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OPEN FORUM Symbiotic technology for creating social innovation 30 years in the future Shinichi Doi Keiji Yamada Received: 9 March 2010 / Accepted: 11 September 2010 / Published online: 4 December 2010 Ó Springer-Verlag London Limited 2010 Abstract This paper discusses a way to create social innovation around 2040. With such innovation, social restrictions that are regarded as being inevitable in the current society can be eliminated. First, it is necessary to determine how to approach the innovation. Symbiotic technology is one of the promising technologies for achieving social innovation. It is the fusion of scientific technology and socio-technology. Its elemental technolo- gies are classified into two categories: technologies for converging the real and cyber worlds and those for inte- grating hetero-systems. This paper describes examples of those technical categories and introduces the challenges of the first step toward social innovation. Keywords Open innovation Á Social innovation Á Symbiotic technology Á Intellectual productivity Á Emotion 1 Introduction As the think tank Club of Rome indicated in 1970 (Meadows et al. 1972), global society is in a chaotic situ- ation since the beginning of the 21st century. Economic activities and markets are becoming increasingly global- ized and global networks such as international transportation and the Internet are covering the world like strata. Therefore, an accident in one region immediately impacts other regions thousands of miles away. Global networks complicate causal relations of all affairs on the earth, and they produce such a chaotic situ- ation in traditional society that we cannot understand behaviors of global economics or predict change in global society. In order to create a sustainable and dependable society over evolving global networks, we need to re- design our society to be suitable for the development of technologies. For this purpose, we introduce the method of backcasting. First, we review social trends and problems of the cur- rent society and state our goal as ‘‘to achieve social inno- vation and true information revolution by developing technologies to remove the current limitations and solve the problems.’’ Then, we draw pictures of the future society that will appear after the problems are solved. This paper proposes a way to create social innovation to approach these problems. Then, it describes symbiotic technology, which is a fusion of scientific technologies and socio- technologies. After introducing a review of state-of-the-art symbiotic technology, our current trials are described, in which the activities of an entire research laboratory are comprehensively monitored and used for collaborative researches on innovation of intellectual productivity. 2 Social innovation 2.1 Social trends and current issues Since the end of the eighteenth century, the industrial revolution, called ‘‘second wave’’ by Toffler (1980), has increased business efficiency and materialistic fulfillment. S. Doi (&) Á K. Yamada C&C Innovation Research Laboratories, NEC Corporation, 8916-47, Takayama-cho, Ikoma-shi, Nara 630-0101, Japan e-mail: [email protected] URL: http://www.nec.co.jp/rd/en/Overview/soshiki/ccinov/ index.html K. Yamada e-mail: [email protected] 123 AI & Soc (2011) 26:197–204 DOI 10.1007/s00146-010-0308-0

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Page 1: Symbiotic technology for creating social innovation 30 years in the future

OPEN FORUM

Symbiotic technology for creating social innovation 30 yearsin the future

Shinichi Doi • Keiji Yamada

Received: 9 March 2010 / Accepted: 11 September 2010 / Published online: 4 December 2010

� Springer-Verlag London Limited 2010

Abstract This paper discusses a way to create social

innovation around 2040. With such innovation, social

restrictions that are regarded as being inevitable in the

current society can be eliminated. First, it is necessary to

determine how to approach the innovation. Symbiotic

technology is one of the promising technologies for

achieving social innovation. It is the fusion of scientific

technology and socio-technology. Its elemental technolo-

gies are classified into two categories: technologies for

converging the real and cyber worlds and those for inte-

grating hetero-systems. This paper describes examples of

those technical categories and introduces the challenges of

the first step toward social innovation.

Keywords Open innovation � Social innovation �Symbiotic technology � Intellectual productivity � Emotion

1 Introduction

As the think tank Club of Rome indicated in 1970

(Meadows et al. 1972), global society is in a chaotic situ-

ation since the beginning of the 21st century. Economic

activities and markets are becoming increasingly global-

ized and global networks such as international

transportation and the Internet are covering the world like

strata. Therefore, an accident in one region immediately

impacts other regions thousands of miles away.

Global networks complicate causal relations of all

affairs on the earth, and they produce such a chaotic situ-

ation in traditional society that we cannot understand

behaviors of global economics or predict change in global

society. In order to create a sustainable and dependable

society over evolving global networks, we need to re-

design our society to be suitable for the development of

technologies. For this purpose, we introduce the method of

backcasting.

