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Swedish firms' untimely financial reporting - A study of goodwill impairment as a tool used to mislead financial users.
Master's Thesis 30 credits
Department of Business Studies
Uppsala University
Spring Semester of 2019
Date of Submission: 2019-05-29
Viktor Axelsson
Ludvig Eriksson
Supervisor: Leon Caesarius
Abstract
Title Swedish firms' untimely financial reporting
- A study of goodwill impairment as a tool used to
mislead financial users.
Date of submission 2019-05-29
Authors Viktor Axelsson, Ludvig Eriksson
Supervisor Leon Caesarius
Course 2FE840, Master Thesis, Advanced course, 30 ECTS
Five key words Earnings management, Real acitivites management,
Cash flow manipulation, Untimely reporting,
Goodwill impairment.
Purpose The purpose of the study is to investigate how
postponement of goodwill impairment is conducted
and if managers thereby contribute to a distortion of
the underlying qualitative characteristics in financial
reporting.
Methodology Proxies for earnings management activities, through
cash flow manipulation, are computed cross-
sectionally by sector-year with at least ten
observations. Suspect firms are then matched with
control firms within the same sector and operating
year to control for these effects.
Theoretical perspective The transition to the IFRS framework has contributed
to changes in the handling of goodwill. The yearly
impairment test has contributed with subjectivity in
the measurements resulting in fewer but larger
impairments.
Empirical foundation The study consists of quantitative secondary data
collected from Thomson Reuters Eikon. The data
consists of 1090 observations covering seven years of
Swedish listed firms with goodwill in their balance
sheet.
Conclusion The study concludes that suspect firms experience
abnormal current free cash flows compared to control
firms, which indicate managers manipulating cash
flows in order to postpone goodwill impairment. Also,
growth opportunities and analysts' coverage have a
significant impact on earnings management activities.
Acknowledgment
We would like to acknowledge everyone who contributed to our academic accomplishments.
First of all, we would like to thank our supervisor Leon Caesarius and fellow students who have
provided insightful comments and guidance. Secondly, we would like to thank David Randahl
from the Department of Statistics for the time and help with statistical guidance throughout this
writing process.
Table of content
1. Introduction .......................................................................................................................... 1
1.1 Background ..................................................................................................................... 1
1.2 Problem statement .......................................................................................................... 2
1.3 Purpose ............................................................................................................................ 4
1.4 Research question ........................................................................................................... 4
1.5 Delimitation ..................................................................................................................... 4
2. The theoretical framework of IFRS.................................................................................... 5
2.1 The objective of financial reporting.............................................................................. 5
2.2 Business combination framework ................................................................................. 5
2.3 Impairment of goodwill.................................................................................................. 6
3. Literature review .................................................................................................................. 7
3.1 Earnings management ................................................................................................... 7
3.1.1 Goodwill impairment ................................................................................................ 8
3.2 Abnormal cash flows ...................................................................................................... 9
3.3 Incentives to manipulate earnings .............................................................................. 12
3.3.1 Analysts and earnings thresholds ............................................................................ 13
3.3.2 Growth opportunities ............................................................................................... 14
3.4 Asymmetric information .............................................................................................. 14
3.5 Summary and hypotheses development ..................................................................... 16
3.6 Criticism to precedent literature................................................................................. 18
4. Method ................................................................................................................................. 19
4.1 Research Design ............................................................................................................ 19
4.2 Sample method ............................................................................................................. 19
4.3 Test of earnings management ...................................................................................... 21
4.3.1 Real activities management (RAM) ........................................................................ 21
4.3.2 Operating cash flow management (OCFM) ............................................................ 22
4.3.3 Free cash flow management (FCFM) ...................................................................... 23
4.4 Factors affecting earnings management..................................................................... 23
4.5 Method discussion ........................................................................................................ 24
4.5.1 Reliability & replicability ........................................................................................ 24
4.5.2 Validity and ethical considerations ......................................................................... 25
4.5.3 Criticism of research design and method ................................................................ 25
5. Sample and result ............................................................................................................... 27
5.1 Sample selection and descriptive statistics ................................................................. 27
5.2 Test results .................................................................................................................... 28
5.2.1 Economic impairment ............................................................................................. 29
5.2.2 Summary hypotheses result ..................................................................................... 31
6. Discussion ............................................................................................................................ 32
6.1 Dispersion of the sample .............................................................................................. 32
6.2 Earnings management through cash flow manipulation .......................................... 33
6.2.1 Analysts coverage and growth opportunities .......................................................... 34
6.2.2 Timeliness of goodwill impairment ........................................................................ 35
7. Conclusion ........................................................................................................................... 38
7.1 Contribution.................................................................................................................. 38
7.2 Limitations and future research ................................................................................. 39
8. References ........................................................................................................................... 40
9. Appendix ............................................................................................................................. 48
1
1. Introduction
In the following chapter, a background of the study's subject is presented and problematized,
which leads to the formulation of a question and a purpose. The chapter ends with a
delimitation.
1.1 Background
During takeovers, firms are paying premiums to acquire other businesses. Takeover premiums
can be defined as the difference between the purchase price and the fair value of the acquired
firm's identifiable net assets (Gore & Zimmerman, 2010). Previous studies have shown the
average paid premium in takeovers between 1990 and 2002 is 45% (Betton, Eckbo & Thorburn,
2008) and the past deals made in the U.S. have shown acquiring firms tend to pay an average
43% takeover premium (Woo, Cho, Park & Byun, 2018). The reason why takeover premium
exists is due to the belief the entire business is greater than the individual sum of all the assets
(Gore & Zimmerman, 2010) and absence of a premium would result in shareholders refusing
to sell (Eccles, Lanes & Wilson, 1999). This belief originates from synergy effects and the
premium can, therefore, be explained by the future additional value generated from the
combination of business units, a value that would not be available if the businesses were
operating independently (ibid). This premium is then categorized as goodwill (Gore &
Zimmerman, 2010; Marton, Sandell & Stockenstrand, 2016) and is visualized as an intangible
asset on the acquiring firm's balance sheet.
The accounting of goodwill has been a frequently discussed subject over the past century by
standard setters and producers of financial reports all over the world (Chalmers, Godfrey &
Webster, 2011; Garcia, Katsuo & van Mourik, 2018). The debate has regarded questions such
as the recognition and measurement process of goodwill in financial reports and whether it is
an asset under depletion or permanent one (Chalmers, Godfrey & Webster, 2011). Throughout
history, the answers to the questions have differed depending on which country and legislative
framework that has been used at the time (Garcia, Katsuo & van Mourik, 2018). The definition
of goodwill has differed the last century but the general perception of what is considered as
goodwill in modern times is that goodwill is inseparable from the entity and cannot exist by
itself (Ma & Hopkins, 1988). This definition corresponds to International Financial Reporting
Standards (IFRS) where it is stated goodwill are future economic benefits pertaining to assets
which are incapable of being individually identified and recognized separately (IFRS 3, 2009).
The differences in definition and practice between countries inspired a movement toward
harmonization of standards in the 1970s which has inspired new rules and regulations along the
way (Garcia, Katsuo & van Mourik, 2018). The practice for goodwill throughout this period
was to use a conservative approach and amortize the goodwill which impacted the company's
profit. However, the year 2005 contributed with conversions and changes for both companies
and investors regarding the value handling of goodwill due to the transition to the legislative
framework IFRS (Hellman, Andersson, Fröberg & Cahan, 2016; Johansson, Hjelström &
Hellman, 2016). In the application of IFRS the amortization of goodwill is not sanctioned and
2
a yearly impairment test should be conducted to determine the fair value of an asset (Hamberg,
Paananen & Novak, 2011; IAS 36.96; Marton Sandell & Stockenstrand, 2016). The reason
behind this change was the argument from International Accounting Standards Board (IASB)
where impairment of goodwill better reflects the underlying economic value compared to the
previous practice of amortization (Chalmers, Godfrey & Webster, 2011).
Previous research has identified the valuation process of impairment as problematic due to its
subjective nature and that miscalculations might result in a future need for impairment which
can have a negative impact on shareholders (Hirschey & Richardson, 2003; Li, Shroff,
Venkataraman & Zhang, 2011). The existence of real-world examples of goodwill impairments
is not absent, and some recent examples constitute of Ericsson, Nordea, and Kraft Heinz. In
2018 the telecom manufacturer Ericsson was forced to make a goodwill impairment of 12.7
billion SEK which had a negative impact on the operating profit for the quarter (Privataaffärer,
2019). Another example is the bank Nordea, due to a change of investment strategy, who
performed a goodwill impairment in the Russian market of 1.4 billion SEK (Nordea, 2019).
The impairment for Kraft Heinz amounted to 15.4 billion dollars which is one of the largest
impairments in history (Gara, 2019). This impairment was triggered by short term financial
developments which surprised the market and caused a rapid decline in the company's stock
price, thus destroying value for both investors and the company. The impaired goodwill in
Ericsson pertained to investments made in 2008 and the timing of the impairment raises
questions about credibility and if the impairment had been delayed. Thus, the transition to IFRS
has provided greater flexibility and subjectivity in the accounting choices (Capkun, Collins &
Jeanjean, 2016) which can impact the market's credibility and the value of the company.
1.2 Problem statement
The increased use of accounting estimates in financial reporting have faced major criticism and
concerns due to misstatements of earnings and equity, inappropriate fair value measurements
originating from management bias (Beatty & Weber, 2006) and its unethical approach
(Smieliauskas, Bewley, Gronewold & Menzefricke, 2018). In addition, impairment losses from
goodwill are perceived to lack verifiability and contain significant measurement uncertainty
and the possibility of being opportunistically reported (Francis, Hanna & Vincent, 1996;
Ramanna & Watts, 2012; Riedl, 2004). This will, therefore, conflict the objectives of the
financial reporting which state financial information should be useful for decision making
(IFRS, 2018a) and thereby represent what it intends to disclose (Nobes & Stadler, 2015). Under
the framework of IFRS, impairment tests allow managers to imply a wide level of discretion
(Filip, Jeanjean & Paugam, 2015; Lhaopadchan, 2010). Estimates of the fair value of goodwill
reflect management's assumption regarding the firm's future actions, strategy (Filip, Jeanjean
& Paugam, 2015), productivity and profitability (Roychowdhury & Martin, 2013). Subjective
views and assumption of future performance might reduce transparency and reliability of
reported financial information which might cause an information gap between shareholders and
management (Caruso, Ferrari & Pisano, 2016), defined as information asymmetry. Standard
setters, on the other hand, expect managers to mediate private information, which is the basis
of the estimates of future cash flows, to the market (Filip, Jeanjean & Paugam, 2015) and
therefore mitigate the asymmetric information distribution. Also, the difficulties arising from
3
impairment processes forces standard setters to regulate an increment of impairment disclosure
as a method of reducing information asymmetry and thereby increase the level of transparency
and reliability (Caruso, Ferrari & Pisano, 2016).
Despite these regulations of increased disclosure, there are some problems arising from
discretionary methods and assumptions in impairment tests of goodwill. Impairments are
considered faithfully reported when impairment losses reflect economic impairment (Ramanna
& Watts, 2012; Riedl, 2004). When they are not, goodwill impairment can be seen as a tool
used in earnings management (Caruso, Ferrari & Pisano, 2016; Ramanna & Watts, 2012).
Francis, Hanna and Vincent (1996) argue managers perform impairments out of two reasons.
The first reason is that managers want to reflect changes in future economic conditions,
strategies, competitive situations or previous and current poor firm performance. The
alternative reason is that managers take advantage of the discretion and only recognize
impairments when it is advantageous to do so, without investors being able to undo these
manipulations which impact them unfavorably.
A growing body of empirical evidence shows that managers do not recognize economic
impairments of goodwill in accounting books in a timely manner and tend to manipulate
impairment tests (Filip, Jeanjean & Paugam, 2015; Paugam & Ramond, 2015; Ramanna &
Watts, 2012). Consequently, when assets with indications of impairment are not impaired
delayed goodwill impairments contain lack of timeliness (André, Filip & Paugam, 2016) with
the result in overvalued firms due to overstated booked values (Li & Sloan, 2017). Ramanna &
Watts (2012) find evidence of managers manipulating earnings by selectively delaying
goodwill impairment in circumstances where they have agency-based motives to do so. This is
in line with the prediction of the agency theory which predicts the average manager tends to
take advantage of the unsecured elements of goodwill accounting rules to alter the financial
reports opportunistically (Filip, Jeanjean & Paugam, 2015). In applying previous study results
with the definition of earnings management that managers using judgment in financial reporting
to mislead some stakeholders about the company's underlying economic performance (Healy
& Wahlen, 1999), one could argue goodwill impairment tests could be a useful tool for
managers to manipulate financial reporting.
