The Assessment of potential and promotion of new ... · ITRE Workshop: The Assessment of potential and promotion of new generation of renewable technologies, March 2011 The Assessment

ITRE Workshop: The Assessment of potential and promotion of new generation of renewable technologies, March 2011

The Assessment of potential and promotion of new generation of renewable technologies

SOLAR THERMAL ELECTRIC PLANTSDr. Luis Crespo

President of ESTELA


High potential, capacity factor, storage and hybridization featuresand cost reduction projections, make essential the role for STE in the future “Generation Mix” in countries with enough solar resource

Other R.E. technologies might appear cheaper in the short term, but their lower capacity factor and their fluent character have consequences on the system costs, transmission requirementsand fossil back up needs

The essential role of STEin the Electricity Generation Mix


Continuous support to R&D

Favorable and effective regulatory environment in spite of the recent events

Capacity and commitmentof the industrial companies

Solar Thermal Electricity Plants:

A success story in Spain based in three main pillars:

Almeria Solar Platform (PSA) 1978-2011


In Operation (17)Under advanced construction phase (13)

Malaga

Badajoz

SevilleAlmeria

Alicante

Ciudad Real

Granada

Información actualizada: www.protermosolar.com


SOLNOVA 1, 3 and 4 & PS 10 and PS 20


ANDASOL 1 and ANDASOL 2


PUERTO ERRADO 1


CASA DEL ANGEL


GEMASOLAR, Fuentes de Andalucía


Breakdown of the Spanish Plants

Total: 2423 MW (In operation by the end of 2013)

94%Parabolic trough

1% Fresnel2% Tower 3% Stirling

~62 %

38 %

Relative to power installed


Forecast in European countries by 2020 (NAP’s)

Spain 5079 MW

France540 MW

Portugal500 MW

Greece250 MW

Italy 600 MW

Cyprus 75 MW

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/9/94/BlankMap-Europe-v5.png


Operational plants in the USA

Nevada Solar One 64 MWBoulder City, Nevada

Kimberlina 5 MWBakersfild, California

Sierra Sun Tower 5 MWLancaster, California

SEGS Plants (Total 354 MW)Kramer Junt. / Harper Lake, California

ISCC 75 MW equiv.Martin County Florida


Prospects for the USA

Increased awareness in Utilities, Policy Makers and Investors

Tax credits have been extended till 2017

Additional support (Stimulus Bill, Treasury Grants - 30% if starting in 2010 - and Loan Guaranties - $6B -, Renewable Portfolio Standard)

Many PPA’s signed (8.000 MW) with the SW Utilities

Some has started the construction already. Delays due to financial issues and to the complex and lengthy permit processes at State and Federal levels

The number of projects on tower and trough concepts are similar

Power levels much higher than in Spain (>200 MW for Parabolic Trough and 100 MW for Towers)


150 MW ISCC at Hassi R’Mel

470 MW ISCC at Ain Beni Mathar

146 MW ISCC at Kuraymat

100 MW in Abu Dhabi

First Projects in the MENA Region

Several countries have announced ambitious plans that could be financed under the PSM schemes + concessional WB loans ($750M)


3000 km

90 % of the world electricity consumptioncan be supplied from STE plants. The total surface would be 300x300 km2

distributed among 10.000 sites in the desert areas of the earth.Transmission using HVDC lines at 3000 km distance will have losses < 10%

THE MSP & DESERTEC CONCEPT

EU25The little square shows the required area in the Saharadesert to supply all theEuropean electricity needs


Morocco: 2 000 MW by 2020Algeria: 4 ISCCs similar to Hassi R‘MelTunesia: 225 MW by 2016Libya: 1 000 MW renewables by 2015Egypt: 20% renewables by 2020Sudan: 2 000 MW announcedSyria: CSP under investigationIsrael: 1 000 MW by 2015Jordan: 300-600 MW by 2020Saudi Arabia: CSP under investigationIran: RFP issued for 1st ISCC, 17MW solar shareKuwait: CSP under considerationUAE: 1 000 MW by 2020Oman: 100 MW IPP, bidding start end of 2010Jemen: CSP under consideration

Announced Plans in the MENA Region


Prospects in other regionsINDIA There is a tremendous need for additional power. Ambitious National

Solar Mission is being planned (1.100 MW by 2013 and 20 GW by 2022)but the breakdown between PV and STE has not been yet established

First 7 companies selected for a 479 MW in the first phase. The plantsrange from 29 to 100 MW each.

