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The Secretary-General’s Strategy for Financing the 2030 Agenda, and financing development challenges and priorities Ulukbek Usubaliev Macroeconomic Policy and Financing for Development Division Issyk-Kul, Kyrgyzstan 21 August 2019

The Secretary-General’s Strategy for Financing the 2030 Agenda, … · 2020. 1. 31. · The Secretary-General’s Strategy forFinancing the 2030 Agenda, and financing development

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Page 1: The Secretary-General’s Strategy for Financing the 2030 Agenda, … · 2020. 1. 31. · The Secretary-General’s Strategy forFinancing the 2030 Agenda, and financing development

The Secretary-General’s Strategy for

Financing the 2030 Agenda, and financing

development challenges and priorities

Ulukbek Usubaliev

Macroeconomic Policy and

Financing for Development

Division

Issyk-Kul, Kyrgyzstan

21 August 2019

Page 2: The Secretary-General’s Strategy for Financing the 2030 Agenda, … · 2020. 1. 31. · The Secretary-General’s Strategy forFinancing the 2030 Agenda, and financing development

Main Messages

Key issues in financing sustainable development to achieve the

2030 Agenda in North and Central Asia:

- Large investment gap and its estimating issues

- Weak economic diversification which reduces financial resources

- Limited public and private financing the 2030 Agenda

Key priorities of the region in financing development framework :

- Comprehensive financing strategies and integrated policy

frameworks are necessary to achieve the 2030 Agenda

- Estimating investment gaps

- Resource mobilization: tax revenue, private finance through

capital market development and Public-Private Partnerships,

climate finance

How the UN including ESCAP is supporting:

- Secretary-General’s strategy and integrated national financing

framework.

- Analytical work, research and capacity building

Page 3: The Secretary-General’s Strategy for Financing the 2030 Agenda, … · 2020. 1. 31. · The Secretary-General’s Strategy forFinancing the 2030 Agenda, and financing development

1. The Secretary-General’s

strategy for financing the

2030 Agenda and integrated

national financing

frameworks

Page 4: The Secretary-General’s Strategy for Financing the 2030 Agenda, … · 2020. 1. 31. · The Secretary-General’s Strategy forFinancing the 2030 Agenda, and financing development

3 Objectives

Aligning global economic policies

and financial systems with the

2030 Agenda

Enhancing sustainable

financing strategies and investments at

regional and country levels

Seizing the potential of financial

innovations, new technologies and digitalization to

provide equitable access to finance

1 Goal

Page 5: The Secretary-General’s Strategy for Financing the 2030 Agenda, … · 2020. 1. 31. · The Secretary-General’s Strategy forFinancing the 2030 Agenda, and financing development

1

Integrate the SDGs and

Paris Agreement into

Economic & Financial

Policies and Practice

2 3

4 5 6

Scale-up Climate

Finance

Highlight the needs of

LDCs and SIDS

Accelerate the work of

the UN SystemEstablish Global

Platforms

Strengthen

Partnerships with IFIs

Page 6: The Secretary-General’s Strategy for Financing the 2030 Agenda, … · 2020. 1. 31. · The Secretary-General’s Strategy forFinancing the 2030 Agenda, and financing development

Integrated national financing frameworks: overview

- Most national development plans are not

accompanied by financing strategies.

- Integrated national financing frameworks help:

- Align financing with long-term priorities

- Focus on binding constraints to mobilize resources

- Identify targeted policies and reforms

- Facilitate sequencing of reforms

Page 7: The Secretary-General’s Strategy for Financing the 2030 Agenda, … · 2020. 1. 31. · The Secretary-General’s Strategy forFinancing the 2030 Agenda, and financing development

Integrated national financing frameworks: building blocks

Source: FSDR 2019

The Survey 2019 estimated investment gaps which is one of the initial

steps to develop an integrated financing framework.

