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The 12th INFINITI Conference on International Finance9-10 June 2014Monash University Prato Centre, Prato, Italy
“Global Finance – Integration or Mere Convergence?”
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____________________
1
Welcome from the Conference Chair
Dear delegates,
I'm delighted to welcome you to this, the 12th INFINITI
Conference on International Finance. Our tradition of
excellent and informative speakers continues. This year
we are delighted to have Dirk Schoenmaker of the
Duisenberg School of Finance who will talk about the
challenges that lie ahead for international banking, and
Fabio Canova of the EUI who will discuss the use of
external information to sharpen inference about
prediction and policy analysis models.
We are here in Prato, a city that exemplifies many of the
themes of the conference. It is about being
international, with the largest (proportional) Chinese
population of any Italian city; it is about being
innovative as it has reinvented itself numerous times within the textile industry; and it is about
convergence, a key theme of the Monash University Prato Centre – convergence of the old and
the new, of finance and industry, and now of several hundred of us!
As ever we have a packed Conference with numerous special sessions and workshops, as well
as early stage paper presentations and regular scientific papers. We have panel sessions on
Meet the Deans, Meet the Editors, Women in Finance, Values and Ethics in Finance, and
National Culture in Finance. We have workshops on Trading Volatility, Financial Geography and
Elsevier’s EES System. This is the largest INFINITI conference to date and we have you, the
delegates, to thank for this.
Special thanks go to Monash University and Eventus Software for sponsoring the Conference.
Extra special thanks again go to Linda, whose organisational genius allows this to happen in the
smoothly efficient manner we all are in danger of taking for granted…
Finally, we hope to see you once again in 2015 at the University of Ljubljana in Slovenia!
Brian M Lucey, PhD, FTCD
Professor of Finance, School of Business, &
Research Associate, Institute for International Integration Studies
Trinity College Dublin
INFINITI 2014 @ Monash University Prato Centre
What and who are INFINITI?
INFINITI was constituted in Trinity College Dublin in the summer of 2003, and has three main
activities:
Running the annual INFINITI Conference on International Finance,
Hosting short- and long-term visitors through the IIIS, and
Maintaining an active research agenda. Our work is available from the IIIS, SSRN or
REPEC.
Conference Chair
Brian Lucey, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
Conference Organiser
Linda Soriton
Other members include:
Elaine Hutson, Monash University, Australia
Colm Kearney, Monash University, Australia
Thomas Lagoarde-Segot, KEDGE Business School & Aix-Marseille School of Economics, Aix-
Marseille Université, France
Charles Larkin, Cardiff Metropolitan University, UK & Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
Maurice Peat, The University of Sydney, Australia
Local Organisers
Elaine Hutson, Monash University, Australia
Cecilia Hewlett, Director, Monash University Prato Centre, Italy
Cathy Cruppi, Centre Manager, Monash University Prato Centre, Italy
Sarah Gore, Reception and Events Officer, Monash University Prato Centre, Italy
INFINITI 2014
___________________
3
Welcome from Monash University
Dear Colleagues,
I am delighted to welcome you to the 12th INFINITI Conference
on International Finance, which is hosted this year jointly by
Trinity College Dublin and Monash University. I am particularly
pleased to welcome you to Monash’s beautiful Prato Centre,
which I am confident you will enjoy exploring during the course
of the conference.
With almost 400 full-time academic staff from throughout the
world working in all the main business disciplines, Monash
Business School is one of the largest and most international business academies in the Asia-
Pacific region, and indeed in the southern hemisphere. We have ‘sister’ schools on Monash’s
campuses in Johannesburg and Kuala Lumpur, and we have recently commenced operations
on our new Suzhou campus in China. We are the only Australian Group of Eight (Go8) research-
intensive university with ‘triple crown’ accreditation. In our research, Monash Business School
leads the Asia-Pacific region and is amongst the world’s top-ranked universities in the areas of
econometrics and cognitive, behavioral and experimental analysis.
Please visit our website at www.buseco.monash.edu.au for more information about us and our
research strengths and rankings.
I look forward to meeting you in person during the conference.
Finally, I am sure you will join me in thanking the very many people who have worked feverishly
to make this conference such a success, particularly Brian Lucey and Linda Soriton from Trinity
College Dublin, Elaine Hutson from Monash Business School, and most importantly our hosts at
Prato including Director Cecilia Hewlett and Manager Cathy Crupi.
Have a great conference.
Professor Colm Kearney
Dean of Faculty and Head of School
Faculty of Business and Economics
INFINITI 2014 @ Monash University Prato Centre
Special Issues
This year we will run four Special Issues:
The Journal of Banking and Finance will publish a Special Issue on the theme of: “International
Financial Integration and Transnational Banking”. Guest Editor: Brian Lucey, Trinity College
Dublin, Ireland
Emerging Markets Review will publish a Special Issue on the theme of: “Emerging Markets and
Global Financial Integration”. Guest Editor: Brian Lucey, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
International Review of Financial Analysis will publish a Special Issue on the theme of: “Research
Design and Methodology in International Integration Studies”. Guest Editor: Maurice Peat, The
University of Sydney, Australia
The Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance will publish a special issue on the theme of:
“Behavioral and Experimental Insights into Financial Crises”. [Papers submitted for this Special
Issue must be presented at either the Society for Experimental Finance 2014 Conference or
INFINITI 2014.] Guest Editors: Utz Weitzel, Radboud University Nijmegen, The Netherlands & Jürgen
Huber, Universität Innsbruck, Austria
Authors of papers presented here at INFINITI 2014 are therefore invited to submit their papers to
the relevant journal for consideration in these special issues.
Papers submitted will go through the normal submission and review process including any
submission fees. Papers must be submitted online through EES at authors should specify “INFINITI
2014” for “Paper Type” during the submission process. Please go to the following sites and follow
the instructions for submission of a paper.
For the Journal of Banking and Finance:
http://www.journals.elsevier.com/journal-of-banking-and-finance/
For Emerging Markets Review:
http://www.journals.elsevier.com/emerging-markets-review/
For International Review of Financial Analysis:
http://www.journals.elsevier.com/international-review-of-financial-analysis/
For the Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance:
http://www.journals.elsevier.com/journal-of-behavioral-and-experimental-finance/
The time period for submitting papers through EES for the Special Issues is from 14 July 2014
through to 4 August 2014. You are strongly encouraged to address your Discussant’s comments
prior to submitting the paper.
Should you have any further questions regarding the submission of the paper for the Special
Issues, please do not hesitate to contact Brian Lucey ([email protected]).
INFINITI 2014
___________________
5
Table of Contents
Welcome from the Conference Chair ............................................................................................................................ 1 What and who are INFINITI? .............................................................................................................................................. 2 Local Organisers .................................................................................................................................................................. 2 Welcome from Monash University ................................................................................................................................... 3 Special Issues ....................................................................................................................................................................... 4 Table of Contents ............................................................................................................................................................... 5 Reviewers ............................................................................................................................................................................. 6 Host an INFINITI? .................................................................................................................................................................. 8 INFINITI 2015 .......................................................................................................................................................................... 9 General Information ......................................................................................................................................................... 10
Completion of Registration ........................................................................................................................................ 10 Conference Location ................................................................................................................................................. 10 Conference Reception Desk ..................................................................................................................................... 10 Catering / Refreshments ............................................................................................................................................. 10 Dress Code .................................................................................................................................................................... 10 Internet Access / WIFI .................................................................................................................................................. 10 Mobile Phones .............................................................................................................................................................. 10 Papers ............................................................................................................................................................................ 10 Parallel Sessions ............................................................................................................................................................ 11 Social Events ................................................................................................................................................................. 11
Conference Gala Dinner ................................................................................................................................................ 12 Maps.................................................................................................................................................................................... 13
Prato ............................................................................................................................................................................... 13 Monash University Prato Centre ................................................................................................................................ 14 Palazzo delle Professioni ............................................................................................................................................. 15 Teatro Politeama.......................................................................................................................................................... 16
Keynotes ............................................................................................................................................................................. 19 Special Session Guests ..................................................................................................................................................... 20 Programme ........................................................................................................................................................................ 22
Sunday, 8 June 2014 .................................................................................................................................................... 22 Monday, 9 June 2014 .................................................................................................................................................. 22 Tuesday, 10 June 2014 ................................................................................................................................................ 25
Parallel Sessions ................................................................................................................................................................. 28 Monday, 0900-1030: Parallel Sessions 1 ................................................................................................................... 28 Monday, 1215-1300: Lunchtime Sessions ................................................................................................................ 35 Monday, 1300-1430: Parallel Sessions 2 ................................................................................................................... 36 Monday, 1500-1615: Special & Additional Sessions .............................................................................................. 43 Monday, 1630-1800: Parallel Sessions 3 ................................................................................................................... 45 Tuesday, 0830-1000: Parallel Sessions 4 ................................................................................................................... 52 Tuesday, 1245-1345: Lunchtime Sessions................................................................................................................. 60 Tuesday, 1400-1530: Parallel Sessions 5 ................................................................................................................... 61 Tuesday, 1600-1730: Parallel Sessions 6 ................................................................................................................... 68
Delegates ........................................................................................................................................................................... 76 Notes ................................................................................................................................................................................... 83
INFINITI 2014 @ Monash University Prato Centre
Reviewers
The Conference Organising Committee is very appreciative of the significant effort made by our
reviewers to provide constructive and valuable feedback. We would therefore like to thank all
those who volunteered their time and who were involved in the review process. They included:
Aarti Rughoo, University of Hertfordshire, UK
Abhijeet Chandra, Indian Institute of Technology, Madras,
India
Adam Geršl, Joint Vienna Institute, Austria
Adrian Ioana, University Politehnica of Bucharest, Romania
Agata Kocia, University of Warsaw, Poland
Aktham Maghyereh, United Arab Emirates University, UAE
Aleksandar Sevic, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
Alin Marius Andries, Universitatea Alexandru Ioan Cuza,
Romania
Alistair Haig, The University of Edinburgh, UK
Ana-Maria Fuertes, City University London, UK
Ana Paula Matias, Universidade da Beira Interior, Portugal
Anand Gulati, Hanken University, Finland
Anatoly Peresetsky, Higher School of Economics, Russian
Federation
Anca Monteanu, Petru Maior University of Tirgu-Mures,
Romania
Andrea Cipollini, Università di Palermo, Italy
Andreas Tsopanakis, University of Glasgow, UK
Andrew Urquhart, University of Southampton, UK
Anh Tuan Bui, Macquarie University, Australia
Anmar Pretorius, North-West University, South Africa
Ansgar Belke, Universität Duisburg-Essen, Germany
Arnold Cowan, Iowa State University & Cowan Research
LC (Eventus), USA
Asta Klimaviciene, ISM University of Management and
Economics, Lithuania
Astrid Salzmann, RWTH Aachen University, Germany
Barry Feldman, Russell Investments, USA
Benoît Sévi, IPAG Business School & Aix Marseille School of
Economics, France
Bertram Steininger, RWTH Aachen University, Germany
Brian O’Toole, NHS National Health Service, UK
Calin-Adrian Comes, Petru Maior University of Tirgu-Mures,
Romania
Camelia Minoiu, IMF International Monetary Fund, USA
Carlo Artemi, Minister of Public Instruction, Italy
Carlos Castro, Universidad del Rosario, Colombia
Carlos Fernández Méndez, Universidad de Oviedo, Spain
Carmen Martí, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Spain
Cesario Mateus, The University of Greenwich, UK
Cheng Zeng, University of Bristol, UK
Cherry Muijsson, University of Cambridge, UK
Chiara Oldani, Università degli Studi della Tuscia, Italy
Ching-Chang Wang, Southern Taiwan University of
Technology, Taiwan, ROC
Chinmoy Ghosh, University of Connecticut, USA
Chitru Fernando, The University of Oklahoma, USA
Chris Neely, Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis, USA
Christian Grisse, Swiss National Bank, Switzerland
Christine Brown, Monash University, Australia
Christophe Godlewski, Université de Haute Alsace & EM
Strasbourg, France
Ciarán mac an Bhaird, Dublin City University, Ireland
Costas Siriopoulos, University of Patras, Greece
Cristina Ruza, UNED National Distance Teaching University,
Spain
Daniel Roesch, Universität Regensburg, Germany
David Gomtsyan, Collegio Carlo Alberto, Italy
David-Jan Jensen, De Nederlandsche Bank, The
Netherlands
Davide Romelli, ESSEC Business School & THEMA-Université
de Cergy-Pontoise, France
Dimitrios Vortelinos, University of Lincoln, UK
Dirk Ulbricht, DIW German Institute for Economic Research,
Germany
Dong Wook Lee, Korea University, Republic of Korea
Duccio Martelli, Università degli Studi di Perugia, Italy
Eduard Baumöhl, University of Economics in Bratislava,
Slovakia
Elaine Hutson, Monash University, Australia
Elettra Agliardi, Università di Bologna, Italy
Elizaveta Mirgorodskaya, VU Vrije Universitet Amsterdam,
The Netherlands
Emmanouil Noikokyris, Kingston University, UK
Emmanuel Mamatzakis, University of Sussex, UK
Ewa Karwowski, SOAS University of London, UK
Fabian Gogolin, Dublin City University, Ireland
Faek Menla Ali, Brunel University, UK
Fangming Xu, University of Bristol, UK
Fengbin Lu, Chinese Academy of Sciences, China
Fergal O’Connor, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
Gábor Dávid Kiss, University of Szeged, Hungary
Gabriel Power, Université Laval, Canada
Gazi Kara, The Federal Reserve Board of Governors, USA
George Filis, Bournemouth University, UK
George Palaiodimos, Bank of Greece, Greece
George Ryder, Advisorment Ltd, UK
Gianluigi Giorgioni, University of Liverpool, UK
Gilles de Truchis, Aix Marseille Université, France
Giuseppe Cappelletti, Banca d'Italia, Italy
Grégory Guilmin, Université de Namur, Belgium
Guillaume Horny, Banque de France, France
Helena Chuliá, Universitat de Barcelona, Spain
Idoya Ferrero Ferrero, Universitat Jaume I, Spain
Ingo Bordon, German Development Institute, Germany
Jacinta Bernadette Rico, Waseda University, Japan
Jamel Saadaoui, Université de Strasbourg, France
James Brown, Iowa State University, USA
Jan Willem van den End, De Nederlandsche Bank, The
Netherlands
Jarko Fidrmuc, Zeppelin University (ZU Friedrichshafen),
Germany
Javier Garayoa, SPAINSIF, Spain
Javier Vidal García, Universidad Complutense de Madrid,
Spain
Jeanne Diesteldorf, Westfälische Wilhelms-Universität
Münster, Germany
Jennifer Berrill, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
Jennifer Itzkowitz, Seton Hall University, USA
Jesus Salas, Lehigh University, USA
John Burger, Loyola University Maryland, USA
John Goodell, The University of Akron, USA
John Vourdas, European University Institute, Italy
Jos van Bommel, Université du Luxembourg, Luxembourg
Joscha Beckmann, Universität Duisburg-Essen, Germany
Jose Olmo, University of Southampton, UK
José Rossi, INSPER Institute of Education and Research,
Brazil
Joung Hwa Choi, Seoul National University, Republic of
Korea
Juan Francisco Martinez, Banco Central de Chile, Chile
Katarzyna Sum, Warsaw School of Economics, Poland
Lena Suchanek, Bank of Canada, Canada
INFINITI 2014
___________________
7
Leonardo Tariffi, Universidad de los Andes, Venezuela
Lewis Gaul, US Treasury, Office of the Comptroller of the
Currency, USA
Ludovic Gauvin, Banque de France & Université Paris Ouest
Nanterre La Défense, France
Luis Pereira Gomes, Politécnico do Porto, Portugal
Luiz Vitiello, University of Essex, UK
Marc Deloof, Universiteit Antwerpen, Belgium
Marcel Grupp, Goethe Universität Frankfurt am Main,
Germany
Marianne Ojo, North West University & Legal Scholarship
Network, USA
Mark Griffiths, Miami University, USA
Markus Hertrich, Universität Basel, Switzerland
Marta Gómez-Puig, Universitat de Barcelona, Spain
Martha O’Hagan Luff, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
Marwan Izzeldin, Lancaster University, UK
Mary Pieterse-Bloem, Erasmus Universiteit Rotterdam, The
Netherlands
Massimo Guidolin, Università Bocconi, Italy
Mathias Lé, ACPR Autorité de Contrôe Prudentiel et de
Résolution, France
Mattias Nilsson, University of Colorado Boulder, USA
Maurice Peat, The University of Sydney, Australia
Michael Donadelli, Goethe Universität Frankfurt am Main,
Germany
Michael Dowling, Dublin City University, Ireland
Michael Lucey, Durham University, UK
Michael Viehs, University of Oxford, UK
Michaela Rankin, Monash University, Australia
Michela Rancan, EU Joint Research Centre, Italy
Mikhail V Oet, Case Western Reserve University & Federal
Reserve Bank of Cleveland, USA
Milos Vulanovic, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong
Mónika Pitz, University of Pécs, Hungary
Muhammed Altuntas, Universität zu Köln (University of
Cologne), Germany
Muhammad Ali Nasir, Leeds Metropolitan University, UK
Neophytos Kathitziotis, Universität Hamburg &
Commerzbank AG, Germany
Nikos Paltalidis, University of Portsmouth, UK
Nuria Suárez, Universidad Pública de Navarra, Spain
Orcun Kaya, Deutsche Bank, Germany
Paul Moon Sub Choi, Ewha School of Business, Republic of
Korea
Peter N Posch, Universität Ulm, Germany
Peter Sarlin, Goethe Universität Frankfurt am Main,
Germany
Peter Spencer, The University of York, UK
Pinar Uysal, EPFL École Polytechnique Fédérale de
Lausanne, Switzerland
Philip Brock, University of Washington, USA
Pilar Abad, Universidad Rey Juan Carlos, Spain
Priyanshi Gupta, University of Delhi, India
Radu Tunaru, University of Kent, UK
Raj Aggarwal, The University of Akron, USA
Rajeswari Sengupta, Indira Gandhi Institute of
Development Research (IGIDR), India
Remzi Uctum, Université Paris Ouest Nanterre La Défense,
France
Renatas Kizys, University of Portsmouth, UK
Robert Czudaj, Universität Duisburg-Essen, Germany
Robert Hudson, The University of Hull, UK
Robert Jung, Universität Hohenheim, Germany
Roberto Duncan, Ohio University, USA
Rodney Maddock, Monash University, Australia
Roman Horvath, Charles University in Prague, Czech
Republic
Roman Matousek, University of Sussex, UK
Salimuddin Dewan, ICFAI Business School, India
Sana Khan, Bar Council of Ireland, Ireland
Santiago Carbo-Valverde, Bangor University, UK
Sanvi Avouyi-Dovi, Banque de France, France
Satish Sharma, Northumbria University, UK
Selva Demiralp, Koç University, Turkey
Shann Turnbull, International Institute for Self-Governance,
Australia
Sheida Teimouri, University of Wisconsin-La Crosse, USA
Shuo Cao, University of Glasgow, UK
Simón Sosvilla-Rivero, Universidad Complutense de Madrid,
Spain
Sisira Jayasuriya, Monash University, Australia
Sofia Ramos, ISCTE Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
Spiridon Kariofyllas, University of Patras, Greece
Srđan Marinković, University of Niš, Republic of Serbia
Štefan Lyócsa, University of Economics in Bratislava,
Slovakia
Stefan Reitz, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Germany
Stefanie Kleimeier, Maastricht University, The Netherlands
Stefano Zedda, Università degli Studi di Cagliari, Italy
Suk-Joong Kim, The University of Sydney, Australia
Suren Pakhchanyan, Carl von Ossietzky Universität
Oldenburg, Germany
Tamara Marinicevaite, ISM University of Management and
Economics, Lithuania
Tatiana Fic, National Institute of Economic and Social
Research, UK
Tatsuyoshi Miyakoshi, Hosei University, Japan
Theodoros Stamatiou, Eurobank, Greece
Thibaut Duprey, Banque de France, France
Thomas Conlon, University College Dublin, Ireland
Thomas Lagoarde-Segot, KEDGE Business School, France
Thu Phuong Pham, University of Tasmania, Australia
Torsten Schmidt, RWI Essen, Germany
Udichibarna Bose, University of Glasgow, UK
Valeria Miceli, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Italy
Vanja Piljak, University of Vaasa, Finland
Vasileios Kallinterakis, University of Liverpool, UK
Volker Seiler, Universität Paderborn, Germany
Walid Hichri, Université Lumière Lyon 2 & GATE-LSE, France
Wasseem Mina, United Arab Emirates University, UAE
Willem Spanjers, Kingston University, UK
William Gavin, Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis, USA
Wolfgang Bessler, Justus-Liebig-Universität Giessen,
Germany
Wolfgang Breuer, RWTH Aachen University, Germany
Xiaoqing Maggie Fu, University of Macau, China
Yimiao Chen, KPMG, USA
Yrjo Koskinen, Boston University, USA
Zorobabel Bicaba, African Development Bank, Tunisia
Zsolt Darvas, Bruegel, Belgium & University of Pécs, Hungary
Zuzana Brixiova, African Development Bank, Tunisia
We also thank the Scientific Committee (Elaine Hutson, Colm Kearney, Thomas Lagoarde-Segot
and Maurice Peat) who judged the best papers.