First, we review social trends and problems of the cur-

rent society and state our goal as ‘‘to achieve social inno-

vation and true information revolution by developing

technologies to remove the current limitations and solve

the problems.’’ Then, we draw pictures of the future society

that will appear after the problems are solved. This paper

proposes a way to create social innovation to approach

these problems. Then, it describes symbiotic technology,

which is a fusion of scientific technologies and socio-

technologies. After introducing a review of state-of-the-art

symbiotic technology, our current trials are described, in

which the activities of an entire research laboratory are

comprehensively monitored and used for collaborative

researches on innovation of intellectual productivity.

2 Social innovation

2.1 Social trends and current issues

Since the end of the eighteenth century, the industrial

revolution, called ‘‘second wave’’ by Toffler (1980), has

increased business efficiency and materialistic fulfillment.

S. Doi (&) � K. Yamada

C&C Innovation Research Laboratories,

NEC Corporation,

8916-47, Takayama-cho, Ikoma-shi,

Nara 630-0101, Japan

e-mail: [email protected]

URL: http://www.nec.co.jp/rd/en/Overview/soshiki/ccinov/

index.html

K. Yamada

e-mail: [email protected]

123

AI & Soc (2011) 26:197–204

DOI 10.1007/s00146-010-0308-0

Page 2: Symbiotic technology for creating social innovation 30 years in the future

Newly established hierarchical organizations such as

business enterprises and bureaucracy and widely spread

networks such as transportation and telecommunication

systems have introduced mass production, mass distribu-

tion, and mass consumption systems in the industrial field

and brought us drastic changes on our lives and social

structures. In Fig. 1, we can see the development of society

since then from the viewpoints of network spread and

market size. For example, the sum of GDPs around the

world has grown 70 times in the last 200 years.

Toffler also described in his book (Toffler 1980) that

many countries had moved into the post-industrial era,

called ‘‘third wave’’ at that time, where information and

knowledge play dominant roles. As he predicted, infor-

mation communication technologies, such as the Internet,

PCs, and mobiles, achieved rapid development during the

last decade of the twentieth century and are providing us

with advancement of information society and globalization

and making the layered organization flat. From then, we

have been enjoying the huge amount of benefits of the

technologies.

In these days, however, the negative effects of the

advancement of information society, industrialization, and

globalization have become conspicuous. Figure 1 also

shows the issues happening recently and to happen in near

future. Especially after the beginning of the 21st century,

human beings are facing more and more problems brought

by the technologies, such as global financial crisis, envi-

ronment and energy issues, and aging of the society and

information explosion. The idea of family and the rela-

tionship between the individuals and community and

society are also changing. Current advancement of

information society is only promoting industrialization and

has not solved the problems. In other words, we are facing

the paradoxical situation, where information communica-

tion technology, which should be one of the best means to

resolve these problems, even prevents us from resolving by

providing too much information to understand the situa-

tion. In Table 1, we can see other problems predicted to

occur in the near future and the limitations necessary to be

removed for solving the problems but believed to be

impossible to be removed. Now is the time to achieve true

information revolution that resolves the fundamental cau-

ses of these problems. The most important goal of our

activities is to maintain or increase quality of life during

the changes. We should not simply endure, but should

positively innovate in our society.

2.2 Strategy for creating future societies

In the last chapter, we have described the current status of

the information society, where many problems are still

unsolved and even created. True future society will come

only after overcoming all the problems. For this purpose,

the advancement of information communication technolo-

gies alone is not enough but the social innovation and the

change in the various social systems and people’s lifestyles

are required. Therefore, our goal is to achieve social

innovation and true information revolution by developing

technologies to remove the current limitations and solve

the problems.

