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The Commercial Development of GTL Industry
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The Commercial Development The Commercial Development of the GTL Industryof the GTL Industry
6 June 2006John F. AlvarezSasol Chevron
Agenda
• Who is Sasol Chevron?
• The GTL Process – keeping it simple
• Why GTL?
- Potential demand outstrips supply
- It’s clean and environmentally better
- It’s versatile
• Building GTL projects – it’s happening!
Proven GTL Technology
Operating Experience
GTL Marketing Experience
International Presence
Marketing Expertise
E&P Experience
Sasol and Chevron are positionedto lead a growing Gas to Liquids industry
The GTL process converts natural gas into easily-transportable liquid products
N2 to atmosphere
natural gas
oxygen
O2
CH4
Natural Gas
Reforming
syngas
CO
H2
Fischer-TropschConversion
waxysyncrudeProduct Upgrading
GTLDiesel
GTLnaphtha
H2Oby-product
GTL produces premium quality products into global markets
20
20 40 60 80
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
10
automotive diesel13,500,000 bpd
base oils780,000 bpd
waxes42,000 bpd
Ach
ieva
ble
yiel
d (%
)
Value (USD per barrel)Value (USD per barrel)
jet fuel5,000,000 bpd
petrochemicalnaphtha
5,400,000 bpd
(With oil price at USD 20 per bbl)(With oil price at USD 20 per bbl)0
0
GTL Diesel Supply is Small vs. Diesel Demand
Notes: Road diesel estimated as 2/3 of Gasoil/Dist illate. GTL Diesel supply from public announcemen ts, generally assuming diesel is 70% of plant capacity. Diesel f orecasts from Purvin & Gertz.
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030
GTL Diesel as Percent of Road Diesel
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030
GTL Increase as Percent of Diesel Increase
… and GTL Diesel Fits in Incremental Demand
GTL diesel offers a pathway to more efficient, cleaner economies
Urban AirUrban AirQuality BenefitsQuality Benefits
CNGCNG
Spa
rkS
park
Igni
tion
Igni
tion
Com
pres
sion
Com
pres
sion
Igni
tion
Igni
tion
ConventionalConventional AlternativeAlternative
LPGLPG
dieseldiesel
gasolinegasoline
GTLGTLdieseldiesel
Fuel Economy,Fuel Economy,CO2 efficiencyCO2 efficiency
Can be used in Can be used in existing and futureexisting and future
diesel enginesdiesel engines
Sulphur < 5ppmSulphur < 5ppmCetane > 70Cetane > 70
Aromatics < 1%Aromatics < 1%
“Emission factors for the combustion of fuels in road vehicles”, IFEU Heidelberg, December 2004 – GTL Diesel compared with a low-sulphur reference fuel.
Light-Duty Vehicles
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
THC NOx PM CO CO2
Per
cent
Red
uctio
n
EURO 1EURO 2EURO 3EURO 4EURO 4 w PF
Heavy-Duty Vehicles
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
THC NOx PM CO CO2
Environmental benefits of GTL diesel:cleaner fuel = cleaner exhaust
High quality translates to substantial emissions reductions(relative benefits depend on engine, exhaust reduction devices, and comparative fuels)
Daimler Chrysler engine tests indicatethat GTL blending benefits are non-linear
20
40
60
80
100
120
20 40 60 80 100 120
Relative NOx, %
Relative Soot, %
GTL 100%
GTL 50%
GTL 20%
Reference:EU-Diesel
- 35% NOx- 35% Soot
20
40
60
80
100
120
20 40 60 80 100 120
Relative NOx, %
Relative Soot, %
GTL 100%
GTL 50%
GTL 20%
Reference:EU-Diesel
- 35% NOx- 35% Soot
Increased GTL content:- Reduces aromatics
(easier oxidation)- Increases cetane
number (reduced injection delay produces a smoother burn)
• Current diesel engines have compression ratios and injection timings set for conventional fuels. Most benefits can be achieved with ~ 50% GTL in the blend
• Further benefits are possible if diesel engines are retuned or redesigned for GTL
Adv. Grid Con Hybrid Adv. Grid Con Hybrid LDVsLDVs (20)(20)
Electric Battery LDVElectric Battery LDV
Gasoline Fuel CellGasoline Fuel Cell
Methanol Fuel CellMethanol Fuel Cell
Direct H2 Fuel CellDirect H2 Fuel Cell
Biodiesel (2%)Biodiesel (2%)
Fischer Tropsch dieselFischer Tropsch diesel
LNG for Heavy Duty VehiclesLNG for Heavy Duty Vehicles
CNG for Heavy Duty VehiclesCNG for Heavy Duty Vehicles
CNG for Med. Duty VehiclesCNG for Med. Duty Vehicles
E85 for Flex Fuel VehiclesE85 for Flex Fuel Vehicles
LPG for Light Duty VehiclesLPG for Light Duty Vehicles
CNG for Light Duty VehiclesCNG for Light Duty Vehicles
Cumulative (2002Cumulative (2002--2030) Direct Net Benefits (Billion 2001US$)2030) Direct Net Benefits (Billion 2001US$)
00 22 44--22--44--66--88--1010--1212
Source: California Energy Commission and California Air Resources Board 2003, Reducing California’s Petroleum Dependence , California US
Fuel substitution:Fuel Compatibility is Worth Money
takes advantage oftakes advantage ofexisting engines and existing engines and fuelling infrastructurefuelling infrastructure
GTL diesel marketing strategy
Short term Short term
Longer termLonger termNeat ApplicationsNeat Applications
BlendstockBlendstock
Crude oilCrude oil
PremiumPremium
RegularRegular
GTL dieselGTL diesel
Maximum performance and emission benefitMaximum performance and emission benefit
Conventional Refining Conventional Refining
Sasol Chevron’s strategy is to find a few, substantial locations worldwide
Gas Reserves
GTL Markets
• Establish 3 or 4 footprint plants, followed by expansions
• Focus is on Nigeria, Qatar, Algeria, and Australia
GTL Project Status - Oryxh 34,000 barrels/day of liquid productsh Under constructionh Inauguration 6 June 2006h 51% Qatar Petroleum, 49% Sasolh Sasol Chevron is marketing diesel and naptha
GTL Project Status - EGTLh 34,000 barrels/day of liquid productsh EPC Contract Awarded to Team JKS,
a consortium of JGC, KBR and Snamprogetti
h Startup 2009h 75% Chevron Nigeria Ltd
25% NNPC
Closing Remarks
• The GTL process is commercial today
• GTL is driven by both supply push (reserves monetization with strong market demand) and demand pull (premium qualities)
• GTL products offer attractive properties
• 2006 is an important milestone, with the start of the Oryx plant in Qatar
This year … GTL becomes a commercial reality!