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✐ă
The Karma of Products:
Exploring the Causality of Environmental Pressure with Causal Loop Diagram and Environmental Footprint
Doctoral Thesis
Rafael Laurenti
Industrial Ecology
School of Architecture and the Built Environment
KTH Royal Institute of Technology
Stockholm, Sweden
2016
✐ă Title: The Karma of Products: Exploring the Causality of Environmental Pressure with Causal Loop Diagram and Environmental Footprint
Author:
Rafael Laurenti
Division of Industrial Ecology
Department of Industrial Economics and Management
School of Industrial Engineering and Management
KTH Royal Institute of Technology
TITRA-IM-PHD 2016:01
ISBN: 978-91-7595-910-8
Printed by:
Universitetetsservice US-AB, Stockholm, Sweden, 2016
✐ă
“[…] Karma is not about immediate retribution
but rather about the impossibility of ultimately
escaping the consequences of our own actions […]”
― Hindu and Buddhist saying
✐ă
✐ăC o n t e n t s
My debts ................................................................................................................................................................. i
Summary .............................................................................................................................................................. iii
Appended papers ............................................................................................................................................ v
1. Introduction ............................................................................................................................................... 3
1.1 Aim and objectives ............................................................................................................................ 4
1.2 Research trajectory, motivation and questions ...................................................................... 6
2. Product design and the (pre)determination and occurrence of environmental
pressure ................................................................................................................................................................15
3. Methodology ...........................................................................................................................................21
3.1 Causal loop diagram .......................................................................................................................21
3.1.1 How CLD was applied in Paper I ........................................................................................24
3.1.2 How CLD was applied in Paper II .......................................................................................25
3.1.3 How CLD was applied in Paper III .....................................................................................25
3.2 LCA-based footprint ........................................................................................................................27
3.2.1 How LCA-based footprint was applied in Paper IV ....................................................29
3.2.2 How LCA-based footprint was applied in Paper V .....................................................31
3.3 Method in Paper VI ..........................................................................................................................33
4. Key results of Papers I-VI ...................................................................................................................37
4.1 Paper I ...................................................................................................................................................37
4.2 Paper II ..................................................................................................................................................40
4.3 Paper III .................................................................................................................................................42
4.4 Paper IV ................................................................................................................................................45
4.5 Paper V .................................................................................................................................................47
4.6 Paper VI ................................................................................................................................................50
✐ă5. Discussion ..................................................................................................................................................55
5.1 Quality and relevance of causal loop diagrams ....................................................................55
5.2 The issue of using secondary data in LCA ...............................................................................56
5.3 Difficulties in acquiring primary data and data gaps .........................................................57
5.4 A need for improved waste declaration in LCA and standardised principles and
procedures? .....................................................................................................................................................58
5.5 Can product design(ers) help? Some suggestions and other general inquiries ......60
6. Conclusions ...............................................................................................................................................65
6.1 Beyond the results – a philosophical final reflection and wish for the future ..........68
References ...........................................................................................................................................................71
✐ă i
My debts
I want to thank the many people without whose help this thesis and my PhD education
could never been realised (from August 2010 to May 2016). I acknowledge the financial
support from the European Commission during the first 3 years of my PhD research and
education under the Erasmus Mundus External Cooperation Windows “EU-Brazil
STARTUP”. I also thank the Division of Industrial Ecology, KTH, for funding the remaining
time. I am enormously grateful to my supervisor Professor Björn Frostell for his time and
patience spent with me and for his valuable guidance in broadening my perspective on
sustainability issues through the application of systems thinking. I am indebted to
Professor Ronald Wennersten for inviting me to study for my PhD at the Division of
Industrial Ecology, KTH. I am grateful to my fellow employees (from June 2014) at IVL
Swedish Environmental Research Institute for being so flexible, especially Åsa Stenmarck
and Jenny Gode.
I would also like to thank the Industrial Ecology KTH staff Karin, Kosta, Julia, Daniel, Maria,
Fredrik, Olga, Monika, Hanna, Larsgöran, Olena, POP, Nils and Per and PhD colleagues
Jagdeep, Rajib, Sun, Bo, Svetlana, Tatiana, Anna, Graham, Joseph, Jiechen, JB, Mauricio,
Oleksii, Kateryna, Dave, Anders, Hosseins, Emma, Stefan, Kristin, Song and Sofie, for making
such a friendly work atmosphere. I had a really pleasant time during our excursions, fikas,
lunches and talks. Special thanks to those who contributed constructive ideas and
feedbacks to my research.
I would like to add a particular thank you to Professor Emeritus Staffan Laestadius for
taking the time to read my cover essay in great detail. His comments and suggestions
immensely improved the quality of my thesis.
Thanks to all the co-authors of the six papers on which this thesis is based for helping and
sharing their constructive ideas. Thanks also to other colleagues and anonymous peer-
reviewers who pointed out weaknesses and made useful suggestions for improving the
papers.
Any remaining weaknesses in the cover essay and in the three papers are, of course, my
own.
✐ă ii
Last but not least, I would like to express my sincere gratitude to my parents Tadeu and
Ana, my siblings Ricardo and Nicolle and my wife Zaye for their invaluable encouragement,
limitless understanding, enormous patience and unconditional loving support, and my
deepest appreciation to my son Leonardo, born 25 June 2015, for choosing me as a father
and for providing the most precious and genuine reason and meaning to all this and to
everything else.
Rafael Laurenti
11th May 2016
Stockholm, Sweden
✐ă iii
Summary
Environmental pressures from consumer products and mechanisms of predetermination
were examined in this thesis using causal loop diagram (CLD) and life cycle assessment
(LCA) footprinting to respectively illustrate and provide some indicators about these
mechanisms. Theoretical arguments and their practical implications were subjected to
qualitative and quantitative analysis, using secondary and primary data. A study
integrating theories from various research fields indicated that combining product-service
system offerings and environmental policy instruments can be a salient aspect of the
system change required for decoupling economic growth from consumption and
environmental impacts. In a related study, modes of system behaviour identified were
related to some pervasive sustainability challenges to the design of electronic products.
This showed that because of consumption and investment dynamics, directing consumers
to buy more expensive products in order to restrict their availability of money and avoid
increased consumption will not necessarily decrease the total negative burden of
consumption. In a study examining product systems, those of washing machines and
passenger cars were modelled to identify variables causing environmental impacts
through feedback loops, but left outside the scope of LCA studies. These variables can be
considered in LCAs through scenario and sensitivity analysis. The carbon, water and energy
footprint of leather processing technologies was measured in a study on 12 tanneries in
seven countries, for which collection of primary data (even with narrow systems
boundaries) proved to be very challenging. Moreover, there were wide variations in the
primary data from different tanneries, demonstrating that secondary data should be used
with caution in LCA of leather products. A study examining pre-consumer waste
developed a footprint metric capable of improving knowledge and awareness among
producers and consumers about the total waste generated in the course of producing
products. The metric was tested on 10 generic consumer goods and showed that
quantities, types and sources of waste generation can differ quite radically between
product groups. This revealed a need for standardised ways to convey the environmental
and scale of significance of waste types and for an international standard procedure for
quantification and communication of product waste footprint. Finally, a planning
framework was developed to facilitate inclusion of unintended environmental
consequences when devising improvement actions. The results as a whole illustrate the
quality and relevance of CLD; the problems with using secondary data in LCA studies;
difficulties in acquiring primary data; a need for improved waste declaration in LCA and a
standardised procedure for calculation and communication of the waste footprint of
products; and systems change opportunities for product engineers, designers and policy
makers.
✐ă iv
✐ă v
Appended papers
Paper I Rafael Laurenti, Jagdeep Singh, Rajib Sinha, Josepha Potting, Björn Frostell,
2015. Unintended environmental consequences of improvement actions: A
qualitative analysis of systems’ structure and behavior. Systems Research and
Behavioral Science online. doi: 10.1002/sres.2330.
Paper II Rafael Laurenti, Rajib Sinha, Jagdeep Singh, Björn Frostell, 2015. Some
pervasive challenges to sustainability by design of electronic products – a
conceptual discussion. Journal of Cleaner Production 108 (Part A), 281-288. doi:
10.1016/j.jclepro.2015.08.041.
Paper III Rafael Laurenti, David Lazarevic, Sofia Poulikidou, Valeria Montrucchio, Luigi
Bistagnino, Björn Frostell, 2014. Group model-building to identify potential
sources of environmental impacts outside the scope of LCA studies. Journal of
Cleaner Production 72, 96-109. doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2014.03.001.
Paper IV Rafael Laurenti, Michael Redwood, Rita Puig, Björn Frostell, 2015. Measuring
the environmental footprint of leather processing technologies in selected
countries. Submitted manuscript.
Paper V Rafael Laurenti, Åsa Moberg, Åsa Stenmarck, 2016. Calculating the pre-
consumer waste footprint – a screening study of 10 selected products.
Submitted manuscript.
Paper VI Rafael Laurenti, Rajib Sinha, Jagdeep Singh, Björn Frostell, 2016. Towards
addressing unintended environmental consequences: A planning framework.
Sustainable Development 24(1), 1-17. doi: 10.1002/sd.1601.
I was responsible for the literature review, data collection, analysis, calculations and writing
in Papers I-VI.
✐ă vi
Other peer-reviewed journal publications related to this thesis:
Singh, J., Laurenti, R., Sinha, R. & Frostell, B. (2014). Progress and challenges to the global
waste management system. Waste Management & Research: The Journal of the International
Solid Wastes and Public Cleansing Association, ISWA 32(9), 800-812.
doi:10.1177/0734242X14537868
Wang, Q., Laurenti, R. & Holmberg, S. (2015). A novel hybrid methodology to evaluate
sustainable retrofitting in existing Swedish residential buildings. Sustainable Cities and
Society 16, 24-38. doi:10.1016/j.scs.2015.02.002
Zhou, G., Singh, J., Wu, J., Sinha, R., Laurenti, R. & Frostell, B. (2015). Evaluating low-carbon
city initiatives from the DPSIR framework perspective. Habitat International 50, 289-299.
doi:10.1016/j.habitatint.2015.09.001
Licentiate thesis
Laurenti, R. (2013). Applications of Systems Thinking within the Sustainability Domain: Product
Design, Product Systems and Stakeholder Perspectives. (Licentiate in Technology), KTH Royal
Institute of Technology, Stockholm, Sweden. Retrieved from
http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-122415 (1402-7615)
✐ă
“There are professions more harmful than industrial design, but only a very few of them. And
possibly only one profession is phonier. Advertising design, in persuading people to buy things
they don’t need, with money they don’t have, in order to impress others who don’t care, is
probably the phoniest field in existence today.”
― Victor Papanek
✐ă
✐ăIntroduction The Karma of Products
___________________________________________________________________________
3
1 . In t roduct ion
Products are the result of technological developments and are brought to existence to
satisfy (existing and potential) consumer needs and intentions. Since the industrial
revolution and the advent of mass production, countless positive effects on human
wellbeing have been widely attained. However, bringing a product into existence
inevitably causes some sort of disturbance in the Earth’s natural systems. Furthermore,
product offerings are entangled with the role which they play in people’s lives, in
globalised supply chains and in an economic system that revolves strongly around
profitability targets and sales expansion. These and many other prevailing conditions act
as causal factors of environmental pressure.
From a time perspective, the causal factors of environmental pressure all lie in its past. The
environmental pressure can in turn be a cause of many other effects, which all lie in the
future.
Causality, i.e. the relationship between cause and effect spread across time and
geographical location, as instanced in the activity of producing a product and the
associated environmental pressure, is the theme of this thesis. More specifically, the thesis
examines some of many sustainability challenges in order to better understand the
operating cause-effect chains in society’s economic systems and identify some indicators
that reflect the temporal and spatial separation of extraction of materials, production, use
and waste generation. Without this broad understanding and indicators, producers have a
weak basis to environmentally improve their product offerings, consumers cannot adopt
consistent sustainable conducts, tools for decision-making support fail to provide robust
✐ăIntroduction The Karma of Products
___________________________________________________________________________
4
improvement actions and policy makers do not have a solid foundation to design effective
environmental policies.
1.1 Aim and objectives
The overall aim of this thesis was to examine the mechanisms of predetermination
and occurrence of environmental pressure from products, considering the
temporal and spatial separation of extraction of materials, production, use and end-of-life.
The term ‘mechanism’ refers here to cause-effect chains of events, activities and conditions
that are part of society’s economic system (see Figure 1). The causal loop diagram (CLD)
technique and LCA-based footprinting were utilised to respectively illustrate and provide
some indicators about these mechanisms. The thesis consists of this cover essay and six
appended papers.
The main objectives of the studies presented in Papers I-VI were to:
i. Examine and illustrate operating causal chains in our consumer society (Papers I-III)
ii. Calculate environmental footprints of a range of consumer goods (Papers IV-V)
iii. Propose a planning framework to facilitate inclusion of unintended environmental
consequences when devising improvement actions (Paper VI).
Figure 1 positions these objectives and Papers I-VI vis-à-vis the DPSIR (Driver-Pressure-
State-Impact-Response) framework, which is commonly used to describe the relationship
between economic activity and impacts on the environment (Hertwich et al., 2010).
Probing objective (i), (a) the modes of system behaviour of improvement actions leading
to unintended environmental consequences and to decoupling of economic growth from
environmental impacts were analysed (Paper I); (b) a conceptual discussion on some
pervasive challenges to sustainability by design of electronic products was carried out,
where directions for improvements in the field were suggested (Paper II); and (c) sources of
environmental pressure falling outside the scope of LCA studies were investigated (Paper
III). Concerning objective (ii), (d) the water, carbon and energy footprint of two different
leather-making technologies was measured (Paper IV); and (e) methodology for estimating
the pre-consumer waste footprint of consumer goods was developed and tested on 10
consumer goods (Paper V). Lastly, as for objective (iii), (f) a planning framework that
✐ăIntroduction
___________________________________________________________________________
connects material flows and the socio
flows was proposed
Figure
capacity
polluting/toxic emissions and waste.
human health and
The term unint
thesis should be interpreted as a negative environmental externality that is an impact of an
economic/industrial activity on agents which have no stake/say in the transaction
involved.
negative impact on the environment
purposive
environmental
Introduction
___________________________________________________________________________
connects material flows and the socio
was proposed
Figure 1 – Papers I-
capacity for providing resources (e.g. energy, material, land, water) and absorbing anthropogenic
polluting/toxic emissions and waste.
human health and the
wellbeing
The term unintended environmental consequences as used in Papers I, II and VI and in this
thesis should be interpreted as a negative environmental externality that is an impact of an
economic/industrial activity on agents which have no stake/say in the transaction
ved. Thus the concept of unintended environmental consequence describes a
negative impact on the environment
purposive improvement
environmental or social)
Introduction
___________________________________________________________________________
connects material flows and the socio
was proposed, to address unintended environmental consequences
-VI in relation to
providing resources (e.g. energy, material, land, water) and absorbing anthropogenic
polluting/toxic emissions and waste.
the resource provision capability of the Earth
wellbeing (diagram based on
ended environmental consequences as used in Papers I, II and VI and in this
thesis should be interpreted as a negative environmental externality that is an impact of an
economic/industrial activity on agents which have no stake/say in the transaction
the concept of unintended environmental consequence describes a
negative impact on the environment
improvement action
social).
