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RESILIENT RECOVERY FROM PRACTICE TO ACTION Raja Rehan Arshad, Team Leader, Resilient Recovery team at GFDRR, World Bank 16th Meeting of the Consultative Group Washington, D.C. May 5, 2015

The Consultative Group of GFDRR. Resilient Recovery_GFDRR 16th CG... · A GFDRR - Resilient Recovery team member is in Nepal to coordinate the Post Disaster Needs Assessment (PDNA)

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RESILIENT RECOVERYFROM PRACTICE TO ACTION

Raja Rehan Arshad, Team Leader, Resilient

Recovery team at GFDRR, World Bank

16th Meeting of the Consultative Group

Washington, D.C.

May 5, 2015

Resilient Recovery: The Way Forward for Sustainable Development

Opening Remarks Raja Rehan Arshad, Team Leader, Resilient Recovery team at GFDRR,

World Bank

Post Disaster Support to Nepal Marc Forni, Senior Disaster Risk Management

Specialist, World Bank

UNDP: Building upon PDNA, Guiding Recovery Angelika Planitz, Disaster &

Climate Risk Governance Advsior, Bureau for Policy and Programme Support, UNDP

Malawi 2015 Flooding: A Collaborative Approach towards Resilient

Recovery Mr. Peter Simbani, Director of Debt and Aid Management, Ministry of Finance and

Economic Development, Malawi

Supporting Early Recovery in Malawi Angelika Planitz, Disaster & Climate Risk

Governance Advsior, Bureau for Policy and Programme Support, UNDP

Piloting the Recovery Framework and Strengthening Recovery

Systems in Malawi Ayaz Parvez, Senior DRM Specialist, World Bank

Agenda

Resilient Recovery Team Achievements

Launch: Guide to Developing Disaster Recovery

Frameworks; Post-Disaster Needs Assessment

Guide in collaboration with EU and UN

Global Assessment Report 2015; WCDRR

Advocacy

12 post-disaster engagements (2014-15)

Informing 9 recovery projects worth over $800

million In DRM-related funding – India,

Philippines, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Serbia

Leveraged National DRM Programs

World Reconstruction Conference 2

Evolving Strategy for Resilient Recovery

Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction

Priority 4. Enhancing disaster preparedness for effective response and to

“Build Back Better” in recovery, rehabilitation and reconstruction

• Strengthen coordination and funding mechanisms for post-disaster

recovery and reconstruction;

• Ensure the continuity of operations and planning;

• Use opportunities during the recovery phase to develop capacities that

reduce disaster risk in the short, medium and long term;

• Develop guidance for preparedness for disaster reconstruction;

• Review and strengthen national laws and procedures on international

cooperation for recovery.

PROMOTE RESILIENT

RECOVERY THROUGH

EX-POST AND EX-

ANTE ENGAGEMENTS

STRENGTHEN

EXISTING

PARTNERSHIPS FOR

MAXIMUM

EFFECTIVENESS:

JOINT PROGRAM

WITH UNDP

Resilient Recovery Team and Activities (FY 16–18)

Knowledge Management &

Tool Development

Building Global Recovery Alliances

and Partnership

Thematic

Expansion of

DRF Guide

Rollout of

DRF Guide

Civil Society

Engagement

Partnership

and

Coordination

Pillars

Activities Post Disaster

Assessments

& Recovery

Frameworks

Technical Assistance &

Capacity Development

Outcomes

QUICKER, MORE RESILIENT RECOVERY

Strengthening

Recovery

Systems

Disaster affected countries have enhanced capacity and

improved plans for financing and implementing resilient

recovery

Strengthening DRM through RecoveryMalawi

• Recovery directly informs the disaster risk reduction agenda

• In Malawi, a GFDRR-supported an assessment in 2012 that helped guide a $6.5 million

investment in DRM that is supporting

• The re-classification of 20,000 households to lower flood risk levels

• Improved flood management for 250,000 beneficiaries

• Installation of 30 hydromet stations.

• GFDRR’s engagement with Malawi has been sustained, from recovery to risk management, and

now again for recovery

Vanuatu

• Category 5 Tropical Cyclone (TC) Pam struck Vanuatu over 12-14 March, 2015 (WCDRR)

• TC PAM triggered a payout of US$ 1.9 million from the PCRAFI facility

• Providing support to the GoV on conducting Post Disaster Needs Assessment (PDNA);

Post Disaster Support to Nepal

Marc Forni, Senior Disaster Risk Management

Specialist, World Bank

16th Meeting of the Consultative Group

Washington, D.C.

