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The Rise & Impact of the ASEAN Economic Community (AEC)
Focus: Healthcare
© 2015 Frost & Sullivan. All rights reserved. This document contains highly confidential information and is the sole property of
Frost & Sullivan. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, copied or otherwise reproduced without the written approval of Frost & Sullivan.
From a regional security forum, ASEAN has become the driving force
behind economic integration
1967: Original aimscooperation in the economic, social, cultural, technical, educational and other fields, and in the promotion of regional peace and stability
2015: Original aims maintained but vision enhancedA community comprised of three pillars:1. ASEAN Political-Security
Community2. ASEAN Economic
Community3. ASEAN Socio-Cultural
Community.
2020: ASEAN Vision 2020 An integrated and liberalized region in terms of the trade of goods, services, investments, and capital.
ASEAN 2020: A Partnership in Dynamic Development
Deadline for Non-Tariff Barriers within ASEAN to be eliminated
ASEAN Timeline
2
3
Related events impacting healthcare delivery within this context
Full implementation of the AEC; e-commerce, logistics, tourism, HC
Trade Regulatory
ASEAN MDD – harmonised medical devices registration framework
Indonesia’s JKN (UHC by 2019); Philippines UHC Act. Vietnam’s UC Masterplan
Manufacturing Demographics
Government’s priorities in pharmaceutical, medical devices, clinical research
Aged care, chronic diseases; Singapore’s Healthcare 2020 Masterplan
Access
From a public health perspective, Government’s are faced with an uphill task of
providing quality healthcare access balanced with spend
Total healthcare expenditure in South East Asia
has grown at ~12.4% CAGR (2010-2014)
in comparison to 5.4% in global spend. . .
The upward trend continues
4
Healthcare Expenditure per Capita remains way below global average in most
countries despite double digit increase in total expenditure
5
• Thailand has highest
% of public spending
• Private contribution
highest in Cambodia,
Indonesia, Myanmar
• Public focus on
infrastructure,
infectious diseases,
preventive health,
MDGs.
Healthcare Expenditure per Capita in South East Asia, 2014
Healthcare Resources continue to be a challenge
6
Number of Nurses per 1,000 population in South East Asia, 2012 (or latest available year)
Number of Hospital Beds per 1,000 population in South East Asia, 2012 (or latest available year)
Infrastructure investment continues to support healthcare access goals
7
Growth in Hospital Infrastructure in Selected South East Asian countries (2013 and 2019F)
Country
Number of hospitals Number of hospital beds
2013 2019CAGR
(2013-2019)2013 2019
CAGR(2013-2019)
Indonesia 2,247 3,225 6.2% 278,450 319,200 2.3%
Malaysia 363 386 1.0% 57,470 63,533 1.7%
Singapore 25 30 3.1% 10,969 14,148 4.3%
Thailand 1,377 1,373 (0.05%) 147,400 170,460 2.5%
Private hospitals arelooking to increasetheir bed capacityvia the expansion ofexisting facilities orconstruction of newhospitals.
Public hospitals in the region set to increase as governments aim to reduce burden on existing facilities; provide better access to hospital services for poor and rural areas
Vietnam offers infrastructure oppsmainly in private sector. Myanmar and Cambodia in early stages of development for both public and private sector
Regulations are continuing to evolve
8
100% 100% 100% 100%
80%
67%
50% 49%
40%
30%
0%
50%
100%
Singapore Vietnam Cambodia Laos Myanmar Indonesia Brunei Thailand Philippines Malaysia
Fo
reig
n o
wn
ers
hip
Maximum Foreign Ownership in Hospital Services in South East Asia Increasingly various member nations ofASEAN are taking steps to promote foreigninvestment in the healthcare sector
Indonesia: 2014 updated negative list:Allows foreign investment in this sectorthroughout the country; removes 200-bedminimum requirement for specialist/sub-specialist hospital services; South East Asiainvestors in the specialist/sub-specialisthospital services sector, the ownership capis 70% for investments in Eastern Indonesia.
Myanmar: Revised its foreign investment lawwhich provides an 80% cap on foreignownership for hospitals and clinics.
Philippines: Public-Private Partnershipprogramme allows private groups to finance,design, build, operate, and maintain a hospital fora maximum period of 25 years, after which thehospitals would be turned over to the Dept ofHealth.
Malaysia: Plans to open up the private hospitalservices sector to 100% foreign equityparticipation (from 30% for WTO members and70% for ASEAN members). Includes specialisedmedical and dental services sector, whichpreviously prohibited foreign equity participation.
