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SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT ADVISORY NOTES
FOR PRIORITY DEVELOPMENT SECTORS
IN BOTSWANA
Mining, Agriculture, Energy, Tourism and Water
17 July 2015
Environment and Development Services – International, UK
and
The Southern African Institute for Environmental Assessment, Namibia
in association with UNDP-Botswana
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT ADVISORY NOTES FOR PRIORITY
DEVELOPMENT SECTORS
IN BOTSWANA
Mining, Agriculture, Tourism, Energy and Water
By
Barry Dalal-Clayton
Environment and Development Services – International
www.eds-international.org
and
Peter Tarr
Southern African Institute for Environmental Assessment
www.saiea.com
1
CONTENTS
Acknowledgements and caveats 4
Acronyms and abbreviations 5
Executive summary 7
1 Introduction 11
1.1 Background
1.1.1 Anchoring the Vision Beyond 2016 and NDP11 on sustainable
development principles and goals 11
1.1.2 Progress towards mainstreaming sustainable development and new
challenges 12
1.1.3 Realising the post-2015 Framework in Botswana 12
1.1.4 Aim of this report 13
1.2 What is sustainable development? 13
1.3 What is sustainability appraisal and methodology 15
1.3.1 Schedule of steps followed in this study/process 17
2 Mining sector 22
2.1 Baseline situation in the mining sector
2.1.1 Relative importance to economy and national development 22
2.1.2 Policy and legislative framework 22
2.1.3 Institutional framework 22
2.1.4 Mineral resources 23
2.1.5 Prospecting and mining trends 24
2.1.6 Existing environmental impacts 25
2.2 Development scenarios for the mining sector 26
2.2.1 Scenario summary 28
2.3 Sustainability appraisal of the mining sector 29
2.3.1 Selection of activities for appraisal 29
2.3.2 Overall perspective on the sustainability of the mining sector 30
2.3.3 Sustainability appraisal of selected activity 32
2.4 Conclusions and implications for national planning 34
3 Agriculture sector 36
3.1 Baseline situation in the agriculture sector 36
3.1.1 Relative importance to the economy and national development 36
3.1.2 Livestock production 36
3.1.3 Arable agriculture 38
3.1.4 Policy and legislative framework 39
3.1.5 Institutional framework 41
3.1.6 Sustainability issues in the agricultural sector 41
3.2 Development scenarios for the agriculture sector 41
3.2.1 Scenario summary 45
3.3 Sustainability appraisal of the agriculture sector 46
3.3.1 Selection of activities for appraisal 46
3.3.2 Overall perspective on the sustainability of the agriculture sector 47
3.3.3 Sustainability appraisal of selected activities 49
3.4 Conclusions and implications for national planning 55
2
4 Energy sector 56
4.1 Baseline situation in the energy sector 56
4.1.1 Relative importance to economy and national development 56
4.1.2 Policy and legislative framework 56
4.1.3 Institutional arrangements 56
4.1.4 Energy resources and products 57
4.1.5 Access to energy 61
4.1.6 Energy consumption 61
4.1.7 Power infrastructure 62
4.1.8 Sustainability implications 62
4.2 Development scenarios for the energy sector 63
4.2.1 Scenario summary 66
4.3 Sustainability appraisal of the energy sector 66
4.3.1 Selection of activities for appraisal 66
4.3.2 Overall perspective on the sustainability of the energy sector 67
4.3.3 Sustainability appraisal of selected activities 69
4.4 Conclusions and implications for national planning 73
5 Tourism sector 75
5.1 Baseline situation in the tourism sector 75
5.1.1 Relative importance to economy and national development 75
5.1.2 Policy and legislative framework 76
5.1.3 Institutional framework 77
5.1.4 Main resources and sector products 78
5.1.5 Sustainability issues 78
5.2 Development scenarios for the tourism sector 80
5.2.1 Scenario summary 85
5.3 Sustainability appraisal of the tourism sector 85
5.3.1 Selection of activities for appraisal 85
5.3.2 Overall perspective on the sustainability of the tourism sector 86
5.3.3 Sustainability appraisal of selected activities 87
5.4 Conclusions and implications for national planning 93
6 Water sector 95
6.1 Baseline situation in the water sector 95
6.1.2 Policy and legislative framework 95
6.1.3 Institutional framework 96
6.1.4 Main water resources and sector products 96
6.1.5 Sustainability issues 100
6.2 Development scenarios for the water sector 104
6.2.1 Scenario summary 107
6.3 Sustainability appraisal of the water sector 108
6.3.1 Selection of activities for appraisal 108
6.3.2 Overall perspective on the sustainability of the water sector 108
6.3.3 Sustainability appraisal of selected activity 110
6.4 Conclusions and implications for national planning 114
7 Cross sector linkages and cross-cutting issues 116
7.1 Cross-sector linkages 116
7.2 Cross-cutting issues 120
7.2.1 Infrastructure 120
7.2.2 HIV and AIDS 122
7.2.3 Rural policies 123
7.2.4 Land tenure 124
7.2.5 Transboundary issues 124
3
8 Conclusions and recommendations 126
References 132
Appendices 134
1 Lists of participants in scenario workshops 135
2 Lists of participants in sustainability appraisal workshops 136
3 Baseline information for the mining sector 138
4 Baseline information for the agriculture sector 141
5 Baseline information for the energy sector 143
6 Baseline information for the tourism sector 148
7 Baseline information for the water sector 154
8 Supplementary information on Botswana’s infrastructure 162
9 Definitions of terms 166
4
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS AND CAVEATS
This volume of Advisory Notes is one of the products of a programme of support by UNDP-Botswana
to the Government of Botswana to integrate sustainable development into the process of developing
Botswana’s Vision Beyond 2016 and NDP11.
It has been prepared by Professor Barry Dalal-Clayton, Environment and Development Services –
International, UK, and Dr Peter Tarr, Southern African Institute for Environmental Assessment,
Namibia.
Guidance and inputs were provided by Dr Muyeye Chambwera, UNDP-Botswana, and by Ms Tsalano
Kedikilwe, Department of Environmental Affairs, Ministry of Environment, Wildlife and Tourism,
Namibia.
Helpful support throughout the process of desk research and workshops leading to preparing these
Advisory Notes was provided by Kudzani Koketso, UNDP intern.
The source of all data provided in this report is indicated in the text, eg as published documents,
unpublished information provided by government officials or online resources (url links are given).
For some of the figures indicated in the sector scenarios (in chapters 2-6), where reliable data were
not available, we have used guesstimates based on expert opinion given during scenario and
sustainability appraisal workshops.
5
LIST OF ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS ARAP Advanced Rainfed Arable Programme
ALDEP Arable Lands Development Programme
BAMB Botswana Agricultural Marketing Board
B&B Bed and breakfast
BD Biodiversity
BECS Botswana Ecotourism Certification System
BEWRA Botswana Energy and Water Regulatory Agency
BMC Botswana Meat Commission
BOS Bureau of Standards
BPC Botswana Power Corporation
BRICS Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa
BWP Botswana Pula
CA Conservation agriculture
CBNRM Community-based natural resource management
CBM Coal bed methane
CLF Coal to liquids facility
CSR Corporate social responsibility
DEA Department of Environmental Affairs, Botswana
DDP District Development Plan
DGS Department of Geological Survey
DMS Department of Meteorological Services
DRC Democratic Republic of Congo
DWA Department of Water Affairs
DWMPC Department of Waste Management and Pollution Control
EA Environmental assessment
EDS Environment and Development Services - International
EIA Environmental impact assessment
EMP Environmental management plan
EPA Economic Partnership Agreement
ESMP Environmental and Social Management Plan
EU European Union
FDI Foreign direct investment
FMD Foot and Mouth Disease
Forex Foreign exchange
GDP Gross domestic product
GDSA Gaborone Declaration for Sustainability in Africa
GEF Global Environment Facility
GoB Government of Botswana
gt Giga tonne
Gwh Giga Watt Hour
ha Hectare
HIV/AIDS Human immunodeficiency virus / Acquired immune deficiency syndrome
HWC Human-wildlife conflict
ICMM International Council for Mining and Minerals
ILM Integrated land management
IPP Independent power producer
IRM Integrated rangeland management
IRR Internal rate of return
ISPAAD Integrated Support Programme for Arable Agriculture Development
IWRM Integrated water resources management
KAZA Kavango-Zambezi Transfrontier Conservation Area
LIMCOM Limpopo Watercourse Commission
LIMID Livestock management and infrastructure development
LPG Liquified petroleum gas
mcts million carats
M&E Monitoring and evaluation
MDGs Millennium development goals
MEWT Ministry of Environment Wildlife and Tourism, Botswana
6
MFDP Ministry of Finance and Development Planning, Botswana
MIC Middle income country
MICE Meetings, incentives, conferences and exhibitions
MLGRD Ministry of Local Government and Rural Development, Botswana
MMEWR Ministry of Minerals, Energy and Water Resources, Botswana
MoA Ministry of Agriculture, Botswana
MSW Municipal solid waste
mtpa million tonnes per annum
mt/yr million tonnes per year
MW Mega Watt
NAMPADD National Master Plan for Agricultural and Dairy Development
NDP National Development Plan
NGO Non-governmental organisation
NOAA National Ocean and Atmospheric Administration, USA
NSC North-South Carrier
NSO National Strategy Office, Botswana
OKACOM Permanent Okavango River Basin Water Commission
ORASECOM Orange-Senqu River Commission
OUZIT Upper Zambezi International Tourism Initiative
PPP Policy, plan or programme
pppd per person per day
R&D Research and development
RBO River basin organisation
RETOSA Regional Tourism Organisation of Southern Africa
RSA Republic of South Africa
RSAP-IWRM Regional Strategic Action Plan for Integrated Water Resources Development
and Management
SA Sustainability appraisal
SACU South African Customs Union
SADC Southern African Development Community
SAIEA Southern African Institute for Environmental Assessment
SAPP Southern African Power Pool
SDGs Sustainable development goals
SEA Strategic environmental assessment
SME Small and medium-sized enterprise
SOE State-owned enterprise
STD Sexually transmitted disease
TDS Total dissolved solids
TFCA Transfrontier conservation areas
TKR Trans Kalahari railway
TWG Thematic working group
UDP Urban development plan
UHT Ultra high temperature
UNDP-Botswana UN Development Programme, Botswana
USA United States of America
VFR Visiting friends and relatives
WAP Water Apportionment Board, Botswana
WAVES Wealth accounting and the valuation of ecosystem services
WCED World Commission on Environment and Development
WHO World Health Organisation
WTO World Toilet Organisation
WUC Water Utilities Corporation
ZAMCOM Zambezi Watercourse Commission
7
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
UNDP-Botswana is supporting the Government of Botswana to integrate sustainable development
into the process of developing Botswana’s Vision Beyond 2016 and Eleventh National Development
Plan (NDP11). This report presents a technical appraisal of the sustainable development elements and
interactions of five priority sectors that are likely to be central to the new Vision (which will guide the
orientation of NDP11), and determine how they are likely to contribute to the goal of sustainable
development and achievement of Vision priorities. The five sectors addressed include: mining,
agriculture, energy, tourism and water.
Chapter 1 is an introduction providing a background to Botswana’s processes to develop a new
national Vision and NDP11 and how UNDP-Botswana is helping to anchor these instruments on
sustainable development goals and principles. It discusses some of the challenges of mainstreaming
sustainable development and realising the UN’s Post-2015 Framework in Botswana. Some progress
has already been made, particularly through government’s commitment to making sustainable
development a leading goal and foundation of NDP11. But this commitment also needs to be reflected
as an umbrella goal of the new Vision. Of particular note is Botswana’s selection to spearhead
implementation of the Gaborone Declaration for Sustainability in Africa (GDSA). An outline is
provided of the concept of sustainable development and a discussion of the aims of sustainability
appraisal. In this report, sustainability appraisal is used to mean a planning and decision support tool
to analyse the social, economic, environmental and governance dimensions of development in an
integrated manner to inform the formulation of policies, programmes and plans and the development
projects that may flow from them. The steps followed included:
Desk analysis for each sector focused on policies/regulations and their key thrusts and
requirements, and identification of key baseline data sourced from available documents – to
produce sector baseline profiles.
Analysis of the draft Framework for a Long-Term Vision Beyond 2016 (version dated 27
October 2014) to identify objectives, strategies, key goals and initiatives envisaged for each of the
five priority sectors.
Facilitated scenario workshops involving invited experts to develop scenarios (baseline; low
growth or business-as-usual; and high growth) to illustrate how each sector might play out over
the forthcoming decade and the likely key thrusts, developments/initiatives or projects.
Facilitated sustainability appraisal workshops involving invited experts.
Synthesis and preparation of final report.
Workshop participants, attending in their personal capacity as sector experts, were drawn from
members of Thematic Working Groups as well as the agencies/ministries leading the Vision and
NDP11/DDP4/UDP8 processes at national and district level (National Strategy Office, Ministry of
Finance and Development Planning and Ministry of Local Government and Rural Development), the
private sector, academia and NGOs.
Chapters 2 - 6 address the five priority sectors, respectively: mining, agriculture, energy, tourism and
water. Each chapter follows an identical format with sections discussing: the baseline situation,
development scenarios, a sustainability appraisal of the sector, and conclusions and implications for
national planning.
The baselines profiles describe a range of factors for each sector: the relative importance of the sector
to the economy and national development; policy, legislative and institutional frameworks; the main
resources, products, activities and infrastructure; key sustainability issues; and key statistics.
8
Scenarios are developed for each sector. First, the factors currently driving or likely to drive the
sector in the future are discussed. Then three scenarios are presented for each sector in tabular format,
with assumptions set out:
Baseline scenario (the current situation) – drawing from the baseline profile;
Business as usual scenario – essentially organic growth extrapolating current plans and
trends (i.e. things in the pipeline or likely to happen anyway over the next six years);
High growth scenario – the goal of the draft Vision - identifying how projects and other
activities in the sector are likely to play out over the next 10 years, the reasons, how such
growth can be achieved, and what factors may enhance or impede it.
The scenarios are presented as bulleted factors which can be compared under each scenario column.
Drawing from the baseline profile and scenarios, the main projects and other activities likely to be
implemented over the next 10 years in the sector are listed and, from these, a limited number selected
by workshop participants are then subjected to sustainability appraisal. An overall perspective of the
sustainability of the sector is provided, followed by a sustainability appraisal in tabular format. The
tables analyse how the selected projects and activities are likely to contribute to, or impede, achieving
the goals of the four TWG themes (economy and employment; social upliftment; environment; and
governance, safety and security) . In practice, these themes represent the pillars of sustainable
development. The analysis is presented in bullet format indicating both the positive and negative
impacts of each project or activity on these pillars/themes, and how to either enhance or mitigate
them, respectively. For each sector appraisal, an ‘on balance’ perspective summarises the key pros
and cons of the appraised activities. In addition, the key assumptions are indicated –factors it is
assumed will pertain and that are needed to achieve a high-growth scenario for Botswana (as
envisaged in the draft Vision Framework); and the main risks are listed – those that might impede the
listed assumptions or the achievement of high growth. The key synergies and antagonisms within and
between sectors are also discussed.
Chapter 7 deals with cross-sector linkages and cross-cutting issues, including infrastructure, HIV
and AIDS, rural policies, land tenure and transboundary issues. In planning for, and investing in,
Botswana’s future development, it will be important to identify these linkages between sectors to help
indicate where there is a need to work together to, for example:
promote and enhance outcomes beneficial to linked sectors;
avoid or minimise developments in a sector that could impact negatively on other sectors or
inadvertently undermine or impede development policies or initiatives in other sectors;
analyse issues of mutual concern;
address common or interacting concerns;
jointly promote solutions to challenges;
engage in integrated planning.
The report highlights a number of institutional shortcomings in the current arrangements, which
include:
gaps and overlaps in environmental policy formulation;
inadequate coordination , integration of activities and appropriate land use zonation (so there is a
need for consistent policies, planning, implementation and monitoring) (Box 7.1);
limited monitoring and response capability;
insufficient coordination;
lack of capacity to resolve differences; and
inadequate response capability.
Chapter 8 sets out a number of overall conclusions and makes some recommendations. Key ones
include:
A significant effort is need to raise awareness amongst stakeholders (government, private sector
and civil society) at all levels in Botswana about what sustainable development is, how it can be
9
realised, and the roles and responsibilities of stakeholders.
The new Vision and NDP11 will need to be linked effectively to the preparation of new district,
urban and village development plans as well as regional and local physical/spatial development
plans. The Vision should provide a platform for successive five-year national development plans
(NDPs) to set out medium-term actions to drive Botswana towards achieving its goals.
As Botswana seeks to move beyond Middle Income Country status, it will need to more directly
address poverty, social concerns and inequalities, create decent jobs and sustainable growth, and
put in place measures to counter environmental decline (loss of ecosystem services, biodiversity
and natural capital), and invest in sound environmental management. Meeting these challenges is
central to transitioning to sustainable development.
The Vision Beyond 2016 needs to place sustainable development at its core and as an umbrella
objective if it is to realise prosperity for all Botswana’s citizens. Furthermore, NDP11 really needs
to be positioned as a transitional NDP with budget resources allocated to undertake key processes
(eg undertaking sustainability assessments of major sectoral initiatives) and for establishing the
processes and institutional arrangements to promote sustainable development across government
and so as to engage the private sector and civil society in a partnership with government.
Botswana will need to consider how it might align its long-term aspirations (to be set out in
Vision Beyond 2016) and development frameworks with the new global framework being
developed for the medium- to long-term in order better to pursue a pathway towards sustainable
development, and how the new Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) might be ‘domesticated’
in an appropriate and meaningful way to support development.
The development of a National Framework for Sustainable Development should be developed in
synergy with the new Vision Beyond 2016 and NDP11, aiming to ensure sustainable development
is integrated fully in both processes and across sectors.
Highlight points for the five priority sectors include:
o Mining - proposed activities have significant environmental impacts (land degradation,
habitat alteration, biodiversity loss), and social impacts (community disruption, HIV and
AIDS) that need to be avoided and/or mitigated.
o Agriculture - makes a modest contribution to GDP but plays a vital role (particularly
subsistence agriculture) in underpinning rural livelihoods, providing food, income and
employment for the majority of the rural dwellers. It is highly vulnerable to climate
change and requires very careful planning. The proposal to develop large-scale irrigated
agriculture in north-east Botswana is likely to have significant negative consequences –
both social (e.g. involuntary resettlement, social disruption, spread of HIV and AIDS) and
environmental (e.g. habitat loss, wildlife displacement, pollution).
o Energy - Botswana needs to move to a more diverse energy mix, seeking a greater
contribution from, and a gradual transition to, renewable energy sources.
o Tourism - Botswana needs to improve standards, and upgrade and diversify products,
services and facilities to be competitive in the region and globally.
o Water - is critical to an arid country like Botswana. Surface water sources are essentially
limited to shared rivers and underground water sources are being over-extracted. Mining
and industrial developments will place added pressure on public water supply. Plans to
expand irrigation, whilst beneficial in terms of food security, are vulnerable to climate
variability and likely to result in a range of significant environment and social negative
impacts. Water saving should be the norm.
Independent sustainability assessments should be budgeted for and commissioned (using
Botswana’s strategic environmental assessment (SEA) regulations as the framework) for key
10
activities and initiatives in the priority sectors – to address cumulative impacts (positive ones – so
as to identify how best to enhance possible synergies; and negative ones – so as to maximise
efforts at mitigation), eg
o for clusters of mining developments;
o the NE area of Botswana near Pandamatenga where extensive new irrigation is planned;
o large-scale transboundary tourism initiatives (linked to transboundary conservation);
o the entire water sector – given that this resource is critical to Bostwana.
Other sections include references and several appendices: participants in workshops, supplementary
baseline information for each sector and on Botswana’s infrastructure, and definitions of terms used in
this report.
11
1: INTRODUCTION
1.1: Background
1.1.1 Anchoring the Vision Beyond 2016 and NDP11 on sustainable development principles and
goals
UNDP is supporting the Government of Botswana to integrate sustainable development into the
process of developing Botswana’s Vision Beyond 2016 and NDP11, effectively providing a bridge
between the two processes. The aim is to ensure that the new Vision is anchored on the principles of
development, and that sustainable development is the leading goal and foundation of NDP11,
enabling it to be the transitional process to a sustainable development pathway on which subsequent
NDPs will build.
This support commenced as part of the process of formulating Botswana’s National Strategy for
Sustainable Development, facilitated by the Ministry of Environment Wildlife and Tourism (MEWT),
which recognises the Vision and NDPs as critical frameworks for putting sustainability at the heart of
the country’s development. This led to technical activities intended to infuse sustainable development
into NDP11, including awareness- and capacity-building of the national and district level structures
involved in formulating the development plans. Specifically, a workshop for District Planners was
organised on 18-20 November 2014, and Technical Sessions were organised with each of the four
Thematic Working Groups (TWGs) and a cross-TWG session during 21-27 November 2014.
A new Vision post 2016 is now being developed, which will inform NDP11. A long term Vision that
sets and promotes sustainability at its core value will provide a framework that will enable NDP11
and future NDPs also to integrate sustainability as their leading goal and foundation.
To provide technical inputs on sustainable development into the Vision process, UNDP has provided
support for a process to appraise the sustainable development elements and interactions of key priority
sectors that are likely to be central to the new Vision (which will guide the orientation of NDP11), and
determine how they are likely to contribute to the goal of sustainable development and achievement of
Vision priorities. The steps in this process are described in Section 2.
When sustainable development is fully integrated as the underlying foundation and approach to
development in the new Vision, NDP11 and DDP8/UDP4, the uptake and implementation of the
National Framework and Strategy for Sustainable Development (currently being developed) will be
assured and will have broader impact on the quality of development.
Work related to this sustainability appraisal process has also been funded by UNDP with national
experts in key sectors, the government’s Thematic Working Groups (focused on: economy and
employment; social upliftment; environment; and governance, safety and security), and district/urban
planners. In this work, a consistent conclusion reached by all of these actors is that sustainable
development must be highly visible as a chapeau goal of both the vision and NDP11 if meaningful
progress is to be made in identifying and successfully implementing the right measures to achieve this
goal. For this reason, it is strongly argued that the overall goal of Vision Beyond 2016 must be more
than the laudable “prosperity for all” - as proposed in the draft Framework for a Long-Term Vision
(version dated 27 October 2014). Rather the overall goal should be underpinned by “sustainable
development” for lasting prosperity across all generations.
Furthermore, achieving this objective and other aspirations of the Vision will require deliberative
action to also invest in sound environmental management, to ensure that ecological services and
natural capital are safeguarded. Sustainable development requires that environmental concerns, social
12
issues and economic growth are given equal consideration and balanced where possible; and where
balance is not possible, trade-offs between them will have to be negotiated and managed.
The draft Framework focuses on export-led growth and job creation and also envisages that a number
of priority development clusters (based on key sectors) will succeed on the basis of comparative
advantages in the regional and global context. A formulation that captures sustainability at the core of
the Vision would entail that the key drivers (the priority clusters and export-led growth) are pursued
in a sustainable manner. The draft Framework also proposes to manage trade-offs between income
and environment to achieve green growth (an element of sustainable development).
The priorities and key sectors selected for this initial suite of sustainability appraisals are mining,
agriculture, energy, tourism and water. As the Vision process proceeds and its contents and priorities
are articulated more clearly, additional sustainability appraisals could be undertaken.
1.1.2 Progress towards mainstreaming sustainable development and new challenges
Some progress has already been made. At the commencement of the NDP11 formulation process in
2014, the Initiating Note stated clearly that sustainable development would be its leading goal and
foundation. Botswana’s commitment to sustainable development is evident in a range of initiatives
that the country has pursued over many years. Of particular note is the country being selected to
spearhead implementation of the Gaborone Declaration for Sustainability in Africa (GDSA) (see:
http://www.gaboronedeclaration.com/) agreed by 10 Africa Heads of State in May 2012, and provide
a Secretariat for this purpose.
Botswana has an impressive history of development planning at national and local levels. The new
Vision and NDP11 will need to link effectively to the preparation of new district, urban and village
development plans as well as regional and local physical/spatial development plans. The country has
also followed prudent fiscal policies that have made wise use of revenues from a narrow natural
resource base to develop other sectors. All of these planning instruments and policies have supported
Botswana’s transition from a poor to an upper middle income country (MIC). They are also linked to
the country achieving global recognition for its good governance structures and utilisation of natural
capital to address poverty.
The challenge now is for Botswana to move beyond the MIC stage and, in the process, address
poverty, social concerns and inequalities, environmental decline (loss of ecosystems, habitats,
wildlife, land resources, etc.), and create decent jobs and sustainable growth. This challenge is central
to the concept of sustainable development, and can best be faced by taking a national development
approach that puts sustainability at the centre.
1.1.3 Realising the post-2015 Framework in Botswana
Whilst Botswana is charting its own future through a new Vision, the international community is also
in the process of shaping a new development agenda (the Post-2015 Framework) which will include
the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) being replaced by the Sustainable Development Goals
(SDGs) at the end of 2015. Botswana is participating actively in this international process. Botswana
will need to consider how it might align its long-term aspirations and development frameworks with
the new global framework being developed for the medium- to long-term. This will enable it better to
pursue a pathway towards sustainable development, and address how the SGDs might be
‘domesticated’ in an appropriate and meaningful way to support development. In turn, this will make
it easier to implement and report on global requirements at the same time that the country is
implementing and reporting on its own development agenda. In other words, it will avoid the
duplication of efforts that often arise from parallel systems established to address local and
international requirements. It will also put Botswana at the forefront of the emerging post-2015
13
development agenda so that, by the time the Post-2015 Framework is in place, Botswana will be well
placed to move forward quickly and effectively. Thus, as the Vision Beyond 2016 and NDP11
processes progress, sustainable development issues and the Post-2015 Framework will be brought
clearly to the attention of a wider range of stakeholders in Botswana.
1.1.4 Aim of this report
This report sets out the rationale and approach for undertaking sustainability appraisals of (a) selected
key sectoral elements of the draft Framework for a Long-Term Vision and of the activities it
advocates and (b) those activities which may be included in NDP11 (eg policy commitments,
development projects, institutional and regulatory arrangements, investments, etc.) or subsequent
NDPs. It analyses how these are likely to support or inhibit progress towards sustainable
development.
There is much mention of sustainable development in Botswana, and indeed in all countries, in
speeches, the media and documents. But it is evident that many people do not have a clear
understanding of what is meant by sustainable development or how it is relevant to their work,
responsibilities and lives. So the next section discusses the concept and its implications. It provides a
platform for section 1.3 which sets out what sustainability appraisal is and how it was carried out in
this exercise.
Overall, the report aims to act as a sourcebook or guide to addressing sustainable development for all
those agencies and individuals engaged in developing and implementing the Vision Beyond 2016,
NDP11 and subsequent National Development Plans, sector-based policies and plans, as well as
district development plans.
1.2 What is sustainable development?
Sustainable development has been defined in many ways, but the most frequently quoted definition is
from Our Common Future, the report of the World Commission on Environment and Development
(also known as the Brundtland report) WCED 1987):
"Sustainable development is development that meets the needs of the present without compromising the
ability of future generations to meet their own needs”
It contains within it two key concepts:
the concept of needs, in particular the essential needs of the world's poor, to which overriding
priority should be given; and
the idea of limitations imposed by the state of technology and social organization on the
environment's ability to meet present and future needs.
All definitions of sustainable development require that we see the world as a system—a system that
connects both space and time: air pollution from South Africa affects air quality in Botswana; the
decisions our grandparents made about how to farm the land continue to affect agricultural practice
today; and economic policies endorsed today will impact on urban poverty in the future.
Quality of life is also a system, too. It's good to be physically healthy, but what if you are poor and
don't have access to education? It's good to have a secure income, but what if the air where you live is
unclean? And it's good to have freedom of religious expression, but what if you can't feed your
family?
14
The concept of sustainable development is rooted in this sort of systems thinking. It helps us
understand ourselves and our world. The problems we face are complex and serious—and we can't
address them in the same way we created them. But we can avoid them.
Under such systems thinking, sustainable development is often depicted as addressing three key
pillars of development: economic, social and environmental (and sometimes a fourth pillar for
governance or institutional arrangements) - balancing the objectives we set for each pillar, and where
such balance is not possible, negotiating trade-offs between them; and acting at multiple levels:
global, national and local (Figure 1.1). But there is a danger that the system will operate ineffectively
(as regards sustainability) - or even collapse - if we ignore one of the three key pillars (Figure 1.2).
Figure 1.1: Sustainable development: interlocking objectives
Figure 1.2: Beware upsetting the balance
15
Sustainable development cannot be delivered by government alone. It will also require the active and
committed engagement of the private sector and civil society. Each will have a distinct role to play,
and each will need to understand and act on its responsibilities. Figure 1.3 illustrates how these actors
– the development triad – interact.
Figure 1.3: The development triad
1.3 What is sustainability appraisal and methodology
In this report, the term sustainability appraisal is used to mean a planning and decision support tool
used to analyse the social, economic, environmental and governance dimensions of development in an
integrated manner to inform the formulation of policies, programs and plans and the development
projects that may flow from them.