To clarify what kind of technologies are essential for

this purpose, we employed the backcasting method

(Robinson 1982). First, we draw three pictures of the future

Spread of netw

ork

Renaissance

Enlargement of MarketOligopoly

Colonial policy

Market openingin Eastern Europe

Growth of BRICs

Growth of Africa and Asia

Pre-moderntrade

Monopoly

Polygopoly

18001400

Interaction

Dive

rsific

atio

n

Informationrevolution

2000

1800

2000

Netw

ork of trust

Global C

apitalism IndustrializationAdvancementof information

society

-

Globalfinancial

crisis

Environmental problem Multi

-polarization

Socialliquidation

Loss oflocality

Open system

Industrial revolution

Change of social structure

Aged society

Energy netw

ork

Printing

Global

transportationTelecomnetw

ork

Spread of netw

ork

RenaissanceEnlargement of Market

Oligopoly

Colonial policyPre-moderntrade

Monopoly18001400

Interaction

Dive

rsific

atio

n

2000

1800

2000

Netw

ork of trust

Global C

apitalism Industrialization -

Globalfinancial

crisis

-

Industrial revolution

Change of social structure

Aged society

Energy netw

ork

Printing

Global

transportationTelecomnetw

ork

Differences inwealth and poverty

Fig. 1 Social trends and issues

to happen in near future

198 AI & Soc (2011) 26:197–204

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society that will appear after the limitations listed in the

Table 1 are removed, then design the road map to achieve

the three scenes.

Figure 2a indicates a new daily life created by release

from limited places and by correcting the misunderstanding

that all of the old people are less active. There, family

members will live independently, but they will peacefully

communicate with one another and carefully watch over

one another.

Figure 2b illustrates the future work style. From any-

where, individuals will contribute to a project they select,

and each will be able to work in the way he or she likes. A

job that was previously accomplished by one person will be

divided into partial jobs executed by many people. Old

people and disabled people will be able to perform frag-

mental jobs. Partial executions will be integrated into a big

achievement. This is a new type of work sharing, and we

call such a community a co-creation community.

Figure 2c describes the image of the future society

where everyone actively participates in society to solve the

problems through collaboration. With support of informa-

tion communication technologies, every people can con-

sider the global problems such as environmental problem

as their own problems and express their opinions over-

coming linguistic, cultural, spatial, and temporal barriers.

In order to remove the current limitations and realize the

above-mentioned future societies with the development of

scientific technology, we need to plan the progress of

socio-technology, which includes design of social systems

and design of a way to change the sense of values in the

society. Therefore, we need to integrate many kinds of

expertise such as economics, social science, psychology,

medical science, culture, and media design. Furthermore,

we have to evaluate whether the new social system pro-

posed can be accepted by as many people in the near future

as possible. We also need to collaborate with venture

companies, residents in local areas, local governments,

non-profit organizations, and so on.

This is the first step in the road map. The cycle of design

of social systems, technology development, and evaluation

Table 1 Examples of limitations to be removed for solving predicted problem

Problems predicted Limitations to be removed

Daily life Increase in number of old people living alone Daily life restricted to limited places

Increase in social welfare costs Older people are less active

Work Company competence weakening caused by

liquidation of human resources

Much tacit knowledge in an organization

Know-how collects in workers’ brains

Society and

community

Indifference to social affairs Individual behavior does not influence society

Aggravation of global environment Individuals cannot sense gradual change of global environment

Fig. 2 Examples of the ideal daily life people will have in the new

society. a Independent daily life: Family members live independently

while communicating peacefully with each other. b Work suitable to

individuals: Individuals can contribute to projects in their own way

from anywhere. c Global citizens: Everyone can understand social

situations around him/her, exchange opinions to solve common

problems, and act together

AI & Soc (2011) 26:197–204 199

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of the social systems proposed will be repeated until the

goal of the social innovation is achieved.

3 Symbiotic technology

3.1 Integration of scientific technologies and socio-

technologies

In order to create a social innovation, scientific technology

should be integrated with socio-technology to become

symbiotic technology. Then, the symbiotic technology can

be classified in two dimensions (Fig. 3).

One axis corresponds to the convergence of the real

world and the cyber world. The digitization of telecom-

munication was achieved a decade ago. Now, the digiti-

zation of the real world is getting more popular through the

use of semiconductor sensors. Technologies for utilizing

sensor data will be developed further to improve the real

world. Real situations are sensed, integrated, and processed

in the cyber world. A huge amount of information and

many opinions are exchanged there. Then, the results are

fed back into the real world.

