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January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
THE GEORGE WASHINGTON
BATTLEGROUND POLL A national survey of 1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters
January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
Do you feel things in the country are going in the right direction,
or do you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track?
24%
10%
67%
Right direction Unsure Wrong track
Q1
October 27-31, 2013/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
28%
32%
28%
31%29%
32%
37%39%
34%
73%
24%
38%
32%
39%
37%
33%35%36%
31% 34%
38%
38%40%40%
41%
67%
59%
54%
57%
64%63%62%
55%
59%
72%
59%
75%
59%
56%57%
61%
56%54%55%
57%
51%
62%60%
52%54%
67%
Right Direction 38% 40% 40% 41% 39% 28% 32% 31% 38% 34% 36% 28% 31% 29% 32% 19% 18% 35% 33% 32% 37% 38% 37% 39% 34% 19% 24%
Wrong Track 57% 55% 54% 52% 54% 67% 60% 62% 51% 56% 55% 62% 63% 64% 59% 72% 75% 59% 59% 61% 57% 56% 57% 54% 59% 73% 67%
Unsure 7% 7% 9% 7% 11% 9% 9% 10% 7% 9% 9% 8% 6% 8% 7% 6% 6% 7% 6% 7% 8% 10%
Mar-
04
Jun-
04
Aug-
04
Oct-
04
Mar-
05
Oct-
05
Feb-
06
Sep-
06
Jul-
09
Dec-
09
Apr-
10
Aug-
10
Sep-
10
Oct-
10
May-
11
Sep-
11
Nov-
11
Feb-
12
May-
12
Aug-
12
Sep-
12
9/27
/12
10/1
8/12
11/5
/12
12/6
/12
10/3
1/13
1/16
/14
Do you feel things in the country are going in the right direction, or do
you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track?
Q1
January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
In thinking about the past few months and leaders in Washington
solving problems, do you think that things have gotten better,
gotten worse, stayed the same over the past few months?
12%
32%
54%
2%
Gotten better Gotten worse Stayed the same Unsure/Refused
Q2
January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
If the election for Congress were being held today, and you had to
make a choice, would you be voting for the Republican candidate
or the Democratic candidate, in your Congressional district?
43%
16%
41%
Republican Undecided Democratic
Q3
October 27-31, 2013/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
47%
43%
45%
46%44%
41%42%43%
46%
45%
45%
16%15%
11%8%13% 13%
7%8%
13% 9% 10%
41%
44%45%46%
46%46%
47%44%
47%
44%42%
Republican 43% 45% 46% 45% 45% 44% 46% 47% 42% 41% 43%
Undecided 13% 8% 11% 13% 9% 10% 8% 7% 13% 15% 16%
Democratic 44% 47% 44% 42% 47% 46% 46% 46% 45% 44% 41%
11/9/11 2/22/12 5/3/12 8/8/12 9/20/12 9/27/12 10/18/12 11/5/12 12/6/12 10/31/13 1/16/14
If the election for Congress were being held today, and you had to make a
choice, would you be voting for, the Republican candidate or the Democratic
candidate, in your Congressional district?
Q3
January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
Do you think your Member of Congress has performed their job
well enough to deserve re-election, or do you think it's time to
give a new person a chance?
29%
17%
54%
Deserves re-election Undecided New person a chance
Q4
January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as
President? Do you approve or disapprove of the job he is doing?
41%
5%
54%
Approve Unsure Disapprove
Q5
October 27-31, 2013/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
48%
49%50%53%
41%
45%
50%
48%
49%
49%46% 45%
52%
44%
5%3%3%2%2%5%4%4%
2%3%2%5% 3% 5%
49%
54%52%
47%48%
49%
48%
49%48%
45%
51%
45%
50% 52%
Approve 46% 52% 45% 44% 53% 48% 48% 50% 49% 49% 49% 50% 45% 41%
Unsure 4% 4% 5% 5% 3% 5% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 5%
Disapprove 51% 45% 50% 52% 45% 48% 49% 48% 49% 48% 49% 47% 52% 54%
10/20/10 5/12/11 9/1/11 11/9/11 2/22/12 5/3/12 8/8/12 9/20/12 9/27/12 10/18/12 11/5/12 12/6/12 10/31/13 1/16/14
How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?
Do you approve or disapprove of the job he is doing?
Q5
January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
Whether you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is
handling his job as President, what is your impression of Barack
Obama as a person? Do you approve or disapprove of him?
61%
10%
29%
Approve Unsure Disapprove
Q6
January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
I am going to read you several issues. For each one, please tell me if you approve or
disapprove of the job that President Obama is doing on this issue.