It also shows the range of policy interventions needed to achieve SDGs

Page 8: The Secretary-General’s Strategy for Financing the 2030 Agenda, … · 2020. 1. 31. · The Secretary-General’s Strategy forFinancing the 2030 Agenda, and financing development

2. Key challenges in financing

sustainable development in

North and Central Asia

Page 9: The Secretary-General’s Strategy for Financing the 2030 Agenda, … · 2020. 1. 31. · The Secretary-General’s Strategy forFinancing the 2030 Agenda, and financing development

From 17 Goals to 3 dimensions…

spanning people, prosperity and the planet … supported by good governance and strong partnerships

People Planet

Prosperity

Page 10: The Secretary-General’s Strategy for Financing the 2030 Agenda, … · 2020. 1. 31. · The Secretary-General’s Strategy forFinancing the 2030 Agenda, and financing development

ESCAP’s Survey 2019 estimates an investment

gap of $1.5 trillion per year or 5% of GDP for

developing Asia-Pacific …

Annual avera

ge, 2016-2

030

$ b

illio

ns in 2

016 c

onsta

nt prices

669

People Prosperity Planet

Page 11: The Secretary-General’s Strategy for Financing the 2030 Agenda, … · 2020. 1. 31. · The Secretary-General’s Strategy forFinancing the 2030 Agenda, and financing development

… or ≈ $1 per person per day

≈$1 43₵

NO POVERTY

& ZERO

HUNGER

HEALTH AND

EDUCATION

12₵

SUSTAINABLE

INFRASTRUCTURE

FOR ALL

37₵

CLEAN ENERGY

FOR ALL

PROTECTION

FOR NATURE

It’s within reach!

Page 12: The Secretary-General’s Strategy for Financing the 2030 Agenda, … · 2020. 1. 31. · The Secretary-General’s Strategy forFinancing the 2030 Agenda, and financing development

Weak economic diversification. Strong commodity

dependence substantially reduces capacity to

finance for achieving the 2030 Agenda

-11.4 -11.4

-9.8

-8.4

-12

-8

-4

0

2014 2015 2016 2017

Per

centa

ge

of

GD

P

Non-Oil Fiscal Balance of the

Russian Federation

-6.6

-8.9

-12.9

-8.3

-12.7

-13

-9

-5

-1

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Per

centa

ge

of

GD

P

Non-Oil Fiscal Balance of

Kazakhstan

-46.5

-35.8-34.4

-37.7

-32.6

-50

-30

-10

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Per

centa

ge

of

GD

P

Non-Oil Fiscal Balance of

Azerbaijan

Source: the author’s estimations based on the national authorities’ data

Page 13: The Secretary-General’s Strategy for Financing the 2030 Agenda, … · 2020. 1. 31. · The Secretary-General’s Strategy forFinancing the 2030 Agenda, and financing development

Significant dependence on oil revenue and

commodity prices volatility

51.943.3

35.9 35.8

48.156.7

64.1 64.2

0

20

40

60

80

100

2014 2015 2016 2017

Per

centa

ge

F i s c a l R e v e n u e s o f

R u s s i a

Oil Revenues Non-Oil Revenues

4840

2333

5260

7767

0

20

40

60

80

100

2014 2015 2016 2017

Per

centa

ge

F i s c a l R e v e n u e s o f

K a z a k h s t a n

Oil Revenues

Non-Oil Revenues

62 57.244.3 41

49.5

38 42.855.7 59

50.5

0

20

40

60

80

100

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Per

centa

ge

F i s c a l R e v e n u e s o f

A z e r b a i j a n

Oil Revenues

Non-Oil Revenues

Source: the author’s estimations based on the national authorities’ data

Page 14: The Secretary-General’s Strategy for Financing the 2030 Agenda, … · 2020. 1. 31. · The Secretary-General’s Strategy forFinancing the 2030 Agenda, and financing development

Significant dependence on commodity export

and commodity prices volatility

65.358.2 53.6 54.2

34.741.8 46.4 45.8

0

20

40

60

80

100

2014 2015 2016 2017

T o t a l E x p o r t o f

G o o d s o f t h e R u s s i a n

F e d e r a t i o n

Energy (Oil and Gas)