There is no single accepted international definition of sustainability appraisal or sustainability
assessment, and no common approach. The term is variously applied for both generic and specific
approaches. But it is particularly valuable when used as a mainstream tool to proactively assess the
impact of proposed actions. As a decision support tool, sustainability appraisal provides a means of
specific input and a potential vector for effecting longer term policy change (as well as informing the
wider discourse on critical issues). This ex ante approach is often undertaken through existing, formal
processes such as impact assessment or land use planning. It can be defined as any process that
provides for (a) some form of integrated analysis of the economic, environmental and social aspects
of development actions, and (b) an evaluation of their effects with regard to agreed aims, principles or
criteria of sustainable development (Dalal-Clayton and Sadler 2014).
Used in this way, sustainability appraisal (SA) has an important role in informing the Vision Beyond
2016 and NDP11 process, and helping to deliver more sustainable development outcomes. SA
provides a mechanism to indicate whether the key long-term focuses of the draft Framework for a
Long-Term Vision (particularly the priority sectors identified to drive development), and the goals set
for them, can be driven forward in a way that balances environmental, social and economic objectives
wherever possible; and to indicate whether there are likely synergies that can be built up (invested in)
16
to deliver sustainable development objectives more effectively. SA also aims to identify potential
antagonisms/conflicts between draft Vision goals so that they may be considered before finalising the
Vision, and to indicate where trade–offs between objectives will need to be addressed (negotiated). NDP11 and district and urban plans will be developed as the implementation mechanism for the
Vision. At these more specific and medium-term levels, SA enables the specific economic,
environmental and social aspects of development actions proposed in these plans to be assessed and
evaluated in terms of their likely contribution to sustainable development. Specifically, in the work
described in this report, SA has been used to test how the major activities or initiatives for priority
sectors – as indicated in the draft Framework for a Long-Term Vision for Botswana (27 October
2015) or as identified during sector scenario workshops - are likely contribute to the four TWG
themes (themselves equivalent to the pillars of sustainable development).
Whilst having some aspects that are in common with EIA (ie identifying environmental impacts), SA
as applied in this report is quite different. It is not applied at the micro level of a specific project but at
a strategic and planning level (see Figure 1.4). Whilst some activities being proposed for NDP11 are
sometimes termed projects, they are, in practice, major strategic interventions, with considerable
spatial extent or likely to encompass multiple actions or activities. EIA focuses dominantly on
environmental issues and increasingly (as in Botswana) also covers social concerns, although they
tend to be addressed in parallel rather than being inter-linked. In comparison, sustainability appraisal
is, by definition, concerned with integrating social, economic, environmental and other (particularly
institutional and governance) concerns.
Figure 1.4: Hierarchy of Sustainability appraisal and EIA as applied in this case
The sustainability appraisal process reported here shows how the elements of the draft Framework for
a Long-Term Vision and anticipated NDP11 activities are likely to support or inhibit progress towards
sustainable development. It will help to ensure that the Vision is well founded and provides balanced
and integrated elements that can work together to drive sustainable development. But the work done
to date is not sufficient. The process to develop the Vision, NDP11 and district/urban plans will
require more effort to undertake a broader suite of focused SAs across all the elements of these
instruments, using similar integrated and interactive analyses and involving multi-stakeholder inputs.
Policy
Plan
Programme
Strategic-Level
Sustainability
Appraisal
Environmental
Impact Assessment Projects
17
1.3.1 Schedule of steps followed in this study/process
The draft Framework for a Long-Term Vision for Botswana (27 October 2015) envisages that five
priority sectors will underpin economic development over the coming 25 years: mining, agriculture
(particularly livestock), tourism, energy and water. This appraisal focuses on these sectors. But
ensuring sustainable development will require that many other aspects are also addressed, eg
production and consumption patterns, settlement patterns. The steps followed in this work were
aligned to the logic presented in the draft Framework for the Long Term Vision beyond 2016
(Figure.1.5)
Figure 1.5: Situating sustainable development appraisal in the Vision strategy and NDP11
development process
The process of undertaking this sustainability appraisal for the five key sectors involved the following
steps:
Dec 2014: Analysis of the draft Framework for a Long-Term Vision for Botswana (version
dated 27 October 2014) to identify objectives, goals and projected development initiatives for the
five key sectors.
Dec 2014 – Jan 2015: Desk analysis for each sector focused on policies/regulations and their key
thrusts and requirements, and identification of key baseline data sourced from available
documents – to produce sector baseline profiles.
February 2015: Analysis the draft Vision Beyond 2016 (version dated 27 October) to identify the
key goals, objectives and initiatives set out for each sector.
2 - 6 February 2015: Facilitated scenario workshops (1 day per sector) involving invited experts
(from government, private sector, academia and NGOs) to develop scenarios (baseline; low
growth or business-as-usual; and high growth) to illustrate how each sector might play out over
18
the forthcoming decade and the likely key thrusts, developments/initiatives or projects. The main
elements of the scenarios for each sector are described later.
22-30 February 2015: Facilitated sustainability appraisal workshops (1 day per sector) involving
invited experts (from government, private sector, academia and NGOs) (the methodology is
elaborated below)
March-June 2015: Synthesis and preparation of final report.
For each scenario and SA workshop, invited experts participated in their personal capacity as sector
experts. They were drawn from members of Thematic Working Groups as well as the
agencies/ministries leading the Vision and NDP11/DDP4/UDP8 processes at national and district
levels (National Strategy Office, Ministry of Finance and Development Planning and Ministry of
Local Government and Rural Development), the private sector, academia and NGOs. Participants
attending the scenario and SA workshops are listed in Appendices 1 and 2, respectively.
Working group brainstorming on development linkages Sustainability appraisal workshop
The key tasks for the scenario and SA workshops are listed in Box 1.1
19
Box 1.1: Key tasks for scenario and sustainability appraisal workshops
Scenario workshops
Scenario planning (also called scenario thinking/analysis) is a method for thinking systematically about and
understanding the nature and impact of the most uncertain and important driving forces affecting our future. It
is a flexible and adaptable group process to encourage knowledge exchange and development of mutual
understanding of central issues important to sustainable development. As applied in the workshops,
participants undertook the following specific tasks:
1. Verification of baseline profiles (baseline scenarios).
2. Identification of the main external and internal (to Botswana) sector drivers - key factors likely to
influence or shape the development of the sector in the short-medium term, the associated forces and
dynamics, and any assumptions. The environmental, social, economic and other drivers were captured as
bullets (see, for example Tables 3.1 for mining and 3.1 for agriculture).
3. Assessment of how each priority sector is likely to play out over the next 10 years and what activities
(policy changes, plans, programmes or initiatives/projects) are proposed or likely to happen in order to
realise two scenarios:
(a) business as usual – essentially organic growth extrapolating current plans and trends (i.e. things in
the pipeline or likely to happen anyway)
(b) high growth – the goal of the draft Vision - identifying the reasons, how such growth can be
achieved, and what factors may enhance or impede it.
A range of assumptions that would characterise each scenario was identified (eg continuing peace and
stability, a particular policy fully implemented). The likely status of activities and developments for each
scenario were recorded in bullet format in analysis tables (eg number of mines, types/numbers of
infrastructure/businesses) with an indication of trend (eg factor increasing/decreasing or
improving/deteriorating) or change in dimension (eg estimated number, percentage increase). See, for
example, Tables 2.2 for mining and 3.2 for agriculture.
Sustainability appraisal workshops - at each sector workshop:
4. Review and of the sector scenario, development initiatives/activities associated with the scenario and
objectives/goals and projected initiatives identified for the sector in the draft Framework for a Long-Term
Vision for Botswana (27 October 2015); followed by selection of key activities (initiatives/projects) likely
to be implemented during next decade for subjecting to sustainability appraisal
5. Identification of key issues and criteria that may be significant in determining the contribution of activities
to the four TWG themes (economy and employment, social upliftment, environment, or governance,
safety and security) – these to be used as prompts during sustainability appraisal. The final set applied are
listed in Table 1.1.
6. Consideration of how the selected key activities are likely to play out over the next decade and assessment
of how they will contribute to the four TWG themes positively (and how to enhance this) or negatively
(and what mitigation measures are required); and identification of assumptions and risks.
7. Consideration of where there may be synergies between the activities likely to be undertaken by the sector
and those of other sectors (and how to enhance these); or where there may be antagonisms (and how to
limit/mitigate these).
8. Agreement on an ‘on balance’ perception of the sustainability of likely developments in the sector during
the next decade.
Table 1.2 shows the framework used for the above appraisal.
20
Table 1.1: Key considerations/issues for assessing the contribution of activities to TWG themes
TWG theme Key considerations/issues
Economy and
employment
• Profitability and economic viability (IRR more than 10%)
• Potential to encourage investment, technology transfer and innovation
• Potential to develop alternative sources of economic growth and promote
diversification
• Contribution to GDP (after considering full cost accounting)
• Contribution to import substitution [some antagonisms]
• Contribution to a competitive/efficient economy
• Contribution to inclusive (equitable) economic growth
• Potential to earn foreign exchange
• Contribution to export-led growth
• Potential to catalyse infrastructure development
• Productivity and technology innovation and transfer
• Potential to enhance private sector activity
• Potential to create employment – primarily for Batswana
• Generation of decent direct/indirect jobs (decent means: fair conditions,
reasonable pay and hours, social security, opportunity for growth, etc.);
• Generation of significant multiplier effects;
• Provision of opportunities for entrepreneurship.
• Contribution to a green economy approach
Social
upliftment
• Health (including in workplace), HIV/AIDS, life expectancy, and health service
delivery
• Skills and education, and opportunities for training
• Potential to contribute to corporate social responsibility (CSR) activities
• Contribution to poverty reduction
• Opportunities for gender inclusion
• Resettlement
• Social security and wellbeing
• Contribution to diversified livelihood options
• Access to services and amenities, including recreational opportunities
• Social disruption (eg resettlement)
• Social equity and individual/community identity and cohesion
• Contribution of local knowledge and societal values
• Contribution to social integrity (eg family unity)
• Potential to support social identity and engagement
• Consistency with upholding basic human rights
• Generates opportunities for youth employment and entrepreneurship
Environment • Carbon footprint (contribution to climate change) and potential to release greenhouse
gases
• Suitability/resilience with respect to climate variability/change
• Demand for water (from surface or groundwater sources); or potential to enhance
water security
• Pollution (of air, water or land)
• Land degradation (soil erosion, deforestation, overgrazing, etc)
• Important habitat/ecosystems or biodiversity
• Ecosystem services
• Efficiency of land or natural resource use
• Implementation of global environmental agreements (eg on climate, forests &
desertification) [and Gaborone Declaration = a cross-cut commitment/not just
environment]
Governance,
safety and
security
• Democracy, justice and the rule of law
• Self-reliance and unity
• Public participation in decision-making
• Equality and contribution to GINI coefficient (measures the degree of inequality in the
distribution of family income in a country)
21
• Intergenerational equity
• Transparency (including accountability), in governance and decision-making, public
participation (dialogue, negotiation and representation), and effective communication
• Strength of institutions
• International integration/cooperation with rest of world/neighbours
• Effectiveness and efficiency of implementing policies and programmes
• Food, water or energy security
• Monitoring and evaluation of progress
• Corruption
• Crime and conflicts, and safety and security
Table 1.2: Framework for sustainability appraisal
Activity:
On balance perspective [summary conclusion of pros and cons]
Synergies – within and between sectors:
Antagonisms - within and between sectors:
Assumptions & risks:
Economy & employment Social upliftment Environment Governance, safety &
security
Positive impacts
How to enhance
Positive impacts
How to enhance
Positive impacts
How to enhance
Positive impacts
How to enhance
Negative impacts
How to avoid/mitigate
Negative impacts
How to avoid/mitigate
Negative impacts
How to avoid/mitigate
Negative impacts
How to avoid/mitigate
Notes to Framework
1. Activity: Developments that are proposed or likely to happen within the sector, eg implementation of policy
commitments, plans, programmes or initiatives/projects. Sector workshop participants identified the key
likely activities based on information in the sector baseline profiles and round table discussions. They
included activities identified in documents related to the Vision Beyond 2016 or NDP11 or that have been
suggested/proposed in sector policies, strategies and plans or by private developers/investors, or identified
by participants during the workshop. The list of activities generated was not exhaustive but covered the
main likely ones (see for example, section 2.3.1 for mining and 3.3.1 for agriculture). For each sector list, a
small number of activities were selected by group agreement to be subjected to sustainability appraisal –
based on what could realistically be dealt with in the available time, and to represent the main likely sector
developments. The aim of the appraisal was to be indicative and illustrate how the process works, and to
highlight key outcomes that are likely to determine sustainability. It must be acknowledged, therefore, that
more work of this nature will be required when developing the new Vision and NDP11 to complete the
process and provide a full appraisal for each sector.
2. On Balance perspective: An overall statement that summarises the key pros and cons of the appraised
activities in terms of their likely contribution to sustainable development. It provides the decision maker or
planner with an executive summary of the key points.
3. Assumptions and risks: Assumptions refer to conditions or situations that it is assumed will pertain that are
needed to achieve a high-growth scenario for Botswana (as envisaged in the draft Framework for a Long-
Term Vision). Risks are those that might impede the listed assumptions or the achievement of high growth.
4. The four themes (economy and employment; social upliftment; environment; governance, safety and
security): these are the focus of the Thematic Working Groups established by government and, in practice,
represent the pillars of sustainable development. 5. Completing the appraisals: Each sector SA table was populated during round table brainstorming by
annotating it on-screen, mainly in bullet format, with rolling editing to achieve consensus. Drafts of this
report were provided to all participants for feedback and correction.
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2: MINING SECTOR
2.1 Baseline situation in the mining sector
2.1.1 Relative importance to economy and national development
The mining sector continues to be the backbone of Botswana’s economy, despite efforts to diversify.
It is still, by some measures, the largest contributor to gross domestic product (GDP), generates the
majority of export earnings, and makes a major contribution to government revenues:
o Mining % of GDP 25%
o Minerals % of government revenues 41%
o Minerals % of merchandise export revenues 86%
o Merchandise export revenues % GDP 41%
Government revenues from minerals appear to have peaked (relative to GDP and to overall revenues);
and, in the past two years, minerals have no longer been the largest contributor to government
revenues. The share of GDP contributed by the mining sector has been in decline, and - depending on
the measure used - may no longer be the largest economic sector. The main reasons for this declining
economic role are:
The diamond mining industry, which is the largest contributor to mining, has reached maturity;
production (in terms of carats) peaked in the mid-2000s and has since declined;
The global financial crisis of 2007–9 and its aftermath led to a sharp reduction in demand for
diamonds, lower prices for copper and nickel, and delays in some planned mining investments;
Economic diversification policies have succeeded, as a result of which the non-mining sector has
experienced rapid growth.
2.1.2 Policy and legislative framework
The GoBs main objective is to continue getting the maximum economic benefits from the mining and
minerals sector for the nation while enabling private investors to earn competitive returns.
Government policy encourages prospecting and new mine development, and it promotes opportunities
for linkages to the rest of the economy to expand value-added activities, especially through
downstream processing of minerals, where this is commercially viable (see Appendix 3, Table A3.1).
The Keynote Paper prepared for the Ninth National Development Plan (NDP9) identified the urgent
need for Botswana to develop environmental quality and emission standards, and NDP9 set this a task
under the Ministry of Health. Although, non-numerical air quality regulations are found in the
Atmospheric Pollution (Prevention) Act of 1998, it is expected that WHO standards for air quality
will be used as a reference until local standards are adopted. At present, Botswana also has no
numerical noise standards nor waste disposal standards. Again, it is expected that WHO standards
will be used as a reference until local standards are adopted – these were expected to be included in
the NDP10 process. Non-numerical waste disposal regulations are contained in the Waste
Management Act of 1998 and in the Guidelines for Disposal of Waste by Landfill (SAIEA 2011).
2.1.3 Institutional framework
The Ministry of Mineral Resources and Water Resources consists of five departments and
two divisions: Department of Water Affairs, Department of Mines, Department of Geological Survey,
Department of Ministry Management, Minerals Affairs Division and the Energy Division. The role of
this ministry is to promote, regulate and assist as well as collect, synthesise and disseminate mining
and mineral related information.
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2.1.4 Mineral resources
Botswana currently produces the following major minerals: diamonds, copper, nickel, cobalt, soda
ash, salt, coal, gold and silver. Of these, diamond production is by far the most significant, both
domestically and globally, accounting for the bulk of value added by the mining sector and of mineral
export earnings.
Diamond production started in 1970, reaching a peak of 34 million carats (mcts) in 2006. Production
was cut back significantly (to 18 mcts) in 2009 during the global financial crisis, but has since
recovered somewhat and varied between 21 and 23 mcts during 2010-2012. Diamonds are produced
by two large mines (Jwaneng and Orapa) and three smaller mines (Letlhakane, Damtshaa and
Karowe, all located in the Orapa area) - all open pit operations. All mines, except for Karowe, are
operated by Debswana (a joint venture between the GoB and De Beers), while Karowe is operated by
Lucara Diamond Corporation. A new mine (Ghagoo) is due to open shortly; this will be Botswana’s
first underground diamond mine. Previously, all diamonds were exported in rough form, but, in 2013,
De Beers’ global sales operations relocated from the UK to Botswana which is developing as a global
diamond marketing hub.
Orapa diamond mine
The production of base metals (copper-nickel) also started in the early 1970s. There are four
companies and five mines in operation: Selebi-Phikwe (operated by BCL), Phoenix (Tati Nickel),
Mowana and Thakadu (African Copper), and Boseto (Discovery Metals). Selebi-Phikwe is an
underground mine, while the other three are open pit operations. BCL operates a smelter at Selebi-
Phikwe which processes concentrate from the mines and produces semi-refined copper-nickel matte
which is exported for final refining elsewhere. Nickel production has been declining in recent years,
as reserves have been worked out, while copper mining has been increasing as new mines have
opened. Small quantities of cobalt and silver also are produced. Despite the decline in nickel
production, it accounts for the majority of the value of Botswana’s base metals output.
Tsodilo Resources recently inferred that there is an iron-ore deposit of 441m tonnes west of the
‘panhandle’ of Botswana’s Okavango Delta, a recently declared World Heritage Site. The Block 1
deposit contains high-grade ore, worth an estimated US$ 14bn at current prices. The company
estimates a potential 5 to 7 billion recoverable tonnes in Block 2 (a much larger area still under
exploration). Despite the currently declining iron-ore price, there are no iron-ore substitutes for
producing steel, which means that long-run demand is likely to remain robust.
Soda ash and salt are produced from brine deposits located at the Makgadikgadi salt pans, through an
evaporation process. During the past seven years, the production of soda ash averaged 250,000 metric
tons a year, while salt averaged 280,000 metric tons a year. Apart from small quantities of salt sold
24
domestically, all of the production is exported. Botswana is the fourth largest producer of natural soda
ash in the world (after the United States, Turkey and Kenya), although it has the second-largest
reserves.
Coal is produced in small quantities, mainly for domestic consumption, with the main usage being for
power generation. Historical production has been just under 1 million metric tons per annum (mtpa),
from a single mine at Morupule, although output has now risen to 2–3 mtpa to supply a new coal-fired
power station. Nevertheless, output is very low compared to reserves that have been estimated at
around 40 billion metric tons and total reserves of more than 200 billion metric tons.
Gold has been mined in northeast Botswana intermittently for several hundred years, although at
present there is only one mine in operation (Mupane), which commenced production in 2005.
Production is relatively low, less than 2000 kilograms a year, and is declining as reserves are depleted.
2.1.5 Prospecting and mining trends
Figure 2.1: Current prospecting licenses
Diamonds: Diamond mining in Botswana is ‘mature’. The mainstay of Botswana’s diamond
production, the large Debswana mines at Orapa and Jwaneng, can keep producing on the basis of
current investments for another 10–15 years. However, there are reserves that can be exploited
beyond this time (perhaps to 2050), although this will require significant investments to deepen and
25
broaden the pits, or to go underground. With an anticipated upward trend in real diamond prices over
the next two decades, driven by emerging supply-demand imbalances as major deposits are worked
out, such investments should be worthwhile. Nevertheless, production is likely to remain well below
historical peaks of 30-plus mcts a year; and, as production costs rise, the rents generated and mineral
revenues earned by the government are expected to decline as a proportion of gross output value.
Although new mines have opened in recent years, these are much smaller than those at Orapa and
Jwaneng and are more marginal economically. There is extensive prospecting taking place for
diamonds, and although many kimberlites have been discovered, their economic viability is yet to be
established.
Base metals: Botswana’s base metal mines have had mixed fortunes in recent years and have been
adversely affected by low prices (especially for nickel), declining reserves and ore quality (especially
at Tati Nickel), production problems, and difficulties in achieving anticipated ore processing volumes
(especially for African Copper and Discovery Metals). However, it has been established that there are
substantial unexploited base metal deposits around Selebi-Phikwe and in northwest Botswana (the
Ghanzi district and Ngamiland); the latter is thought to be an extension of the Zambian Copperbelt. It
is likely that further base metal mines will open in the coming years, although much depends on the
availability of transport and power infrastructure, as well as commodity price developments.
Uranium: A substantial uranium deposit exists in northeast Botswana, and unlike some of the known
base metals deposits, is well served by existing infrastructure. The deposit is relatively easy to mine,
but depends on a recovery of global uranium prices.
Coal and coal-bed methane (CBM): Probably the main potential for large-scale mining development
in Botswana lies with coal. There is no publicly available survey of Botswana’s coal resources that is
comprehensive and up-to-date. But it is widely agreed that there are extensive deposits spread
throughout much of eastern and central Botswana. A significant ramp-up in production requires an
export market, whether for coal itself or for products derived from coal, such as electricity or
chemicals. Developing a significant coal export market will, in turn, require the provision of dedicated
rail infrastructure to either the east coast of Africa (via Zimbabwe, Mozambique, or South Africa), or
the west coast (Namibia). These are large and expensive projects, and various options are under
consideration. Government support will be vital for such a large-scale infrastructure investment, but
so far, the GoB has not stated which, if any, of these projects it prefers. Mining of coal for export also
has substantial water requirements, for washing, and the availability and cost of sufficient water is
another factor to consider when developing large-scale coal production. There are also substantial
deposits of CBM (similar to shale gas), which could be exploited as an energy source (liquid
petroleum gas), a fuel for power generation, or a chemical feedstock. The viability of exploiting CBM
deposits is under investigation. While there is nothing definitive regarding the likely development of
coal or CBM production, the potential is large, and there should be more clarity over the next 2–3
years regarding development prospects.
2.1.6 Existing environmental impacts
The retrieval of minerals, though surface and open pit mining, affects the environment in multiple
ways (see Appendix 3). The most significant impacts are to water, soil, air and natural habitats (Box
2.1). An additional issue is the current lack of a facility in Botswana for the disposal of radioactive
and hazardous materials.
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2.2 Development scenarios for the mining sector
During a scenario development workshop, a number of drivers were identified as likely to have the
main influence on the development of the mining sector over the coming decade (Table 2.1). These
informed the development of low-growth and high-growth scenarios for this sector over the coming
decade – as mapped in Table 2.2.
Table 2.1: Development drivers for mining sector
SD pillar Drivers
Environmental Climate Change Convention (Uranium) – Annex 1 countries may opt for nuclear
energy to meet their greenhouse gas emission reduction targets
Water
Social Availability and cost of domestic skilled labour (eg engineers, workers in
downstream industries such as cutting and polishing)
Absence of labour unrest
Availability of mining training facilities
Beneficiation (creating downstream jobs is part of the licence conditions for mining
projects)
Economic Taxation – suppressing development of industry
Demand in China and India (and other countries) for coal and iron
Domestic internal requirements (jobs, power)
ESKOM and SAPP demand – for electricity generation
Government desire for economic diversification
Other Competing land uses (eg tourism) (negative driver)
External regulations and norms (eg EU regulations, ICMM standards) - these
influence behaviour (but are not a driver as such)
Politically and socially stability
Consistent bureaucracy (positive driver)
Bureaucratic power (where junior officials are obstructive) (negative driver)
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Table 2.2 Development scenarios for the mining sector over the next 10 years
CURRENT SITUATION
(BASELINE SCENARIO)
BUSINESS-AS-USUAL
(LOW GROWTH +
INFLATION)
[Over next 6 years - within
NDP11 period]
HIGH GROWTH
[Over next 10 years]
Assumptions:
No major policy changes
(within Botswana or
bilaterally)
Increase in mining & coal-
based energy production
Peace & stability prevails
Current policy of jobs for
Batswana prevails
Government provides
incentives for developing &
delivering training courses
suited to mining needs (eg
bursaries and tax incentives)
Electrical grid power is
available to mines
Uranium
No major change in
uranium price
Mothballed mines in region
will reopen
Secondary uranium sources
available
Assumptions:
Increase in mining & coal-based
energy production
Peace & stability prevails
Chinese & Indian economies
continue growing, plus continue
importing coal
SADC power demand continues
to grow
Trans Kalahari Railway (TKR) is
built
Upfront investment is made into
making water available
(particularly surface water: eg
Zambezi)
Upfront investment in:
desalination of groundwater,
improved water demand
management, water efficient
technologies
Electrical grid power is available
to mines
More sustainable and equitable
abstraction of water from shared
rivers is guaranteed through more
effective interventions by shared
river basin commissions, eg
implementing effective
transboundary protocols (eg for
EA), trading water
Government implements a
catchment management approach
for rivers and aquifers
Water resource accounting will
be implemented (and address coal
mining)
Uranium
Uranium back in demand
internationally (price rise)
28
8 diamond mines [11,000
jobs]
copper/nickel mines [8000
jobs]
1 coal mine [460 jobs]
1 gold mine [100 jobs]
1 soda ash mine [300 jobs]
Downstream activities [3000 employed – 90%
Batswana]
Jewelry manufacturing (1)
Diamond cutting &
polishing (21 jobs)
Ancillary businesses (eg
diamond couriers, security,
transport)
Total 22,860 jobs
10 diamond mines (+2)
5 copper/nickel mines (+1)
6 coal mines (+5) [2500
jobs in workings, + 5000
indirect)
1 gold mine
1 soda ash mine
Downstream activities
Jewelry manufacturing (1)
Diamond cutting &
polishing (21 jobs)
Increased diamond sales
through tendering
Ancillary businesses (eg
diamond couriers, security,
transport)
Re-investment in rail rolling
stock (Richards Bay route)
Coal mining equipment
servicing, spares
Increase in industries: fuel
products; services (eg
environmental);
construction;
Increased urbanisation
More airline operators
allowed (industrial visitors)
Total 37,400 jobs
10 diamond mines (+2)
5 copper/nickel mines (+1)
9 coal mines (+8)
1 gold mine
1 soda ash mine
1 Iron ore mine (+1)
1 uranium mine (+1)
Downstream activities
Jewelry manufacturing (1)
Diamond cutting & polishing (21
jobs)
Ancillary businesses (eg diamond
couriers, security, transport) –
driven mainly by coal & iron
Total 39,400 jobs
Uncertainties/threats, key issues, etc
Climate change - water
availability
India/China become Annex 1
countries under UNFCC – so will
not want coal any more
Unemployment/crime
Chinese investment
HIV/AIDS
Access to land/conflicts
Regional conflict (eg over water)
Growing internal tensions:
o mining v tourism
o mining v agriculture
2.2.1 Scenario summary
A scenario in which there is high growth in the mining sector is dependent on continuing demand for
minerals and mining products on the international market, particularly in expanding economies such
as China and India. It requires the efficient export of those products by road or rail. But most existing
regional ports are congested and this has promoted proposals to construct the Trans Kalahari Railway
29
(TKR) to provide a rail link to Walvis Bay in Namibia, mainly for coal exports. Expanded mining will
require electrical energy (whether generated on site or sourced from the grid, and investments to make
water available for mining processes – either through securing surface water from the Zambezi River
(an issue subject to successful abstraction negotiations with other countries sharing the river) or
desalinating groundwater. It will also need improvements in Botswana in water demand management,
following a catchment management approach and the introduction of water efficient technologies and
water resource accounting.
Whilst a few new diamond and other mineral mines are likely to be opened, the main development
will be in coal mining (up to eight new mines) to feed power stations that will provide fuel for
electricity generation and export via the regional grid, and possibly for export in raw form via the
proposed TKR.
In the diamond sector, there is unlikely to be any increase in downstream beneficiation in Botswana,
but a growth in ancillary businesses (eg diamond couriers, security, transport) will be driven mainly
by coal and iron. Expansion in the sector will more than double available jobs (rising from 22,860 at
present to a projected 39,400 over 10 years).
2.3 Sustainability appraisal of the mining sector
2.3.1 Selection of activities for appraisal
Development initiatives/activities associated with the high-growth scenario for mining (see Table 2.2)
and objectives/goals and initiatives projected for the sector in the draft Framework for a Long-Term
Vision for Botswana (27 October 2014) were reviewed. This identified the following activities
(initiatives, projects, policy thrusts, etc) likely to be implemented over the next 10 years:
Upgrade non-diamond mining [Vision]
Increase in mining & coal-based energy production
2 new diamond mines
1 new copper/nickel mine
8 new coal mines
1 new iron ore mine
1 new uranium mine
No major change in ancillary businesses (diamond cutting, polishing, jewelry)
Strengthen the handling capacity of the Customs and the Diamond Office [Vision]
Strengthen the quality and breath of the hospitality services in Gaborone (hotels, restaurants,
cultural activities) [Vision] [also relevant to other sectors]
Strengthen the quality of infrastructure services (airport, local transportation, telecommunication)
[Vision ] [also relevant to other sectors]
Improve the attractiveness of the regulatory environment for mining investors [Vision]
Conduct an independent assessment of deposit attractiveness and potential [Vision]
Develop a targeted investment attractiveness strategy for those resources with the most verified
potential [Vision]
Coordinate with neighbouring countries to improve market access and use of logistical corridors
[Vision]
Develop related services that are currently imported as the mining cluster grows in size [Vision].
