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The Discriminant Validity of Symbolic Racism Abstract Forty years of research has established that symbolic racism strongly predicts white oppo- sition to policies to help blacks. But the full effect of symbolic racism cannot be attributed to antiblack bias because symbolic racism has a racial component and a conservative val- ues component; to address this conflation, researchers have attempted to isolate the racial component with statistical control. However, analyses of the 2012 American National Elec- tion Studies Time Series Study suggested that even an extensive battery of control varia- bles is not always sufficient for eliminating the conservative values component of symbolic racism. Moreover, the post-statistical control effect of symbolic racism sometimes predict- ed black opposition to policies designed to help blacks, even among a subsample of blacks who consistently reported positive views about their racial group. These analyses chal- lenge two core assumptions of symbolic racism research: that statistical control isolates the racial component of symbolic racism, and that this racial component is antiblack animosity. Word count (manuscript only): 6220

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Page 1: The Discriminant Validity of Symbolic Racism Abstract · 2014. 8. 14. · The Discriminant Validity of Symbolic Racism ... fashioned racism among whites (Valentino and Sears 2005:

The Discriminant Validity of Symbolic Racism

Abstract

Forty years of research has established that symbolic racism strongly predicts white oppo-

sition to policies to help blacks. But the full effect of symbolic racism cannot be attributed

to antiblack bias because symbolic racism has a racial component and a conservative val-

ues component; to address this conflation, researchers have attempted to isolate the racial

component with statistical control. However, analyses of the 2012 American National Elec-

tion Studies Time Series Study suggested that even an extensive battery of control varia-

bles is not always sufficient for eliminating the conservative values component of symbolic

racism. Moreover, the post-statistical control effect of symbolic racism sometimes predict-

ed black opposition to policies designed to help blacks, even among a subsample of blacks

who consistently reported positive views about their racial group. These analyses chal-

lenge two core assumptions of symbolic racism research: that statistical control isolates the

racial component of symbolic racism, and that this racial component is antiblack animosity.

Word count (manuscript only): 6220

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Blacks have struggled throughout US history against antiblack bias in forms such as slavery,

Jim Crow laws, violence, and separate and unequal schools. Explicit antiblack bias has be-

come less common over the past few decades, measureable in the steep decrease in old-

fashioned racism among whites (Valentino and Sears 2005: 678). But blacks still face bias

that can be measured in laboratory, field, and survey experiments (Sigall and Page 1971,

Pager et al. 2009, Kuklinski et al. 1997).

Experiments provide strong evidence that blacks face racial bias because causal in-

ference from an experiment is strong. For example, in response to newspaper employment

advertisements, Bertrand and Mullainathan (2003) submitted more than 4,000 resumes in

which applicants were assigned a popular name among whites or a popular name among

blacks; resumes with a popular name among whites generated 50 percent more callbacks

than resumes with a popular name among blacks, suggesting the presence of employment

discrimination against black applicants. Experiments such as these reduce the number of

plausible explanations for an observed effect, such as the possibility that variation in

callback frequency was due to variation in applicant qualifications or variation in resume

formatting.

Detecting antiblack bias in non-experimental surveys is more difficult because non-

experimental surveys lack random assignment and thus lack the same strong level of causal

inference that experiments provide. Non-experimental surveys testing for antiblack bias

have the additional issue of social desirability in which direct survey measures of antiblack

bias underestimate the percent of the population that is biased against blacks (Kuklinski et

al. 1997). Many researchers have attempted to assess antiblack bias with survey questions

measuring a concept referred to as racial resentment or symbolic racism, which Sears and

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Henry (2007: 963) called "the most influential form of racial prejudice in American political

life since the civil rights era of the 1960s." Symbolic racism is "a new expression of preju-

dice that has developed in the United States...based on the belief that blacks violate key

American values, particularly the idea of individualism" (Henry and Sears 2008: 111). Re-

search has established that symbolic racism predicts white opposition to policies designed

to help blacks (Tarman and Sears 2005), white opposition to black political candidates such

as Barack Obama in the 2008 presidential election (Ford et al. 2010), white support for pu-

nitive criminal punishment policies that negatively affect blacks at a disproportionate rate

(Green et al. 2006), and ostensibly non-racial behavior such as owning a gun (O'Brein et al.

2013).

But symbolic racism is not a pure measure of antiblack bias: symbolic racism is "the

conjunction of prejudice and values" (Kinder 1986: 156) that "[melds] ordinary conserva-

tism with some racial animosity" (Valentino and Sears 2005: 674); this conflation can be

seen in the following item that has been used with other items to measure symbolic racism:

It's really a matter of some people not trying hard enough; if

blacks would only try harder they could be just as well off as

whites.

Agreement with the above statement cannot be interpreted as revelation of antiblack bias

because someone who agreed with that statement might also agree that poor whites who

try harder could be just as well off as middle-class whites. Sniderman and Tetlock (1986:

181) noted that high symbolic racism scores can indicate pure racism or pure conservatism;

subsequent research involving factor analyses provided evidence for this conflation, indi-

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cating that "symbolic racism is made up about equally of racial prejudice and general con-

servatism" (Sears and Henry 2003: 271).

Because symbolic racism is an impure measure, the effect of symbolic racism cannot

be assigned to antiblack bias without first eliminating the conservative values component

of symbolic racism. Researchers often use statistical control to attempt to eliminate the

conservative values component of symbolic racism: "...any analyses done with measures of

symbolic racism should be done controlling for political conservatism in order to minimize

the likelihood of spurious associations being misdiagnosed as effects of racism" (Pasek et al.

2009: 949). The typical symbolic racism research design has thus been to place symbolic

racism into a regression with measures of conservatism and then to interpret the residual

effect of symbolic racism as antiblack bias (e.g., Pasek et al. 2009; Rabinowitz et al. 2009;

Sears et al. 1997; Valentino and Sears 2005).

But there is no direct way for observational research to test whether a particular set

of control variables eliminates the conservative values component of symbolic racism: for

instance, the symbolic racism statement cited earlier might tap a generalized conservative

belief that hard work causes success, but if this particular belief does not sufficiently corre-

late with statistical controls included in a model, then that model will overestimate the ra-

cial component of symbolic racism and thus foster incorrect inferences about the presence

and/or strength of antiblack bias.

