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The Canada Pension Plan – Where Next? Saskatchewan Federation of Labour Pensions Conference Regina, Saskatchewan May 2, 2018 Chris Roberts Canadian Labour Congress

The Canada Pension Plan Where Next? Us... · Employee CPP contributions to enhanced CPP (net of tax)-$15 -$65 -$100 -$130 Net impact +$5 +$40 +$50 +$10 ... Post-June 2016 labour priorities

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Page 1: The Canada Pension Plan Where Next? Us... · Employee CPP contributions to enhanced CPP (net of tax)-$15 -$65 -$100 -$130 Net impact +$5 +$40 +$50 +$10 ... Post-June 2016 labour priorities

The Canada Pension Plan – Where Next?

Saskatchewan Federation of Labour Pensions Conference

Regina, Saskatchewan

May 2, 2018

Chris Roberts

Canadian Labour Congress

Page 2: The Canada Pension Plan Where Next? Us... · Employee CPP contributions to enhanced CPP (net of tax)-$15 -$65 -$100 -$130 Net impact +$5 +$40 +$50 +$10 ... Post-June 2016 labour priorities

Outline

• Summary of 2016 CPP enhancement and December 2017 improvements to CPP

• Important regulatory decisions to come

• Agenda for further CPP reform

Page 3: The Canada Pension Plan Where Next? Us... · Employee CPP contributions to enhanced CPP (net of tax)-$15 -$65 -$100 -$130 Net impact +$5 +$40 +$50 +$10 ... Post-June 2016 labour priorities

Canadian labour has a stake in the success of the expanded CPP

Page 4: The Canada Pension Plan Where Next? Us... · Employee CPP contributions to enhanced CPP (net of tax)-$15 -$65 -$100 -$130 Net impact +$5 +$40 +$50 +$10 ... Post-June 2016 labour priorities

Increase in CPP Benefits

Page 5: The Canada Pension Plan Where Next? Us... · Employee CPP contributions to enhanced CPP (net of tax)-$15 -$65 -$100 -$130 Net impact +$5 +$40 +$50 +$10 ... Post-June 2016 labour priorities
Page 6: The Canada Pension Plan Where Next? Us... · Employee CPP contributions to enhanced CPP (net of tax)-$15 -$65 -$100 -$130 Net impact +$5 +$40 +$50 +$10 ... Post-June 2016 labour priorities
Page 7: The Canada Pension Plan Where Next? Us... · Employee CPP contributions to enhanced CPP (net of tax)-$15 -$65 -$100 -$130 Net impact +$5 +$40 +$50 +$10 ... Post-June 2016 labour priorities
Page 8: The Canada Pension Plan Where Next? Us... · Employee CPP contributions to enhanced CPP (net of tax)-$15 -$65 -$100 -$130 Net impact +$5 +$40 +$50 +$10 ... Post-June 2016 labour priorities

Increase in CPP Contributions

Page 9: The Canada Pension Plan Where Next? Us... · Employee CPP contributions to enhanced CPP (net of tax)-$15 -$65 -$100 -$130 Net impact +$5 +$40 +$50 +$10 ... Post-June 2016 labour priorities
Page 10: The Canada Pension Plan Where Next? Us... · Employee CPP contributions to enhanced CPP (net of tax)-$15 -$65 -$100 -$130 Net impact +$5 +$40 +$50 +$10 ... Post-June 2016 labour priorities
Page 11: The Canada Pension Plan Where Next? Us... · Employee CPP contributions to enhanced CPP (net of tax)-$15 -$65 -$100 -$130 Net impact +$5 +$40 +$50 +$10 ... Post-June 2016 labour priorities
Page 12: The Canada Pension Plan Where Next? Us... · Employee CPP contributions to enhanced CPP (net of tax)-$15 -$65 -$100 -$130 Net impact +$5 +$40 +$50 +$10 ... Post-June 2016 labour priorities