Previous studies of firms which have market indications of goodwill impairment show a 69%
frequency of non-impairment of goodwill (Ramanna & Watts, 2012) and that only 53% actually
impairs when they have an indication (Verriest & Gaeremynck, 2009). The evidence presented
in Ramanna and Watts (2012) is consistent with predictions from the agency theory regarding
a positive association between non-impairment and CEO compensation, debt covenant
violation, and CEO reputation concerns. On the contrary, the study finds no explanation of the
predictions that non-impairment is related to the flexibility of managers and the possession of
private information about the firm. Previous research by Filip, Jeanjean and Paugam (2015)
focused on the managerial postponement of goodwill impairment recognition through
manipulation of the cash flows and the future consequence on performance due to this strategy.
The conclusion from their study is that real activities manipulation is detrimental to future
4
performance and firms which were suspected of postponing their goodwill impairment losses
were exhibiting an increased discretionary cash flow compared to other control groups.
The empirical evidence indicates managers in firms, with market indications of goodwill
impairment, engage in manipulation of cash flows to avoid impairment losses. The reason for
goodwill manipulation can be grounded in managements unwillingness to admit that the firm
overpaid for previous acquisitions and to uphold a facade of adequate stewardship of company
assets (Li & Sloan, 2017; Roychowdhury & Martin, 2013). Such manipulations would,
therefore, be unethical and in conflict with IFRS fundamental qualitative characteristics of
useful financial information. For financial information to be useful, it must possess relevance
and be faithfully represented (IFRS, 2018). With other words, it must be relevant and represent
the substance of an economic phenomenon instead of exclusively representing its legal form
(ibid.). In addition to prior research, a study by Duff and Phelps (2018) showed goodwill
impairments for US firms increased with 23% and reached a total value of 35.1 billion dollars
in 2017, despite a strengthening global economy. The study also showed a marginally
increasing number of impairment, which indicates the magnitude of goodwill impairment has
become larger and therefore more important for investors to understand.
Previous studies have shown that earnings management is used by managers for their own
utility maximization and to disclose higher financial earnings for the firm. The present study
assumes this phenomenon occurs in different geographic and demographic contexts and the
investigation of the phenomenon can contribute with further knowledge to academic literature,
standard setters and users of financial information. Consequently, the present study investigates
goodwill to determine if, and thus how, managers engage in earnings management through
manipulating current cash flows in order to delay goodwill impairment.
1.3 Purpose
The purpose of the study is to investigate how postponement of goodwill impairment is
conducted and if managers thereby contribute to a distortion of the underlying qualitative
characteristics in financial reporting.
1.4 Research question
How do managers separate accounting and economic impairment of goodwill and thereby
disrupt timeliness of financial reporting?
1.5 Delimitation
An investigation by Gauffin and Nilsson (2018) on listed firms on the Stockholm Stock
Exchange shows approximately 56% of the purchase price is allocated to goodwill during
acquisitions in 2016. In addition, the result showed only 0.9% of total goodwill was impaired
during the same period. Due to these results of low impairment and a large amount of distributed
goodwill to acquiring firms' balance sheet this study will focus on how managers can disrupt
timeliness of financial reporting by separate accounting and economic impairment of goodwill
by delimiting the investigation of the phenomenon within a Swedish context.
5
2. The theoretical framework of IFRS
Chapter two narrates parts of the IFRS framework since it constitutes of a fundamental basis
for complying with the purpose of the study.
2.1 The objective of financial reporting
IFRS is an international accounting standard which is mandatory to use in the consolidated
financial statements for listed companies on regulated markets (IFRS, 2018). The theoretical
framework of IFRS presents foundational concepts for financial reporting and is applied by the
International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) when developing new standards (ibid.) IFRS
has a principle-based view which gives companies the ability to tailor the financial reporting to
fit their specific organization (ibid.). The intention of IFRS is to achieve transparency,
accountability and efficiency to financial markets all over the world (ibid.). The framework of
IFRS currently contains 17 principles and the additional framework IAS (International
Accounting Standards) contains 28 principles (ibid.). To support the purpose of the study the
objective of financial reporting and IFRS principles are presented.
The objective of financial reporting is to provide financial information that is useful to users in
making decisions relating to providing resources to the entity” (IFRS, 2018a). The users of
financial information are firms', both existing and potential, investors, lenders and other
creditors (ibid.). The decisions, made by the users based on this information, regard for example
buying, selling or holding equity or debt instruments and influence management actions (ibid.).
In order to make these decisions, the users of financial information evaluate the firm's prospects
for future net inflows and management's stewardship of the firm's financial resources (ibid.).
Also, a majority of information is obtained by the users from financial reports. Therefore, to
make these assessments users need useful financial information to make their decisions as good
as possible.
For financial information to be perceived as useful, it requires to be relevant and faithfully
represent what it intends to disclose (Nobes & Stadler, 2015). Faithful representation and
relevance are deemed as elementary qualitative characteristics for financial information to be
useful (IFRS, 2018a). When financial information is verifiable, timely, understandable and
comparable the usefulness can be enhanced (ibid.). For information to be considered as relevant,
it needs to be capable of making a difference in decision-making and possess confirmatory or
predictive value (Beaver, 1968; Nobes & Stadler, 2015). For information to be considered
faithfully it should be, to the highest possible extent, neutral, free from error and complete
(Nobes & Stadler 2015).
2.2 Business combination framework
The IFRS 3 principle regards business combination framework, and presents an outline of the
accounting treatments to consider when an acquirer obtains control over another business (IFRS
3, 2009). The standard is intended to enhance the reliability, relevance and comparability of
information disclosed pertaining to acquisitions and the effect on financial disclosures. In an
acquiring situation, the business unit should use the acquisition method to identify the acquirer,
6
acquisition date, recognition and fair value measurement of the transferred assets and liabilities
and the recognition of goodwill or gains pertaining to the acquisition (ibid.). Goodwill is
considered as an intangible asset and constitutes of the difference between the transferred
amount and the acquired company's net assets (Hamberg, Paananen & Novak 2011; Marton,
Sandell & Stockenstrand, 2016). Goodwill is recorded on the balance sheet and gains pertaining
to the acquisition is recorded in the profit and loss statement (Gore & Zimmerman, 2010, IFRS
3, 2009).
2.3 Impairment of goodwill
According to the IAS 36.96 principle an entity is required, annually, to test whether goodwill
indicates a loss in value which therefore needs to be impaired (IFRS, 2018). To perform an
impairment test the goodwill is allocated to all the acquirer's cash generating units which are
deemed to benefit from the synergies of the combination (IAS 36.80). A cash-generating unit
is an identifiable asset or group of assets generating cash inflows which are separable from cash
inflows from other assets. When a cash-generating unit has been allocated with goodwill the
impairment test is performed by a comparison of the carrying amount and the recoverable
amount of the unit (IAS 36.90). The carrying amount is the value in which an asset is recognized
in the balance sheet after accumulated depreciation and accumulated impairment losses (ibid.).
The recoverable amount is the highest of an asset's fair value less cost to sell and it's value in
use (ibid.) If the carrying amount is higher than the recoverable amount the value of the unit is
overstated unless the unit is impaired to equal the recoverable amount (ibid.). The value of the
asset is decreased on the balance sheet and the loss pertaining to the decrease in value is
accounted for as a loss in the profit and loss statement (ibid.). When an impairment is
recognized the entity must disclose detailed information to the financial users with estimates
and assumptions used to measure recoverable amounts of cash generating units (IAS 36.134-
135).
Impairment tests are usually based on the discounted cash flow model when estimating the
present value of future cash flows, normally forward-looking three to five years, generated from
a cash-generating unit (Filip, Jeanjean & Paugam, 2015; Nie, 2018). It is mostly used due to its
direct link with Modigliani and Miller's finance theories (Lander & Reinstein, 2003). This
model is an absolute valuation method which obtains the current value of an assets future free
cash flow based on an appropriate discount rate (Nie, 2018). The model is affected by several
parameters, such as the weighted average cost of capital, discount rate, growth assumption,
profitability margins and terminal growth rate (Filip, Jeanjean & Paugam, 2015). The use of a
discounted cash flow (DCF) model requires to first estimate the free cash flow (FCF), which is
the remaining and distributable cash flow after the firms operating and financing needs have
been covered (Lander & Reinstein, 2003). The DCF model estimates the sum of the firm's
equity and debt, the market value of the firm's debt netted for excess cash then determines the
value of the entity (ibid.).
7
3. Literature review
Chapter three narrates the relevant theories and literature given the research question and
purpose of the study. The literature review was conducted with a narrative approach. To build
the studies theoretical foundation literature were identified within the field of earnings
management, goodwill impairment and information asymmetry. The chapter concludes with a
formulation of hypotheses and critique against the presented literature.
3.1 Earnings management
Even though the earnings management theory has been researched since the 1960s (Beaver,
1968), and is a widely researched and relevant topic within accounting studies (Caruso, Ferrari
& Pisano, 2016) the theory lacks a clear definition (Ronen & Yaari, 2008). The consensus of
the literature is however that earnings management is manipulation of an entity's economic
performance made by insiders to mislead external stakeholders, influence contractual outcomes
(Leaz, Nanda & Wysocki, 2003; Ronen & Yaari, 2008) and most importantly avoid earnings
decline and reporting losses in order to meet certain earnings thresholds (Graham, Harvey &
Rajgopal, 2005; Roychowdhury, 2006).
Earnings management can be perceived as something unethical rather than illegal. The reason
behind the allowance of managerial discretionary actions is the argument that standard setters
must allow managers to exercise judgment in financial reporting in order to make financial
reports more informative for users through an extension of managers' knowledge and
information about their entity's future performance (Healy & Wahlen, 1999). This allows
managers, through judgment, to create opportunities for earnings management and the
allowance of preferring methods which do not accurately reflect the entity's underlying
economic situation (ibid.). Managers can use the opportunities given and their expert
knowledge about the business to select methods of reporting, altering estimates and disclosures
to match the business economics of the firm, which might increase the value of accounting as
a communication tool (Healy & Wahlen, 1999).
The literature highlights different fields of earnings management constituting of earnings
smoothing, minimization, maximization, accrual management and real activities manipulation
(Ronen & Yaari, 2008; Filip, Jeanjean & Paugam, 2015). The real activities manipulation is
argued to be more attractive for managers to use compared to other forms of earnings
management, due to difficulties for auditors and gatekeepers to detect such manipulations
(Cohen & Zarowin, 2010; Cohen, Dey & Lyz, 2008; Huang & Sun, 2017). The real activities
management literature indicates companies use overproduction to reduce the cost of goods sold
(COGS), use price discounts to temporarily boost cash flows and decreases discretionary
expenditure to meet certain earnings thresholds (Graham, Harvey & Rajgopal, 2005; Huang &
Sun, 2017; Roychowdhury, 2006). The body of literature indicates real activities manipulation
can have negative effects on the future performance of a firm due to the measures taken to
increase the profit of the current period (Caruso, Ferrari & Pisano, 2016; Huang & Sun, 2017;
Roychowdhury, 2006). Further, it is argued that reductions in investments could be potentially
harmful to companies due to the lack of investments will not support the future growth of the
8
company. The methods used for real activities manipulation mentioned in the literature regards
the reduction of research and development (R&D) expenses, advertising and selling, general
and administrative (SG&A) expenses (Cohen & Zarowin, 2010; Filip, Jeanjean & Paugam,
2015).
Previous research found a positive effect on companies' earnings due to the removal of
mandatory goodwill amortization in the transition to IFRS 3 (Hamberg, Paananen & Novak,
2009). The literature shows a growing acquisition rate after the adoption to IFRS 3 which
resulted in increased levels of goodwill being recorded on firms' balance sheets (Caruso, Ferrari
& Pisano, 2016; Hamberg, Paananen & Novak, 2009; Ramana & Watts, 2012). On the other
hand the literature also highlights the absence of goodwill impairments during the later period
(Hamberg, Paananen & Novak, 2009). The result in the study by Hamberg, Paananen and
Novak (2009) indicates goodwill-intensive firms were revalued upwards by the stock market
which implies that subjective methods have made financial reporting less useful to investors.
Previous studies have found evidence of managerial incentives being influential for the choice
of accounting method and for altering expenses such as debt contracts, bonuses and current
turnover in an opportunistic way (Beatty & Weber, 2006; Francis, Hanna & Vincent, 1996). In
contradiction, Capkun, Collins and Jeanjean (2003) found no link between changes in
incentives which could explain increased earnings management behavior. The study by Leuz,
Nanda and Wysocki (2003) found earnings management to be less occurring in countries which
had strong investor protection with an explanation that the risk of detection is a limiting factor
for earnings management due to high detection costs. The literature highlights detection cost as
a motivator for using real activities manipulation due to difficulties for auditors to find the
manipulation which present a low risk of scrutinization (Roychowdhury, 2006). The literature
indicates that managers use their discretion and subjectivity to postpone recognition of losses
and thus opportunistically inflate company performance (Dinh, Kang & Schultze, 2016; Filip,
Jeanjean & Paugam, 2017; Jarva, 2009; Ramanna & Watts, 2012).