The Discriminant Validity of Symbolic Racism: Dependent Variables

Even though common or boutique measures of conservative values might not completely

nullify the conservative values component of symbolic racism, these measures might suffi-

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ciently dilute the conservative values component enough so that the residual effect of sym-

bolic racism approximates the effect of symbolic racism's racial component. One way to as-

sess whether statistical control in a particular regression sufficiently dilutes the conserva-

tive values component of symbolic racism is to assess whether residual symbolic racism

correlates with dependent variables that tap conservatism but have no racial component:

for instance, if symbolic racism in the presence of statistical control were to predict the be-

lief that global warming is mostly due to natural causes, then that would be strong evidence

that statistical control did not sufficiently dilute symbolic racism's conservative component,

given that there is no apparent reason why antiblack bias should influence global warming

beliefs.

Rabinowitz et al. (2009) presented evidence from two studies for symbolic racism's

discriminant validity. Based on a sample of 77 white college students, the first study found

that the post-statistical control effect of symbolic racism positively correlated with opposi-

tion to government agencies setting aside contracts for businesses owned by blacks but did

not correlate with opposition to government agencies setting aside contracts for business-

es owned by women. The second study presented evidence from the 1990 and 2000 Amer-

ican National Election Studies (ANES) Time Series Studies that was largely consistent with

an interpretation of the residual effect of symbolic racism as antiblack bias: in the 1990 da-

ta, symbolic racism positively correlated with white opposition to preferential hiring and

promotion for blacks, and with white support for federal spending on Social Security, but

did not correlate with white opposition to federal spending on food stamps or with white

opposition to federal spending on aid to the homeless; in the 2000 data, symbolic racism

positively correlated with white opposition to preferential hiring and promotion for blacks,

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white opposition to compulsory affirmative action hiring programs for private companies

that discriminated against blacks, white opposition to federal spending on food stamps, and

white support for federal spending on Social Security, but did not correlate with white op-

position to federal spending on aid to the poor.

Rabinowitz et al. (2009) noted that these results were consistent with a racial inter-

pretation: symbolic racism predicted white opposition to policies explicitly targeted at im-

proving outcomes for blacks, did not predict white opposition to policies not explicitly tar-

geted at improving outcomes for blacks, and predicted white support for a Social Security

program that Winter (2006) argued has been racialized as benefitting whites. But the Rab-

inowitz et al. (2009) analysis used only a small and ambiguous collection of dependent var-

iables, given that it would have been possible to construe as racialized each non-racial de-

pendent variable, such as federal spending on food stamps, the homeless, and the poor.

Kinder and Sanders (1996) provided another test of symbolic racism's discriminant

validity by predicting levels of dependent variables without an obvious racial dimension; in

regressions on 1986 and 1992 ANES data that included statistical control for social back-

ground, race of the interviewer, support for limited government, and attitudes about equal

opportunity (p. 121), symbolic racism correlated at a statistically significant level with atti-

tudes about family leave and childcare policies, parental consent and spousal notification

for abortion, gays in the military, gay adoption, military spending, military interventions in

Central America, and the U.S. stance toward the Soviet Union (p. 122). Kinder and Sanders

proposed that "[the effects of symbolic racism on these foreign policy attitudes] suggest,

once again, that resentment toward blacks is part of a broader system of beliefs and feel-

ings about social difference in general" (1996: 124). But an alternate explanation is that the

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residual correlation of symbolic racism to these non-racial dependent variables resulted

from a research design in which statistical control did not sufficiently dilute the conserva-

tive values component of symbolic racism. Study 1 of the present manuscript therefore re-

ports a broader and more rigorous test of the discriminant validity of symbolic racism: the

test was broader in the sense that the test used a larger selection of non-racial dependent

variables, and the test was more rigorous in the sense that a larger collection of boutique

conservative values variables were used for statistical control.

Study 1

Responses from the ANES 2012 Time Series Study were analyzed. Data were weighted with

the Stata 11 command svyset [pweight=weight_full], strata(strata_full); the subpop option

was used for the 3,495 non-Hispanic white respondents who completed the pre- and post-

election surveys. Cases with missing data on a model variable were listwise deleted from

that model. The ANES 2012 Time Series Study was conducted for some respondents face-

to-face and other respondents online, between September 8, 2012, and January 24, 2013.

Response rates were 38 percent (face-to-face) and 2 percent (online) for the pre-election

survey; re-interview rates were 94 percent (face-to-face) and 93 percent (online) for the

post-election survey. The population of interest was adult U.S. citizens.

Symbolic racism

Respondents were presented four symbolic racism items with options of agree strongly,

agree somewhat, neither agree nor disagree, disagree somewhat, and disagree strongly:

1. Irish, Italians, Jewish and many other minorities overcame prejudice and worked

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their way up. Blacks should do the same without any special favors.

2. Generations of slavery and discrimination have created conditions that make it diffi-

cult for blacks to work their way out of the lower class.

3. Over the past few years, blacks have gotten less than they deserve.

4. It's really a matter of some people not trying hard enough; if blacks would only try

harder they could be just as well off as whites.

Each item was recoded to range from +2 for the option reflecting the highest level of sym-

bolic racism to -2 for the option reflecting the lowest level of symbolic racism: agree re-

sponses for items 1 and 4 and disagree responses for items 2 and 3 were coded as reflect-

ing higher levels of symbolic racism. Refusals were coded as missing data, and "don't know"

responses were coded as a response of neither agree nor disagree. Summation of the items

produced a symbolic racism scale that ranged from -8 to +8.

Non-racial dependent variables

Sixty-eight non-racial dependent variables were selected from the 2012 ANES Time Series

Study; variables were selected that were expected to correlate with conservatism but were

not explicitly racial or did not appear to reflect racialized topics; sample racialized issues

included capital punishment and immigration; also avoided were policies closely connected

with President Obama, such as health care reform (Knowles et al. 2010; Tesler 2012). The

non-racial dependent variables included items across 12 categories: gay rights, abortion,

women, the environment, fiscal policy, campaign finance regulations, the military, the War

on Terror, patriotism, religion, Iran, and China. Dependent variables were coded so that

higher values positively correlated with conservatism in a model that had controls only for

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demographics. Dependent variable scales were created for seven sets of related variables

in which Cronbach's alpha (Cronbach 1951) was at least 0.60: gay rights, abortion, women,

the environment, fiscal policy, patriotism, and religion. See Appendix 1 for a description of

the measurement and coding of the non-racial dependent variables.