The other dimension is the integration of hetero-type

systems. So far, elements of the same kind are integrated

into a large system like a computer network or a power

management system. However, in the future, systems of

different types should be controlled together as one huge

system. Human beings are the most important element in

society, and human networks cover society in addition to

energy power networks and traffic networks. Their

behaviors should change in order to improve society,

smooth all the traffic in a city, and keep daily life secure.

Therefore, we need to study further the integration of

hetero-systems such as social dynamics, open co-creation,

and mutual understanding with the convergence of the real

world and the cyber world.

3.2 Convergence of real and cyber worlds

Development of technologies regarding the convergence of

the real world and the cyber world can be viewed in terms

of two dimensions. In Fig. 4, research subjects and appli-

cation areas of the following related studies are positioned

regarding these two dimensions. One dimension is the

change of characteristics that are used for the convergence.

Currently, physical characteristics are sensed. At the next

stage, characteristics of human behaviors or social behav-

iors are used in terms of biological sensors and/or analysis

of data sensed physically (Patel et al. 2008). After this

stage, human emotions will be sensed and utilized. For

example, people will be persuaded to improve their

behaviors in order to improve the society or improve their

own health conditions (Fogg 2003). Furthermore, if human

creativity can be measured, the productivity of intellectual

works will be able to be improved drastically (Carroll et al.

2009; Miwa and Ishii 2004).

The vertical axis denotes the size of a party. The origin

corresponds to an individual person and an individual

object. A technology of sensor networks is available for

sensing a wider area and a larger party. One of its appli-

cations is intelligent agriculture (Farkas 2003; Hashimoto

Humanbeing

Society

Energy

Information Environment

Objects Economics

Integration of hetero-systems

Digitization oftelecommunication

The convergence ofthe real world and the cyber world

Onlinecomputer

Nation-widecomputing system

Digitization of the real world

Social dynamics

Open co-creation

Mutual understandingSpontaneous behavior

Intellectual productivity

Activation of eldersPeaceful communication

Cloud computing

Ubiquitous computing

Supply chain managementBusiness process management

Informatizationof energy

The new generationnetwork

Networked robotsWearable systems

Online bank systemOnline Store computer

Mobile ECInformation services of

position sensing

Integration of hetero-systems

Social dynamics

Open co-creation

Mutual understandingSpontaneous behavior

Intellectual productivity

Activation of eldersPeaceful communication

Cloud computing

Ubiquitous computing

Supply chain managementBusiness process management

Informatizationof energy

The new generationnetwork

Networked robotsWearable systems

Online bank systemOnline Store computer

Mobile ECInformation services of

position sensing

Fig. 3 Development toward symbiotic technology

200 AI & Soc (2011) 26:197–204

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et al. 2001). The safety, quality, and amount of agricultural

products are improved by using sensed data.

As probes, it is possible to use cars with sensors to

monitor the traffic load on a road and other conditions of a

city (Axhausen 2006; Boltze 2003; Boltze et al. 2008). By

using these data, we can construct safer and smoother roads

and can reduce energy consumption by transportation in a

city by changing users’ behaviors.

Along the vertical axis, finally we need to deal with the

holistic social system. For example, it is important to

maintain social dependability by monitoring social activi-

ties, re-designing the social infrastructure, and guiding

social behaviors (Avizienis et al. 2001; Dorf 2001). Though

the smart grid controls a power network that includes many

kinds of power sources (Massoud Amin and Wollenberg

2005), it will be evolved so as to deal with behaviors of

consumers.

At mid-size organizations, business process manage-

ment (BPM) has been tried by sensing elemental activities

in work flows (van der Aalst et al. 2003; Grigori et al.

2004). Complicated business processes can be demystified

and their quality can be optimized after analysis, predic-

tion, monitoring, and control. Communities of Practice

(CoP) can be achieved to manage knowledge flows on

networks of business work flows (Allee 2000; Khosla et al.

2009). It provides sharing of knowledge, sharing of best

practices, utilization of past experiences, knowledge gen-

eration for innovation, and networks of experts. Further-

more, knowledge can be embedded in products, services,

and processes to produce better business situations.

The wisdom of crowds is expected to produce much

more intelligence in the holistic society (Surowiecki 2007;

Tapscott and Williams 2006). For promoting it, the

situations of partial societies should be monitored and their

intellectual activities should increase. Basically open

communities for intellectual activities should not be con-

trolled, but individuals in the communities may be emo-

tionally motivated so that their spontaneous behaviors will

be induced.

