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SUSTAINABLE WATER MANAGEMENT PLAN. Task 1 – Detailed work plan. Our Team. Bob Moresi, P.E. TASKS. 1. Work Plan. 2. Problem Definition/Performance Indicators. 3. Tailoring of Models to Indicators. 4. Data and Information. 5. Development of Water Management Alternatives. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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28 N
OVE
MBE
R 20
11
SUSTAINABLE WATER MANAGEMENT PLAN
TASK 1 – DETAILED WORK PLAN
2
OUR TEAM
DR. ARIS GEORGAKAKOS
ModelingSTEVE SIMPSONProject Manager
TEAM RESOURCESRobert Osborne, P.E.Les Lampe, P.E., Ph.D.
Pam Kenel, P.E.
KRISTIN ROWLES & JIM HAWKINS
Facilitation
Bob Moresi, P.E.
23 January 2011
3
2. Problem Definition/Performance Indicators
1. Work Plan
8. Report and Study Dissemination
3. Tailoring of Models to Indicators
NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC2011 2012
4. Data and Information
5. Development of Water Management Alternatives
6. Conduct Iterative Basin Assessments
7. Seek Consensus
TASKS
• Project Initiation Meeting Held November 28 in Albany.• Presentation at ACFS Board Meeting in Albany TODAY• Conference call to review draft Work Plan outline the week
of December 19• Completion of IFLLA Data Review on December 31• Meeting to review revised draft Work Plan the week of
January 16• Completion of ACFS Work Plan on January 30
1. DEVELOP A WORKPLAN
16 March 2011
4
2. PROBLEM DEFINITION/PERFORMANCE INDICATORS23 NOV 2011
5
3. TAILORING OF MODELS TO INDICATORS23 NOV 2011
6
River Basin/Watershed Assessment and Planning
GCM ScenariosBias Correction
Downscaling
Watershed Hydrology
Reg. Reservoir
Runoff Reservoir
Control Point
Local Inflow
Withdrawal
Legend
Lake Lanier105MW
Sumatra
Norcross
Blountstown
Chattahoochee
36 MWWoodruff
Bainbridge
Newton
Albany
Montezuma
Griffin
Andrews
W. George
Columbus
N. HighlandsOliver
Goat RockBartletts Ferry
West Point
82 MW
Whitesburg
Atlanta16.8 MW
Morgan Falls
168 MW
26.3 MW
173 MW
60 MW
29.6 MW
Range: 1035-1085 (ft)37.8 - 111.3 (bcf)
Range: 620 - 640(ft)
30 - 40.7 (bcf)Range: 184 - 190 (ft)
13 - 32.4 (bcf)
Range: 73 - 77.9 (ft)10.4 - 17.6 (bcf)
OBS Cells (~12 x 12 km2):• Monthly & Daily• 1950-1999 (50 Years);• Temperature, Precipitation
GCM Cells (~250 x 250 km2):• Monthly & Few Daily• A1B: 2001-2100; (100 Years) • A2: 2001-2100; (100 Years)
Population, Land Use, and Demand
Forecasts
Simulatesoil moisture, ET, runoff,unimpaired flows, etc.
Develop consistent rainfall, temperature, PETsequences.
Risks/Vulnerabilities/Benefits/TradeoffsDevelopment Options Management PolicesMitigation Measures
Water SupplyLake Levels/RecreationHydropowerEnviron. Flows, Ecology, …
Stakeholder Processes
• Instream Flows and Lake Levels Assessment (IFFLA) data review
• Flow Data including Unimpaired flows• Water Demands
4. DATA AND INFORMATION GATHERING23 NOV 2011
7
• Start from Data Needs Sustainability Workgroup Performance Measures
• Identify and Screen Alternative Management Alternatives
• Document Alternatives in Template• Input Alternatives in Iterative Modeling
5. DEVELOPMENT OF WATER MANAGEMENT ALTERNATIVES
23 NOV 2011
8
• Progressive comparative analysis of ACF system to develop understanding of model sensitivity
• Present model outputs in graphical formats
• Iterative model runs to reflect multiple scenarios for comparison
6. CONDUCT ITERATIVE MODELING23 NOV 2011
9
7. SEEK CONSENSUS ON ONE OR MORE MANAGEMENT ALTERNATIVES
23 NOV 2011
10Adapted from the Facilitator’s Guide to Participatory Decision-Making
DYNAMICS OF PARTICIPATORY DECISION MAKING
CONSENSUSSTART
Modeling of Scenarios Against Performance CriteriaTIME
FamiliarOptions
Diverse Perspectives
Competing Frames of Reference
Shared Understanding
Inclusive Alterations Synthesis
8. REPORT AND STUDY DISSEMINATION23 NOV 2011
11
Task 1 – Work Plan
Task 2 –Performance Objectives TM
Task 3 – Modeling Plan TM
Task 4 – IFLLA Literature Review, Flow Data and Water Demand TM
Task 5 –Water Management Alternatives TM
Task 6 – Model Output Summary TM
Task 7 – Management Alternatives Selection/ Recommendation TM
Task 8 – Sustainable Water Management Plan
TECHNICAL MEMORANDA & REPORT
28 N
OVE
MBE
R 20
11
SUSTAINABLE WATER MANAGEMENT PLAN
TASK 1 – DETAILED WORK PLAN
13
1. Unimpaired Baseline2. Baseline with construction of reservoirs3. Baseline with RIOP operation of reservoirs4. RIOP operation of reservoirs AND current water
demands and discharges5. Alternative Scenarios (iterative)
1. Operational Rules2. Scenarios
MODELING SCENARIO PROGRESSION
16 March 2011