Control variables

The first set of models included controls for demographic characteristics of sex, marital sta-

tus, age, education level, family income, and employment status; the second set of models

also included a small set of controls for conservatism: Democratic Party membership, Re-

publican Party membership, self-placement on a liberal-conservative continuum, and a sin-

gle item measuring belief in self-reliance; the third set of models included the previous two

sets of controls plus boutique conservative values controls: a scale of four items measuring

attitudes about limited government, a scale of four items measuring moral traditionalism, a

scale of four items measuring authoritarianism, and a scale of six items measuring egalitar-

ianism. See Appendix 1 for a description of the measurement and coding of the control var-

iables.

Results

Models with a dichotomous dependent variable were estimated with logit; other models

were estimated with ordinary least squares regression. Each non-dichotomous model de-

pendent, explanatory, and control variable was standardized so that its mean and standard

deviation were respectively 0 and 1 based on sample respondents identified as white and

non-Hispanic. Table 1 presents three sets of results for each non-racial dependent variable:

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the first numeric column presents the coefficient and standard error for the symbolic rac-

ism variable based on regressions that include controls only for demographics; the second

numeric column presents the coefficient and standard error for the symbolic racism varia-

ble based on regressions that include controls only for demographics, partisanship, ideolo-

gy, and belief in self-reliance; the third numeric column presents the coefficient and stand-

ard error for the symbolic racism variable based on regressions that include demographic

controls, partisanship and ideology controls, and all boutique conservative values controls.

The bottom number in each cell indicates the number of observations in the regression.

[Table 1 about here]

The first numeric column of Table 1 indicates that symbolic racism positively corre-

lated with 63 of the 68 non-racial dependent variables and with each of the seven depend-

ent variable scales with a two-tailed p-value of 0.05 or lower when models included con-

trols only for demographics. Given that the dependent variables were not explicitly racial

and did not appear racialized, these results corroborate research indicating that symbolic

racism is not a pure measure of antiblack bias.

The second numeric column of Table 1 represents a test whether the conservative

values component of symbolic racism can be nullified by the small set of controls so that

the residual effect of symbolic racism represents only the racial component of symbolic

racism. The small set of controls did sufficiently dilute the influence of the symbolic racism

variable in 23 of 63 non-racial dependent variables and two of the seven dependent varia-

ble scales for which the symbolic racism coefficient reached statistical significance in the

first numeric column, but positive and statistically significant coefficients for the influence

of symbolic racism on attitudes about gays and lesbians shown in rows 1 to 6 indicate that

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the set of controls for partisanship, ideology, and belief in self-reliance did not sufficiently

dilute the conservative values component of symbolic racism for all dependent variables.

Each statistically significant coefficient from the first numeric column fell closer to zero in

the second numeric column, often substantially so, providing evidence that the small set of

controls did dilute the conservative values component of symbolic racism; however, it ap-

pears that a small set of controls does not permit researchers to interpret the residual ef-

fect of symbolic racism as antiblack bias, unless the researcher is willing to argue that an-

tiblack bias informs beliefs about gays and lesbians, women, global warming, and relations

with Iran and China.

It might be suggested that the residual effect of symbolic racism reflects bias against

marginalized groups, given that many of the rows in the second numeric column that have

statistically significant coefficients reflect responses opposing certain rights for gays and

lesbians, opposing certain rights for women, supporting modern sexism views, supporting

hawkish policy toward Iran, or perceiving China as a threat; but this alternate explanation

is not available for the positive correlation of symbolic racism to skepticism about global

warming and reluctance to support the environment when faced with a tradeoff. The more

straightforward interpretation is that the results from the second numeric column suggest

that a small set of controls often does not sufficiently nullify the conservative values com-

ponent of symbolic racism; therefore, the residual effect of symbolic racism in models with

only a small set of controls should not be interpreted as reflecting only the racial compo-

nent of symbolic racism.

The third numeric column of Table 1 represents a test whether an extensive set of

boutique conservative values controls sufficiently nullifies the conservative values compo-

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nent of symbolic racism. This set of controls did sufficiently nullify the non-racial compo-

nent of symbolic racism for items 1 to 6 about attitudes towards gays and lesbians and for

items 28 to 34 about the environment; but the full set of controls did not sufficiently nullify

the conservative values component of symbolic racism for many dependent variables: the

residual effect of symbolic racism positively correlated on select dependent variables with

modern sexism (21, 23, 25, and 26), with deficit reduction (36, 40, 41, 42), with support for

the military and hawkish terrorism policies (49, 50, 54, 55), with patriotism (56, 58, 59),

with hawkish policy toward Iran (71, 72, 73), and with the perception that China is a threat

to the United States (74 and 75); in total, symbolic racism positively correlated at a statisti-

cally significant level with 25 of the 68 dependent variables and with two of the seven de-

pendent variable scales.

For the third numeric column, symbolic racism negatively correlated at a statistical-

ly significant level with 15 of the 68 dependent variables and with two of the seven de-

pendent variable scales. For many of these dependent variables, such as the abortion items,

it makes no sense to interpret the residual effect of symbolic racism as conservatism, since

it would not be expected for higher levels of conservatism to associate with lower levels of

support for prolife positions; it might make more sense to interpret negative statistically

significant coefficients for the abortion items as indicating an association of antiblack atti-

tudes with prochoice policy preferences. Generally, a coefficient that is positive and statis-

tically significant in the first numeric column and negative and statistically significant in

the third numeric column might indicate a dependent variable for which the two compo-

nents of symbolic racism have opposite correlations: for instance, for item 62, the con-

servative values component of symbolic racism might positively correlate with more fre-

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quent prayer, and the racial component might negatively correlate with more frequent

prayer; then, for the first numeric column, the strength of the positive correlation out-

weighs the strength of the negative correlation, producing an overall positive correlation;

but in the third numeric column, the strength of the positive correlation is diluted by the

statistical control so that the strength of the negative correlation outweighs the strength of

the positive correlation, producing an overall negative correlation. If that is the case, then it

would be appropriate to credit statistical control for nullifying the conservative values

component of symbolic racism in these instances of negative statistically significant coeffi-

cients.

There appear to be two major takeaways from the results presented in Table 1. First,

it appears that a small set of control variables in this case, partisanship, ideology, and be-

lief in self-reliance often does not dilute the conservative values component of symbolic

racism enough to permit interpreting the residual effect of symbolic racism as antiblack

bias; this means that care should be taken when interpreting symbolic racism research that

lacks an extensive battery of conservative values controls. Second, even an extensive bat-

tery of conservative values control variables is not always sufficient to permit interpreting

the residual effect of symbolic racism as antiblack bias.