3.3 Integration of hetero-systems

Networks such as human communication, transportation,

energy supply, and national infrastructures are growing

(see the bottom row in Fig. 5). They are becoming entan-

gled with one another and influence social activities to such

an extent that a local failure will be immediately spread

globally and damage other systems (Massoud Amin 2002).

On the contrary, they should be designed depending on

fundamental demands for social activities that are listed in

the top row of Fig. 5. However, it is extremely difficult to

design a system in relation to others. Therefore, it is nec-

essary to develop a new technology for generating a huge-

scale system by integrating systems of various types. The

mid-row of Fig. 5 indicates elements for managing a huge-

scale integrated system. Basically, the integrated system

has the characteristics of complex dynamics and strong

interactions among partial systems.

There are some ways to analyze structures of entangled

networks. One is to analyze the social system layer by layer

when it has latent layered structures (Levi-Strauss 2006;

Granovetter 2005). There is another way to investigate the

causal relations of the elements in the system (Pearl 2000).

After the analysis, the system should be modeled and its

dynamics can be calculated by simulation technologies

such as system dynamics and multi-agent techniques

Holisticsocial system

Individualseach objects

Physical characteristics

Emotional characteristicsIntellectual characteristics

Behavioralcharacteristics

Sensornetwork

Intelligentagriculture

BPMSCM

Emotionalsensing

Behavioralsensing

Wisdom ofcrowds

Socialdependability Smart Grid

CoPs

ITS

Physicalsensor Biological

sensing

PersuasionBehavior induction

Probe car

Visualization ofbusiness situation

Social monitoringMonitoring of

intellectual activity

Creativity

Organizationcommunity

Fig. 4 Examples of studies on

convergence of real world and

cyber world

AI & Soc (2011) 26:197–204 201

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(Boccara 2004; Gilbert and Troitzsch 2005; Tesfatson and

Judd 2006). Then, the behaviors of the system can be

estimated and predicted. In particular, when the system

includes human beings like a social system, its behavior is

not easy to estimate because their emotions have many

effects on social behavior. However, many studies have

begun to challenge this issue for unraveling mysterious

economic and cultural behaviors (Nau and Wilkenfeld

2008; Kahneman 2003). In behavioral economics, several

approaches for management have been tried by using case-

based decision theory, emotion, neuroscience, and proce-

dural rationality (Camerer and Loewenstein 2004).

The results can be applied to manage and optimize

complex systems (Granovetter 2005; Figueira et al. 2005).

A transportation control (Axhausen 2006) and a smart

power grid (Massoud Amin and Wollenberg 2005) are

examples of their actual applications. Furthermore, risks in

a huge-scale system can be analyzed to make it dependable

and sustainable (Vose 2008; Dorf 2001).

4 Trials for social intelligence design

This section describes examples of the trials that are con-

ducted in the authors’ research group.

4.1 Current trials on behavior monitoring

for intellectual productivity of CoPs

As one of the trials for achieving convergence of the real

and cyber worlds, we study how to evaluate and improve

intellectual productivity. Here, the sum of intellectual

productivity over a community of practice (CoP) is as

important as individual intellectual productivity.

How to measure intellectual productivity is investigated

by various kinds of experts in management science, eco-

nomics, psychology, sociology, sensor technology, and so

on. In order to share and mutually utilize the research

results, we developed a system sensing behaviors of

researchers and installed it in our research laboratories.

This sensor system can record all intellectual activities in

the real and cyber laboratories by using:

1. a multi-camera system covering the entire area and

capturing the gestures of all researchers,

2. a multi-microphone system that records all

conversations,

3. Position sensing of researchers,

4. a book sensing system where researchers read books,

5. Logging of personal computer usage, which records

screens, accessed files, and tasks,

6. a mental measurement system such as stress scales,

electroencephalographs, and an infra-red camera as a

thermometer.

We have already recorded all of these data for two and a

half years and use these data for open collaboration. Many

researchers come to our laboratories to analyze these data

for their own studies. They perform interdisciplinary

studies to exchange and consider their findings with others.