Medical Devices: Largely an import dependant region
9
Country
Medical device market (US$ million) Value of imports to meet the
domestic market (2013)
Proportion of domestic
market met by imports (2013)
2013 2019F CAGR (2013-19)
Indonesia 678 1,375 12.5% 647 95%
Malaysia 1,359 3,330 16.1% 1,173 86%
Philippines 297 518 9.7% 244 82%
Singapore 466 1,038 14.3% NA NA
Thailand 1,200 2,484 12.9% 1,009 84%
Vietnam 730 90%
Supply chain & distribution;
e-procurement
Regulatory initiatives
Local manufacturing,processes, factoryautomation, increasing insupply chain efficiency,operations
Use of technology in enabling access is in early stages of development
10
m-Health solutions that canshow improvements in overalloutcomes, linked to diseaseimprovement and cost savings
Health monitoring for patients in
rural areas, including post acute
care, follow on care
Support for eHealth initiatives
started by various governments
in SEA
Telemedicine solutions that help
improve healthcare delivery for
communities in rural and remote
areas
The Eastern Health Alliance (EHA), Philips Healthcare
and Changi General Hospital (CGH) are piloting a new
telehealth programme for healthcare professionals to
remotely monitor the recovery of patients with heart
failure
Through the Philippines e-Health Strategic Framework
and Plan (PeHSFP), Philippines is planning to deploy
RxBox2 in rural health units and city health offices
The Healthcare Wellness and Aging Panel of A*Star’s
Science & Technology Value Creation (STVC) 2015 has
identified remote health monitoring as one of the high
priority areas for research
Still a relatively young region, aging is a future issue
11
0.4 15.1
248.6
6.829.7
51.0
98.4
5.4
67.0
89.7
0.416.5
267.9
7.6
32.053.4
108.9
6.3
68.2
95.5
0
75
150
225
300
Brunei Cambodia Indonesia Laos Malaysia Myanmar Philippines Singapore Thailand Vietnam
Po
pu
lati
on
(m
illi
on
)
2013 2019 CAGR 2013-2019F
1.6%
1.5%
1.3%
1.9% 1.3%
0.8%
1.7%
2.6%
0.3%
1.1%
3.6% 3.8%5.0%
3.9%5.0% 4.9% 4.6%
11.1%
7.1% 6.8%
4.6% 5.0%6.2%
4.1%
6.8%6.0% 6.0%
17.3%
9.7%9.0%
0%
10%
20%
Brunei Cambodia Indonesia Laos Malaysia Myanmar Philippines Singapore Thailand Vietnam
Pro
pro
tio
n o
f p
op
ula
tio
n a
ge
d
65
ye
ars
an
d o
ve
r
2010 2020F
Global average : 8.0%
Proportion of Population Aged 65 Years and Over in South East Asia, 2010 and 2020F
Total Population and Population Growth in South East Asia, 2013 and 2019F• Products and services
to assist with ageing inplace; independence athome
• Training services fornurses and personnelto deliver care to theelderly at home,geriatric care
• Development andmanagement of seniorliving facilities:Collaborations fordevelopments;operational,management servicesfor senior living homes,retirement houses,aged care facilities andnursing homes.
The ASEAN Way Forward: Though the formation of EU-like initiatives such as
the Bologna process, Europol, and the Banking Union are still far away, slow and
incremental progress is made towards the ASEAN Vision
12
The current reality of the millions of currently impoverished Southeast Asians is out of sync
with the ASEAN 2020 vision, but the ASEAN 2020 Vision will be helping ASEAN to move
towards this to achieve it somewhere in 2030-2040
ASEAN 2020 Vision
Nations being
governed with the consent and greater participation of the people
Vibrant and open societies
Equitable access to opportunities for total human development
Water and food security
Energy securitySocially
cohesive and caring
Technologically competitive
Strong networks of
scientific and technological
institutions and centers of excellence
Clean and green
Frost & Sullivan, the Growth Partnership Company, works in collaboration with
clients to leverage visionary innovation that addresses the global challenges andrelated growth opportunities that will make or break today’s market participants.For more than 50 years, we have been developing growth strategies for theGlobal 1000, emerging businesses, the public sector and the investmentcommunity. Is your organization prepared for the next profound wave of industryconvergence, disruptive technologies, increasing competitive intensity, MegaTrends, breakthrough best practices, changing customer dynamics and emergingeconomies? Contact Us: Start the Discussion
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