INFINITI 2014 @ Monash University Prato Centre
Host an INFINITI?
You’ve seen what we do. What about becoming a part of the Local Organisation
team and bringing INFINITI to your country?
What do you get for hosting an INFINITI?
Eternal honour and glory, and of course recognition by your peers in International Finance. This is
an opportunity to show off your university/organisation, as well as the culture and sites of your
country. You will also get to host a most fantastic Conference Gala Dinner.
There will be free attendance to the INFINITI you are hosting, as well as to all future INFINITI
Conferences in the future (for up to 2 people from your organisation).
What we look for
As the host, we kindly ask you to be involved in providing as much local information/knowledge
as possible when setting up. We also look for the following:
18-20 classrooms (capacity 20-40) and 2 plenary theatres (capacity 300), preferably with
AV facilities
Special Issue(s) sponsorship (circa US$10,000)
And if possible, a climate warmer than Ireland’s....
Europe but also elsewhere
Besides the main INFINITI Conference in June in Europe (always on the 2nd Monday and Tuesday
in June), we are also open to considering an October INFINITI perhaps in North America or Asia.
Contact us
We’d love to hear from you. Email the Conference Chair, Brian Lucey, with your proposal at
INFINITI 2014
____________________
9
INFINITI 2015
SAVE THE DATES: 8-9 JUNE 2015, LJUBLJANA, SLOVENIA
Continuing in a tradition of the past two years after we “set sail” from Dublin, we are happy to announce
that next year’s INFINITI Conference on International Finance will be held at Faculty of Economics at the
University of Ljubljana (FELU) in Slovenia.
FELU is part of University of Ljubljana, which was formally established in 1919 with its beginning going back
to 18th century. Today, the university has 23 faculties and 3 arts academies. Founded in 1946, FELU is the
largest of the faculties with approximately 6.000 students and is EQUIS, AACSB and TedQual accredited.
Ljubljana is the capital of Slovenia and a very “young city”, since it boast 50,000 students among its
population of about 280,000. Here, at the meeting point of the cultures of east and west the old comes
together in harmony with the new. In Ljubljana, the remainders of all five millenniums of its history are
preserved, including the legacy of the Roman settlement of Emona and the Old Town resting on the banks
of the river Ljubljanica, with its medieval castle, and Renaissance and Baroque facades with ornamented
portals and uneven roofs. Ljubljana is also a city of culture. It is home to numerous theaters, museums and
galleries and boasts one of the oldest philharmonic orchestras in the world. Over 10,000 cultural events
take place in the city every year, including 10 international festivals.
Slovenia lies at the heart of Europe, where the Alps and the Mediterranean meet the Pannonian plains and
the mysterious Karst. As a beautiful and picturesque country, Slovenia also makes a great tourist
destination. Mountains, lakes, waterfalls, forests, caves, hills, plains, rivers and the sea – you can find it all
within the country’s modest 20,272 square kilometers.
We will make sure that the social part of the conference programme will give you at least a taste of some
of it and we guarantee you a well-known warm Slovenian hospitality.
The closest airport is 23km northwest of the city - Ljubljana International Airport Jože Pučnik (Brnik), offering
several daily connections to major European airport hubs (Frankfurt, Munich, Vienna, Zurich, Brussels, Paris,
London). Ljubljana can also be reached by train with several good international rail connections.
INFINITI 2014 @ Monash University Prato Centre
General Information
Completion of Registration
All registration fees and other charges must
be paid in full in order to complete your
Registration. At this time, you will receive
your Conference Programme, as well as a
Conference Badge. Please wear your
badge at all times during the Conference,
as only participants with official Conference
ID will be allowed into any of the
Conference Sessions and functions.
Conference Location
The Conference will be held at the Monash
University Prato Centre, as well as the
Palazzo delle Professioni (upstairs in the
same building) and Teatro Politeamo.
Please refer to the maps for the specific
room locations.
There are Conference Assistants to help
guide you to the different venues and the
specific rooms.
Conference Reception Desk
The Conference Reception Desk will be at
the Monash University Prato Centre.
Catering / Refreshments
Tea, coffee and water will be served during
the breaks, as indicated in the Conference
Programme.
A simple lunch will also be provided on both
days in the Monash University Prato Centre.
Dress Code
The dress code for the Conference is smart
casual.
Internet Access / WIFI
There is no WIFI available at the centre;
however you may use the computer lab
(next to Salone Grollo) for internet access.
Please ask at the Conference Reception
Desk for an access code.
Mobile Phones
Please show respect by turning yours off or
putting it on silent during the sessions.
Papers
Full papers (and presentations) are only
available directly from the Authors.
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Parallel Sessions
All presenters may upload their
presentations in either MS PowerPoint or pdf
format. They are responsible for ensuring
that that their presentations are uploaded
onto the computer in the room in advance
of the start of their Session.
A Conference Assistant will be available on
each floor to assist in the process, 15 minutes
prior to the start of each Session – please
note that the rooms are available at the
following times:
Monday, 9 June 2014
0815-0900 hrs (except MON Salone Grollo
from 0815-0830 only and POLITEAMA Room
19 from 1415 hrs only)
1245-1300 hrs (except MON Salone Grollo
from 1200-1215 hrs only)
1445-1500 hrs
1615-1630 hrs
Tuesday, 10 June 2014
0915-0930 hrs
1230-1245 hrs (rooms with sessions at 1245)
1345-1400 hrs
1545-1600 hrs
Presentations may be uploaded during any
of the times indicated above, however only
on the same day that they will be
presented.
During the Parallel Sessions, each Presenting
Author will make a 15-20 minute
presentation on their paper (depending on
the number of papers in the Session). The
allocated Discussant will then have 5
minutes to respond to the presentation.
The Session Chair is responsible for directing
any Q&A and for ensuring that the Session
starts and ends on time. Any time left at the
end of the each Session will be devoted to
general Q&A on all papers presented during
the Session. Presenting Authors are therefore
asked to remain in their rooms until the end
of the Session.
Social Events
MONDAY EVENING FROM 1930 HRS
On Monday evening, you are invited to join
us at
Wallace Pub
for an informal social from 1930 hrs onwards.
You will be able to order and pay for food
here, although there are also many other
restaurants in the local vicinity that are
worth trying out.
TUESDAY EVENING CONFERENCE GALA
DINNER – COACHES LEAVE AT 1800 HRS
The Conference Gala Dinner will be held at
the Villa Fernandino. Coaches will be
leaving at 1800 hrs. Please listen for an
announcement after the Tuesday Keynote
for the exact street.
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Conference Gala Dinner
The Conference Gala Dinner will be held at the Villa Medicia “La Ferdinanda”. The villa was
commissioned by the Grand Duke Ferdiando I, and was designed and built in 1596 by the
famed Bernando Buontalenti. It is set in the heart of the Tuscan countryside, where olive trees
and vineyards design the landscapes of the hills.
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Maps
Prato
INFINITI 2014 @ Monash University Prato Centre
Monash University Prato Centre
The Monash University Prato Centre is located on the first floor at Via Pugliesi, 26.
MON Salone Grollo (Room 2)
MON Break Out 2 (Room 4)
MON Meeting Room (Room 10)
MON Studio 1 (Room 12)
MON Sala Toscana (Room 14)
MON Sala Giochi (Room 15)
MON Sala Veneziana (Room 6)
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Palazzo delle Professioni
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Teatro Politeama
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Keynotes
Dirk Schoenmaker is dean of the Duisenberg School of finance.
He is also a professor of Finance, Banking and Insurance at the
VU University Amsterdam and a member of the Advisory
Scientific Committee of the European Systemic Risk Board at the
ECB. He is a renowned expert in the areas of (inter)national
banking, financial supervision and stability, and European
financial integration. He is author of ‘Governance of
International Banking: The Financial Trilemma’ (Oxford University
Press) and co-author of the textbook ‘Financial Markets and
Institutions: A European Perspective’ (Cambridge University
Press). He earned his PhD in economics at the London School of
Economics.
He is a visiting scholar at the IMF, OECD and the European
Commission. Before joining the Duisenberg School in 2009, he had served at the Ministry of
Finance in the Netherlands. In the 1990s he served at the Bank of England.
Fabio Canova obtained his PhD from the University of Minnesota
He has been Assistant Professor at Brown University and University
of Rochester; Associate Professor at EUI and Brown University; and
Full Professor at the Universities of Catania, Modena and
Southampton, as well as Universitat Pompeu Fabra. He has held a
Chair in Monetary Economics at the University of Bern, has
been ICREA Research Professor, and currently holds the Pierre
Werner Chair in Monetary Union and is Professor of Econometrics
at the EUI. He has been an associate researcher with CREI,
CREMeD and Eprism, and is currently a researcher with the CEPR.
Fabio has taught classes in numerous universities around the world
and given professional courses at the Bank of England, Riksbank,
Bank of Italy, Bundesbank, ECB, Bank of Spain, Bank of Portugal, Bank of Hungary, Bank of
Argentina, Banco do Brazil, Banco de Peru, South African Central Bank, Central Bank of
Indonesia, Swiss National Bank, Banco de Mexico, Banco de La Republica de Colombia, Banco
de Venezuela, Banco de Chile, Bank of Israel, Monetary and Banking Institute of Iran, Waifem,
Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Korea, Bank of Albania, at the EABCN, at the Central
Bank course in Genzersee, the EU commission, the UK Foreign Office and UK treasury, among
others. He has held consultancy positions with the Bank of England, the ECB, the Bank of Italy
and the Bank of Spain and the IMF.
He is also Program Director of the Budapest School of Central Bank Studies, Director of the
International Association of Applied Econometrics, member of the scientific committee of the
EABCN, program chair for the European Meetings of the Econometric Society 2014, panelist of
ANVUR and a referee for ERC, NSF, and ESRC among others.
He is currently coeditor of the Journal of the European Economic Association and of the Journal
of Applied Econometrics. He has published over 80 articles in international journals and his
graduate textbook, Methods for Applied Macroeconomic Research, was published in 2007
by Princeton University Press.
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Special Session Guests
“VALUES, ETHICS AND FINANCE”
Special Session organised by the AG2R LA MONDIALE Research Chair
“Finance reconsidered” at KEDGE Business School.
Bernard Paranque is Professor of Finance at KEDGE Business School. He
is now Director of “Euromediterranean affairs, emerging markets,
finance and common good” research department. He holds the
AG2R LA MONDIALE Chair “Finance Reconsidered: Investment,
Solidarities and Responsibility”. He is associate member Institute of
Labour Economics and Industrial Sociology AMU-LEST-CNRS-UMR 7317.
His research focuses on finance and common resources
management, and on employee ownership organisation as
cooperatives and their governance. He is also interested in the issue of
economic coordination, collective action, and in solidarity and social
Economy challenges. Some of his papers can be consulted online on
http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/cf_dev/AbsByAuth.cfm?per_id=1633.
Robin Edme is Senior Advisor Responsible Finance to the
Commissioner General in charge of Sustainable Development the
French Ministry of Ecology, Sustainable Development and Energy.
He is the Ministry’s Rapporteur of the White Paper on Financing the
Ecological Transition. He currently focuses on designing new
investment and capital allocation frameworks through the
development of responsible and long term finance, as well as
identifying innovative financial instruments beneficial to the
ecological transition and low-carbon economies.
Last November, he was appointed Chair of the Group of Friends of
Paragraph 47 (of the Rio+20 Declaration), a government led
initiative promoting corporate sustainability reporting at
international, regional and national levels.
Prior to his current position, he was the founding and Managing Partner of Maqassar, a pioneer
Executive CSR & SRI consulting company. He is one of the founders and former President of the
Forum pour l’investissement responsable (French Social Investment Forum) and of Eurosif. He is
currently a Member of the Technical Advisory Committee of the GRI and of the Qualified
Personalities College of the French Institute of Directors, and serves as Board Member of
European Partners for the Environment.
He is today a recognised international expert for his capacity to tackle complex and high
impact CSR and SRI issues; he developed strong advocacy and lobbying expertise to national,
European and international public authorities (in particular in the fields of SRI, CSR reporting,
climate change and resilient economies financial tools as well as in Business & Human Rights).
He currently lectures European actors of the financial industry on advanced CSR & SRI issues, as
well as at several universities.
Born in 1956, Robin EDME has graduated from ENA and holds an MBA from HEC Business School;
he also graduated from IEP Paris, holds a Masters in Public Law and a Doctorate Degree in
Industrial Policy.
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Thomas Lagoarde-Segot is Associate Professor of Finance at KEDGE
Business School and a research associate at the Aix-Marseille School
of Economics. He holds a PhD in Finance from Trinity College Dublin
and a Habilitation in Economics from Aix-Marseille Université. He
currently serves as editor in chief of Research in International
Business and Finance and associate editor of International Review
of Financial Analysis. His research focuses on emerging market
finance, social finance, financial history and economic philosophy.
Christophe Faugère obtained his PhD in Economics from the
University of Rochester, USA, in 1993 and a Masters in
Mathematical Economics in 1987 from the University of Toulouse.
He is currently Professor of Finance and Chair of the Finance and
Economics Department at KEDGE Business School, Bordeaux. Prior
to this, he was an Associate Professor and Chair of the Finance
Department at the UAlbany School of Business, NY, USA.
His current research focuses on ethics, financial markets and
monetary economics. His main research program is on models of
asset valuation (gold, Treasuries, stock indexes) that combine
rational and irrational investor behaviour. He is the co-inventor of
Required Yield Theory; one of the most accurate theory for
valuing the S&P 500 and gold. He has extensively published in top
tier US academic journals such as the Journal of Portfolio Management and Financial Markets,
Institutions & Instruments. One of his published articles on “Sell Discipline” received extensive
coverage in the New York Times and International Herald Tribune in 2004.