CHINA Plans for 300 MW in 2015 with own technology International references might accelerate their plans

AUSTRALIA Aim 25% of solar power by 2050 Clean Energy Initiative / Solar Flagships Program

- 1000 MW solar power- First call for 400 MW (PV + CSP) Promoters shortlisted- Funding through taxable grant payments (30%) + state aids



FORECAST BY COUNTRIES 2009-2014

The long and dark

solar thermalelectric

night

SOURCE: “Global Concentrated Solar Power Markets and Strategies: 2010-2025,” IHS Emerging Energy Research, April 2010


STE ROADMAPDifferent technologies: different performances and potential

Parabolic dishes wit Stirling motors

Parabolic Trough

Fresnel linear reflectors

Central Receiver SystemsWorking fluids:- Temperature- Efficiency- Storage

System designs:- Thermodynamic

Cycles- Cooling Types- Hybridization- Land requirements

LCOE


COST REDUCTION IS THE MAIN ISSUE

Fuente ESTELA / ATKearney


Who has supported STE deployment in Spain until now?

Estimated amount of FIT for STEin Spain in the year 2013: 1600 M€

In 2020 the yearly amount of FITwould be close to 4000 M€

EIB has provided 547 M€ of loans on commercial bases - along with other banks -to several STE plants in Spain corresponding to a total investment of around 6000 M€

The E.U is supporting R&D in STE at an average of around 1 M€ per year while the STE budget of the Spanish Research Centers is around 8 M€ per year.

Private companies are doing an additional important efforts in order to increase efficiency and reducing costs


Employment(Reference: 50 MW STE plant with 7 hours of storage)

Among all RE technologies STE has the greatest positive impact on employment

CIEMAT Study:I/O Methodology: 300 M€ investment + STE Breakdown activities result in a labor force of 5000 direct jobs, 1 year equivalent

PROTERMOSOLAR internal survey:Close to 3000 direct jobs 1 year equivalent per plant have been identifiedthrough a direct enquiry with several Spanish promoters. Nevertheless the complete added value chain was not fully covered

The national local added value increased from 45% in 2008 to 75% in 2010in the recent deployment of STE plants in Spain

The Assessment to the World Bank on the local manufacturing potentialfor the MENA region - carried out by E&Y and Fraunhofer ISI - shows very high potential and benefits of STE deployment on the regional economic development


Life CycleEnvironmental Impacts of STE Plants(Reference 50 MW STE plant with 7 hours of storage)

Raw materials consumption:10000 t of concrete, 15000 t of steel, 6000 t of glass and 250 t of copper

Methodology life cycle assessment (LCA), according to ISO 14040-43.The energy which is required construct, operate, and dismantle a STE power plant correspond to an energy payback time of around 12 months

Reference: CIEMAT

Water Consumption- Equivalent to a conventional Thermal Power Plant

(500.000 m3/year – aprox. 2,7 l/kWh - for a 50 MW plant)- Dry cooling is possible although the efficiency will be slightly less

Emissions:GHG avoided emissions are estimated in 150000 t/year as comparedto a coal plant


SinergyIndustry - R&D

Regional development

CompetiveDispatchable

High Potential


Thank you for your attention!

www.estelasolar.eu

Documents

The Assessment of potential and promotion of new ... · ITRE Workshop: The Assessment of potential and promotion of new generation of renewable technologies, March 2011 The Assessment