The Discriminant Validity of Symbolic Racism: Samples

The motivation for Study 1 was that symbolic racism's value as a survey measure tapping

race-based sentiment depends on the ability of researchers to isolate the racial component

of symbolic racism; the motivation for Study 2 is that symbolic racism's value as a survey

measure also depends on the ability of researchers to identify the nature of this racial com-

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ponent. Research that has interpreted the effect of symbolic racism as reflecting the racial

component of symbolic racism has not been consistent in describing the nature of this ra-

cial component:

"[t]he mixture of the two, the blending of racist sentiment and such treasured values

as individualism and self-reliance, we call 'symbolic racism'" (Kinder 1986: 152,

emphasis added);

"...symbolic racism is conceptualized today as mostly expressing sincere beliefs,

melding ordinary conservatism with some racial animosity, rather than hypocritical

efforts to hide a deeper and pure racism." (Valentino and Sears 2005: 674, emphasis

added);

"...the results reported here suggest that much of the variance that explains opposi-

tion to explicitly racially targeted programs is due to antiblack antipathy blended

with perceptions of value violation..." (Rabinowitz et al. 2009: 825, emphasis added).

"[t]he theory, then, specifies that symbolic racism stems from some combination of

antiblack affect and traditional values (most notably individualism)" (Sears and

Henry 2003: 260, emphasis added).

"The finding that [symbolic racism] predicts attitudes toward affirmative action

more strongly than attitudes toward food stamps or aid to the poor is consistent

with the contention that symbolic racism is tapping some sort of race-based senti-

ment" (Rabinowitz et al. 2009: 818, emphasis added).

Inferences reflected in the language of "racist sentiment" and "racial animosity" are strong-

er than inferences reflected in the language of "antiblack affect" and "some sort of race-

based sentiment," so, even if the racial component of symbolic racism is isolated, it is still

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necessary to cabin the interpretation of this racial component somewhere between racial

hatred and ingroup favoritism. Moore (2012) and Somersby (2012) suggested that the in-

terpretation of antiblack measures can potentially be cabined by observing black responses

to antiblack measures: the presumption is that antiblack measures lack validity if the

measures classify a large percentage of blacks as antiblack. This logic can be extended to a

test of symbolic racism's discriminant validity in terms of samples: if the post-statistical

control effect of symbolic racism reflects racist sentiment or antiblack animosity, symbolic

racism should have no effect among a sample of persons who lack racist sentiment and an-

tiblack animosity.

Several studies have reported the performance of symbolic racism measures among

black samples. Bobo and Johnson (2004) found that racial resentment positively correlated

with black support for capital punishment and with black support for harsher punishments

for possession and distribution of crack cocaine compared to possession and distribution of

powdered cocaine; but the models controlled for conservative values only with a variable

measuring self-placement on a 5-point liberal-conservative continuum. Buckler et al. (2009)

controlled for conservative values using self-placement on a 7-point liberal-conservative

continuum and scales for authoritarianism and egalitarianism: symbolic racism predicted

black support for addressing crime by catching, convicting, and punishing criminals rather

than by addressing the social problems that cause crime. But Johnson (2008) did not find a

correlation between racial resentment and scores on a punativeness index among a sample

of 649 blacks. Studying non-punitive policies, Orey et al. (2012) surveyed black college stu-

dents and found that racial resentment negatively correlated with support for slavery rep-

arations, support for federal spending on welfare, and support for policies designed to help

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minorities. For candidate choice, Tesler and Sears (2010) reported that higher levels of ra-

cial resentment correlated with a lower probability of a black vote for Barack Obama in the

2008 Democratic primaries.

Each study described above lacked a large representative sample of blacks, a wide

range of dependent variables, and/or a broad battery of conservative values controls that

can help dilute the conservative values component of symbolic racism. Each of these three

elements were present in the 2012 ANES Time Series Study used in Study 2 below.

Study 2

Responses from the ANES 2012 Time Series Study were analyzed. Data were weighted with

the Stata 11 command svyset [pweight=weight_full], strata(strata_full); the subpop option

was used for the three samples described below. Cases with missing data on a model varia-

ble were listwise deleted from that model.

Samples

Three samples were used in Study 2. The first sample consisted of the 3,495 non-Hispanic

white respondents who completed the pre- and post-election surveys; the second sample

consisted of the 1,016 non-Hispanic black respondents who completed the pre- and post-

election surveys; the third sample consisted of the 424 non-Hispanic black respondents

who completed the pre- and post-election surveys and who rated blacks at least as posi-

tively as whites on a 0-to-100 feeling thermometer, who rated blacks at least as positively

as whites on a 1-to-7 stereotype scale for intelligence, who rated blacks at least as positive-

ly as whites on a 1-to-7 stereotype scale for being hardworking, who reported that their life

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is affected by what happens to blacks, who reported feeling sympathy for blacks at least

some of the time, and who reported feeling admiration for blacks at least some of the time.

See Appendix 1 for further description of the measurement of variables used to construct

the restricted black sample.

Racial dependent variables

Six racial dependent variables were analyzed: the first five dependent variables respective-

ly measured attitudes about black hiring and promotion preferences, affirmative action in

universities, affirmative action in the workplace, federal oversight to ensure fair treatment

in jobs for blacks, and federal aid to blacks; the sixth dependent variable consisted of a

scale constructed from the first five racial dependent variables described above. See Ap-

pendix 1 for a description of the measurement and coding of the racial dependent variables.

Results

Models were estimated with ordinary least squares regression. Each non-dichotomous

model dependent, explanatory, and control variable was standardized so that its mean and

standard deviation were respectively 0 and 1 based on the entire sample of respondents.

Table 2 presents three sets of results for each racial dependent variable: the first numeric

column presents coefficients and standard errors for the regression on the subpopulation

of non-Hispanic whites; the second numeric column presents coefficients and standard er-

rors for the regression on the subpopulation of non-Hispanic blacks; and the third numeric

column presents coefficients and standard errors for the regression on the subpopulation

of non-Hispanic blacks who held consistent and positive views of their racial group as de-

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scribed above. For both black samples, one stratum did not contain a subpopulation mem-

ber and was omitted in regression results.