May 5, 2015

As of May 3, the GoN reported 7,240 deaths and

14,122 injuries

India, Bangladesh and China have also been impacted

8 million people affected in 39 districts, of which 2 over

2 million live in the 11 severely affected districts

Many villages largely destroyed in most impacted rural

areas (Up to 90 per cent of the houses in Gorkha and

Sindupalchowk districts have been destroyed

668 schools in 37 districts have been completely

destroyed and 1819 schools have been partially

damaged.

Situation on the ground

Timeline

Sat

GFDRR Labs

mobilized

Sun

Track 3 teams

engage EU, UN

CD receives

brief from

GFDRR

Mon

Transport

team

mobilized

Tue

Begin design

of structural

assessment

Engagement

notes on

SP/

livelihood/

Shelter

Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon TueEQ

Team from

Delhi arrives

in KTM

Triggering

KLL and

Open Cities

Rapid

building

assessment

team arrives

Second DRM

team

arrives

First PDNA

coordination

meeting

Draft TOR

being

prepared

jointly

PDNA

leader

arrives

Wed

Post Disaster Needs Assessment

GFDRR mobilized $300,000 for recovery in 48 hours

A GFDRR - Resilient Recovery team member is in Nepal to coordinate the Post Disaster Needs

Assessment (PDNA) exercise with UN, EU, ADB and other development partners

The first coordination meeting to discuss PDNA was hosted on May 4, 2015 at the World Bank and

was attended by ADB, Australia, EU, ECHO, JICA, NRRC, UNRC, UNDP and USAID.

To complement the PDNA, the GFDRR Labs team is conducting a pre- and post-event analysis

using remote sensing techniques in order to

• Estimate direct damage to the building stock,

• Identify landslide impacts on roads, rivers and towns, and

• Identify highly affected areas.

The PDNA is expected to start within 2-3 weeks.

.

Support offered to the Government

GFDRR Labs engagement: preliminary analytical plan

The GFDRR Labs team mobilized immediately after the earthquake

Brought together risk modelers, remote sensing experts, geospatial teams, software engineers,

and the OpenStreetMap community

Developed five work-streams:

• Modeling damage and loss estimates

• Designing and deploying Rapid Structural Damage Assessment

• Remote Sensing for pre- and post-event analysis

• Supporting and leading OpenStreetMap efforts in Kathmandu and across Nepal

• Developing platforms to share data outside the WBG

An OSM expert will arrive in Nepal today (May 4) to support the use of detailed school and medical

facilities database developed by the Open Cities initiative to help in the assessment of damages to

schools and other critical infrastructure

Support offered to the Government

Structural damage assessment survey

Determine if buildings were compromised by the earthquake and aftershocks

Tag buildings to ensure public safety and reduce risk

Inform recovery and reconstruction efforts

Recommend actions for repair and recovery to building owners

Developed a guiding note with options for different level of structural damage assessment detailing

the pros and cons of each option

Sent two senior structural engineers to help in developing a system for the structural damage

assessment survey

The team will in the coming couple of days undertake QA/QC of the assessment, prepare a

diagnostic and share it with Department of Urban Development and Building Construction

Support offered to the Government

Safe Schools Program

Early reports suggest that many schools have been either completely destroyed or partially

damaged

The WB already has a Safe Schools Program whose goal is to strengthen school facilities around

the world

In Nepal, GFDRR has supported the Open Cities project that mapped and collected important

structural features of all schools

The DRM team is exploring ways to collect similar information after the earthquake to better inform

and expedite the reconstruction of these facilities

The DRM team will closely work with a local NGO – the Kathmandu Living Labs to facilitate the

collection of this important data so that damages to schools will be assessed quickly and

reconstruction is expedited.

Support offered to the Government

Transitional solutions and rural housing reconstruction

With the monsoon season around the corner, the DRM team is focusing on immediate transitional

“solutions”, including (i) transitional shelters and (ii) rental and housing subsides

The DRM team has developed a rural housing reconstruction guidance note to ensure that all

essential pieces for a successful housing reconstruction program are in place

The guiding principles for the proposed housing reconstruction are

• Preference for owner-driven reconstruction

• Preserving existing social relationships i.e. avoiding permanent relocation of neighborhoods

• Ensuring seismic safety of the reconstructed structures

• Promoting transparent and robust mechanism for financing, implementing, and monitoring.

