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TeV Particle Astrophysics II
2
Outline
• EHE CR fluxes – What’s going on?• Revisit EHE particles models • A different approach – Neutrinos!• GZK + 100 GeV ?
TeV Particle Astrophysics II
3
EHE CR fluxes
Compiled byS.Yoshida for ICRC 2005
Taken fromB.M.Connolly et al 2006
TeV Particle Astrophysics II
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Energy estimation
• AGASA(SD) Rcore 600~1000m• HiRes(FD) Rcore < Rmoliere ~70m
Even if detector calibration is perfect…
FD
SD
TeV Particle Astrophysics II
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Hybrid – SD+FD
P.Sommers for Auger collab.(ICRC 2005)
FD-SD Correlation exists!
ABSOLUTE value of Energy ??
Fluctuation playsa visible role in the end
TeV Particle Astrophysics II
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Really discrepancy?
B.M. Connolly et al PRD 2006
• Poor Stats --- N(>100EeV) ~ only 11 events• Energy Uncertainty --- Escale ~ 30%
Bayes Factor Test
BF using AGASA and Auger Spectrum
BF using AGASA and HiRes1 Spectrum
data
MC from a single hypothesis
TeV Particle Astrophysics II
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Physics may be responsible
• EGMF complicates particle trajectories• Source distribution may not be isotropic • Fluctuation in the spectra and intensities of the source - “cosmic variance”
TeV Particle Astrophysics II
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Propagation in EGMF
Sigl, Lemoine, Biermann, Astropart.Phys. 1999Delay time [yr]
Ene
rgy
[EeV
]
0.3G pancake
E-1/3
E-1
(bohm diffusion)
E-2
(rectilinear)
TeV Particle Astrophysics II
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Propagation in EGMFD
elay
tim
e [y
r]
Energy [EeV]
More detailed EGMF modelfollowing Large Scale Structure
Sigl, Miniati, Enelin, PRD 2004
TeV Particle Astrophysics II
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Spectrum fluctuated!
B 100 nG
Sigl, Lemoine, Biermann, Astropart.Phys. 1999
TeV Particle Astrophysics II
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Spectrum fluctuated!
B 300 nG!More pronounced GZK feature
Sigl, Lemoine, Biermann, Astropart.Phys. 1999
TeV Particle Astrophysics II
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Astrophysical sources in Large Scale Structures
Sigl, Miniati, Enelin, PRD 2004
EGMF Baryon Density = Source Density
uG
nG
Observer20Mpc20Mpc
TeV Particle Astrophysics II
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Astrophysical sources in Large Scale Structures
Sigl, Miniati, Enelin, PRD 2004
EHE Sky map
TeV Particle Astrophysics II
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Astrophysical sources in Large Scale Structures
With EGMF~ uG
Without EGMF
Armengaud, Sigl, Miniati,PRD 2005
Intrinsic fluctuation due to• source intensities• primary spectrum• source density• observer’s location in LSS
TeV Particle Astrophysics II
16
“Favored” Scenario• Source density 2.4x10-5 Mpc-3
• Need LSS? Yes• Observer’s location Void• Mean spectral index -2.4• B at the observer 8.2 pG
So Many Unknown Parameters to fit poor data….
But allows many OTHER possibilities….
TeV Particle Astrophysics II
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Top Down model never dies
Beyond the Standard ModelBeyond the Standard Model
Top-Down neutrinosdecays/interaction of massive particles
(topological defects, SUSY, micro black hole, …)
The main energy range: E ~ 1011-15 GeV
XX
TeV Particle Astrophysics II
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Top Down model never dies
suppressed by (unknown) URB
Cut-off feature
Sigl, Lee, Bhattacharjee, Yoshida, PRD 1999
TeV Particle Astrophysics II
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Top Down model never dies
Sigl, Lee, Bhattacharjee, Yoshida, PRD 1999
A bunch of
Recycling in100 GeV region
TeV Particle Astrophysics II
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(EHE) Photons in EBL
EM cascades lead tothe diffuse -ray BGin the GeV range
URB
CMB
IR/O
Transparent
GeVEHEdE
dNE
dE
dNE 22
Energy Conservation
TeV Particle Astrophysics II
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EHE astrophysics“Everything is transient”
“Nothing is certain”
Unknown EGMF strength Unknown EGMF configuration Unknown location of us relative to EGMF halo Unknown source spectra Unknown source distribution Unknown source intensity Large energy scale uncertainty Extremely low flux May or may not have a GZK cutoff
TeV Particle Astrophysics II
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Neutrinos – The Last Crusader
• Forget about EGMF stuff
• Propagate cosmological distances – no local effects
• EHE -rays ? - It depends on unknown URB!
