The Future of CMMI

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    2007 Carnegie Mellon University

    The Future of CMMI

    Jay Douglass

    Software Engineering Institute

    Carnegie Mellon University

    Pittsburgh, PA 15213

    March 19, 2007

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    2Update 2007 Carnegie Mellon University

    Transition from V1.1 to V1.2 StatusAs reported to the SEI as of 12-31-062

    Introduction to CMMI Students

    Registered for Upgrade Training 1275

    Upgrades Complete 717

    Lead Appraisers and Instructors

    Registered for Upgrade training 621

    Upgrade Complete 419

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    3Update 2007 Carnegie Mellon University

    CMMI Adoption Trends

    CMMI Web pages views in September2006

    360K/month

    Exceeded 24K/day

    The following were the most

    downloaded files on the SEI Web site in

    September 2006:

    CMMI-DEV, V1.2 (PDF Version)

    CMMI V1.1 Overview Presentation

    CMMI V1.2 Overview Presentation

    CMMI-DEV, V1.2 (Word Version)

    CMMI V1.2 Model ChangesPresentation

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    4Update 2007 Carnegie Mellon University

    Training

    Introduction to CMMI 59,434 trained

    Intermediate CMMI 2,367 trained

    Introduction to CMMI Instructors 477

    SCAMPI Lead Appraisers 684 trained

    SCAMPI B&C-Only Team Lead -- 33

    Authorized

    Introduction to CMMI V1.1/1.2 Instructors 408/314

    SCAMPI V1.1/1.2 Lead Appraisers 455/328

    SCAMPI B&C Team Leads -- 456

    CMMI Transition Status 12/31/06

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    Number of SCAMPI v1.1 Class A Appraisals Conducted by Quarter

    Reported as of 31 August 2006

    0

    25

    50

    75

    100

    125

    150

    175

    200

    225

    250

    275

    300

    Q2/02 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04 Q3/04 Q4/04 Q1/05 Q2/05 Q3/05 Q4/05 Q1/06 Q2/06

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    Number of SCAMPI v1.1/v1.2 Class A Appraisals

    Conducted by Quarter

    Reported as of 31 December 2006

    0

    25

    50

    75

    100

    125

    150

    175

    200

    225

    250

    275

    300

    Q2/02 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04 Q3/04 Q4/04 Q1/05 Q2/05 Q3/05 Q4/05 Q1/06 Q2/06 Q3/06 Q4/06

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    Countries where Appraisals have beenPerformed and Reported to the SEI

    Argentina Australia Austria Bahrain Belarus Belgium Brazil Canada

    Chile China Colombia C zech Republic Denmark Dominican RepublicEgypt Finland

    France Germany Hong Kong India Indonesia Ireland Israel ItalyJapan Korea, Republic of Latvia Malaysia Mauritius Mexico Morocco Netherlands

    New Zealand Pakistan Philippines Portugal Russia Singapore Slovakia South Africa

    Spain Sweden Switzerland Taiwan Thailand Turkey Ukraine United Kingdom

    United States Vietnam Red country name: New additions with this reporting

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    8Update 2007 Carnegie Mellon University

    Number of Appraisals and Maturity LevelsReported to the SEI by Country

    Country

    Number of

    Appraisals

    Maturity

    Level 1

    Reported

    Maturity

    Level 2

    Reported

    Maturity

    Level 3

    Reported

    Maturity

    Level 4

    Reported

    Maturity

    Level 5

    Reported Country

    Number of

    Appraisals

    Maturity

    Level 1

    Reported

    Maturity

    Level 2

    Reported

    Maturity

    Level 3

    Reported

    Maturity

    Level 4

    Reported

    Maturity

    Level 5

    Reported

    Argentina 15 No Yes Yes Yes Yes Korea, Republic of 56 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes

    Australia 23 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Latvia 10 or fewer

    Austria 10 or fewer Malaysia 15 No No Yes No Yes

    Bahrain 10 or fewer Mauritius 10 or fewer

    Belarus 10 or fewer Mexico 10 or fewer

    Belgium 10 or fewer Morocco 10 or fewer

    Brazil 39 No Yes Yes Yes Yes Netherlands 10 or fewer

    Canada 18 No Yes Yes No Yes New Zealand 10 or fewer

    Chile 10 or fewer Pakistan 10 or fewer

    China 158 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Philippines 14 No Yes Yes No Yes