2016 Working Income Tax Benefit (WITB) improvements to support low-income

earners

$5,000 $10,000 $15,000 $20,000

WITB enhancement benefit +$20 +$105 +$150 +$140

Employee CPP contributions to

enhanced CPP (net of tax)-$15 -$65 -$100 -$130

Net impact +$5 +$40 +$50 +$10

Earnings

Page 13: The Canada Pension Plan Where Next? Us... · Employee CPP contributions to enhanced CPP (net of tax)-$15 -$65 -$100 -$130 Net impact +$5 +$40 +$50 +$10 ... Post-June 2016 labour priorities

Young workers, middle-income earners, and non-union workers likely to see the greatest

benefit

Page 14: The Canada Pension Plan Where Next? Us... · Employee CPP contributions to enhanced CPP (net of tax)-$15 -$65 -$100 -$130 Net impact +$5 +$40 +$50 +$10 ... Post-June 2016 labour priorities

A 25-year-old earning

$20,000:

Current CPP benefit =

$4,776 a year

With the enhancement,

an extra $1,591 a year,

for a total of $6,367.

Page 15: The Canada Pension Plan Where Next? Us... · Employee CPP contributions to enhanced CPP (net of tax)-$15 -$65 -$100 -$130 Net impact +$5 +$40 +$50 +$10 ... Post-June 2016 labour priorities

A 30-year-old earning

$40,000:

Current CPP benefit =

$9,552 a year

With the enhancement:

an extra $2,785 a year,

for a total of $12,337.

Page 16: The Canada Pension Plan Where Next? Us... · Employee CPP contributions to enhanced CPP (net of tax)-$15 -$65 -$100 -$130 Net impact +$5 +$40 +$50 +$10 ... Post-June 2016 labour priorities

A 40-year-old earning

$60,000:

Current CPP benefit =

$13,100 a year

With the enhancement:

an extra $3,404 a year,

for a total of $16,504.

Page 17: The Canada Pension Plan Where Next? Us... · Employee CPP contributions to enhanced CPP (net of tax)-$15 -$65 -$100 -$130 Net impact +$5 +$40 +$50 +$10 ... Post-June 2016 labour priorities

Additional Annual CPP Benefit

Page 18: The Canada Pension Plan Where Next? Us... · Employee CPP contributions to enhanced CPP (net of tax)-$15 -$65 -$100 -$130 Net impact +$5 +$40 +$50 +$10 ... Post-June 2016 labour priorities

Where does this leave workers in Canada?

Page 19: The Canada Pension Plan Where Next? Us... · Employee CPP contributions to enhanced CPP (net of tax)-$15 -$65 -$100 -$130 Net impact +$5 +$40 +$50 +$10 ... Post-June 2016 labour priorities

Canada continues to rely heavily on workplace plans and private saving

19

Canada

Source: OECD Pensions at a Glance 2015

OECD

Average

Page 20: The Canada Pension Plan Where Next? Us... · Employee CPP contributions to enhanced CPP (net of tax)-$15 -$65 -$100 -$130 Net impact +$5 +$40 +$50 +$10 ... Post-June 2016 labour priorities

Canada’s RIS rests heavily on third pillar

20

Canada

OECD

Average

Source: OECD Pensions at a Glance 2017

Page 21: The Canada Pension Plan Where Next? Us... · Employee CPP contributions to enhanced CPP (net of tax)-$15 -$65 -$100 -$130 Net impact +$5 +$40 +$50 +$10 ... Post-June 2016 labour priorities

New private-sector jobs don’t come with pensions

21

RPP Members

Employment

Page 22: The Canada Pension Plan Where Next? Us... · Employee CPP contributions to enhanced CPP (net of tax)-$15 -$65 -$100 -$130 Net impact +$5 +$40 +$50 +$10 ... Post-June 2016 labour priorities

Secure pensions increasingly out of reach for private-sector workers

Page 23: The Canada Pension Plan Where Next? Us... · Employee CPP contributions to enhanced CPP (net of tax)-$15 -$65 -$100 -$130 Net impact +$5 +$40 +$50 +$10 ... Post-June 2016 labour priorities