TeV Particle Astrophysics II
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GZK
seXp K '7.2
The standard scenarioThe standard scenario
EHE cosmic-ray induced neutrinos
The main energy range: E ~ 109-10 GeV
EHE-CR
e
TeV Particle Astrophysics II
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GZK
Yoshida, Teshima, Prog.Theo.Phys. 1993
))1(()1( 2
5
0
max
zEJzdzm
z
TeV Particle Astrophysics II
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GZK – it’s robust
Compiled by A. Ishihara
Yoshida, Teshima. 1993
Engel, Seckel, Stanev 2001
TeV Particle Astrophysics II
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GZK – parameter dependences
Yoshida, Teshima, Prog.Theo.Phys. 1993
Kalashev et al PRD 2002
Emax, E- J(E>10 EeV)m, Zmax J(E<1EeV)
TeV Particle Astrophysics II
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GZK – Strong Evolution case
Yoshida, Dai, Jui, Sommers ApJ 1997
Hard primary proton spectrum +strong evolution of sources
Unlikely case, but• Flux >> Waxman.Bahcall• GeV diffuse OK with EGRAT• Reachable even by present detectors.
TeV Particle Astrophysics II
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UHE/EHE fluxes
GZK (hard, high Emax) - Kalashev et al 2002GZK (strong evolution) - ibidGZK (standard) - Yoshida Teshima 1993TD - Sigl et al 1999Zburst – Yoshida et al 1998
TeV Particle Astrophysics II
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ANITA constraints
Barwick et al PRL 2006(projected)
Bound from the 2003 flight.
Ruled out Z-burst
TeV Particle Astrophysics II
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IceCube constraints
Yoshida, Ishibashi, Miyamoto, PRD 2004
~5 yr constraints
Look for downgoingor horizontal events.
TeV Particle Astrophysics II
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IceCube EHE
IceCube Preliminary
GZK 0.35 events/year
GZK 0.31 events/year
Atmospheric 0.033 events/year
GZKGZK
Atmospheric
GZKGZK
Atmospheric
A.Ishihara, S.Yoshida for the IceCube collaboration
TeV Particle Astrophysics II
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EHE Neutrinos + 100GeV -ray
• channel have its own drawback low statistics, poor pointing resolutions…
• channel compensates
Arrival direction
Local UHECR source VHE (Ferrigno,Blasi,Marco, Astro.Phys.2005)(Gabici, Aharonian, PRL 2006)
TeV Particle Astrophysics II
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(EHE) Photons in EBL
URB
CMB
IR/O
Transparent
GeV
EHEEHE
dE
dNE
dE
dNE
dE
dNE
2
22
Energy Conservation
Cooling down to 100 GeV
TeV Particle Astrophysics II
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A “point” source contribution to the diffuse flux
dE
dJ
dE
dJ
czrz
dE
dF
dE
dFdV
dE
dJ
1m2
2
11
2
3m
max3
1
365
max220
m
z1z111z1hMpc10101
23
m
zt)1(tR
z1
4
1
Diffuse Flux Flux from A source
Source density
Zmax ~4 m~4 Z~2 (cosmological distances) dE
dJH
dE
dF3
01
365
100Mpc10107
“R-2”
TeV Particle Astrophysics II
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ICTs for point sources?Takenfrom W. Hofman 2006
= 2x10-7 Mpc-3
= 2x10-9 Mpc-3
Note:AGASA clusterslocal ~10-4~10-5
Too few as UHRCR sources
TeV Particle Astrophysics II
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A “multi-particle” campaign
I would like a Munich beer..
Helles ?
What are the right ascension/
declination?
TeV Particle Astrophysics II
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Summary
EHE signals are Extremely High Epicurean money/time (your career) consuming to explore Hard to interpret data. Large Scale Structure? ~ 10-5 Mpc-3? Neutrino may be a rescue Top Down model produces easily-reachable signals. GZK detection is a probe to cosmological sources.
-- Anita, Auger (>10EeV) IceCube (100 PeV-EeV) Search for 100 GeV ’s with ICTs is worth to try