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The Low Carbon Diet That is Easy to Follow
(Using Geothermal Heat Pump Systems)
By
Paul Bony
Director of Sales & Market Development - Western Region
ClimateMaster
September 27, 2012
The Low Carbon Diet
The Low Carbon Diet
The Low Carbon Diet
• There has been a dramatic increase in obesity in the United States from 1990 through 2012. – More than one-third of U.S. adults (35.7%) are obese– Colorado, one of the leanest states in the nation, just registered
the highest obesity rate in its history.
• There are numerous Apps for the iPhone that now make it easy (OK easier) to lose weight – A 2012 study presented at the annual American Heart
Association Meeting shows that overweight patients who used an electronic logging system were more likely to stick to a plan for successful weight loss
The Low Carbon Diet
• The Planet Also Has a Weight Problem (Too Much CO2) 2012 Established A Record Low for Arctic Sea Ice– Arctic sea ice just reached its minimum level for 2012 and it set a
new record low, at just 3.41 million square kilometers, trouncing the 2007 record low of 4.17 million square kilometers.
– in the 1980s summer sea ice would cover an area slightly smaller than the mainland United States. Now it is about half that.
The Low Carbon Diet
• Dr. Andrew Weaver, a climate scientist at the University of Victoria recently published the results of their efforts to model permafrost thaw and its effect on climate change.– Permafrost is permanently frozen soil that underlies about half of
Canada's landmass.
• The study predicts that thawing permafrost could release up to 508 billion additional tonnes of carbon into the atmosphere by the end of this century (88 years) — roughly the same amount that humans have released into the atmosphere since the industrial revolution (call it 1776)
The Low Carbon Diet
• The massive 2012 drought that has gripped the nation since the spring refuses to die, according to the latest report from the U.S. Drought Monitor
• In fact, it’s expanded a little: as of September 18, 64.82% of the contiguous U.S. was suffering from at least moderate drought, slightly more than the 64.16 percent reported a week earlier.
• Setting a new record for this drought category
• Colorado wildfires, “worst in state history”
• The average annual number of fires that cover more than 1,000 acres has nearly quadrupled in Arizona and Idaho and doubled in California, Colorado and six other Western states since 1970
The Low Carbon Diet
The Low Carbon Diet
• Banks have a weight gain problem too, they are sitting on $1.5 trillion of lendable reserves.
• Even though the Fed has kept the federal funds rate at 0 to 0.25% for the past 4 years, the lowest the rate has been since the Federal Bank began tracking the rate in 1954
The Low Carbon Diet
• "They say 'there are no atheists in foxholes.' Perhaps, then, there are also no libertarians in a financial crisis."– Harvard professor Jeffrey Frankel
Chart from Financial Forecast Center
We are in the longest period of high unemployment since the great depression, because people who can borrow $ won’t and many who want to can’t
The Low Carbon Diet
• But….. the new iPhone 5 just came out……
And, it should add between 1/4 to 1/2 a percentage point to fourth quarter annualized GDP growth!
The Low Carbon Diet
• April 3, 2013 will be the 40th anniversary of the first public telephone call placed on a cellular phone. Martin Cooper placed that call using a "brick"-like 30-ounce phone.
• Motorola introduced the 16-ounce "DynaTAC" phone into commercial service in 1983, with each phone costing the consumer $3,500. ($8,095.65 in today’s dollars)
• In the 1980's you could get a 30 minute plan for $49 per month ($113.34/ month in today’s dollars).
• Roaming was extra as were the long distance
charges paid to your phone company–
The Low Carbon Diet
• There are now more wireless devices being used in the United States than there are people.
Wireless penetration for the U.S. population increased from 13% in 1995 to 120.4% in 2011
The Low Carbon Diet
• More than one-in-four U.S. homes had onlyonly a wireless phone as of June 2010, up from 13.6 percent in 2007
The Low Carbon Diet
• If you boil down the growth of the cell phone market it was based on– Giving consumers something they wanted– With a pay-by-the–month business plan– Based on a new regulatory foundation that totally disrupted the
Bell-Tell business model• Competition• Innovation
– Driving economies of scale that reduced costs and allowed new features to come to market
The Low Carbon Diet
So, where am I going with this????
