The future in our hands - Amazon Web Servicespmg-assets.s3-website-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/1/150429... · 2015-04-30 · The South Africa I know, the home I understand The assessment

The South Africa I know, the home I understand


The future in our hands

Pali Lehohla

Statistician-General


Content

o Mandate for Official Statistics

o What is not working?

o What needs to change?

o What is the strategy?

o How will we deliver on the mandate

o What is the impact of the strategy


Mandate for Official Statistics

(United Nations adopted 10 principles)

African Charter on Statistics

Statistics Act (Act 6 of 1999)

Fundamental Principles of Official Statistics

(Based on principles of official statistics)

1. Statistical production

2. Statistical coordination

(African Union adopted 6 principles)


Statistics for

Transparency

Accountability Results Transformation

What anchors modern statistics systems

Providing a predictable environment


What is the reality on the ground?

Access to Basic Services 2002 to 2013

Piped water: 85 to 90%

Improved sanitation: 62,3 to 77,9%

Refuse removed regularly: 56,7 to 63,5%

Mains electricity supply: 77,1 to 85,4%

Access to internet: 40,9%

200

6 200

9

201

1

0.72 0.70 0.69

0.67 0.65 0.65

Gini coefficient

(income per capita)

Gini coefficient

(expenditure per capita)

Inequality has remained high between 2006 and 2011


Despite all the evidence of delivery

Service delivery protests

Vacant RDP houses

Reinforced spatial apartheid settlement patterns

Rapidly declining household size


What is not working?

The MTSF has limitations in regards to the implementation of the NDP However, the MTSF is not contradicting the NDP The goals and targets in the NDP are clear, but the methods and

indicators to inform progress is woefully inadequate The absence of an evidence framework undermines the credibility of good intentions and actions


The assessment revealed

National Development Plan Number of NDP

indicators

MTSF indicators

that match with

NDP indicators

Chapter 3 (Economy and employment) 22 9

Chapter 4 (economic infrastructure) 20 11

Chapter 5 (Ensuring environmental sustainability and an equitable

transition to a low - carbon economy) 7 6

Chapter 6 (An integrated and inclusive rural economy 17 5

Chapter 7 (Positioning South Africa to the word) 2 0

Chapter 8 (Human settlement) 11 5

Chapter 9 (Improving education, training and innovation) 54 28

Chapter 10 (Promoting health)

Chapter 11 (Social Protection) 35 23

Chapter 12 (Building safer communities) 7 5

Chapter 13 (Building a capable state) 6 1

Chapter 14 (Promoting accountability and fighting corruption) 3 1

Chapter 15 (Social cohesion) 9 7


How do we fix it?


Who determines what has to be measured?

Who defines what has to be

measured?

Who determines what inputs & outputs?

Who measures inputs

& outputs

Who measures outputs and outcomes?

Who measures impact?

Planning, implementation, monitoring and evaluation

systems

Who determines outcomes?

Cabinet

NDP

MTSF

State institutions Cabinet

Other state

institutions

Credible statistics obtained through the existence of a National statistics system

Data revolution

Emerging data needs

Policy research

Citizenry

Stats SA

Stats SA

Stats SA

Stats SA


Statistical Production mapped to Development Outcomes

Measurable development outcomes Statistical themes

Decent employment through inclusive economic growth Economic dynamics

Price stability

Employment, job creation and decent

work

Popula

tion D

ynam

ics

An efficient, competitive and responsive economic infrastructure network

Vibrant, equitable, sustainable rural communities contributing towards food

security for all

Rural development and food security

Protect and enhance environmental assets and natural resources Sustainable resource management

A long and healthy life for South Africans Health

All people in South Africa are and feel safe Safety and security

Quality basic education Education

Skilled and capable workforce to support an inclusive growth path

Sustainable human settlements and improved quality of household life Living conditions, service delivery and

poverty

A comprehensive, responsive and sustainable social protection system

Responsive, accountable, effective and efficient local government system

Create a better South Africa, a better Africa and a better world Peace and stability

An efficient, effective and development-oriented public service Governance

A diverse, socially cohesive society with a common national identity Active citizenship/social cohesion