3.1.1 Goodwill impairment
The literature points out the legislative transition to IFRS 3 facilitates earnings management
activities through goodwill impairment. The literature regards two perspectives of research
pertaining to goodwill impairment where the first focuses on the determinants for timeliness of
goodwill impairments and the latter focuses on the stock market consequences from non-
impairment of goodwill (Chen, Schroff & Zhang, 2014). A study by André, Filip and Paugam
(2016) found goodwill impairments to lack timeliness, defined as the consequences when
accounting impairment is separated from economic impairment. The sample from Ramanna
and Watts' (2012) study showed a frequency of 69% for goodwill non-impairment, which
means firms with lower price-to-book ratio than one do not write down goodwill during the
second year. The findings are corroborated by the findings by Roychowdhury and Martin
(2013) that firms, with price-to-book ratios below one, exhibit between 22-26% probability of
goodwill impairment. The study found evidence of managers avoiding timely goodwill
impairment when they have agency-based incentives to do so, even though the market indicates
for impairment. The literature stream indicates that subjectivity of impairment tests has caused
9
financial reports to not reflect the underlying economic reality in relation to goodwill (Ramanna
& Martin, 2013; Roychowdhury & Martin, 2013). In contrast to these studies, Jarva (2009)
investigates non-impairment firms and finds no supporting evidence of opportunistically
evasion of impairments by managers in firms with market indications of impairment.
A theme within the goodwill impairment literature is the postponement of goodwill impairment,
referred to as timeliness of goodwill impairment (Chen, Schroff & Zhang, 2014; André, Filip
& Paugam, 2016). Both study results in Hayn and Hughes (2006) and Jarva (2009) indicate a
significant delay in the booking of goodwill impairments, the lag pertains to the recognition of
impairment loss when assets are economically impaired. Previous studies have found firms tend
to delay recognition of asset impairment even in the presence of economic impairment (Hayn
& Hughes, 2006; Jarva, 2009), such firms are referred to as suspect firms (Ramanna & Watts,
2012; André, Filip & Paugam, 2016). Prior studies show goodwill impairment to lag behind the
entity's operating performance and negative stock returns from two years (Li & Sloan, 2017)
up to three to four years (Hayn & Hughes, 2006), which indicates managers could selectively
delay accounting impairments.
Li and Sloan (2017) argue managers delay impairment tests due to the fear of negative stock
market reactions and managerial pride. The argument is corroborated by Roychowdhury and
Martin (2013) who argue that negative effects on firm value and managers' unwillingness to
admit to overpaying for prior acquisitions cause postponement of impairments. Therefore,
impairment of goodwill is portrayed as the least favorable action for managers and impairments
are strictly performed when it is clear that the benefits have expired from non-impaired goodwill
(Li & Sloan, 2017). The study by Chen, Shroff and Zhang (2014) gives other explanations for
non-impairment and argue that investors do not understand the intentions of goodwill
impairments and the signals of future performance. Further, it is argued that investors do not
learn the effects of goodwill impairment until the publication of the following annual report.
The postponement and untimeliness of goodwill impairment are argued to possibly be
detrimental for both investors and companies due to that investors systematically overvalue
firms with overstated goodwill values in their balance sheet (Li & Sloan, 2017). To sum up, the
literature highlights that the underlying economic value of goodwill was better reflected prior
to the legislative change and before the annual impairment tests were implemented (Hamberg,
Paananen & Novak, 2009; Li & Sloan, 2017).
3.2 Abnormal cash flows
One of the reasons for the postponement of impairments could be the unfavorable effect on firm
value because it sends signals to the market about reduced expectations of future performance.
To delay these impairments firms engage in earnings management, through real activities, such
as manipulating cash flows (Filip, Jeanjean & Paugam, 2015) because of its importance when
calculating the fair value of goodwill. Managers manipulate real activities to avoid reporting
losses (Roychowdhury, 2006) and use their discretion and subjectivity to postpone recognition
of losses and thus inflate the performance of the company (Filip, Jeanjean & Paugam, 2017;
Jarva, 2009; Ramanna & Watts, 2012). Filip, Jeanjean and Paugam (2015) extend the research
10
of firms carrying impaired goodwill and find a relation between upward cash flow manipulation
relative to firms not carrying impaired goodwill.
Similar as Filip, Jeanjean and Paugam (2015), a study by Greiner (2017) found aggressive cuts
in R&D, discretionary expenses, to be associated with changes and higher levels of cash
holdings for companies. A finding corroborated by the study of Graham, Harvey and Rajgopal
(2005) who found that 80% of executives are prepared to reduce R&D costs in order to meet
earnings thresholds. Roychowdhury (2006) argue that earnings can be increased by selling off
inventories to meet demand or reducing COGS by overproducing inventory. In line with this
argument Cohen and Zarowin (2010) highlight that overproduction gives managers the
opportunity to spread fixed overhead costs over a larger number of units, thus lowering fixed
costs per unit. The total cost per unit is argued to decline as long as any increase in marginal
costs does not offset the reduction in fixed cost per unit (Roychowdhury, 2006), a procedure
argued to decrease reported COGS in favor for increased reported earnings. Cohen and Zarowin
(2010) highlight that firms still incur alternative production and holding costs that lead to
increased production costs compared to sales, which lead to reduced cash flows from operations
given the relative sales level. However, cutting discretionary expenditures will lead to increased
cash flows, due to the fact that such expenses will increase current periods earnings (Cohen &
Zarowin, 2010). The study by Roychowdhury (2006) shows that firms can increase earnings by
reducing discretionary expenses, especially the reduction of reported expenses. Further,
Roychowdhury (2006) argue if the reduction in discretionary expenses are conducted to meet
earnings targets the firms should exhibit uncustomary low discretionary expenses.
Kothari, Wysocki and Shu (2009) argue goodwill impairment is subject to a magnitude of
manipulations due to the permitted subjectivity in the accounting standards. Further, it is argued
managers use their given discretion to withhold bad news from outsiders and that auditors
accept a certain degree of optimism in the estimations from managers if the forecasts are
consistent with the current level of cash flows. Pertaining to goodwill, a survey from KPMG
(2014) showed goodwill to be relevant for outsiders to assess the financial outcome of
managerial decisions and to be able to hold management accountable for their capital allocation
decisions.
It is highlighted by Penman (2006) the preferred method to use when preparing an impairment
test is the DCF model. The factors affecting the outcome of the test constitutes of growth
assumptions, the used discount rate, short term growth, estimated profit margins, if the model
extrapolates data and the assumption used for terminal growth. As a consequence, auditors may
challenge the initial forecast for the current years' operating cash flows used in the DCF model
due to the material impact it has at the end of the time horizon for the forecast (ibid.). Since the
DCF model is used to test for impairment indication the present study considers the model to
have a direct link to operating activities and the final impairment decision.
A theme in the literature regards the postponement of impairments which are showed to be
detrimental for investors due to a loss of critical informative signals (Chen, Shroff & Zhang,
2014; Filip, Jeanjean & Paugam, 2015; Schatt, Doukakis, Bessieux-Ollier & Walliser, 2016).
11
It is argued when companies perform an impairment it sends signals that the benefits from those
assets has expired and thus indicates a decline in revenue from those assets (Li & Sloan, 2017).
However, it is argued by Rockness, Rockness and Ivancevich (2001) the effects on financial
results from goodwill impairment is significant in years of impairment and the impairment
charges are prone to be shifted between periods to achieve desired targets. The study by Jarva
(2009) investigates a sample of non-impairing companies with indications that the assets are
impaired but fails to find evidence of opportunistic postponement of impairment. In contrast,
the study by Ramana and Watts (2012) finds evidence that non-impairment is increasing in the
presence of managerial incentives such as for example CEO compensation, CEO reputation and
debt covenants tied to financial performance.
In order to avoid a goodwill impairment despite impairment indication the current cash flows
need to support the non-impairment which is argued to be a motivator for managers to
artificially inflate the current cash flows according to the agency theory (Cohen & Zarrowin,
2010; Graham, Harvey, & Rajgopal, 2005; Jensen & Meckling, 1976; Ramanna & Watts, 2012;
Zang, 2012). As a consequence, the present study examines abnormal cash flows because
current cash flows can be increased by a faster collection of account receivables, inventory
reduction, stretching payables to suppliers and by reducing operational expenses (Cohen &
Zarovin, 2010; Zang, 2012).
Previous studies have shown managers' ability to decrease R&D expenditure increases when
firms have earnings considerations (Dechow & Sloan, 1991; Graham, Harvey & Rajgopal,
2005). The article by Canace, Jackson and Ma (2018) highlight R&D-intensive firms also
account significant amounts of capital expenditure, which is argued to present managers with
the opportunity of shifting expenses between the two categories in case of an earnings shortfall.
A theme in prior studies has regarded the usage of R&D reductions to increase earnings in the
short term, which can decrease the firm value in the long run (Canace, Jackson & Ma, 2018;
Graham, Harvey & Rajgopal, 2005). Canace, Jackson and Ma (2018) argue that unspent R&D
resources are spent on capital expenditure to offset the long-term negative effects. The
managerial incentives toward meeting the current year's earnings threshold, and the fact that
their job security and reputation depends on the long-term financial performance, affects
managers willingness to shift expenses (Fama, 1980).
The effect of shifting R&D expenses to capital expenditures is that instead of being recorded
as an expense in the income statement the capital expenditure is expensed as an asset in the
balance sheet (IFRS, 2018). Kothari, Languerre and Leone (2002) argue the shifting of R&D
expenses to be subjective due to the difficulties in determining the future benefits pertaining to
the assets, which is not helpful for outsiders' investment decisions. Further, it is argued that
capital expenditures are associated with higher future stock returns and lower variability in
earnings (ibid.). Since the shifting of R&D expenses to capital expenditure has a direct impact
on a firm's earnings, the present study assume managers are prone to alter these expenses in
line with the predicted utility maximization of the agency theory (Filip, Jeanjean & Paugam,
2015; Jensen & Meckling, 1976; Ramanna & Watts, 2012). The idea is corroborated and
extended by Filip, Jeanjean and Paugam (2015) who highlight that investments in capital
12
expenditures could be affected by the managerial willingness to avoid recording the economic
impairment. Thus, capital expenditure can be exposed to earnings management due to that
reduction in capital expenditures improves the free cash flows that are used in the valuation
models to determine impairment indications.
3.3 Incentives to manipulate earnings
The literature highlights managerial incentives to be a contributing factor of managing goodwill
impairment disclosures (Cohen & Zarowin, 2010; Filip, Jeanjean & Paugam, 2015; Ramanna
& Watts, 2012; Roychowdhury, 2006; Zang, 2012). Ramanna and Watts (2012) found evidence
which indicated if managers compensation is based on the profit and loss of the company the
incentives inspire to postpone goodwill impairment. Bergstresser and Philippon (2006) argue
managers can be encouraged to exploit their discretion in reported earnings if their incentives
are tied to the company stock price. Their study shows incentivized managers to be a
contributing factor for earnings management and years of high accruals are found to be
correlated with significant option exercises by managers. In addition to this, a theme in the
literature highlights CEO tenure as an influencing factor for opportunistically reported earnings
(Ali & Zhang, 2015; Cheng, 2004; Dechow & Sloan, 1991). The study by Ali and Zhang (2015)
finds that earnings overstatement is greater at the beginning of the service period of a CEO
compared to the later years of service, due to the willingness of CEOs to convince outsiders of
their capabilities. Further, the results are robust when controlling for other earnings
management measures, such as abnormal discretionary expenditures, namely R&D.
Within the framework, developed by standard setters, it is expected managers will, on average,
use judgment and assumptions while estimating the fair value of goodwill in order to transfer
private information associated to future cash flows (Filip, Jeanjean & Paugam, 2015). On the
other hand, the agency theory challenge this view by predicting managers, on average, will
utilize goodwill accounting rules, due to its unverifiable nature, to opportunistically tamper the
financial reports to fit their private incentives (Filip, Jeanjean & Paugam, 2015; Jensen &
Meckling, 1976; Ramanna & Watts, 2012). In addition, the real activities management behavior
has gained traction as an agency problem due to that managers modify the underlying operations
to disguise the true performance (Cohen & Zarowin, 2010; Graham, Harvey, & Rajgopal, 2005;
Zang, 2012). Because the value of goodwill is estimated with discounted projected cash flows
managers may have incentives to manipulate cash flows to delay goodwill impairments (Filip,
Jeanjean & Paugam, 2015). One of the reasons behind postponing impairments is the audit
process of impairment testing (Filip, Jeanjean & Paugam, 2015). Both auditors and financial
analysts can be seen as financial gatekeepers between users of financial information and the
reporting entity (ibid.). The gatekeepers will review the information disclosed by firms' by
evaluating the feasibility of estimated future cash flows based on current cash flows. Thereby,
managers will have incentives to manage cash flows in different ways to make their estimate
more reliable because if current cash flows are high auditors will perceive large future cash
flows as more reasonable (ibid.). Also, Roychowdhury (2006) argues managers have incentives
to manipulate real activities, e.g. R&D expenditures, which affects cash flows in order to meet
certain earnings targets.
