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SHEEO Higher Education Policy Conference August 10, 2012 Chicago, IL. The Growing Pressure to Use Workforce Data: What to Use, How to Use It. Dr. Christina Whitfield, Director of Research and Policy Analysis Kentucky Community and Technical College System. KY 75 th Percentile Wage Line ->. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Dr. Christina Whitfield, Director of Research and Policy AnalysisKentucky Community and Technical College System
The Growing Pressure to Use Workforce Data: What to Use, How to Use It
SHEEO Higher Education Policy Conference August 10, 2012Chicago, IL
$10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 $70,000 $80,000-10.0
-5.0
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
45.0
Registered Nurses
Computer Support
Specialists
Radiologic Technologistsand Technicians
Medical Records and HealthInformation Technicians Paralegals and
Legal Assistants
Dental Hygienists
Respiratory Therapists
Veterinary Technologists and Technicians
PhysicalTherapistAssistants
Medical and Clinical Laboratory Technicians
Cardiovascular Technologistsand Technicians
Medical Equipment Repairers
Computer Specialists, All Other
Life, Physical & Social Science Technicians, Other
Biological Technicians
Civil Engineering Technicians
Environmental Science and Protection Technicians
Funeral Directors
Broadcast Technicians
Industrial Engineering Technicians
Interior Designers
Electrical and Electronic Engineering Technicians
Diagnostic Medical Sonographers
Engineering Technicians,Exc. Drafters, All Other
Chemical Technicians
Respiratory Therapy Technicians
Occupational Therapist Assistants
Nuclear Medicine TechnologistsEnvironmentalEngineeringTechniciansSocial Science Research Assistants
Agricultural and Food Science Technicians
Mechanical Engineering Technicians
Radiation Therapists
Fashion Designers
2010 Median Wage
2008
-201
8 Pe
rcen
t Cha
nge
KY Average Percent Change Line
High Wage&
High Demand
Low Wage&
Low Demand
High Wage&
Low Demand
KY 75th Percentile Wage Line ->Low Wage
& High Demand
ACCOUNTABILITY
KCTCS Strategic PlanHigh Wage, High Demand Completions
2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-112,500
2,600
2,700
2,800
2,900
3,000
3,100
3,200
3,300
2,825
3,098
3,207
2,759
3,089
Note: Number of unduplicated credentials in programs cross-walked to a high wage, high demand occupation. KCTCS Data Base, Kentucky Occupational Outlook to 2014, Office of Employment and Training Occupational Wages.
KCTCS Strategic PlanWage Index
2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-1075%
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
95%
98%
92%
88%
85%
Note: Median wage of KCTCS completers earning $2500 or more in the second quarter after completion, indexed to the state median occupational wage. Source: KCTCS Data Base, UI Wage Match, Office of Employment and Training Occupational Wages.
Unemployment Insurance Match Ratesby College
43%
56%
83% 57%
59%62%
67%
67%
69%
69%
69%
70%
70%
71%
74%
74%
Note: 2010-11 completers, second quarter after completion.Source: KCTCS Data Base, UI Wage Match.
Policy and Practice Considerations
• Impact of technical limitations of labor market information vary by institution
• Institutions must partner with local economic development entities and employers
• Many economic factors affecting employment outcomes are beyond institutional control
CURRICULUM REVIEW
Dynamic Skills Audit
• A means to gauge education supply against employer demand
• A methodology that incorporates traditional and real-time labor market information into a structured review of curriculum
• A way to determine how responsive course content is to employer requirements
Note: KCTCS is participating in a pilot project to develop Dynamic Skills Audits with Jobs for the Future.
10
Dynamic Skills Audit:Labor Market Assessment
DEMAND: Traditional LMIDEMAND: Real-time
LMISUPPLY:
College & Employment Indicators ANALYSIS / ASSESSMENT
Program of Study
2011 Jobs
2008 Jobs
2018 Jobs
10 Yr % Change
Projected Annual
Openings
2011 Median Annual Wage
2011 Jobs
2010 Jobs
2010-11 No. of
Students by
Program
2010-11 Graduates
by Program (KCTCS)
2010-11 All
Complet-ions
Job Placement/
Entered Employ-
ment
Ratio of 2011
Employed to 2011
Job Postings
Ratio of All
Complet-ions to
Projected Annual
Openings
Job Postings
minus Complet-
ions
RN 2,440 2,163 2,634 21.78% 83
$54,401 298 175 160 65 81 82.1% 8:1 1:1 217
CMM 1,130 2,895 2,478 -14.40% 60
$37,000 1,534 683 28 20 46 63.6% 45:1 1:1 1,488
Note: Labor Market Assessment for selected programs at Owensboro Community and Technical College.
Dynamic Skills Audit:Skills Matrix Development
Select Growth Occupation
Gather Skills and Credentials from
Employers
Compare Overlapping Skills
Analyze Skills and Certifications
Skills / Certifications Gap Analysis
12
Dynamic Skills Audit:Skills Matrix, Registered Nursing
Real-Time LMI Skills
Patient Care
Organizational Skills
SpanishSource: Burning Glass, www.onetonline.org
Policy and Practice Considerations
• Educational production one of many factors that may contribute to supply/demand mismatch
• Allows institutions to test data against anecdotal experiences shared by employers
• Requires a high degree of flexibility (how quickly can institutions respond to industry demands?)
PROGRAM REVIEW
Graduate Employment Profiles% NRG Employed
Median Wage % NRG Earning $2500/Q
Median Wage $2500+
Liberal Arts 60.7 $3,572 40.3 $5,100
Registered Nursing
81.4 $11,176 78.5 $11,277
Business Administration
72.3 $5,485 59.9 $6,158
Welding Technology
63.8 $5,313 50.0 $6,360
All 67.2 $5,306 53.8 $6,450
Note: 2009-10 graduates two quarters post completion. Source: KCTCS Data Base, UI Wage Match
Graduate Employment ProfilesETA Common Measures
Entered Employment
Employment Retention
6-month Earning Increase
Median Wage $2500+
Registered Nursing
70.7 90.2 $13,739 $11,277
Business Administration
40.5 92.2 $4,759 $6,158
Note: 2003-4 graduates. Source: KCTCS Data Base, UI Wage Match
Graduate Employment ProfilesEmployment by Industry
Registered Nursing
Note: 2003-4 graduates. Source: KCTCS Data Base, UI Wage Match
Date of Participation 1st Quarter after Completion0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
47%
93%
53%
7%
HealthIndustries
OtherIndustries
HealthIndustries
OtherIndustries
Graduate Employment ProfilesEmployment by IndustryBusiness Administration
Note: 2003-4 graduates. Source: KCTCS Data Base, UI Wage Match
Date of Participation 1st Quarter after Completion0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
23% 18%
25% 19%
11% 15%
Manufacturing
Finance/Insurance
Retail
Graduate Employment Profiles:Low Wage/High Demand Programs
Cosmetology Child Care ProviderWage/Demand Quadrant
LW/HD LW/HD
% Employed 60 70Median Quarterly Wage
$3,080 $4,205
% Employed $2500+
42 55
Note: 2009-10 graduates, second quarter past completionSource: KCTCS Data Base, UI Wage Match
Policy and Practice Considerations
• Programs with poor employment outcomes may generate revenue for the institution
• Tenure and accreditation requirements may limit institutional ability to retrain and reassign faculty
• Programs with poor employment outcomes may serve a social/community service function