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B. Bawono Kristiaji The Political Economy of Global Consensus on Taxing Digital Economy

The Political Economy of Global Consensus on Taxing ... · commitment, international cooperation, and compromise among countries. • From political economy point of view: global

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Page 1: The Political Economy of Global Consensus on Taxing ... · commitment, international cooperation, and compromise among countries. • From political economy point of view: global

B. Bawono Kristiaji

The Political Economy of Global Consensus on Taxing Digital Economy

Page 2: The Political Economy of Global Consensus on Taxing ... · commitment, international cooperation, and compromise among countries. • From political economy point of view: global

Agenda

1. Introduction2. BEPS & Digital Economy3. Analysis: Prospect of Global Consensus 4. Conclusion

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Page 3: The Political Economy of Global Consensus on Taxing ... · commitment, international cooperation, and compromise among countries. • From political economy point of view: global

Introduction

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Page 4: The Political Economy of Global Consensus on Taxing ... · commitment, international cooperation, and compromise among countries. • From political economy point of view: global

OECD/G20 Anti-BEPS Project:15 Action Plan

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Transparency &Certainty

Coherence Substance

Preventing Tax TreatyAbuseHybrid Mismatch

Arrangements Measuring BEPSAvoidance ofPE Status

CFC Rules DisclosureRulesTP Aspects of

Intangibles

InterestDeductions TP

DocumentationTP/Risk andCapital

Harmful TaxPractices

DisputeResolutionTP/High Risk

Transactions

Digital Economy (1)

Multilateral Instruments

Digital Economy

Page 5: The Political Economy of Global Consensus on Taxing ... · commitment, international cooperation, and compromise among countries. • From political economy point of view: global

Four (4) policy options can be considered as a joint consensus

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Page 6: The Political Economy of Global Consensus on Taxing ... · commitment, international cooperation, and compromise among countries. • From political economy point of view: global

Interim Report (2018)

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the Interim Report undertook a review of domestic policies implemented in various countries since 2015, particularly on cross-jurisdictional digital economy business taxation

more detailed and precise in understanding digital economy businesses

the practice of tax avoidance driven by digital economy is predicted to decrease

members of the Inclusive Framework have diverse views in addressing the development of digital economy

there is no agreement among the members of the Inclusive Framework regarding the benefits or the need for initial measures before the Final Report of 2020

further exploration of the impact of digitization on the tax system

Page 7: The Political Economy of Global Consensus on Taxing ... · commitment, international cooperation, and compromise among countries. • From political economy point of view: global

Profit Attribution and value creation?

Prospect of Global Consensus

Technical Feasibility

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Modify PE threshold and nexus

Difficulties to revise fundamental system: tax treaty and transfer

pricing

Page 8: The Political Economy of Global Consensus on Taxing ... · commitment, international cooperation, and compromise among countries. • From political economy point of view: global

From first-bestto second-best solution?

Prospect of Global Consensus

Technical Feasibility

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Adopt unilateral action model with flexibility

Remind us of something: debt bias and interest limitation rule

Page 9: The Political Economy of Global Consensus on Taxing ... · commitment, international cooperation, and compromise among countries. • From political economy point of view: global

Prospect of Global Consensus

State, Market and Society Interaction

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State (government

)

Market (digital

business)

Society (civil

society, public, media)

Investment and growth

Pressure: Naming and shaming

Fair share tax agenda

Maximize welfare and

collaborationJustification to

tax

Quick response: interim action

Page 10: The Political Economy of Global Consensus on Taxing ... · commitment, international cooperation, and compromise among countries. • From political economy point of view: global

Prospect of Global Consensus

Prospect of Coordinated Actions

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Heterogenous Preferences

Players in International Tax System

Tax SovereigntySize vs. Scope

Signal of the global

consensus in Interim Report?

Regional agenda: EU Proposal on

Digital Economy

Page 11: The Political Economy of Global Consensus on Taxing ... · commitment, international cooperation, and compromise among countries. • From political economy point of view: global

(Interim) Conclusion

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• The success of the BEPS Project, especially challenge in taxing the digital economy requires political commitment, international cooperation, and compromise among countries.

• From political economy point of view: global consensus on first-best solution will not be achieved.

• The prediction: second-best solution (various unilateral interim actions) will be endorsed by the TFDE. The same case as debt bias and interest limitation rule.

Page 12: The Political Economy of Global Consensus on Taxing ... · commitment, international cooperation, and compromise among countries. • From political economy point of view: global

Thank You

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[email protected]

Page 13: The Political Economy of Global Consensus on Taxing ... · commitment, international cooperation, and compromise among countries. • From political economy point of view: global

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