Non-Energy

66.8 66.757.6 52 55.3

33.2 33.342.4 48 44.7

0

20

40

60

80

100

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

T o t a l E x p o r t o f G o o d s

o f K a z a k h s t a n

Energy (Oil and Gas)

Non-Energy

94.4 94.2 90.4 90 90.3

5.6 5.8 9.6 10 9.7

0

20

40

60

80

100

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

T o t a l E x p o r t o f G o o d s

o f A z e r b a i j a n

Energy (Oil and Gas)

Non-Energy

Source: the author’s estimations based on the national authorities’ data

Page 15: The Secretary-General’s Strategy for Financing the 2030 Agenda, … · 2020. 1. 31. · The Secretary-General’s Strategy forFinancing the 2030 Agenda, and financing development

Infrastructure financing needs in Asia’s LLDCs

require 10.5 % of GDP annually in average to close

infrastructure gap within 2018-2030

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

Afghanistan

Armenia

Azerbaijan

Bhutan

Kazakhstan

Kyrgyz Republic

Lao PDR

Mongolia

Nepal

Tajikistan

Turkmenistan

Uzbekistan

% of GDP

2018-2030

Transport Energy ICT WSS

Infrastructure has a direct influence on over 80 per cent of

the Sustainable Development Goals targets (UNEP, 2019).

Page 16: The Secretary-General’s Strategy for Financing the 2030 Agenda, … · 2020. 1. 31. · The Secretary-General’s Strategy forFinancing the 2030 Agenda, and financing development

3. What should the priorities be

for the North and Central Asian

region in financing framework?

Page 17: The Secretary-General’s Strategy for Financing the 2030 Agenda, … · 2020. 1. 31. · The Secretary-General’s Strategy forFinancing the 2030 Agenda, and financing development

Mobilization of public and private resources

Source: FSDR 2019

Page 18: The Secretary-General’s Strategy for Financing the 2030 Agenda, … · 2020. 1. 31. · The Secretary-General’s Strategy forFinancing the 2030 Agenda, and financing development

Increasing tax revenue. Better tax administration,

higher tax revenue

China

Hong Kong, China

Indonesia

IndiaCambodia

Republic of Korea

Myanmar

MongoliaMalaysia

Philippines

Singapore

Thailand

Tajikistan

Turkey

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Ta

x r

eve

nu

e-t

o-G

DP

ra

tio

in

20

14

(%

)

The value of Tax Administration IndexSource: ESCAP Survey 2018

Page 19: The Secretary-General’s Strategy for Financing the 2030 Agenda, … · 2020. 1. 31. · The Secretary-General’s Strategy forFinancing the 2030 Agenda, and financing development

Leveraging private finance through public-private

partnerships. More enabling policy environment, larger

PPP value

Source: ESCAP Survey 2018

Page 20: The Secretary-General’s Strategy for Financing the 2030 Agenda, … · 2020. 1. 31. · The Secretary-General’s Strategy forFinancing the 2030 Agenda, and financing development

0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9

KiribatiMaldives

Marshall IslandsSamoa

Solomon IslandsTajikistan

Timor-LesteVanuatu

MyanmarCambodia

FijiKyrgyzstan

TurkmenistanNepal

ArmeniaBhutan

BangladeshGeorgia

UzbekistanAzerbaijan

Lao PDRMacao, China

PakistanSri LankaMongolia

Brunei DarussalamPapua New Guinea

Viet NamIran, Islamic Rep.

Asia and PacificIndonesia

KazakhstanPhilippines

Russian FederationIndia

New ZealandTurkey

MalaysiaChina

SingaporeHong Kong, China

ThailandJapan

AustraliaRepublic of Korea

Capital market development levels in Asia-

Pacific in 2016

Source: IMF

Enhancing the role of domestic capital markets

Page 21: The Secretary-General’s Strategy for Financing the 2030 Agenda, … · 2020. 1. 31. · The Secretary-General’s Strategy forFinancing the 2030 Agenda, and financing development

ODA

(e.g. improved cook stoves in Mali)

ODA

(e.g. climate-resilient infrastructure in Nepal)

Not ODA

TOSD

(e.g. wind turbines in Kazakhstan, China,

etc.)

