The Morning After A Post-Election Briefing

The Honorable Mike Ferguson, Senior Advisor

November 9, 2016

Trump wins White House

• 276 Electoral

College votes

• MN, MI, NH and

AZ still too close

2

Republicans keep Senate

Against all odds, GOP holds off Dem onslaught

3

• Net GOP loss of 1 seat

• Ayotte too close to call,

Louisiana runoff in December

• Dems in 2018: 25 senators

facing re-election

2016 Senate GOP survivors

4

?

Ryan’s raucous rank-and-file

5

• House GOP now smaller,

more conservative

• Trump won big in scores of

GOP lawmakers’ districts

• Criticism for Ryan over his

criticism of Trump

• Ryan needs Dem votes for

budget in lame duck…but

needs GOP votes for

Speaker election in January

Senator Sherrod Brown

6

• First elected to Senate in 2006

from Ohio

• Top Democrat on Senate

Banking Committee in 2017

• Supporter of Dodd-Frank

• Senior member of tax-writing

Finance Committee

• Previously served in House,

Ohio secretary of state

Congressman Patrick McHenry

7

• First elected to House in 2004

from North Carolina

• In House GOP leadership as

chief deputy whip

• No. 2 vote-counter for GOP

• Senior member of House

Financial Services Committee

• Previously served in Bush

Administration, state House

Lame duck

8

Lame duck

• Must-pass: Renew government spending

9

• Other items may be punted to 2017

Lame duck

Possible consideration in lame duck:

• Key Pentagon reauthorization

• Tax extenders

• Trans-Pacific trade agreement

10

Lame duck

• ‘21st Century Cures’ medical innovation with Cancer ‘Moonshot’ funding

• Repeal of CMS’ Medicare Part B demo

• Mental health reform

• Comprehensive energy legislation

11

2017

12

• Gridlock – gone!

• Trump, GOP Congress expected to move on tax reform

coupled with infrastructure spending

• Plan could boost economic activity, job creation

• Use reconciliation to repeal Affordable Care Act

• Debt-ceiling deadline in March

Atlanta

Chicago

Cincinnati

Cleveland

Columbus

Costa Mesa

Denver

Houston

Los Angeles

New York

Orlando

Philadelphia

Seattle

Washington, DC

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