Strategic framework for the South African National Statistics System

Statistical Production – a national effort

Stats SA

Statistical

producers

National

Provincial

Local

Private

NGO

Production of –

Macro economic &

social statistics

Mainly through

Surveys/Censuses

Production of –

Sectoral statistics

Mainly through

register data

Economic dynamics

Price stability

Employment, job creation and decent work

Life circumstances, service delivery

& poverty

Population dynamics

Sustainable resource management

Health

Education

Safety and security

Rural development, food security

Governance

Statistical themes

Syste

m o

f In

dic

ato

rs


The immediate Way Forward

• Minister in the Presidency has already given marching orders

• Locate NDP as the driver of MTSF and all other plans

• DPME and Stats SA work on NDP indicators leading the measurement of change through engagement with line ministries

• Track NDP indicators together with SDG indicators.

• Present indicators that will drive the NDP at July Cabinet Lekgotla


SDG goals and targets in an integrated framework


From a national Statistics Office to a National Statistics System Managing a Complex System


What is our strategy?

Our vision:

To lead and partner in statistical systems and products for

evidence based decisions


Our Mission:

What we want

to achieve -

strategic

outcomes Informing a

nation

Trusted

statistics

Partners in

statistics

Capable

organisation

Statistical

leadership

Statistical production

We will change

our business

processes Statistical coordination

We will invest in Organisation environment

People IT systems


Informing a nation Expand the statistical information base

Publish more than 200 statistical releases and reports

on the economy and society (monthly, quarterly,

annually and periodically)

How will we achieve the strategic outcome?

Develop new and innovative products

Integrating various data sources including spatial

analysis to increase responsiveness

Revolutionise data systems

Data revolution: alternative data sources; big data;

increase use of administrative data


How will we deliver in 2015/16 work programme?

Measuring the economy


Children aged 5+ attending no fee schools


Measuring society

Mapping the poverty headcount by municipality 2001 2011



Strategic priority: GDP expenditure approach

Project rationale: Improving quality through increased collaboration and integration.

How: By producing a set of coherent and integrated accounts derived from all three GDP approaches under one institution.

Why: Alignment with overwhelming international best practice and promote active confrontation of GDP estimates in the process of compiling them

Foundation: Dedicated training of skilled professionals by international experts (collectively more than 100 years experience in the field)

Partnerships: A joint steering committee and working group established to manage the transition. The Governor's Executive Committee was recently briefed.

Progress: Publish official estimates in March 2016

What lies ahead?: Strategic engagements with all relevant parties to ensure confidence in the statistical system.


Trusted statistics

Innovate the statistics value chain for better

efficiency

Deliver better, faster and cheaper


Increase use of statistics

Invest in schools, municipalities and decision-makers

Designate statistics as official

Assessment of data sources against SASQAF

Adopt international standards & classifications

ISIC4, SNA2008, SEEA2012


Bigger

•Sample

•More households

•More data

•12,000 fieldworkers

Better

•Paradigm shift

•Traditional model to technology driven model

•OLD-Paper based, labour intensive, logistics intensive, tedious training process, time consuming and costly

•NEW-Paper less, reduced resources – personnel, vehicles, logistics and costs, empowered

Faster

•Real time collection and processing

•Real time quality monitoring

•Release 2 months after collection

Cheaper

• Inflation linked CS 2007 costs equate to R 1 billion today

•CS 2016 will cost approx. R 509 million

• 1/3 the cost 10 years later


Strategic priority: Conducting the Community Survey 2016

A new delivery model for national survey operations


Partners statistics Invest and build statistical sampling frames

Business frame & Geospatial information frame


Lead development and coordination of the

national statistics system

Statistical production – national effort coordinated

Strengthen international collaboration and

partnerships

African statistics system to respond to African

Integration Agenda 2063 – Priority CRVS



Strategic priority: MDG country report

• Finalise 8 Goal reports April

• Prepare MDG Country report May

• Presentation of country report to Minister responsible for Planning , Monitoring and Evaluation June

