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THE FAB FOUR FOR 2019: COFFEE, WHEAT, CORN, PLATINUM - AND MAYBE THE AUSSY $ OLD RESEARCH FROM JAKE BERNSTEIN, JANUARY HIGHS DEFINE THE YEAR….
WHEAT – LONG AT 5.03 ON JAN 2nd
CORN – STILL HOLDING THE WHOLE 2018 CROP UNPRICED…
MAJOR DATE ON 3/29…ACREAGE REPORT…PROBABLY A GAP UP OR DOWN – FND Low Possible 3/1? BE VERY CAREFUL SELLING CALLS – OR DOING PREMIUM OFFER CONTRACTS
COFFEE- HOLDING MAJOR LONG INVESTMENT POSITIONS
LOTS OF MARKETS WAITING TO BREAK OUT…WHAT MIGHT BE THE CATALYST?
PLATINUM – NOT SOMETHING WE NORMALLY WATCH…BUT IT IS A EXTREMELY MATURE BEAR MARKET
OUT OF TIME…HASN’T BROKEN PRIOR YEAR HIGH SINCE 2011…THAT IS GETTING OLD IN THE TOOTH…
WEEKLY CHART
TACTIC WOULD BE TO BUY PLATINUM AND SHORT GOLD…RATIO IS TERRIBLY OVERSOLD
AND FOR JORDAN…THE AUSSIE DOLLAR…REMEMBER THIS IS A COMMODITY DRIVEN CURRENCY
AND THE OTHER COMMODITY DRIVEN CURRENCY…THE CANADIAN $
STRONGER LOOK RELATIVE TO THE AUSSIE…
SOYBEANS FOR FUN…WE HAVE NO OLD INVENTORY…AND NO NEW HEDGES IN PLACE YET- 1060 TARGET
As, beans continue to coil, today’s low actually becomes a big time indicator, especially in the SX19.
BUT LET US NOT FORGET THE BIG PICTURE… CORN IS EXTREMELY CHEAP!
I WILL BE RIDICULED, BUT HONESTLY, THE MOST LIKELY BULL MARKET TARGET IS 550 MINIMUM.
COFFEE IS EXTREMELY CHEAP! AND THE 114 MONTH CYCLE POINTS HIGHER
IT IS PRICED LESS THAN 2005, DESPITE 25% INFLATION SINCE THEN…ONE OF THE REASONS THE .25 SUPPORT IS SO EASY TO FULFILL ITS DESTINY, OVER AND OVER, REGARDLESS OF MARKET.
WHEAT HAS BEEN LEADING FOR YEARS…MEANING THIS YEAR’S TOP WOULD BE A LONG-TERM HIGH AND REQUIRE MULTIYEAR HEDGING…NOTICE AUGUST TARGET…IF IT RUNS…BE READY
BULL MARKET SINCE 2016, JUST NEEDS A SPIKE HIGHER TO END 3 YEAR RALLY
A BREIF HISTORY OF THE WORLD….NOT REALLY…JUST THE REPS OF THE 60 YEAR CYCLE: 1929=90
WEEK OF: OCT 15 LOW, JAN 14 HIGH+13, MAY 27 LOW+20, 7/29 HIGH+10 = 43(45)weeks
THE DATA FOR 1959 = OR 60 YEARS = GANN’s FAVORITE CYCLE = GANN GLOBAL 60 YEAR CYCLE
WEEK OF: OCT 28 LOW, DEC 10 HIGH+6, DEC 29 LOW+3, 4/14 HIGH; 5/27 HIGH+21 = 30weeks; 8/4= +10; 9/4=+15, SO 45 FROM THE LOW IS 9/5/19.
10/28
12/29
12/10
4/14 8/4
5/27
7/9
9/4
THE DATA FOR 1988 = OR 31 YEARS- I AM USING THIS DUE TO SIMILAR NATURES OF 1987 AND 2018 FWIW
AND TO BE FAIR, WE NEED TO EXTEND THE CHART IN TO THE SUMMER
12/9
12/30
8/11
5/2
ENTIRE 1988 CHART
WEEK OF: AUG 11 LOW, JUNE 27 HIGH+45; HIGH TO SELL=7/5 HIGH+48
6/27
8/11
THIS IS THE WAY BULL MARKETS START…JUST HAVE TO WAIT AND SEE IF IT HAPPENS
THE REQUIRED DISCLAIMER: (While this is obvious, we have been advised to add it.)
• Farming involves risk of loss and gain – You can make or lose more than your initial investment – Just ask a hog or dairy farmer! OR a grain farmer in 2016
• The information and strategies discussed today are certain to produce losses at some point in the future – Reducing risk is never free and the word CERTAIN is carefully chosen!
• Managing risk requires the taking of risks, risking even more than your initial capital. • No thoughts expressed in these documents are intended for people or entities that are not farmers • Any and all actions taken by you, are your responsibility.
A futures account is not required nor is it recommended. AND REMEMBER…if you follow our approach you WILL lose money sometimes. Freedom is only found by a man or woman when they make their own decisions and take responsibility for the outcome.