13
3.3.1 Analysts and earnings thresholds
As earnings management can be used to govern earnings (Graham, Harvey & Rajgopal, 2005;
Roychowdhury, 2006) it could be used as a tool to beat analysts' forecasts. Analysts can be
considered as gatekeepers (Filip, Jeanjean & Paugam, 2015) and external monitors of managers
(Jensen & Meckling, 1976) because they have the task of providing the market with
information, containing public forecast with future earnings and cash flows, which also are
reflected in their recommendation and target prices (Bonini, Zanetti, Bianchini & Salvi, 2010;
Simon & Curtis, 2011). If these analyst recommendations or ratings are unfavorable Abarbanell
and Lehavy (2003) show managers have weak incentives to manipulate earnings in order to
meet earnings expectations. Consequently, favorable analyst recommendation or ratings tend
to encourage more earnings management activities to meet these expectations (Madhogarhia,
Sutton & Kohers, 2009).
Graham, Harvey and Rajgopal (2005) argue analysts influence on stock share prices is
perceived by managers as an important factor. As a result of this, their coverage can be
considered responsible for creating immoderate pressure on managers to engage in earnings
management activities (Yu, 2008), called the pressure hypothesis (Hong, Huseynov & Zhang,
2014). Those firms who miss analyst forecasts usually suffer significant declines in their stock
price (ibid.), where firms with growth opportunities are penalized more by the market when
these earnings thresholds are not fulfilled (Skinner & Sloan, 2002). Accordingly, managers are
sometimes willing to sacrifice economic value in order to meet a short run earnings target
because of the market's severe reactions (Graham, Harvey and Rajgopal, 2005). On the
contrary, analysts' incentives and governance role could be affected by the pressure from a
variety of sources (Yu, 2008). These pressures include the need to pursue investment banking
business (ibid.) and to please management and thus obtain greater access to managers' private
information (Lin & McNichols, 1998). Hence, managers seeking to increase the number of
analysts covering the firm could, therefore, choose to disclose more inside information and put
greater emphasis on management communication (Graham, Harvey & Rajgopal, 2005).
Even though Hughes and Ricks (1987) conclude analysts' earnings forecasts can be a poor proxy
for market expectations, researchers often use analysts' earnings forecasts in accounting and
finance literature (Eames & Kim, 2012). Burgstahler and Eames (2003) are unable to present
evidence suspect firms manipulate earnings in order to avoid minor losses, but the result show
analysts have the ability to predict earnings management activities. Further, Yu (2008) found
firms with lower analyst coverage exhibit higher incoherence around earnings targets in
comparison with firms with high coverage, which suggests that firms followed by more analysts
manage their earnings to a lesser extent. The finding is corroborated by Ali and Zhang (2015)
who found earnings overstatement to be less frequent in firms with stronger monitoring and
analyst coverage. Also, the existing literature has shown analysts tend to cover firms with better
information environment (Yu, 2008) which could be interpreted as analysts choose to cover
firms with fewer earnings management activities. On the other hand, analysts following firms
can have a dampening effect because they can see through such unethical activities and thereby
reduce their opportunity to manipulate earnings (Graham, Harvey and Rajgopal, 2005).
14
3.3.2 Growth opportunities
A firm's total value is composed of the sum of the total value of assets in place and growth
opportunities or expected future investments (AlNajjar & Riahi-Belkaoui, 2001).
Consequently, the lower the proportion of assets in place representing the firm's total value, the
higher are the growth opportunities for a given level of firm value (ibid.). That is also why
growth opportunities constitute a significant part of the market value of equity (Pindyck, 1988).
When firms have free cash flow surplus investors expect managers to invest these and in order
to maximize firm value (Jensen, 1986). With fewer growth opportunities, managers are more
likely to invest these cash flows in unprofitable projects (Chung, Firth & Kim, 2005). Thus,
when firms have high free cash flows in combination with low growth opportunities agency
problems can arise because they can be used in a way that not maximize shareholders' wealth.
Also, Chung, Firth and Kim (2005) show that firms with high free cash flow and low growth
opportunities tend to manipulate earnings in order to report better financial information.
Inconsistent with the agency view, Li and Kuo (2017) show that, on average, managers with
equity pay engage in earnings management activities. The result indicates growth opportunities
can mitigate the positive relationship between earnings management and equity pay at the same
time equity pay align managers' incentive more effectively for firms with greater growth
opportunities. In these firms with high growth Watts and Zimmerman (1986) argue managers
are more likely to have opportunistic behavior. In addition, Smith and Watts (1992) highlight
that the literature indicates managers' incentives increase in firms with greater growth
opportunities because such firms often have more convex executive pay contracts which will
result in more benefits when the opportunities are utilized. This means the economic benefit of
maximizing firm value by motivating managers outweighs other alternatives and firms with
growth opportunities are less likely to manipulate earnings (Li & Kuo, 2017). This argument is
in accordance with previous result (see Madhogarhia, Sutton & Kohers, 2009), which shows
managers in growth firms manipulate earnings upward and downward more aggressively in
comparison with managers in value firms.
A study by Avallone and Quagli (2015) finds that the variable growth rate manipulation has a
significant explanatory value for managers' postponement of goodwill impairment. The study
presents evidence that higher growth rates are used to manage impairment tests and thereby
avoid or postpone goodwill impairment. Furthermore, even though Roychowdhury (2006) finds
evidence that growth opportunities are positively associated with real activities manipulation,
such activities can have negative effects on future performance of a firm due to the measures
taken to increase the profit of the current period (Caruso, Ferrari & Pisano, 2016; Filip, Jeanjean
& Paugam, 2015; Huang & Sun, 2017; Roychowdhury, 2006).
3.4 Asymmetric information
The literature indicates subjectivity in financial accounting has increased after the transition to
IFRS, especially regarding the rules for impairment tests (Caruso, Ferrari & Pisano, 2016). Li
and Sloan (2017) argue increased subjectivity can decrease reliability and transparency of
financial statements and work as a catalyst for information asymmetry between outsiders and
insiders. The research applies the information asymmetry aspect to goodwill where it is argued
15
opportunistic postponement of impairments can increase the information asymmetry due to the
loss of critical signals about the future performance of the firm (Filip, Jeanjean & Paugam,
2015). Public information is information known by investors which are used to alter their
assumptions about future cash flows and earnings (Schatt, Doukakis, Bessieux-Ollier &
Walliser, 2016). Consequently, investors are considered to be in a position of information
disadvantage in relation to managers about the economic value of goodwill (Filip, Jeanjean &
Paugam, 2015).
Schatt, Doukakis, Bessieux-Ollier and Walliser (2016) argue impairment disclosures send
signals to investors that future cash flows or earnings will come in short compared to the
expectations at the initial goodwill activation. However, it is argued in the literature increased
level of disclosures may contribute with benefits in terms of a more stable stock and a decreased
bid-ask spread of the company stock (Leuz & Verrecchia, 2000). A study by Richardson (2000)
found that earnings management increases in the presence of information asymmetry, especially
significant are income increasing activities. This is in line with the study by Leuz and
Verrecchia (2000) which showed increased disclosures limits the extent of earnings
management.
The literature indicates asymmetric information is higher in R&D intensive firms (Aboody &
Lev, 2000). Aboody and Lev (1998) argue increased disclosure about R&D operations might
mitigate the possibilities for opportunistic actions since it is a part of real activities earnings
management. Schatt, Doukakis, Bessieux-Ollier and Walliser (2016) argue impairment of
goodwill is not always deemed as reliable information to change investors perception and may,
therefore, be seen as useless information. Furthermore, Vanza, Wells and Wright (2018) show
no evidence of information asymmetry being the motivator for the recognition of asset
impairments. However, the consensus of the literature highlights managerial incentives are
influential for financial disclosures, which are influential for information asymmetry (Chen &
Liu, 2013; Schatt, Doukakis, Bessieux-Ollier & Walliser, 2016). Increased level of information
in financial disclosure can, therefore, reduce the information gap between insiders and outsiders
of the company resulting in a transparent capital market (Jo & Kim, 2008).
Further, impairment of goodwill can provide useful information for investors if they are not
able to independently formulate expectations about future earnings and when reliable numbers
are provided by management (Schatt, Doukakis, Bessieux-Ollier & Walliser, 2016). Also,
unlike amortization, impairment of goodwill should provide financial statements users with
more and greater inside information if implemented correctly (Seetharaman, Sreenivasan,
Sudha & Yee, 2006). In this context, the information content from goodwill impairment can
result in a distribution shift from managers private information to public information (ibid.).
Under the assumption managers have incentives not to disclose reliable information to
investors, goodwill impairment could convey useful information to investors if a mechanism
which forces reliable information is present (ibid.). The impairment of goodwill can, therefore,
be helpful to investors, in some cases, as a tool to revise their expectations about the future
performance of a company. In other cases, impairments may be useless due to investors ability
16
to revise their expectations in line with public information or due to mistrust of accounting
numbers provided by dishonest managers (ibid.).
3.5 Summary and hypotheses development
The reasons for postponing goodwill impairments could pertain to unfavorable effects on
company value, due to reduced expectations of future performance. To delay the unfavorable
effects firms engage in earnings management, through real activities, such as cash flow
manipulation (Filip, Jeanjean & Paugam, 2015) because of its importance when calculating the
fair value of goodwill which is used in the impairment test (Roychowdhury, 2006). Managers
have been found to use their given discretion and subjectivity to avoid reporting losses, thus
inflating the performance of the company (Filip, Jeanjean & Paugam, 2015; Jarva, 2009;
Ramanna & Watts, 2012). Real activities manipulation such as R&D can be reduced to meet
earnings thresholds and overproduction can reduce the fixed costs per unit thus lowering the
COGS (Cohen & Zarowin, 2010; Roychowdhury, 2006). The hypothesis H1 builds on the idea
that firms carrying impaired goodwill in their balance sheet, manipulates cash flows from real
activities upwards compared to firms not carrying impaired goodwill in their balance sheet. The
hypothesis is stated as follows:
H1: Firms with an indication of economic impairment manage current cash flows from real
activities upwards in order to avoid goodwill impairment.
Apart from real activities, cash flows can also be managed in the operating activities of the firm.
The accounting standards permit subjectivity in goodwill calculations which present managers
with an opportunity to manipulate impairment tests (Kothari, Wysocki & Shu, 2009). The
preferred method for preparing impairment tests is to use the DCF model where estimations of
growth, discount rate and profit margins are used (Penman, 2006). Further, auditors accept a
certain degree of optimism in the estimations from managers if the forecasts are consistent with
the current level of cash flows (Kothari, Wysocki & Shu, 2009), which is argued to be a
motivator for managers to artificially inflate the current cash flows (Cohen & Zarrowin, 2010;
Graham, Harvey & Rajgopal, 2005; Jensen & Meckling, 1976; Ramanna & Watts, 2012; Zang,
2012). The hypothesis H2 builds on the idea that current cash flows are manipulated by a faster
collection of account receivables, inventory reduction and reduction of operational expenses.
The hypothesis is stated as follows:
H2: Firms with an indication of economic impairment manage current cash flows from
operating activities upwards in order to avoid goodwill impairment.
Building on hypotheses H1 and H2, managers can shift expenses between R&D and capital
expenditures (CAPEX) which has a direct impact on a firm's earnings due to the recognition of
assets rather than expenses in the income statement (IFRS, 2018). The willingness of managers
to decrease R&D expenditure increases when firms have earnings considerations (Dechow &
Sloan, 1991; Graham Harvey & Rajgopal, 2005). Investments in CAPEX can be affected by
the managerial willingness to avoid recognition of economic impairment due to that CAPEX is
used in the valuation models to determine impairment indications (Filip, Jeanjean & Paugam,
17
2015). The hypothesis H3 builds on the idea that CAPEX can be exposed to earnings
management due to that reduction in CAPEX improves the free cash flows. The hypothesis is
stated as follows:
H3: Firms with an indication of economic impairment manage current free cash flows upwards
in order to avoid goodwill impairment.
Analysts can be considered as gatekeepers and external monitors of managers (Filip, Jeanjean
& Paugam, 2015; Jensen & Meckling, 1976) because they provide the market with information
containing public forecasts with future earnings and target prices (Bonini, Zanetti, Bianchini &
Salvi, 2010; Simon & Curtis, 2011). As depicted in hypotheses H1, H2 and H3, earnings
management can be used to govern earnings and be used as a tool to beat analysts' forecasts
(Graham, Harvey & Rajgopal, 2005; Roychowdhury, 2006). Further, favorable analyst
recommendations tend to encourage earnings management through current cash flow
manipulation to meet these expectations (Madhogarhia, Sutton & Kohers, 2009) and
unfavorable recommendations give managers weak incentives to manipulate earnings
(Abarbanell & Lehavy, 2003). Firms with lower analyst coverage are found to exhibit higher
incoherence around earnings targets in comparison with firms with high coverage, which
suggests that firms followed by more analysts manage their earnings to a lesser extent. Also,
the existing literature has shown analysts tend to cover firms with better information
environment (Yu, 2008) which could be interpreted as analysts choose to cover firms with fewer
earnings management activities. The hypothesis H4 builds on the idea that analyst coverage has
an impact on earnings management. The hypothesis is stated as follows:
H4: Analyst coverage has a significant impact on earnings management through current cash
flow manipulation.
The total value of a firm is composed of both the value of total assets, future growth
opportunities and investment needs (AlNajjar & Riahi-Belkaoui, 2001). Consequently, when a
lower proportion of assets are representing the firm's total value, a higher proportion of growth
opportunities constitutes the firm value (ibid.). The managerial incentives can increase in firms
with greater growth opportunities because such firms often have more convex executive pay
contracts, thus giving the manager fewer motives to manipulate earnings (Li & Kuo, 2017).
Connecting to all the previous mentioned hypotheses cash flow manipulations are conducted to
e.g. inflate firm value. Firms' growth rates are found to be used in order to manage impairment
tests and to avoid or postpone impairment recognition. We interpret such a result as an
indication that firms with high growth don't have incentives to manipulate impairment tests
because current high growth will function as a good enough basis to support future growth. The
hypotheses H5 builds on the idea that growth opportunities have an impact on cash flow
manipulation. Thus, the hypothesis is stated as follows:
H5: Growth has a significant impact on earnings management through current cash flow
manipulation.
18
3.6 Criticism to precedent literature
Consensus exists among the presented literature about the difficulties in capturing earnings
management, especially real activities earnings management (Cohen, Dey & Lys, 2008; Huang
& Sun, 2017). The literature presents several methods for the measuring of real activities
manipulation (see Cohen, Dey & Lys, 2008; Filip, Jeanjean & Paugam, 2015; Ramanna &
Watts, 2012) where it is argued Roychowdhury's (2006) model captures both income increasing
and decreasing activities. A majority of the studies presented have been conducted in a different
geographic setting compared to the present study which can limit the possibilities to draw
conclusions regarding the alignment with other geographical jurisdictions. A critique could be
raised towards the presented literature which includes studies predating the IFRS transition.
The fact is acknowledged by the authors and used to form the theoretical knowledge of the
study.
A general criticism lifted in several studies (see Hamberg, Paananen, Novak, 2009; Hirschey &
Richardson, 2003; Li, Shroff, Venkataraman & Zhang, 2011; Li & Sloan, 2017) is the increased
subjectivity that the transition to the IFRS framework has contributed with, especially the fair
value estimations and DCF calculations. The ongoing drive for harmonization of accounting
standards is critiqued due to the possibility for managers to exercise their given discretion and
use their expert knowledge about the firm, which macerates the accounting quality (Ewert &
Wagenhofer, 2005; Healy & Wahlen, 1999). A critique lifted in the literature is that earnings
management is a product of managerial discretion and that less interference of managerial
judgment would increase the accounting quality (Callao & Jarne, 2010). Finally, the presented
literature consists of several studies highlighting different forms of earnings management and
impairment than the investigated forms in the present study. In line with the approach of pre-
IFRS studies, the literature has been used to build a foundation of earnings management through
goodwill impairment.
19
4. Method
Chapter four gives a description of how the study approached the collection of data and the
matching process of firms. The formulas used for measuring earnings management are
disclosed and a regression model is presented. Finally, the chapter gives a critical discussion
of the chosen method and the qualitative consequences of the study's methodological choices.
4.1 Research Design
The focus of this study is on how managers in firms, under IFRS, use real activities to avoid or
postpone goodwill impairments. In order to fulfill the purpose of the study, the study measures
if, and how, managers engage in earnings management through manipulation of cash flows,
which have a direct impact on the valuation process of goodwill in impairment tests and the
qualitative characteristics of financial reporting. To enable the investigation of such activities
the study identified firms carrying impaired goodwill in their balance sheet. In the identification
of such firms', the study focused on firms with market indications of goodwill impairment, an
operationalization validated by previous studies (Beatty & Weber, 2006; Chen, Shroff & Zhang,
2014; Filip, Jeanjean & Paugam, 2015; Li & Sloan, 2017; Ramanna & Watts, 2012;
Roychowdhury & Martin, 2013) where firms' price-to-book ratio exceeds one. Roychowdhury
and Martin (2013) argue managers are likely to manipulate, especially boost earnings, when
there are indications of economic impairment, e.g. price-to-book ratio below one, in order to
postpone goodwill impairments. In addition, shorter periods of price-to-book ratios below one
could be a reflection of managers possession of private information, regarding goodwill's true
economic value, and therefore market inefficiency (Filip, Jeanjean & Paugam, 2015).
The present study used the price-to-book ratio as a measurement of economic impairment and
reported firm-level data were used due to that outsiders rely on firm-level market value as an
indicator to determine if book values are overstated (Filip, Jeanjean & Paugam, 2015; Ramanna
& Watts, 2012). At the firm-level, a price-to-book ratio below one for two successive years
indicates the market perceives that goodwill is economically impaired due to that the book value
is higher than the market value (ibid.). When impairment indications are present but not reduced
to equal the market value, the value of the assets are overstated in the balance sheet. To control
for impairment indications and to gather all data, the study used the financial database Thomson
Reuters Eikon, through the excel-function. The functions used to collect the study's variables
can be seen in appendix A.
4.2 Sample method
All of the sampled firms are still or have been, listed on the Stockholm Stock Exchange during
the period 2011 to 2017. Due to the timing of the study, all of the investigated firms' annual
reports for 2018 had not yet been published, which limited the study to the latest fiscal year as
2017. To avoid noise from the financial crisis, where the median level of impairment was larger
(André, Filip & Paugam, 2016), this thesis excluded the period prior 2011 and collected data to
the last fiscal year of available and published data. To enable comparison between sectors
companies were assigned with sector identifiers through the Global Industry Classification
Standards (GICS), where firms were given a specific sector code between 10-60. Banks and
20
financial institutions were excluded in accordance with prior studies (see André, Filip &
Paugam, 2016; Filip, Jeanjean & Paugam, 2015; Ramanna & Watts, 2012; Roychowdhury,
2006; Zang, 2012) due to different business models and additional regulations by the financial
supervisory authority. The reasons for dividing the observations by sector, and not industry as
used in prior studies (see André, Filip & Paugam, 2016; Filip, Jeanjean & Paugam, 2015;
Ramanna & Watts, 2012; Roychowdhury, 2006; Zang, 2012), was because of the statistical
requirement of having at least ten observations per sector. The statistical requirement enabled
the study to apply cross-sectional calculations for each sector-year, whereas the dividing of
observations by industry code would have resulted in too few groups, thus obstructing the study
to achieve statistical results. To be able to test this study's hypotheses we required data regarding
goodwill for at least two consecutive years, during the whole period, and firms without booked
goodwill were sorted out from the sample. An additional requirement was that all sampled firms
should have data regarding price-to-book ratios for at least two consecutive years. Thus, firms
with missing values for price-to-book ratios or firms lacking booked goodwill in their balance
sheets were excluded.
In order to identify suspect firms, the ones carrying impaired goodwill forward and have not
yet recognized an impairment, we used price-to-book ratios because investors, analysts and
researchers often use this measurement as a proxy at firm-level when they evaluate if booked
values are overstated (Chen, Schroff & Zhang, 2014; Ramanna & Watts, 2012; Roychowdhury
& Martin, 2013). First, we divided our sample into two groups, based upon whether or not they
have booked an impairment or not. Then we applied the requirement of indications of economic
impairment to separate these two groups into four (see figure 1). As an indicator of firms that
should impair goodwill, the present study used previous fiscal year (lagged) price-to-book ratios
below one in (see Beatty & Weber, 2006; Ramanna & Watts, 2012) which have found price-
to-book ratios to be an important indicator of potential goodwill impairment. The present study
followed the methodology presented by Filip, Jeanjean and Paugam (2015), where firms which
have booked an impairment (control group) were matched with firms within the same sector
(GICS code) and firm-year which have not booked an impairment (suspect firms). The
matching of firms within the same sector-year and valuation interval (P/B +-0.25), allowed the
present study to include and control for the argument that companies within the same sector,
year and valuation experiences similar market conditions and economic cycles. The matching
procedure resulted in two separate groups (control and suspect) which can be seen in the second
step in figure 1 below.
21
Figure 1: Used method to identify suspect firms
The literature review indicates the recognition of impairment losses lag behind economic
impairments with at least two years (Hayn & Hughes, 2006; Jarva, 2009) and firms with price-
to-book ratios below one indicates managers postpone goodwill impairment in order to increase
earnings (Roychowdhury and Martin, 2013). Therefore, in addition, the present study applied
an additional requirement, a methodology used in Ramanna and Watts (2012) and Filip,
Jeanjean and Paugam (2015), to group three, where the requirement of a price-to-book ratio
below one at the end of the fiscal years for two consecutive years were applied. With the
additional requirement, the likelihood of identifying suspect firms which actually not postpone
economically impaired goodwill is lower, which means a lower risk of type 1 error.
4.3 Test of earnings management
To measure earnings management through manipulation of real activities affecting current cash
flows the present study used three different proxies. In accordance with previous studies (Cohen
& Zarowin, 2010; Roychowdhury, 2006; Zang, 2012), the present study used real activities
(RAM) in which cash flows are affected. Further, following the methodology used by Filip,
Jeanjean and Paugam (2015) the study used operating cash flow management (CFM) and free
cash flow management (FCFM). Prior literature have identified the three proxies to measure
earnings management through real activities mainly because the proxies allows real activities
to be measured across several dimensions.
4.3.1 Real activities management (RAM)
In order to measure manipulation of real activities, the study examined such real activities
which increase cash flows across two dimensions, by practicing a methodology used in prior
research (e.g. Roychowdhury, 2006; Filip, Jeanjean & Paugam, 2015; Zang, 2012). To measure
both of these dimensions, abnormal production costs were used for activities associated with
inventories and COGS. For abnormal levels of discretionary expenditures, the present study
examined expenditures arising from R&D and SG&A. These measures were then combined to
capture real activities management (RAM). Thus, to estimate the normal level of production
this study used the following model:
22
𝑃𝑅𝑂𝐷𝑡
𝐴𝑡−1= 𝛼0 + 𝛼1 (
1
𝐴𝑡−1) + 𝛼2 (
𝑆𝑡−1
𝐴𝑡−1) + 𝛼3 (
Δ𝑆𝑡
𝐴𝑡−1) + 𝛼4 (
∆𝑆𝑡−1
𝐴𝑡−2) + 𝜀𝑡 (A)
where:
𝑃𝑅𝑂𝐷𝑡 = sum of cost of goods sold in year t and the change in inventory from 𝑡−1 to 𝑡;
𝐴𝑡−1 = lagged total assets adjusted for the amount of goodwill;
𝑆𝑡 = total sales in year 𝑡;
∆𝑆𝑡= change in total sales from 𝑡−1 to 𝑡.
Model A was calculated cross-sectionally for each sector-year with at least ten observations in
accordance with Filip, Jeanjean & Paugam (2015). The sector is defined by a two digit GICS-
code in accordance with previous research (Cohen & Zarowin, 2010; Kothari, Leone & Wasley,
2005). To measure the abnormal level of production (denoted as 𝐴𝑅𝑃𝑅𝑂𝐷) the study calculated
and used the residuals from model (A) where higher residuals indicates higher overproduction.
Higher 𝐴𝑅𝑃𝑅𝑂𝐷 leads to higher reported earnings due to a reduction of COGS and lower current
cash flows (Filip, Jeanjean & Paugam, 2015; Zang, 2012). To enable that 𝐴𝑅𝑃𝑅𝑂𝐷 indicates
higher cash flows we multiplied 𝐴𝑅𝑃𝑅𝑂𝐷 with (-1). In order to estimate the normal level of
discretionary expenses this study used the following model:
𝐷𝐼𝑆𝐶𝐸𝑋𝑃𝑡
𝐴𝑡−1= 𝛼0 + 𝛼1 (
1
𝐴𝑡−1) + 𝛼2 (
𝑆𝑡−1
𝐴𝑡−1) + 𝜀𝑡 (B)
where:
𝐷𝐼𝑆𝐶𝐸𝑋𝑃𝑡 = sum of R&D, advertising, and SG&A expenditures in year 𝑡;
𝐴𝑡−1 = lagged total assets adjusted for the amount of goodwill;
𝑆𝑡−1 = lagged total sales.
Model B was calculated cross-sectionally for each sector-year with at least ten observations. To
measure the abnormal level of discretionary expenditures (denoted as 𝐴𝑅𝐷𝐼𝑆𝐶𝐸𝑋𝑃) we calculated
and used the residuals from model B. In order to allow the formula to show lower discretionary
expenditures (higher 𝐴𝑅𝐷𝐼𝑆𝐶𝐸𝑋𝑃) has a positive effect on current cash flows we multiplied
𝐴𝑅𝐷𝐼𝑆𝐶𝐸𝑋𝑃 by (-1). The consequences of this procedure are that higher values of 𝐴𝑅𝐷𝐼𝑆𝐶𝐸𝑋𝑃
indicates greater amounts of discretionary expenses have been managed to increase earnings
(Zang, 2012). To capture real activities management (RAM) we computed the sum of
𝐴𝑅𝑃𝑅𝑂𝐷 and 𝐴𝑅𝐷𝐼𝑆𝐶𝐸𝑋𝑃.
4.3.2 Operating cash flow management (OCFM)
In order to measure normal level of operating cash flow (hereafter mentioned as OCFM), this
study examined real activities which increases cash flows by practicing a methodology used in
prior research (Cohen & Zarowin, 2010; Dechow, Kothari & Watts, 1998; Filip, Jeanjean &
Paugam, 2015; Roychowdhury, 2006; Zang, 2012). In order to determine the normal level of
current operating cash flows the study used the following model.
23
𝑂𝐶𝐹𝑡
𝐴𝑡−1= 𝛼0 + 𝛼1 (
1
𝐴𝑡−1) + 𝛼2 (
𝑆𝑡−1
𝐴𝑡−1) + 𝛼3 (
Δ𝑆𝑡
𝐴𝑡−1) + 𝜀𝑡 (C)
where:
𝑂𝐶𝐹𝑡 = operating cash flows;
𝐴𝑡−1 = lagged total assets adjusted for the amount of goodwill;
𝑆𝑡 = total sales in year 𝑡;
∆𝑆𝑡= change in total sales from 𝑡−1 to 𝑡.
Model C was calculated cross-sectionally for each sector-year with at least ten observations. To
measure the abnormal level of current operating cash flows (OCFM), this study calculated and
used the residuals from model C.
4.3.3 Free cash flow management (FCFM)
The testing of impairment is based on discounted free cash flows and operating cash flows
subtracted with capital expenditures (CAPEX) which can work as a proxy for free cash flows.
To measure abnormal levels of free cash flows, the present study used the abnormal operating
cash flows in model (C) and subtracted the abnormal level of CAPEX in model (D). In order to
determine the normal level of CAPEX the study used the following model.
𝐶𝐴𝑃𝐸𝑋𝑡
𝐴𝑡−1= 𝛼0 + 𝛼1 (
1
𝐴𝑡−1) + 𝛼2 (
𝑆𝑡−1
𝐴𝑡−1) + 𝛼3 (
Δ𝑆𝑡
𝐴𝑡−1) + 𝛼4 (
𝑃𝑃𝐸𝑡
𝐴𝑡−1) + 𝜀𝑡 (D)
where:
𝐶𝐴𝑃𝐸𝑋𝑡 = capital expenditures in year t;
𝐴𝑡−1 = lagged total assets adjusted for the amount of goodwill;
𝑆𝑡 = total sales in year 𝑡;
𝑃𝑃𝐸𝑡 = gross property, plant and equipment in year t;
∆𝑆𝑡= change in total sales from 𝑡−1 to 𝑡.
Model (D) was estimated cross-sectionally for each sector-year with at least ten observations.
To measure the abnormal level of CAPEX (𝐴𝑅𝐶𝐴𝑃𝐸𝑋) we calculated and used the residuals from
model D. In order to calculate free cash flow management (FCFM) we subtracted
𝐴𝑅𝐶𝐴𝑃𝐸𝑋 from 𝐴𝑅𝑂𝐶𝐹𝑀.
4.4 Factors affecting earnings management
To examine if managers are able to postpone goodwill impairment by manipulating cash flows,
the present study tested if identified suspect firms experience abnormal levels of cash flows
while controlling for such factors. Previous studies (see Cohen & Zarowin, 2010; Filip, Jeanjean
& Paugam, 2015; Roychowdhury, 2006; Zang, 2012) have identified such factors to be
affecting both ability and willingness of managers to engage in earnings management. Skinner
and Sloan (2002) showed listed companies with growth opportunities are penalized more by
24
the market when earnings thresholds are not fulfilled. Furthermore, Roychowdhury (2006)
argues firms with growth opportunities could also experience pressure to fulfill these earnings
thresholds and therefore engage more in earnings management activities. The present study
tests for growth opportunities in accordance with Skinner and Sloan (2002) and Roychowdhury
(2006). In addition, this study controlled for variables such as firm size, performance and sector
characteristics. These factors were included as control variables in the following formula to
investigate if a relationship exists between control and suspect firms.
𝑀 = 𝛼0 + 𝛽1𝑆𝑈𝑆𝑃𝐸𝐶𝑇𝑡 + 𝛽2
𝑃
𝐵𝑡+ 𝛽3𝑙𝑛𝑆𝐼𝑍𝐸𝑡−1 + 𝛽4∆𝑆𝐴𝐿𝐸𝑆𝑡 + 𝛽5𝐶𝑂𝑉𝐸𝑅𝐴𝐺𝐸𝑡
+ 𝑌𝑒𝑎𝑟𝐹𝑖𝑥𝑒𝑑𝐸𝑓𝑓𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑠 + 𝑆𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑜𝑟𝐹𝑖𝑥𝑒𝑑𝐸𝑓𝑓𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑠 + 𝜀𝑡
where:
M = One of the following three variables:
𝑅𝐴𝑀𝑡= cash flows management through real activities management for year t measured as the
sum of the residuals of models (A) and (B);
𝑂𝐶𝐹𝑀𝑡= operating cash flows management for year t measured as the residuals of model (C);
𝐹𝐶𝐹𝑀𝑡= free cash flow management for year t measured as the difference between the
residuals of models (C) and (D);
𝑆𝑈𝑆𝑃𝐸𝐶𝑇𝑡= = Dummy variable which equals 1 for suspect firms and 0 for control firms
𝑃 𝐵𝑡⁄ = Price-to-book ratio of equity;
𝑙𝑛𝑆𝐼𝑍𝐸𝑡−1= natural logarithm of lagged total assets;
𝑆𝐴𝐿𝐸𝑆𝑡= change in sales for year t divided by lagged total assets adjusted for goodwill;
𝐶𝑂𝑉𝐸𝑅𝐴𝐺𝐸𝑡 t= Dummy variable which equals 1 if at least 1 analyst covers the firm and 0 if no
analyst coverage exists.
4.5 Method discussion
4.5.1 Reliability & replicability
Reliability relates to the issue of whether or not the measures used in the study will yield the
same result multiple times (Bergström & Boréus, 2012), which can enhance the replicability of
the study. To assure consistency and stability of the studied variables, multiple calculations
have been performed and the accounting figures have been cross-referenced with the
companies' annual reports. The statistical tests have been conducted and re-tested by both
authors to ensure accuracy and stability in the results, which can uphold the criteria of reaching
same result and conclusions indifferent of the practitioner (Skärvad & Lundahl, 2016). The
study used the three measures RAM, OCFM and FCFM where secondary data was gathered
and calculated from the financial database Thomson Reuters Eikon. The collected information
is public and reported prior to the collection of the data which sustains the stability of the data
and makes it possible for other researchers to replicate the study. A measure taken in the present
study to increase the replicability is the presentation of the formulas used to compute and extract
data from Thomson Reuters Eikon, as can be seen in Appendix 1. Since Thomson Reuters Eikon
has a magnitude of data ranging from historical values, mean and quarterly measures for the
25
same metrics the present study strives to be transparent of the used metrics, which increased
the replicability of the study.
4.5.2 Validity and ethical considerations
The validity of a model refers to if the model measures what is intended and if the concepts
used in the study are aligned with the measurable definitions of the concepts (Eriksson &
Wiedersheim-Paul, 2014). The models and concepts used in the present study are validated
through previous research (see Filip, Jeanjean & Paugam 2015; Ramana & Watts 2012;
Roychowdhury, 2006) which motivates the application of used models and concepts in the
present study. This study's used models are based upon publicly available data where financial
disclosures can exhibit variance between regulatory settings, this could result in reduced
validity. However, due to the geographical setting of the present study, the used financial
disclosures were regulated by the same standards which made the data obtainable and thus
assured the output of the models. To validate the output, the study performed collinearity
diagnostics to obtain the variance inflation indicator (VIF) value to check for multicollinearity.
The VIF values of the present study range between 1.04-1.56 which showed no violation of the
critical levels, because such low VIF values do not need to be further investigated due to the
absence of multiple correlations (Hair, Black, Babin & Anderson, 2014; Pallant, 2016).
Therefore, this validates one of the statistical assumptions in regression models.
The assumption of homoscedasticity, meaning equal variance for all values of the predictor
variable, is central to linear regression models (Norušis, 2008). Therefore, this study controlled
and checked for heteroscedasticity by using the natural logarithm of lagged total assets to obtain
normal distribution and an even spread of the error term along the regression line. The
illustration of the dispersion of residuals and the conducted tests, Breusch-Pagan and the
Koenker test, allowed the present study to analyze the investigated observations and to control
for heteroscedasticity which enabled the study to run the statistical tests (Norušis, 2008). It is
significant to point out that the models do not prove if earnings management are conducted or
not, the results presented in the models however gives indications of the phenomenon with
explanatory power (R2) of 5.3-21.6%. Since the gathered data is publicly available this study
has not reached out to the investigated companies to receive consent. The ethical consideration
in the present study has regarded to compute data in a trustworthy, truthful and reliable way,
with no intention of harming the investigated companies.
4.5.3 Criticism of research design and method
Even though the used methods are established in previous earnings management research (e.g.
Filip, Jeanjean & Paugam, 2015, Ramanna & Watts, 2012; Roychowdhury, 2006; Zang, 2012),
the literature has highlighted difficulties in measuring such activities. To enhance the possibility
to identify whether or not managers actually engage in earnings management activities,
interviews could have been chosen. On the other hand, the truthfulness of respondents would
have been jeopardized due to that admitting to earnings management can have unfavorable
effects for the company (Leuz, Nanda & Wysocki, 2003) because it can be considered unethical
(Smieliauskas, Bewley, Gronewold & Menzefricke, 2018).
26
Both Beatty and Weber (2006) and Verriest and Gaeremynck (2009) argue when a firm's market
value minus its book value of equity is smaller than the amount of goodwill reported on the
balance sheet, there are indications of impairment. Despite this, we have used price-to-book
below one for two consecutive years as a proxy for economic impairment in accordance with
other studies (see André, Filip, Paugam, 2016; Filip, Jeanjean & Paugam, 2015, Ramanna &
Watts, 2012). With both proxies for economic impairment, there is a risk of labeling such firms
which do not postpone impaired goodwill as suspect firms and therefore make a type 1 error.
That is why we have an additional test where the requirements have been strengthened in order
to minimize this risk. Prior studies (see Caruso, Ferrari & Pisano, 2016; Cohen, Dey & Lys,
2007; Ramanna & Watts, 2012) have gathered data from different sources and geographical
settings than the present study which might result in a different yield for the present study due
to country-specific effects. Prior research (see Leuz, Nanda & Wysocki, 2003; Roychowdhury,
2006) has found earnings management to be less occurring in countries with strong investor
protection and regulation which can reduce the chance of obtaining significant results in the
present study.
The present study raises critique of the method for identifying firms who impair goodwill due
to the need for using firm-level data instead of cash-generating unit data. The design of IFRS 3
and IAS 36 framework leads to that goodwill is activated on the balance sheet on the firm level
but the impairment test is conducted at the specific cash-generating unit where the fair value of
the asset is unobservable for outsiders (Filip, Jeanjean & Paugam, 2015). This aspect forces the
present study to use firm-level data which could result in omittance of observations who
conduct small impairments and simultaneously conducts acquisitions larger than the
impairment itself, resulting in a net positive effect. However, to control for this aspect the price-
to-book ratio has been used which together with the actual impairment is an indicator of market
expectations and if an impairment should have been conducted or not (ibid.).
The matching of suspect and control firms could limit the generalizability of the present study
due to the matching of equal valued companies in the same sector. However, the matching
increases the comparability between firms and the matched companies are now facing the same
economic cycles which increases the reliability of the results (Filip, Jeanjean & Paugam, 2015).
In opposite of prior research (see André, Filip & Paugam, 2016; Caruso, Ferrari & Pisano, 2016;
Ramanna & Watts, 2012) the present study excludes observations with missing data due to
differences in reporting practice compared to studies carried out in different geographical
settings. However, the power of the study was not jeopardized due to that the companies
presented has valid and comparable data. Further, even though a critique against the used
method is the difficulties in handling a vast amount of information (Saunders, Lewis &
Thornhill, 2016) the outcome of such data motivates this study's choice of using the database
Thomson Reuters Eikon in accordance with previous studies (see Jarva, 2009; Roychowdhury,
2006).
