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Landing Obligation - a study of impacts on the UK supply chain
Tegen Mor Fisheries Consultants
Nathan de Rozarieux
Tegen Mor Fisheries Consultants
1. Background: “game changer”
• The introduction of the landings obligation is a ‘game changer’ arguably the most significant change to the fishing industry since the introduction of quotas in 1983
• The move from ‘landing quotas’ to ‘catch quotas’ has the potential
to have a range of significant impacts on operations throughout the ‘sea-to-plate’ supply chain
Tegen Mor Fisheries Consultants
2. Context • Phased approach to implementing landing obligation for demersal species
commences 01/01/16 • If implemented badly the new rules are a potential risk to supply • The capacity of all parts of the onshore supply chain (both human and
non-human consumption) to land, store, process, transport, administrate and market is not fully understood
• The scope of potential impacts needs to be developed to provide an
opportunity for informed discussion between all supply chain partners to identify information gaps and opportunities to develop solutions
Tegen Mor Fisheries Consultants
3. Study aims:
The aims of the work are to:
• Explore the range of potential changes in behaviour of one sector in response to changed behaviours of other sectors (e.g. from status quo to fishery closure)
• Undertake qualitative analysis on the possible impacts of these across the whole supply chain, from financial, legal, operational and market perspectives. (for example: reputational risk, loss of supply, changes in size of fish landed, loss of market and financial risk)
• Identify gaps in information and, where possible / appropriate make recommendations for further work.
Tegen Mor Fisheries Consultants 4. Approach • Desk-top study & scoping potential supply chain issues
analysis
Tegen Mor Fisheries Consultants
4. Approach • Stakeholder consultation
Face-to-face interviews - NE Scotland - N Ireland - Shetland - London - E England - SW England - SE England Stakeholders Fishermen, POs, federations, harbour authorities, hauliers, processors, processor associations, retailers, foodservice, fish meal companies, bait suppliers, ice suppliers, box pool operators and administrators. These will be supplemented with additional follow-up telephone interviews as required.
Tegen Mor Fisheries Consultants 5. Results (so far…) Lots of ‘known unknowns’ and lots of ‘unknown unknowns’ What we do know is that nobody knows for sure what will happen The answer will be somewhere between A and B
No change in landings
Tonnes of discards landed
Quotas exhausted and landings cut off
A B
Economic drivers
Reduced landings
- cost of quota - cost of handling
Tegen Mor Fisheries Consultants
5. Results (so far…) General consensus:
- Wild seafood supply chains are inherently flexible and dynamic
- Year 1 (2016) will probably pose few challenges
- Years 2-5 will become increasing challenging
- Any form of fishery ‘choking’ would cause most significant
impact on supply chain and avoidance of this scenario should
be a top governmental priority
- Quota management is key
Tegen Mor Fisheries Consultants
5. Results (so far…)
Ports / harbours / agents • Range of views - from no involvement to making provisions to support
• Legal responsibility and therefore cost implication is key issue
• Un-certainty over volume and likely evolution deterring investment
• Animal By-Products (ABP) regs becoming clearer
• Chill space, handling charges, boxes, ice costs all passed back to boats
• Admin burden increase
• Detail required around audit trail requirements
• IT software used by agents, POs, MMO and MS for RBS will need updating
• Cost burden (infrastructure, handling, admin, space)
Tegen Mor Fisheries Consultants
5. Results (so far…)
Ports / harbours / agents
Tegen Mor Fisheries Consultants
5. Results (so far…)
Primary processors / wholesalers • Varies by area - NE & NI see possible opportunities if increased landings
of smaller fish / prawns
• SW - less opportunity in small fish as production cost per kg yield higher
than with larger fish
• NE Scotland processors specialise in smaller haddock and concern that
improved selectivity would limit supply of smallest sizes
• Sector generally quite resilient to fluctuations in supply and fish size
• Most source majority of raw material from local market / port and
therefore have high dependence on UK fleet
Tegen Mor Fisheries Consultants
5. Results (so far…)
Primary processors / wholesalers
Tegen Mor Fisheries Consultants
5. Results (so far…) Secondary processors / retail / foodservice suppliers • Generally less dependent on UK supplies
• Volume, continuity & quality requirements means this sector depends on
largely on imports as more consistent
• Would import more to make up shortfall (but would price increase)
• Reputation (ethics & sustainability) is important to customers
• Contractually committed to customers (often with fines if breached) and
hence have contingency plans in place (building frozen stock early in year)
Tegen Mor Fisheries Consultants
5. Results (so far…) Retail sector • Adds further risk consideration to sourcing decision tree
• Despite promotions of British fish relatively small volume (as overall %)
of UK wild caught TAC species sold fresh (salmon, prawns, tuna, farmed
bass & bream etc)
• Reputation and customer perception is important
• Rely on suppliers to build contingency plans (freezing, imports) e.g. early
closure of ray fishery 2014 did not lead to de-list
• tbc
Tegen Mor Fisheries Consultants
5. Results (so far…) Foodservice sector • Fine dining - dependence on British UK wild caught fish species greater
than retail sector, but have greater flexibility to change menu flexibility to
deal with interrupted supplies
• Size specific - typically larger fillets or plate sized fish
• Reputation and customer perception are important
• Pub / hotel - typically use frozen / processed products and less
dependent on fresh supply chain
• tbc
Tegen Mor Fisheries Consultants
5. Results (so far…) Transport sector • Well established specialised transport
network connects seafood supply chain
across the UK
• Additional transport capacity available
• Increased volume (marketable & fishmeal)
to transport seen as an opportunity
Tegen Mor Fisheries Consultants
5. Results (so far…)
Fishmeal & bait sectors • Fishmeal provides significant market for fish destined for non-human
consumption market
• Supply to fishmeal could be least costly option (cost neutral)
• Strong demand from potting sector in some concerns but concern over
admin / audit trail requirements (RBS etc).
• Matching supply to demand could involve freezing / frozen storage
• Landfill is a costly (£80/t) last resort for small quantities in smaller ports
that lie outside the established transport network
Tegen Mor Fisheries Consultants
6. Analysis and reporting (August - September) Conclusions: • Many unknowns - make accurate predictions v difficult • Change will be driven by restrictive access to quota which will intensify
towards 2019 when species with most limited availability added • Severity of potential impacts / risks appear to decrease through supply-
chain (will consumers notice at all?) • Solutions to handling <MCRS discards exist at larger ports but ownership,
engagement & management needed at port level • Strong case for small ports to be exempt based on dis-proportionate costs
(e.g. 100kg per week 100 miles roundtrip from landfill)
Tegen Mor Fisheries Consultants
Any questions?.. you know Hugh to ask!