Agenda 3

High-level Decision Makers Meeting

UN ESCAP High-level Decision Makers meeting (HLDM)

BangkokNov 28, 2013

•Awareness Building

•Inception of RESAP

•Awareness Building

•Inception of RESAP

•Focus on Operationalisation

•Projectisation of RESAP (Minimum Common Program)

•Focus on Operationalisation

•Projectisation of RESAP (Minimum Common Program)

1st MINCONF

2nd MINCONF

• ICST Convergence

•Institutionalisation

• ICST Convergence

•Institutionalisation

1994 1999 2007

… Towards 3rd MinCon

Capacity Building

… + Regional Cooperation

… + Partnership

Directional Focus in AP Region

Global level: UNISPACE I & IIGEOSS…..

Regional Level

2015

Take cognizance of Technology Advances

KnowledgeNetwork,

Communitye-Centres

DisasterNetwork

Network forNatural

ResourcesMgt.

Tele-medicineTele-education

Network

RESAP: New Pradigms

Strengthening RESAP

Network

Political Commitments

for spaceApplications

Thematic focus of RESAP could be towards

Disaster reduction; CeCs forTele-education; Tele-medicine; and Natural Resources Management

HarmonisingRegional to Local level

Initiatives &Strategies

Dynamicframework for

capacity building, Regional

Cooperation &Partnership

Climate Change Adaptation is the add-on now ESCAP Meeting of Eminent ExpertsBangkok, Aug 3-4, 2006

• Mapping the Earth’s Surface: 100+ times more accurate

• Measuring of assets/ infrastructures: 1/100+ of a metre accuracy in surface subsidence

• Disaster warning: 100+ hours advance risk warning

• On-board imaging: 100+ new satellite sensors for sustainable development

• Formation flying; On-board autonomy; Event triggering mission; Constellation

Satellite Remote Sensing

Satellite Communication

• Satcom capability >100+ new satellites, advent of Ku, Ka bands

• Convergence > 100 times more• Networks > 100 times and more• Emergency Communication > 100 times• Emerging Killer Applications: DTH; DARS;

HDTV; DMB• Global Mobile Personal Communication

System (GMPCS)• Satellite broadband internet

Satellite Meteorology• Improved computational capabilities• Predicting El Nino: 100+ days early warning• Advanced warning of Tornadoes & flash floods

• Weather ForecastToday 3 day at 93%; 7 day at 62%In 2010 5 day >90%; 7-10 day at 75%

Source: NWS; NOAA; ESTO

Event 20 years before

In 2000 In 2005

Tornadoes 3 min. 11 min. 15 min.

Flash floods 7.7 min. 15 min. 65 min.

Last

Mile

to L

ast F

oot C

onne

ctiv

ity

Last

Mile

to L

ast F

oot C

onne

ctiv

ity

Knowledge Society

Technology as an Enabler

Globalisation

ICT including Space

Broadband/ Social Networking

Global InitiativesInternationally Agreed Dev. Goals

MDGPoverty alleviation

WSSDSustainable

Development

WSISInformed Decision

Making

WCDRSafer World

Triple Crises

Financial

Climate Change

Population

Integrated Climate Change Adaptation, Disaster Risk Reduction, and Ecological Services Accounting; with Satellite EO playing a dominant role.

Green Growth Strategy

Poverty Alleviation– Addressing ‘Chronic’ Poverty

Space Applications

Economic Growth

Growth Stimulation

– Connectivity/Access

– NR Assets Building

– DRR & CCA

Resources for

technology development

– Tele- Education

– Tele-health

– Community Empowerment

– ..

Resources for Growth, Income Generation

Basic Human Entitlements

– Equitable

growth

– Knowledge

– Prosperity

Unholy nexus between Poverty and Disasters; Poverty and Environmental Degradation; and Poverty and Digital DivideSpace Technology and GIS provide necessary intervention

tools. It is a continuing Challenge

Unholy nexus between Poverty and Disasters; Poverty and Environmental Degradation; and Poverty and Digital DivideSpace Technology and GIS provide necessary intervention

tools. It is a continuing Challenge

Source: Ian Scoones, IDS

LIV

ELIH

OO

D S

TRA

TEG

IES

Influence& access

VULNERABILITY CONTEXT

•Shocks

•Stresses

•Seasonality

POLICY, INSTITUTIONS,

PROCESSES

• Levels of Govt.

• Private sector • Laws

• Policies

• Culture

• Institutions

LIVELIHOOD OUTCOMES

• Improved well- being

• More income

• Reduced vulnerability

• Improved food security

• More sustainable use of NR base

LIVELIHOOD ASSETS

in o

rde

r to

ach

iev

e

Soci

al

Fin

anc

ial

Natural

Human

Physic

al

Poverty

Vulnerability to Shocks

Vulnerability to Climate Change

Sustainable Livelihoods Resilience to shocks & StressAdaptable to Climate Change

Space Tech. inputs provide support to effective functioning of the structures & processes that influence access to assets, and the livelihood strategies

RS

GIS

Source: DFID, UK

Climate Change Extremes &

Disasters

BBC Framework

Risk Knowledge is a key element in building a Resilient

Community“ For Development to be Sustainable,

Disaster Risk Reduction Must be Built Into

The Planning Process”

World Conference on Disaster

Reduction (Kobe, Hyogo, Japan, 2005)

Source: Bogardi, Birkmann & Cardona 2009

Refined

Sustainable Development

Tel

e E

duca

tion

Dis

aste

r re

du

ctio

n

NR

& E

nvi

ron

. Mg

t.

Tel

e H

ealt

h

Space inputs towards

Time ripe for setting up the Thematic Working Group on Disaster Risk Reduction as enumerated in the Action Plan

From UNESCAP EEM, BKK 2006

UNOOSAUNOOSA

JAXA ISRO

UNESCAPUNESCAP

APRSAFAPRSAFCommunityCommunity

International Charter

GISTDA

…plus GEOSS & CEOS initiatives

UN SPIDER

Sentinel Asia

WCDR, Kobe, 2005

Hyogo Framework for Action

• Indicators to assess possible impacts

International Strategy for Disaster Reduction

• To develop robust, practical methods sound enough to withstand critical scientific scrutiny

ISDR, 2005

Japan TsunamiVolcano in Indonesia

Synergy & Simultaneity of Coordinated Measurements through International Co-operation

CEOS is the Space arm of GEOSS working through Group on Earth Observations (GEO)

• Land Surface Imaging (LSI)

• Atmospheric Chemistry (AC)

• Global Precipitation Mission (GPM)

• Ocean Surface Topography (OST)

• Ocean Surface Wind

• Ocean ColourCE

OS

Vir

tual

Co

nste

llati

on

•• DisastersDisasters: : Risk reductionRisk reduction

•• HealthHealth: : Understand environmental factors Understand environmental factors

•• EnergyEnergy: : Improve management of energyImprove management of energy•• ClimateClimate: : Understand, assess, predict, mitigate & adaptUnderstand, assess, predict, mitigate & adapt

•• WaterWater: : Understand water cycleUnderstand water cycle•• WeatherWeather: : Improve forecasting & warningImprove forecasting & warning

•• EcosystemsEcosystems: : Protect terrestrial, coastal & marine resourcesProtect terrestrial, coastal & marine resources•• AgricultureAgriculture: : Sustainable agriculture & combating Sustainable agriculture & combating

desertificationdesertification

•• BiodiversityBiodiversity: : Understand, monitor & conserveUnderstand, monitor & conserve

GEOSS Data Sharing Principles

• Full and open exchange of data, metadata and products shared within GEOSS, with minimum time delay and at minimum cost recognizing relevant international instruments and national policies and legislation

•All shared data, metadata and products being free of charge or no more than cost of reproduction encouraged for research and education

Recovery Observatory – the idea

12

Response(weeks)

Recovery(years)

International Charter

Sentinel-Asia

UN SPIDER

EO data from National Agenciesand commercial providers

Clear identification of EO RoleCoordinated effortEffective Resource AllocationClear Institutional Links

Recovery Observatory (3-5 yrs)

CEOS Launched the Working Group on Disasters recently, transitioning from the earlier ad-hoc WG

Source: CEOS Plenary, Nov 2013

Domain Essential Climate Variables

Atmospheric (over land, sea and ice)

Precipitation, Earth radiation budget (including solar irradiance), Upper-air temperature, Wind speed and direction, Water vapour, Cloud properties, Carbon dioxide, Ozone, Aerosol properties

Oceanic

Sea-surface temperature, Sea level, Sea ice, Ocean colour (for biological activity), Sea state, Ocean salinity

Terrestrial

Lakes, Snow cover, Glaciers and ice caps, Albedo, Land cover (including vegetation type), Fraction of absorbed photosynthetically active radiation (fAPAR), Leaf area index (LAI), Biomass, Fire disturbance, Soil moisture

Reliable, consistent Fundamental Climate Data Records (FCDR) with accuracy & precision ;

with calibration, navigation and radiometric info needed with traceability records

Climate signals are extremely small

•Temperature trends of only a few tenths of a degree C per decade•Ozone changes as little as 1% per decade •Variations in the Sun’s output as tiny as 0.1% per decade or less

Identifying such indicators & drivers for SDG is the Challenge

ECVs , a GCOS & CEOS Initiative – An example for such efforts

Once identified CEOS agencies and

others committed for data support through Virtual Constellation

of Satellites

Observation Strategies

Research & Analysis

Information Systems

Technology Development

Supporting Framework

Capacity Building

Inte

gra

ted

Fra

me

work

Are we able to capture ‘Indicators’ which can

withstand scientific scrutiny ?

No universally accepted sets of indicators, due to plurality of purpose in characterising and measuring Sustainable Development

Need for identifying and monitoring drivers, which provides the basis for evaluating effectiveness of policy responses.

‘Actionable’ information that reduce the uncertainty in decision making is the goal.

Ultimately the Value of Information is related to the reduction in uncertainty associated with Decision-making

Generating Political Will :

Where does the political will come from?– From public demand

– By empowering the communities (Community based Disaster Risk Reduction & Climate Change Adaptation themes)

Flexibility:

_ To address wide range of social and cultural settings

– To be seen as ‘ living’ framework accommodating advances in technologies, concepts and thoughts..

( ‘ONLY PARANOID SURVIVE’ says Andy Grove)

Ability to encourage ownership

To be accepted and owned by all stakeholders..

The Challenge is to create an approach that strikes a balance between the scientifically sound, the diplomatically acceptable and

politically relevant.

A MECHANISM THAT DELIVERS!

…ONLY PARANOID SURVIVE !

- Andrew Grove…. Need to ensure platform neutral products delivery……..

Visualisation March 12 2011

Japan Tsunami

Visualisation March 13 2011

Internet of Things & Big Data analytics (Volume, Variety, and Velocity) posing new

challenges

Data is no more a fascination; but, application is always! How easy and useful will they be?

128 bit IPv6!

Internet of Things

Disruptive innovative Web 2.0technologies (Cloud, Smart phones and Social networks)

Open Source Software

Immersive, animated experience reflecting real world in real time!

Keep it Simple Stupid

Domesticate the Technology Keep the interface simple.

Better Governance for Disaster Reduction & CCA(Databases:, Decision Support Mechanisms)

Better Governance for Disaster Reduction & CCA(Databases:, Decision Support Mechanisms)

Capacity Building(Institutional Strengthening)

Capacity Building(Institutional Strengthening)

Community Empowerment(Access to warning,Communication, weather, tele-education, telemedicine..)

Community Empowerment(Access to warning,Communication, weather, tele-education, telemedicine..)

Projectisation-Mission Mode-Setting upRegional Network

Strengthening Risk Assessment & CCA Capabilities

Strengthening Risk Assessment & CCA Capabilities

Populating Space Technology for EWS

Populating Space Technology for EWS

SatCom EnabledCommunity basedDRR & CCA

SatCom EnabledCommunity basedDRR & CCA

EO in UniversalizingImpact Aassessment

EO in UniversalizingImpact Aassessment

Synergising UN & other Intl initiatives

Synergising UN & other Intl initiatives

MAXIMSE THE COMMONALITY OF PURPOSE

Where is the Life we have lost in living?Where is the wisdom we have lost in knowledge?

Where is the knowledge we have lost in information?T.S. Eliot, "The Rock", Faber & Faber 1934.

Thanks

Information is the Difference that makes the Difference

Let us not add “Where is Information lost in Data?”