___________________________________________________________________________
connects material flows and the socio-
, to address unintended environmental consequences
relation to the DPSIR
providing resources (e.g. energy, material, land, water) and absorbing anthropogenic
polluting/toxic emissions and waste. Emissions and waste invariably cause
resource provision capability of the Earth
iagram based on Hertwich et al. (2010); Sinha (2014); Zhou et al. (2015)
ended environmental consequences as used in Papers I, II and VI and in this
thesis should be interpreted as a negative environmental externality that is an impact of an
economic/industrial activity on agents which have no stake/say in the transaction
the concept of unintended environmental consequence describes a
negative impact on the environment, irrespective of whether it was intended or not
action at an overarching sustainability level (economic,
___________________________________________________________________________
5
-economic drivers that
, to address unintended environmental consequences
the DPSIR framework.
providing resources (e.g. energy, material, land, water) and absorbing anthropogenic
Emissions and waste invariably cause
resource provision capability of the Earth
Hertwich et al. (2010); Sinha (2014); Zhou et al. (2015)
ended environmental consequences as used in Papers I, II and VI and in this
thesis should be interpreted as a negative environmental externality that is an impact of an
economic/industrial activity on agents which have no stake/say in the transaction
the concept of unintended environmental consequence describes a
irrespective of whether it was intended or not
at an overarching sustainability level (economic,
The
___________________________________________________________________________
economic drivers that
, to address unintended environmental consequences
All economic activities occur within the
providing resources (e.g. energy, material, land, water) and absorbing anthropogenic
Emissions and waste invariably cause
resource provision capability of the Earth’s natural system
Hertwich et al. (2010); Sinha (2014); Zhou et al. (2015)
ended environmental consequences as used in Papers I, II and VI and in this
thesis should be interpreted as a negative environmental externality that is an impact of an
economic/industrial activity on agents which have no stake/say in the transaction
the concept of unintended environmental consequence describes a
irrespective of whether it was intended or not
at an overarching sustainability level (economic,
The Karma of
___________________________________________________________________________
economic drivers that result in changes in these
, to address unintended environmental consequences
All economic activities occur within the
providing resources (e.g. energy, material, land, water) and absorbing anthropogenic
Emissions and waste invariably cause degradation
’s natural systems, affecting in turn human
Hertwich et al. (2010); Sinha (2014); Zhou et al. (2015)
ended environmental consequences as used in Papers I, II and VI and in this
thesis should be interpreted as a negative environmental externality that is an impact of an
economic/industrial activity on agents which have no stake/say in the transaction
the concept of unintended environmental consequence describes a
irrespective of whether it was intended or not
at an overarching sustainability level (economic,
arma of Products
___________________________________________________________________________
result in changes in these
, to address unintended environmental consequences (Paper VI)
All economic activities occur within the
providing resources (e.g. energy, material, land, water) and absorbing anthropogenic
degradation of ecosystem quality,
, affecting in turn human
Hertwich et al. (2010); Sinha (2014); Zhou et al. (2015)).
ended environmental consequences as used in Papers I, II and VI and in this
thesis should be interpreted as a negative environmental externality that is an impact of an
economic/industrial activity on agents which have no stake/say in the transaction
the concept of unintended environmental consequence describes a
irrespective of whether it was intended or not
at an overarching sustainability level (economic,
roducts
___________________________________________________________________________
result in changes in these
(Paper VI).
All economic activities occur within the finite
providing resources (e.g. energy, material, land, water) and absorbing anthropogenic
ecosystem quality,
, affecting in turn human
ended environmental consequences as used in Papers I, II and VI and in this
thesis should be interpreted as a negative environmental externality that is an impact of an
economic/industrial activity on agents which have no stake/say in the transaction
the concept of unintended environmental consequence describes a
irrespective of whether it was intended or not, by a
at an overarching sustainability level (economic,
✐ăIntroduction The Karma of Products
___________________________________________________________________________
6
1.2 Research trajectory, motivation and questions
I had heard from experienced mentors that research is not, and should never be, a nice,
smooth linear trajectory. This was particularly true of my PhD research, which was probably
an extreme case. One of the main contributing reasons was that my scholarship from
Erasmus Mundus Programme (EU-Brazil Startup) was not attached to any particular project
with clear-cut objectives and well-defined deliverables. I was fortunate to have the
freedom and privilege to have time to think and reflect (a lot!). As a result, this thesis makes
a stronger contribution to a way of thinking, which can hopefully lead to a positive actual
change in business practices, than to the solidification of new knowledge.
In this subsection, I try to summarise my own research trajectory and its circumstances,
which was not only filled with obstacles, turns and circles, making the journey more
challenging and interesting, but also with fulfilling discoveries and encounters with
extreme encouraging and supportive people, making the journey more bright,
meaningful, pleasant and enjoyable. During my discourse on the research trajectory, I also
touch upon the motives (reasons for the choices made) and research questions
(highlighted in italics) that guided and delineated the trajectory.
The work in this thesis comprised two complementary parts, qualitative and quantitative.
Papers I-III describe the qualitative part, where variations on the CLD technique were
utilised. Papers IV and V constitute the quantitative part, which used LCA-based
footprinting as a guiding method.
I began by trying to understand how and why environmental improvement actions often lead
to unintended environmental consequences. Paper I1 brought together different theories to
delineate the underlying system structure causing this system behaviour. The CLD
technique was utilised to explore and visualise: how incremental improvements in material
and energy efficiency can unintendedly cause consumption to increase; how this
consumption rebound effect is linked to generation of waste and pollution; and how this
1i.e. the paper’s co-authors and I.
✐ăIntroduction The Karma of Products
___________________________________________________________________________
7
can give rise to social and negative externalities, economic inequalities and other broad
unintended consequences in society
The qualitative CLD results of Paper I indicated that the two strongest leverage points are
product innovation and consumption. Therefore the next step was to examine unintended
environmental consequences of product innovation by design and consumption of
electronic products in Paper II. The focus in the study was on electronic products, because
the consumption rebound effect is recognised to be most apparent and acute in this
sector (Galvin, 2015). The exploratory analysis in Paper II revealed essential developments
in certain areas that can assist design practice in preventing unintended environmental
consequences. Specifically, complementing LCA studies with analyses of unintended
environmental consequences helped lay the foundation for the framework proposed in
Paper VI.
Still examining the mechanisms that lead to unintended environmental consequences
from purposive improvement actions, Paper III considered the question of whether there
are variables which are not typically considered in quantitative environmental assessments
(LCA), but may have a significant influence upon environmental impacts through cause-effect
chains and feedback loops in product systems. The product systems of washing machines
and (internal combustion) passenger cars were selected as cases explicitly because: (a)
both product systems have dependent products embedded within them (the washing
machine, detergent and clothes, and the passenger car and fuel); (b) the use phase is the
greatest contributor to the life cycle environmental impacts of the embedded products.
The initial qualitative analysis in Papers I-III prompted investigation of indicators of
environmental pressure in Papers IV and V, in order to obtain information about the
increasing spatial and decreasing temporal separation of production, consumption and
waste generation.
Paper IV examined the water, energy and carbon footprint of two leather processing
techniques (chromium- and vegetable-based) in 12 tanneries in seven countries. This
research project emerged from a Master’s project investigating the carbon, water and
energy footprint of a pair of leather shoes manufactured in Mexico (Muñoz, 2013), which,
✐ăIntroduction The Karma of Products
___________________________________________________________________________
8
unsurprisingly, identified leather as the most environmentally important material in the
shoes. Leather is a product used in many applications. According to FAO (2015), it is of high
economic significance in the global trade in agricultural commodities. More than 370
million pieces (over 6.6 million tons) of bovine hides and skins were produced world-wide
in 2014, in a steadily increasing trend since the 1900s (FAO, 2015). Moreover, leather
production is traditionally known to be characterised as a high resource intensity process.
For these reasons, it was selected for study in Paper IV. At that time, some famous brands
were (and still are) basing their advertising on the claim that vegetable-tanned leather is
more environmentally friendly than chromium-tanned leather. Paper IV sought to test this
claim.
The city of Leon, in the state of Guanajuato, is the centre of shoe and leather production in
Mexico and it is very interesting to reflect about how the cultural setting shaped the end
result of the project investigating this industry. The city is located in a semi-arid region, but
it is the home of hundreds of tanneries that require a large volume of water to process
leather. This has created an ingrained conflict between water use and water declaration to
the local authorities. Asking tanneries how much water they use was thus not a well-
received question. Based on this and other difficulties in collecting primary data, it was
decided to expand the study in Paper IV by inviting environmentally responsible tanneries
globally to participate (for more details, see the Methodology section of this thesis). There
were some opposing forces, but many well-intentioned people provided great help,
including extremely kind and knowledgeable people who I never met, which was very
heart-warming. In the end, the footprint analysis was carried out using very narrow system
boundaries and still produced a great variation in results, highlighting areas needing
further attention.
The aim in Paper V was to identify the waste types and quantities generated when producing
consumer goods and to devise a LCA-based waste footprint for that accounting. The reason
was that footprinting practice and the literature to date have extensively targeted carbon,
water and energy, while waste has received limited attention. Moreover, while most
consumers are conscious of the amount of waste that they place in the rubbish bin,
relatively few are aware of the waste generated during the course of producing the goods
✐ăIntroduction The Karma of Products
___________________________________________________________________________
9
they consume (e.g. waste generated by extracting the materials, transporting, producing
fuels and electricity, manufacturing, etc.). The intention in Paper V was to use a rather
simplified metric to make a link between consumption and (hidden) waste and start a
dialogue with stakeholder groups about this link. This was exemplified by calculating the
waste footprint metric for 10 consumer goods – chicken, beef, cow’s milk, a laptop
computer, a smartphone, a pair of trousers, training clothes (T-shirt and shorts), a pair of
leather shoes, a milk carton and a newspaper, which were selected as representative
products widely used/consumed in daily life.
The work described in Paper V was performed within a project called ‘Total waste’ at the
Swedish Environmental Research Institute (IVL). A form of personal knowledge
accumulation converged to create this project. First, in research led by my PhD colleague
Jagdeep Singh2, in which I participated, it was found that the waste statistics in EUROSTAT3
do not accurately reflect the total waste generated due to consumption in developing
countries, where waste generation per capita is highest (Singh, Laurenti, Sinha & Frostell,
2014). As elegantly described by the editors of the journal in which that article was
published, the argument was that:
‘[…] the out-sourcing of product manufacture from developed to emerging and developing
countries over the last 20+ years also means that our extraction and manufacturing wastes are
now largely generated and need to be managed in those countries’ (Wilson & Velis, 2014
p.797).
The second research project that contributed to the development of a waste footprint
metric proposed novel methodology to evaluate sustainable retrofitting in existing
Swedish residential buildings (Wang, Laurenti & Holmberg, 2015). I was responsible for
calculating the so-called embodied carbon and embodied energy of different retrofit
options. The rationale was that the omission of these two metrics from the current
practices of eco-efficiency evaluation leads to underestimation of the potential
environmental benefits of modern retrofitting techniques.
2The study won second prize in the ISWA (International Solid Waste Association) publication award 2015.
3http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat
✐ăIntroduction The Karma of Products
___________________________________________________________________________
10
The third and last main contribution to development of a waste footprint metric was a
conference organised by IVL called Avfall i nytt fokus 2014 (Waste in a new focus). Talks were
given by important players in the Swedish waste and recycling sector about resource-
efficient waste management and recycling, but my limited interpretation was that the
focus was still largely downstream from the point of consumption (as in EUROSTAT
statistics). The resulting project was funded by Avfall Sverige (Swedish Waste Management
and Recycling Association) and the IVL Foundation.
Paper VI reports on the way of thinking in my research group at the Division of Industrial
Ecology, KTH Royal Institute of Technology, developed following around roughly four
years of research and presented in the form of a framework. An analogy was drawn
between the origin of the term ‘management’4 and current management practices, in
order to argue that a fundamental limitation of the management philosophy that governs
eco-efficiency approaches is lack of understanding and visualisation of the mechanisms
(operating causal links and feedback loops) that result in unintended environmental
consequences. Thus unintended consequences distant in time and space from initial
interventions can occur when quality products are produced using a continuous
improvement philosophy with a strong focus on sales expansion and profitability targets.
The research group examining sustainable production and consumption consisted of
Professor Björn Frostell, PhD students Jagdeep Singh (who started PhD studies with me)
and Rajib Sinha (who started PhD studies about one year later). Our PhD research studies
were intertwined, but essentially Jagdeep examined a product’s life cycle from the waste
management (outflows from society’s economic system) perspective; I considered it from
the product design viewpoint, including the wide environmental implications of extracting
materials from the natural stock of the Earth and transforming them into useful products
by economic activities; and Rajib was the overall modeller (considering inflows, stock in
use and outflows). Our joint mental model representing society’s metabolism is
represented in Figure 2. The combination of individual previous research by Professor
Frostell, my fellow PhD students and myself and the two-part qualitative and quantitative
4‘Management’ in its modern sense is believed to have arisen jointly from the Renaissance Italian word
maneggiere and the French word manège, which both mean an enclosure for training horses and riders.
✐ăIntroduction
___________________________________________________________________________
approach utilised in Papers I
reported in Paper VI
doctoral
Figure
technically renewable stocks of the Earth’s natural systems. These inputs to society’s economic system are
transformed into useful
kept as stock in use; some are recycled after a useful lifetime.
deposited/emitted in various forms in the Earth’s natural system
Note that Paper
thesis5
sustainability domain
Lastly, I wanted to
my closing reflections
reader’s pard
5In Swedish and Finnish universities
Introduction
___________________________________________________________________________
approach utilised in Papers I
reported in Paper VI
doctoral theses produced
Figure 2 – Joint mental model of
technically renewable stocks of the Earth’s natural systems. These inputs to society’s economic system are
transformed into useful
kept as stock in use; some are recycled after a useful lifetime.
deposited/emitted in various forms in the Earth’s natural system
that Papers
(Laurenti, 2013)
sustainability domain
Lastly, I wanted to
closing reflections
reader’s pardon.
In Swedish and Finnish universities
Introduction
___________________________________________________________________________
approach utilised in Papers I-
reported in Paper VI. This framework
produced in the project
mental model of
technically renewable stocks of the Earth’s natural systems. These inputs to society’s economic system are
transformed into useful products, infrastructure and capital goods by industrial activities; some mat
kept as stock in use; some are recycled after a useful lifetime.
deposited/emitted in various forms in the Earth’s natural system
I and III, together with another manuscript, composed my licentiate
(Laurenti, 2013), which
sustainability domain for product design, product systems and stakeholder perspectives.
