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Syphilis Surveillance: What are we looking at? Tom Peterman Richard Kahn Carol Ciesielski Elizabeth Ortiz-Rios Bruce Furness Susan Blank Julie Schillinger Bob Gunn Melanie Taylor Field Epidemiology Unit

Syphilis Surveillance: What are we looking at?

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Syphilis Surveillance: What are we looking at?. Tom Peterman Richard Kahn Carol Ciesielski Elizabeth Ortiz-Rios Bruce Furness Susan Blank Julie Schillinger Bob Gunn Melanie Taylor. Field Epidemiology Unit ESB, DSTDP, CDC. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Syphilis Surveillance: What are we looking at?

Syphilis Surveillance:What are we looking at?

Tom Peterman Richard KahnCarol Ciesielski Elizabeth Ortiz-RiosBruce Furness Susan BlankJulie Schillinger Bob GunnMelanie Taylor

Field Epidemiology Unit ESB, DSTDP, CDC

Page 2: Syphilis Surveillance: What are we looking at?

Syphilis stage definitions confusing, especially latent syphilis.

Some: Don’t understand definition. Don’t like the definition. Stage at the time DIS sees case.

Page 3: Syphilis Surveillance: What are we looking at?

Priorities differ when the stage is not known:

Clinician: Treatment BPGx1 (if <1 year) BPGx3 (if Late latent) DIS: Partner notification interviews: Primary 3 months+/- Secondary 6 months +/- Early latent 1 year Late latent none. Surveillance Trends: Primary and Secondary (most important) Early latent (less important) Late latent (not too important) Consistent

Page 4: Syphilis Surveillance: What are we looking at?

Syphilis of Unknown Duration

? probable early infections that did not meet the definition for Early Latent.

Page 5: Syphilis Surveillance: What are we looking at?

Rate of primary and secondary, early latent, late latent, and unknown duration syphilis,

New York City, 1992-2002

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 0 1 2

Year

Rat

e (p

er 1

00,0

00)

Late Latent

Early latent

Primary & Secondary

Unknown Duration

Page 6: Syphilis Surveillance: What are we looking at?

Rate of primary and secondary, early latent, late latent, and unknown duration syphilis,

Chicago, 1992-2002

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 0 1 2

Year

Rat

e (p

er 1

00,0

00)

Late Latent

Early latent

Primary & Secondary Unknown Duration

Page 7: Syphilis Surveillance: What are we looking at?

Chicago

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 0 1 2

Year

Rat

e (p

er 1

00,0

00)

Los Angeles

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

Year

Rat

e (p

er 1

00,0

00)

San Diego

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

Year

Rat

e (p

er 1

00,0

00)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Year

Rat

e (p

er 1

00,0

00)

New York City

San Juan

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 0 1 2

Year

Rat

e (p

er 1

00,0

00)

Washington D.C.

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

Year

Rat

e (p

er 1

00,0

00)

Early latent

Late Latent

Primary & Secondary

Late Latent

Late LatentEarly latent

Early latent

Page 8: Syphilis Surveillance: What are we looking at?

Discuss syphilis classification, Reactor grid.Review syphilis records starting in 2002, + 30 cases each of primary, secondary, early latent, unknown duration, late latent.

Methods

Page 9: Syphilis Surveillance: What are we looking at?

CDC Definitions:

Primary: Ulcer and positive test.Secondary: mucocutaneous lesions and RPR>4.Early Latent: In the past 12 months: Seroconversion; Sx of P&S; or Exposure to early syphilis.Unknown duration: Not early latent syphilis, and patient age 13-35, and nontreponemal titer >32.Late latent: None of the above, and not previously diagnosed, and + treponemal and nontreponemal tests.

Page 10: Syphilis Surveillance: What are we looking at?

Sites’ Stage (n) CDC Stage Not Primary Secondary Early L Unk Late SyphilisPrimary 94 3 3 (150)Secondary 96 3 1 1 (218) Early L 3 2 53 13 28 1 (250)Unknown 5 50 41 5 (143) Late L 2 4 2 79 13 (212)

Comparison of Sites’ and CDC Stage (%)Results

Page 11: Syphilis Surveillance: What are we looking at?

Agreement with CDC definition, by site (%)

Chi PR DC NY SD LA

Primary 100 71 100 97 88 100

Secondary 100 89 91 100 100 100

Early L 59 68 26 24 86 69

Unknown 13 na 23 17 86 91

Late L 80 83 67 66 85 91

Some notes inconsistent Ulcer but lab tests negative.

Page 12: Syphilis Surveillance: What are we looking at?

Agreement with CDC definition, by site (%)

Chi PR DC NY SD LA

Primary 100 71 100 97 88 100

Secondary 100 89 91 100 100 100

Early L 59 68 26 24 86 69

Unknown 13 na 23 17 86 91

Late L 80 83 67 66 85 91

SD and LA used form for recording stage and rationale. LA intentionally changed Early Latent defn to include patients with >4-fold titer decrease in year after treatment.

Page 13: Syphilis Surveillance: What are we looking at?

Agreement with CDC definition, by site (%)

Chi PR DC NY SD LA

Primary 100 71 100 97 88 100

Secondary 100 89 91 100 100 100

Early L 59 68 26 24 86 69

Unknown 13 na 23 17 86 91

Late L 80 83 67 66 85 91

Some called Early L if they seemed to be recently infected— high titer, young age, many partners.

Page 14: Syphilis Surveillance: What are we looking at?

Agreement with CDC definition, by site (%)

Chi PR DC NY SD LA

Primary 100 71 100 97 88 100

Secondary 100 89 91 100 100 100

Early L 59 68 26 24 86 69

Unknown 13 na 23 17 86 91

Late L 80 83 67 66 85 91

PR wasn’t using, NY began using mid-way (defn age <45)Others apparently thought “unknown” meant “not known”.QA can improve, all thought this stage should be dropped.

Page 15: Syphilis Surveillance: What are we looking at?

Agreement with CDC definition, by site (%)

Chi PR DC NY SD LA

Primary 100 71 100 97 88 100

Secondary 100 89 91 100 100 100

Early L 59 68 26 24 86 69

Unknown 13 na 23 17 86 91

Late L 80 83 67 66 85 91

Some in every stageMost had neg RPR or previoustreatment without titer rise.

Page 16: Syphilis Surveillance: What are we looking at?

Unknown Duration:

“Unknown” is often confused with “not known”. Median age for primary and secondary syphilis is 35.

Recommendation: Drop it.

Discussion

Page 17: Syphilis Surveillance: What are we looking at?

Early Latent:

Only 53% met definition (range 24-85%)

Big problem--Early Latent is important: Measures incidence. Using primary syphilis to measure incidence is biased. (women and MSM less likely to have Primary) Early Latent identifies persons missed at Primary and Secondary stages.Current definition highly influenced by: Disease investigation activity Knowledge of partners Serology testing and records availability.

Page 18: Syphilis Surveillance: What are we looking at?

Early LatentConsider including anyone with titer >32 Most would be early cases. Less influenced by availability of partner information. Easier to relate to. However, titers vary by test, may be influenced by HIV

Page 19: Syphilis Surveillance: What are we looking at?

Summary:

Latent syphilis surveillance is a mess!Recognize different perspectives: Clinical, Partner investigation, Surveillance.Change surveillance definitions: Drop Unknown Duration. ? Expand Early latent to include titers > 32.