The ARTS quick- scan methodology - ESPON · The ARTS quick- scan methodology . ARTS – Assessment of Regional and . Territorial Sensitivity . Erich Dallhammer, Bernd Schuh, Tobias

The ARTS quick-scan methodology

ARTS – Assessment of Regional and Territorial Sensitivity

Erich Dallhammer, Bernd Schuh, Tobias Panwinkler, Joanne Tordy (ÖIR)

Brussels, June 2012

ESPON ARTS

The Challenge

• EU policy proposals influence development of regions

• with often unintended and / or unknown effects

Task ESPON ARTS

• Develop a simplified, evidence-based procedure of an ex ante Territorial Impact Assessment (TIA)

Our approach

• To develop a “quick and dirty” TIA-check

• To combine expert knowledge + an Excel tool and standardised indicators

• To show results in maps (NUTS 2 level)

Diffe

rent

for

each

pol

icy

prop

osal

Independant of policy proposal The vulnerability concept

Policies Regions

Exposure Territorial sensitivity

Territorial impact

TIA quick check in 9 Steps

(1) Brainstorming for the conceptual model: How does a directive affect the development of regions?

(2) Dealing with discrete cause/effect chains

(3) Which types of regions are affected?

(4) What is the intensity of exposure on different fields?

(5) What is the territorial impact on regions?

(6) Do the results make sense?

(7) Which regions are affected in which fields? (maps)

(8) What are the policy implications?

(9) How to communicate the results?

(1) Conceptual model: Brainstorming

Creating a systemic picture linking the regulations with territorial effects

(1) Result: Conceptual Model

Deducing potential effects from Directives

Input related sectors – pesticide production – spraying equipment

Land use/types of territories – Natura 2000/FFH – special use of land (hospitals, parks,

playgrounds) – strong protection

Implementation process

Socio-economic effects

Agricultural production quantity

Soil – „immission“ decreases – improvement of soil quality

Air – aerial spraying prohibited – Improvement of air quality

Water – efficient application techniques (no

aerial spraying, no drift application) – Improvement of water quality

Quality of Life Human Health

Recreational value of land

National Action Plan – Monitoring & Control

Training

Education/awareness

Agricultural production quality

Output related sectors – drinking water – fisheries – tourism

Environmental effects

Employment

Innovation

positive correlation

Regulative framework

Eco-system/ Bio-diversity

Social effects

negative correlation

(sustainable use of) Pesticides

Emiss

ion



(2) Dealing with discrete cause/effect chains (branching)

(3) Which types of regions are affected? (regional exposure)




(7) Which regions are affected in which fields?



(3) Expert judgment: types of regions exposed

Directive XX affected regionAgglomeratedAl l regionsChemica l industriesHarbour regionsHigh dens i ty of ra i lHigh dens i ty of road

a Industria l regionsMajor a i rport locationNatura l areas

b Rura lShrinking regionsUnprofi table farmingUrban

Provided: 20 types of regions (NUTS2) to be selected





(4) What is the intensity of exposure on different fields? (exposure matrix)






(4) Expert judgment: exposure caused by Directive

0: no 1: yes 41 thematic

fields










(9) How to communicate the results? (write-up)


Result of the Excel tool

E1 E2 E3 E10 E11 E12 E13 E14AT11 Burgenland 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 na 0,00AT12 Niederösterreich 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 na 0,00AT13 Wien 0,00 0,00 -1,06 -0,77 0,00 0,78 na 1,79AT21 Kärnten 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 na 0,00AT22 Steiermark 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 na 0,00AT31 Oberösterreich 0,00 0,00 -0,77 -0,78 0,00 0,81 na 1,78AT32 Salzburg 0,00 0,00 -0,76 -0,99 0,00 0,80 na 1,74AT33 Tirol 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 na 0,00AT34 Vorarlberg 0,00 0,00 -0,78 -1,04 0,00 0,80 na 1,78BE10 Région de Bruxel les -Capit na 0,00 -1,19 -0,75 0,00 0,76 na 1,69BE21 Prov. Antwerpen 0,00 0,00 -0,91 -0,76 0,00 0,80 na 1,74BE22 Prov. Limburg (B) 0,00 0,00 -0,88 -0,78 0,00 0,84 na 1,76BE23 Prov. Oost-Vlaanderen 0,00 0,00 -0,88 -0,75 0,00 0,83 na 1,73BE24 Prov. Vlaams Brabant 0,00 0,00 -0,91 -0,75 0,00 0,81 na 1,74

very high positive impact minor negative impact

high positive impact moderate negative impact

moderate positive impact high negative impact

minor positive impact very high negative impact

no exposure

(7) Result: Map for each indicator

Effects of Directive on recognition of qualification on migration balance in countries of origin






(5) What is the territorial impact on regions? (Territorial Impact Matrix)

(6) Do the results make sense? (plausibility and quality check)

(7) Which regions are affected in which fields? (mapping the results)


(9) How to communicate the results? (write-up)

TIA Quick Check in 2 versions

The standard TIA quick check: • Helps to identify the relevant fields • Shows NUTS2 regions with

a potentially high impact • Helps to set a focus for more detailed

impact analysis.

The advanced TIA quick check • Provides the technical framework • Allows users to define special indicators • Can be used also for NUTS3 regions and beyond

A Standard version and an Advanced version

Testing the TIA quick check










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The ARTS quick- scan methodology - ESPON · The ARTS quick- scan methodology . ARTS – Assessment of Regional and . Territorial Sensitivity . Erich Dallhammer, Bernd Schuh, Tobias