Here is the first one:
40%
43%
40%
33%
43%
41%
3%
3%
3%
4%
3%
6%
57%
55%
56%
63%
54%
53%
The economy
Solving problems
Working with Congress
The federal budget and spending
Jobs
Taxes
Approve Unsure Disapprove
Q7-12
January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
How would you rate the job Congress is doing? Do you approve
or disapprove of the job they are doing?
9% 4%
87%
14% 4%
81%
Approve Unsure Disapprove
10/31/2013 1/16/2014
Q13
January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
How would you rate the job your Member of Congress is doing?
Do you approve or disapprove of the job they are doing?
39%
11%
50% 47%
9%
44%
Approve Unsure Disapprove
10/31/2013 1/16/2014
Q14
January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
As you may already know, in December Congress passed and the
President signed a law to fund the federal government for two
years. Have you seen, read or heard anything about this federal
budget deal?
47%
2%
51%
Yes Unsure No
Q21
January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
Thinking about what you have seen, read or heard about this
budget deal, has it made you more likely or less likely to vote for
your Member of Congress? (If “Yes” in Q21, Asked of N=479, or 47.4% of Sample)
36%
10% 12%
42%
More likely Unsure No difference Less likely
Q22
January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
And, based on what you know, do you think this deal was more
of a step in the right direction or giving up on key principles? (If “Yes” in Q21, Asked of N=479, or 47.4% of Sample)
42%
49%
1% 7%
Step in the right
direction
Giving up on key
principles
Other Unsure/Refused
Q23
January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
In general, do you favor or oppose the Affordable Care Act, which is also
called Obamacare?
43%
4%
53%
41%
3%
56%
Favor Unsure Oppose
1/31/2013 1/16/20142
Q24
January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
Do you think that the Affordable Care Act, also called Obamacare, went too
far, did not go far enough, or was about right?
49%
23%
21%
49%
23%
20%
1%
2%
6%
Too far
Not far enough
Was about right
Combo/Other
None
Unsure/Refused
1/16/2014 1/16/20142
Q25
January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
Do you think that the national economy has gotten better, worse,
or stayed the same over the past four years?
35%
42%
23%
1%
Gotten better Gotten worse Stayed the same Unsure/Refused
Q26
January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
Do you think that your personal economic situation has gotten
better, worse, or stayed the same over the past four years?
22%
36%
40%
1%
1%
Gotten better
Gotten worse
Stayed the same
Combo/Other
Unsure/Refused
Q27
January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
How big of a problem would you say that income inequality is? Would you
say it is a big problem, somewhat of a problem, not much of a problem, or not
a problem at all?
49%
30%
8%
9%
4%
Big problem
Somewhat of a problem
Not much of a problem
Not a problem at all
Unsure/Refused
Q28
January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
What do you think would be the best way to make sure that everyone can
move up economically? Would you say it is reducing the gap between the
wealthiest Americans and the rest of the country or cutting taxes and removing
unnecessary regulations?
43%
45%
4%
3%
5%
Closing the gap
Cutting taxes/removing regulations
Combo/Other
None
Unsure/Refused
Q29
January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
What is the likelihood that you will actually watch the speech live from the
floor of the House of Representatives? Are you extremely likely, very likely,
somewhat likely, or not very likely at all to watch President Obama’s speech?
23%
24%
18%
33%
1%
Extremely Likely
Very Likely
Somewhat Likely
Not at all Likely
Unsure/Refuse
Q30
January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
Still thinking about the State of the Union speech, how important do you think
this year’s speech will be? Would you say this will be extremely important,
very important, somewhat important or not very important speech?
18%
24%
26%
31%
2%
Extremely Important
Very Important
Somewhat Important
Not at all Important
Unsure/Refuse
Q31
January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
And, in thinking about the State of the Union speech that President Obama will
give this year, do you think the nation needs to hear a list of detailed policy
proposals to address our problems or an inspirational speech that will bring us
together as a nation?
56%
27%
8%
4%
5%
Detailed policy proposals
Inspirational speech
Both
Neither
Unsure/Refuse
Q32
January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
Now I am going to read you several issues. For each one, please tell me whether you
think it is extremely important, very important, somewhat important or not very
important for President Obama to talk about that issue. Here is the first one…
85%
25%
48%
55%
83%
11%
45%
40%
24%
12%
3%
27%
11%
18%
4%
1%
3%
2%
3%
1%
The economy
The civil war in
Syria
Immigration
Income
inequality
Jobs
Very Important Somewhat Important Not at all Important Unsure
Q33-37
January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
Now I am going to read you several issues. For each one, please tell me whether you
think it is extremely important, very important, somewhat important or not very
important for President Obama to talk about that issue. Here is the first one…
66%
72%
66%
53%
26%
19%
19%
31%
6%
7%
13%
13%
2%
2%
2%
2%
Taxes
The Federal
deficit
The new
healthcare law
The role of
government in
our lives
Very Important Somewhat Important Not at all Important Unsure
Q38-41