Lastly, I wanted to provide a philosophical end to this PhD trajectory and thesis
closing reflections go beyond the results presented
In Swedish and Finnish universities
___________________________________________________________________________
-V lay the foundation
framework
in the project.
mental model of the KTH research group. Materials and energy are taken from finite and
technically renewable stocks of the Earth’s natural systems. These inputs to society’s economic system are
products, infrastructure and capital goods by industrial activities; some mat
kept as stock in use; some are recycled after a useful lifetime.
deposited/emitted in various forms in the Earth’s natural system
III, together with another manuscript, composed my licentiate
, which examined
roduct design, product systems and stakeholder perspectives.
a philosophical end to this PhD trajectory and thesis
beyond the results presented
In Swedish and Finnish universities, a licentiate degree
___________________________________________________________________________
11
the foundations for
framework was used as guiding methodology
.
KTH research group. Materials and energy are taken from finite and
technically renewable stocks of the Earth’s natural systems. These inputs to society’s economic system are
products, infrastructure and capital goods by industrial activities; some mat
kept as stock in use; some are recycled after a useful lifetime.
deposited/emitted in various forms in the Earth’s natural system
III, together with another manuscript, composed my licentiate
examined application of systems thinking within the
roduct design, product systems and stakeholder perspectives.
a philosophical end to this PhD trajectory and thesis
beyond the results presented
icentiate degree is recognised as a pre
The
___________________________________________________________________________
s for conceptualisation of th
used as guiding methodology
KTH research group. Materials and energy are taken from finite and
technically renewable stocks of the Earth’s natural systems. These inputs to society’s economic system are
products, infrastructure and capital goods by industrial activities; some mat
kept as stock in use; some are recycled after a useful lifetime. Sooner
deposited/emitted in various forms in the Earth’s natural system, for
III, together with another manuscript, composed my licentiate
application of systems thinking within the
roduct design, product systems and stakeholder perspectives.
a philosophical end to this PhD trajectory and thesis
beyond the results presented, an indulgence for which
recognised as a pre
The Karma of
___________________________________________________________________________
conceptualisation of th
used as guiding methodology
KTH research group. Materials and energy are taken from finite and
technically renewable stocks of the Earth’s natural systems. These inputs to society’s economic system are
products, infrastructure and capital goods by industrial activities; some mat
Sooner or later the materials are
forming anthropogenic sinks.
III, together with another manuscript, composed my licentiate
application of systems thinking within the
roduct design, product systems and stakeholder perspectives.
a philosophical end to this PhD trajectory and thesis
, an indulgence for which
recognised as a pre-doctoral degree
arma of Products
___________________________________________________________________________
conceptualisation of the framework
used as guiding methodology in all
KTH research group. Materials and energy are taken from finite and
technically renewable stocks of the Earth’s natural systems. These inputs to society’s economic system are
products, infrastructure and capital goods by industrial activities; some mat
or later the materials are
ming anthropogenic sinks.
III, together with another manuscript, composed my licentiate
application of systems thinking within the
roduct design, product systems and stakeholder perspectives.
a philosophical end to this PhD trajectory and thesis and hence
, an indulgence for which I beg the
doctoral degree.
roducts
___________________________________________________________________________
framework
in all three
KTH research group. Materials and energy are taken from finite and
technically renewable stocks of the Earth’s natural systems. These inputs to society’s economic system are
products, infrastructure and capital goods by industrial activities; some materials are
or later the materials are
ming anthropogenic sinks.
III, together with another manuscript, composed my licentiate
application of systems thinking within the
roduct design, product systems and stakeholder perspectives.
and hence
I beg the
✐ă 12
✐ă 13
"[…] did you ever stop to think that you can’t leave for your job in the morning without being
dependent on most of the world? You get up in the morning and go to the bathroom and reach
over for the sponge, and that’s handed to you by a Pacific islander. You reach for a bar of soap,
and that’s given to you at the hands of a Frenchman. And then you go into the kitchen to drink
your coffee for the morning, and that’s poured into your cup by a South American. And maybe
you want tea: that’s poured into your cup by a Chinese. Or maybe you’re desirous of having
cocoa for breakfast, and that’s poured into your cup by a West African. And then you reach over
for your toast, and that’s given to you at the hands of an English-speaking farmer, not to
mention the baker. And before you finish eating breakfast in the morning, you’ve depended on
more than half the world. This is the way our universe is structured; this is its interrelated
quality. We aren’t going to have peace on Earth until we recognize this basic fact of the
interrelated structure of all reality […]”
― Martin Luther King, Jr.
✐ă 14
✐ăProduct design and the (pre)determination and occurrence of environmental pressure
The Karma of Products
___________________________________________________________________________
15
2 . Product des ign and the
(pre )determinat ion and
occur rence o f env i ronmenta l
p ressure
There are many reference models that present the product design process at a level of
detail for engineering design. In practice, companies have their own tailored reference
model for their product design process, but generally speaking these models contain a
standardised structure of phases of project planning, conceptual design, detailed design
and production (Tang, 2014). These phases are subdivided in turn into tasks and activities
that can happen depending on the complexity of the product to be designed.
The product design process is treated in this thesis at a higher level of detail. It is
considered in a broader sense, from a life cycle and systems thinking perspective, allowing
harmonised analyses between the product design and the other life cycle stages
(production, consumption and waste management) of a product.
In this extended perspective, the product design process begins with perception of a gap
in user experience, leading to a plan for a new artefact and resulting in the production of
that artefact/product (see Figure 3a). The created plan contains specifications about design
choices, such as type of materials and manufacturing processes. These materials need to
be extracted and processed. They are then manufactured into the design product. The
products are packaged and distributed to consumers. Some products can be re-used by
✐ăProduct design and the (pre)determination and occurrence of environmental pressure
The Karma of Products
___________________________________________________________________________
16
other consumers or purposes. When the products reach their end of life6, they are sent to
recycling or some other end-of-life strategy (e.g. incineration and landfilling). In addition,
all these life cycle stages require electricity and transport; electricity is commonly produced
by hydro, wind, solar, coal and nuclear power plants, while transport demands fuel which
also has to be produced, transported and distributed (see Figure 3c).
Therefore, most of the environmental impacts that a product potentially has in its entire
life cycle are defined during the design and development phase by the choice of materials
and location of production and manufacturing processes. For example, several design
choices define the fuel consumption and emissions per kilometre driven in the use phase;
choices of materials and the manufacturing plan have a high influence on the feasible
recycling options in the end-of-life phase; and the definition of power technology (petrol,
ethanol, diesel, electric, hybrid, etc.) determines the use phase and well-to-wheel
emissions (production and distribution of the fuel/electricity). Figure 3b represents this
dependency between product design and the other phases of a product’s life cycle.
Another important concept to understanding this thesis is waste generation upstream
from the point of consumption, i.e. the waste produced to produce a product. A product
sooner or later inevitably becomes waste. As previously stated (Section 1.2), while
consumers can be conscious about the amount of waste they place in litter and recycling
bins, relatively few are aware of the waste generated in the course of producing the goods
they consume. This pre-consumer waste is generally generated in commodity-supplying
(e.g. mining) and producing countries (such as the BRICS7) whilst generation of post-
consumer waste (discarded products) is highest8 in richer countries (e.g. Western Europe,
USA and Australia). Consumer awareness and attention are often focused on the post-
consumer waste, but it represents only a very small part of the total generated waste.
Figure 3c illustrates the life cycle of products emphasising the waste produced during raw
material extraction and production, manufacturing, electricity production, packaging and
end of life.
6Products can reach their end of life for many reasons, such as because they are worn out, broken or
technically or perceivably obsolete. 7Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa.
8From a consumption per capita perspective.
✐ă
Figure 3
and production
and downstream impa
graph
(diagram a
product and waste generation; g
flows; flows of materials to recovery are omitted (
a)
b)
c
–Relationship
and production, the two activities that deliver artefacts to address gaps in the user experience
and downstream impa
graph showing (pre)determination and generation of environmental impacts in a product's life cycle
iagram adapted and modified
product and waste generation; g
flows; flows of materials to recovery are omitted (
a)
)
c)
ship between product design and (pre)determination of environmental impacts. a
the two activities that deliver artefacts to address gaps in the user experience
and downstream impacts of a core system defined at the point of design (
(pre)determination and generation of environmental impacts in a product's life cycle
and modified
product and waste generation; grey a
flows; flows of materials to recovery are omitted (
between product design and (pre)determination of environmental impacts. a
the two activities that deliver artefacts to address gaps in the user experience
cts of a core system defined at the point of design (
(pre)determination and generation of environmental impacts in a product's life cycle
and modified from Rebitzer (2002)
rey arrows represent flows of materials; orange arrows represent energy
flows; flows of materials to recovery are omitted (
17
between product design and (pre)determination of environmental impacts. a
the two activities that deliver artefacts to address gaps in the user experience
cts of a core system defined at the point of design (
(pre)determination and generation of environmental impacts in a product's life cycle
Rebitzer (2002) and
rrows represent flows of materials; orange arrows represent energy
flows; flows of materials to recovery are omitted (diagram from
between product design and (pre)determination of environmental impacts. a
the two activities that deliver artefacts to address gaps in the user experience
cts of a core system defined at the point of design (
(pre)determination and generation of environmental impacts in a product's life cycle
and Rebitzer et al. (2004)
rrows represent flows of materials; orange arrows represent energy
iagram from Laurent
between product design and (pre)determination of environmental impacts. a
the two activities that deliver artefacts to address gaps in the user experience
cts of a core system defined at the point of design (diagram from Paper II).
(pre)determination and generation of environmental impacts in a product's life cycle
Rebitzer et al. (2004)). c) life cycle stages of
rrows represent flows of materials; orange arrows represent energy
Laurenti and Stenmarck (2015
between product design and (pre)determination of environmental impacts. a
the two activities that deliver artefacts to address gaps in the user experience, as upstream
iagram from Paper II). Fi
(pre)determination and generation of environmental impacts in a product's life cycle
life cycle stages of
rrows represent flows of materials; orange arrows represent energy
i and Stenmarck (2015
between product design and (pre)determination of environmental impacts. a) Design
upstream
Figure 3b)
(pre)determination and generation of environmental impacts in a product's life cycle
life cycle stages of a
rrows represent flows of materials; orange arrows represent energy
i and Stenmarck (2015)).
✐ăProduct design and the (pre)determination and occurrence of environmental pressure
The Karma of Products
___________________________________________________________________
18
As product design (pre)determines most of the potential environmental impacts that a
product will have during its life, the product design phase has the highest potential of all
phases to reduce these potential impacts. In order to achieve this full potential,
information about (pre)determination of possible environmental impacts should be
available to product designers and engineers. The first part of this thesis (Papers I-III)
qualitatively scrutinised the relationship between product design and (pre)determination
of environmental impacts. For example, the possibilities of visualising cause and effect
chains, often distant in time and geographical location, that lead to environmental impacts
were explored with the aid of the CLD technique. The second part of the thesis (Papers IV-
V) attempted to produce information about the generation of environmental impacts,
utilising the concept of LCA-based footprinting.
✐ă 19
“If we knew what it was we were doing, it would not be called research, would it?”
― Albert Einstein
✐ă 20
✐ăMethodology The Karma of Products
___________________________________________________________________________
21
3 . Methodology
This section presents a general description of the two main methods utilised in Papers I-VI
and a summary of how these methods were applied in each paper. For full details, see the
individual papers.
3.1 Causal loop diagram
Causal loop diagram is a systems modelling technique utilised to qualitatively explore
variables and interrelationships of a system of interest (Andersen, Vennix, Richardson &
Rouwette, 2007). A CLD represents causal links between variables, polarities of the links
and feedback loops (Lane, 2008). The variables are connected by arrows representing the
causal influences among the variables (Sterman, 2000). Each arrow is assigned a polarity,
either positive (+) or negative (–), to designate how the effect (at the arrow’s point)
changes when the cause (at the arrow’s tail) changes (Schaffernicht, 2010; Vennix, 1996).
As an illustration, Figure 4 shows variables connected by a causal link with a polarity for the
relationship between global average temperature, area of Arctic Sea ice and albedo
(reflected radiation).
Figure 4 - Examples of variables connected by a causal link with a polarity (diagram adapted from Bossel
(2007)).
✐ăMethodology The Karma of Products
___________________________________________________________________________
22
A causal link with a negative link polarity means that the coupled variables change in
opposite directions (Vennix, 1996). In other words, a negative link means that “if the cause
increases, the effect decreases below what it would otherwise have been, and if the cause
decreases, the effect increases above what it would otherwise have been” (Sterman, 2000,
p.139). In Figure 4, the negative link polarity indicates that if temperature increases, ice
area decreases below what it would otherwise have been.
A positive link signifies that the connected variables may change in the same direction
(Vennix, 1996). That is to say, “if the cause increases, the effect increases above what it
would otherwise have been, and if the cause decreases, the effect decreases below what it
would otherwise have been” (Sterman, 2000, p.139). In the example in Figure 4, the
positive link polarity symbolises that as the ice area decreases, the reflection of radiation
(albedo) decreases below what it would otherwise have been.
Feedback loops form the basis for qualitative analysis with the help of CLDs
(Wolstenholme & Coyle, 1983). Feedback loops occur when the effect of a change
propagates around the variables in a system through cause and effect chains, and evokes a
response (“feedback”) to the original change (Meadows, 2008). This response can either
reinforce or oppose the original perturbation. If it reinforces the original change, it is a
reinforcing loop. If it opposes the original change, it is a balancing loop. Reinforcing
feedback loops generate (exponential) growth or self-reinforcing decline, amplify
deviations and reinforce change (Figure 5a). Pure exponential growth has the remarkable
property of a constant doubling in time, i.e. the state of the system doubles in a fixed
period of time, no matter how large. Yet, balancing feedback loops seek balance,
equilibrium and stasis (Sterman, 2000). Balancing feedback loops act to bring the state of
the system in line with a goal or desired state (Figure 5b).
✐ăMethodology The Karma of Products
___________________________________________________________________________
23
Figure 5 – a) Exponential growth and b) goal seeking modes of behaviour in dynamic systems (diagram
adapted from Sterman (2000, p.108)).
In a CLD, the important loops are highlighted by a loop identifier, which shows whether
the loop is a reinforcing (“R”) or balancing (“B”) feedback.
Figure 4 exemplifies reinforcing with the cause-effect chain for global warming (or global
cooling during the ice age): As the albedo decreases, the absorption of solar radiation
increases. This increase in the absorption of solar radiation causes, in turn, the global
average temperature to increase even further (see Figure 6). This is an example of the
reinforcing feedback loop for global warming. The four variables are connected in a
structure which amplifies the original perturbation: if the global average temperature
increases (for instance due to an increase in the concentration of carbon dioxide in the
atmosphere), this trend will be amplified via feedback in the direction of a further
temperature increase (Bossel, 2007).
