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ALCATEL-LUCENT — PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL COPYRIGHT © 2015 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
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The Future X Network and the New Technological Revolution
Marcus Weldon
ALCATEL-LUCENT — PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL COPYRIGHT © 2015 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
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Perspective
Technological Revolution
=
Interconnectedness and Interdependence of
participating systems and technologies
+
The capacity to profoundly transform the
economy and eventually society
ALCATEL-LUCENT — PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL COPYRIGHT © 2015 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
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Tech. Revolution Enabling Technology Connectivity
Financial (1600 − 1740) Stocks & Bonds Banking & Stock Market Infrastructure
1st Industrial (1780 − 1840) Steam Engine & Iron Production Rail and Shipping Networks
2nd Industrial (1880 − 1920) Steel & Chemicals Extended transportation Networks
Electricity & Telecom Networks
Scientific-Technical (1940 − 1970) Analog & digital signal processing Digital communications networks
Information (1985 − 2015) The Web, Cloud computing & Mobile
devices Internet & Broadband Access
Automation of Everything (2015 −) Digital interfaces & Data analysis Cloud Integrated Network
Future X Network: The Past, Present & Future
40
40
20
15
0
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Future X Network: A New Networking & Connectivity Era
Source: The Future X Network
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Source: The Future X Network
“The Future of the Cloud”
Future X Network: Peak Demand Matters …
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Future X Network: Latency Matters …
Source: The Future X Network
“The Future of the Cloud”
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TCP window size (bits)
Round-trip latency (seconds)
Maximum TCP Throughput
(bits/second) =
Future X Network: Latency and Throughput Matters ….
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Analog Needs
…with Trust (in Privacy &
Security)
Create Time (by Prediction &
Automation)
Future X Network: New Digital Currencies
Free Wifi
Digital Needs
Future X Network: Driven by an Enterprise Revolution
After Mary Meeker, Internet Trends 2015
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The digitization of everything… … to achieve perfect knowledge
…and enable ‘life automation’ … to deliver contextualized content
Future X Network: A New Human Era
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Future X Network: Global-Local is the New Normal
Global Forces Local Forces
Ubiquitous Access to
Digital Content
Brand Power
Omniscient Perspective &
Analytics
Economies of Scale
Low Latency & High
Bandwidth
Brand Relationship
Personalization &
Contextualization
Economies of Delivery
ALCATEL-LUCENT — PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL COPYRIGHT © 2015 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
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Mobile Network
Operator
Consolidation /
Convergence
O2 Telefónica
(Germany)
E-Plus
VF (Germany) KDG
VF (Spain) Ono
EE (UK) BT
3 (UK) O2 UK
Orange (Spain) Jazztel
Liberty Global Base
Charter Time Warner
Altice Suddenlink
Altice Cablevision
T-Mobile ?
Recent M&A Activity
Future X Network: Convergence and Consolidation Drives Local
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Subscribers [Million]
Top 5
Largest
MNOs
Next 5
Largest
MNOs
Country
Presence
Country
Presence
*Average properties per group: 11 (2004) 18 (2014)
Country
Presence
Subscribers [Million]
Future X Network: The Service Scale Challenge Drives Global
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Future X Network: The Network Constraints
Network Constraints
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THE FUTURE X
NETWORK: DEFINING FABRIC OF THE
DIGITAL WORLD
MASSIVE
DEVICE
SCALING IN
THE CLOUD
PEOPLE
&
THINGS
CLOUD MOVES
INTO THE
NETWORK
ENTERPRISE
&
CONSUMER
@ ANALYSIS
@ CONTENT
@ SERVICES
HIGHEST PERFORMANCE
LOWEST COST PER BIT
MOST PERSONALIZED
Future X Network: A New Value Paradigm
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NFV
HIGHEST PERFORMANCE
LOWEST COST PER BIT
MOST PERSONALIZED
SDN
Edge Cloud/Access NFV
Future X Network: Virtualizing the Network
~40 % CapEx & OpEx
Savings
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HIGHEST PERFORMANCE
LOWEST COST PER BIT
MOST PERSONALIZED
NFV
SDN
Edge Cloud/Access
40 % IP + Optical
CapEx Savings
Type 1: Software-define a Service Type 2: Software-define a Network Path
Future X Network: Software-Defining the Network
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HIGHEST PERFORMANCE
LOWEST COST PER BIT
MOST PERSONALIZED
SDN Edge Cloud
NFV
Future X Network: Distributing the Cloud…in the Network
~40 % CapEx & OpEx
Savings
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HIGHEST PERFORMANCE
LOWEST COST PER BIT
MOST PERSONALIZED
SDN
Edge Access NFV
90 % CapEx savings by Small Cells
& vRAN
Future X Network: Distributing the Network
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Future X Network: Converging the Distributed Access Network
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Future X Network: Scaling the Metro & Core Network
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Future X Network: Scaling the Metro & Core Network: IP
Future X Network: Automating Knowledge Creation
Artificial Intelligence Augmented Intelligence
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GLOBAL
LOCAL
ENTERPRISE
CONSUMER
CONTENT
CONTROL
CLOUD
CONNECTIVITY
Future X Network: The Competitive Dimensions
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Future X Network: The Target Architecture and Value Vectors
CONTENT
CONTROL
CLOUD
CONNECTIVITY
NATIONAL CLOUD GLOBAL CLOUD
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Future X Network: The New Global Local Market Reality
Global Goes Local
SP App
SP App
GSP App
GSP App
SP App
GSP App
SP App
SP App
Cntl SP
SaaS SP App
SP App
SP App
Cntl
Local SP X
Model 1: SP IaaS
Local SP Z
Model 2: SP SaaS
Local SP Y
Model 3: Grow Your Own
Cntl
SP App
SP App
GSP App
Global Service Provider
Resource Opt.
Service Opt.
Svc
Opt.Res
Opt.
GSP App
GSP App
Cntl
Res
Opt.
Local Goes Global
Local SP X-Y
Model 4: SP Global From Local
Local SP Z
Model 2: SP SaaS
Global-Local Service Provider X-Y
Local SP X-Y
Model 4: SP Global From Local
GSP App
SP App
GSP App
SP App
SP App
Cntl
Resource Opt.
GSP App
SP App
GSP App
SP App
SP App
Cntl
Resource Opt.
SP App
SP App
GSP App
Cntl
SP App
SP App
GSP App
Service Opt.
SP
SaaS SP App
SP App
SP App
Cntl
Svc
Opt.Res
Opt.
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Future X Network: The Current Global Local Market Reality
$22B $13B $27.4B $46B
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Future X Network: The New Global Local Manufacturing
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Future X Network: A New Business Era
LSP
GSP
DCEP
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For the book: http://bit.ly/blbook-order or visit www.bell-labs.com
For the interactive infographic:
http://bit.ly/FutureXguide
Future X Network: The Guidebook