[Table 2 about here]

The first numeric column of Table 2 indicates that, for non-Hispanic whites, symbol-

ic racism positively correlated with all five dependent variables and the dependent variable

scale with a two-tailed p-value of 0.05 or lower when models contained control variables

for demographics, partisanship, ideology, and the full battery of conservative values con-

trols. The second numeric column of Table 2 indicates that, for non-Hispanic blacks, sym-

bolic racism positively correlated with four of five dependent variables and the dependent

variable scale with a two-tailed p-value of 0.05 or lower when models contained control

variables for demographics, partisanship, ideology, and the full battery of conservative val-

ues controls. The third numeric column of Table 2 indicates that, for the subpopulation of

non-Hispanic blacks who held consistently positive views of their racial group, symbolic

racism positively correlated with two of five dependent variables and the dependent varia-

ble scale with a two-tailed p-value of 0.05 or lower, when models contained control varia-

bles for demographics, partisanship, ideology, and the full battery of conservative values

controls.

Results in Table 2 for the samples of non-Hispanic blacks present a possible avenue

by which to cabin the interpretation of symbolic racism: the residual effect of symbolic rac-

ism cannot be assigned to "racist sentiment" (Kinder 1986: 152) or to "racial animosity"

(Valentino and Sears 2005: 674) unless those terms are also used to describe the residual

effect of symbolic racism among these samples of non-Hispanic blacks, or unless research

indicates a way to differentiate the meaning and nature of symbolic racism between black

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and white respondents. Study 3 reported below represents an effort to assess such possible

variation in the meaning and nature of symbolic racism among blacks and whites.

Possible Antecedents of Symbolic Racism

Tesler and Sears (2010) presented an attempt to assess such variation in the meaning and

nature of symbolic racism among different racial and ethnic groups; the authors presented

results from the 2008 ANES Time Series Study indicating that symbolic racism correlated

among whites but not among blacks with conservative values such as moral traditionalism

and authoritarianism or self-reported ideological conservatism, that education had a larger

correlation with symbolic racism among blacks than among whites, and that antiblack af-

fect had a smaller correlation with symbolic racism among blacks than among whites (p.

99). Tesler and Sears (2010) also reported results of an unweighted group consciousness

model to explain the origins of symbolic racism among black respondents to the 2004 Na-

tional Politics Study (p. 101), and provided evidence that Barack Obama gained more sup-

port over time in the 2008 Democratic primaries from whites low in racial resentment than

from whites high in racial resentment but gained support uniformly from blacks at all lev-

els of racial resentment (p. 101-104). Tesler and Sears suggested such trends can be better

understood if high levels of racial resentment are interpreted differently for blacks than for

whites: "reflecting weak racial solidarity [among blacks] more than racial animosity" (p.

104). Study 3 below reports a similar analysis of data from three subsamples in the 2012

ANES Time Series Study and of weighted data from respondents to the 2004 National Poli-

tics Study.

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Study 3

Table 3 presents coefficients and standard errors for a regression predicting symbolic rac-

ism for the full sample of non-Hispanic whites, the full sample of non-Hispanic blacks, and

the restricted sample of non-Hispanic blacks. Models use the same variables from Study 2,

but with three additional variables: the difference between 0-to-100 feeling thermometer

ratings for whites and blacks, the difference between 1-to-7 "lazy" stereotype ratings for

whites and blacks, and the difference between 1-to-7 "unintelligent" stereotype ratings for

whites and blacks; each of these variables was coded so that higher values represent more

positive views of whites relative to blacks, and each of these variables were standardized

so that their mean and standard deviation were respectively 0 and 1 for the entire sample.

[Table 3 about here]

Results in Table 3 did not exactly match results in the Tesler and Sears (2010) anal-

ysis of 2008 ANES Time Series Study data. In the 2012 ANES data, symbolic racism corre-

lated for blacks and for whites with self-reported ideological conservatism and authoritari-

anism, along with an egalitarianism variable that was not included in the Tesler and Sears

(2010) analysis; moreover, among blacks, education did not have a statistically significant

correlation with symbolic racism; and antiblack affect, as measured with relative ratings on

the feeling thermometers, appeared to be as strong of a predictor for blacks as for whites.

Coefficients for limited government and for moral traditionalism reached statistical signifi-

cance among whites but not among blacks, which might due to sample size or to symbolic

racism being "more highly crystallized" (Tesler and Sears 2010: 101) among whites than

blacks; statistical significance tests at the 0.05 level for a two-tailed test indicated that the

coefficient for moral traditionalism but not the coefficient for limited government differed

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between blacks and whites; coefficients differed at the 0.05 level for a two-tailed test only

for the lazy stereotype ratings, marital status, age group, and moral traditionalism.

Table 4 presents coefficients and standard errors from a regression predicting sym-

bolic racism for a weighted sample of non-Hispanic whites and a weighted sample of non-

Hispanic blacks, based on responses to the 2004 National Politics Study (Jackson et al.

2004); the symbolic racism scale contained a slightly different battery of variables than in

the 2012 ANES, due to the lack of inclusion of all four symbolic racism items in the 2004

NPS. Model specifications were designed to reflect the model specification in Table 5.3 of

Tesler and Sears (2010: 101). See Appendix 2 for detail on variable coding. The 2004 NPS

was fielded from September 3, 2004, to February 25, 2005, with a computer-assisted tele-

phone interview technique; response rates were 34 and 30 percent for whites and blacks,

respectively.

[Table 4 about here]

Only a few differences between blacks and whites emerge in Table 4: the influence

of conservatism and perceptions of black-white work ethics were both statistically signifi-

cant and in the same direction, but were of a higher magnitude for whites and blacks re-

spectively; moreover, the negative statistically significant coefficient for blacks on the per-

ception of black-white competition variable indicates lower levels of symbolic racism for

blacks who perceive more competition between blacks and whites, but the non-statistically

significant coefficient for whites indicates little to no effect on symbolic racism for whites

who perceive more competition between blacks and whites.

For the predictors of symbolic racism, Tables 3 and 4 indicate many similarities be-

tween blacks and whites, and a few important differences. These differences may be mean-

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ingful enough to support the Tesler and Sears (2010) claim that "racial resentment has an

entirely different meaning for African Americans" (p. 101), but Table 3 and 4 results for

blacks and whites and the differences between them do not appear to require the inter-

pretation that symbolic racism among whites reflects harsher racial views than symbolic

racism among blacks; it is possible to speculate that symbolic racism should reflect harsher

racial views among whites than among blacks, but support for this speculation appears to

be absent in the results presented in Tables 3 and 4.