One example is a structure analysis of CoPs (Shime

et al. 2008). In this topic, records of voice communication,

e-mails, meetings, and information distribution over the

authors’ laboratories are analyzed so that the embedded

structures are extracted. Extracted relations in our labora-

tories are shown in Fig. 6. The result indicates that their

structures change according to the purpose of a place. It

was found from other research topics that an individual job

can be automatically segmented into fragments. The rela-

tions among them and the importance of a fragmental job

can be measured. Some of them should be promoted and

some should be improved or reduced. Because the intel-

lectual productivity depends on a worker’s personality, the

environment of the work place, and mental stress on him or

her, a worker’s personality will be used for management of

CoPs to increase its productivity.

In the next step, the relation between the amount of

outputs and researchers’ activities will be investigated in

detail. Furthermore, this structure analysis will be applied

Security & safety(Sickness, accidents, disaster,

environmental problems)

Economical productivity

Food, clothing, and shelter

Management of huge-scale integrated system

Structure &networkanalysis

Estimation

Prediction

Riskanalysis

Modeling

Simulation

ControlManagementOptimization

CommunicationMobility

(transportation, Physical distribution)

Energy supplynetwork

Nationalinfrastructure

-scale integrated system

Fig. 5 Relations of hetero-

systems

202 AI & Soc (2011) 26:197–204

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to design of a larger community and an open community

for creative works.

4.2 Current trials on analysis of interdependency

for dynamic system analysis

As an example of research on hetero-system integration,

interdependencies of social events are analyzed (Perrin

et al. 2008). In this trial, sentences on web pages are

analyzed. In a web page, an event as a social activity is

described and its relation with another event is often

referred to as in, ‘‘Higher crude oil prices are due to a

hurricane in Gulf of Mexico’’ and ‘‘Mass transportation is

usually more available in urban areas, helping reduce

automobile use and thus pollution.’’ A natural language

analysis can extract expressions about quantitative change

or qualitative change with words such as ‘‘go up,’’

‘‘increase,’’ and ‘‘higher.’’ The method we proposed can

automatically extract and collect such expressions that

imply relations between social events. The relation network

can be generated by connecting extracted events. Figure 7

shows an example of the extracted network, which indi-

cates a network around ‘‘industrial development’’ and

‘‘economic growth.’’ There are many relation paths. One is

a positive path through ‘‘economic development.’’ Another

is a negative path through ‘‘climate change’’ and ‘‘increase

of hurricanes.’’

Dynamics of events in the networks can be simulated by

system dynamics methods and a multi-agent simulation.

That analysis method will provide the items included in the

simulation and the parameters for simulators, though it is

difficult to give enough items and parameters to simulators

with manual works.

This technique will enable the society to be well

designed based not only on the knowledge of experts of a

limited number but also on the knowledge of a large

number of ordinary people.

5 Concluding remarks

This paper describes the design of social innovation and the

way to trigger innovation. Symbiotic technology is one

of the most promising technologies for creating social

innovation. It consists of the technology category for the

real-cyber convergence and that for the integration of

hetero-systems. This paper describes examples of those

technical categories and the challenges of the first step

toward social innovation. We introduce our current trials,

in which the activities of an entire research laboratory are

comprehensively monitored and used for collaborative

researches on innovation of intellectual productivity. In

addition, as one of the trials for achieving convergence of

the real and cyber worlds, we have recently started studies

on social dynamics understanding by analyzing real and

cyber human communications including conversation and

e-mails (Itaya et al. 2010; Yoshinaga et al. 2010).

These will be accomplished by interdisciplinary col-

laboration with experts in economics, sociology, psychol-

ogy, health science, media design, and system science.

Therefore, a new management of research is necessary and

symbiotic technology can be examined in management to

(a) Meeting space (b) Refreshment space (c) Around own desks

X

Y Z

Group X

Group Y Group Z

X

Y Z

Group X

Group Y Group Z

X

Y Z

Group X

Group Y Group Z

Fig. 6 Examples of embedded structures depending on positions

Fig. 7 Extracted example of relation network of social events

AI & Soc (2011) 26:197–204 203

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improve intellectual activities of interdisciplinary collabo-

rative research. In the future, we will strive to develop an

integrated system based on symbiotic technology and

evaluate it in real environments such as local communities

for improving their natural environments, open communi-

ties for creative works, and communities of old people for

global business.

Acknowledgments The authors appreciate meticulous comments

by Dr. Kunieda and Mr. Kawai.

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