    Colombia 10 or fewer Portugal 10 or fewer

    Czech Republic 10 or fewer Russia 10 or fewer

    Denmark 10 or fewer Singapore 10 or fewer

    Dominican Republic 10 or fewer Slovakia 10 or fewer

    Egypt 10 South Africa 10 or fewer

    Finland 10 or fewer Spain 25 No Yes Yes No Yes

    France 65 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Sweden 10 or fewer

    Germany 28 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Switzerland 10 or fewer

    Hong Kong 10 or fewer Taiwan 31 No Yes Yes No No

    India 177 No Yes Yes Yes Yes Thailand 10 or fewer

    Indonesia 10 or fewer Turkey 10 or fewer Ireland 10 or fewer Ukraine 10 or fewer

    Israel 10 or fewer United Kingdom 42 Yes Yes Yes Yes No

    Italy 10 or fewer United States 598 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes

    Japan 155 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Vietnam 10 or fewer

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    Combined Appraisal Opportunities

    Current ISO 9001

    ISO 9001ISO 9001

    IAIA

    Current CMMI

    SCAMPISCAMPI

    AA

    SCAMPI A&

    ISO 9001

    SCAMPI A

    Visit

    Report

    Rating letter

    indicating level

    achieved

    continues to

    demonstrate

    compliance withISO 9001:2000

    no behaviours

    inconsistent with

    operating at level X

    (Combined ISO Surveillance

    using Cat C appraisal)

    (Cat C appraisal)

    Rating letter & or certificate

    with scope indicating

    in accordance with Level X

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    Performance Results Summary

    27.7 : 12 : 1144.8 : 1Return on Investment

    55%-4%614%Customer Satisfaction

    132%29%1850%Quality

    255%11%1667%Productivity

    90%2%1937%Schedule

    87%3%2120%Cost

    HighLow

    # ofdata

    pointsMedianImprovements

    N = 25, as of 15 December 2005

    Organizations with results expressed as change over time

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    CMMI Today

    Version 1.1 CMMI Product Suite was released January 2002.

    CMMI Web site visits average 20,000/day

    Over 59,000 people have been trained

    Over 1600 class A appraisals have been reported to the SEI

    Now we want to continuously improve

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    CMMI Books

    A Guide to the CMMI: Second Edition

    CMMI: A Framework

    CMMI Assessments

    CMMI Distilled: Second Edition

    CMMI SCAMPI Distilled

    CMMI Survival Guide

    CMMI: Un Itinraire Flch: Second Edition

    De kleine CMMI

    Interpreting the CMMI

    Making Process Improvement Work

    Practical Insight into CMMI

    Real Process Improvement Using the CMMI

    Systematic Process Improvement Using ISO 9001:2000 and CMMI

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    How about SEI Publications?

    Technical notes and special reports:

    Interpreting CMMI:

    for Operational Organizations

    for COTS Based Systems

    for Service Organizations

    for Marketing (in progress)

    Using CMMI with:

    Earned Value Management

    Product Line Practices

    Six Sigma

    Supplementing CMMI for Safety Critical Development (in progress) Demonstrating the Impact and Benefits of CMMI (and web pages

    www.sei.cmu.edu/cmmi/results)

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    2007 Carnegie Mellon University

    CMMI V1.2and Beyond

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    Major Themes

    Reduce complexity & size

    Increase coverage

    Increase confidence in appraisal results

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    CMMI Model Combinations

    CMMI Core

    SERelated

    Examples

    Integrated Product andProcess Development

    SupplierSourcing

    SWRelated

    Examples

    V 1.1

    CMMI Core (now includes SS)

    SERelated

    Examples

    IPPD

    SWRelated

    Examples

    HWRelated

    Examples

    V 1.2

    Organizational Goal(OPD)

    Project Goal (IPM)

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    Su

    pport

    PAs

    Process

    Mgt

    PAs

    ProjectM

    anagementPAs

    IPM

    IPPD Changes

    SG1

    SG2

    SG3

    SG4

    IPM

    SG1

    SG2

    SG3

    ITSG1

    SG2

    SG3 = ApplyIPPD principles

    OEI SG1

    SG2

    OPDSG1

    SG2 SG2 = EnableIPPD principles

    V1.1 V1.2

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    SCAMPI A Changes for V1.2