General Discussion

Symbolic racism is an impure measure "the conjunction of prejudice and values" (Kinder

1986: 156) so symbolic racism cannot be interpreted as reflecting antiblack bias without

first nullifying the conservative values component of symbolic racism. Some studies have

used "negative arguments" (Sniderman and Tetlock 1986: 146) to claim that statistical con-

trol isolates symbolic racism's conservative values component:

A third critique is that symbolic racism is "confounded" with

ideological conservatism and so does not cleanly assess the

unique effects of racism. Ours would seem to be quite persua-

sive data against that view: controls on ideology do not weaken

the effects of symbolic racism on policy references [sic], and

ideology itself has generally nonsignificant effects; symbolic

racism adds substantial unique explanatory variance even after

ideology and all other nonracial attitudes have been consid-

ered; and ideology is not a strong determinant of symbolic rac-

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ism (Sears et al. 1997: 47, table references omitted).

But the studies reported in this manuscript invite reconsideration of this common interpre-

tation of the residual effect of symbolic racism. Study 1 indicated that a small set of ideolog-

ical controls often did not eliminate the positive correlation between symbolic racism and

conservative attitudes about gays and lesbians, women, global warming, and the military:

the lack of an obvious connection of these attitudes to race suggests that the post-statistical

control effect of symbolic racism tapped conservative values and thus did not "cleanly as-

sess the unique effects of racism," with an emphasis on "cleanly." Study 1 did find that an

extensive set of ideological controls was often sufficient for eliminating the positive corre-

lation between symbolic racism and conservative attitudes on non-racial dependent varia-

bles, but a few positive correlations retained statistical significance, suggesting caution for

researchers assigning the residual effect of symbolism racism to antiblack bias.

Study 2 indicated that ideological controls often failed to eliminate the correlation

between symbolic racism and black opposition to policies designed to benefit blacks; given

that this result held even when the sample of blacks was restricted to a subsample of blacks

who reported views of blacks that were at least as favorable as their views of whites, this

suggests that the post-statistical control effect of symbolic racism did not "cleanly assess

the unique effects of racism," with an emphasis on "racism." Study 3 examined predictors of

symbolic racism among blacks and whites but did not produce evidence that requires as-

signing the post-statistical control effect of symbolic racism to "racist sentiment" or "an-

tiblack animosity" among whites but not among blacks. It is likely that symbolic racism ag-

gregates heterogeneous attitudes among whites, blacks, and other racial or ethnic groups:

racial hatred among some members of these groups, racial distance among other members

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of these groups, and ingroup favoritism among other members of these groups; if this is the

case, then it might be misleading or overly simplistic to assign only one interpretation to

the residual effect of symbolic racism.

None of the above analyses call into question the claim that racial resentment con-

tributes to white opposition to policies to help blacks or the claim that some Americans

think that blacks violate traditional values such as individualism. But the analyses did call

into question two core assumptions of symbolic racism research, namely, that statistical

control isolates the racial component of symbolic racism and that this racial component can

be accurately characterized as racist sentiment or antiblack animosity. The analyses pre-

sented above also provide support for the Moore (2012) and Somersby (2012) cautions in

assigning interpretations to the performance of measures of antiblack bias before assessing

the performance of these measures among blacks themselves. Researchers have more lati-

tude in assigning harsher interpretations to white racial attitudes when researchers con-

sider only white attitudes; but researchers must offer a more generalized interpretation of

attitudes when researchers also consider black attitudes about blacks, or, more generally,

attitudes of and about more than one racial group.

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Table 1. The influence of symbolic racism on white opposition to non-racial policies

Demographic Controls Only

Small Set of Controls

Full Set of Controls

1 Oppose laws against gay job discrimination

0.24 (0.02) 3068

0.10 (0.02) 3053

-0.01 (0.02) 3037

2 Oppose letting gays serve in the military

0.22 (0.02) 3078

0.10 (0.02) 3063

0.01 (0.02) 3047

3 Gays should not be permitted to marry

0.32 (0.02) 3103

0.14 (0.02) 3087

0.02 (0.02) 3070

4 Gays should not be allowed to adopt [0/1]

0.57 (0.06) 3069

0.26 (0.07) 3055

0.00 (0.08) 3039

5 Negative ratings on a gay and lesbian feeling thermometer

0.25 (0.02) 3096

0.12 (0.02) 3082

0.01 (0.03) 3067

6 SCALE [1-5]: Gay rights 0.31

(0.02) 3101

0.13 (0.02) 3085

0.01 (0.02) 3068

7 Four-part ANES abortion atti-tudes item

0.15 (0.02) 3109

-0.03 (0.02) 3092

-0.12 (0.02) 3075

8 Oppose abortion to save wom-an's life

0.07 (0.02) 3088

-0.05 (0.03) 3074

-0.14 (0.03) 3062

9 Oppose abortion b/c rape 0.09

(0.02) 3097

-0.08 (0.03) 3082

-0.15 (0.03) 3070

10 Oppose abortion b/c birth de-fect

0.12 (0.02) 3091

-0.05 (0.03) 3076

-0.12 (0.03) 3064

11 Oppose abortion b/c incest 0.16

(0.02) 3081

0.01 (0.03) 3066

-0.06 (0.03) 3054

12 Oppose abortion b/c woman's health

0.19 (0.02) 3095

0.03 (0.02) 3080

-0.04 (0.03) 3068

13 Oppose abortion b/c financial concerns

0.26 (0.02) 3095

0.10 (0.02) 3081

0.04 (0.02) 3070

14 Oppose abortion b/c fetal sex selection

0.19 (0.03)

0.10 (0.03)

0.05 (0.03)

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3093 3079 3067

15 Oppose abortion b/c woman's choice

0.22 (0.02) 3091

0.03 (0.02) 3077

-0.06 (0.02) 3065

16 SCALE [7-15]: abortion 0.21

(0.02) 3102

0.01 (0.02) 3087

-0.09 (0.02) 3075

17 Negative ratings on a feminist feeling thermometer

0.30 (0.02) 3083

0.15 (0.02) 3068

0.06 (0.03) 3053

18 Harder for working mom to bond w/ child

0.10 (0.02) 3110

0.08 (0.03) 3092

0.05 (0.03) 3077

19 Better if man works, woman cares for home

0.17 (0.02) 3098

0.10 (0.03) 3080

0.04 (0.03) 3067

20 Bad if woman president in next 20 years

0.25 (0.02) 3091

0.12 (0.02) 3076

0.02 (0.03) 3060

21 Modern sexism: discrimination a problem

0.29 (0.03) 3105

0.19 (0.03) 3089

0.10 (0.03) 3073

22 Modern sexism: media should pay less attention

0.25 (0.02) 3091

0.12 (0.03) 3075

0.01 (0.03) 3062

23 Modern sexism: women seek special favors

0.28 (0.02) 3067

0.21 (0.03) 3053

0.10 (0.03) 3037

24 Modern sexism: work discrimi-nation

0.06 (0.03) 3072

0.01 (0.03) 3058

-0.03 (0.03) 3044

25 Modern sexism: women com-plaining more

0.26 (0.02) 3077

0.22 (0.03) 3060

0.14 (0.03) 3045

26 Modern sexism: opportunities for women

0.23 (0.02) 3102

0.14 (0.02) 3084

0.07 (0.03) 3068

27 SCALE [17-26]: women 0.40

(0.02) 3115

0.24 (0.02) 3097

0.11 (0.02) 3080

28 Environment vs jobs tradeoff 0.32

(0.02) 2742

0.08 (0.02) 2730

-0.01 (0.02) 2716

29 Federal spending on the envi-ronment

0.30 (0.02)