For the purpose of exemplifying the concept of a balancing feedback loop (left-hand part
of Figure 6), consider the following scenario: if temperature rises above a desirable level,
policies and actions to reduce anthropogenic emissions of greenhouse gases (GHG) are
developed (e.g. reforestation, low-carbon energy technologies, carbon capture and
storage). When they are implemented, the average temperature will drop down to a
desirable level. This is the structure of a balancing feedback loop, i.e. if the temperature
increases, the mitigation actions increase above what they would otherwise have been.
✐ăMethodology The Karma of Products
___________________________________________________________________________
24
Figure 6 – Example of balancing and reinforcing feedback loops (diagram adapted and modified from Bossel
(2007)).
It is important to note that link and loop polarities do not describe the behaviour of the
variables, but rather the structure of the system. Link and loop polarities describe what
would have occurred if there had been a change in the system.
3.1.1 How CLD was applied in Paper I
Paper I was based on the premise that the behaviour of a system arises from its structure.
The intention in Paper I was to build, step-by-step, the structure of the following modes of
behaviour:
• Incremental improvements in material and energy efficiency causing material
consumption to increase (consumption rebound effects)
• Consumption rebound effects causing greater generation of waste and pollution
• Waste and pollution causing social and environmental negative externalities,
economic inequalities and other broad unintended consequences in society to
increase.
These representations were then coupled to two different modes of behaviour, namely
product-service systems (PSS)9 and environmental policy instruments10. The synergistic
effect from their combination was treated as potentially capable of creating traction to
decouple economic growth from consumption and environmental impacts (first group of
modes of behaviour).
9Basically PSS is a concept to shift the business model from selling a manufactured product to offering a
combination of products and services (utility and function) that satisfy consumers’ intentions.
10e.g. Pigovian tax (price on pollution), income tax (levy), company tax, feebates and rebates.
✐ăMethodology The Karma of Products
___________________________________________________________________________
25
These modes of behaviour were assumed to be valid only in the domain of physical
consumer goods (electronics, household equipment, passenger car, etc.).
Knowledge and theories from different fields were brought together to build a conceptual
systems model and the CLD technique was used to represent the feedback structure. The
CLDs were built on the basis of iterative literature reviews and discussions and feedback
rounds within the author group.
3.1.2 How CLD was applied in Paper II
As stated in the Introduction section of this thesis, novel products and technologies can
create consumer needs that did not previously exist. The latter is particularly evident for
electronic products. Once incorporated into lives and routines, they are difficult to manage
without. Paper II used a simplification of the CLD technique to graphically link the product
design process and the other life cycle stages of a product with some unintended
environmental consequences, representing cause and effect chains distant in time and
geographical location. The study examined some pervasive challenges to sustainability in
design of electronic products, namely: (i) product and consumption redundancies; (i)
embodied environmental and social impacts occurring distant in time and space from the
point of consumption; and (iii) production and consumption dynamics.
3.1.3 How CLD was applied in Paper III
In Paper III, a literature survey, workshops and individual interviews with experts served
the purpose of identifying variables which may not typically be considered in LCA studies,
but may have a significant influence upon environmental impacts through closed causal
chains in product systems. Household washing machines and conventional passenger cars
(using gasoline or diesel) were chosen as case studies. First, a literature survey was
conducted for each case study to inspect the variables, system boundaries and functional
units that are commonly adopted in LCA studies on washing machines and passenger cars.
Seven LCA studies were selected and analysed for each product system.
Two parallel workshops were then organised to build a first version of CLDs. The workshop
on washing machines was organised at the Polytechnic of Turin (Italy) and involved five
✐ăMethodology The Karma of Products
___________________________________________________________________________
26
participants from the Department of Architecture and Design with backgrounds in
industrial design and systemic design. The workshop on conventional passenger cars took
place at KTH and involved five expert participants with backgrounds in environmental
economics, transport and LCA.
The purpose of the workshops was to gain a first view of:
• The larger system in which the product is embedded
• Variables that may influence the environmental performance of the product
through cause-effect links within that system
• The nature (positive or negative) of the relationships between these variables, in
order to get a better understanding of how the chosen variables may affect the
environmental impact of the studied product through cause-effect links.
During the two workshops, participants were asked to brainstorm variables related to
environmental impacts of the two product systems and to discuss their connections.
However, due to time constraints during the workshops, only a preliminary version of the
CLDs was developed for each of the product systems. There were still missing links
between variables, even important variables in the systems.
The CLDs were further developed by experts together with the authors of Paper III using
individual interviews to advance the level of completion. Three interviews were conducted
for each case. In each interview the first version of the CLD was presented to the experts
and variables, links and their polarity were discussed. Special attention was given to
naming the variables. The experts and the interviewees verified the consistency of the
cause-effect linkages and the relevance/importance of each variable to the system
represented in the diagram. Final versions of the CLD were built with the inputs from the
interviews.
This process of conducting the workshops and building the CLD followed the group
model-building (GMB) method described in Vennix (1996, pp.174-182).
✐ăMethodology The Karma of Products
___________________________________________________________________________
27
3.2 LCA-based footprint
The LCA method has been widely applied in industry and research for identifying
opportunities to measure and improve the environmental performance of products at
various stages of their life cycle. LCA addresses potential environmental impacts
throughout a product's life cycle from raw material extraction through production,
manufacture, use, end-of-life treatment, recycling and final disposal (i.e. cradle-to-grave).
The results of LCA can assist decision makers at several levels (e.g. managers, product
designers) in strategic planning, material selection and marketing (e.g. informing
consumers about the environmental performance of products) (ISO, 2006).
The standard methodological framework of LCA has four iterative phases (see Figure 7:
i. Goal and scope definition phase.
ii. Life cycle inventory (LCI) analysis phase.
iii. Life cycle impact assessment (LCIA) phase.
iv. Interpretation phase.
Based on the functional unit11 and system boundaries12 set in the goal and scope definition
phase, inputs (materials, water and energy) and outputs (emissions13, waste, co-products
and product) are compiled for each of the relevant processes/activities occurring in the life
cycle stages of the product (LCI analysis phase). The results from the LCI analysis phase are
then assigned to potential environmental impacts14 using characterisation factors (LCIA
11
Functional unit is defined as “quantified performance of a product system for use as a reference unit” (ISO,
2006, p. 4).
12The system boundaries are generally symbolised in a graphical representation showing which life cycle
stages/processes are part of the LCA analysis being carried out.
13 Solid, liquid and gaseous emissions to the air, water and soil.
14Global warming, acidification, eutrophication, cumulative energy demand, toxicity and resource depletion.
✐ăMethodology The Karma of Products
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28
phase)15. Throughout the interpretation phase, conclusions and recommendations for
improvement actions are made based on the findings of the LCI analysis and LCIA phases.
The environmental footprint concept (such as carbon, water and energy footprint) seems
to attract more consumer attention than complicated LCA results. Footprints have been
used for the purpose of communicating and raising consumer awareness about the
consequences that their consumption choices have on the environment. In reality, behind
these apparently simpler concepts, the metrics of product environmental footprints are
calculated based on the LCA framework. Figure 7 shows the LCA-based footprint
delineated from the LCA framework.
Figure 7 – Framework for LCA-based footprinting in relation to the LCA framework (diagram modified from
ISO (2006)).
15
For instance, in the use phase of a passenger car, diesel is combusted emitting carbon dioxide, among other
gases, to the atmosphere. The amount of carbon dioxide emitted by the combustion is assigned to global
warming potential.
✐ăMethodology The Karma of Products
___________________________________________________________________________
29
3.2.1 How LCA-based footprint was applied in Paper IV
Within the apparel and footwear industry, some famous brands have recently basing their
advertising on the claim that an alternative type of leather (vegetable-tanned16) is more
environmentally friendly than the traditional chromium-tanned leather17. However, there is
a lack of scientific research assessing and comparing the technologies of vegetable- and
chromium-tanning in a wider context than the toxicity of chromium18. To fill this gap, the
goal of the footprint study in Paper IV was to obtain primary data on energy, water and
GHG emissions (expressed as CO2 equivalents), as key indicators of environmental
pressure, across the main process steps of leather making, with the focus on providing
metrics for two types of leather processing technologies (vegetable and chromium) to
intermediate and final consumers.
Figure 8 illustrates the system boundaries of the LCA-based footprint study on leather
processing technologies. The system boundaries represent the unit processes, inputs and
outputs that were included in footprint calculation. The functional unit adopted was one
square metre (1 m2) of leather.
16
Vegetable leather is tanned using tanning agents leached from tree bark, wood, leaves, fruits and roots
(Kanth, Venba, Madhan, Chandrababu & Sadulla, 2009).
17Over 6.6 million tons of bovine hides and skins were produced in the world in 2014 (FAO, 2015); most (about
90%) of the leathers manufactured in the world nowadays are predominantly based on chromium salts
(Hedberg, Lidén & Odnevall Wallinder, 2015; Kanth et al., 2009).
18For a summary of the rationale and environmental problems in leather processing, see Thanikaivelan, Rao,
Nair and Ramasami (2005).
✐ăMethodology The Karma of Products
___________________________________________________________________________
30
Figure 8 – System boundaries of the footprint study on leather processing technologies (diagram from Paper
IV). The upstream processes of agriculture, animal farming, slaughtering, chemical production and water
extraction and delivery and the downstream processes of solid waste and wastewater treatment, leather
goods manufacturing, use phase and end of life were not included in the scope of the study.
The data collection phase and call to participate in the study took place in 2014. About 200
tanneries certified by the Leather Working Group (LWG) were invited by personalised
individual e-mails to participate. Invitations were also published in specialist online
magazines and newsletters19 and on social networking websites20. There were no costs to
the participating tanneries. Potential participants were informed that information such as
tannery names would remain confidential. Acceptance was rewarded with early privileged
access to the project results.
An Excel-based data questionnaire was developed based on the LWG auditing protocol
(LWG, 2014), assessed by five leather experts and validated in three trials. The validated
data collection form was then sent to the tanneries that accepted the invitation to
19
ILM International Leather Maker (www.internationalleathermaker.com), LeatherNaturally!
(www.leathernaturally.org)
20Linkedin groups
Cattle farming
Slaughtering
Leather making
process
Leather goods
manufacturing
Use
End of life
Chemical
production
Electricity/fuel
production
Finished leather
WATER
Solid waste and
wastewater
Leather goods
Discarded leather goods
By-productsENERGY
GHG EMISSIONS from
fuel combustion
Chemicals
Cows
Raw hides and skins
GHG EMISSIONS from
energy/fuel production
SYSTEM BOUNDARIES
Solid waste and
wastewater treatment
AgricultureAnimal feed
Water extraction
and delivery
Other inputs from
the environment
Other inputs to the
environment
✐ăMethodology The Karma of Products
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31
participate. The questions asked referred to their water, electricity21 and thermal energy22
usage for processing a given hide/leather input quantity (raw hide, tanned hide or crust
hide) in a certain period of time of tannery operation23. Participants were also asked to
specify the source of thermal energy (natural gas, fuel oil, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG),
wood and biomass other than wood). GaBi software and the Thinkstep (previously PE
International) Professional database were used to model and calculate the GHG
emissions24 (CO2 eq.) from electricity and thermal energy use.
3.2.2 How LCA-based footprint was applied in Paper V
Paper V adopted the LCA framework to account for the waste generated upstream from
the point of consumption of 10 selected products: chicken, beef, milk, a laptop computer, a
smartphone, a pair of trousers, training clothes, a pair of leather shoes, a milk carton and a
newspaper. The study can be seen as a screening LCI in the sense that easily available
generic data about the selected products were used.
The aim was not simply to account for the total waste generated to produce a product, but
to investigate intermediate hotspots25 and types of waste generated. In order to undertake
this task, a ‘cradle-to-gate’26 analysis was adopted. Evidently, the production of a product
starts at its cradle and the materials, undertaking various transformations, flow down to
and end at the factory gate (before being shipped to retailers or consumers). However, the
analysis started looking at the product at the factory gate (downstream gate) and went
upstream, through the intermediate transformations until the cradle of the product (i.e.
the materials from which the product is made).
21
For operating machinery and vessels, to produce compressed air and for lighting.
22For drying leather in different process phases, to heat water to temperatures needed for chemical processes,
and to control the temperature of the working environment.
23Data given refer to the year 2014.
24The CO2 eq. emissions were calculated with the indicator CML2001 - Apr. 2013, Global Warming Potential,
excl biogenic carbon (GWP 100 years).
25Stages, processes, activities or materials that contribute most to a certain metric which in our case was waste.
26The term ‘gate’ is an analogy to a factory gate, meaning that a product has been produced and is at the
factory gate ready to be transported to retailers/consumers; likewise, the term ‘cradle’ signifies the place
where the product started, namely at the extraction of the raw materials.
✐ăMethodology
______________________________________________________________
The intention was not to introduce any new ter
‘gate-to
procedure taken.
selected products
of producing the products was
cradle of their materials.
of the analysis
Figure 9
generic name for the cradle (where a product starts)
material
right-hand side). This finished product ca
(e.g. computer) or a product ready to be used by the final consumer (e.g. clothes). The Production of
material, Refining and Mining
The main source of data for the material composition and LCI was the ecoinvent v3.1
database
from technical reports,
used to manipulate, examine and extract data from ecoinvent
waste footprint models.
of data for each of the
Paper V
27
www.gabi
Methodology
______________________________________________________________
intention was not to introduce any new ter
to-gate’ are well
procedure taken.
selected products
of producing the products was
cradle of their materials.
analysis in Paper V
9 – Representation of the cradle
generic name for the cradle (where a product starts)
aterial. The numbers 1, 2, 3 denote the diverse materials that compose a finished product (first box on the
hand side). This finished product ca
(e.g. computer) or a product ready to be used by the final consumer (e.g. clothes). The Production of
material, Refining and Mining
The main source of data for the material composition and LCI was the ecoinvent v3.1
database (Ecoinvent, 2014)
from technical reports,
ed to manipulate, examine and extract data from ecoinvent
waste footprint models.
of data for each of the
Paper V.
www.gabi-software.com/
Methodology
______________________________________________________________
intention was not to introduce any new ter
gate’ are well established
procedure taken. First, a functional unit and the material composition for each of the
were defined
of producing the products was
cradle of their materials. Figure
in Paper V.
