The Adapting to Rising Tides Project San Francisco Bay
Conservation and Development Commission
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Photo: Ingrid Taylor The goal of the ART project is to increase
the preparedness and resilience of Bay Area communities to sea
level rise and other climate change impacts while protecting
ecosystem and community services. ART Goal
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Adapting to Rising Tides How will sea level rise and storm
events affect the future of Bay Area communities, infrastructure,
ecosystems and economy? What approaches can we pursue, both locally
and regionally, to assess these challenges, and reduce or manage
these risks?
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ART Objectives Create an integrative (cross-sector and
cross-jurisdiction) adaptation planning framework that can be
applied in other areas of the Bay region Develop, test, and refine
adaptation tools and processes to help the region address climate
change Understand how adaptation planning can be scaled to
different geographic extents local, regional, state, federal
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ART Planning Process
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ART Assessment Frames Society and Equity Economy Environment
Governance
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Identify Partners Review Climate Impacts Select Planning Area
and Assets Step 1 - Scope & Organize
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ART Partners ABAG Alameda County Public Works Community
Development Public Health Department Transportation Commission BART
Bay Institute Bay Trail CA Coastal Conservancy Capitol Corridor JPA
City of Alameda City of Emeryville City of Hayward City of Oakland
City of San Leandro City of Union City East Bay Dischargers
Authority East Bay Municipal Utility District East Bay Regional
Park District H.A.R.D. Pacific Institute PG&E Port of Oakland
San Francisco Estuary Institute San Francisco Estuary
Partnership
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ART Working Collaborations Active and engaged Working Group
plus a Communication and a Technical Subcommittee Working Group
Members Provide: Data Judgment Feedback Tools of Collaboration:
Small meetings Working group meetings On-line survey Phone
interviews Document review
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ART Climate Impacts More frequent floods Floods that last
longer Permanent inundation Shoreline erosion and overtopping
Elevated groundwater and salinity
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ART Project Area 66.7 square miles in Alameda county, including
six cities, one unincorporated community, and numerous special
districts A diversity of land uses, key regional infrastructure,
natural resources and shoreline communities Local interest and
capacity
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ART Asset Categories Airport Community land use, facilities,
services Contaminated lands Energy, pipelines and telecom Hazardous
material sites Ground transportation Parks and recreation Natural
shorelines Seaport Stormwater Structural shorelines Wastewater
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Impacts, Vulnerability & Risk Step 2 - Assess
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Assessment Process
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Impacts Assessment Assess Impacts Local Climate Projections Six
future climate scenarios Five potential climate impacts Asset
Inventory Twelve asset categories Metrics describing asset specific
characteristics Existing Conditions and Stressors Report
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Summarizing the ART Impact Assessment: The Existing Conditions
and Stressors Report Project introduction and background Climate
change impacts under consideration Description of assets in each
category Existing Conditions
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Assess Vulnerability Vulnerability is the susceptibility of
people, property, and resources to the negative impacts of climate
change
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If exposed, would an asset be physically or functionally
impaired? If compromised could it maintain primary function? Could
primary function be restored quickly, easily or in a low-cost
manner? Assessing Vulnerability
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What is the magnitude of the expected consequences on: Society
and Equity Economy Environment Governance Assessing Risk
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Data-driven desktop analysis Stakeholder survey and interviews
To help answer Vulnerability and Risk questions: V&R
Approach
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Exposure Analysis Shoreline Study Asset Evaluation Park and
Recreation Values Socio-economic Evaluation Equity Approach
Data-Driven Desktop Components
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Used refined sea level rise and storm maps to determine
potential asset exposure to: Tidal inundation (i.e. daily high
tide, MHHW) Storm event flooding (100-year stillwater level) Wind
driven waves during a 100-year storm event Exposure Analysis
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Social Vulnerability Index (SoVI) Key Demographics Low-income
population Institutionalized population Linguistically isolated
Renter-occupied No vehicle Property values (Assessor) Building
replacement values (HAZUS) Workplace/Employees (HAZUS)
Socio-Economic Evaluation
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Stakeholder Survey and Interviews Physical and functional
sensitivity Adaptive capacity Magnitude of consequence Equity
considerations Best Professional Judgment:
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ART V&R Report Vulnerability & Risk Assessment Report
Identifies the underlying causes and components of vulnerability
and risk Presents methods, data and findings of the assessment
www.adaptingtorisingtides.org
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Vulnerability & Risk Profile Sheets Includes a Key Issue
Statement Identifies timing of the vulnerability and scale of the
consequences Classifies the vulnerabilities into actionable
categories Describes consequences on people, the economy and
ecosystem services Communicating V&R
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ART Classification People Physical Qualities Ecosystem Services
Scale Management Control Information Timing Vulnerability &
Risk Adaptation Response Classification used to sort
vulnerabilities and risks into actionable categories to support
selection of adaptation strategies
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Developed for four sectors incorporating all twelve asset
categories: * Community Land Use * Utilities * Transportation *
Shorelines * ART Adaptation Response
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Issue & Action describes and classifies the vulnerability
and identifies a proposed strategy Effectiveness identifies how the
proposed action addresses the vulnerability Implementation the how,
who and when necessary to implement the action Taken together...
Action + Effectiveness + Implementation = Adaptation Response
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Highlight key issues in the ART project area Adequate for
certain types of vulnerabilities, e.g., systemic or policy issues
Provides a starting point for other vulnerabilities, e.g., specific
or unique assets Pinpoints the issue of scale at the ART project
scale some strategies are too general ART Adaptation Response
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Complete the Plan Step of the process Develop a portfolio of
planning process tools, materials, and lessons learned Continue
shoreline park adaptation planning Partner with ABAG on
multi-hazard shoreline resilience initial focus on the Oakland
International Airport and Bay Farm Island ART Next Steps
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Adapting to Rising Tides Lindy Lowe [email protected]
415-352-3642 Wendy Goodfriend [email protected] 415-352-3646 Visit
the ART project at: www.adaptingtorisingtides.org