Build 2 major rail networks:
o 1,500 km Trans Kalahari Railway to Walvis Bay in Namibia
o 1,100 km link through Zambia and Zimbabwe to Techobanine in Mozambique.
30
The following activity (partly amalgamating initiatives listed above) was selected by participants for
assessment in the sustainability appraisal workshop for the mining sector:
Activity 1: Increase mining and investments through: [Vision] – taken to include the following
initiatives:
Improving the regulatory environment (eg through lower corporate and import taxes and levies,
easier lease and labour conditions).
Conducting independent assessments of deposit attractiveness and potential (eg seismic surveys).
Developing a targeted investment attractiveness strategy for resources with most verified potential
(e.g. investor block bidding).
Intensified prospecting for minerals (State-owned enterprises and private sector – assume ground-
based prospecting).
Additional mines (2 new diamond mines,1 new copper/ nickel mine, 8 new coal mines, 1 new
iron ore mine, 1 uranium mine). Existing mines continue to expand (assume all will be open pit).
Mining of lower value products (eg river sand, quarrying, gypsum, silica, semi precious stones,
etc.) will continue,
Continued operations of ancillary businesses that add to the value chain (diamond cutting,
polishing, jewelry, associated investments).
Strengthening the quality of infrastructure services [Vision] (airport, local transportation,
telecoms) (also relevant to other sectors).
Coordination with neighbouring countries to improve market access and use of logistical corridors
[Vision] (e.g. Trans Kalahari and Techobanine railway lines).
Developing related services that are currently imported as the mining cluster grows in size (e.g.
technical skills, service facilities) [Vision].
Strengthening institutions that administer and regulate the mining sector (eg Customs & Diamond
Office, inspectors, DEA).
Strengthening the quality & breadth of hospitality services in Gaborone (hotels, B&Bs,
restaurants, cultural activities [Vision] (also relevant to other sectors).
2.3.2 Overall perspective on the sustainability of the mining sector
Mining is essential for the growth of Botswana’s economy. Its economic contribution to the nation
can be significantly enhanced by proactive investments (resource mapping, prospecting, infrastructure
improvement), policy reform (levies, taxes, lease conditions), value-adding (downstream
beneficiation) and improved local involvement. But, as in other sectors, it will be necessary to address
the issue of low labour productivity and its high cost. Criticism has been made that planning for the
mining sector is sluggish. There is a need for a more proactive approach to grasp opportunities and
capture new ideas.
The activities proposed for the mining sector have significant environmental impacts (land
degradation, habitat alteration, biodiversity loss), and social impacts (community disruption, HIV and
AIDS) that need to be avoided and/or mitigated. There are also concerns around competition for
scarce resources (e.g. water and energy) and land use conflicts (mining in areas important for
agriculture, conservation and tourism) that could result in serious opportunity costs (Box 2.1).
Box 2.1: Impacts of mining
Water supplies are altered in two ways: quantity and quality. The high water usage during mineral
processing reduces water levels within aquifers. This can cause depletion of springs, which forces water
transportation and deeper boreholes. The reduction of water levels affect both wildlife and domestic usage
(Botswana relies disproportionately on groundwater resources). Although this type of impact stops when
31
mining does, the length of time it takes for levels to recover can be very long in aquifers that have been
‘mined’. Water quality can be affected by drilling, blasting, pits, and mine waste. Processing operations
produce large quantities of waste products that lead to contamination. It generally requires moving huge
quantities of rock and soil, and more than 80 to 90 percent of the original materials moved becomes waste.
Since mining moves large quantities of rock and soil, land impacts are large. These impacts may be
temporary where the mining company returns the rock to the pit from which it was extracted (although this
is rarely done). Many copper mines, for example, extract ore that contains less than 1% copper. For many
non-ferrous metals, virtually all of the mined ore thus becomes waste.
Mining, mineral processing, smelting, and waste disposal are responsible for air quality reduction. Huge
amounts of dust are generated along with gases, tailings, and waste rock. The transportation of dust can
cause reduced visibility, coating of houses, vegetation damage, and numerous health impacts. Mineral
processing (eg smelting) releases large quantities of toxic air particles and gases. Airborne toxins can harm
both workers and the public at some distance from a mine.
An issue often overlooked in development planning for mines, and even in accompanying EIA studies, is the
impacts of projects on human health, especially the spread of HIV and AIDS. A 2003 study in the densely
populated mining town of Selebi-Phikwe, showed an overall prevalence of 52.2%, the highest in the country
(NACA Botswana, 2003). Mining, especially when the mine is in a remote area and/or the mine workers
live in single sex hostels, has shown to bring men into increased contact with multiple partners. Sex work
has become increasingly common around these richer mining towns, at infrastructure construction sites, and
at border crossings, as this offers the best livelihood for some young, poor and vulnerable women. The
influx of immigrant workers (non-Batswana) has exacerbated this activity due to the increased spending
power of the immigrants compared to locals.
Morupule coal mine
Key strategies for improving sustainability include the use of strategic sustainability assessments (in
targeted clusters), environmental and social impact assessment (EIA), environmental management
plans and post-implementation monitoring (for individual mines). Some of these safeguards might
require institutional reforms, such as increased staff and training in government departments, or
increased use (at proponent cost) of consultants to do the work. A key question is what are the most
appropriate arrangements for post-mining closure and rehabilitation, especially regarding the setting
aside of funds for the above.
32
2.3.3 Sustainability appraisal of selected activity
Table 2.3: Sustainability appraisal of selected activity in the mining sector
Activity 1: Increase mining and investments through: (Vision)
improving the regulatory environment (eg through lower corporate and import taxes and levies, easier lease and
labour conditions),
Conducting independent assessments of deposit attractiveness and potential (eg sesimic surveys),
Develop targeted investment attractiveness strategy in resources with most verified potential (e.g. investor
block bidding)
Intensified prospecting for minerals (SOEs and private sector – assume ground-based prospecting)
Additional mines (2 new diamond mines,1 new copper/ nickel mine, 8 new coal mines, 1 new iron ore mine, 1
uranium mine, Existing mines continue to expand (assume all will be open pit). Lower value products (eg river sand,
quarrying, gypsum, silica, semi precious stones, etc.) continue to be mined.
Continued operations of ancillary businesses that add to the value chain (diamond cutting, polishing, jewelry,
associated investments)
Strengthen the quality of infrastructure services [Vision] (airport, local transportation, telecoms) (also relevant to
other sectors)
Coordinate with neighbouring countries to improve market access & use of logistical corridors [Vision] (e.g.
Trans Kalahari and Techobanine railway lines)
Develop related services that are currently imported as the mining cluster grows in size (e.g. technical skills,
service facilities) [Vision]
Strengthen institutions that administer and regulate the mining sector (eg Customs & Diamond Office,
inspectors, DEA)
Strengthen quality & breadth of hospitality services in Gaborone (hotels, B&Bs, restaurants, cultural activities
[Vision] (also relevant to other sectors)
On balance perspectve [summary conclusion of pros and cons)
Botswana needs to continue promoting mining, but should plan soundly and implement environmental and social
safeguards as already required by national legislation (SEA, EIA, EMP). Also, mineral rents need to be invested wisely if
mining is to contribute positively in the context of sustainable development. There are many significant environmental,
social and economic risks that need to be managed carefully, as well as potential opportunity costs (e.g. mining in
important conservation/tourism areas should be avoided since tourism requires a conducive sense of place). Global trends
need to be taken into account in future planning (e.g. coal may be socially undesirable in future because of global warming
concerns).
Synergies within and between sectors
Infrastructure improvments that are sparked by mining (e.g. roads and social services), will benefit other sectors, eg
tourism, as well as society and the economy as a whole. Education and skills development which inherently accompany
mining activities, can similarly be regarded as a national good.
The emergence of new mining areas – often several mines close to each other (mining hubs) - will likely stimulate other
development/investments as opportunities emerge and the economy grows and diversifies, thus stimulating the need for
forward planning at district and local levels.
Antagonisms within and between sectors
As noted above, mining in or near important certain areas needs to be avoided (particularly areas that are highly sensitive,
are important for conservation and tourism, are biodiversity rich, contain important archaeology, or have been designated
as having special global status such as World Heritage or International Wetland sites). Also, mining can conflict with
agriculture if it requires large tracts of land or scarce groundwater, and if pollution threatens the health of rangelands and
livestock.
During prospecting for minerals, field teams usually traverse large areas of farmland, often coming into conflict with
farmers.
Assumptions and risks:
Most neighbouring countries will continue intensifying their mineral sectors. So, in theory, they will compete with
Botswana for markets. Most of the commodities (e.g. diamonds, coal, copper, iron, salt, uranium, gold) occur throughout
the region and, in most cases, commodity prices are currently declining. There is a risk that this will negatively affect the
viability of proposed mining projects – at least in the short term. Another key issue is that skills and technical services in
the country and region are limited, meaning that expertise may be hard or expensive to source. There is also a risk that
countries will unreasonably reduce the need for environmental and social safeguards to be applied in mining ventures in
order to attract investors. Since many environmental and social impacts from mining are transboundary in nature (e.g. air
33
and water pollution, migrant labour, HIV and AIDS), cutting corners in one country may negatively affect a neighbour,
thus compromising neighbour relations.
With regards to coal, it is assumed that SADC countries will still need coal-fired powerstations, but a possible risk is that
the UNFCC will make coal unattractive for power generation in China and India.
Economy & employment Social upliftment Environment Governance, safety &
security
Positive impacts
Increased mining will enhance
GDP and FOREX earnings,
especially as new (non-
diamond) commodities are
exploited
In addition to mining related
income, the sector will
stimulate knock-on enterprises
(e.g. acommodation, food,
cleaning, fuel, shops)
How to enhance
Attract investors through
easier/simpler processes for
obtaining exploration/
operating license/leases and
work permits.
Rationalise levies & taxes on
commodities (currently
biased towards diamonds)
Government investment in
basic infrastructure will
promote mining
Regulatory environment
should differentiate between
small-scale mining (e.g.
quarrying and sand
extraction) and large
operations, given that they
have different risks and
impacts. This will enhance
local ownership of smaller
projects, and thus reduce
capital leakage.
Support beneficiation
through incentives and other
support
Ensure above measures are
linked to Economic
Diversification Drive
Positive impacts
More mines will
deliver jobs and
enhance livelihood
options
How to enhance
Revise settlement
policy in relation to
mining development
hubs (so that even
small villages can
qualify for essential
services)
Mines should
preferentially provide
labour to local residents
Mines should improve
skills through on-the-
job training and
mentoring
See column 1 regarding
improving local
ownership
Positive impacts
None obvious, though
employment may reduce
impacts linked to poverty
Positive impacts
None obvious
Negative impacts
Labour influx (jobs to
foreigners)
If mining occurs in
important tourism or
agriculture areas, it could
result in loss of jobs and
income and limit future
livelihood options.
Negative impacts
Range of impacts:
involuntary
resettlement,
livelihood loss,
Migrant labour likely to
exacerbate crime and
other social ills,
including spread of
STDs (especially HIV
and AIDS).
Loss of the commons
(communal land)
Negative impacts
Range of impacts:
Air, land and water
pollution
land degradation
Reduced biodiversity and
ecosystem services
Unsustainable water use
Exponential increase in
per capita carbon
footprint
Impacts in one country
but benefits in another
Negative impacts
Increased
administrative burden
because of increased
mining
Increased water use
could result in water
conflicts in the
country and region
34
How to mitigate
Avoid locating mines in such
areas.
How to mitigate
Conduct a
sustainability
assessment (SA) of
“mining hub“ (e.g.
Western copperbelt,
NE hub, Mamabula
coal area, central
Kalahari CBM) to
better understand
cumulative impacts and
plan sector and inter-
sectoral co-investment
in avoidance/mitigation
actions
Local hiring
No single-sex hostels
Plan mine closures
carefully to ensure laid-
off staff are reasonably
catered for. The need
and procedures for
closure and
rehabilitation funds
needs more thought.
How to mitigate
See SA in column 2
Integrate SA findings into
project level EIAs, and
for smaller projects,
develop outcomes-based
EMPs
SA for mining hubs
Rationalise water price or
allocation to users
Incentives to use non-
potable & desalinated
water & recycle
Address cumulative
impacts of power
stations, water demand,
etc
Plan mine closures pro-
actively
How to mitigate
Address in proposed
GoB Water
Resources Strategy
See SA in column 2
Improve
administrative
consistency (e.g.
license processing)
Negotiate water
rights (through
SADC Protocol on
Shared Water
Resources).
Increase GoB staff
and/or outsource
inspections to
consultants
Link up with
instruments such as
ISO etc. to improve
implementation of
EMPs
Improve partnerships
between GoB
institutions to enable
more efficient M&E
2.4 Conclusions and implications for national planning
Mining will continue to be the central pillar of the nation’s economy, but there will be only a small
increase in the number of diamond and other mineral mines over the coming years. Indeed the relative
contribution of diamonds to revenues and GDP is now expected to decline and in-country
beneficiation is unlikely to increase. The draft Framework for a Long-Term Vision sees the main
expansion in coal mining to further exploit Botswana’s rich coal reserves. This will enable Botswana
to increase its coal-powered electricity generation and produce an energy surplus for export. This
makes good sense from both an economic and security perspective.
The implications for sustainable development of exporting coal via the proposed Trans Kalahari
Railway (TKR) are complex and require a detailed transboundary sustainability assessment in its own
right and in cooperation with Namibia. It is something the new Vision could signal and that could be
commissioned under NDP11 if TKR construction is envisaged during the next six years. Comparison
should be made with exporting coal vial the rail link through Zambia and Zimbabwe to Techobanine
in Mozambique.
Surface and open pit mining generate multiple environmental and social impacts (see Box 2.1 and
Appendix 3). These include, for example, land degradation, habitat alteration, biodiversity loss,
community disruption, spread of HIV and AIDS. As part of its strategic planning function, guided by
the Vision Beyond 2016, NDP11 will need to take steps to ensure that these aspects of the
sustainability of mining are addressed and that impacts are appropriately managed. In this regard, it is
recommended that the government commits to, and provides funding for, a sustainability assessment
(using the regulations for strategic environmental assessment) of one or more of Botswana’s mineral
hubs (e.g. western copperbelt, NE hub, central Kalahari CBM). This would provide a better
understanding of the cumulative effects of mining, facilitate sector planning on a sustainable basis,
and identify where inter-sectoral co-investment is required for avoidance/mitigation actions. Lessons
can also be drawn from the SEA already underway for the Botswana/RSA coal mining/energy
35
programme. Mining consumes water and energy, so such assessments will need to address concerns
about competition for these scarce resources as well as land use conflicts (where mining is located in
areas important for agriculture, conservation and tourism) that could result in serious opportunity
costs.
The draft Framework for a Long-Term Vision recognises that developments in the mining sector will
require strengthening and improving infrastructure (eg airports, local transportation,
telecommunications) and hospitality services, particularly in Gaborone (hotels, restaurants, cultural
activities). It will also need improving the attractiveness of the regulatory environment for mining
investors and coordinating with neighbouring countries to improve market access and use of logistical
corridors. All of these factors will generate their own implications for sustainable development and
demand strong cross-sectoral coordination, shared analysis of issues, and an integrated approach to
securing mutual benefits and managing negative effects. The need for such an approach needs to be
highlighted by the new Vision and steered by NDP11.
36
3: AGRICULTURE SECTOR
3.1 Baseline situation in the agriculture sector
3.1.1 Relative importance to the economy and national development
The Agricultural sector in Botswana covers both crops and livestock production, but this baseline
summary concentrates mostly on beef as this is the most important component of the sector in the
context of NDP11.
Traditional farming dominates in terms of the numbers of people involved and the geographical
coverage. More than half of Batswana live in rural areas and are dependent on subsistence crop and
livestock farming. Whilst beef is an important sector, particularly for export, small stock (eg goats and
sheep) are more important at the household level.
Herdsman with cattle in kraal enclosure
Most farmers operate on a small-scale, often requiring State assistance and money sent home by
relatives in urban areas for their survival. The share of the agriculture sector’s contribution to
economic growth in Botswana has fallen significantly since independence in 1966. The contribution
of agriculture to national GDP (primarily through beef production) declined from 31% in 1974 to
about 2% in 2011, although this is mainly because of the significantly increased contribution of
mining (particularly diamonds) to GDP rather than a sustained contraction in agricultural production.
However, the agriculture sector is vulnerable to natural climate variability (periodic droughts), and the
effects of anthropogenically-induced climate change, particularly increasing temperatures. Additional
challenges include desertification, increases in veterinary diseases, pests and insect infestations. In
contrast to mining and tourism (which have some comparative advantages and relatively good future
prospects), Botswana's agricultural potential is limited.
3.1.2 Livestock production
Agriculture plays an important role in rural livelihoods in Botswana - providing food, income and
employment for the majority of the rural dwellers, and cattle raising is vital from a social and cultural
perspective. Figure 3.1 shows the current distribution of cattle in the country.
37
Figure 3.1: Current livestock distribution
The number of traditional farmers decreased from 125,017 in 2011 to 121,766 in 2012, while
commercial farmers1 increased from 718 to 894. The highest number of recorded active farmers
(36,896) in the country was in Gaborone region and the lowest (5,963) in the Western region. Cattle
numbers fell from 2.55 million in 2001 to 2.25 million in 2012, whilst the goat population dropped
from 1.77 million to 1.65 million, and sheep from 295,894 to 293,966. Data from 2012 indicate that
69% of farmers keep goats, followed by cattle (62.7%) and sheep (15.1%)2.
Children herding goats
1 The distinction between commercial and subsistence agriculture is regarded by some people as a questionable
classification, as all farmers sell livestock and/or crops for cash, to one extent or other, and all small farmers would like to be
“bigger” and more successful.
2 2012 Annual Agricultural Survey Report (available at:
http://www.cso.gov.bw/templates/cso/file/File/Agriculture%20Main%20Report%202012_Apr%204%202014.pdf
38
In spite of multiple challenges, agriculture has potential for growth. It is also a viable option for
poverty reduction as it is labour intensive and creates employment opportunities, particularly for
unskilled and semi-skilled people.
3.1.3 Arable agriculture
Only about 0.7% of the total land area of Botswana is regarded as being well suited for crop growth
and this mostly takes place on loamy soils in the eastern hardveld (Figure 3.2). The principal crops for
domestic use are sorghum, maize and millet. Smaller quantities of cowpeas, beans, and pulses are also
grown along with other vegetables.
Figure 3.2: Land suitability for arable agriculture
Agricultural statistics from 2011 and 2012 illustrate the vulnerability of arable agriculture to rainfall –
low rainfall was recorded during the 2011/2012 cropping season. Maize is still the predominant crop
in the traditional sector, but the total area planted decreased from 151,489 ha in 2011 to 141,322 ha in
2012 while for sorghum the total area planted fell from 70,209 to 63,018 ha during the same period. In
the commercial sector, a higher percentage of the total area planted is allocated to sorghum than to
maize. In 2011, 6,489 ha was planted under sorghum, increasing to 11,223 ha in 2012; whilst land
under maize increased marginally from 325 ha to 385 ha.
In the commercial sector, yield for sorghum dropped significantly from 4,106 kg/ha in 2011 to 1,476
kg/ha in 2012. Likewise, maize recorded a steep drop from 19,237 kg/ha in 2011 to 590 kg/ha in
39
2012. The traditional sector experienced an increase in sorghum yields from 93 kg/ha to 144 kg/ha
between the 2011 and 2012 cropping seasons. However, for maize the yield decreased from 192 kg/ha
to 53 kg/ha.
The number of farmers with land for ploughing (land holdings) showed a slight decrease from 80,415
in 2011 to 77,935 in 2012 at national level. The area planted fell from 287,278 ha in 2011 to 262,761
ha in 2012 whilst the area actually harvested reduced drastically from 200,672 ha in 2011 to 60,209 in
2012. Food production is highly variable mostly because of climatic factors, often resulting in food
supply shortfalls which require imports mainly from South Africa, Zimbabwe and Namibia.
While there is a need to improve productivity in the arable sector, problematic issues include adverse
climatic conditions, poor technology adaptation, erratic availability of draught power, excessive pests
and disease, inappropriate planting techniques and lack of fertilizer use, all of which lead to poor
production. Hence there is major shortfall in all aspects of food production in Botswana.
All citizens have a constitutional right to apply to government for land for ploughing and horticulture
plots (in addition to cattle posts and residential plots). Applications are processed through the
respective Land Board. Molapo3 fields are not formerly allocated by government but ownership is
recognized within local communities. The lack of legal status means that melapo are not eligible for
government grants or subsidies. Land for irrigable horticultural development (often 5 - 25 ha) is
issued initially through one of the District sub-Land Boards.
Clearing of new lands areas may take place by mechanized means, but often it is undertaken by teams
of men with axes who burn the roots of trees to remove them (de-stumping). Large trees are usually
left in the fields for shade. Under drought conditions, a very small proportion is ploughed (if at all);
whereas under ‘normal’ summer rainy season conditions, a small area is ploughed using donkeys,
oxen or a government tractor. Hence, the actual area under crops fluctuates yearly in response to
rainfall and floodwater availability (see figures above). There is evidence that, in some areas (eg
Ngamiland), there is an increased incidence of field crops being ‘raided’ by elephants, hippos and
cattle (ODRS 2012).
3.1.4 Policy and legislative framework
A range of policies and legislation (see Appendix 4, Table A4.1) are relevant to rural development
and agriculture. Since 1991, agricultural policy has focused on food security rather than self-
sufficiency (see distinction in Box 3.1). The current policy recognises that the previous pursuit of food
self-sufficiency was not compatible with the broader national macro-economic objectives of
efficiency, competitiveness and sustainability. It also recognises that trade plays a critical role in
meeting the country’s food needs.
3 Molapo fields are located close to or in a floodplain or river channel where soils are moistened by seasonal
flooding or the draining of water into low-lying ground, supplemented by rainfall. During the recession of the
floods the fields gradually dry up and strips parallel to the remaining water can be successively planted as the
water recedes.
40
Box 3.1: Food security
Botswana is a net importer of food. Irrigated agriculture is seen as a way of enhancing food security. However,
many people confuse food security and food self-sufficiency – they are different things.
Food self-sufficiency is meeting consumption needs from domestic production, rather than importing. It can
involve restricting food imports, and encouraging domestic production through subsidization. But this is
economically inefficient and distorts prices.
Food security means people have physical and economic access to sufficient nutritious food for an active and
healthy life, whether this food is produced domestically or imported. Here a range of strategies are employed,
including encouraging production of foods with domestic comparative advantage, ensuring access to imports
and global food markets, and maintaining emergency food reserves for other foods which cannot be produced
domestically.
Food self-sufficiency can have high economic and social costs, and cannot guarantee food security. In many
parts of Botswana, distance from markets and other factors makes industrial-scale irrigation projects non-
viable financially, resulting in the need for subsidization.
There is evidence that fewer families are keeping cattle and that more are sharing pieces of land.
Policy identifies beef as an economic driver (and beef production is heavily subsidised) but the role
and support for small stock (goats, sheep, poultry) keeping is ignored. This is an important issue for
sustainable development.
Some policies, such as the National Master Plan for Agricultural and Dairy Development
(NAMPADD), and the establishment of the Agricultural Hub under the Ministry of Agriculture
clearly support the development of a competitive and commercially focused agricultural sector. By
contrast, there has been a whole series of schemes focused on subsistence farmers (the Advanced
Rainfed Arable Programme (ARAP), the Arable Lands Development Programme (ALDEP), and most
recently the Integrated Support Programme for Arable Agriculture Development (ISPAAD). ARAP
and ALDEP were discontinued once evaluations demonstrated clearly that they were not working, and
the assessment of ALDEP in the 1996 Study on Poverty and Poverty Alleviation showed that it was
having no positive impact on poverty alleviation. Although ISPAAD has not been properly evaluated,
a rough assessment indicates that the food grains grown under the scheme cost government
approximately five times the cost of imported food grains. Experience suggests that ISPAAD and its
predecessors, despite ostensibly being focused on poverty alleviation, are unsustainable and do little
other than entrench poor farmers in a poverty trap while benefitting mainly tractor owners and
suppliers of seeds, fertilisers, fencing materials and farming equipment.
In the livestock sub sector, key support programmes have included the Fencing Component of the
1991 Agricultural Policy and the Livestock Management and Infrastructure Development - LIMID
(1997 to date).Market level support has involved grain and beef state trading, respectively, under the
auspices of the Botswana Agricultural Marketing Board (BAMB) and the Botswana Meat
Commission (BMC).
An important development was the liberalisation of the grain industry in 1991, to improve
competitiveness and to lower prices for grain. Since then, BAMB was mandated to adopt import
parity pricing and its import monopoly was removed to ensure lower staple food prices. To achieve
import parity prices, BAMB currently sets producer prices based on monthly prices posted by the
South African Futures Exchanges, adjusted for transport costs, moisture, impurities and BAMBs
mark-up. In the cattle industry, important developments have included the overhauling of the
livestock industry through the Livestock Improvement Act 2009 as well as initiating the process to
41
review the Botswana Meat Commission (BMC) Act. Also, at a sectoral level, the government has
recently made efforts to commercialise agricultural operations through a number of initiatives.
While the borders are generally open to agricultural trade, there are important exceptions: the BMC
has a monopoly on the export of beef, and imports of beef, chickens and eggs are banned. There are
periodic bans on the importation of vegetables and horticultural products, and restrictions on the
importation of maize, wheat, wheat flour and sugar, and an “infant industry” tariff on imported UHT
milk. Although the formal policy has not changed, the policy discourse now seems to be reverting to
more prominence for food self-sufficiency.
3.1.5 Institutional framework
Agriculture is managed by the Ministry of Agriculture, whose mission is to “develop on a sustainable
and competitive basis the agricultural sector by improving farm incomes, generating employment
opportunities and raw materials for agricultural businesses; conserving agricultural natural
resources through the promotion and adoption of appropriate technologies and management
practices”.
There are a number of departments, support divisions and parastatal organizations (see Appendix 4,
Table A4.2 and Figure A4.1). According to the GoB website, the ministry continues to be faced with
serious challenges of lack of capacity to deliver services particularly the extension service.
3.1.6 Sustainability issues in the agricultural sector
The livestock sub-sector has a number of comparative advantages due to Botswana’s proximity to
local markets (RSA, DRC, Angola) and its hormone-free status - which is sought after by EU and
Scandinavian markets, providing a niche market advantage. Botswana has important contracts with
the EU for its beef covered by the Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA) which provides duty and
quota-free access to the EU. Export to the UK resumed in 2013, following a two year absence because
of foot and mouth disease and traceability issues. One challenge is that it is becoming increasingly
difficult for beef farmers to penetrate overseas markets. The beef sub-sector is in decline and has been
subject to ‘elite capture’; and the livestock sector as a whole is in need of greater diversification.
Small-scale traditional livestock keepers have limited access to banks for finance (or can be resistant
to using banks and other investment safe havens). This encourages subsistence farmers (and even well
paid civil servants) to keep cattle (to store wealth) rather than sell them.
Botswana is well positioned to adopt conservation agriculture (CA) and there are many good
examples of CA in the SADC area that demonstrate the advantages of this approach. The principles of
CA could be rigorously applied to existing plots in order to reduce habitat alteration and soil exposure
while improving farming efficiency and crop yields. This would entail the maximum possible use
being made of organic fertilisers and pesticides to minimise toxic inputs into return flows to surface
waters or groundwater.
Insert Box 3.2: Conservation agriculture
Conservation agriculture (CA) combines minimum soil disturbance (ripper tillage or no-tillage), with
permanent soil cover (e.g., mulches) and crop rotation to reduce soil moisture losses and enhance crop
production. CA principles are universally applicable to all agricultural landscapes and land uses with locally
adapted practices. CA enhances biodiversity and natural biological processes above and below the ground
surface. Soil interventions such as mechanical soil disturbance are reduced to an absolute minimum or avoided,
and external inputs such as agrochemicals and plant nutrients of mineral or organic origin are applied
42
optimally and in ways and quantities that do not interfere with, or disrupt, the biological processes. CA
facilitates good agronomy, such as timely operations, and improves overall land husbandry for rainfed and
irrigated production. Complemented by other known good practices, including the use of quality seeds, and
integrated pest, nutrient, weed and water management, etc., CA is a base for sustainable agricultural
production intensification. It opens increased options for integration of production sectors, such as crop-
livestock integration and the integration of trees and pastures into agricultural landscapes.