Representation of the cradle
generic name for the cradle (where a product starts)
. The numbers 1, 2, 3 denote the diverse materials that compose a finished product (first box on the
hand side). This finished product ca
(e.g. computer) or a product ready to be used by the final consumer (e.g. clothes). The Production of
material, Refining and Mining boxes
The main source of data for the material composition and LCI was the ecoinvent v3.1
(Ecoinvent, 2014). W
from technical reports, academic
ed to manipulate, examine and extract data from ecoinvent
waste footprint models. The functional unit, main parts/material/processes and the source
of data for each of the 10 products
software.com/
______________________________________________________________
intention was not to introduce any new ter
established, but rather to provide a faithful description of the
a functional unit and the material composition for each of the
defined. Then, the total amount of waste generated in the course
of producing the products was examined
Figure 9 illustrates this concept of cradle
Representation of the cradle-to-gate analysis
generic name for the cradle (where a product starts)
. The numbers 1, 2, 3 denote the diverse materials that compose a finished product (first box on the
hand side). This finished product can be a component/part/assembly that composes a complex product
(e.g. computer) or a product ready to be used by the final consumer (e.g. clothes). The Production of
boxes represent generic transformations
composes the product is subjected.
The main source of data for the material composition and LCI was the ecoinvent v3.1
When not available in
academic theses and scientific articles.
ed to manipulate, examine and extract data from ecoinvent
he functional unit, main parts/material/processes and the source
products analysed
______________________________________________________________
32
intention was not to introduce any new terminology, as the terms ‘cradle
, but rather to provide a faithful description of the
a functional unit and the material composition for each of the
, the total amount of waste generated in the course
examined from the gate of the selected products to the
illustrates this concept of cradle
gate analysis under
generic name for the cradle (where a product starts); the name
. The numbers 1, 2, 3 denote the diverse materials that compose a finished product (first box on the
n be a component/part/assembly that composes a complex product
(e.g. computer) or a product ready to be used by the final consumer (e.g. clothes). The Production of
represent generic transformations
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The main source of data for the material composition and LCI was the ecoinvent v3.1
t available in the
theses and scientific articles.
ed to manipulate, examine and extract data from ecoinvent
he functional unit, main parts/material/processes and the source
analysed are listed
The
______________________________________________________________
minology, as the terms ‘cradle
, but rather to provide a faithful description of the
a functional unit and the material composition for each of the
, the total amount of waste generated in the course
from the gate of the selected products to the
illustrates this concept of cradle
undertaken. Ore extraction
; the name can change
. The numbers 1, 2, 3 denote the diverse materials that compose a finished product (first box on the
n be a component/part/assembly that composes a complex product
(e.g. computer) or a product ready to be used by the final consumer (e.g. clothes). The Production of
represent generic transformations to which
the product is subjected.
The main source of data for the material composition and LCI was the ecoinvent v3.1
the ecoinvent database
theses and scientific articles.
ed to manipulate, examine and extract data from ecoinvent
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are listed in the supporting information
The Karma of
______________________________________________________________
minology, as the terms ‘cradle
, but rather to provide a faithful description of the
a functional unit and the material composition for each of the
, the total amount of waste generated in the course
from the gate of the selected products to the
illustrates this concept of cradle-to-gate and the direction
taken. Ore extraction (far left
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. The numbers 1, 2, 3 denote the diverse materials that compose a finished product (first box on the
n be a component/part/assembly that composes a complex product
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to which each finishe
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ecoinvent database
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ed to manipulate, examine and extract data from ecoinvent v3.1 datasets and build the
he functional unit, main parts/material/processes and the source
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arma of Products
___________________________________________________________________________
minology, as the terms ‘cradle-to-gate’ and
, but rather to provide a faithful description of the
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each finished material that
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datasets and build the
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_____________
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d material that
The main source of data for the material composition and LCI was the ecoinvent v3.1
data were taken
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datasets and build the
he functional unit, main parts/material/processes and the source
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✐ăMethodology The Karma of Products
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33
There are several methodological limitations concerning the data, such as availability,
reliability, consistency, declaration, format and representation. Therefore, the waste
footprint values presented in Paper V should be seen as only an indicative rather than a
definite picture of reality. This study was a preliminary attempt (screening) to examine
quantities, types, sources and reasons of waste generated in the course of producing
consumer goods.
3.3 Method in Paper VI
Previous work by our research group (Frostell, 2013; Laurenti, 2013; Singh, 2013; Sinha,
2014) was unified and synthesised to develop the framework presented in Paper VI. The
proposed framework consists of a set of planning stages to be followed prior to
developing improvement actions. The refinement of these planning stages followed an
iterative process between conceptualising the framework, illustrating it and learning from
it. The conceptualisation work sought to answer ‘what-ought-to-be’ and the illustrating
stage sought to answer ‘how-it-should-be’. Then based on lessons learnt from the
illustration stage, the planning stages were refined accordingly. This iterative process is
shown in Figure 10.
✐ăMethodology The Karma of Products
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34
Figure 10 – Methodology used for developing the proposed framework (diagram from Paper VI).
The case chosen to illustrate the proposed framework was that of planning for closing
material flow loops in the global mobile phone product system. In this example, the focus
was on resource depletion (an unintended environmental consequence of the current
linear resource management model ‘extract–produce–use–dispose’) and transition to a
circular resource management model (where materials circulate in the economy by re-use,
remanufacture and recycling). The technique used was the stock and flow diagram, which
is a step further than a CLD towards quantification, modelling and simulation.
✐ă 35
“The saddest aspect of life right now is that science gathers knowledge faster than society
gathers wisdom.”
― Isaac Asimov
✐ă 36
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37
4 . Key resu l t s o f Papers I -V I
This chapter summarises the results obtained in Papers I-VI. For full details of the results,
see the respective papers.
4.1 Paper I
Rafael Laurenti, Jagdeep Singh, Rajib Sinha, Josepha Potting, Björn Frostell, 2015. Unintended environmental consequences of improvement actions: A qualitative analysis of systems’ structure and behavior. Systems Research and Behavioral Science, online. doi: 10.1002/sres.2330.
In Paper I, two distinct groups of modes of systems behaviour were coupled in a CLD. The
first group consisted of modes of behaviour of unintended environmental consequences
of purposive improvement actions. These were: incremental improvements in material and
energy efficiency causing consumption to increase; consumption rebound effects linked to
generation of waste and pollution; and waste and pollution begetting social and
environmental negative externalities, economic inequalities and other broad negative
environmental and social impacts such as ripple effects.
The second group consisted of types of systems intervention: wide-scale implementation
of product-service systems (PSS) and environmental policy instruments. PSS is often
advocated by the emerging circular economy concept as a promising way to decouple
economic growth and consumption from environmental impacts. The concept of
providing incentives for industries to internalise the full costs of their activities with
environmental policy instruments is the core of the solid discipline of ecological
economics.
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38
Figure 11 shows the feedback loop structure of the two groups of modes of systems
behaviour created in Paper I. The feedback loops are explained in Table 1.
Figure 11 – Feedback loops: R1 Engine of Growth, R2 Consumption Rebound Effect, R3 Externalities-
Consumer Costs, R4 New Growth, R5 Circularity and B1 Internalising Externalities.
Table 1 – Description of the feedback structure and main sources of evidence
Description of feedback structure Main sources of evidence
R1 Engine of Growth: incremental innovation28 leads to shorter product lifespans (planned and perceived obsolescence), which in turn leads to more consumption; greater consumption fosters economic growth; more economic growth means that more financial capital is available to reinvest in incremental growth.
(Chapman, 2009; Guiltinan, 2009; Jackson, 2009; Leonard, 2010; Partidario, Vicente & Belchior, 2010)
R2 Consumption rebound effect: lower per-unit energy or material requirements translates into lower consumer costs, which in turn increase overall consumption; efficiency gains repeatedly cancelled out or even surpassed by increased consumption.
(Alcott, 2005; Dahmus, 2014; Duarte, Mainar & Sánchez-Chóliz, 2013;. Hertwich, 2005; Jalas, 2002; Maxwell et al., 2011; Polimeni, Mayumi
28
In contrast to a disruptive change that leads to a radical transformation in the product (for example, a new
technology) and in several parts of a system in a relatively short time, incremental innovation means
progressive or successive change over time in a product platform that does not necessarily need
modification/adjustment in other parts of the system.
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39
Giampietro, & Alcott, 2008; Worldwatch, 2004; Thomas & Azevedo, 2013a, 2013b)
R3 Externalities-Consumer Costs: in the presence of negative externalities29, the free market trades products more than it would otherwise have done. In these cases, companies can sell their products more cheaply, as an important part of the true costs of production is externalised.
(Bilancini & D'Alessandro, 2012; Bithas, 2011; Costanza et al., 1997; van den Bergh, 2010; Zerlentes, Hewings & Weiler, 2009)
R4 New Growth: in PSS profits are generated by the unit-of-service delivered (pay-per-use), in contrast to product-orientated business models where companies get paid by the number of units sold. PSS then leads to a systems innovation where significant changes in consumption patterns, business models, physical infrastructure and product design are needed. The more those changes occur, the more PSS spreads and the more consumer intentions are satisfied in this way. Consequently, economic growth is fostered whilst pollution is decreased. The marginal economic growth can then be reinvested in more systems innovation.
(Halme, Anttonen Kuisma, Kontoniemi & Heino, 2007; Mont, 2000; Mylan, 2014; Reim, Parida & Örtqvist, 2014; Tukker, 2014)
R5 Circularity: the diffusion of PSS also increases behaviours such as reuse, repurpose, remanufacture and recycling of goods. These new businesses again increase economic growth, which can be reinvested in more systems innovation.
(Halme et al., 2007; Mont, 2000; Mylan, 2014; Reim et al., 2014; Tukker, 2014)
B1 Internalising Externalities: in an economic system that internalises negative externalities, waste and pollution would increase consumer costs, which would then lead to less consumption. All else being equal, a lower level of consumption would lead to less waste and pollution. A balancing feedback loop between waste/pollution and consumer costs would then be operating.
(Amalric, 2006; Jaffe, Newell, & Stavins, 2005; Mandell, 2009; McHenry, 2009; Pigou, 2009)
The reinforcing feedback loop Engine of Growth (R1) is the core of two other feedback
loops in the conceptual model in Figure 11 (i.e. R2 Consumption Rebound Effect and R3
Externalities-Consumer Costs). The variable consumption connects the three feedback
loops, and the variable incremental innovation drives R1 and R2. For these reasons,
consumption and incremental innovation are the highest leverage points in this complex
system.
29
A negative externality occurs when an activity or transaction by some party causes an unintended loss in
welfare to another party, and no compensation for the change in welfare occurs.
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The paradigm shift from consuming products to using services (PSS) has the potential to
create new reinforcing feedback loops capable of lessening R1, R2 and R3. In this new
structure, satisfying consumers’ intentions and circulating materials by reuse, repurpose,
remanufacture and recycle would be accompanied by economic growth. This new growth
would in turn be reinvested in more systems innovation, reinforcing the loops New Growth
(R4) and Circularity (R5).
Policy instruments for internalising negative externalities are expected to create a
balancing feedback loop (B1). This balancing loop would bring waste and pollution down
to a desirable level, weakening the strength of R3 and hence fostering a regime shift
towards PSS.
This combination of PSS and environmental policy instruments for decoupling economic
growth from consumption and environmental impacts may be seen as a transition
pathway from a linear economy to a circular economy.
4.2 Paper II
Rafael Laurenti, Rajib Sinha, Jagdeep Singh, Björn Frostell, 2015. Some pervasive challenges to sustainability by design of electronic products – a conceptual discussion. Journal of Cleaner Production 108 (Part A), 281-288. doi: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2015.08.041.
After the structure of modes of behaviours of unintended environmental consequences of
purposive improvement actions had been created, in order to identify essential
developments in certain areas that can assist design practice in preventing unintended
environmental consequences Paper II examined some pervasive challenges to
sustainability by design of electronic products, namely: (i) redundant consumption; (i)
embodied environmental and social impacts; and (iii) liberation of scarce production or
consumption factors – such as money, time, space, technology – that can encourage
increasing consumption.
Figure 12 shows the causal chains between product design, prevailing conditions and
unintended consequences that were within the scope of Paper II.
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Figure 12 - Examples of prevailing conditions and unintended environmental consequences connected to
product life cycle stages that can occur at multiple temporal and spatial scales. The slimmer arrows represent
cause and effect chains and the thicker arrows material and information flows between a product’s life cycle
stages. (Diagram adapted from Paper II).
A prominent discussion point in Paper II was that the occurrence of environmental
pressure depends essentially on the dynamics of two contributing causal factors:
consumption and investment. Consumption dynamics concern how product offerings
encourage consumers to spend their money and time. If these are spent on new products
and activities that carry higher impact intensities, the overall burdens are clearly increased.
Alternatively, if money and time are spent on products and activities that carry lower
impact intensities, then environmental gains are obtained. Investment dynamics concern
how those providing the product offerings reinvest the profits from sales. Due to these
consumption and investment dynamics, directing consumers to buy more expensive
products in order to restrict their availability of money and avoid increased consumption
will not necessarily decrease the total negative burden of consumption.
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4.3 Paper III
Rafael Laurenti, David Lazarevic, Sofia Poulikidou, Valeria Montrucchio, Luigi Bistagnino, Björn Frostell, 2014. Group model-building to identify potential sources of environmental impacts outside the scope of LCA studies. Journal of Cleaner Production 72, 96-109. doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2014.03.001
Paper III utilised the CLD technique to identify variables which may not typically be
identified and considered in LCA studies, but may have a significant influence upon
environmental impacts through cause-effect chains. Figure 13 shows the CLDs built for (a)
a household washing machine and (b) a conventional passenger car product system. The
variables marked with an asterisk were identified in the scope of the LCA studies of
washing machines and cars; those without an asterisk were identified from the GMB
workshops and individual interviews.
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Figure 13 – (a) Causal link diagram (CLD) of a washing machine product system and (b) CLD of a passenger car
product system. There may be time delays on many of these links. The variables marked with an asterisk
were identified in the LCA studies.
a)
b)
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44
The CLDs also indicated an interesting pattern between the LCA studies and the results
from the GMB process. Whilst the scope of the LCA studies mainly covered physical
structure, the GMB reached variables pertaining to both physical and behavioural structure
as important to assess the environmental impacts of the product systems. Variables of the
physical structure related to aspects of the products themselves (washing machine/car)
and background infrastructure (technology developments, design improvements, level of
air/toxicity/noise pollution, energy use, etc.), whereas the behavioural structure concerned
the decision rules used by the people in the product system (government policies and
taxes, pro-environmental attitudes, market demand, economic growth, etc.). The latter
group of variables seemed particularly important to assist in structuring the system of
which the two products studied formed part.
For instance, in the case study on passenger cars, the environmental impact per passenger
car over its lifetime or per km travelled (functional units usually considered) can be directly
influenced by ‘material recovery’, ‘vehicle lifespan/obsolescence’, ‘reuse’ and ‘direct vehicle
energy use’ (variables identified in the LCA studies). As shown in Figure 13b, these
variables can be influenced by ‘vehicle design development’, which in turn is affected by
‘government policies and taxes’ via ‘vehicle technology development’. Moreover, ‘material
recovery’ and ‘reuse’ are affected by ‘recovered parts and materials market demand and
infrastructure’. This clear example of variables pertaining to a behavioural structure
interacting as cause-effect linkages to influence the environmental impacts of cars can be
interpreted as: more ‘public transport development’ and less ‘car ownership’ will lead to
decreasing ‘vehicle travel’; less ‘vehicle travel’ means less ‘traffic volume’, causing the
‘direct energy use to decrease’.