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Programme
Sunday, 8 June 2014
1730-1930 Welcome Reception and Early Registration Monash University Prato Centre
Monday, 9 June 2014
0800-1800 Conference Reception Open Monash University Prato Centre
0830-0900 Welcome MON Salone Grollo (Room 2)
Brian Lucey, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
Colm Kearney, Monash University, Australia
0900-1030 Parallel Sessions
1a Euro Crisis MON Salone Grollo (Room 2)
1b Central Banking MON Break Out 2 (Room 4)
1c Sudden Stops and Financial Crises MON Meeting Room (Room 10)
1d Public Finance MON Studio 1 (Room 12)
1e Banking Channels MON Sala Toscana (Room 14)
1f Foreign Exchange I MON Sala Giochi (Room 15)
1g Moving Markets MON Sala Veneziana (Room 6)
1h Firms in International Finance Palazzo delle P Sala Torre
1i Commodities I Palazzo delle P Sala Teatro
1j Banking Crises Palazzo delle P Sala Periti
1k Spillovers TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 7
1l Corporate Governance TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 8
1m International Investing TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 9
1n Current Account TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 16
1o NO SESSION TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 19
1030-1100 Coffee Break Monash University Prato Centre
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1100-1200 KEYNOTE TEATRO POLITEAMA Main Theatre
Dirk Schoenmaker, Duisenberg School of Finance, The Netherlands
“How Can We Save International Banking?”
The future of international banking is highly uncertain. The presentation employs the
financial trilemma to examine the trade-offs between internationally active banks and
national supervision. In the aftermath of the global financial crisis, we are witnessing a
reactionary push towards the decentralised banking model, by which banks are split in
national subsidiaries supervised by national supervisors. These national subsidiaries need
to maintain local liquidity pools and capital buffers, which can be very costly. But there
is an alternative route possible. We argue for international supervision of the large
global banks. The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) and the International
Monetary Fund (IMF) play a key role in this new international approach for banking
supervision and resolution. The precondition for an international approach is the
organisation of the fiscal backstop.
1200-1300 Lunch Monash University Prato Centre
1215-1300 PANEL SESSION: MEET THE DEANS MON Salone Grollo (Room 2)
Carol Alexander, University of Sussex, UK
Colm Kearney, Monash University, Australia
Dirk Schoenmaker, Duisenberg School of Finance, The Netherlands
1215-1300 INTERACTIVE POSTER SESSION Monash University Prato Centre
1300-1430 Parallel Sessions
2a Political Economy of the Eurozone MON Salone Grollo (Room 2)
2b Monetary Policy: Drivers MON Break Out 2 (Room 4)
2c Contagion Models MON Meeting Room (Room 10)
2d Behavioral MON Studio 1 (Room 12)
2e WORKSHOP: A Guide to Elsevier’s EES System MON Sala Toscana (Room 14)
2f Exchange Rates and Integration MON Sala Giochi (Room 15)
2g International Markets MON Sala Veneziana (Room 6)
2h Corporate Actions and Reactions Palazzo delle P Sala Torre
2i Gold I Palazzo delle P Sala Teatro
2j Regulating Banks Palazzo delle P Sala Periti
2k Stability and Spillovers in Emerging Markets TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 7
2l Capital Structure and Governance TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 8
2m Home Bias and International Investing I TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 9
2n Bond Spillovers and Integration TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 16
2o SMEs and Private Companies TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 19
1430-1500 Coffee Break Monash University Prato Centre
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1500-1615 PANEL SESSION: MEET THE EDITORS MON Salone Grollo (Room 2)
Carol Alexander, Journal of Banking and Finance
Brian Lucey, International Review of Financial Analysis &
Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance
Jonathan Batten, Emerging Markets Review
Jagna Mirska, Elsevier
1500-1615 Early Stage Research Presentations I MON Sala Veneziana (Room 6)
1500-1615 SPECIAL SESSION: “Values, Ethics and Finance” TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 7
Special Session organised by the AG2R LA MONDIALE
Research Chair “Finance reconsidered” at KEDGE
Business School.
Chaired by Bernard Paranque, KEDGE Business School, France.
Speakers:
Robin Edme, Ministry of Ecology, Sustainable Development and Energy,
France: the practitioner’s point of view
Thomas Lagoarde-Segot, KEDGE Business School, France: values, ethics versus
logical positivism in finance
Christophe Faugère, KEDGE Business School, France: Buddhism and ‘the noble
intent of finance’
The ongoing economic, social and environmental crisis has revealed the need to
redefine the finance function. Given its micro-normative intent, academic finance
bears significant responsibility in this process. In particular, the inclusion of sustainability
issues in financial practices requires the explicit incorporation of ethics and values into
financial theory. Such a change, however, appears incompatible with the current
epistemological structure of academic discourse in finance, which is heavily influenced
by logical positivism.
This paradox hinders the successful elaboration of the new tools and concepts
expected by the multiple stakeholders of academic finance (including the industry,
governments, and students). However, many private actors have begun to incorporate
environmental and social values into financial practices. This could serve as a stepping
stone for the rethinking of academic finance. This session will analyze these new
practices, discuss the epistemological obstacles to paradigmatic diversification in
finance, and attempt to carve out innovative paths for financial research in the 21st
century.
1615-1630 Coffee Break Monash University Prato Centre
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1630-1800 Parallel Sessions 3
3a Real Economy and Finance MON Salone Grollo (Room 2)
3b Central Banks and Governments MON Break Out 2 (Room 4)
3c Volatility I MON Meeting Room (Room 10)
3d Herding and Overconfidence MON Studio 1 (Room 12)
3e Banks MON Sala Toscana (Room 14)
3f Foreign Exchange II MON Sala Giochi (Room 15)
3g Stock Prices MON Sala Veneziana (Room 6)
3h Corporate Control Palazzo delle P Sala Torre
3i Commodities II Palazzo delle P Sala Teatro
3j Capital, Banking and Growth Palazzo delle P Sala Periti
3k Emerging Markets and Capital Flows TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 7
3l New Approaches and Old Concepts TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 8
3m Funds TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 9
3n Bond and Debt Markets TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 16
3o SME Credit TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 19
1930 Monday night social Wallace Pub
Piazza Mercatale 24, Prato
Tuesday, 10 June 2014
0900-1700 Conference Reception Open Monash University Prato Centre
0930-1100 Parallel Sessions 4
4a Eurozone Debt Issues MON Salone Grollo (Room 2)
4b Monetary Policy: Shocks MON Break Out 2 (Room 4)
4c Volatility II MON Meeting Room (Room 10)
4d Forecasting I MON Studio 1 (Room 12)
4e Banking Integration MON Sala Toscana (Room 14)
4f Interest Rates in Europe MON Sala Giochi (Room 15)
4g Regulation I MON Sala Veneziana (Room 6)
4h Corporate Wealth Creation and Destruction Palazzo delle P Sala Torre
4i Households Palazzo delle P Sala Teatro
4j Portfolio Composition and Management Palazzo delle P Sala Periti
4k Emerging Markets TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 7
4l Sentiment and Risk TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 8
4m Which Trades Matter? TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 9
4n Investment Research Approaches TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 16
4o Markets and Liquidity TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 19
1100-1130 Coffee Break Monash University Prato Centre
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1130-1230 KEYNOTE TEATRO POLITEAMA Main Theatre
Fabio Canova, European University Institute, Italy
“Using external information to sharpen inference about prediction and policy
analysis models”
Macroeconometric models leave out important information that policy makers and
forecasters typically find important. Is there any way to incorporate this information to
sharpen predictions and policy analysis with macroeconometric models? We consider
both survey data and financial markets information which typically have no
counterpart in standard models. We discuss ways to evaluate their predictive content
and how inference about certain features of the data change when this information is
used.
1230-1400 Lunch Monash University Prato Centre
1245-1345 PANEL SESSION: WOMEN IN FINANCE MON Salone Grollo (Room 2)
Is there a glass ceiling in finance and finance academia? If so, how can it be
breached? What, if any, are the particular challenges facing female academics in
finance? Panel members incude Christine Brown (Monash University, Australia), Sandra
Dow (Monterey Institute of International Studies, Middlebury College, USA), Elaine
Hutson (Monash University, Australia) and Kate Phylaktis (Cass Business School, City
University London, UK).
1245-1345 Early Stage Research Presentations II MON Sala Veneziana (Room 6)
1245-1345 SPONSORED WORKSHOP: EVENTUS – Palazzo delle P Sala Periti
MAXIMISE YOUR RESEARCH SUCCESS
How can Eventus help you publish in top journals? Professor Arnie Cowan, creator of
Eventus software, discusses trends in empirical research and how Eventus can help you.
The session will include demonstrations of research solutions in Eventus including
features in the new version being released this year.
1400-1530 Parallel Sessions 5
5a Crisis MON Salone Grollo (Room 2)
5b Central Banking Objectives MON Break Out 2 (Room 4)
5c WORKSHOP: Financial Geography MON Meeting Room (Room 10)
5d Forecasting II MON Studio 1 (Room 12)
5e Banks Internationally MON Sala Toscana (Room 14)
5f WORKSHOP: SME Finance MON Sala Giochi (Room 15)
5g Regulation II MON Sala Veneziana (Room 6)
5h Credit and Credit Management Palazzo delle P Sala Torre
5i Commodities III Palazzo delle P Sala Teatro
5j WORKSHOP: Trading Volatility Palazzo delle P Sala Periti
5k National Effects TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 7
5l Risk and Risk Models TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 8
5m Trading and Markets TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 9
5n Long-Term Finance TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 16
5o New Monies New Regulation TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 19
1530-1600 Coffee Break Monash University Prato Centre
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1600-1730 Parallel Sessions 6
6a World Markets MON Salone Grollo (Room 2)
6b Monetary Policy: Effects MON Break Out 2 (Room 4)
6c Banking Operations and Financing MON Meeting Room (Room 10)
6d Modelling Returns and Levels MON Studio 1 (Room 12)
6e Bank Loans and Banking MON Sala Toscana (Room 14)
6f Capital Flows and Interest Rates MON Sala Giochi (Room 15)
6g International Financial Service Issues MON Sala Veneziana (Room 6)
6h Status Palazzo delle P Sala Torre
6i Gold II Palazzo delle P Sala Teatro
6j Dark Pools and Traders Palazzo delle P Sala Periti
6k PANEL SESSION: National Culture TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 7
6l Information and Expectations TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 8
6m International Portfolios TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 9
6n Home Bias and International Investing II TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 16
6o Banks and Liquidity TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 19
1800 Coaches leave for Conference Gala Dinner
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Parallel Sessions
*Where there are multiple authors, an asterisk indicates the presenting author.
Monday, 0900-1030: Parallel Sessions 1
Session 1a | MONASH Salone Grollo (Room 2)
EURO CRISIS Chair: Jonathan Batten, Monash University, Australia
Capital flow waves to and from Switzerland before and after the financial crisis
Pinar Yeşin, Swiss National Bank, Switzerland
Discussant: Torsten Schmidt, RWI Essen, Germany
Hypnosis Before Wake-up Call?! The Revival of Sovereign Credit Risk Perception in the EMU-Crisis
Kai Daniel Schmid, Hans Böckler Foundation, Germany
Discussant: Pinar Yeşin, Swiss National Bank, Switzerland
Uncertainty and Episodes of Extreme Capital Flows in the Euro Area
*Torsten Schmidt, RWI Essen, Germany
Lina Zwick, RWI Essen, Germany
Discussant: Kai Daniel Schmid, Hans Böckler Foundation, Germany
Session 1b |MONASH Breakout 2 (Room 4)
CENTRAL BANKING Chair: Roman Horvath, Charles University in Prague, Czech Republic
Central Banks and Macroeconomic Policies: Relaxing the Trilemma
Andreas Steiner, Universität Osnabrück, Germany
Discussant: Roman Horvath, Charles University in Prague, Czech Republic
Effectiveness of Official FX Intervention - Evidence from the Regime Switching Model of Volatility
*Srđan Marinković, University of Niš, Republic of Serbia
Ognjen Radović, University of Niš, Republic of Serbia
Discussant: Andreas Steiner, Universität Osnabrück, Germany
Peer Effects of Central Banking
Roman Horvath, Charles University in Prague, Czech Republic
Discussant: Srđan Marinković, University of Niš, Republic of Serbia
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Session 1c| MONASH Meeting Room (Room 10)
SUDDEN STOPS AND FINANCIAL CRISIS Chair: Eduardo Cavallo, Inter-American Development Bank, USA
Sudden stop regimes and output: a Markov switching analysis
*Andreas Bachmann, Universität Bern, Switzerland
Stefan Leist, State Secretariat for Economic Affairs (SECO), Switzerland
Discussant: Eduardo Cavallo, Inter-American Development Bank, USA
Currency Crises and Dynamics of Real Wages
Sheida Teimouri, University of Wisconsin-La Crosse, USA
Discussant: Andreas Bachmann, Universität Bern, Switzerland
A New Taxonomy of Sudden Stops: Which Sudden Stops should countries be most concerned
about?
*Eduardo Cavallo, Inter-American Development Bank, USA
Andrew Powell, Inter-American Development Bank, USA
Mathieu Pedemonte, Inter-American Development Bank, USA
Pilar Tavella, Harvard University, USA
Discussant: Sheida Teimouri, University of Wisconsin-La Crosse, USA
Session 1d| MONASH Studio 1 (Room 12)
PUBLIC FINANCE Chair: Dominik Maltritz, Universität Erfurt, Germany
Regional political pressure and excessive credit growth in China
Weixing Cai, University of Bristol, UK
*Fangming Xu, University of Bristol, UK
Cheng Zeng, University of Bristol, UK
Discussant: Dominik Maltritz, Universität Erfurt, Germany
Testing for public debt sustainability using band spectrum regression analysis
*Andrea Cipollini, Università di Palermo, Italy
Iolanda Lo Cascio, Università di Palermo, Italy
Discussant: Fangming Xu, University of Bristol, UK
Determinants of Budget Deficits in Europe: The role and relations of fiscal rules, fiscal councils,
creative accounting and the Euro
*Dominik Maltritz, Universität Erfurt, Germany
Sebastian Wüste, Deutsche Bundestag, Germany
Discussant: Andrea Cipollini, Università di Palermo, Italy
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Session 1e| MONASH Sala Toscana (Room 14)
BANKING CHANNELS Chair: Stefanie Kleimeier, Maastricht University, The Netherlands
Why is the Effective Fed Funds Rate Below the Theoretical Floor?
Kyle Allen, Texas Tech University, USA
*Mark Griffiths, Miami University, USA
Scott Hein, Texas Tech University, USA
Drew Winters, Texas Tech University, USA
Discussant: Stefanie Kleimeier, Maastricht University, The Netherlands
Transmission Channels of Systemic Risk and Contagion in the Banking Sector
*Nikos Paltalidis, University of Portsmouth, UK
Renatas Kizys, University of Portsmouth, UK
Discussant: Mark Griffiths, Miami University, USA
Interest Rate Pass-Through and Banking Crises
Joscha Beckmann, Universität Duisberg Essen, Germany
*Stefanie Kleimeier, Maastricht University, The Netherlands
Harald Sander, Cologne University of Applied Sciences, Germany
Discussant: Nikos Paltalidis, University of Portsmouth, UK
Session 1f | MONASH Sala Giochi (Room 15)
FOREIGN EXCHANGE I Chair: Ana-Maria Fuertes, City University London, UK
Forecasting Implied Volatility in Foreign Exchange Markets: A Robust Functional Linear Model
Approach
*Fearghal Kearney, Dublin City University, Ireland
Mark Cummins, Dublin City University, Ireland
Finbarr Murphy, University of Limerick, Ireland
Discussant: Ana-Maria Fuertes, City University London, UK
USD&EUR Cross Rate Self Similarity Divergence Analysis Using Hurst Parameter Estimation via
Wavelet Method
Suheyl Belviranli, Istanbul Technical University, Turkey
Discussant: Fearghal Kearney, Dublin City University, Ireland
Heads I Win, Tails You Lose: New Evidence of Long-Run Asymmetry in Exchange Rate Pass-
Through by Exporting Firms
Raphael Brun-Aguerre, JP Morgan, UK
*Ana-Maria Fuertes, City University London, UK
Matthew Greenwood-Nimmo, University of Melbourne, Australia
Discussant: Suheyl Belviranli, Istanbul Technical University, Turkey
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Session 1g | MONASH Sala Veneziana (Room 6)
MOVING MARKETS Chair: Christian Grisse, Swiss National Bank, Switzerland
The EMU effects on capital markets' integration and the recent financial crisis
*George Palaiodimos, Bank of Greece, Greece
Elias Tzavalis, Athens University of Economics and Business, Greece
Discussant: Christian Grisse, Swiss National Bank, Switzerland
Determinants of Time Varying Co-movements among International Stock Markets
*Asma Mobarek, Stockholm University, Sweden
Gulnur Muradoglu, Queen Mary, University of London, UK
Sabur Mollah, Stockholm University, Sweden
Discussant: George Palaiodimos, Bank of Greece, Greece
Time variation in asset price responses to macro announcements
*Christian Grisse, Swiss National Bank, Switzerland
Linda Goldberg, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, USA
Discussant: Asma Mobarek, Stockholm University, Sweden
Session 1h | Palazzo delle Professioni (upstairs) Sala Torre
FIRMS IN INTERNATIONAL FINANCE Chair: Sandra Dow, Middlebury College, USA
Is Your Fund's Board Watching Out for You?
*Javier Vidal García, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Spain
Marta Vidal, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Spain
Discussant: Sandra Dow, Middlebury College, USA
International Variations in Sovereign Default Risk Spill-over to Domestic Firms
*Paula Hill, University of Bristol, UK
Emawtee Bissoondoyal-Bheenick, Monash University, Australia
Robert Faff, University of Queensland, Australia
Discussant: Javier Vidal García, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Spain
Family First: Who's on Second?