Source: Adapted from www.fao.org
But agriculture also faces a number of constraints. It is particularly vulnerabley to climate change
(Department of Metereological Services, 2011) - agriculture is heavily reliant on rainfall which has
declined recently. This, together with a rise in extreme weather events is a hard test for many of the
agricultural systems (particularly arable cropping) that have been in place over decades. Climate
change will likely lead to an increased demand for fodder (but hard to satisfy), an increase in diseases
affecting livestock and crops, and pests. Weather forecasting needs to be long-term to allow farmers
to make choices on the crops to plant; and early detection of extreme weather events is also essential
to allow farmers to prepare mitigation measures. The frequency and intensity of flush rains poses
challenges affecting both the water and agriculture sectors and requires a coordinated response by the
two sectors.
Large stock are less capable of handling climatic variability than small stock. This reinforces the need
for a more integrated approach to rangeland management (fewer animals of better quality would yield
better results than lots of poor quality animals, with lower environmental impacts).
Human-wildlife conflicts (HWC) are escalating in some areas and have become a significant issue in
land management. Human population growth coupled with wealth creation and agricultural
intensification has led to an expansion of human activity, the fragmentation of natural habitats and, as
a consequence, restricted the distribution and movement of wild animal species. This, in turn, has led
to direct conflicts between wildlife and humans. Such conflicts have arisen mainly because of
inadequate land use planning/zonation, but also because the agriculture sector does not recognise
game farming as a legitimate form of farming. There is resistance to change in spite of economic
evidence in Botswana and neighbouring countries that game and livestock farming can be
successfully integrated.
The Department of Veterinary Services intends to maintain current animal disease control standards,
and new fences are likely to be constructed. Veterinary control will become more expensive and
difficult during periods of high flooding in the Okavango delta due to wild animals being displaced
into agricultural areas. NDP10 supports this rigid approach to disease management and describes
fenced barriers as the main way to control animal disease outbreaks. But will this inflexible approach
regarding disease standards and the emphasis on fences as the primary management tool place
livestock farming in conflict with conservation and tourism?
3.2 Development scenarios for the agriculture sector
During a scenario development workshop, a number of drivers were identified as likely to have the
main influences on the development of the agriculture sector over the coming decade (Table 3.1).
These informed the development of low-growth and high-growth scenarios for this sector over the
coming decade – as mapped in Table 3.2.
43
Table 3.1: Development drivers for the agriculture sector
SD pillar Drivers
Environmental Climate variability – cannot be manipulated (background driver – constant)
Continued availability and integrity of key natural resources (water, land and
grazing)
Occurrence and extent of diseases and pests (eg foot and mouth, ticks)
Availability of appropriate livestock breeds/crops varieties suitable to arid conditions
Social Enclosing/alienation of common land – restricting land uses by others, especially the
poor and vulnerable
Labour, skills and competence (rural-urban migration/urbanisation is taking people
off the land, declining interest in agriculture amongst the youth, HIV/AIDS )
Economic Access to finance
Acces to markets and marketing (local & international)
o Exchange rate fluctuations (affect input costs and price of exports)
Availability of machinery and implements suitable for Botswana, and spare parts
Subsidisation
o Subsidies to arable farms (cultivated land)
o Loans for fencing rangeland/farms
Agro-industry (provides market and tools to process products (value-adding), etc)
Policy
o FMD fencing – for EU market
o Tribal grazing land policy (national policy on agricultural development)
o Policy poorly constructed, not well-informed or researched
o Incompatible land use in certain areas (leading to, eg human-wildlife conflict)
(but policies are blanket and do not take account of local specificities)
44
Table 3.2 Development scenarios for the agriculture sector over the next 10 years
CURRENT SITUATION
(BASELINE SCENARIO)
BUSINESS-AS-USUAL
(LOW GROWTH +
INFLATION)
[Over next 10 years]
HIGH GROWTH
[Over next 10 years]
Assumptions:
No major policy changes
(within Botswana or
bilaterally)
Increase in mining & coal-
based energy production
Peace & stability prevails
Assumptions:
Progressive policy shifts
Agriculture takes on more
integrated approach (eg
conservation agriculture, mixed
game/livestock farming, high tech
water-efficient farming of high
value crops)
Substantial investment in water
recycling & desalination
Increase in mining & coal-based
energy production
Peace & stability prevails
Dwindling of the
commons (mainly due to
elite capture, but also town
expansion), including sale
of tribal land) [currently
c30% is common land]
Deteriorating rangelands
(eg soil erosion, perennial
species lost)
Low production &
productivity (arable +
livestock)
Conflicting land use
leading to human-wildlife
conflicts
Overharvesting
groundwater
Commons continue to
dwindle maybe to 10%
(some say this could be a
tipping point beyond which
there could be social unrest)
Rangelands continue to
deteriorate
Little change. Variable
according to climate
Escalation of HWC (made
worse by hunting ban)
Aquifers failing (agriculture
competing with increased
demand in other sectors, eg
mining)
Extent of common land stabilised
at 10% (more organised
traditional agriculture, additional
investment/interaction with
private sector, serving niche
markets - eg better integrated
with tourism sector)
Integrated rangeland management
(IRM) leads to improvement in
rangelands & their productivity
Conservation agriculture (CA) in
suitable areas significantly
improves crop yields &
integration of crop farming &
livestock keeping
Emergence of value-adding agro-
industries; and more skilled
labour force
Surge in farming indigenous
African cattle breeds (eg Tswana,
Boran, Nguni) or cross-breeds (eg
Musi)
Promotion of integrated game-
livestock farming through revised
land use plans in suitable areas –
addressing wildlife–
livestock/arable farming conflicts
Groundwater use stabilised –
subject to:
o IRM & CA using less water
o Some agro-sectors using grey
water (eg irrigation, tanneries)
o Aquifer recharge
Could improve under IRM
45
Livestock providing
communities with
livelihoods & social
security
Agriculture the main
employer
Highly successful niche
market for beef (EU)
Little change
Little change
EU market maintained &
few others explored
Increased upstream
abstraction of water from
shared rivers (eg Okavango
in Angola) – undermines
planned irrigation schemes
Could improve:
o Under IRM & CA
o With value-adding of agro-
products
o Increased youth employment
o Through integrated game-
livestock/arable farming
(implies examining tourism
policy: high volume/low
impact)
Diversified market (beyond EU)
& products (eg small-stock)
Markets for non-beef agro-
products accessed & vibrant
More sustainable and equitable
abstraction of water from shared
rivers through more effective
interventions by shared river
basin Commissions, eg
implementing effective
transboundary protocols (eg for
EA), trading water
3.2.1 Scenario summary
The agriculture sector will continue to be of critical importance with traditional farming engaging the
vast majority of rural people (constituting over half of the population) whose livelihoods depend on
subsistence crop and livestock farming – particularly goats and sheep. The cattle value chain will be
upgraded as Botswana’s beef is marketed as a high-end naturally produced product, meeting high
quality standards and regulatory controls, in both the EU and new diversified markets.
High growth in the sector will be driven by progressive policy shifts that promote a more integrated
approach to agriculture. This will involve a range of approaches. For example, conservation
agriculture will expand in suitable areas and significantly improve crop yields and the integration of
crop farming and livestock keeping. Integrated rangeland management (IRM) will be promoted
leading to improved rangelands and an increase in their productivity, a focus on mixed game and
livestock farming facilitated by revised land use plans in suitable areas (addressing wildlife–
livestock/arable farming conflicts), and the re-introduction of indigenous African cattle breeds. There
will be a significant emphasis on high-tech and water-efficient farming of high value crops (using
grey water where possible), with substantial investment in water recycling and desalination. These
developments will be accompanied by new value-adding agro-industries and the emergence of a more
skilled labour force.
The extent of common land will continue to dwindle (including sale of tribal land) and stabilise at
about 10%. But traditional agriculture will be more organised with additional investment by, and
interaction between, communities and the private sector, and with the use of common serving niche
markets (eg by being integrated with opportunities to provide food and other products to the tourism
sector).
46
3.3 Sustainability appraisal of the agriculture sector
3.3.1 Selection of activities for appraisal
Development initiatives/activities associated the high-growth scenario for agriculture (see Table 3.2)
and objectives/goals and initiatives projected for the sector in the draft Framework for a Long-Term
Vision for Botswana were reviewed. This identified the following changes and activities (initiatives,
projects, policy thrusts, etc) that are proposed or likely to be implemented over the next 10 years:
Promote a more integrated approach to agriculture (eg conservation agriculture, mixed
game/livestock farming, high tech water-efficient farming of high value crops).
‘Upgrade cattle-based agriculture’ - upgrade the cattle value chain, positioning Botswana beef as
a high-end naturally produced product in both the EU and new markets [(Vision] – “in balance
with the tourism sector” [Vision].
Set quality standards and guarantee achievement of high standards in naturally produced cattle
[Vision].
Diversify end markets through a focus on new consumer groups in emerging economies and
review the structure for international sales and marketing [Vision].
Strengthen the current system of extension and advisory services [Vision].
Liberalize the export market to improve export performance and returns to farmers [Vision].
Revise the Livestock Identification and Trace-back System with a new independent entity
implementing a fully EU-compliant system of official controls, regulatory change, regional
harmonization of beef processing/product rules, and a shift to ear-tags [Vision].
Develop a training curriculum for best technical/business practices throughout the beef value
chain [Vision].
Introduction of integrated rangeland management.
Promotion of conservation agriculture (CA) in suitable areas.
Promotion of value-adding agro-industries; and development of a more skilled labour force.
Promotion of farming indigenous African cattle breeds (eg Tswana, Boran, Nguni) or cross-
breeds (eg Musi).
Promotion of integrated game-livestock farming through revised land use plans in suitable areas –
addressing wildlife–livestock/arable farming conflicts.
Diversification of market (beyond EU) and products (eg small-stock).
Strong effort to access and develop markets for non-beef agro-products.
The following activities (partly amalgamating initiatives listed above) were selected by participants
for assessment in the sustainability appraisal workshop for the agriculture sector:
Activity 1: Increase agricultural output through livestock (mainly beef, some sheep/goats) –
taken to include the following initiatives:
Upgrade the cattle value chain, positioning Botswana beef as a high-end naturally produced
product in both the EU and new markets – “in balance with tourism sector” [Vision].
Set quality standards and guarantee achievement of high standards in naturally produced
cattle [Vision].
Revise the Livestock Identification and Trace-back System with a new independent entity
implementing fully EU-compliant system of official controls, regulatory change, regional
harmonization of beef processing/product rules and a shift to ear-tags [Vision].
Introduce integrated rangeland management.
Develop a training curriculum for best technical/business practices throughout the beef value
chain [Vision].
Promote farming of indigenous African cattle breeds (eg Tswana, Boran, Nguni) or cross-
breeds (eg Musi).
Liberalize the export market to improve export performance and returns to farmers [Vision].
47
Diversify market (beyond EU) and products (eg small-stock).
Activity 2: Promotion of integrated game-livestock farming through revised land use plans in
suitable areas – addressing wildlife–livestock/arable farming conflicts.
Activity 3: Dryland cropping – promoting a more integrated approach to agriculture (eg
conservation agriculture, farming of high value crops)
Activity 4: Irrigated agriculture - expansion of mega irrigation projects (high tech water-
efficient) (maize, lucerne, vegetables, sorghum).
3.3.2 Overall perspective on the sustainability of the agriculture sector
More than half of Batswana live in rural areas and are dependent on subsistence crop and livestock
farming. They mostly operate at small scale level, often requiring State assistance and money sent
home by relatives in urban areas for their survival. The share of the agriculture sector’s contribution to
economic growth in Botswana has fallen significantly since independence in 1966.
Like other SADC governments, GoB emphasises agriculture-led rural development and the need for
access to land. In spite of the millions of Pula being invested in this cause, the actual response has
been urbanisation and a lowering of livelihood security in rural areas - requiring greater subsidisation
for rural living (from government and remittances). On current evidence, this is not sustainable. From
a technical perspective, subsistence agriculture may be unsustainable. But, practically, it will continue
and will likely always need some subsidisation to ensure that poor people - with few other alternatives
- have some means of securing a livelihood, as well as meeting social/cultural objectives.
The relative decline of agriculture sector’s contribution to GDP is primarily a result of natural climate
variability (periodic droughts), the effects of anthropogenically-induced climate change effects
(recurring drought and increasing temperatures), and the improvement of other sectors (notably
mining and tourism). The agricultural sector is one of the most vulnerable to climate change in
Botswana and therefore requires very careful planning.
Additional challenges include desertification, increases in veterinary diseases, pests and insect
infestations. In contrast to mining and tourism (which have some comparative advantages and
relatively good future prospects), Botswana's agricultural potential is limited. However, since
agriculture plays an important role in rural livelihoods by providing food, income and employment for
the majority of the rural dwellers, farming still remains a viable option for poverty reduction and
employment creation because it is labour intensive.
A variety of activities are proposed in this sector, which have different implications for sustainable
development. Of particular note from a sustainable development standpoint is proposed large-scale
irrigated agriculture in north-east Botswana, which is likely to result in significant impacts - both
social (e.g. involuntary resettlement, social disruption, spread of HIV and AIDS) and environmental
(e.g. habitat loss, wildlife displacement, pollution). These concerns and the opportunities for
integrated multi-sector and spatial planning would benefit greatly from a Strategic Social and
Environmental Assessment. The impacts of livestock production and dryland cropping also require
careful management, but are of lesser concern and relatively easily managed through good practices.
The policy to erect and maintain fences is questionable from a sustainability perspective. 80% of
cattle are found in the unfenced communal areas, and it is argued that fences will reduce land
degradation because it makes livestock management easier. But others pose an alternative view that
maintaining open range systems is essential, especially as an adaptation measure to climate change.
A good policy option is Integrated Land Management (ILM). This would imply fewer cattle of better
48
breeds that are better suited to range and climate adaption. It would equal or better current economic
returns, with lower environmental impact. Also, livestock and crop farming needs improved
integration, rather than treating them as separate operations. Achieving such changes will require
people being better informed to understand the whole picture.
Box 3.3: Integrated land management
Various approaches to integrated land management (sometime called sustainable land management) have had
excellent success in enhancing rain-fed and irrigated crops in arid, semi-arid and sub-humid conditions
(SAIEA 2014):
1. Conservation agriculture (see Box 3.2) combines minimum soil disturbance (ripper tillage or no-tillage),
with permanent soil cover (e.g., mulches) and crop rotation to reduce soil moisture losses and enhance
crop production.
2. Integrated soil fertility management uses supplementation with a variety of organic and inorganic plant
nutrients to enhance crop production.
3. Rainwater harvesting aims to improve the use of rainfall, making it available for agricultural or domestic
uses in areas where rainfall is the primary limiting factor.
4. Smallholder irrigation management aims to achieve higher water-use efficiency through more efficient
water collection and abstraction, water storage and distribution, and using drip or micro-spray
applications, which have low wastage.
5. Cross-slope barriers use soil bunds, stone lines, vegetative strips etc. to reduce rainfall runoff velocity and
soil erosion.
6. Agroforestry integrates the many benefits of trees to enhance soil and water resources. Trees provide fuel
and fodder products, while various fruits and their oils can be directly used as food. The deep roots of
trees bring moisture and nutrients to the surface, while their branches funnel water to the patch of shade
around the trunk creating localized patches of shelter and pasture. Trees play an important role in
combating desertification and mitigating climate change.
7. Integrated crop and livestock management optimizes the use of crop and livestock resources through the
beneficial interactions between them
Source: SAIEA (2014)
49
3.3.3 Sustainability appraisal of selected activities
Table 3.2: Sustainability appraisal of selected activities in the agriculture sector
Activity 1: Increase agricultural output through livestock (mainly beef, some sheep/goats)
Upgrade the cattle value chain, positioning Botswana beef as a high-end naturally produced product in both the EU
and new markets – “in balance with tourism sector” [Vision].
Set quality standards and guarantee achievement of high standards in naturally produced cattle [Vision].
Revise the Livestock Identification and Trace-back System with a new independent entity implementing fully EU-
compliant system of official controls, regulatory change, regional harmonization of beef processing/product rules
and a shift to ear-tags [Vision].
Introduce Integrated rangeland management IRM.
Develop a training curriculum for best technical/business practices throughout the beef value chain [Vision].
Promote farming of indigenous African cattle breeds (eg Tswana, Boran, Nguni) or cross-breeds (eg Musi).
Liberalize the export market to improve export performance and returns to farmers [Vision].
Diversify the market (beyond EU) & products (eg small-stock).
On balance perspectve [summary conclusion of pros and cons):
Even though the livestock sector is stagnant, it remains a cornerstone of Botswana’s economy and social fabric. Whilst it
performs relatively poorly from a GDP perspective, it needs to be strengthened for social, employment and livelihood
reasons, especially in rural areas where there are limited economic development opportunities. From a sustainability
perspective, key improvements should include improving herd quality but reducing overall herd size. The increased use
of indigenous breeds will reduce input costs (dipping and feeding), whilst improving the resilience of the national herd
to climate variability and change. Calving and offtake rates can be increased significantly, and better marketing and
market diversification should be pursued. The intention to promote IRM is sound, as there is a need to improve
rangelands. In many parts of the country, rangelands are deteriorating. Whilst subsidies in the livestock sector may be
justified, these need to be better targeted to reach those most in need. This sector is dominated by beef, but there is an
opportunity to improve the marketing of small stock (sheep and goats), both locally and internationally.
Synergies
There is potential for agro-tourism (visitors to cattle posts). Value adding could take the form of manufacturing of
leather goods and the selling of cured hides for tourists or interior decoration and furniture purposes. The agriculture and
wildlife sectors could be integrated in areas where livestock and game farming could be combined (see activity 2).
Antagonisms within and between sectors
In order to reduce land use conflicts, livestock farming needs to be avoided in wilderness areas that are highly sensitive
and important for conservation and tourism. Also, the proximity of livestock to certain types of wildlife (e.g. buffalo)
increases risks of disease transfers and human-wildlife conflicts.
Assumptions and risks:
Given the traditional importance of cattle to Batswana, there is a risk that there will be resistance to the idea of less
cattle, even though they may be of higher quality and thus of equal or better value economically. There is a risk that the
aims of this activity may be undermined because labour in Botswana is expensive and unproductive, and the youth are
less interested in farming than the older generation.
Economy & employment Social upliftment Environment Governance, safety &
security
Positive impacts
Increased income as new
markets are penetrated
and Botswana brand
becomes better known.
Increased exports
improve FOREX
earnings.
Greater employment.
Positive impacts
At a small-scale level:
livestock is an inclusive
sector that contributes to
poverty alleviation
through employment,
cash from sales, milk,
draught power, etc
cattle are an important
status and wealth symbol.
Positive impacts
Rangeland quality4 will
be improved through
Integrated Range
Management (IRM)
approaches
IRM will also
encourage farmers to
keep fewer animals of
better quality, which
will reduce pressure on
grazing and water
resources.
Positive impacts
In rural areas, farming
keeps people busy, so
they are less inclined to
turn to crime etc.
Ear tag and tracking
system will reduce
conflicts over animal
ownership.
Fewer (though better
quality) animals will
reduce pressure on „the
commons“, thus
reducing conflicts over
grazing.
4 Improved ratio of perennial grasses versus annual grass species, more nutritious species, fewer weeds
50
How to enhance
Increase exports of
organic/free range beef
and small-stock through
improved niche
marketing (EU etc.)
Increase sales to markets
not requiring FMD free
meat (e.g. central Africa)
Promote local breeds and
improve herds through
targeted cross-breeding
(to improve arid
adaptability)
Market additional
products (hides, horns
etc.).
Increase calving rate
from current 60%
Improve offtake
mechanisms (through
more efficient
administration, improved
infrastructure,
streamlined procedures).
Grow fodder to improve
production in areas
where water and suitable
soils are available.
Improve employment
conditions for farm
labourers (living wage,
decent working
conditions, reasonable
security).
How to enhance
Cooperative type
activities (e.g. breeding
programmes, veterinary
services, coordinated
marketing) will improve
the ability of small-scale
farmers to improve herds
and offtake
Educate farmers about
the benefits of timely
selling (before drought
hits) rather than
keeping/accumulating.
How to enhance
Implement IRM at
district levels, and
provide good extension
services to farmers
How to enhance
Improve institutional
functioning (especially
agricultural extension
and veterinary services)
to improve livestock
quality and implement
IRM.
Monitoring and
evaluation to assess
implementation success
of planned activities.
Negative impacts
Expensive subsidies for
poor-performing sector.
EU requirements are
expensive to comply with,
thus reducing profit
margins.
Expensive to control
livestock diseases.
Livestock farming in prime
wildlife/tourism areas
present an opportunity cost
(tourism will normally be
more profitable in such
areas).
How to mitigate
Reconsider some subsidies,
which may be reducing the
economic efficiency of the
sector.
Diversify from EU market
Negative impacts
An emphasis on meat
export will result in
higher prices and also
limit the amount of meat
available for local
consumption. This will
place greater pressure on
incomes and family
nutrition.
Increased use of dipping
may increase health risks
for farmers and labourers.
How to mitigate
Reserve some meat for
the local market (price
controls?)
Educate farmers about
correct storage and
Negative impacts
If livestock numbers
increase overall:
Rangeland
deterioration
through overgrazing
Increased competion
with wildlife (HWC)
If the commons shrink
(because of elite
capture and fencing),
sedentarism will occur,
causing range
degradation and
erosion.
Veterinary Control
Fences in some areas
(e.g. Ngamiland)
reduce wildlife
mobility and increase
wildlife mortalities.
How to mitigate
Coordinate land use
planning with other
sectors (e.g.
conservation and
tourism) to reduce land
Negative impacts
Agricultural subsidies
often do not reach the
poor, but rather
advantage the wealthy.
How to mitigate
Improve the way that
recipients of subsidies
are identified, and
provide subsidies to
those in greatest need.
51
(e.g. expand access to
African/Asian markets).
Coordinate land use
planning with other sectors
(e.g. conservation and
tourism) to reduce land use
conflicts.
handling procedures for
dip chemicals.
use conflicts.
Develop and implement
IRM plans/strategies at
district levels, and
provide good extension
services to farmers
Educate farmers about
the benefits of timely
selling (before drought
hits) rather than
keeping/accumulating).
Activity 2: Promotion of integrated game-livestock farming through revised land use plans in
suitable areas – addressing wildlife–livestock/arable farming conflicts. On balance perspective [summary conclusion of pros and cons):
This approach works well in neighbouring countries (e.g. Zimbabwe, South Africa, Zambia, Namibia), and there is no
reason why it could not flourish in Botswana. Key enabling policy reforms would be needed, including enabling
conditional wildlife ownership, wildlife trade and allowing hunting in more areas of the country.
Synergies – within and between sectors:
Mixed game and livestock farming, including tourism, combines to achieve greater economic benefits from the land.
Antagonisms - within and between sectors:
Game farms may result in an increase in pests and predators, which may negatively affect adjacent livestock farms.
Assumptions & risks:
The necessary policy reforms noted above will be made.
Economy & employment Social upliftment Environment Governance, safety &
security
Postive impacts
Diversified economic return
(grazers and browsers side
by side improves
production per ha)
Increased and more varied
job opportunities.
Niche marketing advantage
as venison is regarded as
healthy by western
consumers.
Mixed farming improves
resilience to climate
variability as diverse
species do not compete
directly with each other for
fodder, and game are
generally better adapted to
arid conditions.
How to enhance
In addition to food
production, farmers could
also offer safari and hunting
tourism
Raise awareness of
potential and modalities
through exposure to
existing ventures (e.g.
Ghanzi district).
Revise ownership policy
regarding wildlife, and
permit conditions for
Positive impacts
Improved livelihoods and
increased incomes.
Enhanced appreciation of
economic and cultural
value of wildlife.
How to enhance
None obvious beyond
promoting this activity
Positive impacts
Potentially improved
rangelands where
browsing wildlife could
consume encroaching
bush.
How to enhance
None obvious beyond
promoting this activity
Positive impacts
None obvious
52
hunting (to make game
farming and consumptive
tourism possible in suitable
areas but where restrictions
currently apply).
Negative impacts
Mixed game and livestock
farming could require
expensive infrastructure
(e.g. fences).
Whilst game farming may
be economically lucrative
when linked to tourism (in
some areas outperforming
livestock farming), the land
may produce less food, thus
potentially requiring food
imports.
How to mitigate
None required
Negative impacts
None obvious
Negative impacts
Land degradation will
result if farmers
overstock with game
(because their main
objective is attracting
tourists).
Genetic “pollution“ is
possible if game
species are sourced
from outside the range
of the local population
of that species (e.g.
impala from RSA may
be genetically different
from those in northern
Botswana).
How to mitigate
Apply appropriate
stocking rates
Source wildlife locally
Negative impacts
Increase in poaching
because wildlife
become more
widespread and
habituated.
Game theft/loss from
State protected areas
(for stocking farms)
How to mitigate
Enhanced anti-
poaching measures
Activity 3: Dryland cropping – promoting a more integrated approach to agriculture (eg
conservation agric, farming of high value crops) On balance perspective [summary conclusion of pros and cons):
Innovative approaches to dryland agriculture (e.g. conservation agriculture) has proven to be very successful in pilot
projects in Botswana and neighbouring countries, and experts are confident that this activity will contribute positively to
sustainable development at local level. More R&D is needed to boost high-value dryland agriculture, as this form of
land use is inclusive, suitable to SMEs and community initiatives, and gender considerations. Also has possibilities for
diversification (e.g. chickens, honey), and there are linkages to tourism. Requires low(ish) start-up capital
Synergies – within and between sectors:
Communities near to tourism hubs could supply lodges and restaurants with fresh produce that is currently imported.
Antagonisms - within and between sectors:
Conservation and agriculture may find it difficult to coexist in areas where crops are susceptible to raiding by wildlife
Assumptions & risks:
Communities may resist growing crops for the tourism/commercial market, preferring instead to grow those traditionaly
cultivated (e.g. maize, sorghum)
Economy & employment Social upliftment Environment Governance, safety &
security
Positive impacts
Better yields from CA than
from current traditional
practices
Increased employment (CA
is more labour intensive)
Positive impacts
Better yields and thus
improved livelihoods/
reduced poverty
Improved health and
nutrition of people
because of nutritious
crops (e.g. cow pea).
Positive impacts
Compared to conventional
agriculture:
o Less pressure on
water resources
because of more
efficient water use.
o Requires less land
per unit of
production,
o Causes less soil
erosion,
o Requires fewer
chemicals,
Positive impacts
None obvious
53
How to enhance
Additional research is
needed to determine the
most appropriate crops and
farming methods.
Select high value crops that
can be sold to lodges,
mines, hotels and
supermarkets.
Develop fresh produce
market hubs (facilities) in
strategic locations (e.g.
Maun, Kasane).
Improving value-chain by
offering niche products
(e.g. cosmetic oils).
How to enhance
Promote community-
based initiatives that
enable youth
involvement, equal
opportunities for men
and women, and for
people with disabilities.
o More large trees are
left standing.
How to enhance
Promote this activity in
suitable areas (e.g.
malapos)
Negative impacts
More labour intensive and
could thus increase costs
since labour costs more
than machines - and labour
is scarce
How to mitigate
Appropriate mechanisation
(R&D needed).
Negative impacts
Many jobs are not
decent (low paid,
seasonal)
How to mitigate
Decent wages need to
be paid to workers
(minimum wage in the
Labour Act may not be
a living wage?).
Negative impacts
If minimum tillage
option used, could
require more herbicides
to control weeds
How to mitigate
Appropriate
mechanisation (R&D
needed).
Where herbicide use is
unavoidable, only use
approved chemicals
and in prescribed
applications and
quantities.
Negative impacts
None obvious
Activity 4: irrigated agriculture - expansion of mega irrigation projects (high tech water-
efficient) (maize, lucerne, vegetables, sorghum) On balance perspective [summary conclusion of pros and cons):
This is a contentious activity since large areas of industrial agriculture usually result is a great variety of social and
environmental impacts. This initiative requires careful thought and an accompanying sustainability assessment to
address the many likely negative cumulative impacts, and enhance possible synergies.
Synergies – within and between sectors:
In this particular area (NE Botswana), it is possible to enhance the synergies between large-scale irrigation and
industrialisation (agro-industries), and the achievement of local value-adding. Also, this initiative provides an impetus
for better multi-sector integration and improved long-term spatial planning.
Antagonisms - within and between sectors:
Land previously used for traditional agriculture may be alienated for mega irrigation projects. Also, these projects are
usually located adjacent to major rivers that are important for biodiversity and already utilised for tourism.
Assumptions & risks:
The greatest risk is that vast areas under monoculture are highly susceptible to climate change and pests, especially in
marginal areas. This requires considerable inputs of agrochemicals and fertilisers, which is both costly and polluting.
Economy & employment Social upliftment Environment Governance, safety &
security
Positive impacts
Positive impacts
Positive impacts
Positive impacts
54
Overall benefit to national
economy through
multipliers
Stimulates ancilliary
industry and services
(engineering, chemicals,
transport, banking, etc.)
Provides jobs, income
opportunities, skills
training
Attracts expatriate
expertise
Crops for export (FOREX)
Import substitution (food).
How to enhance
Local hiring
Skills transfer
Local ownership
New skills acquired
Improved family
incomes
More services &
social infrastructure
available in the area
(e.g. schools,
clinics).
Less need to seek
jobs elsewhere
How to enhance
Local hiring
Skills transfer
Local ownership
None obvious
None obvious
Negative impacts
If number of irrigation projects
increases significantly, then:
There could be opportunity
costs – water could be used
better (e.g. mining)
Could negatively affect
tourism because of altered
sense of place.
How to mitigate
Conduct sustainability
assessment (SA) of agro-
industrial hub (north eastern
corner of Botswana) to
understand cumulative
impacts of irrigated
agriculture and other other
developments (e.g. transport,
mining, township expansion,
tourism) in the same area.
Negative impacts
Involuntary
resettlement (through
displacement of people
to make way for
irrigation projects).
Possible social
disruption, squatting,
crime, HIV and AIDS –
due to contract workers
and in-migration.
How to mitigate
SA of agro-industrial
hub and project-level
EIAs
Modify relevant
District Plans
Negative impacts
Cumulative impacts:
Reduced environmental
flow through over-
abstraction of water
(cumulatively by the
projects and other
sectors)
Habitat loss &
fragmentation due to
clearing for agriculture
and towns, restricting
wildlife migration
routes
HWC
Increased poaching
Pollution and
eutrophication (through
excess use of artifical
fertilisers)
How to mitigate
SA of agro-industrial
hub
Modify Chobe District
Plan
Negative impacts
Tension with Zambezi
basin states concerning
water abstraction.
Illegal in-migration
because of lure of jobs
and economic
opportunities
How to mitigate
Modify relevant
District Plans (to
improve allocation of
areas for various types
of development,
housing, infrastructure,
etc.)
SA of agro-industrial
hub
Develop and implement
a Transboundary EIA
protocol for the
relevant shared river
systems (under the
SADC Protocol on
Shared Watercourses)
Increased security and
administrative capacity
will be needed
55
3.4 Conclusions and implications for national planning
The agriculture sector has been stagnant in recent years, but the Vision expects a resurgence of growth
through vastly improved niche-marketing of Botswana’s naturally-produced beef to the EU and other
countries. But the Vision and NDP11 also need to recognise the critical importance of traditional
subsistence farming to rural communities, and particularly their reliance on small-stock such as goats
and sheep. These instruments should elaborate ways to support improvements and investment in such
farming, develop local markets for products, and increase job opportunities. Options include
transitioning to conservation agriculture, introducing integrated crop farming and livestock keeping,
enabling mixed game and livestock farming, and encouraging the keeping of indigenous cattle breeds.
Agriculture in Botswana is rainfall-dependent and so is very vulnerable to climate change. The Vision
should strongly emphasise the need to move to a more integrated approach to rangeland management
with fewer animals of better quality – this would yield better results than a large number of poor
quality animals and reduce overgrazing and soil degradation; and NDP11 should include programmes
to implement such an approach.
A range of developments are proposed in this sector, which our analysis shows have different
implications for sustainable development. Of particular concern is the proposal to expand large-scale
irrigated agriculture in north-east Botswana, This requires very careful consideration since it is likely
to have significant negative social consequences (e.g. involuntary resettlement, social disruption,
spread of HIV and AIDS) and impact negatively on the environmental (e.g. causing habitat loss,
wildlife displacement and pollution). But the proposed irrigation development also presents
opportunities to pursue integrated multi-sector and spatial planning. We recommend that such
planning be supported a sustainability assessment of the proposed development, and that NDP11
commits to commissioning such an assessment.
56
4: ENERGY SECTOR
4.1 Baseline situation in the energy sector
4.1.1 Relative importance to economy and national development
Energy is vital to Botswana’s economy and development, underpinning industry and commerce. To
meet the growing demand for energy use in Botswana (particularly for commercial and mining
activities), it has been suggested that operation capacity (currently 100MW) will need to be increased
to 2,595 MW or more assuming 85% plant efficiency (Ofetotse & Essah 2012).
Botswana is examining the opportunities for local and export market energy generation, direct export
of coal to many of the European and Asian markets, and local processing into a number of by-
products. Coal by-products include fertilisers, gas, liquid energy, and coal-bed methane. These by-
products can reduce the direct use of coal for electricity generation.
According to Ofetotse and Essah (2012), in 2011, the BPC installed capacity supplied a little over
12% (a decrease from 15% in 2010) of the country’s demands for electricity while 66% was sourced
from South Africa (Eskom). The rest (22%) was obtained from other providers such as Mozambique’s
Hydroelectrica de Cahora Bassa and electricidade de Mocambique (EDM). The dependence of
Botswana on imports is a threat to the security of energy supply. For instance, Eskom has been failing
to meet its own demands; hence electricity supplies to Botswana have had to be cut back. Other
neighbouring countries are also experiencing electricity demand levels that border or exceed
production levels, and several suffer shortages.
4.1.2 Policy and legislative framework
Table A5.1 (Appendix 5) summarises the key policy instruments and legislation for this sector.
Coal presents significant development opportunities for Botswana. The Government of Botswana is
committed to developing and promoting a wider use of coal to substitute for imported energy and also
to replace fuel-wood for domestic and institutional use (http://www.energy.gov.bw/coal.php). It is
currently developing a national Coal Roadmap Strategy to guide and direct the effective usage of coal
resources, and unleash the potential for coal to play a significant role in Botswana’s economy. The
migration from an import substitution based policy to an export led industrial policy will support the
development of an elaborate coal processing strategy, which will involve conversion of coal to
various products.
4.1.3 Institutional arrangements:
The Ministry of Minerals, Energy and Water Resources (MMEWR) coordinates development and
operational activities in the energy, water and minerals sector. It includes the Department of Energy
Affairs, and two parastatals: Botswana Power Corporation (BPC) and Water Utilities Corporation
(WUC).
The Department of Energy Affairs (established 1984) is the focal point of all energy related matters,
tasked with the formulation, direction and coordination of the National Energy Policy. Its services
include: inspections, monitoring and evaluation, biomass information/advice, petroleum pricing,
renewable energy information/advice, and buying and selling coal. The department is mandated to
monitor consumption rates and patterns, and promote technologies that improve efficient utilisation.
The Ministry of the Environment, Wildlife and Tourism (MEWT) (Department of Meteorological
57
Services, DMS) has a mandate to prepare an inventory of fuelwood (its role is conservation and
sustainable use). But collaboration between MMEWR and DMS is weak. Both of these elementary
records are several years out of date.
The Water Utilities Corporation (WUC), established in 1970 by Act of Parliament, now has a mandate
to supply potable water to all urban centres and villages, as well as manage wastewater under the
Water Sector Reforms Programme (2009 – 2013) - to rationalize the water sector and ensure uniform
service levels for all. Under the programme, WUC’s customer base grew from 80,000 to 222,000 by
March 2013. WUC presently supplies over 66 Mm3 potable water annually. It has seven dams:
Dikgatlhong, Gaborone, Nnywane, Bokaa, Shashe, Ntimbale and Letsibogo as well as the North
South Carrier Scheme. Additional dams under construction are Thune and Lotsane.
The Botswana Power Corporation (BPC) is a parastatal formed in 1970. It is responsible for the
generation, transmission and distribution of electricity within Botswana to areas approved by the
MMEWR. BPC operates Morupule Thermal Power Station near Palapye village in the Central District
- supplied with coal from adjacent Morupule Colliery. It has also implemented various rural
electrification programmes to that connect villages to the national grid.
In 2012, the Botswana Energy and Water Regulator Task Force was set up to establish a regulatory
framework for the energy and water sectors. MMEWR is in the process of creating the Botswana
Energy and Water Regulatory Agency (BEWRA) to independently regulate energy prices and tariffs
as well as industry structure.
4.1.4 Energy resources and products
Botswana’s energy sources consist primarily of electricity, abundant coal (200 billion tonnes),
liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), petrol, diesel and aviation gas, biogas, fuelwood and sunshine. Solar,
biogas and biodiesel constitute a small proportion (about 1%). LPG and all the petroleum-based fuels
are imported. Fuelwood usage has been declining over the years while LPG and electricity
consumption has been on the rise. This is mainly attributed to rising affluence as well as increasing
access to electricity. The potential of coal-bed methane has not yet been established.
Coal
Botswana has significant coal resources estimated at 212 billion tonnes. Of this vast quantity, the
majority is still classified as “hypothetical” or “speculative” resources, with only 45 billion tonnes
classified as reserves.
There are four commercially significant coal deposits at Morupule, Mmamabula, Sese and
Mmamantswe on the eastern edge of the Central Kalahari Karoo Basin. Only the reserves in
Morupule (Palapye) in eastern Botswana are currently being mined for electricity generation. African
Energy Resources is currently carrying out feasilibility studes for mining at Sese coal project (large
deposit of thermal coal - estimated 2.73 Gt coal in September 2011); and Hodges Resources has
identified numerous shallow, thick coal seams at the Moiyabana project where drilling and testing is
ongoing. Botswana’s coal is low quality with relatively high levels of ash and sulphur, and is
unsuitable for purposes other than power generation without washing and cleaning.
The underground mine at Morupule (owned by Debswana) produced 1 mt of coal in 2005, but an
expansion project (Morupule B, completed in 2012) will increase this to 3.2 mt/yr. More than 50% of
coal is utilized for power generation by Botswana Power Corporation (BPC) and also in various
industries and very little coal is used for cooking purpose. The mine supplies the 600 MW steam
turbine driven Morupule Thermal Power Station (operated by BPC); mining at Selebe-Phikwe; and
Sua Pan soda ash plants.
58
Morupule B coal-fired power station
An export industry of at least 36 mt/yr is possible, growing to as much as 90 mt/yr. There is also
potential for a facility to convert coal to liquids (CTL): Sasol technology requires 6-7l of water per
litre of fuel produced; but modern air cooled systems require 1.5l of water per litre of fuel produced.
Coal export will require a railroad export system.
There is potential for recovery of natural gas from coal-bearing sedimentary rocks of the Kalahari
and Karoo Basins. Solar energy
Solar energy in Botswana amounts to over 3,200 hours/yr with a strength of 22 Mega Joules per hour (MJ/hr) – one of the highest solar strengths in the world. Solar energy in Botswana is mainly used for water heating, refrigeration and lighting. However, its current contribution to the energy mix is insignificant. Adoption of solar has been slow due to a number of barriers including technology uptake, low wattage output, costs and familiarity. With support from UNDP and GEF, these have been addressed through BPC-Lesedi (Pty) Ltd (formed in 2008) which offers home solar systems to rural consumers, and other off grid and renewable energy solutions (eg solar power photovoltaic products, rechargeable lanterns and improved and financial support). In 2006, the Government started a non-grid rural electrification scheme using photovoltaic power. Perception problems still obstruct the wider use of solar and are exacerbated by a mismatch in prices between solar and grid services – reflecting the differences in government subsidy between the two services. Off-grid generation in villages using a hybrid solar-biogas approach may be best, overcoming extensive investments in battery-banks for storing solar-only energy.
A 100 MW solar thermal power station project in Jwaneng has been proposed and the government is
planning a 1.3 MW photovoltaic power plant in Phakalane (with a Japanese grant of P90 million)
which has potential for replication.
Box 4.1: Solar power in Botswana: advantages and possibilities
Advantages of solar power
Increase in generating capacity relatively quickly to meet energy demand;
Increase in power accessibility in rural areas;
Job creation when linked to enabling policies, regulatory structure, education and possibly to manufacture
of solar equipment;
Will contribute to overall energy production which will stimulate broader economic growth;
Diversification of the energy mix, and reduced reliance on one fuel source;
Conscious progress towards sustainable development following global trends;
Progress towards self-sufficiency energy generation;
59
Offers possibility of closed energy systems with no need for fuel and logistics to support fuel
consumption;
Small scale photovoltaic equipment (at household level) is safer than conventional paraffin/candles.
Possibilities for solar power
Manufacturing and export of photovoltaics to surrounding countries;
Export of day-time production to SADC;
Become a regional centre of expertise - centrally located in SADC;
Development of micro-grids to increase generation capacity and delivery.
Source: Martin Dube and Karen Giffard, pers.com.
Biomass & bioenergy
Botswana is endowed with a number of biomass resources that can be used for production of useable
energy. These include woody biomass (fuelwood) and non-woody biomass resources (residues, wet
biomass and energy crops).
Fuelwood
Wood is the largest biomass resource in Botswana and a major source of energy for rural households.
It is also consumed by several institutions in very large volumes. This high demand has led to
overharvesting and trading of the fuel-wood resource in some parts of the country. This, in turn, has
led to accelerated deforestation and exhaustion of wood resources.
Botswana consumed 251,000 M3 of fuelwood in 2010 whilst production was 683,300m
3
(http://www.factfish.com/statistic-country/botswana/fuelwood,+consumption+by+households). Fuelwood
plays a significant role for many households, especially in rural areas, providing the principal source
for cooking in 46% of households nationally (77% of rural households) (down from 90% in 1981)
(Central Statistics Office, 2007). The remoteness of many farms makes grid electricity uneconomical
because of high connection costs and transmission losses.
Botswana’s forest resources are not extensive but offer opportunities for supporting the demand for
fuelwood if combined with technology enhancements. Selective pruning can enhance growth of trees
and provide fuelwood for communities. There is a need for inventories of wood resources and their
production rates. The devolution of management and user rights (as done for wildlife) is also needed
to ensure that those with more to lose have more to say in the management and use of the wood
resources.
The use of wood-efficient stoves is effective in reducing the rate of consumption of fuelwood - saving
women and children time in collecting fuelwood. BPC-Lesedi sells wood-efficient stoves and heat-
retention bags which are appropriate for slow-cooking dishes such as stews, oxtail, seswaa, samp and
beans. And solar cookers have great potential (Box 4.2) .
Box 4.2: Solar cookers
Solar cooking is a solution for nearly 3 billion people worldwide who cook over open fires. Some cannot afford
to purchase food and fuel, or to make their water safe to drink (http://www.solarcookers.org). A solar cooker
uses direct sunlight to heat, cook or pasteurize food or drink. Many solar cookers are relatively inexpensive,
low-tech devices, although some are as powerful or as expensive as traditional stoves, and advanced, large-scale
solar cookers can cook for hundreds of people. They use no fuel and cost nothing to operate, cause no air
pollution, and could slow down deforestation and desertification caused by gathering firewood for cooking.
60
Solar cooking takes place outdoors thus reducing the danger of accidental fires in traditional homes. Many types
of solar cookers exist, including parabolic solar cookers, solar ovens, and panel cookers, among others.
Fuel efficient stove Solar cooker
Agriculture waste
Agricultural waste such as crop residues and liquids and solid animal waste can be used for energy.
Crop residues (eg straw) can be burned directly for cooking at household level or for driving steam
turbines at commercial level to generate electricity. However, crop residues in Botswana are
insignificant for energy provision as opposed to animal wastes. Nonetheless, the Department of
Energy seeks to promote use of crop residues, where available, as a feedstock in the generation of
energy.
Animal waste (eg cow dung) can be anaerobically digested to produce biogas that can be burnt
directly for cooking or used indirectly for heating and electricity provision. The Department of Energy
promotes biogas production in households and on farms for energy provision and also encourages
investment in infrastructure to produce bio-energy from the by-products of agro processing.
The country has a cattle population of 2,220,000 (2008) (Statistics Botswana, 2012). The volume of
cow dung may be enough to run a number of stand-alone power plants in hybrid arrangement with
solar farms. Other avenues for generation of biogas include abattoirs and sewage treatment plants.
Methane capture offers opportunities for reducing greenhouse gases and addressing energy needs, and
has been considered by a number of private sector entities. But it met with challenges of ownership
and lack of a concessions policy for landfills. The absence of waste separation at-source also limits
the profitability of methane capture, especially with the low volumes of food-waste generated.
Municipal waste
The prominent form of biomass residue in Botswana is municipal solid waste (MSW). However, the
challenge is that the MSW for Botswana landfills comprises both bio-degradable and non-degradable
material. So it is difficult to quantify the capability of energy production from these landfills.
Municipal liquid waste is another potential source of biogas where the amount of effluent determines
the amount of biogas that can be generated. The main resources under this category are municipal
waste-water and sludge, and waste generated from abattoirs. The Department of Energy Affairs
promotes use of bio-degradable MSW as a feedstock and municipal liquid waste in the generation of
energy services.
61
Energy crops Jatrophacarcus has been identified as the best energy crop for bio-diesel production and sweet
sorghum for bio-ethanol production in Botswana. These crops were suggested due to their drought-
tolerant nature since water availability and resource competition are the major issues in Botswana due
to the country’s arid nature. Although the crops can be grown under rain-fed conditions, their yields
can be improved through irrigation. The Department of Energy seeks to promote production of energy
crops in a sustainable manner that does not undermine food and water security. This involves carrying
out scientific research on the identified crops, especially Jatropha, to further evaluate potential.
Under the draft Energy Policy (2009), the government is currently focussing on producing biodiesel,
aiming to reach 10% of diesel supply.
4.1.5 Access to energy
Current trends in Botswana indicate that 58% of the country’s population has access to
electricity (20% from the national grid) although the Department of Energy claims access is 66%
(http://www.energy.gov.bw/electricity.php) with a possible 80% by 2016 (perhaps an ambitious target
given operational inefficiencies) (www.mmewr.gov.bw) (Ofetotse & Essah, 2012).
The 58% access rate stated in official documents (and 66% on the DEA website) may be an
overstatement, as data analysis by Ofetotse and Essah (2012) suggest that, in 2010, only 23% actually
had access, and if installed capacity increases by 1200 MW it would rise to 51%.
4.1.6 Energy consumption
In 2007, petrol was the most consumed energy source (33%), followed by coal and electricity (25%
each). diesel (12%) and other sources at about 1% each including solar. Over the period 1981-2003,
fuelwood consumption was higher than petrol and diesel combined. Ofetotse and Essah offer other
consumption data (but the period and source is not indicated (Table 4.1).
Table 4.1: Average yearly energy consumption by sector (Source Ofetotse & Essah 2012)
Sector Consumption
(%)
Consumption (GWh)
Domestic 22 5,001
Commercial 34 7,728
Mining 44 10,001
Country’s total energy
consumption
100 22,730
According to Index Mundi (http://www.indexmundi.com/g/g.aspx?c=bc&v=81), energy
consumption (total electricity generated annually plus imports and minus exports, expressed in
kilowatt-hours) in Botswana in 2012 was 2.85 billion kWh.
Botswana consumes 850 million litres of petrol, diesel and paraffin. Of the total petroleum products
consumed in the country, petrol accounts for 54%, diesel 44% and illuminating kerosene 2%.
Transport is the largest consumer (43%) of total national energy (Energy Affairs Department,
2007), mining the largest consumer of electricity, and households are the largest consumers of
62
paraffin. With paraffin prices having escalated and passed those of diesel and petrol, poor
households have been the most affected, and women in particular.
4.1.7 Power infrastructure
Botswana imports 88% of its electricity needs through the Southern Africa power supply network
(Figure A5.1, Appendix 5). The domestic distribution network is shown in Figures A5.2 and A5.3
(Appendix 5).
Botswana has also engaged in the Western Power Corridor (Westcor) project which aimed to
construct and supply energy from two hydroelectric power plants in the DRC to DRC itself and to
Angola, Namibia, Botswana and South Africa. Originally, the hydro power was to be supplied from
the DRC’s INGA III hydropower scheme. Later Inga III was supposed to be replaced
by Angola's Cuanza River and Cunene River projects or by the new project in the DRC. Ultimately
the project was aborted by shareholders when unforeseen changes were proposed to the founding
agreements.
4.1.8 Sustainability implications
Botswana is over reliant on energy imports to sustain its economy. In the event that Botswana’s
supply countries face shortages, then Botswana will not be able to sustain its economic growth.
The level of consumption of petroleum products represents a significant energy challenge for
Botswana. This challenge is more deep-rooted as it touches on the value of exports vs imports and the
volatility of oil prices which has huge implications for the country’s import bill.
The lack of gender disaggregated data to establish who uses what type of fuel and for what purpose,
which could be used by energy policy-makers and programme developers, hinders efforts to increase
access to cleaner forms of energy in the country.
With Botswana’s vast coal reserves, and relative ease/cheapness of supply, the country will be secure
for electricity supply to satisfy demand for industrialisation and those connected to the grid.
Government policy is that the country will become an exporter of coal and electricity over the Vision
period. The implications for the nation’s carbon footprint need to be considered – will this be merely
set aside in the interests of export benefits? Sustainability assessments (SAs) should be undertaken of
the coal strategy and the planned new railways for export.
The development of off grid energy supply will obviate the costs and infrastructure of supply, and
reduce the need for long power lines and their environmental/aesthetic impacts (especially in high
value tourist areas). For example, bird strikes are a significant issue along power lines. Evidence
shows that one big bird (a Bustard and above) per km per year is killed through collisions with power
lines. This has a serious ecological significance since such birds all eat locusts – and locust outbursts
are linked to rain and are therefore patchy. These issues support the logic for and integrated diesel-
solar approach in rural areas to address the current reliance on fuelwood. Some rural areas (eg
Kasane) will be able to access SAPP power lines.
The development of solar energy will not generate large quantities to satisfy peak supply needs. Solar
power cannot be stored. But solar development will certainly contribute to base load needs,
particularly at the village level.
A key challenge is to ensure that rural households are able to use fuelwood in a sustainable manner
and that fuelwood consumption is stopped in government institutions. The use of fuelwood is an
63
important issue for biodiversity conservation and gender in that without a system that allows local
community management of woody vegetation and the overall suite of range resources, depletion is
likely to occur as more resourced citizens harvest at rates higher than those at which nature can
replenish the wood resources. As with wildlife, the capacity of government to monitor wood resources
is limited. Without the management fuelwood, the devolution of quotas to local communities, and
development of requisite local capacity, it is the poor who stand to lose. Women and children spend
hours each week collecting fuelwood for day-to-day domestic use (cooking and heating). With the
depletion of wood resources in areas closest to homesteads, more time is spent in fuelwood collection,
thus depriving children of study-time and women of other productive uses of time such as commercial
activities, adult (distant) education, or participating in village governance structures.
Exposure to smoke from traditional cook-stoves and open fires – the primary means of cooking
and heating for many people – can cause premature deaths, with women and young children the
most affected.
4.2 Development scenarios for the energy sector
During a scenario development workshop, a number of drivers were identified as likely to have the
main influences on the development of the mining sector over the coming decade (Table 4.2). These
informed the development of low-growth and high-growth scenarios for this sector over the coming
decade – as mapped in Table 4.3.
Table 4.2: Development drivers for the energy sector
SD pillar Drivers
Environmental Climate change
o UNFCC may restrict BRICS energy mix (negative for coal, positive for uranium)
o Recent USA-China bilateral agreement that aims to reduce fossil fuel burning
o Botswana itself has targets it should meet. Coal may not be the best direction –
though best technology could soften the problem.
Water
o All Botswana’s main rivers are shared rivers which are already stressed and other
countries are abstracting. There is increased water demand in Botswana and
neighbouring countries. The SADC Agreement on Shared Water is a key
instrument – need to establish Transboundary EIA protocol.
o Water is needed for coal power stations, and cleaning coal for export
Social Crime
o High crime dissuades investment in alternative energy (eg solar panels are often
stolen)
Poverty
o High poverty levels dictate choices about power options (woodfuel is the go-to
choice – it is ‘free’)
Corruption
o Corruption has affected the efficiency of power generation capacity, and may
even suppress the development of alternative technology and IPP. Ultimately it
sabotages the economy and socio-economic development.
Economic Southern African Power Pool (SAPP)
o Regional power demand (likely to increase because of regional growth) – coal
power stations are the easiest and cheapest to supply. Botswana has comparative
advantage because of huge coal reserves
o How much does RSA need to access the energy power sources of its neighbours?
o Neighbouring countries are all expected to ramp-up their power stations
Economic development in Botswana
o Mining (bulk consumer of energy)
64
o Increasing settlements, more travelling, etc.
Coalfields in Botswana (and other energy sources)
o Coal prices are unreliable – may drop
o Low international prices will make coal exports unfeasible, but coal is maybe OK
for local power generation
Sunshine in Botswana
o Cost too high – may drop
o Comparative advantage for sunlight – this opportunity is not being taken seriously
Global economy
o Risk that Chinese & Indian economies may stagnate – reduced their appetite for
Botswana’s coal
o General economic situation globally
o China and India currently constructing nuclear power plants (will affect coal
requirements)
Oil prices
o Higher prices stimulate coal price and provide an advantage for alternative
energy. Opposite is the case if oil prices low
Other Energy and other policies
o Subsidies and entry barriers/opportunities influence the energy sector (eg
independent power producers (IPPs), in-feeding tariffs, household units, etc.)
o GoB standards may influence technology, service quality and prices, and
ultimately may influence public perceptions, especially regarding alternative
energy.
o Policy currently does not set a vision/target for a desired energy mix
o Immigration resistance to foreign experts is a disincentive for FDI in energy (and
other ) sectors
Energy policy consistency in SADC and beyond
o Issues such as emissions, carbon tax, etc., need to be harmonised in SADC so the
playing field is level
o SADC Renewable Energy Strategy
Market information
o Better information will improve coordination and marketability
Technology and skills
o Better technology and local skills will improve
Table 4.3 Development scenarios for the energy sector over the next 10 years
CURRENT SITUATION
(BASELINE SCENARIO)
BUSINESS-AS-USUAL
(LOW GROWTH +
INFLATION)
[Over next 6 years - within
NDP11 period]
HIGH GROWTH
[Over next 10 years]
Assumptions:
Energy policy finalised,
partially implemented
Morupule A functional, & B
80% reliable
IPPs enabled but not
operating
Assumptions:
Energy policy finalised and
consistently implemented
Morupule A functional & B 90%
reliable
Morupule 5 and 6 in planning
phase (brownfields) - Palapye
1 greenfield coal power station in
early construction phase (coal)
Jindal coal power station in early
construction phase (coal)
IPPs starting to emerge
65
SAPP under greater
pressure than now – high
cost of importation
Mining expands
Oil prices increase
moderately
Grid is expanded
Minor improvements re
alternatives (but no major
energy saving incentives)
Minimal global resistance to
coal (developing countries)
Botswana economy grows
at 3.2-4% pa
People and corporates begin
installing solar panels to
improve their security
SAPP under greater pressure than
now – even higher costs of
importation
Mining expands even more
Oil prices increase even more
Grid is expanded even more
Minor improvements re alternatives
(better energy saving incentives)
Minimal global resistance to coal
(developing countries)
Installed capacity 892MW
(all coal) – Morupule B
(600mw), Morupule A
(132MW – under
maintenance), 2 diesel
backups 90+70mwMW
Actual production on a
good day is 600MW
Actual production on an
average day is 300MW
Existing demand 681MW
22% + energy imported
from SAPP because of
unreliable power stations
Alternative energy
supplies 1% of total local
supply
Fuelwood is principle
cooking source in 46% of
households
69% of Batswana have
access to electricity
1.1 billion litres of fuel
consumed pa (diesel,
petrol, paraffin)
32,000 tons p/a LPG
consumed (2011)
Off-grid systems difficult
to service, expensive.
No incentives for IPP
Powerlines: Grid system is
official policy
Jobs in conventional
electricity sector:
Jobs in alternative
electricity sector:
Installed capacity 892mw
(all coal) – Morupule B
(600MW), Morupule A
(132MW), 2 diesel backups
90+70MW)
Actual production on a
good day is 700MW
Actual production on an
average day is 700MW
Demand 900 MW
24% energy imported from
SAPP because of supply/
demand differences
Alternative energy supplies
<1% of total local supply
Fuelwood is principle
cooking source in 45% of
households
75% of Batswana have
access to electricity
1.3 billion litres of fuel
consumed pa (diesel, petrol,
paraffin)
LPG consumption grows
5% pa
Off-grid systems difficult to
service, expensive.
No incentives for IPP
Powerlines: Grid system is
official policy
o 400kv – 5% increase
o 132kv – 5% increase
o 33kv – 5% increase
Jobs in conventional
electricity sector: 2.5% up
on current base
Jobs in alternative
electricity sector: 2.5% up
on current base
Installed capacity 892MW (all
coal) – Morupule B (600MW),
Morupule A (132MW), 2 diesel
backups 90+70MW)
100MW renewable
Actual production on a good day is
720MW + 100 = 820MW
Actual production on an average
day is 820MW
Demand 1017 MW
197MW (19,4%) energy imported
from SAPP because of supply/
demand differences
Alternative energy supplies 11% of
total local supply (GoB target is
25% by 2030 – source NDP10)
Fuelwood is principle cooking
source in 45% of households
75% of Batswana have access to
electricity
1.3 billion litres of fuel consumed
pa (diesel, petrol, paraffin)
see column 2 – maybe grows faster
Off-grid systems difficult to
service, expensive.
Emerging incentives for IPP
Powerlines: Grid system is official
policy
o 400kv – 5% up on base
o 132kv – 5% up on base
o 33kv – 5% up on base
Jobs in conventional electricity
sector: 2.5% up on base
Jobs in alternative electricity
sector: 2.5% up on current base
66
4.2.1 Scenario summary
Demand for energy in Botswana continues to increase and it currently relies on electricity imports
(mainly from South Africa) whilst generation at the Morupule A and B power stations is well below
installed capacity and is unreliable. For Botswana to secure high growth (particularly in production
and industrial sectors), it is assumed that Morupule A will be fully functional and Morupule B will be
90% reliable, thus significantly boosting production. In addition new coal-fired power thermal
stations (Morupule 5 and 6) will be being planned, and perhaps two others under construction, with
some independent power producers starting to emerge. This will help to meet the increase in demand -
expected to rise from 681MW (current) to 1017MW over the next decade. If Botswana pursues a
course to significantly boost coal mining, this would enable the country to significantly increase coal-
powered electricity production and export a surplus.
It is anticipated that, by 2025, 75% of Batswana will have access to electricity, with a modest increase
in power line infrastructure. Off-grid systems will remain difficult and expensive to service, and
connectivity to the grid will remain limited in rural areas where fuelwood will continue to be the
principle cooking source (accounting for 45% of all households in Botswana).
The Southern African Power Pool (SAPP) will be under greater pressure (and there are already
demands that cannot be met in the region) as regional growth increases. It is also assumed that some
minor improvements will be achieved in terms of generating energy from ‘alternatives’ and the
introduction of energy saving incentives.
Alternative energy supplies will reach 11% of total local supply (the government target is 25% by
2030 – set by NDP10). These will include: solar, biomass and bioenergy (eg fuelwood, agricultural
and municipal waste, and energy crops).
There will be a limited increase in the consumption of imported liquid fuels (diesel, petrol and
paraffin) and energy sector jobs (in both conventional and alternative energy) will show an increase
(perhaps 2.5% on current levels).
4.3 Sustainability appraisal of the energy sector
4.3.1 Selection of activities for appraisal
Development initiatives/activities associated with the high-growth scenario for energy (see Table 4.3)
and objectives/goals and initiatives projected for the sector in the draft Framework for a Long-Term
Vision for Botswana (27 October 2015) were reviewed. This identified the following activities
(initiatives, projects, policy thrusts, etc.) likely to be implemented over the next 10 years:
Energy policy finalised and implemented.
Morupule B 90% reliable.
Installed capacity of Morupule B will increase to 4000 GWh by 2018 and 6000 GWh by 2025
[Vision].
Morupule 5 and 6 in planning phase.
A new greenfield coal power station, and the possible Jindal power station at Mmamabule in early
construction phase (coal).
IPPs starting to emerge.
Reduction of the share of coal-fired power in total energy supply [Vision].
Minor improvements regarding alternatives (better energy saving incentives).
Substantial increase in solar energy supply to reduce emission [Vision].
67
Promotion of the expansion of clean energy through the development of three 200-megawatt large-
scale, grid-connected solar electricity plants with solar photovoltaic technology (first 2018, second
2022, third 2026) [Vision].
Facilitation of the development and use of concentrated solar thermal power and photovoltaic
electricity generation, promoting the use of solar energy in households, hospitality and small
businesses, in particular for water heating [Vision].
Set Renewable Energy Feed-In Tariffs and other initiatives [Vision].
Modest increase in number of Batswana having access to electricity (69% rises to 75%)
5% increase in power lines (on baseline)
2.5% increase (on current base) of jobs in conventional electricity sector
2.5% increase (on current base) of jobs in alternative electricity sector
Promotion of alternative fuels to fuelwood [Vision]
Government will continue increasing the number of households using efficient cook stoves
[Vision]
Development of Integrated Infrastructure Development Master Plan [Vision] [relevant to other
sectors]
The following activities (partly amalgamating initiatives/changes listed above) were selected by
participants for assessment in the sustainability appraisal workshop for the energy sector:
Activity 1: Fully functional Morupule A and B coal power station (4000GWh) [Vision].
Activity 2: Planning/early construction for Morupule 5 and 6, a new greenfield coal power station,
and the possible Jindal power station at Mmamabule.
Activity 3: Development of 1-3 x 100-200-megawatt, grid-connected solar electricity plants (first
2018, second 2022, third 2026) [Vision].
Activity 4: Substantially increase solar energy generation and use in houses and other buildings,
and establish feed-in tariffs [Vision].
4.3.2 Overall perspective on the sustainability of the energy sector
Energy underpins Botswana’s economy and development. Whilst some power is generated at
Morupule, the country currently also depends on imports of electricity via the Southern African Power
Pool. In this context, Botswana is examining the opportunities to increase power generation to satisfy
local consumption needs and to produce a surplus for export – from coal – to improve energy security;
and also possibly to export coal itself to European and Asian markets. Generating electricity from coal
makes sense, given the country’s abundant resources, the relative ease of building and operating coal-
fired power stations, and the reasonable cost. Meeting peak power demand remains a challenge, but it
can only really generate base-load power.
From a sustainable development perspective, in the longer-term, a more diverse energy mix is needed,
seeking a greater contribution from, and a gradual transition to, renewable energy sources. This would
respond to the concern that burning fossil fuel leads to significant impacts – both environmental
(climate change, water use) and social (health) - which require mitigation through the adoption of
appropriate technology and other measures (e.g. emission and carbon reducing mechanisms, water
efficiency measures, etc.). The Vision should commit to the setting of ambitious targets and align
policies, plans, programmes and projects to facilitate the long-term transition from fossil fuels to
renewables.
Developing solar energy will make a positive contribution to green economy objectives and will add
to Botswana’s image as a responsible global citizen given the worldwide push for renewable energy
production. However, it is currently argued to be uneconomical at an industrial scale (because
conventional sources such as coal-fired power do not account fully for environmental and social costs
in feasibility studies). At this stage, solar solutions may be better suited to niche developments (e.g.
68
tourism lodges), highly density places that only need power in the daytime, or very remote
villages/mines where building long power lines would be too expensive and environmentally
damaging. Advocacy is needed to promote solar investments at the household/business level and to
explain the economic, social and environmental benefits.
Efforts to increase solar energy generation and use it in houses, and to establish feed-in tariffs, will
also make a positive contribution to green economy objectives; and add to Botswana’s image as a
responsible global citizen given the worldwide push for renewable energy production. In addition,
such initiatives will enable a community-based approach and reduce dependency and pressure on the
State and the grid.
It may be helpful to consider making subsidies available for solar energy generation. An increase in
such power at household and community level will contribute significantly to poverty reduction and
sustainable development objectives. For example, access to solar power will: enable children to study
at night and use laptops for educational purposes; provide a means to charge cell phones and clean
homes; and allow people to operate sewing machines – as a means of job creation.
69
4.3.3 Sustainability appraisal of selected activities
Table 4.4: Sustainability appraisal of selected activities in the energy sector
Activity 1: Fully functional Morupule A and B coal power station (4000GWh) [Vision] On balance perspective [summary conclusion of pros and cons):
Coal-powered energy is the obvious “go-to” option at the moment for supporting economic development and national
growth, given resource availability, national and regional energy needs, the relative ease of building and operating coal-
fired power stations, and the reasonable cost. However, a mix that includes a greater contribution of renewables is a more
appropriate long-term vision in the context of transitioning to sustainable development, given that fossil fuel burning has
significant environmental and social impacts. These two power stations have considerable local environmental and social
impacts, and these need to be mitigated.
Synergies – within and between sectors:
No specific synergies between sectors, though power security will support all sectors, and stimulate development in
particular sectors such as mining and manufacturing. The increased availability of baseload power will offer improved
transboundary synergies in energy trading through the SAPP, thus boosting the regional economy.
Antagonisms - within and between sectors:
These mega power stations may affect livestock farming in the vicinity (<20km) of the facilities because of air pollution
and additional water use.
Assumptions & risks:
Skills in short supply, but training and skills development will occur, and locals will preferentially be employed. Coal is a
non-renewable resource, so this is not a permanent solution. Burning fossil fuels is gradually less desirable globally, but
this will not affect SADC in the medium term.
An SEA into the cumulative effects of coal mining, power stations, and power distribution in the south-eastern
Botswana/NE South African area was recently commissioned. The results of this SEA need to be taken into account in
planning further developments in the sector/area.
Economy & employment Social upliftment Environment Governance, safety &
security
Positive impacts
Provides power security -
essential for the economy &
industrial growth, & attracting
investors & infrastructure
development.
Modest increase in direct
(particularly skilled) and
indirect jobs
Increased FOREX earnings
through power export and
import substitution.
How to enhance
Preferably employ Batswana
and provide training
Training institutions must
contribute to practical skills
development (eg engineers,
technicians)
Positive impacts
Development of new skills
(engineers, etc.)
Jobs and general economic
improvement – with
improvements in livelihoods,
health, education etc., resulting
in societal upliftment
Power projects may
establish/improve social
infrastructure in the project
area.
How to enhance
Employ and train Batswana
Power utilities should initiate
Corporate Social Responsibility
programmes
Positive impacts
None obvious
How to enhance
N/A
Positive impacts
Energy security will
be significantly
enhanced – a national
benefit
As a net power
generator, Botswana
will have a stronger
trading position in the
SAPP
How to enhance
N/A
Negative impacts
Medium/high water use by
power stations may reduce
water available to other
sectors – especially livestock
farming (though saline water
will mostly be used in power
station cooling).
Negative impacts
Contract workers (especially
during construction phase) may
exacerbate spread of HIV and
AIDS, and cause social
disruption in adjacent
communities during
construction phase
Negative impacts
Air pollution (see
column 2) will be
compounded by
existing airborne
pollution from
nearby sources in
RSA
Negative impacts
Inconsistencies in
tendering processes
(as with many big
projects)
Added power
generation assets will
place more burden on
70
How to mitigate
Implement water efficiency
(e.g. recycling) to reduce
impacts on water resources.
Air pollution (e.g. nitrogen and
sulphur oxides) may cause long
term health impacts in the
surrounding communities.
How to mitigate
Modern technology to reduce
emissions.
Require the development and
implementation of outcomes-
based Environmental and
Social Management Plans
(ESMPs).
Water demand
(estimated at 2
Mm3 p/a for
Morupule A facility
alone) – could
result in 30%
depletion of the
aquifer over the
next 20 years5
How to mitigate
Modern technology
to reduce emissions
and water use, use
saline water,
reclaim water
Outcomes-based
EMPs
Carbon capture and
storage through
appropriate design
and technology
GoB institutions.
How to mitigate
Uphold Botswana’s
relatively good anti-
corruption record.
Activity 2: Planning/early construction for Morupule 5 and 6, a new greenfield coal power
station, and the possible “Jindal” (potential IPP) power station at Mmamabule On balance perspective [summary conclusion of pros and cons):
Same as activity1, but a greenfield project will have additional local environmental and social impacts (see below).
Synergies - within and between sectors:
These new projects will obtain coal from a new/existing mine. There will be a need to integrate them with planning for a
new/expanded town/village, and associated health and social services, communications infrastructure, power lines, roads,
etc., in order to achieve synergy and avoid duplication.
Antagonisms within and between sectors:
Same as 1
Assumptions & risks:
Same as activity 1
Economy & employment Social upliftment Environment Governance, safety &
security
Positive impacts
Opportunities for direct and
indirect jobs, ancillary
businesses
See activity 1 for additional
impacts and enhancement
measures
Positive impacts
New physical and social
infrastructure
See activity 1 for additional
impacts and enhancement
measures
Positive impacts
None obvious
Positive impacts
See activity 1 for
additional impacts and
enhancement
measures
Negative impacts
See activity 1 for impacts and
mitigation measures
Negative impacts
Involuntary resettlement
See activity 1 for additional
impacts and mitigation
measures
Negative impacts
Loss of habitat,
biodiversity and
ecosystem services
through clearing of
bush (for the power
station, power lines,
roads, pipelines and
towns)
Depletion of water
Negative impacts
Involuntary
resettlement (relevant
institutions will need
to work together to
plan, negotiate and
implement
mitigation)
See activity 1 for
other impacts.
5 Source: Marupule A EIA report.
71
resources due to
additional water
demand
Water, air and soil
pollution – dust
during construction
See activity 1 for
additional impacts
and mitigation
measures.
How to mitigate
Compensation
(relocate, etc.)
See activity 1 for
additional mitigation
measures.
Activity 3: Development of 1-3 x 100-200 megawatt, grid-connected solar electricity plants
(first 2018, second 2022, third 2026) [Vision] On balance perspective [summary conclusion of pros and cons):
Given Botswana’s high levels of insolation, solar power is an obvious option for sustainable energy production and has
few negative environmental impacts. But it is currently regarded as being uneconomic at large scale and is, therefore,
better suited to small-scale niche developments (e.g. houses, buildings and tourism lodges).
Synergies - within and between sectors:
Same as 1
Antagonisms - within and between sectors:
Same as 1
Assumptions & risks:
The Vision suggests the development of three 200 MW solar installations, but there are doubts about their economic
viability and whether these will ever go ahead.
Economy & employment Social upliftment Environment Governance, safety &
security
Positive impacts
Same as activity 1
Solar projects introduce new
technology to Botswana,
which will require and
generate new skills and
opportunities.
How to enhance
Same as activity 1
Positive impacts
Same as activity 1
Positive impacts
None obvious,
though less harmful
than fossil fuel
alternatives such as
coal and diesel,
which use water and
cause air emissions.
Positive impacts
Same as activity 1
Negative impacts
May require subsidies
initially
Expensive power (now),
maybe cheaper later
Negative impacts
Contract workers (especially
during construction phase) may
exacerbate spread of HIV and
AIDS, and cause social
disruption in adjacent
communities during
construction phase
How to mitigate
Require the development and
imlementation of outcomes-
based Environmental and
Social Management Plans
(ESMPs)
Negative impacts
Will require huge
areas – land clearing
needed, resulting in
loss of biodiversity
Will require the
development and
implementation of
outcomes-based
Environmental and
Social Management
Plans (ESMPs)
Negative impacts
Solar panels
susceptible to theft –
will require security
attention
72
Activity 4: Substantially increase solar energy generation and use in houses and establish feed-
in tariffs [Vision] On balance perspective [summary conclusion of pros and cons):
As with Activity 3, this initiative will also make a positive contribution to green economy objectives and will enable a
community-based approach, spreading the generation load between the State, parastatals, corporates and citizens, thus
reducing dependency and pressure on the State and the grid.
Synergies - within and between sectors:
The placing of solar panels on peoples’ houses (could also be on offices, warehouses, etc.) creates opportunities for
synergies between energy generation and: banking (for loans), town planning and building, and education (awareness and
training) sectors. All stakeholders/sectors need to work together to achieve the desired outcomes.
Antagonisms - within and between sectors:
None obvious
Assumptions & risks:
The energy authorities will increasingly support, promote and facilitate community-based solar energy generation
Economy & employment Social upliftment Environment Governance, safety &
security
Positive impacts
Though there is an initial
capital cost, there is a long
term economic benefit as it
reduces costs of buying
energy from the grid, and it
could generate income if
surplus can be sold into the
grid (by households, small
businesses, SMEs, etc.)
Batswana could acquire skills
to erect, service, and maintain
panels
Less effort needed to collect
firewood – leaving more time
for economically productive
activities
How to enhance
Provide favourable financing
mechanisms, leasing options,
etc.
As demand for more solar
systems increases, prices
should drop (the
country/retailers could buy
equipment in bulk)
Enable easy and affordable
in-feeding from
houses/buildings into the grid
(this may need policy reform
and technology
improvements)
Advocacy to promote solar
investments at
household/business level & to
explain economic, social and
environmental benefits.
Positive impacts
Could enhance the value of
homes/lodges/businesses
Clusters of houses/businesses
could collaborate to invest in
solar panel installations
Health benefits where there is
reduced use of wood to cook in
enclosed areas, and less fire risk
Access to power good for social
upliftment
How to enhance
Favourable financing
mechanism, leasing, etc
Advocacy to promote solar
investments at
household/business level & to
explain economic, social and
environmental benefits
Positive impacts
Less need for
fuelwood, but wood
still needed for
cooking and
warming in winter
How to enhance
Advocacy to
promote solar
investments at
household/business
level & to explain
economic, social
and environmental
benefits
Positive impacts
Powered homes
easier to protect (eg
enable use of alarms)
How to enhance
3 Advocacy to promote
solar investments at
household/business
level & to explain
local and national
benefits
Negative impacts
Initial costs are unaffordable
for middle-income earners
and definitely out of reach for
Negative impacts
Advantages the rich as the poor
cannot afford the capital outlay
(elite capture). There may be
Negative impacts
None obvious.
Negative impacts
Homes fitted with
solar installations,
may be targeted by
73
the poor
How to mitigate
GoB will need to subsidize
this initiative to spread uptake
and benefits to the middle-
income earners and especially
the poor. Measures will be
required to prevent the sale of
subsidized equipment to meet
immediate income needs
social tensions (jealousy) if
some have solar power and
others do not
Electro-magnetic radiation from
solar panels on roofs can impact
hypersensitive people6
How to mitigate
Issue of electromagnetic
radiation is inadequately
understood currently. Further
research is underway globally
thieves
4.4 Conclusions and implications for national planning
Access to energy underpins Botswana’s industries and the economy. But to meet the country’s
growing demand for energy (particularly for commercial and mining activities), operation capacity
(currently 100MW) and plant efficiency will need to be increased significantly. If coal mining is to be
expanded, it makes economic sense to generate electricity from coal through thermal power stations -
to satisfy both domestic demand and provide a surplus for export, and reduce electricity imports from
other countries. Although coal-powered energy is an obvious option, a mix that includes a greater
contribution of renewables is a more appropriate long-term approach in the context of transitioning to
sustainable development, given that fossil fuel burning has significant environmental and social
impacts. Indeed, the draft Framework for a Long-Term Vision recognises the need to stay within
sustainability constraints by reducing coal-fired energy generation. The Vision should commit to the
setting of ambitious targets and align policies, plans, programmes and projects to facilitate the long-
term transition from fossil fuels to renewables.
The draft Framework also identifies the need to: continue investment in appropriate supply options,
promote substitution by alternative fuels, promote improved/efficient cooking stoves and solar
lanterns, substantially increase solar supply (clean energy) and facilitate the development/use of solar
thermal power, and implement a Renewable Energy Rural Electrification programme with
UNDP/GEF. All of these objectives will support a transition to sustainable development. Other
measures that will also contribute to the sustainability of this sector include promoting:
solar power generation (this may be best suited to niche developments such as tourism lodges,
high density places that only need power in the daytime, or very remote villages/mines where
building long power lines would be too expensive and environmentally damaging) and use of
solar cookers;
use forest resources - if combined with technology enhancements and sound management
techniques (eg selective pruning can enhance growth of trees and provide fuel wood for
communities);
use of agricultural waste such as crop residues and liquids and solid animal waste;
use of municipal soil and liquid waste (provided it is biodegradable); and
growing of energy crops such as Jatropha (to produce bio-diesel).
The development of off-grid energy supply will obviate the costs and infrastructure of supply, and
reduce the need for long power lines and their environmental/aesthetic impacts (especially in high
value tourist areas).
6 (www.eiwellspring.org accessed 28/3/15)
74
The Vision and NDP11 also need to take account of the increasing consumption of petroleum
products, driven, in part, by the rapid rise in vehicular traffic in Gaborone. Burning such products as
well as other fossil fuels and biomass all contribute to the nation’s carbon footprint and need to be
considered – will this issue be merely set aside in the interests of export benefits? It would be prudent
to consider this issue as part of a sustainability assessments of the coal strategy and the planned new
railways for export.
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5: TOURISM SECTOR
5.1 Baseline situation in the tourism sector
5.1.1 Relative importance to economy and national development
Tourism is an increasingly important industry in Botswana. It provides jobs, local incomes and
contributions to government revenues. But only 10% of tourism revenue are retained locally since the
bulk of bookings are handled in South Africa.
Botswana receives over 2.5 million international tourists and day visitors per year, who spend 5.1
billion Pula per year. The direct contribution of travel & tourism to GDP was BWP 5,486.6mn (3.2%
of total GDP) in 2013, and was forecast to rise by 7.6% in 2014, and to rise by 5.8% pa, from 2014-
2024, to BWP 10,325.6mn (3.8% of total GDP) in 2024. (WTTC 2014). The total contribution of
travel and tourism to GDP was BWP 14,172.1mn (8.4% of GDP) in 2013, and was forecast to rise by
8.1% in 2014, and to rise by 6.1% pa to BWP 27,573.7mn (10.2% of GDP) in 2024.
In 2013, travel and tourism directly supported 31,000 jobs (4.6% of total employment). This was
expected to rise by 2.5% in 2014 and by 2.6% pa to 41,000 jobs (5.2% of total employment)
in 2024. In 2013, the total contribution of travel and tourism to employment, including jobs indirectly
supported by the industry, was 9.9% of total employment (67,000 jobs). This was expected to rise
by 4.4% in 2014 to 70,000 jobs and rise by 2.4% pa to 89,000 jobs in 2024 (11.3% of total)
Visitor exports generated BWP 8,968.4mn (10.9% of total exports) in 2013. This was forecast to
grow by 8.3% in 2014, and grow by 4.7% pa, from 2014-2024, to BWP 15,357.8mn in 2024
(14.5% of total). Travel and tourism investment in 2013 was BWP 1,846.9mn, or 7.6% of total
investment. It should rise by 8.4% in 2014, and rise by 4.5% pa over the next ten years to BWP
3,111.6mn in 2024 (8.1% of total).
Tourists in Chobe National Park
76
5.1.2 Policy and legislative framework
Table A6.1 (Appendix 6) summarises the key policy instruments and legislation for this sector.
Botswana has adopted a high-value, low-volume tourism strategy in a bid to minimize negative
environmental impacts on pristine wildlife areas while maximizing socio-economic benefits. Vision
2016 issued a challenge “to further develop the tourism potential of the wildlife resources, the
Okavango Delta, and also the historical and cultural sites”.
From January 2014, a ban on hunting on stateland was introduced, including in the Kalahari where
Bushmen traditionally hunt for food. The ban does not apply to private game ranches, except for
protected species, such as leopard. The ban has caused controversy. Critics argue that the ban, rather
than reduce poaching, is more likely to encourage it, whilst also undermining local economic
opportunities from sustainable use and encouraging agricultural expansion into sensitive habitats (eg
Okavango).
In 2009, the Botswana Tourism Organistion developed ecotourism standards and associated
documentation for implementation of the Botswana Ecotourism Certification System
(http://www.botswanatourism.co.bw/eco-certification-standards) (Box 5.1). Two sets of standards
have been developed. All fixed tourism sites (accommodation facilities) are assessed using the
Accommodation Standards, and all mobile activities including other forms of tourism are assessed
using the Ecotour Standards.
Box 5.1: Botswana Ecotourism Certification System
Botswana's commitment to the conservation of its natural resources, rich wildlife, and cultural heritage was
formalized in 2002 with the inception of the country's National Ecotourism Strategy, and has led to the
development of the Botswana Ecotourism Certification System (BECS) , a voluntary, tourism industry-wide
programme run by Botswana Tourism.
The BECS, outlining more than 240 performance standards, is designed to encourage and support responsible
environmental, social, and cultural behaviour by tourism businesses, and to provide a quality, eco-friendly
product to consumers. This three-tier system enables companies of all sizes to attain an entry-level "Green"
certification, a mid-level "Green+" certification, or an "Eco" level of certification. The highest level of
certification acknowledges the full spectrum of ecotourism, including involvement with local communities in
tourism development, nature conservation, environment management, and interpretation of the surrounding
environment to the guest.
Since its inception in late 2010, the number of Botswana eco-certified camps and lodges has grown to a total of
15 properties:
"Eco" Certified: Banoka Bush Camp, Chobe Game Lodge, Jao Camp, Kalahari Plains Camp, Kwetsani
Camp, Little Vumbura Camp, Savuti Camp, Xigera Camp, Zafara Camp, Jacana Camp, Meno A Kwena
Tented Camp, and Mombo Camp.
"Green+" Certified: Camp Kalahari and Tubu Tree Camp.
"Green" Certified: Vumbura Plains Camp.
The Adopt a Monument Strategy, 2008 - encourages the private sector and individuals to have a stake
in sustainable development and management of Botswana's shining monuments (See http://www.mmegi.bw/index.php?sid=7&aid=33&dir=2011/November/Friday18#sthash.FN96vFVM.dpuf)
77
From a transport perspective, Air Botswana only operates at domestic and regional levels (not the
transcontinental level), and connects with regional transport hubs. This policy/model is probably the
best, reducing risks.
5.1.3 Institutional framework
The Department of Tourism (of MEWT) has a mandate to promote sustainable tourism development,
facilitating commercial exploitation of tourism resources to the advantage of national economic
development. The Department focuses on policy formulation, implementation and regulation of the
industry.
The Department of Wildlife & National Parks (MEWT) is responsible for the conservation and
sustainable utilization of fish and wildlife resources.
o The Department’s Parks and Reserves Division is responsible for the management of wildlife
in protected areas. Its functions include:
o Protected area development and management.
o Reservations/bookings for camping in parks and reserves public camp sites.
o Park interpretation.
o Processing of applications for filming permits.
o Compilation and analysis of tourist statistics.
o Visitor public relations
The Department is responsible for the following conservation areas (Figure A6.1, Appendix 6):
o National parks: Chobe NP; Makgadikgadi/Nxai Pans NP; Kgalagadi Transfrontier Park
o Game reserves: Central Kalahari GR; Khutse GR; Moremi GR
o Educational game reserves: Gaborone GR; Manyelanong GR; Maun GR (Maun Educational
Park); Francistown GR
Other key institutions include:
the Tourism Industry Licensing Committee which issues licenses for tourism enterprises
the National Advisory Council on Tourism (established by 1996 Regulations);
Botswana Tourism Organisation with responsibility to market and position Botswana as a
premier tourist destination; promote investment in the tourism sector; and classify and grade
tourism facilities;
Hospitality and Tourism Association of Botswana – aims to promote, encourage and police
excellence in hospitality and tourism in Botswana. Umbrella organization representing all sectors
of the industry. Privately established and funded;
Kalahari Conservation Society – concerned with the protection and management of wildlife and
landscapes, lobbying and advocacy, assisting government in policy-making, collaborating on
projects with other NGOS, private sector and government, coordination of research projects,
community liaison, environmental education in schools and communities;
Botswana Guides Association; Botswana National Museum - has made significant efforts to develop Botswana's heritage sites
for public appreciation, income generation and conservation for posterity (See:
http://www.mmegi.bw/index.php?sid=7&aid=33&dir=2011/November/Friday18#sthash.FN96vF
VM.dpuf)
78
5.1.4 Main resources and sector products
The main types of tourism include:
Leisure, recreation and holidays. The most visited destinations are: Kasane/Chobe area; then
Okavango. Gaborone and Francistown are the most visited urban destinations (Figure A6.2,
Appendix 6)).
Visiting friends and relatives (VFR).
Business and professional.
Transit.
Other (eg religious, health and other types of trip not included above).
Wildlife and – to a lesser extent – wilderness, are Botswana’s main tourist products for holiday
makers. Wildlife-based tourism in Botswana is carried out in national parks and game reserves. Most
of these protected areas are located in the northern parts of the country in areas such as the Okavango
Delta, Chobe and the Makgadikgadi/Nxai Pans area. While the Okavango Delta and Chobe region are
known for wildlife-based tourism, the Makgadikgadi/Nxai Pans area has additional tourism products
which are largely undeveloped: the vast salt pans, flamingo birds, local culture and crafts.
The establishment of the Kavango-Zambezi Transfrontier Conservation Area (KAZA) (MoU 2006) –
potentially the world’s largest conservation area (300,000 km2) (Figure A6.3, Appendix 6) - now
offers a regional dimension to tourism. It enables tourists to visit several conservation area/tourism
destinations in adjacent countries – following a circuit. KAZA evolved from the Okavango Upper
Zambezi International Tourism Initiative (OUZIT) and the “Four Corners” Transboundary Natural
Resource Management initiative.
By 2008, 12 heritage sites had been opened to the public for cultural tourism purposes: World
Heritage Site of Tsodilo Hills, Gcwihaba Caves, Domboshaba Ruins, Lekhubu Island, Moremi Gorge,
Lepokole Hills, Majojo Ruins, Matsieng, Three Dikgosi, Livingstone Memorial, Manyana Paintings
and Mogonye Gorges
5.1.5 Sustainability issues
Botswana has a comparative advantage, offering pristine wilderness, star attractions such as Chobe-
Kasane and Okavango, being readily accessible via regional hubs, and occupying a central position in
the KAZA Transfrontier Conservation Area – so it can benefit from tourism ‘circuiting’.
Elephants in the Okavango delta
79
To realise benefits will require sustainable cross-border cooperation in the management of wildlife
and water resources, and seamless management of tourism services (eg smoothing border transits, air
and road links, etc.).
If Botswana is to promote tourism as a key industry (in which the GoB is the facilitator/enabler and
the Private Sector is main implementer), then it will be necessary to:
o Intensify marketing of Botswana as a tourism destination, as there are a number of untapped
(or under-tapped) competitor markets (e.g. USA, Scandinavia, China)
o Ensure reliable and regular air access. Is this a constraint? Is the fact that Air Botswana (a
key partner for the Tourism Industry) operates only domestically and regionally a problem or
the best policy – relying on other carriers for long-haul flights to target markets?
Government policy is in conflict with tourism in some areas (e.g. allowing mining in key tourism
areas). This may undervalue tourism as a key contributor to national development (even though it is a
focus area in NDP11). The government and the industry need to identify critical tourism areas, and
these should receive protection against competing (but less sustainable and less viable) land use).
There will be advantages in spreading tourism investments and benefits more broadly, eg through
community-based natural resource management, improving local ownership, cultural tourism. But
options are currently undermined by the ban on hunting (for example), leading to a growing concern
that GoB is not as committed as it should be regarding CBNRM.
Human-wildlife conflicts continue to be a major source of controversy between those who suffer
damage and the government. Damage caused by wildlife to livestock, crops and other properties, and
the inadequate or lack of compensation for such damage has always caused consternation among rural
populations (Box 5.2). Most of the conflicts arise from the fact that livestock areas have encroached
into wildlife areas to the extent that some livestock areas are only a few hundred meters from the
wildlife areas. Farming methods, especially the protection of crops and livestock, need to be improved
to help minimise the conflicts.
Box 5.2: Human-wildlife conflicts
As people and settlements expand their range, so wildlife areas diminish. This is a common phenomenon in
dryland developing countries, including Botswana. A common consequence of livestock farming is conflict
with wildlife, such as predation by wild carnivores and scavengers (eg lion, leopard, cheetah, baboon and
hyena) and damage to water points and crops caused by large animals such as elephant. Human-wildlife
conflicts are escalating in drylands where farming is expanding into marginal areas which were originally
designated for the use of wildlife and/or tourism activities.
In the relatively more arid parts of Botswana, there can be an economic advantage to wildlife and tourism
activities since conventional stock farming is so marginal and risky. In many southern African countries,
scenic arid and semi-arid landscapes are generating more income from their wildlife and wilderness qualities
than can be gained from livestock farming.
Gupta (2013) describes human-wildlife conflicts in Naledi village on the edge of Chobe National Park in
northern Botswana where elephants frequently raid arable fields. For some farmers, crop raiding by such
'problem animals' is one of the reasons that they have stopped farming their larger arable landholdings,
intended for both commercial and subsistence purposes, and now only grow a few fruits and vegetables in
small backyard gardens. Others continue to farm, but lament the prevalence of crop raiding by elephants and
express little hope that their farming efforts will yield a harvest with commercial or even subsistence value.
Gupta also reports that the effects of living near Chobe National Park and its protected wildlife are mediated
by a relatively well-functioning welfare state that provisions citizens with both agricultural and non-
agricultural support.
80
How important is HIV/AIDS as an issue in tourism? The most vulnerable groups are drivers,
community-based workers, game wardens, tour guides, and trekking officers.
“Botswana’s high-value, low-volume tourism strategy (to minimize negative environmental impacts
on wildlife areas while maximizing socio-economic benefits) implies sustainable
development/tourism. While conservation of biological diversity appears to be on course, visitation -
and hence revenue - has remained stunted in most parks and reserves. Moreover, the strategy appears
to have contributed towards enclave tourism, with a large foreign ownership of tour operator
companies and repatriation of profits from Botswana. This compromises yet another principle of
sustainability - social equity. It would appear that the strategy is anti-sustainability with a large rural
population that still highly dependent on natural resources”.
(Source: http://www.ingentaconnect.com/content/cog/ta/2011/00000016/00000002/art00008).
In the Okavango, tourism has had a range of impacts (Mbaiwa 2008, WTTC 2014). It has stimulated
the development of a variety of allied infrastructure and facilities, such as hotels, lodges and camps,
airport and airstrips, in the Okavango region. Wholesale and retail businesses have also been
established, especially in Maun, to offer various goods to the tourist industry. Tarred roads and other
communication facilities have also been developed in Ngamiland District partly to facilitate tourism
development. Tourism in the Okavango Delta also provides employment opportunities to local
communities and it is a significant source of foreign exchange for Botswana. Despite its positive
socio-economic impacts, the industry is beginning to have negative environmental impacts in the area
such as the destruction of the area’s ecology through driving outside the prescribed trails, noise
pollution and poor waste management.
In the Okavango Delta, the tourism industry is designed to meet the interests of tourists from
developed countries and is dominated by foreign safari companies. The tourism industry in the
Okavango Delta does not significantly take into consideration the socio-cultural, economic and
environmental needs of the host economy. It is characterised by: the marginalisation of local
companies and investors; leakages and repatriation of tourism revenue from Botswana to developed
countries; the failure of tourism to promote rural development and poverty alleviation; and, the failure
to observe local environmental regulations to conserve the Okavango Delta as a natural ecosystem.
Despite these problems, such destinations have the potential to contribute to sustainable tourism
development. This requires a planning process that satisfies the needs of tourists and tour operators
while being sensitive to the socio-cultural, economic and environmental needs of host countries and
destinations.
5.2 Development scenarios for the tourism sector
During a scenario development workshop, a number of drivers were identified as likely to have the
main influences on the development of the tourism sector over the coming decade (Table 5.1). These
informed the development of low-growth and high-growth scenarios for this sector over this period –
as mapped in Table 5.2.
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Table 5.1: Development drivers for the tourism sector
SD pillar Drivers
Environmental Integrity of tourism sites/products – this is essential to ensure that:
o Ecological processes are maintained – eg water is able to enter the Okavango delta,
connectivity is maintained (habitats, wildlife movements), wildlife populations are
not threatened by poaching. Many of these have transboundary implications (eg
upstream developments that abstract water in neighbouring countries), but others are
internal (eg FMD fences).
Need a transboundary EIA procedure that helps Botswana to influence upstream
developments (eg Angola and Namibia)
o Habitat change (mostly anthropogenic) does not degrade the tourism product.
Better land use planning is needed to reduce “urban sprawl” – villages
Notes:
o Integrity is also influenced by the extent to which the lodges integrate well with
local communities
o World Heritage status, national parks, and International Bird Areas, etc. all improve
tourism marketability
o Being part of a transboundary conservation area (eg KAZA) as well as linking
tourism opportunities to Community-Based Natural Resource Management
(CBNRM) will positively influence tourism
Climate change - it implies greater need for wildlife mobility, increased vector-borne
diseases (e.g. malaria), hotter temperatures – all of which affect tourism
Social Rural communities – they need land and resources, and they settle where these are
available, often coming into conflict with conservation/tourism
Disenfranchisement of local communities in the industry (there are barriers, eg
constraints in lease agreement arrangements and access to land for tourism) - can give
rise to them having negative perceptions of tourism, even resorting to sabotage (eg
poaching, crime, hostility towards tourists, grazing cattle in tourism areas).
Multipliers from tourism – these need to be felt in the immediate areas around tourism
sites/destinations, ie so that locals communities benefit much more than now.
Access to finance - it is hard to get a loan. Administration is onerous and complicated
Economic Policy directions – may policies currently limit or inhibit tourism (see examples below)
which, if addressed, would be a positive stimulus to the sector
o Moratorium on hunting
o High value, low volume strategy (it is appropriate for ecologically sensitive areas,
but does it need to be changed as regards other areas?)
o Need a policy to stimulate an improved value chain and reduce leakages (ie tourism
revenues being earned outside Botswana).
o KAZA needs to be implemented, and consistently applied - including with regard to
issues such as access control, anti-poaching activities, compatible land use practices,
management of migratory species (eg elephant, buffalo, hippo, crocodile, fish).
o Need policy consistency (in both content and implementation), so that policies are
integrated better (agriculture, water, transport, security, immigration, etc.).
Furthermore, most other sectors do not see a role for themselves in tourism, and they
have no strategies for supporting tourism. The slogan “tourism is everyone’s
business”, needs to be taken on board.
o Security of tenure – investors need to feel secure.
o Current policies are skewed against tourism, eg mining rights overpower tourism
and conservation; agriculture receives subsidies, but tourism does not.
Air access
o Should an ‘open skies’ policy be pursued (Air Botswana has a monopoly internally).
Global economy
o The economic outlook for Europe is deteriorating (particularly in the EU). People
take fewer, shorter holidays, and may take cheaper accommodation that 5-star
lodges. This can influence the sector.
o The strength of BRICS economies may offer new markets – takes a lot of effort to
get into this market. Some of these have peculiarities – eg some nationalities travel
in large groups, language issues, cultural issues
82
o Botswana tourism is expensive – overseas visitors may chose a cheaper country, and
locals mostly cannot afford hotels and lodges
Competition
o Other countries have similar products – how well does Botswana compare?
o Service providers mostly speak English – need multilingual skills (French, German,
Mandarin, Japanese)
Other Transboundary issues - Botswana’s tourism product requires a high degree of
transboundary cooperation (eg KAZA) – all countries would be more successful if they
worked together (to foster complimentary land use, apply similar standards, undertake
joint marketing, and offer complimentary products)
Political stability – in Botswana and SADC
Health - eg outbreaks such as Ebola; HIV/AIDS; Malaria
Security issues - crime (Botswana is close to RSA; some tourists may wrongly perceive
terrorist groups (ie Bok Haram) to be a threat to their safety in Botswana)
83
Table 5.2 Development scenarios for the tourism sector over the next 10 years
CURRENT SITUATION
(BASELINE SCENARIO)
BUSINESS-AS-USUAL
SCENARIO
(LOW GROWTH +
INFLATION)
[Over next 6 years - within
NDP11 period]
HIGH GROWTH SCENARIO
[Over next 10 years]
Assumptions:
No major policy changes
(within Botswana or
bilaterally)
Modest marketing
improvements
No big change in Zimbabwe
Relative competitiveness of
SADC countries remains
the same
No major economic crisis in
“north”
Poaching levels remain
about the same
Assumptions:
Aggressive marketing (eg in
BRICS, Japan, USA)
New tourism products offered
(cultural, mineral, events)
Neighbours improve their
products (Zimbabwe, Zambia,
Namibia, Mozambique, RSA) –
but don’t cooperate
Visa accessibility is made easier,
especially for package tourists
Economic crisis in the “north” –
tourists reduce their holidays
(spend less time in Botswana or
choose closer destinations)
Poaching levels remain about the
same
Mining encroaches into tourism
areas
Major infrastructure
improvements (airports, Trans-
Frontier Conservation Areas,
border posts, ICT, etc.)
Peace and security is maintained
HIV/AIDS is stable
Crime is an increasing problem
(RSA and Botswana)
Taxes imposed on imports by
‘bakkie’ tourists (on food and
alcohol); and an increase in park
and camping fees for such
tourists
Number of rooms increases by
50% from baseline
Growth areas are Kalahari-
Makgadigadi, Gaborone,
Francistown, Maun, Trans-
Kalahari Highway
21% of all arrivals are
holiday/leisure tourists7
Breakdown of leisure arrivals
(2012)8:
Africa: 68.57%
South Africa: 31.425
Americas: 8.05%
21% of all arrivals are
holiday/leisure tourists
21% of all arrivals are
holiday/leisure tourists –figure
stays same, even though number
of tourists increases dramatically
7 Dept Tourism – informal communication 8 Estimated tourist arrivals 2012, Dept of Tourism
84
Asia/Pacific: 5.64%
Europe: 17.08%
95% of holiday/leisure
tourists visit nature-based
products
Fly-in holiday/leisure tourists:
mostly from EU
Drive in holiday/leisure
tourists:
All arrivals combined: 2.,3
million (excluding day
visitors) 20129
Length of stay: 5.3 nights
(2012)
Average bed occupancy
rate: 38.6 (2013)10
High (80%)/Low seasons
(20%) are a feature of the
industry in leisure areas
RSA visitors dominate real
tourist self-drives (90%)
No official collaboration
with neighbours to
promote regional packages
Policy conflicts undermine
tourism/make it difficult
Batswana own 57% of
tourism facilities, Joint
venture are 22.6% 11
Locals largely alienated
from management
positions – white
dominated industry
Downstream industries
(aircraft, restaurants) not
locally owned
Too much leakage (40%)
Contribution to GDP 3.7%
95% of holiday/leisure
tourists visit nature-based
products
Fly-in holiday/leisure
tourists: mostly from EU
(no major change)
Drive in holiday/leisure
tourists: (no change)
All arrivals combined: 2.5
million (excluding day
visitors) 2020
Length of stay: 5.3 nights
(no change)
Average bed occupancy
rate: 50%
High (80%)/Low seasons
(20%) are a feature of the
industry (no change)
RSA visitors dominate real
tourist self-drives (90%) (no
change)
No official collaboration
with neighbours to promote
regional packages (no
change)
Policy conflicts slightly
reduced (hunting allowed).
Some Management Plans
implemented (e.g. ODMP)
Batswana own 57% of
tourism facilities, Joint
venture are 22.6% [no
change]
Locals largely alienated
from management positions
– white dominated industry
Downstream industries
(aircraft, restaurants) still
not locally owned
Still too much leakage
(40%) (no change)
Contribution to GDP 3.5%
(slight decline)
90% of holiday/leisure tourists
visit nature based-products – with
increase in cultural and mining
tourism
Fly-in holiday/leisure tourists:
mostly from EU, but increasing
from BRICS, USA etc
Drive in holiday/leisure tourists:
(no change)
All arrivals combined: 4 million
(excluding day visitors) 2025
Length of stay: 6 nights
Average bed occupancy rate:
50% (no change)
High (80%)/Low seasons (20%)
are a feature of the industry (no
change)
RSA visitors dominate real tourist
self-drives (90%) (no change)
Modest official collaboration with
neighbours to promote regional
packages (small change)
Policy conflicts even less
(hunting allowed). More
Management Plans implemented
(e.g. ODMP)
Batswana own 80% of tourism
facilities
Locals gradually occupying more
management positions – industry
fairly equitable
Downstream industries (aircraft)
still not locally owned
Much less leakage (20%)
Contribution to GDP 5%
(because mining and energy grow
dramatically)
9
10 Dept Tourism 2013: Accommodation report 11 Dept Tourism licence ownership structure data 2014
85
People employed 17,000 People employed 17,000
(no change)
People employed 23,000
The baseline figures are according to the Department of Tourism - guided by the UNWTO International Recommendations on Tourism Statistics (IRTS 2008) and the Tourism Satellite Account – Recommended Methodological Framework TSA:RMF 2008, both of which are
UN approved international standards for the measurement of tourism. They are therefore consistent with other measurement frameworks
such as the System of National Accounts, Balance of Payment Manual, WTO Trade in Services Manual etc. which are used to measure other economic sectors. These therefore define tourism as: “activities of persons travelling to and staying in places outside their usual environment
for not more than one consecutive year for leisure, business and other purposes”.
5.2.1 Scenario summary
To achieve high growth in this sector, it is assumed that there will be aggressive marketing,
particularly to promote key growth areas such as Kalahari-Makgadigadi, Gaborone, Francistown,
Maun, and possibly along the route of the proposed Trans-Kalahari Highway. Also new tourism
products will be developed, eg focused on Botswana’s cultural heritage, mineral/mining-based
tourism and, events. But it is recognised that Botswana’s neighbours are also likely to improve their
tourism products and be in competition. This will drive a modest improvement in cooperation, eg to
enable tourists to more easily secure visas and to gain smooth access through new Trans-Frontier
Conservation Areas. There will also be major infrastructure improvements (eg increased bed rooms,
upgrades to airports and border posts and improved ICT), and Batswana will own at least 80% of
tourism facilities (helping to reduce ‘leakage’ to about 20%) – with locals gradually occupying more
management positions.
The growth in the sector will see tourism’s contribution to GDP increase (from 3.7%, current) to 5%
by 2025 - mainly because of dramatic growth in the mining and energy sectors. Available jobs will
also increase, from 17,000 (current) to 23,000 (2025).
The tourism sector will become more robust and adaptable, particularly in order to respond to external
factors such as economic crises which may reduce international tourism volume, and to internal
challenges such as increasing crime, continued poaching and encroachment of other activities in
tourism areas (eg mining and agriculture). It is assumed that the country will remain peaceful and
secure and that there will be no significant increase in the levels of HIV and AIDS.
It is projected that Botswana will see a dramatic increase in the number of tourists, rising from 2.3
million (current) to 4 million (2025) (excluding day visitors), with a small increase in the number of
nights spent in the country. However, the proportion arriving for holiday/leisure purposes (currently
21%) is unlikely to change. Most of the latter (90%) will continue to visit nature-based products. An
increasing number of fly-in tourists will come from BRICS and the USA (currently they are mainly
from the EU). But the number of drive-in tourists will remain the same as now (mainly from South
Africa).
5.3 Sustainability appraisal of the tourism sector
5.3.1 Selection of activities for appraisal
Development initiatives/activities associated the high-growth scenario for tourism (see Table 5.2.) and
objectives/goals and projected initiatives identified for the sector in the draft Framework for a Long-Term
Vision for Botswana (27 October 2015) were reviewed. This identified the following activities
(initiatives, projects, policy thrusts, etc) likely to be implemented over the next 10 years:
Aggressive marketing (eg in BRICS, Japan, USA)
86
Easing of visa accessibility, especially for package tourists
Upgrading of nature-based tourism (Vision)
Development of new tourism products - increase in cultural and mining tourism,
Focus on growth areas: Kalahari-Makgadigadi, Gaborone, Francistown, Maun, Trans-Kalahari
Highway
Taxes imposed on imports by ‘bakkie’ tourists (on food and alcohol);
Increase in park and camping fees for such tourists
Promote increase in available rooms (likely increase of 50% from baseline)
Push to increase in length of stay of tourists (likely to increase from 5.3 to 6 nights)
Promote tourism industry to employ more locals in management positions – making the industry
fairly equitable
Promote increase in numbers of people employed in tourism (likely to rise from 7,000 to
c.23,000)
Improve tourism-sector skills [Vision ]
Enhance cross-border collaboration for tourism [Vision]
The following activities (partly amalgamating initiatives listed above) were selected by participants
for assessment in the sustainability appraisal workshop for the tourism sector:
Activity 1: Upgrading nature-based tourism [Vision] through increasing the number of mainly
international tourists (through marketing), and increasing the duration of their stay (bed
nights) and improving local involvement and skills in tourism [Vision]
Activity 2: Promoting new tourism products (cultural tourism; heritage tourism; mining
tourism; and meetings, incentives, conferences and exhibitions (MICE) )
Activity 3: Enhancing transboundary collaboration and tourism products
5.3.2 Overall perspective on the sustainability of the tourism sector
Botswana is well established and widely regarded as one of southern Africa’s prime wildlife tourism
destinations. It is a strategic sector for generating foreign exchange, attracting foreign direct
investment, creating employment and reducing poverty in the country.
The government of Botswana recognizes the need for economic diversification and is therefore
encouraging greater investment into tourism. There is immense potential for growth and the
development of new products (e.g. cultural/heritage products, conferences and adventure tourism) in
various parts of the country.
However, neighbouring countries also have good tourism options, so Botswana will have to improve
its standards as well as upgrade and diversify its products, services and facilities to be competitive in
the region and globally. However, there is limited potential for increasing the number of lodges in
prime areas, given that the de facto policy is to focus on high-value, low-volume tourism. Thus, the
logical expansion option is to improve bed night occupancy within existing establishments.
It is expected that if the plans for the Trans-frontier Conservation Areas come to fruition (and if
passport control procedures are streamlined), there will be increased movement of tourists through the
region wanting to experience the wide range of destinations offered. This will establish central-
southern Africa as one of the world’s most attractive tourism destinations, and Botswana stands to
benefit from the potential synergies that regional tourism development offers.
From a sustainability perspective, the activities appraised below are mainly beneficial with positive
economic, social, governance and environmental outcomes. However, large-scale transboundary
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tourism initiatives (linked to transboundary conservation) would benefit greatly from the application
of a sustainability assessment.
5.3.3 Sustainability appraisal of selected activities
Table 5.3: Sustainability appraisal of selected activities in the tourism sector
Activity 1: Upgrading nature-based tourism [Vision] through increasing the number of mainly
international tourists (through marketing), and increasing the duration of their stay (bed nights)
and improving local involvement and skills in tourism [Vision] On balance perspective [summary conclusion of pros and cons):
As noted above, Botswana’s tourism sector is already well established, but the country needs to upgrade and diversify its
nature-based products, improve its services and facilities to remain competitive in the region and globally. There is
limited potential for increasing the number of lodges in prime areas, given that the de facto policy is high-value, low-
volume tourism. Thus, the logical expansion option is to improve bed night occupancy within existing establishments.
From a sustainability perspective, tourism impacts are overwhelmingly positive given that nature-based activities are
located in remote areas in need of development (thus not adding to pressure in urban centres). Tourism is labour
intensive and creates employment. Nature-based tourism inherently promotes conservation and has potential for
community involvement. However, a variety of negative impacts are evident and these need to be managed, and the
sector needs greater Batswana ownership. Another key issue is the need to reduce leakage so that there is greater value
adding within the national economy.
Synergies – within and between sectors:
The torusim sector can find synergies with: the Botswana excellence strategy, infrastructure development (roads,
airports), agriculture (food for lodges, agricultural tourism, livestock and game farming integrated), mining (mining
tourism), education (environmental awareness), and water (e.g. dams being tourist attractions). The tourism sector could
work more closely with law enforcement agencies (including BDF) in combatting poaching.
Antagonisms - within and between sectors:
Tourism vs mining (e.g. Okavango), tourism vs livestock (e.g. western Ngamiland),
Assumptions & risks:
Leakage is a feature of the tourism sector, which reduces Botswana’s ability to obtain maximum economic benefits.
The unequal distribution of income is also an issue that needs attention.
Economy & employment Social upliftment Environment Governance, safety & security
Positive impacts
Increased direct and
indirect jobs
Improved contribution
to GDP
Increased FOREX
earnings
Promotes foreign and
local investments
(lodges, hotels,
transport, other
services)
Stimulates
infrastructure
improvement (including
technology innovation,
ICT, bookings,
transfers, ease of
payments)
Positive impacts
Improved skills
development (+ job
progression)
Positive impacts
Lodges/tourism generally
promote conservation
(because they require
wilderness and wildlife),
and minimise the
presence of sectors that
have higher negative
impacts (e.g. mining)
Tourism promotes
conservation through
raising environmental
awareness, shared
learning, litter-free
countryside, re-stocking
with wildlife, good range
management, etc.
Tourism presence
disuades illegal activities
such as poaching
Tourism has raised
awareness about
economic benefits of
nature
Positive impacts
Tourism promotes crime
prevention because tourists
avoid high-crime areas.
Tourism can result in
improved policies (eg
promoting conservation, free
movement of wildlife,
integrated land use planning)
and policy consistency
between conservation/
tourism and other sectors (eg
agriculture, mining)
88
How to enhance
Provide ‘decent’ jobs –
more Batswana
managers, good service
conditions, job security
Improve the value chain
and reduce leakage (eg
through local sourcing,
transport, curios,
booking offices, food)
Improve ease of doing
business (this will assist
newcomers in the
sector)
Promote domestic
tourism
Tax self-drive tourists
(restrict import of beer,
meat, etc.) to reduce
leakage
Improve the capture of
GoB tourism rents and
levies (eg on fuel, park
entry, accommodation),
and promote the
investment of these
rents/levies in
conservation/tourism
upliftment, HWC
management, etc.
How to enhance
Promote
local/community
ownership (eg
through CBNRM
programmes)
Strengthen tourism
training (through
public private
partnerships), but
focus on needed
skills and
competencies, rather
than academic
qualifications
How to enhance
Tourism sector should get
more involved in
environmental education
and conservation
programmes, including
reducing human-wildlife
conflicts
How to enhance
Maintain peace, security,
ease of travel, and general
atmosphere of tolerance, etc.
Retain/improve Botswana’s
“low corruption” reputation
Negative impacts
Tourism sector regarded
as too exclusive, with
Batswana not
benefitting enough
economically
Negative impacts
Tourism projects may
displace agriculture/
increase HWC
Prostitution, spread
of HIV and AIDS
Social disruption and
tension could occur
when foreigners
interact
inappropriately
(possibly due to
ignorance) with rural
communities that
have strong cultural
values
Unequal incomes
(rich tourists visiting
poor areas) can cause
anger and resentment
Negative impacts
Various impacts:
Loss of local habitat,
biodiversity and
ecosystem services
through land clearing for
infrastructure, and
activities such as off-road
driving
River bank erosion from
boats creating waves
Pressure on water (for
drinking, washing,
laundry, etc. at lodges).
Tourists consume more
water per capita than the
average rural-dwelling
Batswana
Carbon footprint
(because of international
air travel)
High carbon footprint/
environmental cost of
bottled water and other
over-packaged products
imported from afar –
major cause of landfill
congestion as most
packaging is non-
biodegradable
Pollution (water, soil, air)
from lodge waste, fuel
spillages, exhaust fumes,
Negative impacts
Possible infiltration of
undesirable people posing as
tourists, exacerbated in
“regional tourism” scenario,
if people would be able to
travel between countries on a
single visa
Increased pressure on law
enforcement agencies (crime,
corruption, accidents, etc.)
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How to mitigate
Improve local
ownership and
involvement in tourism
enterprises
Source local produce
wherever possible
New leases should
preferably be offered to
Batswana or local
dominated joint venture
partnerships
How to mitigate
See column 1
Provide tourists with
socio-cultural
information to reduce
misunderstandings
Educate local people
about tourism and
other cultures, so they
better understand the
industry and the
visitors
Decent wages need to
be paid to workers in
the industry
(minimum wage in
the Labour Act may
not be a living
wage?)
Conservation levies
are an opportunity to
raise funds to
undertake projects
that reduce HWC
light
Wildlife harassment (eg
on game/boat drives, low
flying aircraft)
Spread of alien invasive
species (mostly plant
seeds that are carried on
vehicles, shoes, baggage
or planted in gardens)
How to mitigate
Carbon offsets for air
travel (needs a SADC
approach)
Improved uptake of
Botswana Tourism Eco
Certification Standards
(ensure these adequately
address issues such as
avoiding use of bottled
water, recycling, off-road
driving, boat excursions,
low-flying aircraft,
physical footprint of
lodges, alien invasives,
etc)
Sustainability assessment
to understand cumulative
impacts of tourism and
other developments in the
Makhadighadi, central
Kalahari12
The tourism sector should
increasingly adopt clean
technology (solar power,
waste recycling, water
efficiency)
How to mitigate
None obvious
Activity 2: Promoting new tourism products (cultural tourism; heritage tourism; mining
tourism; and meetings, incentives, conferences & exhibitions (MICE) ) On balance perspective [summary conclusion of pros and cons)
Foreign tourists will likely appreciate the opportunities to experience aspects of local cultures and practices. Cultural and
mining tourism will probably be small-scale, and not result in major economic benefits to the economy. However,
participating communities that are strategically located, could enjoy significant employment and economic benefits.
Synergies - within and between sectors:
Same as activity 1.
Antagonisms within and between sectors:
Same as activity 1.
Assumptions & risks:
A key assumption is that communities/villages and mine operators will be interested to develop and offer tourism
products, and make the necessary investments. Experience elsewhere has shown that communities involved in tourism
have a ‘love-hate’ relationship with visitors. Whilst they welcome the economic and employment opportunities offered
by tourism, they can resent the invasion of privacy, which is an inevitable consequence. Also, the presence of foreign
tourists in traditional societies can, on the one hand, promote the preservation of traditional practices (since these are the
products being presented). But on the other hand, tourists can introduce foreign behaviour that undermine local values.
Economy & employment Social upliftment Environment Governance, safety & security
Positive impacts
Positive impacts
Positive impacts
Positive impacts and
enhancement
12 These are emerging tourism hubs. An SEA has already been done for the Okavango Delta area
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Promoting diversified
economy (national and
local levels)
Reduced leakage
because communities
are more involved in
developing and
presenting the products
High multiplier effect as
it stimulates more local
development,
investment, and product
innovation
There is potential for
more conference and
events tourism because
of Botswana’s location
and attractions. This
kind of tourism
generally requires
visitors to stay more
nights than
conventional tourists
See activity 1 for
additional impacts
How to enhance
Improve ease of doing
business (this will assist
newcomers in the
sector)
Promote domestic
tourism
Provide literature on
cultural diversity of
Botswana, and promote
the places where this
can be experienced
Most cultural and
events tourism
activities are locally
hosted and organised,
thus enhancing
control and
ownership.
Compared to other
major economic
sectors, cultural
tourism offers
relatively more
opportunities to
women
Exposure to different
cultures may improve
people’s
understanding and
acceptance of others
Heritage tourism will
promote conservation
and appreciation of
heritage sites
Villages that are open
to cultural tourism
are more likely to
value and preserve
their own cultures,
and the nation’s
values and practices
How to enhance
Specialised training
for village people so
that they understand
opportunities and
tourist needs, and so
that they are able to
offer a good product
and service
Produce information
materials about the
cultural villages/
products and
distribute these to
tourists, lodges,
operators
Mines that are open to
tourism are likely to have
a good environmental
programme
Villages open to tourism
more likely to take care
of their surroundings (eg
less litter, neater, etc.)
International conferences
demand facilities that
have environmental
standards, thus prompting
good environmental
practices
How to enhance
Promote dialogue
between the mining and
tourism sectors to explore
opportunities for
collaboration
Similar to general tourism –
see activity 1
Negative impacts
Increases local inflation
(including property
values)
May exacerbate local
labour shortage in
farming sector as people
become more involved
in tourism
Negative impacts
Conferences are more
likely to promote
prostitution, spread of
STDs, etc.
Tourism may
undermine local
cultures and values,
and even result in
selling of family
assets and heirlooms
(e.g. traditional
jewelry)
Jealousy between
villages, as cultural
tourism may increase
Negative impacts
Adventure tourism events
can cause harm to
biodiversity (especially if
they are located in
wilderness areas)
Conferences require big
energy inputs.
