The RAINS-Italy ProjectThe RAINS-Italy Project Italian Agency for New Technologies Energy and the Environment RAINS-NL Workshop, Bilthoven, February 3rd, 2005 1) Established in 2002

The RAINS-ItalyProject

Italian Agency for New TechnologiesEnergy and the Environment

RAINS-NL Workshop, Bilthoven, February 3rd, 2005

T. Pignatelli - Italy

A tool for Policy Planning and Assessment

In this presentation:



1) General Information on the project

3) The RAINS-Italy characteristics

4) Applications in the international context

5) Applications at national / local level

6) Some results

7) Future developments

2) The project objectives

The RAINS-Italy Project



1) Established in 2002 as Joint Research Project ENEA-IIASA

2) Sponsored by the Italian Ministry for the Environment, within the larger MINNI Project (National Integrated Modelling system for International Negotiations)

3) Works carried out jointly by ENEA, IIASA and ARIANET

4) To be completed within April 2005

5) People involved: (ENEA) F.Monforti, P.Ornelli, T.Pignatelli, G.Vialetto, G. Zanini(IIASA) TAP Project Staff

(ARIANET) G.Brusasca, G.Calori, S.Finardi, P.Radice, C.Silibello

The objectives of the RAINS-Italy project



1) Development of an Integrated Assessment Model, on national scale withthe same features of the RAINS-Europe Model, for policy analysis purposes

3) Adaptation of the RAINS structure to the Italian Administrativeregions

4) Inclusion in RAINS-Italy of a number of Large Combustion Plantsindividually considered (Power Plants, Refineries)

2) Atmospheric Chemistry and Pollutant Transport based upon a national developed eulerian modelling system

The RAINS-Italy characteristics



20 Administrative Regions

4 Metropolitan Areas, 1 National Sea Traffic Area

14 Large Power Sources

The RAINS-Italy Structure (source areas)

Atmospheric Tranfer Matrix

Created by the FARM model

Base meteorological year 1999

The RAINS-Italy characteristics (cont.)



National, regional cost-curves

Output (nation, regions, metro-areas):

Emission scenarios for SO2, NOx, NH3, VOC, PM

Deposition/concentration maps for acidification,eutrofication, PM, ozone

Heath impact from ozone and PM

National Sea Traffic emissions separately considered

Large Power Sources emissions

The RAINS-Italy Grid


RAINS-NL Workshop, Bilthoven, February 3rd, 2005EMEP 50 km MINNI 20 km

The RAINS-Italy within the MINNI Project



AMS

Creation of the Atmosferic Tranfer Matrix in RAINS-Italy



Piemonteregion

“Atmosferic Transfer

matrix”

RAINS-Italy and AMS mutual feeding



Atmosperic Atmosperic Modelling Modelling

SystemSystemRAINS ItalyRAINS Italy

Applications in the international context



Emission Scenario Analyses in the frame of :

- The CAFE Program of the EU Commission

- The UN-ECE CLRTAP ( within the TFIAM )

- The revision of the NECD of the EU Commission (2001/81/CE)

- The UN-ECE CLRTAP ( ICP Materials )Italian Sub-Center for Stocks at Risk (Cultural Heritage)

- The UN-ECE CLRTAP ( provisions art. 8 and revision of the Gothenburg Protocol )

Italian Sub-Center for Stocks at Risk (Cultural Heritage)



Applications at national/regional level



Emission Scenarios and deposition/concentration maps in the frame of :

-The Air Quality Directive (96/62/CE) and daughter dirrectives of the EU Commission (plans & programmes referred to art. 8)

- Ex-ante, Ex-post assessment of measures at national/regional level

- Sectoral emission analysis at regional level (relative contribution from sectors)

- Sectoral emission analysis at national level (e.g. pollution from seagoing ships)

- Assessment of non-technical measures

Assessment of measures



Simplified flow chart

RAINS-ItalyActivity Levels Energy Scenario

Emission Scenarios Cost Curves

Deposition mapsConcentrations

Input Output

ControlStrategy

(AbatementTechnologies)

First results



NOx Emission Scenario for CAFE Program (national estimations)

First results (cont.)



PM Emission projections for the Lombardy Region (sector share)Estimated PM10 emissions at 2010 - sector share

Industry&Processes27%

Transport22%

Ships0%

Power Plants3%

Domestic26%

Refineries1%

Others6%

Mat.Handl.2%

Wastes4%

Agriculture9%

Data property : Italian Ministry for the Environment

First results (cont.)



Sulphur deposition comparison AMS-EMEP (preliminary results)

First results (cont.)Italian Agency for New TechnologiesEnergy and the Environment


Ozone (SOMO35) comparison AMS-EMEP (preliminary results)

SOMO35, 1999

First results (cont.)Italian Agency for New TechnologiesEnergy and the Environment


SOMO35, 1999

Deposition maps in RAINS-Italy

Example of SOx deposition map (mgS/m2/y) due to Emissions from the Lazio region, only.

Map elaborated by Rains-Italy Dep Module (Web version).Inventory data 1999 [IIASA, W. Schopp,]

Future developments



Future potential improvements in RAINS-Italy

- Extention to the Heavy Metals

- Higher resolution of the grid (5x5 Km2)

- Extention to the GHGs

Documents

The RAINS-Italy ProjectThe RAINS-Italy Project Italian Agency for New Technologies Energy and the Environment RAINS-NL Workshop, Bilthoven, February 3rd, 2005 1) Established in 2002