ODA

(e.g. climate-resilient agriculture

in Kyrgyzstan, Vietnam, etc.)

Middle-income countries

Least developed countries

Mitigation Adaptation

Scale-up Climate Finance

- environmental dimensions of the 2030 Agenda;

- weak economic diversification;

- diversification of sources of financing

Climate Finance allows to address:

Page 22: The Secretary-General’s Strategy for Financing the 2030 Agenda, … · 2020. 1. 31. · The Secretary-General’s Strategy forFinancing the 2030 Agenda, and financing development

4. ESCAP’s work supports sustainable

development goals 1, 8, 9, 10, 16, and 17, along with

strengthening finance as a mean to implement them

Research work and knowledge products:1. “The Economic and Social Survey for Asia and the Pacific”. The Survey for

2019 focused on estimating the cost of achieving the SDGs by 2030 in Asia

and the Pacific. Recent editions have analyzed issues such as mobilizing

finance for sustained, inclusive and sustainable economic growth (2018),

improving governance and fiscal management (2017), and nurturing

productivity (2016).

2. “The Countries with Special Needs Development Report” for 2019 explored

the role of structural transformation in poverty reduction in CSN of Asia and

the Pacific region. Recent editions have discussed issues such as sustaining

peace for sustainable development (2018), investing in infrastructure (2017),

and adapting the 2030 Agenda at the national level (2016).

3. Financing for Development book, Financing in Asia and the Pacific: situation

and challenges. The 2019 issue focused on infrastructure financing strategies

for sustainable development. The 2017 issue discussed Tax Policies for

Sustainable Development.

4. ESCAP also publishes research studies, working papers and policy briefs on various financing for development issues.

Page 23: The Secretary-General’s Strategy for Financing the 2030 Agenda, … · 2020. 1. 31. · The Secretary-General’s Strategy forFinancing the 2030 Agenda, and financing development

Further, ESCAP provides capacity building

services

ESCAP provides technical support and capacity building services in a host

of areas:

• Supporting policymakers to leverage domestic financial resources

more effectively and mobilize innovative financing strategies for

sustainable development;

• Building countries’ capacity to implement public-private

partnerships to finance infrastructure projects, and develop a PPP

and infrastructure financing network;

• Supporting the design and implementation of finance strategies and

related fiscal governance issues.

Page 24: The Secretary-General’s Strategy for Financing the 2030 Agenda, … · 2020. 1. 31. · The Secretary-General’s Strategy forFinancing the 2030 Agenda, and financing development

TAKEAWAY MESSAGES

Key challenges such as investment gap

including estimating issues, weak economic

diversification, and very limited mobilization of

public and private resources should be the

priorities for North and Central Asia for

achieving the 2030 Agenda

UN provides an overarching support to

member States to address financing

development challenges and priorities of the

countries to achieve the 2030 Agenda

Page 25: The Secretary-General’s Strategy for Financing the 2030 Agenda, … · 2020. 1. 31. · The Secretary-General’s Strategy forFinancing the 2030 Agenda, and financing development

Thank you!

ESCAP Financing for Development in Asia and the Pacific 2019

www.unescap.org/resources/financing-development-asia-and-pacific-

highlights-context-addis-ababa-action-agenda-2019

ESCAP Economic and Social Survey of Asia and the Pacific 2018

www.unescap.org/publications/economic-and-social-survey-asia-and-pacific-

2018

DESA Financing for Sustainable Development Report 2019

www.developmentfinance.un.org/fsdr2019

ESCAP Economic and Social Survey of Asia and the Pacific 2019

www.unescap.org/publications/economic-and-social-survey-asia-and-pacific-

2019

ESCAP Asia-Pacific Countries with Special Needs Development Report

2019: Structural transformation and its role in reducing poverty

www.unescap.org/publications/asia-pacific-countries-special-needs-

development-report-2019

UN Secretary-General’s Strategy for Financing

the 2030 Agendahttps://www.un.org/sustainabledevelopment/sg-finance-strategy/