The Amazing Low Carbon Diet
The Low Carbon Diet
• The U.S. solar industry just had its second-best quarter in history and is expected to install as much solar power in 2012 as the ten years before 2010, (Solar Energy Industries Association, Monday, September 10th)
• According to research from the SEIA, the average price in the second quarter for purchasing an average sized solar PV system was $32,400. (Solar water heating systems cost $4,000 to $10,000)
The Low Carbon Diet
• This year residential Solar PV installations will blow past residential Geothermal Heat Pump installations for the first time.
• Forecast - 70,000 residential PV systems
• Forecast - 40,000 residential GHP systems
The Low Carbon Diet
• How can they do this in the 4th year of a crummy economy?
The Low Carbon Diet
• The Solar Energy Industries Association (SEIA) just released a report stating that third-party solar financing options (leases) were used for over 70% of residential PV installations in California, Arizona, and Colorado in the second quarter (2012).
• The solar leasing model has attracted more than $600 million in new investments in recent months as investors recognize solar leases and power purchase agreements as a secure investment.
• SEIA expects that third-party installations will claim even more market share in the future.
We are witnessing the birth of a new Low Carbon Building Market
Efficient Envelope
Renewable Energy Systems
Efficient Equipment
Annually producing as much energy as consumed with minimal carbon emissions
New financing Tools
Thermal Energy Policy
The Low Carbon Market
New FinancingApproach
Solar/Thermal
Building Efficiency Geothermal
Heat Pump
Solid Policy Base
The Low Carbon Market
• Old Contractor Model– Provide Energy audits and/or weatherization, or– Install geothermal systems, or– Install solar thermal systems, or– Install Solar PV systems
• Low Carbon Contractor Model– Provide all these services at 1 time for a fixed monthly payment
• 1 sales call• More margin per job!• Maximum return for buyers and the environment
26
Zero Energy Homes
• 50% minimum reduction in total energy needed• Net-zero electric bill
– Can easily hit 100% using the electric grid as a battery
• Gas offset with GHP and solar thermal
The Net-Zero Energy Residential Test Facility in Gaithersburg, Md.
27
Zero Energy Homes
• Increasing consumer interest in ZEH, driven by – Increasing electric utility costs– Leasing vs. paying cash for systems/solutions– Lower cost of solar PV & thermal– Increasing consumer & trade awareness
• Utility acceptance/participation• New financing mechanisms
– Changing accessibility and mind set
Zero Energy Homes
• The most cost effective way to get to zero energy is to utilize a ground source heat pump system. – Air source heat pumps don’t have the cost/benefit
ratio to drive the on-site electric generation they need
– Only GHPs can store thermal energy, using the ground as an energy battery
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
75 85 95 105
7.5 Ton 11 EER
10 Ton 11 EER
15 Ton 10.6 EER
20 Ton 10 EER
Air Source
Air Source A/C Vs. Ground Source Efficiency
Outdoor Temperature
Energy EfficiencyEER
Ground Source – 14-15 EER
Simple Concept
• Water moves energy better than air does• Water in the ground provides renewable energy and
storage of on-site thermal energy
30
Typical water-refrigerant Heat Exchanger used in most GSHP equipment
11 kWh to kWh to power power the the systemsystem
3-5 3-5 kWh of kWh of geothermal energy geothermal energy moved from the moved from the earthearth
4-64-6 kWh kWh heat heat
equivalent equivalent delivereddelivered
Geothermal Heat Pumps
400-600% Efficient
14.6 In
9.5 Out
COPs of 6+ are possible with advanced equipment
The Low Carbon Market
• The Final Piece is a Supporting Energy Policy that Levels the Playing Field for Renewable Thermal Energy– Measuring savings in annual Btus, not just kWh– Considers the thermal (and consequently carbon) impacts of all
fuels– Based on the cost effectiveness to the end user – Allowing equal access to consumers for renewable & efficiency
providers
“We can always count on the regulators to do the right thing, after they have exhausted all the other possibilities.”
The Geothermal Low Carbon Diet
• Eat the energy you need for 1 fixed monthly payment• Save 10 metric tonnes of carbon per home per year
in Colorado• The low carbon lunch you are paid to eat!
Thank You For Your Attention!Questions?
Paul Bony
970-249-8476
If you ever need a hand you can reach me at: