17
Template Template Reactive Plume Modeling to Investigate NO x Reactions and Transport in Nighttime Plumes and Impact on Next-day Ozone Prakash Karamchandani, Greg Yarwood, Chris Emery and Shu-Yun Chen ENVIRON International Corporation, Novato, CA Steven S. Brown and David D. Parrish NOAA ESRL Chemical Sciences Division, Boulder, CO 10 th Annual CMAS Conference, October 24-26, 2011 Chapel Hill, North Carolina

Template Reactive Plume Modeling to Investigate NO x Reactions and Transport in Nighttime Plumes and Impact on Next-day Ozone Prakash Karamchandani, Greg

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Template Reactive Plume Modeling to Investigate NO x Reactions and Transport in Nighttime Plumes and Impact on Next-day Ozone Prakash Karamchandani, Greg

TemplateTemplate

Reactive Plume Modeling to Investigate NOx Reactions and Transport in Nighttime Plumes

and Impact on Next-day Ozone

Prakash Karamchandani, Greg Yarwood, Chris Emery and Shu-Yun ChenENVIRON International Corporation, Novato, CA

Steven S. Brown and David D. ParrishNOAA ESRL Chemical Sciences Division, Boulder, CO

10th Annual CMAS Conference, October 24-26, 2011Chapel Hill, North Carolina

Page 2: Template Reactive Plume Modeling to Investigate NO x Reactions and Transport in Nighttime Plumes and Impact on Next-day Ozone Prakash Karamchandani, Greg

2773 San Marin Drive, Suite 2115, Novato, CA 94998 P: 415-899-0700 F: 415-

899-0707 www.environcorp.com

Acknowledgement

• This research was supported by the State of Texas through the Air Quality Research Program (AQRP) administered by The University of Texas at Austin by means of a grant from the Texas Commission on Environmental Quality (TCEQ)

• TCEQ has not yet reviewed the final project report and has not fully reviewed the findings presented here

Page 3: Template Reactive Plume Modeling to Investigate NO x Reactions and Transport in Nighttime Plumes and Impact on Next-day Ozone Prakash Karamchandani, Greg

3773 San Marin Drive, Suite 2115, Novato, CA 94998 P: 415-899-0700 F: 415-

899-0707 www.environcorp.com

Scope of AQRP Study• Analysis of nighttime chemistry and mixing in power plant

plumes – NOAA P-3 aircraft measurements (summary in this talk)– Brown et al. (2011), The Effects of NOx Control and Plume Mixing on

Nighttime Chemical Processing of Plumes from Coal-Fired Power Plants, JGR, submitted

• Reactive plume modeling with SCICHEM• CAMx Plume-in-Grid (PiG) modeling• CAMx grid modeling

– 200 m “high resolution” grid– Conventional 12 km grid

• Next-day ozone impacts– CAMx PiG– CAMx 12 km grid

Page 4: Template Reactive Plume Modeling to Investigate NO x Reactions and Transport in Nighttime Plumes and Impact on Next-day Ozone Prakash Karamchandani, Greg

4

Power Plant Plume Measurements

• Second Texas Air Quality Study (TEXAQS II)

• NOAA P-3 aircraft• Night flights sampled Oklaunion

(near Wichita Falls) on October 10, 2006 and W.A. Parish (near Houston) on October 11-12, 2006

• Oklaunion = 21.7 tons/day NOx Low NOx burners without SCR control. Single boiler/exhaust stack.

Page 5: Template Reactive Plume Modeling to Investigate NO x Reactions and Transport in Nighttime Plumes and Impact on Next-day Ozone Prakash Karamchandani, Greg

5

Oklaunion Intercepts, October 10, 2006• Northerly winds• Eighteen plume intercepts• No systematic dependence of plume width

with transport distance/time• Observations suggest that horizontal

plume width established shortly after emission or during plume rise, with little increase in plume width, or mixing with background air, as plume transports downwind

• Frequent excess NO/titration of O3 to zero at plume center

• N2O5 present in “wing” structures at plume edge only, where NO = 0

• Nighttime NOX oxidation to HNO3 takes place only in these wing structures and is suppressed across the majority of the plume

Page 6: Template Reactive Plume Modeling to Investigate NO x Reactions and Transport in Nighttime Plumes and Impact on Next-day Ozone Prakash Karamchandani, Greg

6773 San Marin Drive, Suite 2115, Novato, CA 94998 P: 415-899-0700 F: 415-

899-0707 www.environcorp.com

Reactive Plume Modeling with SCICHEM

• Second-order Closure Integrated Puff model with Chemistry• Three dimensional Lagrangian puff model, with efficient adaptive

time-step algorithm• Puff-splitting and merging algorithms• Model can use either routine observations of meteorology and

concentrations or modeled 3-D fields.• Detailed gas-phase photochemistry based on CB-IV

– Updated to CB05 for AQRP study– Heterogeneous N2O5 hydrolysis based on uptake coefficients derived from P-

3 measurements by NOAA• CMAQ modules for aerosol and aqueous-phase chemistry

Page 7: Template Reactive Plume Modeling to Investigate NO x Reactions and Transport in Nighttime Plumes and Impact on Next-day Ozone Prakash Karamchandani, Greg

7773 San Marin Drive, Suite 2115, Novato, CA 94998 P: 415-899-0700 F: 415-

899-0707 www.environcorp.com

Initial SCICHEM Simulation of October 10, 2006 Oklaunion Night-time Plume

• Default model configuration:– Puff growth parameters– Plume rise– Coarse puff resolution-controlled by puff splitting and merging

• Routine surface and upper air met observations• CEMS SO2 and NOX emissions from CAMD• Captured some features observed in the aircraft plume transects

close to Oklaunion, such as:– Titration of background ozone and zero N2O5 in the plume core– Plume widths of 1 to 1.5 km

• For transects further downwind, the modeled plume was significantly wider than observed and plume edge effects (formation of N2O5 wings) were not reproduced

Page 8: Template Reactive Plume Modeling to Investigate NO x Reactions and Transport in Nighttime Plumes and Impact on Next-day Ozone Prakash Karamchandani, Greg

8773 San Marin Drive, Suite 2115, Novato, CA 94998 P: 415-899-0700 F: 415-

899-0707 www.environcorp.com

Refinements to SCICHEM Simulation Based on Plume Data Analysis

• Specify initial plume dimensions and plume height• Limit horizontal and vertical puff growth• Use met observations from P-3 measurements to drive the model• Change puff splitting/merging criteria to increase splits and limit

merges, resulting in much higher puff resolution:– Need multiple puffs across plume to represent features such as “N2O5 wings”– Nearly 10,000 puffs instead of 100-300– Increases computational time for simulation and post-processing– Area for model improvement, e.g., introduce splitting criteria based on

plume chemistry

Page 9: Template Reactive Plume Modeling to Investigate NO x Reactions and Transport in Nighttime Plumes and Impact on Next-day Ozone Prakash Karamchandani, Greg

9773 San Marin Drive, Suite 2115, Novato, CA 94998 P: 415-899-0700 F: 415-

899-0707 www.environcorp.com

Plume SO2 Comparisons

-4000 -2000 0 2000 40000

10

20

30

Plume Intercept 1

SO2 (SCICHEM)SO2 (Observed)

distance (meter)

ppb

-4000 10000

5

10

15

Plume Intercept 2

SO2 (SCICHEM)SO2 (Observed)

distance (meter)

ppb

Downwind Distance: 18 km7:17:36 pm to 7:18:02 pm LST

Downwind Distance: 25 km7:21:21 pm to 7:22:08 pm LST

-400

0

-200

0 020

0040

000

20

40

60

Plume Intercept 13

SO2 (SCICHEM)SO2 (Observed)

distance (meter)

ppb

Downwind Distance: 14 km9:24:47 pm to 9:25:01 pm LST

-400

0

-200

0 020

0040

000

10

20

Plume Intercept 14

SO2 (SCICHEM)SO2 (Observed)

distance (meter)

ppb

Downwind Distance: 30 km9:33:26 pm to 9:34:13 pm LST

Page 10: Template Reactive Plume Modeling to Investigate NO x Reactions and Transport in Nighttime Plumes and Impact on Next-day Ozone Prakash Karamchandani, Greg

10773 San Marin Drive, Suite 2115, Novato, CA 94998 P: 415-899-0700 F: 415-

899-0707 www.environcorp.com

Plume NOY Comparisons

Downwind Distance: 18 km7:17:36 pm to 7:18:02 pm LST

Downwind Distance: 25 km7:21:21 pm to 7:22:08 pm LST

Downwind Distance: 14 km9:24:47 pm to 9:25:01 pm LST

Downwind Distance: 30 km9:33:26 pm to 9:34:13 pm LST

-4000 -2000 0 2000 40000

50

100

Plume Intercept 1

NOy (SCICHEM)NOy (Observed)

distance (meter)

ppb

-400

0

-200

0 020

0040

000

20

40

60

Plume Intercept 2

NOy (SCICHEM)NOy (Observed)

distance (meter)

ppb

-400

0

-200

0 020

0040

000

100

200

300

Plume Intercept 13

NOy (SCICHEM)NOy (Observed)

distance (meter)

ppb

-4000-2000 0 2000 40000

50

100

Plume Intercept 14

NOy (SCICHEM)NOy (Observed)

distance (meter)

ppb

Page 11: Template Reactive Plume Modeling to Investigate NO x Reactions and Transport in Nighttime Plumes and Impact on Next-day Ozone Prakash Karamchandani, Greg

11773 San Marin Drive, Suite 2115, Novato, CA 94998 P: 415-899-0700 F: 415-

899-0707 www.environcorp.com

Plume O3 Comparisons

Downwind Distance: 18 km7:17:36 pm to 7:18:02 pm LST

Downwind Distance: 25 km7:21:21 pm to 7:22:08 pm LST

Downwind Distance: 14 km9:24:47 pm to 9:25:01 pm LST

Downwind Distance: 30 km9:33:26 pm to 9:34:13 pm LST

-4000 -2000 0 2000 40000

10

20

30

40

Plume Intercept 1

O3 (SCICHEM)O3 (Observed)

distance (meter)

ppb

-4000 -2000 0 2000 40000

10

20

30

40

50

Plume Intercept 2

O3 (SCICHEM)O3 (Observed)

distance (meter)

ppb

-4000 -2000 0 2000 40000

10

20

30

40

Plume Intercept 13

O3 (SCICHEM)O3 (Observed)

distance (meter)

ppb

-4000 -2000 0 2000 40000

10

20

30

40

Plume Intercept 14

O3 (SCICHEM)O3 (Observed)

distance (meter)

ppb

Page 12: Template Reactive Plume Modeling to Investigate NO x Reactions and Transport in Nighttime Plumes and Impact on Next-day Ozone Prakash Karamchandani, Greg

12773 San Marin Drive, Suite 2115, Novato, CA 94998 P: 415-899-0700 F: 415-

899-0707 www.environcorp.com

Plume N2O5 Comparisons

Downwind Distance: 18 km7:17:36 pm to 7:18:02 pm LST

Downwind Distance: 25 km7:21:21 pm to 7:22:08 pm LST

Downwind Distance: 14 km9:24:47 pm to 9:25:01 pm LST

Downwind Distance: 30 km9:33:26 pm to 9:34:13 pm LST

-4000-2000 0 2000 40000

50

100

Plume Intercept 1

N2O5 (SCICHEM)N2O5 (Observed)

distance (meter)

ppt

-4000 -2000 0 2000 40000

100

200

300

Plume Intercept 2

N2O5 (SCICHEM)N2O5 (Observed)

distance (meter)

ppt

-4000 -2000 0 2000 40000

20

40

60

80

Plume Intercept 13

N2O5 (SCICHEM)N2O5 (Observed)

distance (meter)

ppt

-4000 -2000 0 2000 40000

20

40

60

80

Plume Intercept 14

N2O5 (SCICHEM)N2O5 (Observed)

distance (meter)

ppt

Page 13: Template Reactive Plume Modeling to Investigate NO x Reactions and Transport in Nighttime Plumes and Impact on Next-day Ozone Prakash Karamchandani, Greg