Support offered to the Government

Social Protection

The social protection team have developed a guidance note on ways to expand some of the

existing programs

Temporary income support is crucial at this time of crises

Given Nepal’s topography, cash is cheapest and easiest to distribute

Existing programs are limited to certain minority groups, such as the elderly and widows

The team is exploring on ways to expand or create new temporary mechanisms for this purpose

Transport

Early reports suggest that landslides have swept away roads and trails.

The team is currently developing a strategy to conduct rapid condition assessment of the major

bridges and road networks to ensure mobility and safety.

Support offered to the Government

Building Upon Post Disaster Needs Assessments: Guiding Recovery

Angelika Planitz

Disaster & Climate Risk Governance Advsior

Bureau for Policy and Programme Support

UNDP

16th Meeting of the Consultative Group

Washington, D.C.

May 5, 2015

From humanitarian response to recovery and development planning

Recent Collaboration

• Search and rescue

• Humanitarian assessment and response

Disaster

• Assets damaged

• Flows affected (economic losses, access to goods and services, governance, risk change)

1.Assessment of effects

• Economic impacts (macro effects on growth, external and fiscal balances, prices, employment, etc.)

• Human development impacts (social and development indicators, population welfare)

2. Impacts analysis

• Economic

• Social

• Human development

• Sustainable recovery

• Governance

• Risk reduction and build back better

• Cross cutting perspective

3. Needs identification • Sector by

sector and cross cutting prioritization and sequencing

4. Recovery Strategy

For a harmonized action on the ground

Post Disaster Needs Assessment –PDNA, a suit of 16 sector guides and a methodology (Volumes A and B)

Disaster Recovery Framework – DRF, focused on the long term vision, planning and implementation.

Capacity building strategy aimed at consolidating a pool of recovery experts at the global, regional and in country levels.

Tools and Procedures in Place

• Balanced approach with focus on social and livelihoods impact along with

infrastructure damage and loss assessment.

• 30 PDNAs conducted since the signature of the tri-partite agreement in 2008.

• Increasing recognition and on-demand technical assistance for PDNA and

DRF.

• Larger roster of experts for training and actual assessments.

• Innovative knowledge products such as the PDNA and DRF guides along

with a standard training package.

Main Achievements

PDNAs conducted between 2008-2014

Recent Achievements

Between 2014 and 2015 the EU, WB and UNDG

jointly addressed 10 requests from the

governments of:

Solomon Islands, The Philippines, Bosnia,

Herzegovina, Malawi, Vanuatu, Gaza,

Albania, Cabo Verde (ongoing), and

Mozambique (on-going).

200 practitioners trained on PDNA in 4 regional

workshops and 1 Training of Trainers.

An enhanced roster of experts (30 PDNA

experts) including trained sector specialists for

4 regions: Africa, the Americas, Asia and Central

Europe.

• Coordination among Head Quarters, Regional and Country Offices from 3

partners with SOPs on the ground.

• Government interlocutors are different for each partner making it difficult

to match similar interests i.e. Ministry of Finance, Home Affairs or other

Ministry with a lead DRM role.

• Agreements on best timing to conduct a PDNA.

• Financing for PDNA and recovery interventions.

• M&E with a set of relevant indicators.

Remaining Challenges

Conducting joint trainings EU-WB-UNDG before a disaster

strikes.

Engaging Resident Coordinators, Country Managers, TTLs

from regions and countries to inform on agreed procedures,

protocols and benefits.

Maintaining a common roster of experts.

Designing a communication strategy addressed to different

stakeholders including national governments, partners, the

media and the academic sectors.

Improving Coordination

Improving Monitoring and Evaluation

Evaluate past PDNAs.

Design of an indicators system to measure success, actual

implementation of recovery strategies, fund raising.

Develop some statistics related to number of PDNAs conducted,

annual average requests, engagement of national and local

authorities, accountability.

Stakeholder and beneficiary engagement in the M&E process.

Identification of good practices and lessons learned.

A new proposal to support increasing demand for technical assistance in three core recovery functions:

Joint UNDP-GFDRR Funding for Resilient Recovery

1. Ex-ante strengthening of recovery systems and capacity

development.

2. Ex-post conducting post disaster needs assessment and

developing comprehensive recovery frameworks.