In conclusion, therefore, the results of Paper III indicate that there is a behavioural structure
interacting with the physical structure (considered by LCAs) that needs to be taken into
account in environmental assessments. In this sense, the CLD technique appears to be a
useful way to connect quantitative assessment with qualitative analysis.
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4.4 Paper IV
Rafael Laurenti, Michael Redwood, Rita Puig, Björn Frostell, 2015. Measuring the environmental footprint of leather processing technologies in selected countries. Submitted manuscript.
Paper IV measured and compared the carbon, water and energy footprint of vegetable and
chromium leather processing technology in 12 tanneries (coded A-L) in seven countries.
Table 2 presents the tannery code, country, respective category (position in leather-
making value chain) and type of tanning technology used for each of these tanneries.
Table 2 – List of participating tanneries showing tannery code, country, category (position in leather-making
value chain) and tanning technology.
Code Country Category Tanning
technology
A Spain Raw hide to finished leather Chromium
B Taiwan Raw hide to finished leather Chromium
C Australia Raw hide to finished leather Chromium
D Argentina Raw hide to finished leather Vegetable
E Spain Raw hide to finished leather Vegetable
F Brazil Raw hide to crust hide Vegetable
G Brazil Raw hide to tanned hide Chromium
H China Tanned hide to finished leather Chromium
I Mexico Tanned hide to finished leather Chromium
J Mexico Tanned hide to finished leather Chromium
K Brazil Tanned hide to finished leather Chromium
L Brazil Crust hide to finished leather Chromium
The water, energy and carbon footprint of the participating tanneries per square metre of
hide/leather processed is shown in Figure 14. Comparisons should only be made within
categories and bearing in mind that the tanneries are located in different countries and
use different energy sources.
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Figure 14 – Water, energy and carbon footprint of the 12 participating tanneries (A-L); values are expressed
per square metre of hide/leather processed.
The performance of vegetable and chromium tanning appeared to be very similar. Yet,
owing to the major limitation of very few data being available (especially on vegetable
tanning), no definite conclusion could be drawn about differences in the water, energy
and carbon footprint between chromium and vegetable leather. An example of conflicting
results can be seen in the category ‘raw hide to finished leather’ (A-E); tannery D (veg) had
the highest water footprint and the lowest energy footprint, while tannery E (veg) scored
the lowest in water footprint and the highest in energy footprint (see Figure 14).
The carbon footprint proved to be more strongly dependent on the country electricity grid
mix than on the other sources of energy. This became evident when comparing the carbon
and energy footprint of tanneries F, G, K and L in Brazil and tannery H in China. The carbon
footprint of the Brazilian tanneries was decoupled from their energy footprint because of
the clean electricity grid mix in Brazil. However, although almost 60% of the energy
consumption of tannery H in China comes from biomass, approximately 95% of its carbon
footprint comes from the electricity grid mix.
In conclusion, each tannery proved to be very individual. Given the many material inputs
to making leather and the numerous points during processing at which a halt can be called
0 40 80 120 160 200
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
Water footprint [L/m2]
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Energy footprint [MJ/m2]
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5 6
Carbon footprint [kg CO2eq./m2]
//
/ /
//
12
Raw hide to finished leather
Raw hide to finished leather (Veg) Raw hide to tanned hide
Tanned hide to finished leather
Crust leather to finished leather
Raw hide to crust leather (Veg)
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and the leather sold on to someone else, getting an ‘average’ or even indicative measure
proved to be very challenging. This may explain why the benchmarking tanneries set up a
measure which they mostly use to monitor their own improvement, rather than trying to
use it for comparison with other tanneries or materials. Examples of this practice are the
PrimeAsia footprinting leather30 and Isa TanTec LITE Leather label31. There are wide
variations in the data on the environmental performance of different tanneries and these
need to be understood to help with developing usable metrics for leather product
footprint studies and best practices. The variability of the results calls for further
investigations on a larger sample of tanneries that use vegetable tanning.
4.5 Paper V
Rafael Laurenti, Åsa Moberg, Åsa Stenmarck, 2016. Calculating the pre-consumer waste footprint – a screening study of 10 selected products. Submitted manuscript.
In Paper V, a waste footprint metric potentially capable of improving understanding and
awareness among producers and consumers about the total waste generated in the
course of producing consumer products was developed and applied to 10 generic
products. Figure 15 summarises the results. Among the products analysed, electro-
electronic products had the largest waste footprint; beef scored higher than chicken; milk
had a relatively small waste footprint, but its waste footprint increased by approximately
10% when the footprint of the carton was added; and the waste footprint of clothing was
relatively large. The different waste footprints are not directly comparable, however, as the
function provided by the products was not the same.
30
http://www.primeasialeather.com/
31http://liteleather.com/co2_guide.php
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Figure 15 – Waste footprint (kg) of the 10 consumer goods studied. The bars for the laptop computer and
smartphone are not to scale.
Figure 16 – Percentage of the waste footprint (in blue) and the weight (in red) of 10 consumer goods studied
in relation to the sum of both.
As expected, the waste footprint analysis indicated that the waste that consumers dispose
of represents only a small fraction of the total waste generated in the economy due to
consumption (Figure 16). Most of the total waste occurs upstream from the point of
consumption during the production of fuels, electricity and materials necessary to produce
consumer goods.
Quantities and points of waste generation can differ quite radically. This is evident in
Figure 17, which shows the percentage contribution of production stages to the waste
0.86
4
0.097
25
17
12
0.009
0.025
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
1 kg of chicken meat
1 kg of beef
1 l of milk
Laptop computer
Smartphone
Pair of trousers
Training clothes
Pair of leather shoes
Milk carton
Newspaper
/ /
/ /
1200
86
kg
/ /
0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
1 kg of chicken meat
1 kg of beef
1 l of milk
Laptop computer
Smartphone
Pair of trousers
Training clothes
Pair of leather shoes
Milk carton
Newspaper
Waste footprint Product weight
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footprint. For electro-electronic products, mining and beneficiation were the main source
of large quantities of waste. The waste from final production was the greatest contributor
to the waste footprint of clothes (wastewater in fabric production) and chicken and beef
(slaughter waste). The production of input materials, especially leather and metal parts,
was the largest source of waste for leather shoes, while wastes from fuel and electricity
production were more significant for the milk carton and milk. Full details of the waste
types can be found in the supporting information to Paper V.
Figure 17 – Percentage contribution of production stages to the waste footprint of the 10 consumer goods
analysed. ‘Final production’ represents the company at the top of the supply chain (e.g. the original
equipment manufacturer). ‘Production of input materials’ encompasses the whole supply chain of the
materials (i.e. tier 1, 2, 3, etc.). ‘Fuel and electricity’ are supplied to ‘production of input materials’ and ‘final
production’. Final production of chicken and beef refers to the slaughterhouse stage; of pair of trousers and
training clothes to fabric production; of the carton to packaging production; and of the newspaper to paper
production.
It should be noted that waste which can be recycled for material or recovered for energy,
according to the data source, is not included in the waste footprints above. If these wastes
had been included, the footprint would have been considerably larger.
0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
1 kg of chicken meat
1 kg of beef
1 l of milk
Laptop computer
Smartphone
Pair of trousers
Training clothes
Pair of leather shoes
Milk carton
Newspaper
Fuel and electricity Production of input materials Final production
✐ăResults
___________________________________________________________________________
4.6
Rafael Laurenti, Rajib Sinha, Jagunintended environmental consequDevelopment
Paper VI
economic driv
cost, product price, market demand, product lifetime
economic drivers’ can be seen as the physical
The proposed
1. Framing the challenge
2. Defining
3. Expanding the system boundaries
4. Shrinking the system boundaries to accessible leverage points.
5. Setting goals and indicators.
6. Identifying management strategies to
Figure 18
be carried out qualitatively (screening) and a second iteration can be conducted quantitatively (inve
As Figure
a screening of the broad system, main variables and interconnections. The purpose of this
Results
___________________________________________________________________________
Paper VI
Rafael Laurenti, Rajib Sinha, Jagunintended environmental consequDevelopment 24(1), 1
Paper VI presents
economic drivers that result in changes in these flows (e.g.
cost, product price, market demand, product lifetime
economic drivers’ can be seen as the physical
proposed framework was structured into
Framing the challenge
Defining the aim and developing a conceptual model.
Expanding the system boundaries
Shrinking the system boundaries to accessible leverage points.
Setting goals and indicators.
Identifying management strategies to
18 – Proposed
be carried out qualitatively (screening) and a second iteration can be conducted quantitatively (inve
Figure 18 shows,
a screening of the broad system, main variables and interconnections. The purpose of this
___________________________________________________________________________
Rafael Laurenti, Rajib Sinha, Jagunintended environmental consequ
24(1), 1-17. doi: 10.1002/sd.1601.
presents a planning framework that connects material flows and the socio
ers that result in changes in these flows (e.g.
cost, product price, market demand, product lifetime
economic drivers’ can be seen as the physical
framework was structured into
Framing the challenge
the aim and developing a conceptual model.
Expanding the system boundaries
Shrinking the system boundaries to accessible leverage points.
Setting goals and indicators.
Identifying management strategies to
Proposed planning framework
be carried out qualitatively (screening) and a second iteration can be conducted quantitatively (inve
shows, a first iteration of the planning steps can be carried out qualitatively, as
a screening of the broad system, main variables and interconnections. The purpose of this
___________________________________________________________________________
Rafael Laurenti, Rajib Sinha, Jagdeep Singh, unintended environmental consequ
. doi: 10.1002/sd.1601.
a planning framework that connects material flows and the socio
ers that result in changes in these flows (e.g.
cost, product price, market demand, product lifetime
economic drivers’ can be seen as the physical
framework was structured into
Framing the challenge – what is the challenge and why is it a challenge?
the aim and developing a conceptual model.
Expanding the system boundaries
Shrinking the system boundaries to accessible leverage points.
Setting goals and indicators.
Identifying management strategies to
framework (diagram from Paper VI)
be carried out qualitatively (screening) and a second iteration can be conducted quantitatively (inve
modelling and simulation).
first iteration of the planning steps can be carried out qualitatively, as
a screening of the broad system, main variables and interconnections. The purpose of this
___________________________________________________________________________
50
deep Singh, Björn Frostell, 2016unintended environmental consequences: A
. doi: 10.1002/sd.1601.
a planning framework that connects material flows and the socio
ers that result in changes in these flows (e.g.
cost, product price, market demand, product lifetime
economic drivers’ can be seen as the physical and behavioural structure stated in Paper
framework was structured into six planning
what is the challenge and why is it a challenge?
the aim and developing a conceptual model.
Expanding the system boundaries – flows, stocks, drivers and their interlinkages.
Shrinking the system boundaries to accessible leverage points.
Identifying management strategies to achieve the goals
iagram from Paper VI)
be carried out qualitatively (screening) and a second iteration can be conducted quantitatively (inve
modelling and simulation).
first iteration of the planning steps can be carried out qualitatively, as
a screening of the broad system, main variables and interconnections. The purpose of this
The
___________________________________________________________________________
Björn Frostell, 2016ences: A planning f
a planning framework that connects material flows and the socio
ers that result in changes in these flows (e.g.
cost, product price, market demand, product lifetime). The ‘material flows’ and the ‘socio
behavioural structure stated in Paper
planning stages
what is the challenge and why is it a challenge?
the aim and developing a conceptual model.
flows, stocks, drivers and their interlinkages.
Shrinking the system boundaries to accessible leverage points.
achieve the goals
iagram from Paper VI). A first iteration of the planning steps can
be carried out qualitatively (screening) and a second iteration can be conducted quantitatively (inve
modelling and simulation).
first iteration of the planning steps can be carried out qualitatively, as
a screening of the broad system, main variables and interconnections. The purpose of this
The Karma of
___________________________________________________________________________
Björn Frostell, 2016. Towards planning framework.
a planning framework that connects material flows and the socio
ers that result in changes in these flows (e.g. raw material cost, recycling
The ‘material flows’ and the ‘socio
behavioural structure stated in Paper
stages (see Figure
what is the challenge and why is it a challenge?
flows, stocks, drivers and their interlinkages.
Shrinking the system boundaries to accessible leverage points.
achieve the goals.
. A first iteration of the planning steps can
be carried out qualitatively (screening) and a second iteration can be conducted quantitatively (inve
first iteration of the planning steps can be carried out qualitatively, as
a screening of the broad system, main variables and interconnections. The purpose of this
arma of Products
___________________________________________________________________________
Towards addressing ramework. Sustainable
a planning framework that connects material flows and the socio
raw material cost, recycling
The ‘material flows’ and the ‘socio
behavioural structure stated in Paper
Figure 18):
what is the challenge and why is it a challenge?
flows, stocks, drivers and their interlinkages.
. A first iteration of the planning steps can
be carried out qualitatively (screening) and a second iteration can be conducted quantitatively (inve
first iteration of the planning steps can be carried out qualitatively, as
a screening of the broad system, main variables and interconnections. The purpose of this
roducts
___________________________________________________________________________
addressing Sustainable
a planning framework that connects material flows and the socio-
raw material cost, recycling
The ‘material flows’ and the ‘socio-
behavioural structure stated in Paper III.
flows, stocks, drivers and their interlinkages.
. A first iteration of the planning steps can
be carried out qualitatively (screening) and a second iteration can be conducted quantitatively (inventorying,
first iteration of the planning steps can be carried out qualitatively, as
a screening of the broad system, main variables and interconnections. The purpose of this
✐ăResults
___________________________________________________________________________
qualitative analy
(i.e. system boundaries and scope). A second iteration can be conducted qua
accounting for
behaviour
The planning stages were explained and illustrated
unintended consequences related to resource depletion in the mobile phone product
system.
Figure
accumul
material flow to (inflow) or from (outflow) stocks;
leading into (adding to) a stock; outflows of material
from) a stock. The valves in the middle of the pipes control the rate at which material flows are exchanged
by adjacent stocks.
by a simple arrow.
dimensions between: two or more drivers; drivers and rates; and rates and drivers. Feedback loops between
Only the results of a first qualitative iteration were presented in Paper VI. Outcomes of a
second quantitative iteration will be reported in a future publication.
application
longer life; designing for recycling and improving collection; designing for limiting phone
hibernation time; and internalising external costs.
