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2009 Internet Advertising Revenue Report
Rethinking the Market Opportunity
April 7, 2010
Terence Kawaja
GCA Savvian Advisors
$8.1 $7.1 $6.0$7.3
$9.6$12.5
$16.9
$21.2$23.4 $22.7
$0
$5
$10
$15
$20
$25
$30
$35
$40
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
$ B
illio
ns
Online Ad Spend ($Bn)
CAGR = 12%
Notes:Source: IAB / PricewaterhouseCoopers internet advertising revenue reports.
Interactive Advertising is on a Long Term Growth Pa th…
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Online
Magazines
Radio
Newspapers
TV
% ad spending by media % of time households spend by media
Media Consumption vs. Ad Spend, 2009
Notes:Source: Wall Street research, 2010.(1) As a percentage of ad spending on the media channels indicated above only: TV, Newspaper, Radio, Magazines and Online.
…But Has Much More Upside Potential
The Crowded Display Ad Tech Landscape
Targeted
Video / Rich Media
Horizontal
Yield Optimization
Ad Networks
Vertical
Performance
Mobile
PUBLISHERS
PUBLISHERS
Data Exchanges / Aggregators
Creative Optimization
Data Optimization
AUDIENCE
ADVERTISERS
ADVERTISERS
Ad Exchanges
DSPsMedia Buying Platforms
Agencies
Publisher Tools
Data Suppliers
Ad Ops / Infrastructure
Ad Servers Ad Servers
Verification / Attribution
Sharing Data / Social Tools
Analytics
Trading Desk
Deals are Back and Consolidation is Coming
RecentDigital MediaAcquisitions:
$10 $9 $10
$4 $3$4
$7$8
50 4954
3034
45
20
30
$0
$4
$8
$12
$16
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2008 2009
Tra
nsac
tion
Vol
ume
($B
n)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Num
ber
of T
rans
actio
ns
Global Tech Transactions $10MM - $1.0Bn (1)
Notes:(1) Source: FactSet as of 2/28/10; Includes global announced acquisitions in the specified range of transaction sizes; excludes minority investments, JVs etc.; includes all transactionswith target in Electronic Technology, Technology Services, and Communications sectors as defined by FactSet.
Transaction Volume ($Bn) Number of Transactions
Convergence in the Purchase Funnel
Purchase Funnel Metric Example Companies
CPM
CPC
CPL
CPA
Transaction
Customer
Search
Lead
Impression
Sale
Data
Going After the Elephant in the Room: TV
• Online video is currently a fraction of total TV and online spending
• The holy grail is achieved when digital video is part of the television budget
• Much of the media optimization techniques honed in online can be applied to TV audiences
• Shift in agency dynamic and marketer mindset is key
Notes:Source: VSS Communications, August 2009; eMarketer, December 2009.
$0.5$6.7
$73.2
Television
Display & In-Page Video
In-Stream Video
US Video & Display Advertising, 2009 ($MM)
Achieving the Holy Grail: Solving for Attribution
� Several links in the attribution chain are missing:– Online to online (the last click phenomenon)– Online to offline– Offline to online
� Technology is improving data collection and analysi s which will allow for the discovery of “digital foot prints”
� Once attribution is achieved, there is no reason al l media cannot be optimized
� Already, several interesting technologies have been deployed:
– TV set top box measurement– Mobile location-based services
TELEVISION
DIGITAL
RETAIL
Rethinking the Market Opportunity
� Forecasts show the interactive channel growing to $ 50+ billion in 5 years
– Represents an linear, evolutionary approach– The challenge is to think revolution, not evolution– How does interactive get to a $100 billion marketpl ace?– Think new definition for “interactive” to go beyond online
• Digitally-addressable video (aka TV)• Offline commerce enablement• Mobile
� Several reasons for a revolution– Innovation (eg. media optimization, real time pheno menon)– Simplification (less point solutions)– Consolidation (entry of larger players)– Attribution (eg. TV, offline retail)
Putting $100 Billion in Perspective
� Healthcare reform for one year
� War in Iraq and Afghanistan for a year
� Cost of recent bank failures to the FDIC
� A controlling stake in Google (at market)
GCA Savvian’s Digital Media Advisory Business
� Leading investment banking firm with over 200 professionals worldwide
� Services include advice on mergers and acquisitions , private capital finance and restructurings
� Advised on over $60 billion in transactions since 2 006
� Advisor to media companies new and old
TOKYO • SAN FRANCISCO • CHICAGO • NEW YORK • LONDON
Terence KawajaManaging Director+1 [email protected]
John LambrosManaging Director+1 212.999.7083 [email protected]
Steven FletcherManaging Director+1 [email protected]