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The International Centre forEarth Simulation
Developmental WorkshopNovember 2011
In the WMO headquarters in Geneva.
Closing Plenary Presentation:
Meta-Simulation of the Whole-Earth System:Meta-Simulation of the Whole-Earth System:A Conceptual IntroductionA Conceptual Introduction
Presented by:
David Wasdell
Director of the Apollo-Gaia Project
GaiaGaia
GEO GEO SPHERESPHERE
GEO GEO SPHERESPHERE
BIO BIO SPHERESPHERE
GEO GEO SPHERESPHERE
BIO BIO SPHERESPHERE
ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Population
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Billions
160,000B.C.
100,000B.C.
10,000B.C.
7,000B.C.
6,000B.C.
5,000B.C.
4,000B.C.
3,000B.C.
2,000B.C.
1,000B.C.
1A.D.
1,000A.D.
2,000A.D.
World Population
8
9
Population Growth Throughout History
7
2,150A.D.
2006 – 6.5 Billion
1945 – 2.3 Billion
2050 – 9.1 Billion
1492 – 500 Million1776 – 1 Billion
First Modern HumansFirst Modern Humans
Source: United Nations
ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Population
ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Food
Population
ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Food
Energy
Population
ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Food
Energy
Population
Water
ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Food
Energy
Population
Water Health
ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Wealth/Poverty
Food
Energy
Population
Water Health
ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Wealth/Poverty
Food
Energy
Population
Water
Pollution
Health
ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Wealth/Poverty
Food
Energy
Population
Water
Pollution
Health
Climate
ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Wealth/Poverty
Food
Energy
Population
Water
Pollution
Health
ClimateDebt
ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Wealth/Poverty
Food
Energy
Population
Water
Pollution
Health
Climate
Consumption
Debt
ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Wealth/Poverty
Food
Energy
Population
Water
Pollution
Health
Climate
ConsumptionMilitarism
Debt
ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Wealth/Poverty
Food
Energy
Population
Water
Pollution
Health
Climate
Consumption
VestedInterests
Militarism
Debt
ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Wealth/Poverty
Food
Energy
Population
Water
Pollution
Health
Climate
Consumption
VestedInterests
Militarism
Debt
Media
ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Wealth/Poverty
Food
Energy
Population
Water
Pollution
Health
Climate
ResourceOvershoot
Consumption
VestedInterests
Militarism
Debt
Media
ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Wealth/Poverty
Food
Energy
Population
Water
Pollution
Health
Climate
ResourceOvershoot
Consumption
VestedInterests
FinanceSystem
Militarism
Debt
Media
ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Wealth/Poverty
Food
Energy
Population
Water
Pollution
Health
Climate
ResourceOvershoot
Consumption
Values
VestedInterests
FinanceSystem
Militarism
Debt
Media
ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Wealth/Poverty
Food
Energy
Population
Water
Pollution
Health
Climate
ResourceOvershoot
Consumption
Values
VestedInterests
FinanceSystem
Militarism
Debt
Religion
Media
ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Wealth/Poverty
Food
Energy
Population
Ideology
Water
Pollution
Health
Climate
ResourceOvershoot
Consumption
Values
VestedInterests
FinanceSystem
Militarism
Debt
Religion
Media
ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Wealth/Poverty
Food
Energy
Population
Ideology
PoliticalProcess
Water
Pollution
Health
Climate
ResourceOvershoot
Consumption
Values
VestedInterests
FinanceSystem
Militarism
Debt
Religion
Media
ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Wealth/Poverty
Food
Energy
Population
Ideology
PoliticalProcess
Water
Pollution
Health
Climate
ResourceOvershoot
Consumption
Values
VestedInterests
FinanceSystem
Militarism
Debt
Religion
Media
TechnologyTechnology(future)(future)
ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Wealth/Poverty
Food
Energy
Population
Ideology
PoliticalProcess
Water
Pollution
Health
Climate
ResourceOvershoot
Consumption
Values
VestedInterests
FinanceSystem
Militarism
Debt
Religion
Media
TechnologyTechnology(future)(future)
DaoismDaoism(past)(past)
ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Wealth/Poverty
Food
Energy
Population
Ideology
PoliticalProcess
Water
Pollution
Health
Climate
ResourceOvershoot
Consumption
Values
VestedInterests
FinanceSystem
Militarism
Debt
Religion
Media
UnconsciousUnconsciousDrivesDrives
TechnologyTechnology(future)(future)
DaoismDaoism(past)(past)
ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE
Wealth/Poverty
Food
Energy
Population
Ideology
PoliticalProcess
Water
Pollution
Health
Climate
ResourceOvershoot
Consumption
Values
VestedInterests
FinanceSystem
Militarism
Debt
Religion
Media
UnconsciousUnconsciousDrivesDrives
EmergentEmergentPsychosisPsychosis
TechnologyTechnology(future)(future)
DaoismDaoism(past)(past)
““Failure is not an option”Failure is not an option”Gene Kranz
Apollo 13: Mission Controller