Results
___________________________________________________________________________
qualitative analysis is to structure
system boundaries and scope). A second iteration can be conducted qua
accounting for and inventorying
behaviour of the system over time
The planning stages were explained and illustrated
unintended consequences related to resource depletion in the mobile phone product
system. Figure 19 shows the stock and flow diagram built
Figure 19 - Flows, stocks and drivers in the global mobile phone product system. Stocks
accumulation of materials and
material flow to (inflow) or from (outflow) stocks;
leading into (adding to) a stock; outflows of material
from) a stock. The valves in the middle of the pipes control the rate at which material flows are exchanged
by adjacent stocks. Drivers signify parameters that can change the rate of flows
by a simple arrow.
dimensions between: two or more drivers; drivers and rates; and rates and drivers. Feedback loops between
stocks, flows and drivers are al
Only the results of a first qualitative iteration were presented in Paper VI. Outcomes of a
second quantitative iteration will be reported in a future publication.
application suggested
longer life; designing for recycling and improving collection; designing for limiting phone
hibernation time; and internalising external costs.
___________________________________________________________________________
sis is to structure
system boundaries and scope). A second iteration can be conducted qua
and inventorying
of the system over time
The planning stages were explained and illustrated
unintended consequences related to resource depletion in the mobile phone product
shows the stock and flow diagram built
Flows, stocks and drivers in the global mobile phone product system. Stocks
ation of materials and
material flow to (inflow) or from (outflow) stocks;
leading into (adding to) a stock; outflows of material
from) a stock. The valves in the middle of the pipes control the rate at which material flows are exchanged
Drivers signify parameters that can change the rate of flows
by a simple arrow. Cause and effect chains can occur at different time lag
dimensions between: two or more drivers; drivers and rates; and rates and drivers. Feedback loops between
stocks, flows and drivers are al
Only the results of a first qualitative iteration were presented in Paper VI. Outcomes of a
second quantitative iteration will be reported in a future publication.
suggested implementing the following improvement strategies: designing for
longer life; designing for recycling and improving collection; designing for limiting phone
hibernation time; and internalising external costs.
___________________________________________________________________________
sis is to structure and describe
system boundaries and scope). A second iteration can be conducted qua
and inventorying the main variables and modelling and simulating the
of the system over time when applicable
The planning stages were explained and illustrated
unintended consequences related to resource depletion in the mobile phone product
shows the stock and flow diagram built
Flows, stocks and drivers in the global mobile phone product system. Stocks
ation of materials and are represented as rectangles;
material flow to (inflow) or from (outflow) stocks;
leading into (adding to) a stock; outflows of material
from) a stock. The valves in the middle of the pipes control the rate at which material flows are exchanged
Drivers signify parameters that can change the rate of flows
Cause and effect chains can occur at different time lag
dimensions between: two or more drivers; drivers and rates; and rates and drivers. Feedback loops between
stocks, flows and drivers are al
Only the results of a first qualitative iteration were presented in Paper VI. Outcomes of a
second quantitative iteration will be reported in a future publication.
implementing the following improvement strategies: designing for
longer life; designing for recycling and improving collection; designing for limiting phone
hibernation time; and internalising external costs.
___________________________________________________________________________
51
and describe the appropriate system to be
system boundaries and scope). A second iteration can be conducted qua
the main variables and modelling and simulating the
when applicable
The planning stages were explained and illustrated
unintended consequences related to resource depletion in the mobile phone product
shows the stock and flow diagram built
Flows, stocks and drivers in the global mobile phone product system. Stocks
are represented as rectangles;
material flow to (inflow) or from (outflow) stocks; inflows of materials are represented by a pipe (arrow)
leading into (adding to) a stock; outflows of materials are represented by pipes leading out of (subtracting
from) a stock. The valves in the middle of the pipes control the rate at which material flows are exchanged
Drivers signify parameters that can change the rate of flows
Cause and effect chains can occur at different time lag
dimensions between: two or more drivers; drivers and rates; and rates and drivers. Feedback loops between
stocks, flows and drivers are also likely to occur
Only the results of a first qualitative iteration were presented in Paper VI. Outcomes of a
second quantitative iteration will be reported in a future publication.
implementing the following improvement strategies: designing for
longer life; designing for recycling and improving collection; designing for limiting phone
hibernation time; and internalising external costs.
The
___________________________________________________________________________
the appropriate system to be
system boundaries and scope). A second iteration can be conducted qua
the main variables and modelling and simulating the
when applicable.
The planning stages were explained and illustrated in Paper VI
unintended consequences related to resource depletion in the mobile phone product
shows the stock and flow diagram built for the mobile phone example.
Flows, stocks and drivers in the global mobile phone product system. Stocks
are represented as rectangles; flows characterise the rate over time of
inflows of materials are represented by a pipe (arrow)
s are represented by pipes leading out of (subtracting
from) a stock. The valves in the middle of the pipes control the rate at which material flows are exchanged
Drivers signify parameters that can change the rate of flows
Cause and effect chains can occur at different time lag
dimensions between: two or more drivers; drivers and rates; and rates and drivers. Feedback loops between
so likely to occur (diagram from Paper VI)
Only the results of a first qualitative iteration were presented in Paper VI. Outcomes of a
second quantitative iteration will be reported in a future publication.
implementing the following improvement strategies: designing for
longer life; designing for recycling and improving collection; designing for limiting phone
hibernation time; and internalising external costs. ‘Product design and development’ and
The Karma of
___________________________________________________________________________
the appropriate system to be
system boundaries and scope). A second iteration can be conducted qua
the main variables and modelling and simulating the
in Paper VI using the case of
unintended consequences related to resource depletion in the mobile phone product
the mobile phone example.
Flows, stocks and drivers in the global mobile phone product system. Stocks
flows characterise the rate over time of
inflows of materials are represented by a pipe (arrow)
s are represented by pipes leading out of (subtracting
from) a stock. The valves in the middle of the pipes control the rate at which material flows are exchanged
Drivers signify parameters that can change the rate of flows are connecte
Cause and effect chains can occur at different time lags, spatial and organisation
dimensions between: two or more drivers; drivers and rates; and rates and drivers. Feedback loops between
iagram from Paper VI)
Only the results of a first qualitative iteration were presented in Paper VI. Outcomes of a
second quantitative iteration will be reported in a future publication. The results from the
implementing the following improvement strategies: designing for
longer life; designing for recycling and improving collection; designing for limiting phone
‘Product design and development’ and
arma of Products
___________________________________________________________________________
the appropriate system to be considered
system boundaries and scope). A second iteration can be conducted quantitatively,
the main variables and modelling and simulating the
using the case of
unintended consequences related to resource depletion in the mobile phone product
the mobile phone example.
Flows, stocks and drivers in the global mobile phone product system. Stocks symbolise
flows characterise the rate over time of
inflows of materials are represented by a pipe (arrow)
s are represented by pipes leading out of (subtracting
from) a stock. The valves in the middle of the pipes control the rate at which material flows are exchanged
are connected to the valves
, spatial and organisation
dimensions between: two or more drivers; drivers and rates; and rates and drivers. Feedback loops between
iagram from Paper VI).
Only the results of a first qualitative iteration were presented in Paper VI. Outcomes of a
The results from the
implementing the following improvement strategies: designing for
longer life; designing for recycling and improving collection; designing for limiting phone
‘Product design and development’ and
roducts
___________________________________________________________________________
considered
itatively,
the main variables and modelling and simulating the
using the case of
unintended consequences related to resource depletion in the mobile phone product
the mobile phone example.
symbolise
flows characterise the rate over time of
inflows of materials are represented by a pipe (arrow)
s are represented by pipes leading out of (subtracting
from) a stock. The valves in the middle of the pipes control the rate at which material flows are exchanged
d to the valves
, spatial and organisation
dimensions between: two or more drivers; drivers and rates; and rates and drivers. Feedback loops between
Only the results of a first qualitative iteration were presented in Paper VI. Outcomes of a
The results from the
implementing the following improvement strategies: designing for
longer life; designing for recycling and improving collection; designing for limiting phone
‘Product design and development’ and
✐ăResults The Karma of Products
___________________________________________________________________________
52
‘Retailers and users as part of a collection system’ were indicated as central intervention
points.
It was concluded that by applying this way of thinking in environmental assessments, new
knowledge about cause and effect mechanisms by which unintended environmental
consequences arise could facilitate identification of management strategies for reducing
conflicts between local gains and global losses.
✐ă 53
“Wherever you go, there you are.”
― Jon Kabat-Zinn
✐ă 54
✐ăDiscussion The Karma of Products
___________________________________________________________________________
55
5 . Discuss ion
The models presented in Papers I-VI and their respective results are obviously a simplified
representation of reality. This section provides a further explanation about what the results
mean, highlighting their limitations and opportunities for further studies.
5.1 Quality and relevance of causal loop diagrams
The intention in Papers I-III was to illustrate – using CLD models – the large separation that
exists between the point of determination (design) and occurrence of environmental
impacts. However, a model capturing all the real world details would be neither useful nor
reliable due to its complexity (because possibilities for error increase as complexity
increases). A model is always a simplified representation of a particular domain of reality
and only needs to be valid for its specific purpose (Bossel, 2007). The models in Papers I
and II were a generic representation of certain modes of systems behaviour. Those in Paper
III represented the view of a particular group of people (workshop participants) on how
elicited variables of product systems (passenger car and washing machine) may interact.
The main message of Papers I-II was that neglecting interactions between physical and
social systems and incomplete knowledge of ripple effects triggered by innovations can
lead to overestimation of their benefits, and hence underestimation of negative impacts.
This corroborates work by Arvesen, Bright and Hertwich (2011) and Börjesson Rivera,
Håkansson, Svenfelt and Finnveden (2014). As further empirical evidence for the
ICT/electronic sector (other than that presented in Table 1 in Section 4.1), Galvin (2015)
identified structural changes in business, education, the military and households caused
by energy efficiency increases in ICT/electronics, which lead to proliferation of
✐ăDiscussion The Karma of Products
___________________________________________________________________________
56
ICT/electronic devices and consequently increased energy consumption. The estimated
rebound effects in that case ranged between 115% and 161% in eight diverse empirical
examples.
Potential ripple effects need particular consideration among the LCA community, since
LCA may not be an appropriate tool to capture those interactions. Paper III argued that
methodologies that consider a more comprehensive set of parameters must be
investigated by the LCA community and suggested that group model building (GMB)
could help identify significant issues to be used as sources of variation in sensitivity
analysis in LCA. Variations in variables identified in the GMB could then be used to develop
scenarios in LCA to consider the interplay between physical and social systems.
5.2 The issue of using secondary data in LCA
A serious LCA practitioner would be familiar with the fact that secondary data should be
used with caution for comparisons in a life cycle perspective in the context of decision
making. This was particular evident in Paper IV, which adopted a narrow system boundary
(see Figure 8) to measure some specific environmental aspects of the leather life cycle. In
practice, however, secondary data about leather tanning and farm management are
commonly adopted as background data in life cycle studies of leather products. Although
this is a widely accepted practice, secondary data can omit acute fluctuations in sensitive
values. Paper IV showed that there is already wide variation in water and energy
consumption (and the related carbon footprint) among different tanneries without
including chemical production and waste and wastewater treatment, so the variations
when taking a wider life cycle approach are likely to be very great. Therefore, obtaining
specific primary data for leather production in LCA studies of leather products is
recommended.
It is thus necessary to have foreground data for different scenarios and origins of the
leather to obtain a more accurate evaluation of the carbon footprint of leather. Feeding
regime (e.g. grain- or grass-fed) is known to have a substantial impact on the carbon
footprint of cattle rearing, due in part to the time taken to reach a desired slaughter weight
✐ăDiscussion The Karma of Products
___________________________________________________________________________
57
(Desjardins et al., 2012). Furthermore, methane emissions from cattle rearing strongly
influence the total carbon footprint of leather products.
Furthermore, if vegetable-tanned leather is being compared with chromium-tanned
leather, the fact that vegetable tannins can come from renewable trees, whereas chrome is
mined and used once in leather, must not be overlooked. This aspect of how a fair
comparison can be made between renewable natural materials and materials that come
from fossil fuels or, like chromium, from one-time use of a mined resource is an important
issue needing consideration.
5.3 Difficulties in acquiring primary data and data gaps
Although most LCAs focus on a product, in Paper IV the focus was on the process. From a
LCA perspective this was perfectly acceptable and a functional unit (1 m2 of leather) was
still clearly defined. Equally, excluding the activities to make the raw hide and transport it
to the processing facility was also acceptable from a LCA perspective, since these activities
were the same in both scenarios (chromium and vegetable leather). Conversely, because of
issues of confidentiality and (lack of) availability of LCI data, the upstream (chemical
production) and downstream (finished leather use and disposal) were excluded from the
study scope.
Questioning tanneries about their chemical inputs and quantities and assessing the end-
of-life stage were initially included in the study goal and scope. Chemical inputs and
potential differences in the end-of-life treatment were especially important to be included,
since one of the premises of the study was to compare chromium versus vegetable
processing. However, the request for data on chemical inputs was removed on the advice
of one of the leather experts who validated the data collection form, who said: “[…] asking
about their chemical inputs is like asking for their secret recipe”. Moreover, LCI data about
the many of the chemicals used in leather tanning and comparative information about the
end-of-life stage were not found in commercial databases.
These difficulties in acquiring data posed severe limitations to the study and the usefulness
of the results may be questioned from a rigorous LCA viewpoint. On the other hand, these
same limitations were also important areas in the field needing further consideration. More
✐ăDiscussion The Karma of Products
___________________________________________________________________________
58
significantly, they show the need to think about how data accessibility could be improved
and how an open dialogue with companies could be initiated in order to disclose relevant
product information to the general public.
Another point worth mentioning is that the study used the LCI-based water footprint,
which is basically a water accounting approach that does not consider environmentally
geographically relevant factors such as water scarcity. More detailed and focused future
studies should perhaps adopt the water footprint assessment approach, which was
proposed by the water footprint network32. Similarly to the LCA, the water footprint
assessment comprises four phases: 1) Goal and scope, 2) accounting, 3) sustainability
assessment and 4) response formulation (Hoekstra, Chapagain, Aldaya & Mekonnen, 2011).
5.4 A need for improved waste declaration in LCA and standardised
principles and procedures?
LCA practice and literature to date extensively discuss and account for a number of
environmental impacts, including global warming, acidification, eutrophication,
cumulative energy demand, toxicity and resource depletion. In conventional LCA practice,
data about waste/residues outputs, presented in the material balance calculation between
elementary inputs from nature and elementary outputs to nature, are aggregated to
different environmental impacts. Consequently, although LCI accounts for waste outputs,
they are often not reported or analysed within the conventional LCA phases. This situation
may be reflect the current subjectivity about what is considered waste.