Sandra Dow, Middlebury College, USA
Discussant: Paula Hill, University of Bristol, UK
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Session 1i | Palazzo delle Professioni (upstairs) Sala Teatro
COMMODITIES I Chair: Viviana Fernandez, Universidad Adolfo Ibáñez, Chile
Volatility Regimes in Commodity Prices
Ingo Bordon, German Development Institute, Germany
Discussant: Viviana Fernandez, Universidad Adolfo Ibáñez, Chile
Country-level effects of global commodity price determinants: evidence from 72 countries
Yousef Makhlouf, University of Essex, UK
Discussant: Ingo Bordon, German Development Institute, Germany
Commodity price excess co-movement from a historical perspective: 1900-2010
Viviana Fernandez, Universidad Adolfo Ibáñez, Chile
Discussant: Yousef Makhlouf, University of Essex, UK
Session 1j | Palazzo delle Professioni (upstairs) Sala Periti
BANKING CRISES Chair: Gerald P Dwyer, Clemson University, USA
On the relation between currency and banking crises in developing countries, 1980-2010
Zhongbo Jing, University of Groningen, The Netherlands
Discussant: Leone Leonida, Queen Mary, University of London, UK
Banking responses in the wake of the global financial crisis
*Diptes Bhimjee, ISCTE Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
Sofia Ramos, ISCTE Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
José Dias, ISCTE Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
Discussant: Zhongbo Jing, University of Groningen, The Netherlands
Bank concentration, competition and crises: A tale of two tails
Giovanni Caggiano, Università degli studi di Padova, Italy
Pietro Calice, The World Bank, USA
*Leone Leonida, Queen Mary, University of London, UK
Discussant: Diptes Bhimjee, ISCTE Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
INFINITI 2014
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Session 1k | TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 7 (upstairs)
SPILLOVERS Chair: Aarti Rughoo, University of Hertfordshire, UK
Dynamic Spillover Effects in Futures Markets
Nikolaos Antonakakis, University of Portsmouth, UK
Christos Floros, Technological Educational Institute of Crete, Greece
*Renatas Kizys, University of Portsmouth, UK
Discussant: Aarti Rughoo, University of Hertfordshire, UK
Is There Heterogeneity in Financial Integration Dynamics? Evidence from Emerging Country and
Industry Equity Indexes
*Michael Donadelli, Goethe Universität Frankfurt am Main, Germany
Antonio Paradiso, Università Ca' Foscari, Venezia, Italy
Discussant: Renatas Kizys, University of Portsmouth, UK
Asian Financial Integration: Global or Regional? Evidence from Money and Bond Markets
*Aarti Rughoo, University of Hertfordshire, UK
Ke Fei You, London Metropolitan University, UK
Discussant: Michael Donadelli, Goethe Universität Frankfurt am Main, Germany
Session 1l | TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 8 (upstairs)
CORPORATE GOVERNANCE Chair: Domenico Campa, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
The Geography of Shareholder Engagement: Evidence from a Large British Institutional Investor
Rob Bauer, Maastricht University, The Netherlands
Gordon L Clark, University of Oxford, UK
*Michael Viehs, University of Oxford, UK
Discussant: Domenica Campa, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
The Impact of Cross-Listing on Corporate Governance: A Test of the Governance Bonding
Hypothesis
Paul Brockman, Lehigh University, USA
*Jesus Salas, Lehigh University, USA
Andrey Zagorchev, Rhodes College, United States
Discussant: Michael Viehs, University of Oxford, UK
Non-Audit Services Provided to Audit Clients, Independence of Mind and Independence in
Appearance: Latest Evidence from Largest UK Listed Companies
*Domenico Campa, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
Ray Donnelly, University College Cork, Ireland
Discussant: Jesus Salas, Lehigh University, USA
INFINITI 2014 @ Monash University Prato Centre
Session 1m | TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 9 (upstairs)
INTERNATIONAL INVESTING Chair: Aleksandar Sevic, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
Financial integration and the information environment: evidence from emerging markets
*Qiyu Zhang, Lancaster University, UK
Wendy Beekes, Lancaster University, UK
Philip Brown, The University of Western Australia & University of New South Wales, Australia
Discussant: Martha O'Hagan-Luff, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
How European unification has shaped the debate on measuring international financial
integration
*Mary Pieterse-Bloem, Erasmus Universiteit Rotterdam, The Netherlands
Sylvester Eijffinger, Tilburg University, The Netherlands
Discussant: Qiyu Zhang, Lancaster University, UK
Why home-based investing makes sense – evidence from the US market.
*Martha O'Hagan-Luff, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
Jennifer Berrill, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
Discussant: Mary Pieterse-Bloem, Erasmus Universiteit Rotterdam, The Netherlands
Session 1n | TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 16 (upstairs)
CURRENT ACCOUNT Chair: Francesca Viani, Banco de España, Spain
Current Account and Real Exchange Rate changes: the impact of Trade Openness
*Davide Romelli, ESSEC Business School & THEMA-Université de Cergy-Pontoise, France
Cristina Terra, THEMA-Université de Cergy-Pontoise, France
Enrico Vasconcelos, Banco Central do Brazil, Brazil
Discussant: Francesca Viani, Banco de España, Spain
Effective exchange rates, current accounts and global imbalances
*Joscha Beckmann, Universität Duisberg Essen, Germany
Robert Czudaj, Universität Duisberg Essen, Germany
Discussant: Davide Romelli, ESSEC Business School & THEMA-Université de Cergy-Pontoise, France
Countries' safety and competitiveness, and the estimation of current account misalignments
*Francesca Viani, Banco de España, Spain
Teresa Sastre, Banco de España, Spain
Discussant: Joscha Beckmann, Universität Duisberg Essen, Germany
Session 1o | TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 19 (upstairs)
NO SESSION
INFINITI 2014
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Monday, 1215-1300: Lunchtime Sessions
Session | MONASH Salone Grollo (Room 2)
MEET THE DEANS
Carol Alexander, University of Sussex, UK
Colm Kearney, Monash University, Australia
Dirk Schoenmaker, Duisenberg School of Finance, The Netherlands
Session | LUNCH AREA
INTERACTIVE POSTER SESSION
We invite you to meet with the following authors who would be happy to talk to you about their
research.
Volatility Spillover between Food and Energy Markets
Alanoud Al-Maadid, Brunel University, UK
Economic Management Elements of Metals
Adrian Ioana, University Politehnica of Bucharest, Romania
An investigation into emerging market firms and if they are becoming more or less multi-national
Thomas Martin, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
Corporate Governance and Ownership structure: The experience of GCC countries
Ruba Shira, Brunel University, UK
National Financial Structure & European SME Internationalisation
Lisa Spencer, Waterford Institute of Technology, Ireland
INFINITI 2014 @ Monash University Prato Centre
Monday, 1300-1430: Parallel Sessions 2
Session 2a | MONASH Salone Grollo (Room 2)
POLITICAL ECONOMY OF THE EUROZONE Chair: Charles Larkin, Cardiff Metropolitan University, UK, Trinity College Dublin & Seanad Eireann,
Ireland
Economic policy uncertainty and risk spillovers in the Eurozone
*Grégory Guilmin, Université de Namur, Belgium
Oscar Bernal, Université de Namur, Belgium
Jean-Yves Gnabo, Université de Namur, Belgium
Discussant: Charles Larkin, Cardiff Metropolitan University, UK, Trinity College Dublin & Seanad
Eireann, Ireland
Macro-networks as determinants of crises
Michela Rancan, EU Joint Research Centre, Italy
Peter Sarlin, Goethe Universität Frankfurt am Main, Germany
*Tuomas Peltonen, European Central Bank, Germany
Discussant: Grégory Guilmin, Université de Namur, Belgium
From Good example to horrible warning-and back? Irish lesson
Charles Larkin, Cardiff Metropolitan University, UK, Trinity College Dublin & Seanad Eireann,
Ireland
Discussant: Tuomas Peltonen, European Central Bank, Germany
Session 2b |MONASH Breakout 2 (Room 4)
MONETARY POLICY: DRIVERS Chair: Georgios Kouretas, IPAG Business School, France & Athens University of Economics and
Business, Greece
Determinants of Rapid Monetary Actions During Economic Downturns
Jacinta Bernadette Rico, Waseda University, Japan
Discussant: Georgios Kouretas, IPAG Business School, France & Athens University of Economics
and Business, Greece
The impact of foreign banks on monetary policy transmission during the global financial crisis of
2007-9: Evidence from Korea
Bang Jeon, Drexel University, USA
Hosung Lim, Bank of Korea, Republic of Korea
*Ji Wu, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, China
Discussant: Jacinta Bernadette Rico, Waseda University, Japan
The Monetary Policy in the Eurozone, the UK and the US: Evidence from the pre- and post-crisis
periods
Evangelos Salachas, Athens University of Economics and Business, Greece
Nikiforos Laopodis, The American College of Greece, Greece
*Georgios Kouretas, IPAG Business School, France & Athens University of Economics and Business,
Greece
Discussant: Ji Wu, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, China
INFINITI 2014
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Session 2c| MONASH Meeting Room (Room 10)
CONTAGION MODELS Chair: Gabjin Oh, Chosun University, Republic of Korea
EMU sovereign debt markets crisis: Fundamental-based or pure contagion?
Marta Gómez-Puig, Universitat de Barcelona, Spain
*Simon Sosvilla-Rivero, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Spain
Discussant: Gabjin Oh, Chosun University, Republic of Korea
Measuring systemic risk through contagion effect of industry sector
Ho-Yong Kim, Chosun University, Republic of Korea
*Gabjin Oh, Chosun University, Republic of Korea
Seok-won Ahn, Chosun University, Republic of Korea
Discussant: Simon Sosvilla-Rivero, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Spain
Session 2d| MONASH Studio 1 (Room 12)
BEHAVIORAL Chair: Wasseem Mina, United Arab Emirates University, UAE
Expectation formation in the foreign exchange market: a time-varying heterogeneity approach
using survey data
Georges Prat, Université Paris Ouest Nanterre La Défense, France
*Remzi Uctum, Université Paris Ouest Nanterre La Défense, France
Discussant: Wasseem Mina, United Arab Emirates University, UAE
Ethical Behavior, Stock Market and Macroeconomic Performance: A Post-Global Financial Crisis
Analysis
*Adam Ng, INCEIF The Global University of Islamic Finance, Malaysia
Mansor Ibrahim, INCEIF The Global University of Islamic Finance, Malaysia
Abbas Mirakhor, INCEIF The Global University of Islamic Finance, Malaysia
Discussant: Remzi Uctum, Université Paris Ouest Nanterre La Défense, France
But Most of All We Love Each Other: Does Social Cohesion Pay off? Evidence from FDI Flows to
Middle Income Countries
Wasseem Mina, United Arab Emirates University, UAE
Discussant: Georges Prat, Université Paris Ouest Nanterre La Défense, France
Session 2e| MONASH Sala Toscana (Room 14)
WORKSHOP: A GUIDE TO ELSEVIER’S EES SYSTEM Chair: Brian Lucey, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
INFINITI 2014 @ Monash University Prato Centre
Session 2f | MONASH Sala Giochi (Room 15)
EXCHANGE RATES AND INTEGRATION Chair: Jamel Saadaoui, Université de Strasbourg, France
Exchange-rate adjustment and macroeconomic interdependence
Yoshiyasu Ono, Osaka University, Japan
Discussant: Jonathan Batten, Monash University, Australia
Exchange Rate Uncertainty and International Portfolio Flows
Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Brunel University, UK
*Faek Menla Ali, Brunel University, UK
Nicola Spagnolo, Brunel University, UK
Discussant: Yoshiyasu Ono, Osaka University, Japan
The Internationalisation of the RMB: New Starts, Jumps and Tipping Points
*Jonathan Batten, Monash University, Australia
Peter Szilagyi, University of Cambridge, UK & Central Eastern University, Hungary
Discussant: Faek Menla Ali, Brunel University, UK
Session 2g | MONASH Sala Veneziana (Room 6)
INTERNATIONAL MARKETS Chair: Benoît Sévi, IPAG Business School & Aix Marseille School of Economics, France
Return convergence: evidence from 32 emerging and frontier markets
*Štefan Lyócsa, University of Economics in Bratislava, Slovakia
Eduard Baumöhl, University of Economics in Bratislava, Slovakia
Discussant: Benoît Sévi, IPAG Business School & Aix Marseille School of Economics, France
Downside Risk and Capital Asset Pricing: International Evidence
*Mo Sherif, Heriot-Watt University, UK
David Recker, Heriot-Watt University, UK
Discussant: Štefan Lyócsa, University of Economics in Bratislava, Slovakia
Is there a daily risk-return trade-off in international markets? Further evidence using the range
Benoît Sévi, IPAG Business School & Aix Marseille School of Economics, France
Discussant: Mo Sherif, Heriot-Watt University, UK
INFINITI 2014
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Session 2h | Palazzo delle Professioni (upstairs) Sala Torre
CORPORATE ACTIONS AND REACTIONS Chair: William Megginson, The University of Oklahoma, USA & Université Paris Dauphine, France
Financial Disclosure, Corporate Transparency, and Innovation
*James Brown, Iowa State University, USA
Gustav Martinsson, Stockholm Institute for Financial Research & Swedish House of Finance,
Sweden
Discussant: Stefanie Kleimeier, Maastricht University, The Netherlands
Equator Principles Adoption: Peer Pressure or Piggybacking
Jaap Bos, Maastricht University, The Netherlands
*Martha Gabriela Contreras, Maastricht University, The Netherlands
Stefanie Kleimeier, Maastricht University, The Netherlands
Discussant: James Brown, Iowa State University, USA
Whence the privatized firm payout premium?
Abhinav Goyal, University of Liverpool, UK
Cal Muckley, University College Dublin, Ireland
Shrikant Jategaonkar, Southern Illinois University, Edwardsville, USA
*William Megginson, The University of Oklahoma, USA & Université Paris Dauphine, France
Discussant: Martha Gabriela Contreras, Maastricht University, The Netherlands
Session 2i | Palazzo delle Professioni (upstairs) Sala Teatro
GOLD I Chair: Dirk Baur, University of Technology Sydney, Australia
A comprehensive model of the demand for gold
Fergal O'Connor, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
Discussant: Dirk Baur, University of Technology Sydney, Australia
Why Do Firms Engage in Selective Hedging? Evidence from the Gold Mining Industry
Tim Adam, Humboldt University of Berlin, Germany
Chitru Fernando, University of Oklahoma, USA
*Jesus Salas, Lehigh University, USA
Discussant: Fergal O'Connor, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
Exchange-Traded Funds on Gold – A Free Lunch?
Dirk Baur, University of Technology Sydney, Australia
Discussant: Jesus Salas, Lehigh University, USA
INFINITI 2014 @ Monash University Prato Centre
Session 2j | Palazzo delle Professioni (upstairs) Sala Periti
REGULATING BANKS Chair: Edward Kane, Boston College, USA
Market discipline and too big to fail: Do markets consider banks are too big to save?
*Matias Cabrera, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Spain
Gerald P Dwyer, Clemson University, USA
Margarita Samartín Sáenz, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Spain
Discussant: Edward Kane, Boston College, USA
Banking regulation and bank performance in the EU-countries-what should be in the scope of
the regulatory reform?
Katarzyna Sum, Warsaw School of Economics, Poland
Discussant: Matias Cabrera, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Spain
Shadowy Banking: Theft by Safety Net
Edward Kane, Boston College, USA
Discussant: Katarzyna Sum, Warsaw School of Economics, Poland
Session 2k | TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 7 (upstairs)
STABILITY AND SPILLOVERS IN EMERGING MARKETS Chair: Sanket Mohapatra, The World Bank, USA
Policy Uncertainty Spillovers To Emerging Markets - Evidence From Capital Flows
*Ludovic Gauvin, Banque de France & Université Paris Ouest Nanterre La Défense, France
Cameron McLoughlin, The Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies,
Switzerland
Dennis Reinhardt, Bank of England, UK
Discussant: Sanket Mohapatra, The World Bank, USA
A new metric for financial stability and its impact in emerging economies debt spreads
Juan Francisco Martinez Sepulveda, Banco Central de Chile, Chile
Discussant: Ludovic Gauvin, Banque de France & Université Paris Ouest Nanterre La Défense,
France
Global Corporate Bond Issuance: What Role for US Quantitative Easing?
*Marco Lo Duca, European Central Bank, Germany
Giulio Nicoletti, European Central Bank, Germany
Ariadna Vidal
Discussant: Juan Francisco Martinez Sepulveda, Banco Central de Chile, Chile
Tinker, Taper, QE, Bye? The Effect of Quantitative Easing on Financial Flows to Developing
Countries
Jamus Lim, The World Bank, USA
*Sanket Mohapatra, The World Bank, USA
Marc Stocker, The World Bank, USA
Discussant: Marco Lo Duca, European Central Bank, Germany
INFINITI 2014
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Session 2l | TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 8 (upstairs)
CAPITAL STRUCTURE AND GOVERNANCE Chair: Michael Viehs, University of Oxford, UK
A Sustainable Future for Corporate Governance Theory and Practice
Shann Turnbull, International Institute for Self-Governance, Australia
Discussant: Muhammed Altuntas, Universität zu Köln (University of Cologne), Germany
Does One Size Fit All? Determinants of Insurer Capital Structure Around the Globe
*Muhammed Altuntas, Universität zu Köln (University of Cologne), Germany
Thomas Berry-Stölzle, The University of Georgia, USA
Sabine Wende, Universität zu Köln (University of Cologne), Germany
Discussant: Shann Turnbull, International Institute for Self-Governance, Australia
Session 2m | TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 9 (upstairs)
HOME BIAS AND INTERNATIONAL INVESTING I Chair: John Burger, Loyola University Maryland, USA
Home Bias Revisited: The Role of Ambiguity
Burcu Erdogan, Universität Trier, Germany
Discussant: John Burger, Loyola University Maryland, USA
Are firms’ returns influenced by the regions where they do business?
Jennifer Berrill, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
Discussant: Burcu Erdogan, Universität Trier, Germany
International Investors in Local Bond Markets: Indiscriminate Flows or Discriminating Tastes?