0.11 (0.02)

0.03 (0.02)

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3105 3088 3072

30 U.S. should have more nuclear power plants

0.14 (0.02) 3068

0.03 (0.03) 3052

0.04 (0.03) 3037

31 Global warming is happening [0/1]

0.57 (0.06) 3086

0.27 (0.07) 3070

0.14 (0.08) 3054

32 Rising temperatures are good 0.19

(0.02) 3100

0.05 (0.02) 3083

0.00 (0.02) 3067

33 Global warming is mostly natu-ral

0.27 (0.02) 3100

0.10 (0.02) 3083

0.05 (0.03) 3067

34 SCALE [28-33]: environment 0.35

(0.02) 3106

0.11 (0.02) 3090

0.04 (0.02) 3074

35 Favor reducing the budget defi-cit

0.02 (0.02) 3099

-0.03 (0.03) 3083

-0.02 (0.03) 3068

36 Importance of reducing the budget deficit

0.21 (0.02) 3112

0.09 (0.03) 3096

0.08 (0.03) 3080

37 Reduce deficit by more taxes on high earners

0.24 (0.02) 3108

0.04 (0.02) 3092

-0.00 (0.03) 3077

38 Reduce deficit with Medicare voucher

0.16 (0.02) 3051

0.02 (0.02) 3035

-0.05 (0.03) 3025

39 Reduce deficit by more corpo-rate taxation

0.19 (0.02) 3096

0.00 (0.02) 3080

-0.05 (0.03) 3067

40 Reduce deficit by less military spending

0.31 (0.02) 3107

0.17 (0.02) 3091

0.14 (0.03) 3076

41 Reduce deficit by cutting federal employees

0.26 (0.02) 3102

0.14 (0.03) 3086

0.11 (0.03) 3070

42 Reduce deficit by cutting non-military stuff

0.29 (0.02) 3102

0.17 (0.03) 3086

0.12 (0.03) 3070

43 Millionaire tax 0.23

(0.02) 3104

0.07 (0.02) 3088

-0.05 (0.03) 3073

44 Encourage outsourcing 0.03

(0.02) -0.10

(0.03) -0.15

(0.03)

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3096 3080 3068

45 Favor invest Social Security in stocks

0.22 (9.96) 3102

0.10 (0.02) 3085

0.07 (0.03) 3072

46 SCALE [35-45]: Fiscal policy 0.20

(0.02) 3113

0.06 (0.01) 3097

0.02 (0.01) 3081

47 Limit corporate campaign con-tributions

0.09 (0.01) 3089

0.01 (0.03) 3074

-0.03 (0.03) 3058

48 Ban corporate/union campaign ads

0.09 (0.02) 3086

0.02 (0.03) 3071

-0.00 (0.03) 3058

49 Defense spending 0.33

(0.02) 2881

0.19 (0.03) 2869

0.15 (0.03) 2853

50 Positive ratings on a military feeling thermometer

0.24 (0.02) 3108

0.16 (0.03) 3091

0.13 (0.03) 3075

51 War was worth it [0/1] 0.18

(0.05) 3049

0.02 (0.06) 3036

0.03 (0.07) 3020

52 War decreased terror threat 0.00

(0.02) 3100

-0.01 (0.03) 3087

0.00 (0.03) 3071

53 Court authorization for wiretaps 0.09

(0.02) 3104

0.04 (0.02) 3088

0.00 (0.03) 3074

54 Government wiretapping gone too far

0.14 (0.02) 3010

0.09 (0.03) 2996

0.07 (0.03) 2985

55 Favor torture for suspected ter-rorists

0.37 (0.02) 3094

0.28 (0.03) 3078

0.24 (0.03) 3062

56 Patriotism: Feel good seeing flag fly

0.19 (0.02) 3105

0.12 (0.03) 3091

0.12 (0.03) 3075

57 Patriotism: Love of country 0.06

(0.02) 3114

0.01 (0.03) 3098

0.02 (0.03) 3082

58 Patriotism: important being American

0.19 (0.03) 3112

0.12 (0.03) 3096

0.13 (0.03) 3080

59 SCALE [56-58]: Patriotism 0.17

(0.02) 0.09

(0.03) 0.10

(0.03)

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3113 3097 3081

60 Religion important to respond-ent's life [0/1]

0.32 (0.05) 3113

0.03 (0.06) 3095

-0.11 (0.07) 3078

61 Religion provides day-to-day guidance

0.05 (0.03) 1960

-0.02 (0.03) 1950

-0.07 (0.03) 1939

62 Frequency of prayer 0.10

(0.02) 3105

-0.04 (0.03) 3088

-0.10 (0.03) 3072

63 Frequency of religious service attendance

0.06 (0.04) 3113

-0.18 (0.04) 3095

-0.30 (0.04) 3079

64 Belief about the Bible 0.19

(0.02) 3093

0.04 (0.02) 3076

-0.04 (0.02) 3062

65 Positive ratings on a Christian feeling thermometer

0.20 (0.02) 3109

0.06 (0.03) 3092

-0.00 (0.03) 3076

66 Negative ratings on an atheist feeling thermometer

0.27 (0.02) 3091

0.16 (0.03) 3075

0.08 (0.03) 3059

67 SCALE [60-66]: Christian religi-osity

0.19 (0.02) 3117

0.00 (0.02) 3099

-0.09 (0.02) 3082

68 Evangelical [0/1] 0.20

(0.06) 2233

0.04 (0.07) 2225

-0.08 (0.08) 2217

69 Iran trying to develop nuclear weapons [0/1]

0.40 (0.10) 3018

0.19 (0.12) 3007

0.32 (0.14) 2995

70 Oppose direct diplomatic talks with Iran

0.11 (0.02) 3095

0.04 (0.03) 3081

-0.04 (0.03) 3066

71 Increase sanctions on Iran 0.11

(0.03) 3061

0.10 (0.03) 3047

0.14 (0.03) 3034

72 Bomb nuclear development sites in Iran

0.23 (0.02) 3084

0.18 (0.02) 3069

0.16 (0.03) 3054

73 Invade Iran with U.S. troops 0.18

(0.02) 3084

0.15 (0.02) 3070

0.14 (0.03) 3057

74 China's economic expansion is bad for U.S.

0.14 (0.02)