    Method implementation clarifications

    interviews in virtual organizations

    practice characterization rules

    organizational unit sampling options

    Appraisal Disclosure Statement (ADS) improvements

    reduce redundancy with other appraisal documents improve usability for sponsor and government

    require sponsors signature on the ADS

    require all team members to show agreement on findings

    Both V1,1 and V1.2 ADS will reflect these as of Nov 2006

    Lead Appraisers must be certified to lead high maturity appraisalsMaturity level and capability level shelf life 3 years, given 1 year of V1.2availability

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    Published Appraisal Results

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    CMMI V1.2 Schedules

    Version 1.2 CMMI Product Suiterelease

    Update material available

    Upgrade course available on-line

    First Lead Appraiser face to

    faceFirst high maturity oral exam

    V1.2 ADS required for all

    SCAMPIs

    Last V1.1 Intro training

    First expiration of V1.1appraisals (3 year validity)

    Last V1.1 appraisal

    August 25, 2006

    August 25, 2006

    August 25, 2006

    October, 2006

    October, 2006

    November, 2006

    December, 2006

    August 25, 2007

    August 31, 2007

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    Beyond V1.2

    Improved architecture will allow post-V1.2 expansion.

    Extensions of the life cycle (Services,

    Outsourcing/Acquisition) could expand use of a common

    organizational framework:

    allows coverage of more of the enterprise or potential

    partnering organizations adapts model features to fit non-developmental efforts

    (e.g., CMMI Services, CMMI Acquisition)

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    3 Complementary Constellations

    CMMI SVC

    CMMI DEV

    CMMI-Servicesprovides guidance forthose providingservices within

    organizations and toexternal customers

    CMMI CQ

    CMMI-ACQprovides

    guidance toenable

    informed anddecisive

    acquisitionleadership

    CMMI-Devprovides

    guidance formeasuring,

    monitoring andmanaging

    developmentprocesses

    16 CoreProcess Areas,common to all

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    Acquirer/Supplier Mismatch

    Acquir

    er

    Supplier

    Mismatch

    Mismatch

    mature acquirermentorslow maturity supplier

    outcome not predictable

    immatureacquirer

    Customer

    encourages shortcuts.

    Matchedacquirer and supplierare both high maturity

    highest probability ofsuccess

    Disasterno disciplineno processno product

    Technical &Management Skill

    Low

    Lo

    w

    High

    High

    maturesupplier

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    Initial CMMI-ACQ Key Acquisition Processes*

    AcquisitionRequirement

    s

    Development

    Solicitation &

    SupplierAgreement

    Development

    AcquisitionTechnical

    Solution

    Acquisition

    Management

    Project

    Management

    Acquisition

    Validation

    Acquisition

    Verification

    Core

    Processes

    *based on initial CMMI-ACQ model developed by General Motors/SEI

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    Acquisition Improvement is needed.

    Acquirers cannot ensure thatmature processes are applied to

    their programs

    Acquirers need more internalprocess focus

    PMO

    Contractor

    Mismatch

    Mismatch

    mature acquirermentorslow maturity supplier

    less mature acquirerderails mature supplier;encourages short cuts

    Matchedacquirer and supplierare both high maturity

    Disasterno disciplineno process

    Technical& Management Skill

    Low

    Low

    High

    High

    outcome notpredictable highest probabilityof success

    no productsupplier compromises

    processes

    XYZ Corp.

    Division

    A

    Project1

    Project2

    Project3

    Division B Division N

    Project5

    Project6

    Project7

    Projectx

    Projecty

    Projectz

    Project4

    MLs usually

    apply HEREbased upon

    appraisals of

    THESE

    but your

    project isHERE orHERE

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    Guidebook Concept

    Provide a process toolbox for the acquirer Include practical guidance on how to recognize the real

    practitioners

    Encourage the use of capability and maturity profiles vice "singlelevel" approach

    Improve acquisition organizations' understanding of the meaningof high maturity (levels 4 and 5) and equivalent staging

    Include multiple tools and guidance that may be usedthroughout the acquisition lifecycle

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    27Update 2007 Carnegie Mellon University

    Planned Sequence of Models

    SA-CMM

    GM ITSourcing

    CMMI-DEV V1.2

    CMMI-ACQ

    CMMI-SVC

    CMMI V1.1

    CMMI-AM

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    28Update 2007 Carnegie Mellon University

    Contact Information

    Jay Douglass

    [email protected]

    Direct +1 412 268 6834

    Cell: +1 412 260 2445Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania 15213