*John Burger, Loyola University Maryland, USA
Rajeswari Sengupta, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research (IGIDR), India
Francis Warnock, University of Virginia, USA
Veronica Warnock, University of Virginia, USA
Discussant: Jennifer Berrill, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
Session 2n | TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 16 (upstairs)
BOND SPILLOVERS AND INTEGRATION Chair: Helena Chuliá, Universitat de Barcelona, Spain
Bond Market Spillovers in a Fiscal Union: Evidence from US States
Rabah Arezki, IMF International Monetary Fund, USA
Bertrand Candelon, Maastricht University, The Netherlands
*Amadou Sy, The Brookings Institution, USA
Discussant: Helena Chuliá, Universitat de Barcelona, Spain
Global Spillovers into Domestic Bond Markets in Emerging Market Economies
*Laura Jaramillo, IMF International Monetary Fund, USA
Anke Weber, IMF International Monetary Fund, USA
Discussant: Amadou Sy, The Brookings Institution, USA
European Government bond markets integration in turbulent times
Pilar Abad, Universidad Rey Juan Carlos, Spain
*Helena Chuliá, Universitat de Barcelona, Spain
Discussant: Laura Jaramillo, IMF International Monetary Fund, USA
INFINITI 2014 @ Monash University Prato Centre
Session 2o | TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 19 (upstairs)
SMES AND PRIVATE COMPANIES Chair: Michael Dowling, Dublin City University, Ireland
The effect of internationalization on SMEs probability of default: an empirical analysis of French
market
Karima Modrik, Université Angers, France
Discussant: Michael Dowling, Dublin City University, Ireland
Precautionary cash holdings in private firms
Valerio Poti, University College Dublin, Ireland
*Barbara Petracci, Università di Bologna, Italy
Pierpaolo Pattitoni, Università di Bologna, Italy
Massimo Spisni, Università di Bologna, Italy
Discussant: Karima Modrik, Université Angers, France
The influence of national culture on the financing and innovation strategies of SMEs in 14
European Countries
Colm O’Gorman, Dublin City University, Ireland
*Michael Dowling, Dublin City University, Ireland
Eric Clinton, Dublin City University, Ireland
Discussant: Barbara Petracci, Università di Bologna, Italy
INFINITI 2014
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Monday, 1500-1615: Special & Additional Sessions
Session | MONASH Salone Grollo (Room 2)
MEET THE EDITORS Chair: Brian Lucey, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
What does it take to get published? How should you choose a journal for your submission?
Beyond a good idea, what are editors looking for in a submission? How important is the role of
the reviewer? When should you challenge an editorial or review decision and how? This panel is
driven by the audience - ask us questions and we will answer.
Carol Alexander, Journal of Banking and Finance
Brian Lucey, International Review of Financial Analysis & Journal of Behavioral and Experimental
Finance
Jonathan Batten, Emerging Markets Review
Jagna Mirska, Elsevier
Session | MONASH Sala Veneziana (Room 6)
EARLY STAGE RESEARCH PRESENTATIONS I Chair: Jennifer Berrill, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
Optimal Fiscal Policy in an Open Economy with Capital Income Shifting and Consumer Cross-
border Purchases
*Janusz Kudła, University of Warsaw, Poland
Katarzyna Kopczewska, University of Warsaw, Poland
Agata Kocia, University of Warsaw, Poland
Robert Kruszewski, Warsaw School of Economics, Poland
Konrad Walczyk, Warsaw School of Economics, Poland
Discussant: Dominik Maltritz, Universität Erfurt, Germany
Risk Preferences of Australian Households: A Panel Study
*Stamatios Tsigos, University of Western Sydney, Australia
Kevin Daly, University of Western Sydney, Australia
Discussant: Michael Lucey, Durham University, UK
Determinants of capital flows to emerging countries: would it be different during sudden stops?
Xichen Wang, Lancaster University, UK
Discussant: Shawn Chen-Yu Leu, La Trobe University, Australia
INFINITI 2014 @ Monash University Prato Centre
Session | TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 7 (upstairs)
PANEL SESSION: VALUES, ETHICS AND FINANCE Chair: Bernard Paranque, KEDGE Business School, France
Special Session organised by the AG2R LA MONDIALE Research Chair “Finance reconsidered” at
KEDGE Business School.
Robin Edme (founder of the Responsible Investment Forum and a member of the last cabinet in
France, where he was working on environmental policy): the practitioner's point of view
Thomas Lagoarde-Segot: values, ethics versus logical positivism in finance
Christophe Faugère: Buddhism and the 'noble intent of finance'
The ongoing economic, social and environmental crisis has revealed the need to redefine the
finance function. Given its micro-normative intent, academic finance bears significant
responsibility in this process. In particular, the inclusion of sustainability issues in financial practices
requires the explicit incorporation of ethics and values into financial theory. Such a change,
however, appears incompatible with the current epistemological structure of academic
discourse in finance, which is heavily influenced by logical positivism.
This paradox hinders the successful elaboration of the new tools and concepts expected by the
multiple stakeholders of academic finance (including the industry, governments, and students).
However, many private actors have begun to incorporate environmental and social values into
financial practices. This could serve as a stepping stone for the rethinking of academic finance.
This session will analyze these new practices, discuss the epistemological obstacles to
paradigmatic diversification in finance, and attempt to carve out innovative paths for financial
research in the 21st century.
INFINITI 2014
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Monday, 1630-1800: Parallel Sessions 3
Session 3a | MONASH Salone Grollo (Room 2)
REAL ECONOMY AND FINANCE Chair: Renatas Kizys, University of Portsmouth, UK
Understanding Law-of-One-Price Deviations across Europe Before and After the Euro
*Marios Zachariadis, University of Cyprus, Cyprus
Marina Glushenkova, University of Cyprus, Cyprus
Discussant: Renatas Kizys, University of Portsmouth, UK
Real exchange rate and quality: product-level evidence from the Eurozone
Florence Mouradian, Université Paris Dauphine, France
Discussant: Marios Zachariadis, University of Cyprus, Cyprus
Monetary Policy and the Equity Risk Premium on Euro Area Real-Estate Stocks
*Renatas Kizys, University of Portsmouth, UK
Christian Pierdzioch, Helmut Schmidt Universität Hamburg, Germany
Discussant: Florence Mouradian, Université Paris Dauphine, France
Session 3b |MONASH Breakout 2 (Room 4)
CENTRAL BANKS AND GOVERNMENTS Chair: Hubert Gabrisch, Halle Institute for Economic Research, Germany
The interaction between the central bank and government in tail risk scenarios
*Jan Willem van den End, De Nederlandsche Bank, The Netherlands
Marco Hoeberichts, De Nederlandsche Bank, The Netherlands
Discussant: Alexander Erler, Universität Bayreuth, Germany
The real costs and profits of TARGET 2 balances
*Alexander Erler, Universität Bayreuth, Germany
Stefan Hohberger, Universität Bayreuth, Germany
Discussant: Jan Willem van den End, De Nederlandsche Bank, The Netherlands
INFINITI 2014 @ Monash University Prato Centre
Session 3c| MONASH Meeting Room (Room 10)
VOLATILITY I Chair: Carol Alexander, University of Sussex, UK
Periodically collapsing Evans bubbles and stock-price volatility
*Benedikt Rotermann, Westfälische Wilhelms-Universität Münster, Germany
Bernd Wilfling, Westfälische Wilhelms-Universität Münster, Germany
Discussant: Gilles de Truchis, Aix Marseille Université, France
An empirical evaluation of pseudo-long-memory time-series models to predict the S&P 500
index-futures realized volatility
Benoît Sévi, IPAG Business School & Aix Marseille School of Economics, France
Discussant: Carol Alexander, University of Sussex, UK
Long memory and volatility linkages in European stock markets
*Gilles de Truchis, Aix Marseille Université, France
Benoît Sévi, IPAG Business School & Aix Marseille School of Economics, France
Discussant: Benedikt Rotermann, Westfälische Wilhelms-Universität Münster, Germany
Session 3d| MONASH Studio 1 (Room 12)
HERDING AND OVERCONFIDENCE Chair: Laurent Vilanova, Université Lumière Lyon 2 – Coactis, France
Herding Dynamics in Exchange Groups: Evidence from EURONEXT
Fotini Economou, Open University of Cyprus, Cyprus
Konstantinos Gavriilidis, University of Stirling, UK
*Vasileios Kallinterakis, University of Liverpool, UK
Discussant: Laurent Vilanova, Université Lumière Lyon 2 – Coactis, France
Herding Behavior in Emerging Markets: A Comparative Analysis among BRICS Countries.
*Duccio Martelli, Università degli Studi di Perugia, Italy
Alberto Burchi, Università degli Studi di Perugia, Italy
Discussant: Vasileios Kallinterakis, University of Liverpool, UK
Entrepreneurial (over)confidence and the choice of financing and advising contracts: An
experimental investigation
*Laurent Vilanova, Université Lumière Lyon 2 – Coactis, France
Walid Hichri, Université Lumière Lyon 2 & GATE-LSE, France
Nadège Marchand, Université Lumière Lyon 2, France
Discussant: Duccio Martelli, Università degli Studi di Perugia, Italy
INFINITI 2014
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Session 3e| MONASH Sala Toscana (Room 14)
BANKS Chair: Tuomas Peltonen, European Central Bank, Germany
Modeling US bank CDS spreads during the Global Financial Crisis with a deferred filtration pricing
model.
Peter Spencer, The University of York, UK
Discussant: Tuomas Peltonen, European Central Bank, Germany
Stress-Testing Bank Residential Mortgage Portfolios by Decomposing the Mean
Kassim Durani, The University of Sydney, Australia
*Maurice Peat, The University of Sydney, Australia
Discussant: Peter Spencer, The University of York, UK
Setting Countercyclical Capital Buffers based on Early Warning Models: Would it Work?
Markus Behn, Deutsche Bundesbank, Germany
Carsten Detken, European Central Bank, Germany
*Tuomas Peltonen, European Central Bank, Germany
Willem Schudel, European Central Bank, Germany
Discussant: Maurice Peat, The University of Sydney, Australia
Session 3f | MONASH Sala Giochi (Room 15)
FOREIGN EXCHANGE II Chair: Simon Sosvilla-Rivero, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Spain
Global imbalances: should we use fundamental equilibrium exchange rates?
Jamel Saadaoui, Université de Strasbourg, France
Discussant: Kate Phylaktis, City University London, UK
Liquidity and Exchange Rates
José Rossi, INSPER Institute of Education and Research, Brazil
Discussant: Jamel Saadaoui, Université de Strasbourg, France
Do Trade Relations Really Matter in Currency Correlations?
*Ákos Uhrin, University of Szeged, Hungary
Beáta Udvari, University of Szeged, Hungary
Discussant: José Rossi, INSPER Institute of Education and Research, Brazil
FX Market Illiquidity and Funding Liquidity Constraints
*Kate Phylaktis, City University London, UK
Chiara Banti, University of Essex, UK
Discussant: Ákos Uhrin, University of Szeged, Hungary
INFINITI 2014 @ Monash University Prato Centre
Session 3g | MONASH Sala Veneziana (Room 6)
STOCK PRICES Chair: Kannan Thuraisamy, Deakin University, Australia
The impact of insider’s behavior and earnings management on stock prices: An experimental
study
*Esther Del Brio, Universidad de Salamanca, Spain
Ilidio Lopes-e-Silva, Politécnico de Viseu, Portugal
Javier Perote, Universidad de Salamanca, Spain
Discussant: Kannan Thuraisamy, Deakin University, Australia
The Role of Public and Private Information in a Laboratory Financial Market
*Simone Alfarano, Universitat Jaume I, Spain
Eva Camacho Cuena, Universitat Jaume I, Spain
Andrea Morone, Universitat Jaume I, Spain
Discussant: Esther Del Brio, Universidad de Salamanca, Spain
Do CDS Spreads Predict Stock Returns?
Paresh Narayan, Deakin University, Australia
Susan Sharma, Deakin University, Australia
*Kannan Thuraisamy, Deakin University, Australia
Discussant: Simone Alfarano, Universitat Jaume I, Spain
Session 3h | Palazzo delle Professioni (upstairs) Sala Torre
CORPORATE CONTROL Chair: Santiago Carbo-Valverde, Bangor University, UK
The Influence of Leveraged Buyouts on Target Firms’ Competitors
*Marcel Grupp, Goethe Universität Frankfurt am Main, Germany
Christian Rauch, Goethe Universität Frankfurt am Main, Germany
Uwe Walz, Goethe Universität Frankfurt am Main, Germany
Discussant: Santiago Carbo-Valverde, Bangor University, UK
The role of judicial efficiency on the use of earnouts in M&A transactions: international evidence
*Luca Viarengo, Università Bocconi, Italy
Stefano Gatti, Università Bocconi, Italy
Annalisa Prencipe, Università Bocconi, Italy
Discussant: Marcel Grupp, Goethe Universität Frankfurt am Main, Germany
Do domestic M&As impact bank risk profiles? the case of spanish banks
*Santiago Carbo-Valverde, Bangor University, UK
Jens Hagendorff, The University of Edinburgh, UK
Maria J Nieto, Banco de España, Spain
Discussant: Luca Viarengo, Università Bocconi, Italy
INFINITI 2014
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Session 3i | Palazzo delle Professioni (upstairs) Sala Teatro
COMMODITIES II Chair: Gregory Bauer, Bank of Canada, Canada
Oil Price and FX-Rates Dependency
Joscha Beckmann, Universität Duisberg Essen, Germany
Theo Berger, Universität Bremen, Germany
*Robert Czudaj, Universität Duisberg Essen, Germany
Discussant: Gregory Bauer, Bank of Canada, Canada
Does global liquidity drive commodity prices?
*Joscha Beckmann, Universität Duisberg Essen, Germany
Ansgar Belke, Universität Duisberg Essen, Germany
Robert Czudaj, Universität Duisberg Essen, Germany
Discussant: Kuhanathan Ano Sujithan, Université Paris Dauphine, France
Macroeconomic Drivers of Crude Oil Futures Risk Premia
Ron Alquist, Bank of Canada, Canada
*Gregory Bauer, Bank of Canada, Canada
Antonio Diez de los Rios, Bank of Canada, Canada
Discussant: Joscha Beckmann, Universität Duisberg Essen, Germany
Session 3j | Palazzo delle Professioni (upstairs) Sala Periti
CAPITAL, BANKING AND GROWTH Chair: Adam Geršl, Joint Vienna Institute, Austria
Macroeconomics and Financial Intermediation
*José Jorge, Universidade do Porto, Portugal
Joana Rocha, Universidade do Porto, Portugal
Discussant: Adam Geršl, Joint Vienna Institute, Austria
Finance, Potential Output and the Business Cycle: Empirical Evidence from Selected Advanced
and CESEE Economies
*Martin Gächter, Oesterreichische Nationalbank, Austria
Dominik Bernhofer, Oesterreichische Nationalbank, Austria
Octavio Fernández-Amador, Johannes Kepler Universität (JKU) Linz, Austria
Friedrich Sindermann, Universität Innsbruck, Austria
Discussant: José Jorge, Universidade do Porto, Portugal
Countercyclical Capital Buffers and Equilibrium Credit Level in Central and Eastern European
Countries
*Adam Geršl, Joint Vienna Institute, Austria
Jakub Seidler, Česká Národní Banka, Czech Republic
Discussant: Martin Gächter, Oesterreichische Nationalbank, Austria
INFINITI 2014 @ Monash University Prato Centre
Session 3k | TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 7 (upstairs)
EMERGING MARKETS AND CAPITAL FLOWS Chair: Sisira Jayasuriya, Monash University, Australia
Does China's Aid Increase Its ODI in African Countries?
*Yan Dong, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, China
Cijun Fan, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, China
Discussant: Sisira Jayasuriya, Monash University, Australia
The challenges of opening up India’s capital account
Abhijit Sengupta, Asian Development Bank, India
*Rajeswari Sengupta, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research (IGIDR), India
Discussant: Yan Dong, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, China
Hot money in bank credit flows to emerging markets in recent years
Ana-Maria Fuertes, City University London, UK
Kate Phylaktis, City University London, UK
*Cheng Yan, City University London, UK
Discussant: Rajeswari Sengupta, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research (IGIDR), India
A SVAR Model Analysis of Capital Flows and Macroeconomic Performance in Indonesia
*Sisira Jayasuriya, Monash University, Australia
Chongwoo Choe, Monash University, Australia
Shawn Chen-Yu Leu, La Trobe University, Australia
Discussant: Cheng Yan, City University London, UK
Session 3l | TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 8 (upstairs)
NEW APPROACHES AND OLD CONCEPTS Chair: Michael Donadelli, Goethe Universität Frankfurt am Main, Germany
A paradigm that beats the standard paradigm in economics and finance
Kaz Falahati, Glasgow Caledonian University, UK
Discussant: Michael Donadelli, Goethe Universität Frankfurt am Main, Germany
International Capital Markets Structure, Preferences and Puzzles: A US-China World
Michael Donadelli, Goethe Universität Frankfurt am Main, Germany
Discussant: Kaz Falahati, Glasgow Caledonian University, UK
INFINITI 2014
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Session 3m | TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 9 (upstairs)
FUNDS Chair: Keith Cuthbertson, City University London, UK
Mutual Fund Performance Measurement using Higher Moment Approach
Nathee Naktnasukanjn, Thammasat University, Thailand
Discussant: Keith Cuthbertson, City University London, UK
The Relation between Fees and Return Predictability in the Mutual Fund Industry
*Javier Vidal García, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Spain
Marta Vidal, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Spain
Discussant: Nathee Naktnasukanjn, Thammasat University, Thailand
Performance and Performance Persistence of UK Closed-End Equity Funds
*Keith Cuthbertson, City University London, UK
Don Bredin, University College Dublin, Ireland
Dirk Nitzsche, City University London, UK
Dylan Thomas, Swansea University, UK
Discussant: Javier Vidal García, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Spain
Session 3n | TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 16 (upstairs)
BOND AND DEBT MARKETS Chair: Mary Pieterse-Bloem, Erasmus Universiteit Rotterdam, The Netherlands
A Comparative Analysis of Ex Ante Credit Spreads: Structured Finance versus Straight Debt
Finance
*João Monteiro Pinto, Universidade Católica Portuguesa, Portugal
William Megginson, The University of Oklahoma, USA & Université Paris Dauphine, France
Manuel Marques, Universidade do Porto, Portugal
Discussant: Shage Zhang, Trinity University, USA
Institutional Arrangements and Debt Financing
Shage Zhang, Trinity University, USA
Discussant: João Monteiro Pinto, Universidade Católica Portuguesa, Portugal
Session 3o | TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 19 (upstairs)
SME CREDIT Chair: Andreas Dietrich, Lucerne University of Applied Sciences, Switzerland
Institutional Environments and SME Credit Availability: A European Perspective
Andrea Mc Namara, Waterford Institute of Technology, Ireland
Discussant: Andreas Dietrich, Lucerne University of Applied Sciences, Switzerland
Discouraged borrowers? Evidence for Eurozone SMEs.