Post-June 2016 labour priorities on CPP reform

• CPP survivor benefits and Guaranteed Income Supplement (GIS) clawback

• CPP death benefit

• CPP child-rearing and disability drop-outs

• Insufficient rates mechanism in enhanced CPP benefit

• CPP plan governance and communication

23

Page 24: The Canada Pension Plan Where Next? Us... · Employee CPP contributions to enhanced CPP (net of tax)-$15 -$65 -$100 -$130 Net impact +$5 +$40 +$50 +$10 ... Post-June 2016 labour priorities

CPP survivor benefits and GIS clawback

• Maximum GIS benefit reduced by 50 cents for every dollar of CPP income

• This reduction is in addition to impact on GIS top-up - reduced by 25 cents for every dollar of income in excess of $2,000 for GIS single recipients and $4,000 of combined income for couples

• Milligan and Schirle (2016): a $3,500 GIS exemption for expanded CPP benefits would allow expanded CPP benefits fully flow through to individuals with average annual earnings up to $44,000

24

Page 25: The Canada Pension Plan Where Next? Us... · Employee CPP contributions to enhanced CPP (net of tax)-$15 -$65 -$100 -$130 Net impact +$5 +$40 +$50 +$10 ... Post-June 2016 labour priorities

Improvements to CPP survivor’s pension

• Currently, the CPP survivor’s pension is reduced by 10% for every year the survivor is under age 45

• Reduction lasts until age 65

• Survivors under the age of 35 do not receive a survivor’s pension until age 65

• Starting in 2019, no reduction or elimination of the survivor’s pension for survivors under age 45

• 40,000 individuals expected to benefit in 2019.

Page 26: The Canada Pension Plan Where Next? Us... · Employee CPP contributions to enhanced CPP (net of tax)-$15 -$65 -$100 -$130 Net impact +$5 +$40 +$50 +$10 ... Post-June 2016 labour priorities

Increased CPP death benefit

• 1997 death benefit = 6 months of retirement benefits, to a maximum of $3,580, increased annually in line with wage growth

• That year, death benefit reduced to $2,500 and frozen

• Starting in 2019, the CPP death benefit will be converted to a flat-rate payment of $2,500 for all eligible contributors, regardless of earnings

• In 2016, 12,000 people on average received death benefits in a given month

• 2016 monthly average death benefit payment: $2,294 26

Page 27: The Canada Pension Plan Where Next? Us... · Employee CPP contributions to enhanced CPP (net of tax)-$15 -$65 -$100 -$130 Net impact +$5 +$40 +$50 +$10 ... Post-June 2016 labour priorities

New post-retirement disability benefit

• Currently, individuals receiving the CPP retirement pension who become disabled cannot receive the larger CPP disability pension, even if under age 65

• Starting in 2019, recipients of the retirement pension who develop a severe and prolonged disability while under the age of 65 will receive an additional payment

• An estimated 3,600 individuals will benefit from the change in 2019, rising to approximately 8,000 by 2024.

Page 28: The Canada Pension Plan Where Next? Us... · Employee CPP contributions to enhanced CPP (net of tax)-$15 -$65 -$100 -$130 Net impact +$5 +$40 +$50 +$10 ... Post-June 2016 labour priorities

Regulatory reforms: insufficient rates mechanism in enhanced CPP

• Benefit and contribution level stability a priority and an expectation of Canadians

• “The CPP provides a secure, predictable benefit, which means that Canadians can worry less about outliving their savings, or having their savings impacted by significant market downturns.” – Finance Canada

• Existing insufficient rates mechanism: Finance Ministers decide in the first instance how the plan will adjust to a funding deficit

• If Finance Ministers can’t agree, contributions and indexation benefits are adjusted equally to eliminate the shortfall