3. Knowledge management i.e. a repository of sound and

innovative recovery practices and enhanced roster of

experts.

Malawi 2015 Flooding: A Collaborative Approach towards Resilient Recovery

Peter K. Simbani

Director of Debt and Aid Management, Ministry of

Finance and Economic Development, Malawi

16th Meeting of the Consultative Group

Washington, D.C.

May 5, 2015

Malawi’s country profile

• Malawi's population is estimated at 16.3

million with a GDP of US$3.7 billion

(2013)

• 26.9% of the country's GDP is

agriculture-based.

• 50.7% of the population lives below the

poverty line.

• Around 85% of Malawi’s population

lives in rural areas, with the majority

engaged in smallholder, rain-fed

subsistence agriculture

Malawi’s disaster risk profile

• Over the last 20 years, the Shire River Basin has

experienced some of the worst droughts (1991/92,

2004, 2005) and floods (2000/01 and 2015).

• On average, Malawi loses US$9 million each year

due to floods in the Shire Basin alone.

• In addition, the country also experiences

devastating effects of drought especially on crop

production resulting in lower GDP growth.

• This impacts many rural households that depend

on the floodplain/agriculture for their livelihoods

• Critical sectors of the economy are also impacted

January 2015 flood event was unprecedented• While the Southern region of Malawi was the most

hard hit by the floods, the other two regions were

also not spared. Karonga, Rumphi (north), and

Salima and Ntcheu (centre) experienced

catastrophic flooding as well.

• The President declared a state of disaster for 15

out of 28 districts on January 13, 2015

• Highest ever recorded rainfall in January 2015

resulted in a 1-in-500 year flood

• Chronic degradation in upper catchments and

floodplain exacerbated flooding and sedimentation

Human impacts of floods were devastating

• 1,150,000 people affected

• 336,000 people displaced

• More than 100 deaths by floods

Massive loss and damage to livelihoods and assets

• 89,000 ha crops lost or damaged, affecting 238,000

households and an agricultural production loss of US$65m

• 523,000 houses destroyed or badly damaged

• 195,000 livestock lost, among many other private assets

• 1,200 km of roads and 185 bridges severely damaged (7% of

national network)

• 536 school classrooms and 23 health facilities badly damaged

• 56 percent of the internally displaced population resided in 25

sites, increasing the risk of water borne diseases

Post-Disaster Needs Assessment results indicated significant losses

(Sub-)Sector Disaster Effects

(US$ M)

Reconstruction &

Recovery Needs

(US$ M)

Agriculture 68 78

Education 12 23

Housing 139 175

Transport 50 106

Water & sanitation 26 59

Total* 332 494

*12 sectors impacted in total

The PDNA took place from 18 February to 7 March 2015.

It was led by DoDMA with financial support from the EU

and technical support from UNDP and the Bank.

Floods hit the poor especially hard

• Poverty simulations show that the

maximum observed rainfall shocks

could drive 20.8% more individuals

into poverty

• Poor populations have little asset

ownership so less coping capacity

against external shocks

• Flood-affected households rely largely

on own savings and assistance from

relatives and friends as means to cope

The floods hit the country’s 15 poorest districts

Government budget under fiscal pressure

The Government of Malawi’s budget is under enormous fiscal pressure and unable to

absorb shock:

• Floods are projected to result in 0.6% lower GDP growth in 2015.

• Total disaster effects and recovery and reconstruction needs for the 12 affected sectors come to around

US$332 million and US$494 million, respectively.

• Total disaster effects are equivalent to approximately 5.2% of GDP

• The suspension of budget support from donors amounting to 6.6% of GDP, during the 2014/15 fiscal year

also added exacerbated the problem resulting in high domestic borrowing estimated at 5% of GDP.

• The early cessation of rains further threatens recovery and adds to fiscal burden.