*Ciarán mac an Bhaird, Dublin City University, Ireland
Javier Sánchez Vidal, Universidad Politécnica de Cartagena, Spain
Brian M Lucey, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
Discussant: Andrea Mc Namara, Waterford Institute of Technology, Ireland
SME Credit Availability Around the World: Evidence from the World Bank’s Enterprise Survey
Andreas Dietrich, Lucerne University of Applied Sciences, Switzerland
Discussant: Ciarán mac an Bhaird, Dublin City University, Ireland
INFINITI 2014 @ Monash University Prato Centre
Tuesday, 0830-1000: Parallel Sessions 4
Session 4a | MONASH Salone Grollo (Room 2)
EUROZONE DEBT ISSUES Chair: Jelena Stapf, Deutsche Bundesbank, Germany
Creditor moral hazard during EMU debt crisis
Theodoros Bratis, Athens University of Economics and Business, Greece
Nikiforos Laopodis, The American College of Greece, Greece
*Georgios Kouretas, IPAG Business School, France & Athens University of Economics and Business,
Greece
Discussant: Jelena Stapf, Deutsche Bundesbank, Germany
Foreign Bank Behavior During Financial Crises
Jonathon Adams-Kane, Humboldt State University, USA
*Julian Caballero, Inter-American Development Bank, USA
Jamus Lim, The World Bank, USA
Discussant: Georgios Kouretas, IPAG Business School, France & Athens University of Economics
and Business, Greece
Inflation expectations, deflation, and uncertainty: What drives euro area option-implied
probability density functions in the sovereign debt crisis?
Jelena Stapf, Deutsche Bundesbank, Germany
Discussant: Julian Caballero, Inter-American Development Bank, USA
Session 4b |MONASH Breakout 2 (Room 4)
MONETARY POLICY: SHOCKS Chair: Alexei Orlov, Radford University, USA
European Government Bond Markets and Monetary Policy Surprises: Returns, Volatility and
Integration
*Helena Chuliá, Universitat de Barcelona, Spain
Pilar Abad, Universidad Rey Juan Carlos, Spain
Discussant: Alexei Orlov, Radford University, USA
Large Open Economy Monetary Policy Shocks and The Developing World: The Case of Sub-
Saharan Africa
Jeremy Kronick, Brandeis University, USA
Discussant: Helena Chuliá, Universitat de Barcelona, Spain
Understanding the Impact of Monetary Policy Shocks on the Corporate Bond Market in Good
and Bad Times: A Markov Switching Model
Massimo Guidolin, Università Bocconi, Italy
*Alexei Orlov, Radford University, USA
Manuela Pedio, UniCredit, Italy
Discussant: Jeremy Kronick, Brandeis University, USA
INFINITI 2014
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Session 4c| MONASH Meeting Room (Room 10)
VOLATILITY II Chair: Andrea Cipollini, Università di Palermo, Italy
Identifying Volatility Signals from Time-Varying Stock
*Till Strohsal, Freie Universität Berlin, Germany
Enzo Weber, Universität Regensburg, Germany
Discussant: Andrea Cipollini, Università di Palermo, Italy
Return and volatility spillovers between Vietnam and Asian stock markets
*Xuân Vinh Võ, University of Economics, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
Craig Ellis, University of Western Sydney, Australia
Discussant: Till Strohsal, Freie Universität Berlin, Germany
Volatility co-movements: a time scale decomposition analysis
*Andrea Cipollini, Università di Palermo, Italy
Iolanda Lo Cascio, Università di Palermo, Italy
Silvia Muzzioli, Università degli Studi di Modena e Reggio Emilio, Italy
Discussant: Xuân Vinh Võ, University of Economics, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
Session 4d| MONASH Studio 1 (Room 12)
FORECASTING I Chair: Joscha Beckmann, Universität Duisberg Essen, Germany
How Stale Central Bank Interest Rate Projections Affect Interest Rate Uncertainty
*Gunda-Alexandra Detmers, Freie Universität Berlin, Germany
Dieter Nautz, Freie Universität Berlin, Germany
Discussant: Zsolt Darvas, Bruegel, Belgium & University of Pécs, Hungary
Does Pooling Improve Predictions on the Stock returns?
Domenica Di Virgilio, Università Bocconi, Italy
Discussant: Maurice Peat, The University of Sydney, Australia
Forecasting Equity Premia using Bayesian Dynamic Model Averaging
*Joscha Beckmann, Universität Duisberg Essen, Germany
Rainer Schüssler, Westfälische Wilhelms-Universität Münster, Germany
Discussant: Gunda-Alexandra Detmers, Freie Universität Berlin, Germany
INFINITI 2014 @ Monash University Prato Centre
Session 4e| MONASH Sala Toscana (Room 14)
BANKING INTEGRATION Chair: Emmanuel Mamatzakis, University of Sussex, UK
Market Perception on Interbank Transmission: An Application to Eurozone Systemically Important
Institutions
Cherry Muijsson, University of Cambridge, UK
Discussant: Emmanuel Mamatzakis, University of Sussex, UK
Convergence in European Retail Payments
Emmi Martikainen, Finnish Competition and Consumer Authority, Finland
Heiko Schmiedel, European Central Bank, Germany
*Tuomas Takalo, Bank of Finland, Finland
Discussant: Cherry Muijsson, University of Cambridge, UK
Is there convergence in investment banking in the aftermath of the financial crisis?
*Emmanuel Mamatzakis, University of Sussex, UK
Theodora Bermpei, University of Sussex, UK
Discussant: Tuomas Takalo, Bank of Finland, Finland
Session 4f | MONASH Sala Giochi (Room 15)
INTEREST RATES IN EUROPE Chair: Guillaume Horny, Banque de France, France
Interest Rate Pass-through and Fragmentation in the Euro Area: Evidence from Micro Data
*Sarah Holton, Central Bank of Ireland, Ireland
Costanza Rodriguez d'Acri, European Central Bank, Germany
Discussant: Guillaume Horny, Banque de France, France
Has the Financial Crisis affected the Real Interest Rate Dynamics in Europe
Nektarios Aslanidis, Universitat Rovira i Virgili, Spain
Selva Demiralp, Koç University, Turkey
*(This paper will be presented by Selva’s Graduate Student, Ipek Mumcu.)
Discussant: Sarah Holton, Central Bank of Ireland, Ireland
The stability of interest rates pass-through in the euro area over crises
Sanvi Avouyi-Dovi, Banque de France, France
*Guillaume Horny, Banque de France, France
Patrick Sevestre, Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne, France
Discussant: Ipek Mumcu, Koç University, Turkey
INFINITI 2014
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Session 4g | MONASH Sala Veneziana (Room 6)
REGULATION I Chair: Stephen Ong, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, USA
The Role of the Financial Supervisory Architecture on Welfare and Inflation Bias
Diana Lima, University of Surrey, UK
*Ioannis Lazopoulos, University of Surrey, UK
Vasco Gabriel, University of Surrey, UK
Discussant: Stephen Ong, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, USA
Financial Stress Index: A Lens for Supervising the Financial System
Mikhail Oet, Case Western Reserve University & Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, USA
Timothy Bianco, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland & University of Kentucky, USA
Dieter Gramlich, DHBW Duale Hochschule Baden-Wüttemberg, Germany
*Stephen Ong, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, USA
Discussant: Ioannis Lazopoulos, University of Surrey, UK
Session 4h | Palazzo delle Professioni (upstairs) Sala Torre
CORPORATE WEALTH CREATION AND DESTRUCTION Chair: Milena Petrova, Università Bocconi, Italy
Is China’s Rare Earths Policy Value Destroying for Shareholders in U.S. Companies?
Maximilian Müller, WHU Otto Beisheim Graduate School of Management, Germany
Denis Schweizer, WHU Otto Beisheim Graduate School of Management, Germany
*Volker Seiler, Universität Paderborn, Germany
Discussant: Milena Petrova, Università Bocconi, Italy
Prestige without Purpose? Reputation, Differentiation, and Pricing in U.S. Equity Underwriting
Chitru Fernando, The University of Oklahoma, USA
Vladimir Gatchev, University of Central Florida, USA
Anthony May, Wichita State University, USA
*William Megginson, The University of Oklahoma, USA & Université Paris Dauphine, France
Discussant: Volker Seiler, Universität Paderborn, Germany
Voting Cap Regulation and Shareholder Wealth: The Case of Indian Banks
Chinmoy Ghosh, University of Connecticut, USA
James Hilliard, University of Georgia, USA
B V Phani, Indian Institute of Technology, Kanpur, India
*Milena Petrova, Università Bocconi, Italy
Discussant: William Megginson, The University of Oklahoma, USA & Université Paris Dauphine,
France
INFINITI 2014 @ Monash University Prato Centre
Session 4i | Palazzo delle Professioni (upstairs) Sala Teatro
HOUSEHOLDS Chair: Zoltán Schepp, University of Pécs, Hungary
Does Financial Integration Increase Welfare? Evidence From International Household-Level Data
Christian Friedrich, Bank of Canada, Canada
Discussant: Mónika Pitz, University of Pécs, Hungary
Foreign Currency Loans and Loan Arrears of Households in Central and Eastern Europe
*Elisabeth Beckmann, Oesterreichische Nationalbank, Austria
Jarko Fidrmuc, Zeppelin University (ZU Friedrichshafen), Germany
Helmut Stix, Oesterreichische Nationalbank, Austria
Discussant: Christian Friedrich, Bank of Canada, Canada
Foreign currency borrowing by households: lessons from Hungary
*Mónika Pitz, University of Pécs, Hungary
Zoltán Schepp, University of Pécs, Hungary
Discussant: Elisabeth Beckmann, Oesterreichische Nationalbank, Austria
Session 4j | Palazzo delle Professioni (upstairs) Sala Periti
PORTFOLIO COMPOSITION AND MANAGEMENT Chair: Jacques Pezier, University of Sussex, UK
Can investment in cleaner production improve the financial performance of Spanish pension
plans?
Carmen Martí, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Spain
Discussant: Jacques Pezier, University of Sussex, UK
Crystallization - the Hidden Dimension of Hedge Funds' Fee Structure
*Gert Elaut, Universiteit Gent, Belgium
Michael Frömmel, Universiteit Gent, Belgium
John Sjödin, Universiteit Gent, Belgium
Discussant: Carmen Martí, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Spain
Dynamic Portfolio Rebalancing with Transaction Costs and Time-Varying Expected Return
Vladimir Zdorovenin
*Jacques Pezier, University of Sussex, UK
Discussant: Gert Elaut, Universiteit Gent, Belgium
INFINITI 2014
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Session 4k | TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 7 (upstairs)
EMERGING MARKETS Chair: Thomas Lagoarde-Segot, KEDGE Business School, France
A Time-varying Measure of Fiscal Crowding-out based on Financial Integration: Divergence
between Advanced and Emerging Market Economies
*Ju Hyun Pyun, Korea University, Republic of Korea
Dooyeon Cho, Kookmin University, Republic of Korea
Discussant: Montfort Mlachila, IMF International Monetary Fund, USA
The impact of banking crises on sovereign bond yield spreads in emerging markets: Evidence
from an instrumental variable approach
Stefan Eichler, Otto-von-Guericke-Universität Magdeburg & Halle Institute for Economic
Research, Germany
Discussant: Ju Hyun Pyun, Korea University, Republic of Korea
Does Openness Matter for Financial Development in Africa?
Antonio David, IMF International Monetary Fund, USA
*Montfort Mlachila, IMF International Monetary Fund, USA
Ashwin Moheeput, IMF International Monetary Fund, USA
Discussant: Stefan Eichler, Otto-von-Guericke-Universität Magdeburg & Halle Institute for
Economic Research, Germany
Session 4l | TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 8 (upstairs)
SENTIMENT AND RISK Chair: Colm Kearney, Monash University, Australia
Idiosyncratic Risk and UK Mutual Fund Performance
*Javier Vidal García, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Spain
Marta Vidal, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Spain
Discussant: Elaine Hutson, Monash University, Australia
Do you trust sentiment?
*Fabian Gogolin, Dublin City University, Ireland
Michael Dowling, Dublin City University, Ireland
Mark Cummins, Dublin City University, Ireland
Discussant: Colm Kearney, Monash University, Australia
Media content and shock returns: a time-varying analysis at the firm level
Khurshid Ahmad, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
*Elaine Hutson, Monash University, Australia
Colm Kearney, Monash University, Australia
Sha Liu, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
Discussant: Fabian Gogolin, Dublin City University, Ireland
INFINITI 2014 @ Monash University Prato Centre
Session 4m | TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 9 (upstairs)
WHICH TRADES MATTER? Chair: Frank McGroarty, University of Southampton, UK
Conservatism and representativeness in London Stock Exchange: Evidence from the recent
financial crisis
*Spiridon Kariofyllas, University of Patras, Greece
Costas Siriopoulos, University of Patras, Greece
Discussant: Frank McGroarty, University of Southampton, UK
Which Trades Matter and When: Evidence from High Frequency – Sector Data
*Marwan Izzeldin, Lancaster University, UK
Dennis Kristensen, University College London, UK
Peiran Shi, Lancaster University, UK
Discussant: Spiridon Kariofyllas, University of Patras, Greece
Was Intrade manipulated? Evidence from Cointegration and Granger Causality Tests
John Goodell, The University of Akron, USA
*Frank McGroarty, University of Southampton, UK
Andrew Urquhart, University of Southampton, UK
Discussant: Marwan Izzeldin, Lancaster University, UK
Session 4n | TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 16 (upstairs)
INVESTMENT RESEARCH APPROACHES Chair: Igor Lončarski, University of Ljubljana, Slovenia
On the Demand for Alternatives to Sell-Side Investment Research
Alistair Haig, The University of Edinburgh, UK
Discussant: Igor Lončarski, University of Ljubljana, Slovenia
Can oversight mitigate auditor’s motivated reasoning? An experimental study
*Igor Lončarski, University of Ljubljana, Slovenia
Sergeja Slapnicar, University of Ljubljana, Slovenia
Maja Zaman Groff, University of Ljubljana, Slovenia
Discussant: Alistair Haig, The University of Edinburgh, UK
INFINITI 2014
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Session 4o | TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 19 (upstairs)
MARKETS AND LIQUIDITY Chair: Geir Høidal Bjønnes, BI Norwegian Business School, Norway
Illiquidity in the stock and FX markets: an investigation of their cross-market dynamics
Chiara Banti, University of Essex, UK
Discussant: Geir Høidal Bjønnes, BI Norwegian Business School, Norway
In Search of Concepts: The Effects of Speculative Demand on Returns and Volume
Owain ap Gwilym, Bangor University, UK
Iftekhar Hasan, Fordham University, USA
Qingwei Wang, Bangor University, UK
*Ru Xie, Bangor University, UK
Discussant: Chiara Banti, University of Essex, UK
The Cost of FX Liquidity: Empirical Tests of Competing Theories
Neophytos Kathitziotis, Universität Hamburg & Commerzbank AG, Germany
Carol Osler, Brandeis University, USA
*Geir Høidal Bjønnes, BI Norwegian Business School, Norway
Discussant: Ru Xie, Bangor University, UK
INFINITI 2014 @ Monash University Prato Centre
Tuesday, 1245-1345: Lunchtime Sessions
Session | MONASH Salone Grollo (Room 2)
WOMEN IN FINANCE Chair: Jennifer Berrill, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
Is there a glass ceiling in finance and finance academia? If so, how can it be breached? What,
if any, are the particular challenges facing female academics in finance? Panel members
incude Christine Brown (Monash University, Australia), Sandra Dow (Monterey Institute of
International Studies, Middlebury College, USA), Elaine Hutson (Monash University, Australia)
and Kate Phylaktis (Cass Business School, City University London, UK).
Session | Palazzo delle Professioni (upstairs) Sala Periti
SPONSORED SESSION: EVENTUS – MAXIMISE YOUR RESEARCH SUCCESS Chair: Arnold Cowan, Iowa State University & Cowan Research LC (Eventus), USA
How can Eventus help you publish in top journals? Professor Arnie Cowan, creator of Eventus
software, discusses trends in empirical research and how Eventus can help you. The session will
include demonstrations of research solutions in Eventus including features in the new version
being released this year.