• CLC position: the current insufficient rate mechanism should be preserved in the enhanced benefit

28

Page 29: The Canada Pension Plan Where Next? Us... · Employee CPP contributions to enhanced CPP (net of tax)-$15 -$65 -$100 -$130 Net impact +$5 +$40 +$50 +$10 ... Post-June 2016 labour priorities

Unlike the base CPP, the enhanced benefit will rely heavily on investment returns

Source: 28th CPP Actuarial Report

Page 30: The Canada Pension Plan Where Next? Us... · Employee CPP contributions to enhanced CPP (net of tax)-$15 -$65 -$100 -$130 Net impact +$5 +$40 +$50 +$10 ... Post-June 2016 labour priorities

Ratio of assets to expenditures to stabilize at 25

Page 31: The Canada Pension Plan Where Next? Us... · Employee CPP contributions to enhanced CPP (net of tax)-$15 -$65 -$100 -$130 Net impact +$5 +$40 +$50 +$10 ... Post-June 2016 labour priorities

Additional CPP assets to outstrip base CPP assets starting in 2055

Source:

Office of

the Chief

Actuary,

2017

Page 32: The Canada Pension Plan Where Next? Us... · Employee CPP contributions to enhanced CPP (net of tax)-$15 -$65 -$100 -$130 Net impact +$5 +$40 +$50 +$10 ... Post-June 2016 labour priorities

Governance and communication

• Limited transparency in triennial review of CPP finances

• CPP2 benefit’s sensitivity to investment returns may fuel calls for greater transparency and broader input into plan adjustments

• CPP Advisory Board discontinued in 1997

• Better communication with CPP beneficiaries needed, especially given additional complexity of the enhanced CPP

32

Page 33: The Canada Pension Plan Where Next? Us... · Employee CPP contributions to enhanced CPP (net of tax)-$15 -$65 -$100 -$130 Net impact +$5 +$40 +$50 +$10 ... Post-June 2016 labour priorities

Child-rearing and disability drop-outs

• CPP actuarial report No. 5 (tabled before Parliament in 1977) –

additional cost of the child-rearing provision projected to raise

combined contribution rate by 0.1% of contributory earnings by

2005 and 0.3% by 2025

• Minister of National Health and Welfare Marc Lalonde:

"...it seems only fair and reasonable that...parents should not

be penalized under the CPP for undertaking a socially

desirable and necessary task." (Globe and Mail, 20 July 1977)

33

Page 34: The Canada Pension Plan Where Next? Us... · Employee CPP contributions to enhanced CPP (net of tax)-$15 -$65 -$100 -$130 Net impact +$5 +$40 +$50 +$10 ... Post-June 2016 labour priorities

From child-rearing and disability ‘drop-outs’ to ‘drop-ins’

• Protects the CPP retirement pension of parents of young children and CPP disability recipients

• CPP enhancement omitted child-rearing and disability drop-outs

• Bill C-74 provides some protection through the use of ‘drop-ins’ or pension credits

• Pensionable income attributed to individuals with disabilities based on 70% of average earnings 6 years prior to becoming disabled

• Parents of young children: 100% of average earnings 5 years prior to becoming a parent

34

Page 35: The Canada Pension Plan Where Next? Us... · Employee CPP contributions to enhanced CPP (net of tax)-$15 -$65 -$100 -$130 Net impact +$5 +$40 +$50 +$10 ... Post-June 2016 labour priorities

Summary

• The labour movement maintains a full agenda on CPP reform – and pension reform

• Unions will monitor implementation and press for additional improvements to CPP governance and administration

• Canada has shored up Pillar 2 (CPP/QPP) – but what about Pillar 3?

Page 36: The Canada Pension Plan Where Next? Us... · Employee CPP contributions to enhanced CPP (net of tax)-$15 -$65 -$100 -$130 Net impact +$5 +$40 +$50 +$10 ... Post-June 2016 labour priorities

Thank you

[email protected] canadianlabour.ca

lgf/cope225