Integrated approach to disaster recovery

Malawi Floods Emergency Recovery Project

Component 1:

Livelihoods Restoration

and Food Security

Component 2:

Infrastructure Rehabilitation

and Reconstruction

Component 3:

Promoting Disaster Resilience

Labor

Intensive

Community

Infrastructure

Repair

Restocking

of the

Strategic

Grain

Reserves

Repair and

Reconstruction

of Roads and

Bridges

Irrigation and

Rural Water

Supply and

Sanitation

Rehabilitation

of Education

and Health

Facilities

Institutional Strengthening of

DoDMA

Multi-sector design of resilient

infrastructure

Timeline of recovery and next steps

1. Completed PDNA with support from partners in 3 weeks (GFDRR, EU, UNDP, World Bank)

1. Simultaneous preparation of Bank project informed by the PDNA, pending Bank Board approval

2. Identifying and addressing funding gaps (Bank financing 16% of reconstruction needs)

The Government of Malawi, in collaboration with the WBG, will convene a donor’s meeting

to seek additional funding based on PDNA results

3. Developing a Recovery Framework for an integrated and programmatic approach for recovery

planning and implementation – with support from GFDRR and above partners

The Government of Malawi will pilot the first implementation of the Recovery Framework

4. Strengthening long-term recovery systems

Supporting Early Recovery in Malawi

Angelika Planitz

Disaster & Climate Risk Governance Advsior

Bureau for Policy and Programme Support

UNDP

16th Meeting of the Consultative Group

Washington, D.C.

May 5, 2015

The Malawi Early Recovery Program

Major flooding in 15 of the 28 districts left 106 dead, 230,000

displaced and 64,000 hectares of land flooded. Extensive damage to

crops, livestock and infrastructure was also reported.

An early and long term recovery strategy in Malawi comprises:

Restoring livelihoods through employment incentives

Repairing local infrastructure to disaster and climate resilient

standards

Strengthening institutional capacities to manage post disaster

recovery programmes

Contributing to future disaster risk reduction, including capacity

building and updating of district level contingency plans.

The Malawi Early Recovery Program

Piloting the Recovery Framework and

Strengthening Recovery Systems in Malawi

Ayaz Parvez

Senior DRM Specialist, World Bank

16th Meeting of the Consultative Group

Washington, D.C.

May 5, 2015

PDNA Good Practices in Malawi

Date: January 28, 2015

Lead: The Government of Malawi

Technical Assistance: World Bank and UNDP

Financial Support: ACP-EU (GFDRR)

Completed in three weeks and considered good

practice:

1) strong leadership by the Government of Malawi

2) active participation of all line departments

3) excellent EU, UN, World Bank and GFDRR

collaboration

It created a roadmap that prioritized early, medium and

long-term needs for 12 sectors

- 50.0 100.0 150.0

Agriculture

Commerce & Trade

DRM

Education

Energy

Environment

Health

Housing

Nutrition

Social Protection…

Transport

Water and Sanitation

USD Millions

Damages and Losses in 12 Sectors

PDNA & Recovery Framework Guide Leveraged a Programmatic Approach to Recovery

• Labor-intensive livelihoods support program

• Enhancing food security through restocking grain reserves

Immediate Recovery

• Reconstruction of critical infrastructure across multiple sectors

• Improved disaster resilient standards

Medium-Term Building Back

Better & Smarter• Strengthening

recovery systems

• Institutional capacity building

• Disaster resilient design standards

Longer-term DRR and Resilience

Building

Informed by the Disaster Recovery

Framework Guide

The project is a mini-program for cross-sector recovery

Upcoming Piloting of Recovery Framework in Malawi

Assist the Government of Malawi and the Department of

Disaster Management Affairs (DoDMA), together with EU and

UN partners, to develop a detailed recovery framework

Activities:• Define and align national and sector-level recovery visions, guiding principles, and

priorities to long-term development objectives

• Sequenced and prioritized cross-sectoral framework of recovery interventions

Next Steps:• Define guiding vision, criteria, and objectives (national and sectoral)

• Develop an institutional and financing framework for recovery

• Define programmatic framework and sector-level recovery prioritization

• Define cross-sectoral and geo-spatial recovery strategies and prioritization

GFDRR Program on Strengthening Recovery Systems

Ex-ante strengthening of government capacity to achieve resilient recovery through:

Strengthening Recovery Systems: Malawi

Strengthening DoDMA’s institutional capacities and recovery readiness by:

Improving data preparedness and capacity development for PDNA:

• Review and improve national damage assessment guidelines

• Formalize institutional roles and responsibilities

• Strengthen the role of the Malawi Spatial Data Portal (MASDAP)

Strengthening recovery planning and implementation:

• National and local institutional frameworks for disaster recovery

• Institutional coordination and oversight mechanisms

• Financial management systems

Thank you

Ayaz Parvez

Senior DRM Specialist, World Bank

16th Meeting of the Consultative Group

Washington, D.C.

May 5, 2015