Session | MONASH Sala Veneziana (Room 6)
EARLY STAGE RESEARCH PRESENTATIONS II Chair: Maurice Peat, The University of Sydney, Australia
Global stock price linkages around world financial crisis: UK evidence
Larisa Yarovaya, Northumbria University, UK
Discussant: Adam Ng, INCEIF The Global University of Islamic Finance, Malaysia
Fama - French model in Asian markets - a comparison with the US and European results
Hong-Tram Dang, Université de Rennes 1, France
Discussant: Frank McGroarty, University of Southampton, UK
Rituals of verification: Impression management and the audit profession
Neil Dunne, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
Discussant: Igor Lončarski, University of Ljubljana, Slovenia
INFINITI 2014
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Tuesday, 1400-1530: Parallel Sessions 5
Session 5a | MONASH Salone Grollo (Room 2)
CRISIS Chair: Roselyne Joyeux, Macquarie University, Australia
Capital Adequacy and Bank Risk-Taking during the Global Financial Crisis
*Thomas Conlon, University College Dublin, Ireland
John Cotter, University College Dublin, Ireland
Philip Molyneux, Bangor University, UK
Discussant: George Milunovich, Macquarie University, Australia
Sovereign Risk and the Impact of Crisis: Evidence from Latin America
*Jonathan Batten, Monash University, Australia
Gerard Gannon, Deakin University, Australia
Kannan Thuraisamy, Deakin University, Australia
Discussant: Thomas Conlon, University College Dublin, Ireland
Speculative Bubbles, Financial Crises and Convergence in Global Real Estate Investment Trusts
*Roselyne Joyeux, Macquarie University, Australia
George Milunovich, Macquarie University, Australia
Discussant: Jonathan Batten, Monash University, Australia
Session 5b |MONASH Breakout 2 (Room 4)
CENTRAL BANKING OBJECTIVES Chair: William Gavin, Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis, USA
When central banks should advocate adoption of the Euro. Evaluations with GARCH-in-Mean
modeling
Hubert Gabrisch, Halle Institute for Economic Research, Germany
Discussant: William Gavin, Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis, USA
Does Financial Stability Matter to the Fed?
*Mikhail Oet, Case Western Reserve University & Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, USA
Amanda Janosko, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, USA
Stephen Ong, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, USA
John Dooley, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, USA
Discussant: Hubert Gabrisch, Halle Institute for Economic Research, Germany
The Stimulative Effect of Forward Guidance
*William Gavin, Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis, USA
Benjamin Keen, The University of Oklahoma, USA
Alexander Richter, Auburn University, USA
Nathaniel Throckmorton, Indiana University, USA
Discussant: Mikhail Oet, Case Western Reserve University & Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland,
USA
INFINITI 2014 @ Monash University Prato Centre
Session 5c| MONASH Meeting Room (Room 10)
WORKSHOP: FINANCIAL GEOGRAPHY Chair: Martin Sokol, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
Not so long ago, in the context of finance, geography was proclaimed ‘dead’. Financial
globalisation, greatly aided by ICT developments, was said to diminish the importance of
distance, location and space. Indeed, the ability to move money around the globe in splits of
seconds was supposed to extinguish the ‘tyranny of geography’ forever. However, the recent
global financial crisis serves as a good reminder that geography in finance is ‘alive and kicking’.
In fact, some would argue that geography plays a key role in the operation of the financial
system and its crisis. So what is the role of geography in contemporary finance? This workshop is
aimed to provide a space for an informal discussion on the links between finance and
geography.
Session 5d| MONASH Studio 1 (Room 12)
FORECASTING II Chair: Zsolt Darvas, Bruegel, Belgium & University of Pécs, Hungary
How Exactly Do Markets Adapt? Evidence from the Moving Average Rule in Three Developed
Markets
*Andrew Urquhart, University of Southampton, UK
Robert Hudson, The University of Hull, UK
Bartosz Gebka, Newcastle University, UK
Discussant: Zoltán Schepp, University of Pécs, Hungary
How Good Can Heuristic-Based Forecasts Be? A Comparative Performance of Econometric and
Heuristic Models for UK and US Asset Returns
Massimo Guidolin, Università Bocconi, Italy
*Alexei Orlov, Radford University, USA
Discussant: Andrew Urquhart, University of Southampton, UK
Forecasting exchange rates of major currencies with long maturity forward rates
*Zsolt Darvas, Bruegel, Belgium & University of Pécs, Hungary
Zoltán Schepp, University of Pécs, Hungary
Discussant: Alexei Orlov, Radford University, USA
Session 5e| MONASH Sala Toscana (Room 14)
BANKS INTERNATIONALLY Chair: Matej Marinč, University of Ljubljana, Slovenia
Granularity in Banking and Growth: Does Financial Openness Matter?
*Franziska Bremus, DIW German Institute for Economic Research, Germany
Claudia M Buch, Halle Institute for Economic Research, Germany
Discussant: Matej Marinč, University of Ljubljana, Slovenia
A cross-country analysis of bank bankruptcy regimes
*Matej Marinč, University of Ljubljana, Slovenia
Vasja Rant, University of Ljubljana, Slovenia
Discussant: Franziska Bremus, DIW German Institute for Economic Research, Germany
INFINITI 2014
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Session 5f | MONASH Sala Giochi (Room 15)
WORKSHOP: SME FINANCE Chair: Ciarán mac an Bhaird, Dublin City University, Ireland
Small and medium sized firms constitute the majority of enterprises and account for over two
thirds of employment in almost every country. The provision of finance to the sector is a primary
concern for policy makers concerned with stubbornly high rates of unemployment. At this
workshop we present an overview of research on financing small firms, considering all types of
finance including angel investment, venture capital, debt and related banking issues, and
‘new’ forms of finance such as crowd funding. We discuss the state of the art in the literature,
including the need for greater theoretical development; provision of, and access to data; and
perennial questions, such as ‘Is there a financing gap for small firms?’. Our workshop will,
hopefully, provide a greater understanding of the breadth of research in the field and provoke
lively discussion about the support of policy makers, and whether such intervention is effective.
Session 5g | MONASH Sala Veneziana (Room 6)
REGULATION II Chair: Rodney Maddock, Monash University, Australia
Systemic Risk and Heterogeneous Leverage in Banking Network: Implications for Banking
Regulation
Can Sever, Boğaziçi University, Turkey
Tolga Umut Kuzubaş, Boğaziçi University, Turkey
*Burak Saltoğlu, Boğaziçi University, Turkey
Discussant: Rodney Maddock, Monash University, Australia
Performance of Market Discipline on the Islamic Financial Instrument: Evidence from Indonesian
Islamic Gold Investment Scandal
*Erie Febrian, Universitas Padjadjaran, Indonesia
Aldrin Herwany, Universitas Padjadjaran, Indonesia
Dian Masyita, Universitas Padjadjaran, Indonesia
Wardhana Wardhana, Universitas Padjadjaran, Indonesia
Discussant: Burak Saltoğlu, Boğaziçi University, Turkey
Regulation and the nature of competition between bank and non-bank lenders
Stephen King, Monash University, Australia
*Rodney Maddock, Monash University, Australia
Discussant: Erie Febrian, Universitas Padjadjaran, Indonesia
INFINITI 2014 @ Monash University Prato Centre
Session 5h | Palazzo delle Professioni (upstairs) Sala Torre
CREDIT AND CREDIT MANAGEMENT Chair: Richard Simper, The University of Nottingham, UK
Credit Composition and the Growth Effect of Credit
Dirk Bezemer, University of Groningen, The Netherlands
Maria Grydaki, University of Stirling, UK
*Lu Zhang, University of Groningen, The Netherlands
Discussant: Richard Simper, The University of Nottingham, UK
The Interdependence between Credit and Real Business Cycles in Latin American Economies
José Gómez González, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, Colombia
*Jair Ojeda, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, Colombia
Fernando Tenjo-Galarza, CEMLA Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, Mexico
Héctor Zárate, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, Colombia
Discussant: Lu Zhang, University of Groningen, The Netherlands
Explaining loan loss provisioning behavior in Vietnamese banking
Cormac Bryce, The University of Nottingham, UK
Aristeidis Dadoukis, The University of Nottingham, UK
Maximilian Hall, Loughborough University, UK
Linh Nguyen, Northumbria University, UK
*Richard Simper, The University of Nottingham, UK
Discussant: Jair Ojeda, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, Colombia
Session 5i | Palazzo delle Professioni (upstairs) Sala Teatro
COMMODITIES III Chair: Jerry Coakley, University of Essex, UK
Has the Dollar Always Dominated Global Oil Markets? Evidence and Implications for the
International Monetary System
*Livia Chitu, European Central Bank, Germany
Barry Eichengreen, University of California, Berkeley, USA
Arnaud Mehl, European Central Bank, Germany
Discussant: Jerry Coakley, University of Essex, UK
On the determinants of food price volatility
Sanvi Avouyi-Dovi, Banque de France & Université Paris Dauphine, France
Lyes Koliai, Université Paris Dauphine, France
* Kuhanathan Ano Sujithan, Université Paris Dauphine, France
Discussant: Livia Chitu, European Central Bank, Germany
Bubbling Over Along the Oil Futures Yield Curve
Daniel Tsvetanov, University of Essex, UK
*Jerry Coakley, University of Essex, UK
Neil Kellard, University of Essex, UK
Discussant: Robert Czudaj, Universität Duisberg Essen, Germany
INFINITI 2014
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Session 5j | Palazzo delle Professioni (upstairs) Sala Periti
WORKSHOP: TRADING VOLATILITY Chair: Carol Alexander, University of Sussex, UK
The first contribution of this extended paper is to present a comprehensive and up-to-date
description of the trading and statistical characteristics of volatility futures and their exchange-
traded products. This motivates a detailed study of their benefits to traditional investors seeking
to diversify exposure to equity and bonds. We ask: how high should the expected return on
volatility be so that investors perceive, ex-ante, that diversification into volatility is optimal? This
so-called `optimal diversification threshold' will depend on the parameters of the optimization
framework that is employed by the investor, including: the covariances between returns on
equity, bonds and volatility; the expected returns on equity and bonds; and possibly also on the
investor's risk aversion. We derive this threshold for standard mean-variance investors,
subsequently extending the analysis to include skewness preference and then to allow for
moderation of personal forecasts by equilibrium returns as in the Black-Litterman framework. The
final contribution of our paper is to provide an extensive empirical analysis of the potential
benefits of volatility diversification for investors in the US and EU markets. Using data from 2006 to
2013 we find that diversification of equity-bond portfolios by adding long positions in volatility
futures would frequently have been perceived as optimal, ex-ante; but the optimally-diversified
portfolios only out-performed traditional equity-bond portfolios during crisis periods.
Nevertheless, after accounting for transactions costs -- including the roll costs on volatility futures
which arise because the term structure is almost always in contango -- we still find that all the
investors considered (i.e. standard mean-variance, skewness-aware investors and those holding
personal views within the Black-Litterman framework) can benefit from volatility diversification, at
least when forecasts are based on very recent market data.
Session 5k | TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 7 (upstairs)
NATIONAL EFFECTS Chair: Astrid Juliane Salzmann, RWTH Aachen University, Germany
Governance Transparency among the Largest Multinationals: Influence of Firm, Industry, and
National Factors
Raj Aggarwal, The University of Akron, USA
*John W Goodell, The University of Akron, USA
Discussant: Astrid Juliane Salzmann, RWTH Aachen University, Germany
Optimism of financial analysts: a comparison between US and European countries
Hélène Honoré, CNRS, France
Discussant: John W Goodell, The University of Akron, USA
National culture and takeover performance
Wolfgang Breuer, RWTH Aachen University, Germany
*Astrid Juliane Salzmann, RWTH Aachen University, Germany
Discussant: Hélène Honoré, CNRS, France
INFINITI 2014 @ Monash University Prato Centre
Session 5l | TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 8 (upstairs)
RISK AND RISK MODELS Chair: Elaine Hutson, Monash University, Australia
Dependence and risk management in oil and stock markets. A wavelet-copula analysis
*Rania Jammazi, IPAG Business School, Tunisia
Juan Carlos Reboredo, Universidad de Santiago de Compostela, Spain
Discussant: Xisong Jin, Université du Luxembourg, Luxembourg
Investment Funds' Vulnerabilities: A Tail-risk Dynamic CIMDO Approach
*Xisong Jin, Université du Luxembourg, Luxembourg
Francisco Nadal de Simone, Banque Centrale du Luxembourg, Luxembourg
Discussant: Rania Jammazi, IPAG Business School, Tunisia
Session 5m | TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 9 (upstairs)
TRADING AND MARKETS Chair: Christine Brown, Monash University, Australia
Trading Intensity and Informed Trading in the Tunis Stock Exchange
*Rabaa Karaa, Institut des Hautes Etudes Commerciales (IHEC) Carthage, Tunisia
Skander Slim, University of Sousse, Tunisia
Dorra Mezzez Hmaied, Institut des Hautes Etudes Commerciales (IHEC) Carthage, Tunisia
Discussant: Christine Brown, Monash University, Australia
The curious case of changes in trading dynamics when firms switch from NYSE to Nasdaq
*Thu Phuong Pham, University of Tasmania, Australia
David Michayluk, University of Technology Sydney, Australia
Discussant: Rabaa Karaa, Institut des Hautes Etudes Commerciales (IHEC) Carthage, Tunisia
Institutional trading and wealth transfer: Evidence from Australian rights offers
Choy Yeing (Chloe) Ho, Monash University, Australia
*Christine Brown, Monash University, Australia
Hue Hwa Au Yong, Monash University, Australia
Chander Shekhar, The University of Melbourne, Australia
Discussant: Thu Phuong Pham, University of Tasmania, Australia
INFINITI 2014
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Session 5n | TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 16 (upstairs)
LONG-TERM FINANCE Chair: Dirk Ulbricht, DIW German Institute for Economic Research, Germany
Long-Term Stock Returns during the Euro Crisis: Evidence of a Credit Crunch?
Yrjo Koskinen, Boston University, USA
*Michael Manser, University of Colorado Boulder, USA
Mattias Nilsson, University of Colorado Boulder, USA
Discussant: Dirk Ulbricht, DIW German Institute for Economic Research, Germany
International Financial Integration and Banking over the Very Long-Run: Non-Linear Time Series
Evidence for Brazil since 1870
Nauro Campos, Brunel University, UK
Menelaos Karanasos, Brunel University, UK
*Panagiotis Koutroumpis, Brunel University, UK
Discussant: Michael Manser, University of Colorado Boulder, USA
Stock investments for old-age
Dirk Ulbricht, DIW German Institute for Economic Research, Germany
Discussant: Panagiotis Koutroumpis, Brunel University, UK
Session 5o | TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 19 (upstairs)
NEW MONIES NEW REGULATION Chair: Katarzyna Sum, Warsaw School of Economics, Poland
How should regulators control cell phone money?
Shann Turnbull, International Institute for Self-Governance, Australia
Discussant: Gerald P Dwyer, Clemson University, USA
The Economics of Private Digital Currency
Gerald P Dwyer, Clemson University, USA
Discussant: Shann Turnbull, International Institute for Self-Governance, Australia
INFINITI 2014 @ Monash University Prato Centre
Tuesday, 1600-1730: Parallel Sessions 6
Session 6a | MONASH Salone Grollo (Room 2)
WORLD MARKETS Chair: Stefan Reitz, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Germany
Global Currency Misalignments, Crash Sensitivity, and Moment Risk Premia
*Huichou Huang, University of Glasgow, UK
Ronald MacDonald, University of Glasgow, UK
Yang Zhao, University of Glasgow, UK
Discussant: Stefan Reitz, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Germany
Exchange rate pass-through to crude oil prices: New evidence from a wavelet-based nonlinear
ARDL model
Rania Jammazi, IPAG Business School, Tunisia
Discussant: Huichou Huang, University of Glasgow, UK
Liquidity Intermediation in the Euro Money Market
*Stefan Reitz, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Germany
Falko Fecht, Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, Germany
Discussant: Rania Jammazi, IPAG Business School, Tunisia
Session 6b |MONASH Breakout 2 (Room 4)
MONETARY POLICY: EFFECTS Chair: Emmanouil Noikokyris, Kingston University, UK
Temporal distribution of extreme currency fluctuations –the role of monetary policy
Gábor Dávid Kiss, University of Szeged, Hungary
Discussant: Emmanouil Noikokyris, Kingston University, UK
The spillover effects of unconventional monetary policies in developed countries on developing
countries
Tatiana Fic, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, UK
Discussant: Gábor Dávid Kiss, University of Szeged, Hungary
U.S. Monetary Policy Surprises and International Equity Returns: The Implications of Policy
Synchronization
Georgios Chortareas, King's College London, UK
*Emmanouil Noikokyris, Kingston University, UK
Discussant: Tatiana Fic, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, UK
INFINITI 2014
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Session 6c| MONASH Meeting Room (Room 10)
BANKING OPERATIONS AND FINANCING Chair: Leone Leonida, Queen Mary, University of London, UK
Determinants of Operational Risk in Financial Institutions: Evidence from German-speaking
Countries
Jörg Prokop, Carl von Ossietzky Universität Oldenburg, Germany
*Suren Pakhchanyan, Carl von Ossietzky Universität Oldenburg, Germany
Discussant: Gianfranco Gianfrate, Università Bocconi, Italy
Systemic Risk Assessment: Stress Testing the French Banking System
Lyes Koliai, Université Paris Dauphine, France
Discussant: Suren Pakhchanyan, Carl von Ossietzky Universität Oldenburg, Germany
Does Relative Valuation Work for Banks?