0.13 (0.03)

0.11 (0.03)

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3025 3009 2996

75 China is a major military threat 0.11

(0.02) 3059

0.10 (0.03) 3043

0.08 (0.03) 3034

Note: The top number in each cell indicates the coefficient on the symbolic racism variable

for a regression predicting the indicated dependent variable; the middle number in each

cell indicates the standard error; the bottom number indicates the number of observations

used in the regression. Bold type indicates coefficients that are statistically significant at

the 0.05 level with a two-tailed test. The sample was restricted to non-Hispanic white re-

spondents. Data were weighted. [0/1] indicates dichotomous dependent variables. See the

text and Appendix 1 for more detail on the model specifications, estimation techniques, and

variable measurements. Source: 2012 ANES Time Series Study.

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Table 2. The influence of symbolic racism on black opposition to pro-black policies

Non-Hispanic

Whites Non-Hispanic

Blacks

Non-Hispanic Blacks

[Restricted]

Oppose workplace pref-erences for blacks

0.37 (0.02) 3018

0.26 (0.06)

829

0.44 (0.09)

365

Oppose affirmative action in universities

0.33 (0.03) 3062

0.10 (0.10)

862

0.04 (0.10)

379

Oppose affirmative action in workplace

0.33 (0.03) 3069

0.16 (0.06)

866

0.15 (0.10)

381

Oppose government en-suring fair jobs for blacks

0.41 (0.02) 2733

0.18 (0.05)

810

0.08 (0.07)

353

Government assistance to blacks

0.44 (0.02) 2797

0.29 (0.06)

775

0.11 (0.08)

348

SCALE: Assistance poli-cies for blacks

0.48 (0.02) 3076

0.26 (0.05)

872

0.22 (0.07)

383

Note: The top number in each cell indicates the coefficient on the symbolic racism variable

for a regression predicting the indicated dependent variable; the middle number in each

cell indicates the standard error; the bottom number indicates the number of observations

used in the regression. Bold type indicates coefficients that are statistically significant at

the 0.05 level with a two-tailed test. Data were weighted. See the text and Appendix 1 for

more detail on the model specifications, estimation techniques, and variable measurements.

Source: 2012 ANES Time Series Study.

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Table 3. Predicting symbolic racism in the 2012 ANES

Non-Hispanic

Whites Non-Hispanic

Blacks

Non-Hispanic Blacks

[Restricted]

Feeling thermometer 0.07

(0.02) 0.12

(0.04) 0.11

(0.05)

Lazy stereotype 0.19† (0.03)

0.10 (0.05)

0.04 (0.09)

Unintelligent stereotype 0.06

(0.03) -0.04 (0.05)

-0.05 (-0.09)

Female 0.02

(0.03) 0.02

(0.08) -0.08

(0.10)

Married 0.18† (0.05)

0.05 (0.10)

0.26 (0.12)

Age group -0.04† (0.02)

-0.09 (0.04)

-0.19 (0.06)

Formal education level -0.11

(0.02) -0.06 (0.04)

-0.08 (0.05)

Family income -0.02

(0.02) -0.10

(0.04) -0.06

(0.07)

Unemployed 0.13

(0.07) -0.18 (0.10)

-0.03 (0.16)

Republican 0.01

(0.04) 0.43

(0.21) 0.16

(0.22)

Democrat -0.12

(0.05) 0.02

(0.09) 0.15

(0.13)

Conservatism 0.05

(0.02) 0.09

(0.04) 0.07

(0.06)

Self-reliance 0.04

(0.02) 0.08

(0.04) 0.12

(0.05)

Limited government 0.07

(0.02) 0.05

(0.05) 0.09

(0.07)

Moral traditionalism 0.08† (0.02)

-0.05 (0.05)

-0.13 (0.07)

Authoritarianism 0.12

(0.02) 0.14

(0.04) 0.08

(0.06)

Egalitarianism -0.26

(0.02) -0.32

(0.05) -0.40

(0.07)

Constant -0.05

(0.05) -0.58

(0.11) -0.86

(0.15) Number of unweighted subpopulation observations

3048 856 384

R2 0.44 0.28 0.31

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Note: The top number in each cell indicates the coefficient on the indicated variable; the

bottom number in each cell indicates the standard error. Bold type indicates coefficients

that are statistically significant at the 0.05 level with a two-tailed test. Data were weighted.

See the text and Appendix 1 for more detail on the model specifications, estimation tech-

niques, and variable measurements. Daggers in the first numeric column indicates coeffi-

cients for which there is a statistically significant difference at the 0.05 level with a two-

tailed test between the non-Hispanic white and non-Hispanic black models. Source: 2012

ANES Time Series Study.

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Table 4. Predicting symbolic racism in the 2004 National Politics Study

Non-Hispanic

Whites Non-Hispanic

Blacks

Closer to blacks than whites -0.12 (0.06)

-0.13 (0.04)

Blacks work harder than whites -0.23

(0.05) -0.07

(0.04)

Linked fate with own race -0.08 (0.04)

-0.18 (0.04)

Perceived amount of black-white competition 0.09

(0.05) -0.31

(0.04)

Conservatism 0.35

(0.04) 0.11

(0.04)

Education -0.28

(0.04) -0.21

(0.04)

Age -0.03 (0.03)

0.00 (0.04)

Male 0.04

(0.08) -0.03

(0.07)

South 0.16

(0.08) 0.12

(0.07)

Intercept 0.10

(0.07) -0.10

(0.07) Observations 703 625 R2 0.316 0.356

Note: The top number in each cell indicates the coefficient on the indicated variable; the

bottom number in each cell indicates the standard error. Bold type indicates coefficients

that are statistically significant at the 0.05 level with a two-tailed test. Data were weighted.

See the text and Appendix 2 for more detail on the model specifications, estimation tech-

niques, and variable measurements. Source: 2004 National Politics Study.