773 San Marin Drive, Suite 2115, Novato, CA 94998 P: 415-899-0700 F: 415-899-0707

www.environcorp.com

CAMx Grid and Plume-in-Grid

• Can CAMx represent the plume structure?– 200 m high resolution (hi-res) grid

Only feasible to run for a few hours Reveals sheared plume structure that helps to explain the observations

and plume model results– CAMx PiG

Investigate contribution of shear to puff growth Compare using single reactor vs. 5 reactor puffs Multiple reactor puffs are needed to get “N2O5 wings”

• Quantify the next-day ozone impacts of emissions from Oklaunion released at night– Plume-in-grid vs.12 km grid– Cases with full emissions and 75% NOx reduction

Page 14: Template Reactive Plume Modeling to Investigate NO x Reactions and Transport in Nighttime Plumes and Impact on Next-day Ozone Prakash Karamchandani, Greg

14773 San Marin Drive, Suite 2115, Novato, CA 94998 P: 415-899-0700 F: 415-

899-0707 www.environcorp.com

dx/dt = f(turbulence, shear)

PiG and Hi-Res Plume Spread

• Relative to P-3 obs:– Standard PiG gets too wide– Hi-Res plume is better

Zero explicit diffusion has minor effect

Spread controlled by grid resolution & numerical diffusion

• Modified PiG– No horizontal growth from

shear

– Agrees better with Hi-Res plume

22:00 on O ctober 10, 2006

72 84 96

LCP Easting (km )

-684

-672

-660

-648

LCP

Nor

thin

g (k

m)

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Oklaunion

Standard PiGNo Shear PiG

Hi-Res NO2 plume

X

12 km grid cell

Page 15: Template Reactive Plume Modeling to Investigate NO x Reactions and Transport in Nighttime Plumes and Impact on Next-day Ozone Prakash Karamchandani, Greg

15773 San Marin Drive, Suite 2115, Novato, CA 94998 P: 415-899-0700 F: 415-

899-0707 www.environcorp.com

Plume Nighttime NOx Processing with PiGNext Day Ozone Impact

• Max 1-hour ozone from Oklaunion plume on Oct 11– Plume near Waco

• 80% reduction in downwind ozone impact– Emissions were reduced only

75%– More conversion of NOx to

NOz in plume with reduced emissions

Waco

Waco

0.4 ppb

0.1 ppb

Page 16: Template Reactive Plume Modeling to Investigate NO x Reactions and Transport in Nighttime Plumes and Impact on Next-day Ozone Prakash Karamchandani, Greg

16773 San Marin Drive, Suite 2115, Novato, CA 94998 P: 415-899-0700 F: 415-

899-0707 www.environcorp.com

Plume Nighttime NOx Processing w/o PiGNext Day Ozone Impact

• Oklaunion emits directly into 12 km grid– Typical grid model configuration

• Fivefold smaller ozone impact than with PiG– 12 km grid over-states conversion of

NOx to NOz at night

• 70% reduction in downwind peak ozone impact– Emissions reduced 75%– 12 km grid predicts non-linear effect

in the opposite direction to plume models

Waco

Waco

0.1 ppb

0.025 ppb

Page 17: Template Reactive Plume Modeling to Investigate NO x Reactions and Transport in Nighttime Plumes and Impact on Next-day Ozone Prakash Karamchandani, Greg

17773 San Marin Drive, Suite 2115, Novato, CA 94998 P: 415-899-0700 F: 415-

899-0707 www.environcorp.com

Conclusions

• Plume models and high resolution (200 m) grids tended to over-dilute emissions from Oklaunion at night– Possible to refine puff growth and improve plume model performance– Observed N2O5 “wings” captured by increasing puff resolution– Grid result was limited by numerical diffusion

• PiG chemistry can predict correct nocturnal NOx chemistry for Oklaunion source– Puff growth must first be modeled correctly– Consequence of more efficient NOx processing at night when NOx emissions

are reduced• 12-km grids misrepresent nocturnal NOx chemistry for Oklaunion source

– Consequence of excessive plume dilution• Considerations for future CAMx PiG models:

– Limit horizontal & vertical growth in nighttime/stable environments– Review/revise minimum limits on puff growth parameters