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The 5th TPE workshop Berlin, 8-9 Dec. 2014
The increasing dustiness in Tibetan Plateau ice cores over the past decades under
warming perspective
Guangjian Wu, Tandong Yao, Baiqing Xu, Chenglong Zhang, et al.
[email protected] Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences
Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, CAS
1951–2012: 0.12 °C per decade
Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, CAS
2
The dust trend under warming
-20~-60%
5
Dust trend and its impact on the Tibetan Plateau
Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, CAS
Impacts of dust on snow and glaciers:
decrease snow albedo and induce enhanced melting
change the duration of snow cover
affect the glacier-fed rivers and water resource
6
Taklimakan
Central Asia
Africa
ArabThar
Adjacent to and largely surrounded by Asian deserts Located at the downwind (Westerlies) of arid regions Deposited and preserved in glaciers
Westerlies
7
Aerosol Optical Depth over and around the Tibetan Plateauand ice core drilling
Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, CAS
Tanggula
Zuoqiupu
Udaoliang
Tanggula ice core (5743m asl, 33 m thick)
Shenza
Taklimakan
Dating the Tanggula ice core (back to 1850 AD)
8
0 1 2 3 4 5 6Depth (m)
-20
-18
-16
-14
-12
-10
-8
18 O
(o/ o
o)
0
200
400
600
800
10000
200000
400000
600000
800000
1000000 2004
200
3
200
2
200
1
200
0
199
9
19
98
199
7
199
6
19
95
19
94
199
3
199
2
199
1
199
0
198
9
198
8
198
7
1986
1985
198
4
Dust
NO3
Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, CAS
Zuoqiupu (5565 m asl,116m long)
Shenza
Zedang
Ng Ali
9
Dating the Zuoqiupu ice core (back to 1935 AD)
Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, CAS
Two dusty stages:1860-1874: high flux coarse grain size1930-1954: relatively low flux coarse grain size cold-dusty pattern
significant (α=0.01) increase
1850 1860 1870 1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010Year (A .D .)
0
100
200
300
400
500
Acc
umu
latio
n (m
m)
-18
-16
-14
-12
-10
-8
18O
(p
er m
il)
0
15000
30000
45000
60000
Mas
s (
g kg
-1)
0
300
600
900
1200
1500
Flu
x (
g cm
-2 a
-1)
1 .41.61.82.02.22.42.6
Mea
n n
umbe
rdi
am
eter
(m
)
2 .02.53.03.54.04.55.0
Me
an v
olum
ed
iam
eter
(m
)
1860-74 1930-54
Cold ColdW arm Warm
Since 1960: moderate flux moderate grain size warm-dusty pattern
10
Annual average of Tanggula ice core recordInstitute of Tibetan Plateau Research, CAS
11
Annual average of Zuoqiupu ice core record
1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
-17
-16
-15
-14
-13
-12
18 O
(o /oo
)
0
40000
80000
120000
1600000
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
60001.7
1.8
1.9
2.0
2.1Grain size (m)
Mass conc. (g kg-1)
Number conc. (m)
Dust particles became fine since 1965
Dust conc. kept on increasing, became much higher since 1980
Warming since 1965
Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, CAS
Dataset: ECMWF ERA-40
Composite analysis on:
over and near the Tibetan Plateau
200 hPa zonal wind (high-level Westerlies)(unit: m s−1)
500 hPa height (unit: m)
six extremely high dust flux years vs. eight extremely low dust flux years(after the 1954 horizon)
12
Possible circulation mechanism for high dust
Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, CAS
13
Tanggula: 200 hPa zonal wind strength anomaly
during high dust years, high-level Westerlies over the Tibetan Plateau strengthened
positive negative 95% confidence
Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, CAS
14
Tanggula: 500 hPa height anomaly
positive negative 95% confidence
During the dusty years, a negative anomaly was found over the upwind dust source regions (Tarim Basin and western Tibetan Plateau). The low pressure (cyclone) activities favor dust storm events
Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, CAS
1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
-17
-16
-15
-14
-13
-12
18 O
(o /oo
)
0
40000
80000
120000
1600000
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
60001.7
1.8
1.9
2.0
2.1Grain size (m)
Mass conc. (g kg-1)
Number conc. (m)
15
Zuoqiupu: 850-1000 hPa height anomaly
positive negative 95% confidence
Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, CAS
16
Eolian dust activities seem to be active on Tibetan Plateau
Shen et al., GPC 2010
Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, CAS
Eolian sand deposition along Yarluzangbo valley
Telegraph poles and wires buried by dune at Xidatan, south of Golmud
Modern dunes along the Qinghai-Tibet Highway
17
Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, CAS
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
30000
31000
32000
33000
34000
Are
a (
km2 )
18
Desertification in the central Tibetan Plateau
area in the source region of Yangtze R. increased by 2,678 km2 (+8.8%)
Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, CAS
Desertification and active eolian dust on the Tibetan Plateau seems intensified over the past decades
19
Summary
Along with warming, dustiness intensified since 1960s in the central and southeastern Tibetan Plateau
Possible warm-dusty type pattern in the central Tibetan Plateau within current warming perspective, while previously cold-dusty type
Possible circulation mechanisms for the increased dust: strengthened Westerlies; intensified low pressure activities in the upwind source regions
Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, CAS
Future work More dust records from the Third Pole region Tracing the provenance of dust in snow/ice