• Presentation of MDG country report to Cabinet and Parliament July

• Submission to DIRCO and presentation to President August

•Presentation by the President at the United Nations General Assembly

September


Roadmap-Common African Position on SDG indicators

April • Stats SA indicator workshop: 08-10

• African Indicator workshop: 14-17

MAY

• Preliminary common position on SDG indicators Algeria:2-8

• Stats SA, DPME and DIRCO consultation with sector departments: 11-25

• Final proposed common African position on SDG indicators: 26-30

JUNE

• Financing meeting on the SDG indicators, Ethiopia

• Proposed African position tabled at AU summit, South Africa for adoption

• South Africa’s perspective on SDGs finalised

25


Roadmap-Common African Position on SDG indicators

Sep

• UNGA, Final MDG report

• UNGA, Adoption of the post 2015 development agenda

Feb 2016

• UNSC, Adoption of the SDG indicators

• Presentation of the SDG baseline reports

Mar 2016

• Monitoring implementation of SDG programme begins

• Data sources to use?

26


A capable organisation Drive legislation reform

Review Statistics Act 6 of 1999


Enhance corporate governance and

administration

Improve accountability systems; new building

Invest in ICT

ICT as a strategic enabler towards better efficiency

Invest in a sustainable statistical infrastructure

National footprint decentralised


• Implementing statistical geography to transform the national development

information landscape

• Strengthening coordination mechanisms and compliance in order to optimise

informatics efficiency and effectiveness

• Embrace data revolution in order to ease the methods of doing business by

changing the capabilities of information collection, access, analysis, use, retrieval,

storage and archiving

• Creating a state-wide statistics service through professionalising, training and

deployment

• Establishing institutional arrangements and protocols that will lead and deliver

a professional and sustainable national statistics system


Strategic priority: Drive legislative reform



Strategic priority: A new home for Stats SA

Construction commenced in 2014

Construction is 49% complete

Move to the new building is

planned for June 2016


Statistical leadership Invest in statistical leadership and

management

The future statistical leaders


Invest in statistical capability and competence

A skills pipeline approach to capacity building

Building a united and diverse organisation

Agenda for Change and Transformation



Strategic priority: Skills pipeline

Statistical leadership

Skills in SANSS

Inside Stats SA

Internship

Tertiary

Schools

Community of practice & partnerships

Govern-ment

Private sector

Universi-ties

Schools

Commu-nities

Stats SA

Student support

Partner with IoHL

Development,

exposure, mentoring

Skills deployment

Talent management

Skills intake

Bursaries

Maths4stats Soccer4stats

Leadership deployment

Teacher focus

Learner focus

Training for the

Statistics Value chain

Training for the

Statistics system

Training to lead the

Statistics system



Strategic priority: Agenda for Change and Transformation

Structure

Systems

Style

Staff

Skills

Strategy

Shared

Values

We have started the conversation

2014

2015

2016

The South Africa I know, the home I understand Drumming towards a better future


Conclusion: A platform for the future

Put use at the centre - Begin with the end in mind

Investment in growth & coordination

Transformation and Innovation

Drive Legislative reform


PR

OC

ESSE

S IN

PU

TS

OU

TCO

ME

PR

OD

UC

TS

IMPA

CT

Information Capital

Human Capital

Organisational Capital

Technological Capital

Building blocks

Investment

Statistical co

ord

inatio

n

Statistical development

Statistical administration

Statistical frames

Statistical production Business

Innovation

A Better Life for All

Economic growth

Decent jobs

Healthy life

People are safe

The South Africa I

know, The home I

understand Service delivery

Quality education

Eliminate poverty & inequality

Social change

Increased use of quality statistical information as evidence

Planning

Policy development M&E

Decision- making

Information-led

development &

transformation

Informed citizenry

Employment

Manufacturing

Service Delivery

Construction

Transport Agriculture Trade

Finance

Mining

Utilities Population

Education Business output

Increase use

Support evidence based decision-making

STAKEHOLDER PERSPECTIVE Context

Relevance


T

S

T

A R

National Agenda: A better life for all

Driving START Statist ics for Transparency,

Accountability, Results and

Transformation

Investment in growth & coordination

People, Places, Possibilities

Impact on Society

A Better life for All

Reducing poverty & Equality


Thank you

Documents

The future in our hands - Amazon Web Servicespmg-assets.s3-website-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/1/150429... · 2015-04-30 · The South Africa I know, the home I understand The assessment