The term waste is frequently subjective because what is waste to one person may be raw
material to another. Government organisations and regulators provide legal definitions
and guidance for classifying waste. For, example, the Statistics Division of the United
Nations defines waste as (United Nations, 2000, p.227): “[…] materials that are not prime
products (that is, products produced for the market) for which the generator has no further
use in terms of his/her own purposes of production, transformation or consumption, and
of which he/she wants to dispose […]”. The EU Waste Framework Directive establishes
32
http://waterfootprint.org/en/water-footprint/water-footprint-assessment/
✐ăDiscussion The Karma of Products
___________________________________________________________________________
59
waste as an object the holder discards, intends to discard or is required to discard (The
European Parliament the Council of the European Union, 2008). The Environment
Protection Act 1993 of South Australia (EPA, 2013) defines waste as “[…] (a) any discarded,
rejected, abandoned, unwanted or surplus matter, whether or not intended for sale or for
recycling, reprocessing, recovery or purification by a separate operation from that which
produced the matter; or (b) anything declared by regulation (after consultation under
section 5A) or by an environment protection policy to be waste”. The general picture is
then that countries around the globe and also each of the European Member States can
have a particular interpretation and thus legislation and classification of waste, which can
also be sector-specific.
Technically, considering a strict LCA perspective, GaBi software modelling principles adopt
the recommendation by the ILCD (International Reference Life Cycle Data System), which
specifies that all product and waste inputs and outputs must be completely modelled until
the final inventories exclusively show elementary flows (European Commission - Joint
Research Centre - Institute for Environment and Sustainability, 2010). Thus, in GaBi
databases waste is further treated for known waste pathways towards final emissions in
incinerators or landfill bodies, if suitable indications exist (e.g. according to waste
directives). Therefore waste treatment is integrated throughout the whole system during
modelling wherever possible and known to occur (Baitz et al., 2013).
The environmental product declaration (EPD) system33 has played an emerging and
important role in collection and compilation of LCA and additional relevant environmental
performance-related information for environmental labelling. Part of this additional
information regards waste generated along the whole life cycle production chains. The
quantities must be declared as non-hazardous, hazardous and radioactive waste, as
required by specific product category rules (PCRs) (EPD Environmental Product
33
An EPD is an independently verified and registered document that communicates transparent and
comparable information about the life cycle environmental impact of products. This document discloses a
product’s life cycle-based environmental impact that has been validated by an independent third party. An EPD
reports the results of a product’s LCA as well as other information relevant to a product’s environmental profile
(EPD Environmental Product Declaration, 2015).
✐ăDiscussion The Karma of Products
___________________________________________________________________________
60
Declaration, 2015; The International EPD® System, 2015). However, more specific
information about the type waste (not only about these three generic types) is desirable.
In conclusion, the legal and financial responsibilities of waste generators are both country-
and sector-specific. Therefore in order to advance LCA practice regarding waste
accounting, an international standard on principles and procedures should perhaps be
developed. The questions that arise then are what this standard should comprise, how to
deal with sector and country specificities and whether an impact assessment method
should be developed, or whether classifying the waste into three types, as in the EPD
system, is sufficient.
5.5 Can product design(ers) help? Some suggestions and other general
inquiries
Can responsible product designers, engineers and managers evaluate and reverse what is
going wrong? How can they deal with the causality between products and environmental
pressure complexly entangled with the roles products play in people’s lives, globalised
supply chains and an economic system that gravitates strongly around profitability targets
and sales expansion?
Several suggestions for developments in the design realm can be delineated and compiled
based on the results in this thesis. Essential indicators that should be delivered to product
designers refer to information about: (a) the increasing spatial and decreasing temporal
separation of production, consumption and waste management, (b) constraints in raw
material supply and (c) marginal changes in money and time spent (consumption and
investment dynamics). In addition, designers should: (c) guide user behaviour towards
increased product lifetime and reuse (including consumer trust in refurbished products),
e.g. modular design of products for longer life; and (d) design in a way that decreases
hibernation (stock in the use phase), e.g. a user benefit when they recycle the product at
the end of its life. All the above (a-d) could be developed in modules of CAD (computer-
aided design) tools to effectively assist designers.
✐ăDiscussion The Karma of Products
___________________________________________________________________________
61
Is there a role for policy makers to assist designers? Policy makers could facilitate imposing
changes in relative prices, i.e. higher taxes on environmentally pollutant
materials/components/solutions. Policy makers could also intervene with regulative
restrictions on the use of environmentally pollutant materials. Taxation systems (e.g. VAT)
which favour the introduction of functional sales rather than product sales (PSS) are also a
possible option. These types of policy interventions may assist designers to find and
choose to use the best possible solution for the environment.
In relation to the use of environmental footprint indicators, a family of footprint indicators
(Lifset, 2014; Ridoutt & Pfister, 2013) with different levels of aggregation, i.e. inventory-
orientated footprints and impact-orientated footprints (Fang & Heijungs, 2015), is probably
needed in a decision-making context. This is evident when the carbon footprint (CO2eq.
emissions) is compared with the waste footprint scores in Paper V. As can be seen in Figure
20, the carbon footprint gave a different picture than the waste footprint. The laptop
computer and smartphone again scored highest; but beef and leather shoes appeared in
third and fourth position, respectively. Beef also had a much higher carbon footprint than
chicken meat. The CO2eq. emissions for producing a pair of (cotton) trousers and a
(polyester) shorts and t-shirt (training clothes) were quite similar. However, unlike the case
for the waste footprint, the carbon footprint of 1 litre of milk was much higher than that of
the carton.
✐ăDiscussion The Karma of Products
___________________________________________________________________________
62
Figure 20 - Carbon footprint (kg CO2eq.) of the 10 consumer goods analysed. The bars for laptop computer
and smartphone are not to scale. Sources: chicken meat and beef (Weidema, Wesnae, Hermansen,
Kristensen & Halberg, 2008); laptop computer (Ecoinvent, 2014); smartphone (Apple, 2014); pair of trousers
and training clothes (Strand, 2015); pair of leather shoes (Gottfridsson & Zhang, 2015); milk packaging (Jelse,
Eriksson, & Einarson, 2009); newspaper (Ecoinvent, 2014).
Defining boundaries for responsibilities of the other actors (both individuals and groups
such as business organisations, administrative authorities, consumer organisations, branch
organisations, etc.) may be as important as providing the right tools and setting the
expectations upon designers to reverse what is going wrong. One unresolved aspect is
how the necessary interplay and responsibilities of different actors in production,
consumption and waste management systems can be considered. Another is how to
incorporate the voice and interest of the future generations – have we the ethical right to
take decisions that will compromise their future? How about conciliating sustainable
consumption and justice? An open dialogue about these issues should be fostered in
society.
3.6
28.7
1.1
6.3
5.3
10.5
0.06
0.10
0 10 20 30 40 50
1 kg of chicken meat
1 kg of beef
1 l of milk
Laptop computer
Smartphone
Pair of trousers
Training clothes
Pair of leather shoes
Milk carton
Newspaper
/ /
209.5/ /
110
kg CO2eq.
✐ă 63
“ Though nobody can go back and make a new beginning,
anyone can start over and make a new ending.”
― Chico Xavier
✐ă 64
✐ăConclusions The Karma of Products
___________________________________________________________________________
65
6 . Conc lus ions
This thesis investigated the mechanisms of predetermination and generation of
environmental impacts using CLD and LCA-based footprinting. Objectives i-iii introduced
in Section 1.1 of the thesis were addressed as follows:
i. Examine and illustrate operating causal chains in the economic system of society
(Papers I-III)
Paper I qualitatively analysed the modes of system behaviour of (a) improvement actions
leading to unintended environmental consequences, (b1) changing the focus of
businesses from selling products to offering services to fulfil consumer needs and (b2)
introducing environmental policy instruments to internalise external costs. Theories from
various research fields were integrated and the system structure of those modes of system
behaviour was represented in CLDs. The results indicated that combining product-service
system offerings and environmental policy instruments can be one important aspect of a
giant transformation towards decoupling economic growth from consumption and
environmental impacts and may represent a transition pathway from a linear economy to a
circular economy.
Paper II connected the modes of system behaviour described in Paper I to some pervasive
sustainability challenges to the design of electronic products, namely (i) redundant
consumption; (i) embodiment of environmental and social impacts in products; and (iii)
liberation of scarce production or consumption factors that can encourage increasing
consumption.
✐ăConclusions The Karma of Products
___________________________________________________________________________
66
In Paper III, two CLDs of product systems were developed, for a household washing
machine and a conventional passenger car. The diagrams showed how selected variables
interact by means of cause-effect linkages to affect the environmental impacts of the
products. They also indicated that the variables selected by experts may tend to comprise
a physical (included in traditional LCA practice) and behavioural structure. The variables of
the behavioural structure were more of the nature of soft (qualitative) variables,
dependent for instance on context/territory, government policies and taxes and consumer
behaviour. Although these variables are not included in conventional LCA, they could be
considered through sensitivity analyses or by using “personas” to describe different
profiles of users. CLDs would still be interesting to consider when used for the purpose of a
first screening to define appropriate system boundaries, incorporate qualitative attributes
and as a tool to facilitate communication and agreement on assumptions among
stakeholders in a collaborative modelling environment (through GMB). GMB and CLD can
help create linkages between quantitative and qualitative variables and include macro
rather than only micro effects in LCAs. This could strengthen the robustness of the
recommended actions from quantitative detailed analyses.
ii. Calculate environmental footprints of a range of consumer goods (Papers IV-V)
Paper IV surveyed the water and energy resource usage and derived GHG emissions of
vegetable and chromium leather processing technology in 12 tanneries in seven countries
and revealed wide variations in the data. This demonstrates the difficulty of trying to
compare diverse processes and the narrow limits of system boundaries. Main conclusions
of the study were:
• Wide variations exist in the data on the environmental performance of different
tanneries and these need to be understood when developing usable metrics for
leather product footprint studies and best practices.
• The variability in results demonstrates that secondary data for the tanning phase
should be used with caution in a decision-making context. The use of primary data
on specific leather would be advisable for LCA studies of leather goods.
• The aspect of how a fair comparison can be made between renewable natural
materials and materials that come from fossil fuels or from one-time use of a mined
resource is a major area needing consideration.
✐ăConclusions The Karma of Products
___________________________________________________________________________
67
Paper V developed a waste footprint metric potentially capable of improving
understanding and awareness of producers and consumers about the total waste
generated in the course of producing products, as an important coefficient to measure the
environmental pressure caused by products. Tests of this waste footprint metric on 10
consumer goods revealed that it may be not the best for comparisons between products
for improved decision making. Instead, it can be an effective vehicle of communication
with consumers because waste is common to everyone’s lives. Furthermore, valuable
physical information is maintained in the metric in relation to pressure exerted by
industrial and consumption activities, and this is probably the initial purpose of footprint
analysis. Despite subjective choices inherent in characterisation factors (e.g. the time
horizon determined for global warming potential), in a decision-making context the waste
footprint of products may be accompanied by an indicator that characterises emissions
(e.g. carbon footprint).
In the future, different tools and metrics will be needed for different stakeholders. Papers
IV and V illustrate the need for simple understandable tools as complements to advanced
LCA tools for designers, companies, consumers (including business-to-business) and
environmental policy makers. In a larger context, the waste footprint metric is in line with
current EU discussions on national indicators for the upcoming circular economy.
However, more research on categorising waste types (into e.g. hazardous, non-hazardous
and inert) and assessment of potential risks is needed. Furthermore, having a standardised
definition of waste in industry, which is currently lacking, is a pre-requisite for improving
waste declaration in LCA.
iii. Propose a planning framework to facilitate inclusion of unintended environmental
consequences when devising improvement actions (Paper VI)
Paper VI proposed a planning framework that connects material flows and the socio-
economic drivers that result in changes in these flows, to address unintended
environmental consequences. The framework can assist in performing qualitative analyses
of what is important to consider in order to strengthen the robustness of the
recommended actions from quantitative detailed analyses. The framework emphasises the
need for (i) having different settings of system boundaries (broader and narrower), (ii)
✐ăConclusions The Karma of Products
___________________________________________________________________________
68
explicitly accounting for causal relationships and feedback loops and (iii) identifying
responsibilities between stakeholders (e.g. producers, consumers, collectors, recyclers,
policy makers). Application of the framework is exemplified using the case of the global
mobile phone product system.
The appropriate unit of analysis to tackle the unsustainability of production and
consumption systems may in fact be the causality between predetermination and
occurrence of environmental pressures, subtly formatted. This shift from analysing a
product to decrypting its potential causality during the design phase of a product could
prevent unintended environmental consequences from arising. For this venture,
conceptual (such as the CLD technique) and analytical tools (such as the environmental
footprint) are needed. While both types of tools are pertinent for communicating discrete
attributes to specific stakeholders, CLD is relevant for structuring the appropriate system
boundaries and indicating leverage points in a system, while environmental footprinting
provides factual evidence for decision-making support and raising awareness.
6.1 Beyond the results – a philosophical final reflection and wish for the
future
For almost 30 years, ‘sustainable development’ has been a political slogan and a frank and
fair transition towards a sustainable world may still a promise for the future. The
unprecedented scale of man-made damage to the Earth’s natural systems and the unequal
distribution of the derived wealth rise fundamental doubts about whether humankind is
making any meaningful ‘progress’ towards development that can be continuously
sustained amidst the constraints of planet Earth and of moral and ethical principles. This
has been the paradox of progress; while it has undoubtedly increased human wellbeing, it
has also prevented people from flourishing, thriving, loving and have compassion for
others without provoking significant consequences for the functioning of the Earth’s
natural system upon which society’s economic system depends. In other words, it has both
fostered and threatened global ability to sustain, or so-called sustain(h)ability.
Many sustainability challenges await and the effort needed to overcome these challenges
is herculean and the scale of change is colossal. However, it may be the case that we are
✐ăConclusions The Karma of Products
___________________________________________________________________________
69
measuring the wrong thing, or it may be the case that moral and ethical development is
lagging behind the technical development. What can be done to accelerate moral
development?
More significantly for the future, if the ultimate purpose of bringing products to existence
is to satisfy consumer needs and increase human wellbeing, eco-efficiency tools (e.g. LCA)
should probably be coupled with a certain type of individual and collective ‘unit of
flourishing’ to measure, compare and communicate a genuine (not in economic terms)
increase/subtraction of subjective wellbeing. Research is needed on the kind of ethical
principles under which products should be designed and sold, and the kind of wellbeing
products should foster, amidst the constraints of the Earth. Moreover, if humans often
adopt a narrow, self-interested perspective and local actors have often come up with
solutions to the tragedy of the commons34 problem themselves, how can people be made
to act as enlightened self-interested individuals, in a sense that furthering the interest of
the commons will ultimately serve their own self-interest? How can people be made aware
of the fact that we all are part of an interconnected whole and this is what creates the
foundation for everything we love and respect on this planet? I wish and hope that
someone in my lifetime will write in a technical PhD thesis entitled ‘The Karma of Products –
Exploring the Causality of Human and Nature Success’.
34
A situation in which individuals act independently and rationally according to each's self-interest, contrary to
the best interests of the whole group, depleting some common resource (Hardin, 1968).
✐ă 70
✐ă 71
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