*Gianfranco Gianfrate, Università Bocconi, Italy
Gianfranco Forte, Università degli Studi di Milano-Bicocca, Italy
Discussant: Lyes Koliai, Université Paris Dauphine, France
Session 6d| MONASH Studio 1 (Room 12)
MODELING RETURNS AND LEVELS Chair: Anatoly Peresetsky, Higher School of Economics, Russian Federation
A calibration procedure for analyzing stock price dynamics in an agent-based framework
Maria Cristina Recchioni, Università Politecnica delle Marche, Italy
*Gabriele Tedeschi, Università Politecnica delle Marche, Italy
Mauro Gallegati, Università Politecnica delle Marche, Italy
Discussant: Anatoly Peresetsky, Higher School of Economics, Russian Federation
Data smoothing and filtering in real time using entropic kernel compression
Roger J Bowden, Victoria University of Wellington, New Zealand
Peter N Posch, Universität Ulm, Germany
*Thomas Blaesche, Universität Ulm, Germany
Discussant: Gabriele Tedeschi, Università Politecnica delle Marche, Italy
Extracting global stochastic trend from non-synchronous data
Iikka Korhonen, Bank of Finland, Finland
*Anatoly Peresetsky, Higher School of Economics, Russian Federation
Discussant: Thomas Blaesche, Universität Ulm, Germany
INFINITI 2014 @ Monash University Prato Centre
Session 6e| MONASH Sala Toscana (Room 14)
BANK LOANS AND BANKING Chair: Pinar Uysal, EPFL École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne, Switzerland
Financial distress and accrual anomaly: Evidence from the Vietnamese stock market
Pascal Alphonse, Université Lille 2 Droit et Santé, France
*Thu Hang Nguyen, Université Lille 2 Droit et Santé, France
Discussant: Pinar Uysal, EPFL École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne, Switzerland
Do Banks Really Use Financial Derivatives for Hedging?
*Matej Marinč, University of Ljubljana, Slovenia
Shaofang Li, University of Ljubljana, Slovenia
Discussant: Thu Hang Nguyen, Université Lille 2 Droit et Santé, France
Takeover Defense Provisions, Equity Volatility, and the Cost of Bank Loans
Lewis Gaul, US Treasury, Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, USA
Jonathan Jones, US Treasury, Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, USA
Ajay Palvia, US Treasury, Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, USA
*Pinar Uysal, EPFL École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne, Switzerland
Discussant: Matej Marinč, University of Ljubljana, Slovenia
Session 6f | MONASH Sala Giochi (Room 15)
CAPITAL FLOWS AND INTEREST RATES Chair: Philip Brock, University of Washington, USA
International Interest Rate Shocks and Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy
Hangyu Lee, Bank of Korea, Republic of Korea
Discussant: Philip Brock, University of Washington, USA
Capital Inflows and the Interest Premium Problem: Revisiting the effects of Monetary Sterilisation
in Selected Asian Economies
*Tony Cavoli, University of South Australia, Australia
Ramkishen Rajan, George Mason University, USA
Discussant: Hangyu Lee, Bank of Korea, Republic of Korea
Global Financial Shocks and Foreign Asset Repatriation: When do Local Investors Play a
Stabilizing Role?
Gustavo Adler, IMF International Monetary Fund, USA
Marie Louise Djigbenou, Banque de France, France
*Sebastian Sosa, IMF International Monetary Fund, USA
Discussant: Tony Cavoli, University of South Australia, Australia
Capital Adjustment Costs and the Gains from International Financial Integration: A q-Theory
Approach
Philip Brock, University of Washington, USA
Discussant: Sebastian Sosa, IMF International Monetary Fund, USA
INFINITI 2014
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Session 6g | MONASH Sala Veneziana (Room 6)
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL SERVICE ISSUES Chair: Andrea Zaghini, Banca d'Italia, Italy
Borrowing beyond Borders: Foreign Assets, Lender Choice, and Loan Pricing in the Syndicated
Bank Loan Market
Joel Houston, University of Florida, USA
*Jennifer Itzkowitz, Seton Hall University, USA
Andy Naranjo, University of Florida, USA
Discussant: Andrea Zaghini, Banca d'Italia, Italy
A Tale of Fragmentation: the Euro-Area Corporate Bond Market
Andrea Zaghini, Banca d'Italia, Italy
Discussant: Jennifer Itzkowitz, Seton Hall University, USA
Session 6h | Palazzo delle Professioni (upstairs) Sala Torre
STATUS Chair: Volker Seiler, Universität Paderborn, Germany
Masters of the Stock Market
*Kristjan Liivamägi, Tallinn University of Technology, Estonia
Tarvo Vaarmets, Tallinn University of Technology, Estonia
Tõnn Talpsepp, Tallinn University of Technology, Estonia
Discussant: Yulia Plaksina, Dublin City University, Ireland
The Influence of Social Status on the Incidence of Financial Statement Fraud Committed by
Board Directors
*Paula Bolger, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
Aleksandar Sevic, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
Discussant: Kristjan Liivamägi, Tallinn University of Technology, Estonia
CEO Social Status and Corporate Investment Decisions
*Yulia Plaksina, Dublin City University, Ireland
Liam Gallagher, Dublin City University, Ireland
Michael Dowling, Dublin City University, Ireland
Discussant: Paula Bolger, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
INFINITI 2014 @ Monash University Prato Centre
Session 6i | Palazzo delle Professioni (upstairs) Sala Teatro
GOLD II Chair: Robert Czudaj, Universität Duisberg Essen, Germany
Is the Price of Gold Manipulated?
Dirk Baur, University of Technology Sydney, Australia
Discussant: Michael Lucey, Durham University, UK
Testing for the Existence of Psychological Barriers in Precious Metals Prices
*Fergal O'Connor, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
Michael Lucey, Durham University, UK
Discussant: Dirk Baur, University of Technology Sydney, Australia
Gold Price Forecasts in a Dynamic Model Averaging Framework: Have the Determinants
Changed Over Time?
Dirk Baur, University of Technology Sydney, Australia
Joscha Beckmann, Universität Duisberg Essen, Germany
*Robert Czudaj, Universität Duisberg Essen, Germany
Discussant: Fergal O'Connor, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
Session 6j | Palazzo delle Professioni (upstairs) Sala Periti
DARK POOLS AND TRADERS Chair: Frank Skinner, Brunel University, UK
Fragmentation and Consolidation of Dark Order Books
*Julia Henker, Bond University, Australia
Thomas Henker, Bond University, Australia
Jaroslaw Majtyka, Bond University, Australia
Discussant: Frank Skinner, Brunel University, UK
Persistent Doubt: An Examination of the performance of hedge funds
María de la O González, Universidad de Castilla-La Mancha, Spain
Nicolas Papageorgiou, HEC Montréal, Canada
*Frank Skinner, Brunel University, UK
Discussant: Julia Henker, Bond University, Australia
Session 6k | TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 7 (upstairs)
PANEL SESSION: NATIONAL CULTURE Chair: John W Goodell, The University of Akron, USA
The role of national cultural differences as a factor in economic decisions is well accepted in
international business and management but has only recently begun to penetrate into the
finance literature. This panel session will introduce you to the research, outlining how national
culture can be measured and how it can be proxied, recent findings and new approaches.
After a brief presentation by each panel member audience, questions will be welcomed.
Panel members are Astrid Salzmann, John Goodell and Michael Dowling.
INFINITI 2014
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Session 6l | TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 8 (upstairs)
INFORMATION AND EXPECTATIONS Chair: Arnold Cowan, Iowa State University & Cowan Research LC (Eventus), USA
Inflation Expectations Spillovers between the United States and Euro Area
Aleksei Netšunajev, Freie Universität Berlin, Germany
*Lars Winkelmann, Freie Universität Berlin, Germany
Discussant: Arnold Cowan, Iowa State University & Cowan Research LC (Eventus), USA
Search, Liquidity, and Retention: Signaling Multidimensional Private Information
Basil Williams, Duke University, USA
Discussant: Lars Winkelmann, Freie Universität Berlin, Germany
Did New EU Rules Reduce Information Risk? Evidence from Earnings Announcements
*Arnold Cowan, Iowa State University & Cowan Research LC (Eventus), USA
Valentina Salotti, Iowa State University, USA
Discussant: Basil Williams, Duke University, USA
Session 6m | TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 9 (upstairs)
INTERNATIONAL PORTFOLIOS Chair: Thomas Conlon, University College Dublin, Ireland
On the Index Tracking and the Statistical Arbitrage Choosing the Stocks by Means of
Cointegration. The Role of Stock Picking
*Fernando Fernández Rodríguez, Universidad de Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Spain
Eduardo Acosta González, Universidad de Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Spain
Reinaldo Armas Herrera, Universidad de Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Spain
Discussant: Thomas Conlon, University College Dublin, Ireland
Time-Varying Systematic and Idiosyncratic Risk Exposures of US Bank Holding Companies
*Wolfgang Bessler, Justus-Liebig-Universität Giessen, Germany
Philipp Kurmann, Justus-Liebig-Universität Giessen, Germany
Tom Nohel, Loyola University Chicago, USA
Discussant: Fernando Fernández Rodríguez, Universidad de Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Spain
Asset Allocation with Correlation
Rachael Carroll, University College Dublin, Ireland
*Thomas Conlon, University College Dublin, Ireland
John Cotter, University College Dublin, Ireland
Discussant: Wolfgang Bessler, Justus-Liebig-Universität Giessen, Germany
INFINITI 2014 @ Monash University Prato Centre
Session 6n | TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 16 (upstairs)
HOME BIAS AND INTERNATIONAL INVESTING II Chair: Alessio Ciarlone, Banca d'Italia, Italy
The role of education in international portfolios during the recent financial crisis
*Udichibarna Bose, University of Glasgow, UK
Ronald MacDonald, University of Glasgow, UK
Serafeim Tsoukas, University of Glasgow, UK
Discussant: Alessio Ciarlone, Banca d'Italia, Italy
Financial Development and Home Equity Bias
Ju Hyun Pyun, Korea University, Republic of Korea
Discussant: Udichibarna Bose, University of Glasgow, UK
Are Sovereign Wealth Funds Contrarian Investors?
*Alessio Ciarlone, Banca d'Italia, Italy
Valeria Miceli, Banca d'Italia, Italy
Discussant: Ju Hyun Pyun, Korea University, Republic of Korea
Session 6o | TEATRO POLITEAMA Room 19 (upstairs)
BANKS AND LIQUIDITY Chair: Mark Griffiths, Miami University, USA
Loan Supply and Demand in Germany’s Three-Pillar Banking System during the Financial Crisis
Torsten Schmidt, RWI Essen, Germany
*Lina Zwick, RWI Essen, Germany
Discussant: Mark Griffiths, Miami University, USA
Do Domestic Banks have a Liquidity Advantage? Evidence from a Syndicated Loan Market
*Christine Brown, Monash University, Australia
Viet Do, Monash University, Australia
Oscar Trevarthen, Monash University, Australia
Discussant: Lina Zwick, RWI Essen, Germany
TAF: Wall Street Bailout or Main Street Funding?
Ken B Cyree, The University of Mississippi, USA
*Mark Griffiths, Miami University, USA
Drew B Winters, Texas Tech University, USA
Discussant: Christine Brown, Monash University, Australia
INFINITI 2014
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INFINITI 2014 @ Monash University Prato Centre
Delegates
Aarti Rughoo | [email protected]
Senior Lecturer, Economics, Business School, University of
Hertfordshire, UK
Adam Ng | [email protected]
PhD Student, INCEIF The Global University of Islamic Finance,
Malaysia
Adam Geršl | [email protected]
Senior Economist, Joint Vienna Institute, Austria
Adrian Ioana | [email protected]
Senior Lecturer, Department of Metallic Materials Elaboration
Engineering and Management, University Politehnica of
Bucharest, Romania
Aine Murphy | [email protected]
PhD Student, School of Business, Waterford Institute of
Technology, Ireland
Ákos Uhrin | [email protected]
PhD Student, Institute of Finance and International Economic
Relations, University of Szeged, Hungary
Alanoud Al-Maadid | [email protected]
PhD Candidate, Department of Economics and Finance, Brunel
University, UK
Aleksandar Sevic | [email protected]
Lecturer, School of Business, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
Alessio Ciarlone | [email protected]
Senior Economist, International Relations, Banca d'Italia, Italy
Alexander Erler | [email protected]
PhD Student, Chair of International Economics and Finance,
Universität Bayreuth, Germany
Alexei Orlov | [email protected]
Professor of Economics, Department of Economics, Radford
University, USA
Alistair Haig | [email protected]
Early Career Fellow in Finance, University of Edinburgh Business
School, The University of Edinburgh, UK
Amadou Sy | [email protected]
Senior Fellow, Global Economy and Development, The
Brookings Institution, USA
Ana-Maria Fuertes | [email protected]
Professor in Financial Econometrics, Cass Business School,
Faculty of Finance, City University London, UK
Anatoly Peresetsky | [email protected]
Professor, Economics Department, Higher School of Economics,
Russian Federation
Andrea Mc Namara | [email protected]
PhD Student, School of Business; Department of Accounting &
Economics, Waterford Institute of Technology, Ireland
Andrea Zaghini | [email protected]
Principal Economist, Research Department - CPM, Banca
d'Italia, Italy
Andrea Cipollini | [email protected]
Associate Professor, Department of Economics, Università di
Palermo, Italy
Andreas Steiner | [email protected]
Assistant Professor, Institute of Empirical Economic Research,
Universität Osnabrück, Germany
Andreas Bachmann | [email protected]
PhD Student, Department of Economics, Universität Bern,
Switzerland
Andreas Dietrich | [email protected]
Professor of Banking, Institut für Finanzdienstleistungen Zug IFZ,
Lucerne University of Applied Sciences, Switzerland
Andrew Urquhart | [email protected]
Lecturer of Finance, Southampton Management School,
University of Southampton, UK
Arnold Cowan | [email protected]; [email protected]
Professor of Finance and Wells Fargo Professor in Finance,
Department of Finance, Iowa State University, & President and
CEO,Cowan Research LC (Eventus), USA
Asma Mobarek | [email protected]
Associate Professor, School of Business, Finance Department,
Stockholm University, Sweden
Astrid Salzmann | [email protected]
Assistant Professor of Finance, School of Business and
Economics, Department of Finance, RWTH Aachen University,
Germany
Barbara Petracci | [email protected]
Assistant Professor of Corporate Finance, Department of
Management, Università di Bologna, Italy
Basil Williams | [email protected]
PhD Student, Fuqua School of Business, Finance Department,
Duke University, USA
Benedikt Rotermann | [email protected]
muenster.de
PhD Student, Department of Economics, Chair of Empirical
Economics, Westfälische Wilhelms-Universität Münster, Germany
Benoît Sévi | [email protected]
Associate Professor of Economics, IPAG Business School & Aix
Marseille School of Economics, France
Bernard Paranque | [email protected]
Professor of Finance, Chair "Finance Reconsidered", KEDGE
Business School, France
Brian Lucey | [email protected]
Conference Chair & Professor in Finance, School of Business,
Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
Burak Saltoğlu | [email protected]
Department of Economics, Boğaziçi University, Turkey
Burcu Erdogan | [email protected]
PostDoc Researcher, Universität Trier, Germany
Carmen Martí | [email protected]
Accredited Associate Professor, Business Department,
Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Spain
Carol Alexander | [email protected]
Professor of Finance & Head of Department, Department of
Business and Management, University of Sussex, UK
Charles Larkin | [email protected]; [email protected]
Lecturer in Economics & Finance, School of Business, Cardiff
Metropolitan University, UK, & Trinity College Dublin & Seanad
Eireann, Ireland
Cheng Yan | [email protected]
PhD Student, Cass Business School, City University London, UK
INFINITI 2014
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Cherry Muijsson | [email protected]
PhD Student, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, UK
Chiara Banti | [email protected]
Lecturer, Essex Business School, University of Essex, UK
Christian Grisse | [email protected]
Senior Economist, Swiss National Bank, Switzerland
Christian Friedrich | [email protected]
Senior Analyst, Bank of Canada, Canada
Christine Brown | [email protected]
Professor and Discipline Head, Finance Research Director,
Department of Banking and Finance, Monash University,
Australia
Christophe Faugère | [email protected];
Professor of Finance, Bordeaux School of Management, KEDGE
Business School, France
Ciarán mac an Bhaird | [email protected]
Lecturer, Fiontar, Dublin City University, Ireland
Colm Kearney | [email protected]
Dean and Professor, Faculty of Business and Economics,
Monash University, Australia
Davide Romelli | [email protected]
PhD Candidate, ESSEC Business School & THEMA-Université de
Cergy-Pontoise, France
Diptes Bhimjee | [email protected]
Researcher, ISCTE-IUL Business School, ISCTE Instituto
Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
Dirk Ulbricht | [email protected]
Researcher, Forecasting, DIW German Institute for Economic
Research, Germany
Dirk Baur | [email protected]
Associate Professor of Finance, UTS Business School, University of
Technology Sydney, Australia
Dirk Schoenmaker | [email protected]
Duisenberg School of Finance, The Netherlands
Domenica Di Virgilio | [email protected]
PhD Student, Department of Finance, Università Bocconi, Italy
Domenico Campa | [email protected]
Assistant Professor, School of Business, Trinity College Dublin,
Ireland
Dominik Maltritz | [email protected]
Professor for International Economics, Faculty of Economics,
Law and Social Sciences, Universität Erfurt, Germany
Duccio Martelli | [email protected]
Assistant Professor of Finance, Department of Finance,
Università degli Studi di Perugia, Italy
Eduardo Cavallo | [email protected]
Senior Economist, Research Department, Inter-American
Development Bank, USA
Edward Kane | [email protected]
Professor of Finance, Department of Finance, Boston College,
USA
Elaine Hutson | [email protected]
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Governance of International Banking
Dirk Schoenmaker , Duisenberg School of Finance
• Uses the first published model of the Financial Trilemma
In the aftermath of the financial crisis, the business model of international banks is under pressure. Regulators across the world are retrenching to national lines by applying restrictions on cross-border banking. Applying game theory, this book develops a model of the financial trilemma to understand the co-ordination failure among regulators. It also provides governance solutions to overcome this co-ordination failure. The goal is to offer a long-term perspective on international banking for regulators and academics. The book combines academic insights and policy issues.
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APRIL 2014 | 224 PAGES | 978-0-19-997159-6 HARDBACK | £25.99 £18.19
INFINITI 2014c/o School of Business
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