27
5. Sample and result
Chapter five presents the sample and empirical findings of the study. The descriptive statistics
is presented to give an overview of the data. The results from the t-test and regressions are
disclosed. The present studies empirical findings are limited to the purpose of the study.
5.1 Sample selection and descriptive statistics
In Table 1 descriptive statistics is presented for the full sample of 1090 firm-year observations.
Goodwill averaged 22.2% of total assets, while an average goodwill impairment amounted to
3.9% of total goodwill. Controlling for size, impairments larger than 1.0% have been made by
11.4% of the observations. As can be seen in the total sample, 4.0% has booked a goodwill
impairment larger than 5% and 2.1% larger than 10.0%. The price-to-book ratio (P/B) for
observed firm-years shows an indication of firms' equity in period t is valued higher by the
market in comparison with equity value during period 𝑡−1. ∆𝑆𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠𝑡, used as a proxy for growth
opportunities, shows the average firm experiences positive growth. The dummy variable
Coverage shows that 79.5% of the firms have at least one analyst following the firm.
Table 1: Descriptive statistics
The data presented in Table 2 shows the sample when it is divided into firm-year groups. As
can be seen, there is a slight difference between the firm-year observations. On average,
goodwill accounts for approximately 21.7% of total assets in 2012 and have increased in 2017
when goodwill accounts for approximately 24.1%. Of the firms with impaired goodwill, it can
be seen the magnitude of the impairments differ during the period. In 2012 the average
impairment of goodwill was 9.2% while the largest average impairments of 19.3% took place
28
in 2016. The average price-to-book ratio has increased from about 1.9 to 3.1 during the
investigated period which in turn could be interpreted as the market's expectations on firms'
future performance and earnings have increased. Table B also shows between 22.7% to 42.4%,
of those firms which have booked an impairment, impair more than 10% of goodwill at the
time. Further, the table shows between 13.4% to 26.7% of the sampled observations impair less
than 1% of total lagged goodwill.
Table 2: Descriptive statistics per year
From both Table 1 and Table 2 it can be seen there are some extreme values. In order to run
our statistical tests we, therefore, winsorize each continuous variable at its 1st and 99th
percentiles to avoid extreme observations in accordance with previous studies (see Chen, Shroff
& Zhang, 2014; Cohen, Dey & Lys, 2008; Filip, Jeanjean & Paugam, 2015; Lee, 2011; Li &
Sloan, 2017; Paugam & Ramond, 2015; Zang, 2012).
5.2 Test results
Using the first method to identify suspect firms, where firms without a booked impairment are
matched with firms which have booked an impairment within the same sector and year, enables
this study to identify 298 suspect firm-years from the total matched sample of 411 observations.
The corresponding number for control firms is 113. In Table 3, Panel A the result shows there
is a significant difference (at less than 1%, two-tailed) between suspect and control firms
regarding ∆𝑆𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠𝑡, a proxy for growth opportunities and firm size (𝑙𝑛𝑆𝑖𝑧𝑒𝑡−1).. There is a
29
significant difference (at less than 5%, two-tailed) between the groups for analysts' coverage.
Furthermore, the t-test shows no significant difference between the groups regarding price-to-
book which indicates the market value of the current year's equity is in line with lagged price-
to-book ratio, used in the matching process.
Table 3. T-test and multiple regression for suspect and control firms
The result presented in Table 3, Panel B shows there is no statistically significant evidence
which indicates firms which have not booked an impairment manage their cash flows upwards,
succeeding the control for the ability and desire to manage cash flows. On the other hand, the
variable price-to-book is positive and significant (at less than 1%, two-tailed) regarding
operational cash flow management (OCFM) and for free cash flow management (FCFM). In
addition, the result shows a negative and significant (at less than 1%, two-tailed) effect for the
control variable ∆𝑆𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠𝑡, proxy for growth opportunities, for cash flow management through
real activities (RAM). Growth opportunity is also the variable in which influences all of the
three dependent variables the most.
5.2.1 Economic impairment
Price-to-book ratios have been used in previous studies as a market indicator for economic
impairment (see André, Filip & Paugam, 2016; Filip, Jeanjean & Paugam, 2015; Francis, Hanna
& Vincent, 1996; Ramanna & Watts, 2012). Therefore, this study extends the investigation with
an additional requirement in order to identify suspect firms. The present study considers price-
30
to-book below one for two consecutive years as used by Ramanna & Watts (2012) to identify
such firms. The additional test shows an improvement in the coefficient of determination in all
of the three tests. This indicates the additional requirement allows the independent variables to
explain the variance in the dependent variable in a larger extent than before.
The addition of this requirement reduces the suspect group from 298 to 33 firm-year
observations. The procedure entails more significant results and the results presented in Table
4, Panel A shows a significant (at less than 5%, two-tailed) difference for ∆𝑆𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠𝑡 between
suspect and control firms. Further, a significant difference (at less than 1%, two-tailed) for the
variable price-to-book, lnSize and Coverage were found between the two groups. After
controlling for factors affecting the ability and willingness to manage cash flows and adjusted
for sector and year effects the result still shows current years' price-to-book ratio has a positive
and significant (at less than 1%, two-tailed) impact on both operational cash flow management
(OCFM) and free cash flow management (FCFM). Unlike the first test, the additional
requirements show 𝑆𝑢𝑠𝑝𝑒𝑐𝑡𝐴𝑐𝑐𝐸𝑐𝑜 is significantly positive (at less than 5%, two-tailed) for
FCFM. With the additional requirement, the variable Coverage shows a negative and significant
(less than 5%, two-tailed) impact on cash flow management through real activities (RAM).
Table 4. T-test and multiple regression for suspect and control firms with P/B < 1 for 2 years
31
5.2.2 Summary hypotheses result
The results from the regressions show the study has supporting evidence for hypotheses H3, H4
(significant at less than 5%) and H5 (significant at less than 1%) as can be seen in Table 4,
Panel B. The evidence shows suspect firms have a significant impact on abnormal current free
cash flows, used as a proxy for earnings management. Also, both analysts' coverage and firms'
growth opportunities have a significant impact on abnormal cash flows from real activities,
used a proxy for earnings management through manipulation R&D, advertising, SG&A
expenditures, COGS or inventory. Thus, the result shows no statistical evidence for the
hypotheses H1 and H2, which means the study lacks supportive evidence that investigated
suspect firms experience abnormal current cash flows from real activities or from operating
activities.
32
6. Discussion
Chapter six presents an analysis of this study's results. The chapter begins with an analysis of
the dispersion of the sample and proceeds with a broader perspective where the mentioned
theories are included.
6.1 Dispersion of the sample
The data in this study shows that approximately 59% of those firm with indications of economic
impairment have not booked an impairment. These observed values are in line with the result
in Ramanna and Watts' (2012) study which found a 69% frequency of non-impairment of
goodwill in the analysis of a firm sample which had market indications of goodwill impairment.
The study result also corresponds to the low goodwill impairment frequency showed in prior
studies due to the average goodwill impairment of 3.9% of total goodwill in the sample (Caruso,
Ferrari & Pisano, 2016; Hamberg, Paananen & Novak, 2009).
As can be seen in table 1, there are only a few observations undertaking goodwill impairments
larger than 5% which indicates goodwill tends to be sticky. The decision to postpone goodwill
impairment, even though the asset faces economic impairment, can be considered as a breach
of faithful reporting and question the timeliness of financial reporting (Ramanna & Watts, 2012;
Riedl, 2004). Previous studies argue the managerial reluctance to impair goodwill is grounded
in managerial pride (Li & Sloan, 2017; Roychowdhury & Martin, 2013) and managers which
impair goodwill do it to reflect future performance or as a management strategy (Filip, Jeanjean
& Paugam, 2015; Healy & Wahlen, 1999). The dispersion of the non-impairing firms could be
explained by the argument managers are reluctant to admit to overpaying for previous
acquisitions due to the possible unfavorable effects for company value (Chen, Shroff & Zhang,
2014; Li & Sloan, 2017; Roychowdhury & Martin, 2013). Another explanation which the
present study elaborate is that the given discretion given from the IFRS framework has
presented managers with an opportunity to evade impairments and artificially boost cash flows
to support the calculations conducted in the DCF model. This elaboration corroborates with the
findings in Cohen and Zarowin (2010) and Huang and Sun (2017).
Further, as seen in table 1, Salest and price-to-book ratio discloses that some observations are
high even after the winsorizing procedure, which could be explained by the markets high
expectations of future growth prospects, thus leading to higher firm valuations. As argued by
(Chen, Shroff & Zhang, 2014; Li & Sloan, 2017) investors do not understand the intentions of
non-impairment and the untimeliness of financial reporting is contributing to a systematic
overvaluation of the firm. The argument is corroborated by the sample and that outsiders seem
to interpret the non-impairment as beneficial.
From the data presented in Table 2, it can be seen goodwill accounts for a larger amount of total
assets during the later years. This indicates Swedish firms either pay larger acquisition
premiums or engage more in transaction activities, and therefore allocates more goodwill in
their balance sheets toward the latter part of the investigated period. This is in line with Duff
and Phelps (2018) who argue the magnitude of goodwill impairment has become larger and
33
therefore more important for investors to understand. An explanation for the increased
allocation of goodwill could be the increased discretion and abolishment of goodwill
amortization stemming from the transition to the IFRS framework, thus making it more
beneficial for companies to acquire goodwill. The abolishment of mandatory amortization of
goodwill can, ceteris paribus, result in higher reported earnings due to that assets are not
frequently impaired and thus appears to be higher than they de facto are, leading to
overstatements and overvaluation by outsiders.
Further, the rising price-to-book ratio could be interpreted as the market's expectations on firms'
future performance and that earnings have increased. The evidence shows that higher market
value of equity will have a positive impact on managers engagement in cash flow management.
These results are in line with previous evidence (see André, Filip, Paugam, 2016; Filip, Jeanjean
& Paugam, 2015, Ramanna & Watts, 2012) which have shown price-to-book to be an important
proxy for economic impairment. Firms with lower price-to-book ratio are interpreted by the
market as firms facing economic impairment which makes it more difficult for such firms to
mislead investors, auditors and gatekeepers. The increased difficulty stems from gatekeepers
questioning future prospects and high cash flows when current cash flows are low (Kothari,
Wysocki & Shu, 2009).
As can be seen in Table 3, Panel A the results from the first t-test indicate suspect firms in this
study have a smaller amount of total assets, exhibit greater growth opportunities and have fewer
analysts following in comparison to control firms. As Burgstahler and Dichev (1997) reported,
earnings management activities and practices are more common among large and medium-sized
firms rather than within small firms. Such a statement is in accordance with the result from the
present study who identified that suspect firms have a smaller amount of lagged total assets in
comparison with control firms. Different from the first t-test, the second t-test in Table 4, Panel
A had an additional requirement which required firms to have a price-to-book ratio below one
for at least two consecutive years. The second t-test shows the average suspect firm experiences
negative growth which is in line with previous study results (see André, Filip & Paugam, 2016;
Ramanna & Watts, 2012). An argument for the result is that when firms experience negative
sales growth and fewer growth opportunities the market will take this into account when the
companies' prospects are being valued. Henceforth, leading to a lower price-to-book ratio and
thereby strengthening the indications regarding economic impairment.
6.2 Earnings management through cash flow manipulation
Unlike previous studies (see Filip, Jeanjean & Paugam; Ramanna & Watts, 2012;
Roychowdhury, 2006) which found that manipulation of real activities and operating activities
are conducted in order to delay goodwill impairment this study finds no evidence to support the
hypotheses H1 and H2. Consequently, this study has no statistical supporting evidence that
suspect firms experience abnormal current cash flows from real activities or operating activities.
However, this study's result shows supporting evidence for hypothesis H3, which means suspect
firms experience abnormal current levels of free cash flows which in turn could be interpreted
as managers manage free cash flows upwards. In the DCF-model, used by auditors in
impairment tests, future free cash flows are discounted (Lander & Reinstein, 2003). Managers
34
could thereby lower capital expenditures in order to increase current free cash flows and mislead
financial gatekeepers, such as auditors and investors, in order to postpone economic impaired
goodwill. This, in combination with the difficulties in detecting such activities (Cohen, Dey &
Lyz, 2008; Cohen & Zarowin, 2010; Huang & Sun, 2017) could be the reason why firms engage
in earnings management by manipulating free cash flows. Furthermore, as reducing R&D
expenditures to increase earnings in the short term can harm firm value in the long run (Canace,
Jackson & Ma, 2018; Graham, Harvey & Rajgopal, 2005) the result indicate firms will manage
capital expenditures instead. This result is in accordance with Kothari, Languerre and Leone
(2002) which argued capital expenditures are associated with higher future stock returns and
lower variability in earnings. Also, Fama (1980) argues managers' willingness to shift expenses
is controlled by job security and reputation which in turn depends on the firm's long-term
performance. Thus, managers willingness to manage free cash flows in order to postpone or
avoid goodwill impairment may originate from their willingness not to deteriorate the
company's long-term value, performance and earnings variability.
