljedirektoratet · 2020-03-19 · 2. 3 A lot of exploration wells and a lot of discoveries. Exploration activity 2010 –2019 4. Many discoveries in 2019. The

Production increases, emissions go down

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Page 20: The Shelf in 2019 - Oljedirektoratet · 2020-03-19 · 2. 3 A lot of exploration wells and a lot of discoveries. Exploration activity 2010 –2019 4. Many discoveries in 2019. The

Full-scale CCS demonstration project

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Page 21: The Shelf in 2019 - Oljedirektoratet · 2020-03-19 · 2. 3 A lot of exploration wells and a lot of discoveries. Exploration activity 2010 –2019 4. Many discoveries in 2019. The

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The investment levelremains high

Page 22: The Shelf in 2019 - Oljedirektoratet · 2020-03-19 · 2. 3 A lot of exploration wells and a lot of discoveries. Exploration activity 2010 –2019 4. Many discoveries in 2019. The

Investments level off starting in 2021

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Page 23: The Shelf in 2019 - Oljedirektoratet · 2020-03-19 · 2. 3 A lot of exploration wells and a lot of discoveries. Exploration activity 2010 –2019 4. Many discoveries in 2019. The

Stable activity level in the next five yearsTotal costs leading up to 2024

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Page 24: The Shelf in 2019 - Oljedirektoratet · 2020-03-19 · 2. 3 A lot of exploration wells and a lot of discoveries. Exploration activity 2010 –2019 4. Many discoveries in 2019. The

Costs are declining and production is increasing

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Page 25: The Shelf in 2019 - Oljedirektoratet · 2020-03-19 · 2. 3 A lot of exploration wells and a lot of discoveries. Exploration activity 2010 –2019 4. Many discoveries in 2019. The

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Future value creation

Page 26: The Shelf in 2019 - Oljedirektoratet · 2020-03-19 · 2. 3 A lot of exploration wells and a lot of discoveries. Exploration activity 2010 –2019 4. Many discoveries in 2019. The

Still more than half left

Total resources: 15.7 billion Sm3 of oil equivalent

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Page 27: The Shelf in 2019 - Oljedirektoratet · 2020-03-19 · 2. 3 A lot of exploration wells and a lot of discoveries. Exploration activity 2010 –2019 4. Many discoveries in 2019. The

Many discoveries can be developed to tie in to existing infrastructure

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Page 28: The Shelf in 2019 - Oljedirektoratet · 2020-03-19 · 2. 3 A lot of exploration wells and a lot of discoveries. Exploration activity 2010 –2019 4. Many discoveries in 2019. The

Good opportunities for substantial values from undiscovered resources

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BARENTS SEA NORTH

BARENTS SEA SOUTH

NORWEGIAN SEA

NORTH SEA

P95

Expected

P05

Open area

Norwegian shelf boundary

Sea area with estimate for undiscovered resources

Page 29: The Shelf in 2019 - Oljedirektoratet · 2020-03-19 · 2. 3 A lot of exploration wells and a lot of discoveries. Exploration activity 2010 –2019 4. Many discoveries in 2019. The

Continuing to map the Barents Sea North

Svalbard

29Foto: Shearwater Geoservices

Legend

Page 30: The Shelf in 2019 - Oljedirektoratet · 2020-03-19 · 2. 3 A lot of exploration wells and a lot of discoveries. Exploration activity 2010 –2019 4. Many discoveries in 2019. The

Minerals on the seabed

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Page 31: The Shelf in 2019 - Oljedirektoratet · 2020-03-19 · 2. 3 A lot of exploration wells and a lot of discoveries. Exploration activity 2010 –2019 4. Many discoveries in 2019. The

Total production up to 2030

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Page 32: The Shelf in 2019 - Oljedirektoratet · 2020-03-19 · 2. 3 A lot of exploration wells and a lot of discoveries. Exploration activity 2010 –2019 4. Many discoveries in 2019. The

Continued high value creation from the Norwegian shelf

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