6.2.1 Analysts coverage and growth opportunities
The literature highlights real activities manipulation as something costly and difficult for
auditors and gatekeepers to detect (Cohen, Dey & Lyz, 2008; Cohen & Zarowin, 2010; Huang
& Sun, 2017; Roychowdhury, 2006) which present a low risk of scrutinization (Roychowdhury,
2006). As both auditors and financial analysts following the firms can be seen as financial
gatekeepers the significant difference between suspect and control firms regarding growth
opportunities and analysts' coverage is in line with the literature (see Ali & Zhang, 2015; Yu,
2008). The presented evidence supports hypotheses H4 and H5, which indicates firms engage
in fewer earnings management activities when analysts are following firms' performance and
when firms experience growth opportunities.
Burgstahler and Dichev (1997) together with Graham, Harvey and Rajgopal (2005) argue
earnings management is used to avoid earnings decline and reporting losses in order to meet
certain earnings thresholds, defined by Roychowdhury (2006) as real earnings management.
This study's evidence points in the opposite direction. The result shows that real activities
management activities decrease when at least one analyst following, which could be interpreted
from several perspectives. Seen from the perspective that analysts can be considered as financial
gatekeepers, the result is in line with Graham, Harvey and Rajgopal (2005) which argue that
analysts can reduce managers opportunities to manipulate earnings because they are able to
detect such unethical behavior. Also, it is in line with previous study results where firms with
high monitoring and analyst coverage exhibit lower earnings overstatement (Ali & Zang, 2014).
Yu (2008) argues analysts, choose to cover firms with a better information environment which
should result in less earnings management. From this point of view, the result from the present
study indicates Swedish firms operate within a financial market with high disclosure of
information. On the other hand, if analysts are perceived by the market as information
providers, in addition to corporate disclosure, more earnings management (less corporate
disclosure) will generate increased demand for information resulting in more analysts (Hong,
Huseynov & Zhang, 2014). Unlike the result in Yu (2008), this would instead indicate that
analysts are driven by the demand to choose firms with lower disclosures which therefore
35
should have a positive effect on earnings management. The last perspective is in line with the
conclusion from Abarbanell and Lehavy (2003) that firms receiving unfavorable ratings or
recommendations exhibits reduced incentives to manipulate earnings through real activities.
Based on previous studies and presented literature firms experiencing growth will most likely
have experienced lower scrutiny, by both auditors and analysts, and therefore been able to avoid
impairment of goodwill. In addition, Skinner and Sloan (2002) show listed companies with
growth opportunities are penalized more by the market when earnings thresholds are not
fulfilled. Therefore, Roychowdhury (2006) argues one of the reason firms with growth
opportunities engage in earnings management activities could be because they experience this
pressure to fulfill earnings thresholds. As current growth could be used as an argument to make
the future estimate more reliable (Filip, Jeanjean & Paugam, 2015) one could argue auditors
would not scrutinize such firms in the same extent. Therefore, the significant difference in
growth opportunities between the control and suspect firms, which can be seen in both Table 3
and 4, is in line with previous study results.
The result from the multiple regression (Table 4, Panel B) shows growth opportunities have a
significant negative impact on real activities management. The result is interpreted as firms
experiencing growth use their situation as a reliable base for improved future cash flows instead
of manipulating the current cash flows in order to postpone the impairment process. Because
of this, auditors will not scrutinize or question that firms delay goodwill impairments even
though there are indications they should go through with it immediately. Also, as decreased
growth should be reflected in reduced market expectation through lower price-to-book ratios,
thus higher risk of scrutinization, firms which experience growth have less need to manipulate
cash flows in order to increase market expectations. However, the result is in line with Filip,
Jeanjean and Paugam (2015) which found that managers are less likely to manage real activities
in times of increasing sales. Although, the result of the present study conflicts with the evidence
provided by Cohen and Zarowin (2010) together with Huang and Sun (2017) who find that real
activities are more attractive for managers to undertake due to a low probability of
scrutinization. The result also contradicts the study result, presented by Ali & Zhang (2015),
where CEO tenure has a negative impact on earnings overstatement. With the argument that
sales growth can easier be accomplished in younger firms, consequently more commonly with
CEOs with less tenure, growth opportunities would have a positive impact on earnings
management activities.
6.2.2 Timeliness of goodwill impairment
André, Filip & Paugam (2016) highlight timeliness of goodwill impairments as a widely
researched subject post the abolishment of goodwill amortization. In accordance, the present
study uses the definition of timeliness as the relationship between economic indicators
suggesting impaired assets and the actual accounting impairment. The study result provides
evidence that Swedish managers undertaking earnings management activities, which is
influential for the timeliness of goodwill impairments. For impairments to be considered as
timely and faithfully represented the information should be complete, neutral and free from
error (Nobes & Stadler, 2015). The present study argues the postponement of goodwill is
36
contradicting to the qualitative characteristics, faithful representation and relevance, of the
IFRS framework (IFRS, 2018). When impairment of assets facing economic impairment are
postponed the predictive value and capability of altering outsiders decision making diminishes
(Beaver, 1968; Nobes & Stadler, 2015), due to asset overstatement in the balance sheet. When
assets are overstated it can lead to incorrect estimations of future benefits pertaining to the assets
and of the future prospects for the company which can be detrimental for both investors and
firms (Li & Sloan, 2017). The results from the present study show suspect firms manage free
cash flows in order to support the postponement of goodwill impairment, thus breaching the
timeliness aspect of financial reporting.
In the context of information asymmetry, goodwill impairments are argued to send signals about
future cash flows to investors (Schatt, Doukakis, Bessieux-Ollier & Walliser, 2016). When
assets are impaired, the future cash flows stemming from the asset is certainly going to be lower,
in comparison to the estimated cash flow when goodwill was recognized in the balance sheet
(ibid.). This aspect can explain why managers are reluctant to impair goodwill due to that lower
future cash flows can have negative consequences both for the manager and the stock price
(André, Filip & Paugam, 2016; Li & Sloan, 2017; Roychowdhury & Martin, 2013). When
goodwill is impaired, managers admit to overpaying for past acquisitions and if the stock prices
decline as a consequence, the managerial abilities can be questioned by both insiders and
outsiders of the firm (Li & Sloan, 2017). The results from the present study corroborate with
the argument and real activities management seems to be decreasing when growth opportunities
are present and when analysts covering the firm. The evidence indicates cash flow management
is present for suspect firms and the present study argue managers are inclined to increase cash
flows to avoid the unfavorable effects stemming from goodwill impairment.
Thus, as the objective of financial reporting is to provide useful decision-making information
to financial users (IFRS, 2018a) a postponement will result in untimely goodwill disclosure.
Thus, the disclosures will contain less valuable information and make it more difficult for users
to make the best outcome from their decisions. Also, as standard setters expect managers to
mediate private information in disclosures (Filip, Jeanjean & Paugam, 2015) the asymmetric
aspect of information distribution should be mitigated. Therefore, if the impairment of goodwill
is disclosed by managers whenever the firms experience indication of economic impairment it
should contain an information value to investors regarding managers' additional information of
the firms' prospects. Consequently, manipulating current free cash flows in order to delay or
avoid goodwill impairment will result in larger information gap between managers in suspect
firms and the users of the disclosed financial information.
The evidence from the study is also in accordance with the predictions of the agency theory that
managers take advantage of the unsecured elements of goodwill impairments (Filip, Jeanjean
& Paugam, 2015) to maximize their own utility and make choices which fit their own agenda.
The study by Ramana and Watts (2012) found CEO compensation, reputation to be positively
correlated with non-impairment of goodwill which could explain the increased cash flows in
the present study. Caruso, Ferrari and Pisano (2016) show a growing acquisition rate post-IFRS
implementation, associated with increased goodwill recognition, but no increment in goodwill
37
impairments. The evidence from the present study aligns with the statement and the increased
cash flows act as a convincing mechanism to justify non-impairment to gatekeepers as
mentioned by Kothari, Wysocki and Shu (2009). The evidence indicates that the possibilities
and opportunities presented by the IFRS framework have been adopted by managers in Swedish
firms and cash flow manipulations are used to keep the assets intact on the balance sheet, hence
breaching the qualitative characteristics of financial reporting and ultimately misleads outsiders
of the firm.
38
7. Conclusion
Chapter seven concludes the analysis and reflections of the study. Furthermore, the study result
and contribution are presented, both academic and practical, and the chapter ends with a
proposal for future research.
The purpose of the study was to investigate how postponement of goodwill impairment is
conducted and if managers thereby contribute to a distortion of the underlying qualitative
characteristics in financial reporting. The present study has, with support of proxies for earnings
management, investigated how managers separate economic impairment from accounting
impairment, thus disrupting timeliness of financial reporting. Previous studies have shown
goodwill impairment lag behind the entity's operating performance from at least two years
which indicate managers are able to separate accounting and economic impairment of goodwill.
This study presents evidence that firms carrying impaired goodwill, without booking an
impairment, experience abnormal current free cash flows in comparison with this study's
sampled control firms. Thus, this study finds evidence that managers in suspect firms are able
to disrupt the timeliness of financial reporting by managing current free cash flows upwards in
order to postpone goodwill impairment. This is aligned with previous research showing that
managers engage in earnings management activities to delay goodwill impairment.
Previous studies have shown analysts following companies will have an impact on managers
and their behavior towards earnings management, but the result differentiates regarding the
direction of the effect. However, the findings of the present study show a decrease in abnormal
current cash flows from real activities management when at least one analyst is covering the
firm. The findings indicate gatekeepers have a mitigating effect for earnings overstatement
which is in accordance with previous study results. However, in the presence of analyst
coverage firms are argued to be pressured to meet earnings thresholds, due to the adverse
reactions if not met, which might inspire earnings management. In line with this, the study's
result, that firms exhibiting growth opportunities manage real activities less, indicates managers
manage current earnings in order to improve future estimates. The evidence that growth
opportunities have a negative effect on engagement in real activities manipulation is in
accordance with the idea that firms which are experiencing growth opportunities engage less in
earnings management, due to the adverse effects on future performance. Furthermore, the
evident increase in free cash flow management is aligned with the idea that free cash flows,
used in impairment tests, are managed when current cash flows and growth opportunities are
not enough to convince auditors. Thus, the research question is answered and the presented
evidence contradicts the timeliness of financial reporting, by the separation of economic and
accounting impairment, through cash flow manipulation, which justifies postponement of
goodwill impairment.
7.1 Contribution
The findings in the study can have an impact on future practitioners, academics and investors.
The study result adds on to the IFRS debate and concludes the timeliness of goodwill reporting
is suffering from the abolishment of mandatory goodwill amortization. The findings can,
39
therefore, be used as guidance on how standard setters will form the regulations of goodwill
impairment so it is more in agreement with the objectives of financial reporting. Also, it adds
on to the analyst coverage literature due to the presence of gatekeepers indicates a limiting
effect for real activities management behavior. The manipulation of free cash flows can
contribute to practitioners and provide knowledge to financial gatekeepers about the
opportunistic justification attempts of future estimations given by managers. The result will
especially be of importance to auditors in order to detect manipulation of free cash flows before
impairment tests. Regardless of the delimitation towards Swedish firms, which can inhibit the
generalizability to different geographic regions and demographic settings, the results can aid
practitioners in detecting earnings management activities. In addition, the study can have an
impact on the decision made by users of financial information because the findings highlight
that the usefulness can be deteriorated by untimely financial reporting originating from the
postponement of goodwill impairment.
7.2 Limitations and future research
A limitation with this study's findings is the generalisability regarding the interpretation of how
abnormal current cash flows implies cash flow management. Also, since earnings management
is difficult to measure there are different measurement proxies which could be used in order to
find indications of earnings management, the result in this study could differ if it would be
replicated with the use of other proxies. Thus, the findings only show indications of cash flow
manipulations, based on statistical supporting evidence of abnormal current cash flows for
suspect firms, and can not with certainty state that managers in such firms actually engage in
unethical behavior.
Since real activities earnings management is difficult to measure and to detect for auditors the
present study identifies a need for further research. An avenue for future research should be to
investigate how cash flow management pertains to managerial incentives tied to goodwill
impairment, due to the subjective measures used in the impairment tests. Since goodwill is
materialized through mergers and acquisitions an interesting area to examine would be the
market reactions and attitudes of the acquiring firm regarding impairment decisions. This
research avenue could enhance and accumulate to the existing knowledge and aid in identifying
the underlying factors for managerial decision making regarding goodwill impairments.
Furthermore, this study found no supporting evidence of managers manipulating current cash
flows from real and operating activities. Thus, a suggestion would be a more comprehensive
study with a focus on different measurement proxies for earnings management that might
explain the occurrence of this phenomenon which this study lacks supporting evidence to prove.
40
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