Negative impacts
Same as general tourism (see
activity 1)
More conferences will
require more hotels, placing
greater pressure on local
authorities to make land,
services and water available
Land speculation, resulting in
price and accessibility
distortions
91
How to mitigate
None obvious
wealth relative to
others
Botswanan cultures
could be falsely/
misleadingly
portrayed to attract
tourists
Damage to heritage
sites
Elite capture within
the village
How to mitigate
Awareness raising in
conference centres
about the risks of
STDs
Tour operators should
sensitise their guests
about appropriate
behaviour in
Botswana generally,
and when visiting
communities
Communities need to
be made aware of the
importance of
maintaining integrity
with regards to the
products they offe.
GoB (in collaboration
with the tourism
sector) should
develop guidelines
for cultural tourism
How to mitigate
Same as general tourism
– see activity 1
How to mitigate
Same as general tourism – see
activity 1
Activity 3: Enhancing transboundary collaboration and tourism products On balance perspective [summary conclusion of pros and cons):
Tourism is a cornerstone of Botswana’s economy. The Kavango Zambezi Transboundary Conservation Area (KAZA –
see Figure A6.3, Appendix 6) initiative presents the most significant need for a sustainability assessment (SA) for
transboundary conservation/tourism, because this extensive area - covering Botswana, Namibia, Zambia, Zimbabwe and
Angola - has a complex interaction of potentially conflicting policies, plans, programmes and projects. These need to be
assessed in an integrated way to achieve the desired level of synergy and to mitigate potential antagonisms. At a smaller
scale, there is strong case to conduct a transboundary SA for the Kgalagadi Transfrontier Conservation Area. Such SAs
would significantly improve the planning and implementation of Activity 3 and promote sustainable development in
Botswana and her neighbours as it would need to address economic, governance, social and environmental issues, and
the interplay between them.
Synergies - within and between sectors:
There is considerable potential for collaboration in marketing tourism packages and in cross-border wildlife
management (through transfrontier conservation areas – TFCA) between Botswana and neighbouring SADC countries
(particularly Namibia, South Africa, Zambia and Zimbabwe). There is also potential (because of valuable tourism
products) for a more integrated approach towards the management of transboundary environmental and social impacts
resulting from ‘upstream’ projects such as dams and irrigation on shared rivers.
Cooperation and harmonisation between airline operators in the region (e.g. code sharing, interchangable tickets, carbon
offset arrangements, baggage handling) would greatly assist in the realisation of the transboundary tourism initiative.
Antagonisms - within and between sectors:
Policy conflicts between different countries, and between sectors within countries, may undermine this potential
transboundary tourism synergy. For example, if there are different environmental/service/tariff standards for lodges and
operators, then the “package” is inconsistent. Also, there may be different land/natural resource management practices in
one country to those across the border (e.g. hunting allowed in Namibia but not in Botswana), and a contradictory
objectives of promoting unfettered transboundary wildlife movement on the one hand, and preventing it (through
92
veterinary fences), on the other.
Assumptions & risks:
The greatest risk is that countries will not accept free movement of tourists across borders without them having to go
through onerous passport control. This is the main reason why countries are reluctant to undertake joint product
development and marketing and enable seamless cross-border tourist movements. The fact that the visionary TFCA and
transboundary tourism initiative has not yet taken off, is evidence that greater political will is required to implement a
mechanism to enable transboundary tourism whilst still safeguarding a country’s security requirements.
Economy & employment Social upliftment Environment Governance, safety & security
Positive impacts
Same as general tourism
(see activity 1), but at
broader scale
How to enhance
Improve regional
collaboration
(especially through the
TFCA initiative,
RETOSA, SADC and
SACU)
Positive impacts
Improved community
connectivity across
national borders
Greater benefits and
opportunities from
natural resources
How to enhance
Achieve consistency
between countries
with regards to the
extent to which
communities may
access resources in
protected areas
Positive impacts
Wildlife migration
‘corridors’ enable/improve:
mobility and expanded
range (access to forage
and water) for wildlife
genetic variability
habitat management in
areas previously enclosed
and overcrowded
resilience to climate
variability, including
drought
wildlife to repopulate
areas they previously
occurred in, but where
they recently became
depleted
How to enhance
Develop a landscape-
based management plan
for a TFCA: otherwise
ensure consistency of
individual management
plans for the protected
areas in each adjoining
country
Apply common standards
(and raise them) for
environmental/tourism
management
Positive impacts
Promotes neighbourliness
and the need for
harmonisation between laws
in neighbouring countries
Stimulates collaboration in
anti poaching, peace, defense
and security, etc.
How to enhance
Improve the efforts and
efficiency of RETOSA and
TFCA initiatives – this
requires a SADC-wide
approach
Formalise and intensify
cross-border anti-poaching
collaboration
Negative impacts
None evident
Negative impacts
Social disruption and
tension could occur
when foreigners
interact
inappropriately
(possibly due to
ignorance) with rural
communities that
have strong cultural
values
Unequal incomes
(rich tourists vising
poor areas) can cause
anger and resentment
How to mitigate
Provide tourists with
socio-cultural
information to reduce
Negative impacts
Spread of alien invasive
species across national
boundaries
How to mitigate
Lodges and operators
involved in
transboundary operations,
Negative impacts
Undesirable transboundary
movement of people
How to mitigation
Establish a practical
mechanism to enable the easy
transboundary movement of
93
misunderstandings
Educate local people
about tourism and
other cultures, so they
better understand the
industry and the
visitors
Decent wages need to
be paid to workers in
the industry
(minimum wage in
the Labour Act may
not be a living
wage?)
Tour operators should
sensitise their guests
about appropriate
behaviour in
Botswana and other
countries, and when
visiting communities
must implement a
common policy with
regards for
eradicating/preventing
the existence/spread of
alien invasive species
tourists whilst still
safeguarding national
security requirements
5.4 Conclusions and implications for national planning
Botswana’s tourism sector is already well established and its importance to the economy is growing.
It creates jobs and local incomes and generates contributions to government revenues. But only 10%
of tourism revenues are currently retained locally since the bulk of bookings are handled in South
Africa.
The draft Framework for a Long-Term Vision identifies tourism as a key economic driver. To harness
its potential and achieve high growth, it sets out a strategy that will involve: reviewing the positioning
and marketing of tourism; improving access to skills; enhancing cross-border collaboration;
leveraging new markets; offering new products and locations; ensuring a steady increase in sector
value added.
The challenge for the new Vision and the implementation options set out in NDP11 will be to ensure
that Botswana upgrades and diversifies its nature-based products and improves its services and
facilities to remain competitive in the region and globally. As noted in our analysis, there is limited
potential for increasing the number of lodges in prime areas under the high-value/ low-volume policy
for tourism. So a big push is needed to increase bed night occupancy within existing establishments.
New products could include cultural, mining-based and agriculture-based tourism. However, such
enterprises are likely to be small-scale, and will not contribute in a significant way to the national
economy. But the Vision and NDP11 need to encourage involvement of local communities in such
initiatives so that they can enjoy (potentially significant) employment and economic benefits.
Nature-based tourism is focused on remote areas which need development (and thus does not increase
the pressure in urban centres), promotes conservation and offers good potential to engage local
communities. So its impacts are very positive and will contribute to sustainable development.
However, there are some negative impacts (eg social disruption, loss of local habitats, pollution – see
Table 5.3, Activity 1). So policies emanating via the new Vision and initiatives under NDP11 will
need to ensure that these are mitigated and managed effectively. It will also be important that these
instruments identify ways to reduce leakage in the sector to ensure greater value adding within the
national economy.
94
The analysis in Section 4.3 identifies a number of ways in which the tourism sector can work in
synergy with other sectors and initiatives, eg infrastructure, agriculture, mining, education, water, law.
and the Botswana Excellence Strategy. NDP11 should identify opportunities and programmes to
promote such cooperation and shared projects in which several sectors can engage.
The Kavango Zambezi Transboundary Conservation Area (KAZA) initiative offers major
opportunities to Botswana to capture regional tourists and grow the sector. But the issues and
challenges connected with KAZA are significant and complex. There is a clear need for a trans-
boundary sustainability assessment of KAZA to examine the interaction of potentially conflicting
policies, plans, programmes and project in an integrated way to achieve synergies and mitigate
potential antagonisms. Such an assessment will need to be undertaken as a collaborative venture with
Angola, Namibia, Zambia and Zimbabwe. The Vision should identify this requirement and NDP11
should commit to exploring how it can be achieved with the above countries.
It is also recommended that NDP11 commits to undertaking a smaller scale sustainability assessment
of the Kgalagadi Transfrontier Conservation Area. It would significantly improve the planning and
implementation of this initiative and promote sustainable development in Botswana and her
neighbours as it would need to address economic, governance, social and environmental issues, and
the interplay between them.
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6: WATER SECTOR
6.1 Baseline situation in the water sector
6.1.1 Importance to economy
Industry is a major element of the economy, generating jobs and taxes. Water is an essential medium
for many processes in industries. Botswana's economy has been built on the foundation of diamond
mining. Mining, agriculture and ecosystems are the main consumers of water. There is already
evidence of over-extraction of underground water, some of which is for industrial use. The further
growth of mining will place more pressure on fresh water supply (mines, except for Orapa, harvest
their water or buy some from the Water Utilities Corporation).
Agriculture still provides a livelihood for more than 80% of the population, supplies about 50% of
food needs and accounts for 3% of GDP. Cattle raising predominates. But the sector is plagued by
erratic rainfall. Currently 2,000 ha are irrigated. But there are plans to increase this area to about
10,000 ha, mainly in NE Botswana, significantly increasing the demand for water. It will be delivered
from the Zambezi via a third extension to the North-South Carrier (NSC3). Additional irrigation,
particularly of horticultural crops, may be possible using treated effluent.
Botswana’s economic success has transformed quality of life through provision clean drinking water.
6.1.2 Policy and legislative framework
Table A7.1 (Appendix 6) summarises the key policy instruments and legislation for this sector.
A national Integrated Water Resources Management (IWRM) plan (support by UNDP and GEF)
was completed in 2013. It marks one of the MDG7 targets and has facilitated coordination of various
stakeholders in the water sector to achieve greater ecological and socio-economic efficiencies. Plan
preparation supported some elements of Water Sector Reform such as the formulation of a National
Water Resources Management Policy and capacity[building for local authorities in water resources
planning. The reform also includes the separation of roles between service providers and regulators.
The SADC Revised Protocol on Shared Watercourse Systems (2000) asserts that “State parties shall
take all appropriate measures to prevent the cause of significant harm to other watercourse States”
The SADC Directorate of Infrastructure & Services (I&S), is tasked with overall coordination and
management of the SADC Water Programme. The Protocol revision in 2000 was to recognize the UN
Watercourses Convention which came into force in 2003. It promotes the establishment of shared
watercourse agreements and institutions and enshrines the principles of reasonable use and
environmentally sound development of the resource. It supports Integrated Water Resource
Management (IWRM) and the Regional Strategic Action Plan for Integrated Water Resources
Development and Management (RSAP-IWRM). The Protocol also supports strengthening the
principles of integrated management of shared basins with specific provisions for equitable utilization,
planned measures, no significant harm, and emergency situations.
Botswana’s Standard for Drinking Water Quality (BOS 32:2000) are available at:
http://www.wuc.bw/wuc-content.php?cid=17#)
96
6.1.3 Institutional framework
The Department of Water Affairs (DWA) under Ministry of Minerals, Energy and Water Resources,
is responsible for water resource management and planning and the construction of strategic water
infrastructure
Surface water assessment is done solely by DWA, but ground water assessment is shared between
DWA and the Department of Geological Survey (DGS) - with DGS focusing mainly on preliminary
assessment work and DWA in most cases following up the work done by DGS to accurately define
groundwater reservoirs and develop well fields. DWA also acts as the Secretariat to the Water
Apportionment Board (WAB). The WAB is a statutory body established under the Water Act 1956 to
issue water abstraction and wastewater discharge rights to water consumers and/or users. The WAB
will be abolished after the water sector reforms have been concluded. Water development and supply
functions are a shared responsibility between DWA and other key stakeholders such as the Water
Utilities Corporation, District Councils, Ministry of Local Government (MLG) and Ministry of
Agriculture (MOA).
The Department of Geological Survey (DGS) has responsibility for administering the Borehole Act
of 1956. It investigates and monitors major groundwater systems in the country, and maintains the
National Borehole Archive for the assessment of groundwater potential.
The Water Utilities Corporation (WUC) - a paratstatal – is concerned with the supply of both treated
and raw water to settlements, households and industry. This mandate has been extended through the
recent Water Sector Reform to cover not just urban areas but the entire country. WUC is the
management authority for all the major dams in the country. Its responsibilities/mandate cover: bulk
water supply to industries; management of raw water reservoirs and water treatment; operation and
maintenance of water supply infrastructure, wastewater management and treatment.
The overall objective of the Department of Waste Management and Pollution Control (DWMPC) -
under Ministry of Environment, Wildlife and Tourism - is to prevent and control pollution resulting
from inappropriate and inadequate waste management practices. The Department’s responsibilities
include: coordination and monitoring of sanitation and waste management; administration of policy,
legislation and programmes regarding waste management and pollution control; and planning and
development of wastewater treatment works.
Other key institutions include:
The Ministry of Lands and Housing - responsible for administering Land Boards. These and land
use planners use the 8 km distance (between water points) rule to plan the use of groundwater
resources for livestock farming.
The Ministry of Agriculture (Water Development Division) - responsible for the development of
small agricultural dams; and groundwater resources for irrigation.
Self providers eg mines and farmers - many develop and manage their own water supplies
subject to attaining user rights from Land Board and WAB.
Botswana is a member of four River Basin Organisations concerned with the Limpopo, Okavango,
Orange-Senqu, Zambezi rivers (for details of their responsibilities, see Table A7.2. Appendix 7)
6.1.4 Main water resources and sector products
Botswana is characterised by scarce water resources. It has low rainfall with high rainfall intensities,
rainfall seasonality, high temporal variability and high spatial variability. Drought years are
97
progressively intensified by climate change.
Drought-hit pasture land in Botswana
The country’s water sources consist primarily of surface water (in rivers, pans and dams of various
sizes) and underground water in aquifers - some of which are of a fossil nature with no recharge.
6.1.4.1 Surface water
All of Botswana’s perennial rivers are shared with neighbouring countries. There are six drainage
basins/catchments (See Figure A7.1, Appendix 7), five of which are shared:
o Molopo/Nossop (with South Africa in South)
o Limpopo (with S.Africa in East)
o Makgadikgadi basin
o Kwando/Linyati/Chobe (with Angola & Namibia in North)
o Okovango basin & delta (with Angola & Namibia in Northwest)
o Internal drainage system (central Kgalagadi)
Botswana has an allocation of 500Mm3 from the Chobe/Zambezi, and a modest allocation from the
Nata River. Transfer from the Okavango is not recommended. The Limpopo is mostly used by South
Africa. Botswana gets up to 7.9 Mm3/yr from the Molatedi dam on the Marico River,
near Zeerust, North West South Africa – although the amount is under revision. It can apply for
withdrawals from the Orange-Sequu River Basin.
Quantity of flow
The Department of Water Affairs (Ministry of Mineral Resources and Water Affairs) has operated a
network of gauging stations on rivers and impoundments since 1969. There are 10 recorded stations,
some of which have automatic chart recorders, which are visited daily, weekly or monthly. There are
four WHYCOS stations that are installed or planned, which will collect water level data on a
continuous basis, and download it via satellite link. These stations form part of the FRIEND network
coordinated by the Institute of Hydrology (UK). The data are captured in an electronic database called
HYDATA, in Gaborone. The users are mainly consultants and researchers, to whom it is supplied free
of charge on request. (Source: http://www.fao.org/docrep/005/X9751E/x9751e05.htm).
Dams
Of the eight major dams in Botswana (Table 6.1 and Figure A7.2, Appendix 7), Dikgatlhong
(completed in 2012) is the largest with a capacity of 400Mm3. Botswana’s storage capacity is one of
the lowest in the region, owing to its flat topography.
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Table 6.1: Major dams in Botswana
Dam Catchment Km2 Capacity Mm3 Sustainable yield Mm3 %
Dikgatlhong ? 400Mm3 ? 51.6
Gaborone 4300 144.2 10.0 18.2
Thune 10.1
Letsibogo 5690 104.0 20.0 12.0
Nnyane 238 2.3 0.3 0.3
Bokaa 3570 18.5 1.1 2.4
Shashe 3630 85.3 40.0 1.1
Ntibale ? 26.5 2.9 3.4
TOTAL 380.8 73.2 100.0
Botswana has reached her peak of dam development owing to the flat topography of the country. With
economical development of dams declining with any additional sites, the need for efficient use of
existing dams is even greater. As dams also act as wetlands, the challenge of managing them as such
is prominent.
Dams are currently managed by the Water Utilities Corporation (WUC). The primary use of the dams
currently is water storage, but they also have other economic and ecological uses: tourism, real estate,
fisheries, biodiversity conservation and agriculture. These untapped opportunities represent losses in
numbers of decent jobs, contribution to GDP, and improvement of ecosystems.
Botswana has 100 reservoirs (most small and used for agriculture), 92 of these are small-medium
dams (most for livestock) (listed by the Ministry of Agriculture). The WUC manages 6 large
reservoirs (90% of country’s storage capacity): safe yields are only 20% of total capacity due to
erratic flows, high evaporation and limited dam site suitability. They supply less than half the
country’s annual water consumption. The three latest dams to be constructed (the last suitable sites)
are Dikgatlhong (400Mm3), Lotsane and Thune (in the East) will double available safe yield. There
are 34 potential small-medium dam sites with some potential (according to DWA).
Pipelines
The North-South Carrier (NSC) is a water transfer scheme that takes raw water from various dams
south for a distance of 360 kilometres to Gaborone. Phase 1 was completed in 2000. Phase 2 of the
NSC, under construction, will duplicate the pipeline to carry water from the Dikgatlhong Dam. A
proposed extension (NSC3) to deliver water from the Zambezi would add another 500 to 520
kilometres to the total pipeline length (Figure A7.3, Appendix 7).
The WUC Network is responsible for the more than 2000 km of pipes varying in sizes from 15mm to
1200mm diameters in towns of Gaborone, Francistown, Selibi-Phikwe, Jwaneng and Sowa. It is
accountable to more than 100,000 consumers.
6.1.4.2 Groundwater
Groundwater data are in two separate databases (Dept Geol Surveys & DWA) and need integrating,
and there is a need for a national spring monitoring network. Figures A7.4 and A7.5 (see Appendix 7)
show the distribution of Botswana’s aquifers.
Groundwater resources are the largest source of water in the country. They account for 56% of total
water use. But they are of limited quality and quality, and are unevenly distributed. Most well-fields
are found in the East and North. Aquifer recharge is zero in the West; and about 40mm in the North.
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There is an estimated 100 billion m3 water held in Botswana’s aquifers. In 2003, there were 30 well
fields and 13 proposed. The government operated 22 well fields in 2003, and 13 are proposed. Data
on yields are variable and unclear – more assessment work is needed. Each well field has an average
30 boreholes. In the East, sand rivers are a potential source. Mines, livestock & rural communities
depend on groundwater.
Every borehole drilled in Botswana must submit a drill record, after which a borehole certificate is
issued. In the process, the location, depth to water, casing type, total dissolved solids (TDS) and pump
test data are recorded in an electronic database maintained by the Department of Water Affairs, but
shared with Geological Services. This database was begun in 1992. About a fifth of the boreholes are
privately owned. Drilling is now done by private contractors, who require a registration number and
must provide the drill logs to the government.
Well fields are monitored for water table levels and major ion chemistry. The water yield of each well
in the well field is recorded monthly. The depth records of the 17 boreholes are automatically
recorded and reported via satellite. The data originally went into the WELLMON database which is
now too small, so a new database is now under development. The main users are the Ministry itself,
and managers and consultants in the water sector. The monitoring of individual boreholes is now the
responsibility of local government.
The wells around mining areas are monitored for pollutants by the mining companies themselves.
Water Affairs supervises this process.
6.1.4.3 Irrigation
The extent of irrigated land in the country is unclear. Participants in the sustainability appraisal
workshop for the water sector indicated that about 2000 ha are currently irrigated, but FAO statistics
(2012) indicate the area currently equipped for irrigation is 1,438.6 ha whilst that actually irrigated is
only 620.1 ha (Table 6.2).
Table 6.2: Irrigation in Botswana Source: FAO Aquastat/Univ Bonn, 2012) (http://www.fao.org/nr/water/aquastat/irrigationmap/bwa/botswana.pdf)
Region Area equipped for irrigation (ha) Area actually irrigated
Central 586.5 358.7
Francistown 208.3 45.5
Gaborone 149.7 38.7
Northwest 194.4 71.9
Southern 249.9 103.3
Western 49.8 2.0
Botswana total 1438.6 620.1
With groundwater 665.4
With surface water 773.2
Water abstraction, use and consumption for irrigation is not measured, data is fragmented, and
abstraction cannot be reliably estimated. Irrigation relies heavily on groundwater (60.2%). 34% of
farmers use water from rivers, 5.8% use dams.
6.1.4.4 Wastewater recycling
There were 64 treatment works in 2003 – mostly based on the pond system. But there are no data on
inflows/outflows. Current records show 55 wastewater treatment facilities in the entire country
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(Botswana’s Water Sector Policy Brief 2012).
Some wastewater infrastructure systems have exceeded their design limits, presenting a risk of
polluting freshwater and water tables (eg Kasane and Gumare: both in important wetlands - Chobe
and Okavango, respectively). Other systems are approaching design limits (eg Gantsi).
The Ministry of Agriculture has partnered with the Water Utilities for the economic utilisation of
recycled water from Gaborone city sewage treatment plant with plans to follow a similar pattern with
other cities in the rest of the country through roll-out of the National Master Plan for Arable
Agriculture and Dairy Development (NAMPAADD). A number of government institutions including
schools and army camps have established grey-water recycling facilities, thus reducing the demand on
clean water for uses such as gardening and brickmaking.
6.1.4.5 Water consumption
Villages generally have a lower per capita consumption than urban centres, although trends in overall
consumption in villages have been rising, especially in peri-urban areas. Villages have on average
about 0.15m3 /day per capita consumption while cities and towns have as high as 0.55m
3 /day.
Data for 2008 (Botswana Water Statistics, CSO 2009) show that in 2008, amongst the urban areas, the
highest per capita consumption was in Selebi Phikwe (0.433m3/day) and the lowest in Francistown
(0.178m3/day), with Gaborone and Jwaneneg both having levels of 0.184m
3/day. For major villages,
the highest total consumption was in Molepolole, followed by Maun, Kanye, Mogoditshane and
Serowe – all of which were above 7,000m3 /day. Kanye had the highest water losses.
6.1.4.6 Water quality
Pollution is likely to increase with economic growth and diversification, and control measures are
needed. There is insufficient legal protection of groundwater, and inadequate protection of catchment
areas. There is also a problem due to the natural salinity of groundwater. High solar radiation results
in high evaporation, leaving salts in water.
A new and sophisticated water analysis laboratory is located at Water Affairs in Gaborone. Samples
are drawn weekly from about 87 stations nationwide and analysed for inorganic chemical
constituents.
6.1.5 Sustainability issues
Water is limited in Botswana, and baseline water resources are already used unsustainably.
The in-feed to water assets mainly comes from external sources (shared rivers). This makes Botswana
vulnerable to water-related actions in other countries and subject to transboundary impacts.
Botswana needs to have a say in what neighbours are doing. One route is through River Basin
Commissions. Transboundary environmental assessment mechanisms are needed - perhaps
transboundary EA protocols. This has already been initiated by ORASECOM (under the SADC treaty
on Shared Watercourses), but the process is stalled. Protocols could be legally linked to RBO
Agreements. The need to develop a transboundary EIA protocol is under discussion in OKACOM.
Botswana is vulnerable to climate variability and climate change. Its social and economic
development programmes and goals will be at risk if climate change is not addressed. At the same
time, the contribution of Botswana’s economic sectors to greenhouse gas emissions is comparatively
small. There is agreement on the following climate changes for the region (based on: (a) Scientific
Analysis Report for Botswana Climate Change Policy, Dec 2014); and (b) Post et al. 2014):
increased temperatures (1-3 degrees);
drier in the future during mid-summer;
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o Averaged across the country, the dry future projection is for a reduction in rainfall of
50 mm (10%);
o median projection is for a reduction of 15 mm (3%);
o wet projection is for an increase of 13 mm (also around 3%);
increases in frequency of very hot days and heat waves;
drying trend for shared rivers arising outside Botswana is likely;
increased annual precipitation over south east South Africa, decreased December-January-
February rainfall over southern Zambia and Zimbabwe, and the possibility of decreased
October-November rainfall over central Zambia;
with implications for water availability and impact a number of sectors, particular agriculture
and hydrology in what are already vulnerable.
For the water sector, it is expected that climate change will result in a decrease in annual dam yields,
and an average increase in unmet water (Table 6.3). A change in the timing and onset of rainfall will
impact on the character and quality of ecosystem services.
Table 6.3: Sectoral climate change impacts
(Source: INC and SNC, Department of Meteorological Services. Botswana)
Sector Impacts
Crops Changes in growing season length
Changes in crop productivity
Health Shift in malaria band
Morbidity and mortality children under five (5) years of age
Water Decrease in annual dam yields
Average increase in unmet water
Grassland and Livestock Deterioration of: calving rates, rangeland quality, changes in abundance of species
groups
Forestry Tree-line shifts, bush encroachment
Thus, will there be enough water for high growth unless choices on how to use water are made? The
water resource accounts argue that the greatest value adding is for mining and tourism. Should
Botswana set aside any plans for further irrigated agriculture? Or plan to reduce quantities of
livestock?
Success in providing safe drinking water in urban and rural areas has also had positive impacts on
health and sanitation, thus contributing to the other MDGs, especially on gender equality and child
mortality. Collecting water and ensuring that there is enough water for household use is usually the
domain of women and girls. This, in addition to other household tasks, can be labour-intensive and
time consuming
The so-called virtual water trade is concerned with the water flows associated with imports and
exports. Crops have high water requirements. The current trade patterns of large food imports and
large livestock product exports are efficient in terms of water use.
Botswana will face increasingly acute water shortages Botswana. This needs to be factored into
development decisions and trade-offs considered. For example, exporting coal-generated electricity
is, in part, exporting water. So the gains need to be assessed critically.
Increased irrigation planned for the new dams (Thune and Dikgatlhong) and in NE Botswana using
water piped from the Zambezi, and irrigation using treated wastewater, may lead to pollution (from
fertilizers), and soil salinisation from overwatering if appropriate technology such as drip irrigation is
102
not applied. A delicate balance will be needed to achieve the most optimal water use and highest
efficiencies to bring about food security at the lowest of ecological and social costs. Women are likely
to be disadvantageously affected more than men in accessing irrigation technologies and finance for
them – measures will be need to ensure their effective participation so as to provide, in-turn, for food
security.
There is a risk that water supply may be solely prioritised at the expense of IWRM and water demand
management
The following issues are raised by the Botswana Water Policy Brief (Seanama Conservation
Consultancy, 2012):
Water Demand Management
Considering the limited supply of water and the evident declines in rainfall owing to climate change,
per capita consumption remains high for some of Botswana’s urban areas. At nearly double the per
capita consumptions of other urban areas, Selebi Phikwe presents a major water demand management
challenge. Against this background is also the significant decrease in per capita consumption in Sowa
(needs analysis and lessons drawn).
Management of water demand hinges on technology investments for efficient water use within the
industry, especially agriculture and mining. Progress has been visible in the mining sector - especially
as regards water use for diamond-processing, and agriculture’s interest in drip irrigation. The scale of
drip-irrigation in Botswana is still too low to bring out empirical strength. Pilot initiatives through the
Department of Water Affairs have shown effective reduction in water demand in schools. However,
the wider replication of these pilots for more empirical strength is negated by the lack of policy
regarding water efficiency within the Ministry of Education, or even basic per-capita consumption
standards against which the institution’s administration is measured.
The neglect of water demand management can result in severe food shortages, disruption of business
and essential services such as health and education. The ever rising water demand requires prudent
management and employment of technology to optimise efficiencies.
Managing demand is more important that investing is water development because it makes available
the same amount of water at a lower cost, thus making the economy more efficient. Reducing losses
and water wastage decreases water processing and transmission costs in the form of electricity and
chemicals used for purification. These green savings not only reduce the negative environmental
impacts of coal-generated electricity, but also make WUC more viable - thus securing jobs. The
application of technology can also reduce water losses substantially, eg leak detection devices,
pressure and flow control sensors with real-time and on-line data transmission, automated pressure
valves and a GIS-based computerised system to manage these components.
Use of groundwater
All of the western part of the country depends on underground water for both human consumption and
livestock. The mining sector also depends largely on underground water (CSO 2009). Current
extraction rates exceed sustainable levels for the aquifers - a challenge that ecological limits will be
exceeded; and an even bigger challenge for fossil aquifers or those with low recharge rates. With
climate change causing progressive declines in rainfall, recharge rates are projected to be even lower
(Department of Meteorological Services, 2009).
Further challenges with underground water relate to the land-use planning and positioning of such
facilities as landfills. Prudent management of facilities such as petroleum stations and sewage
treatment plants is important to ensure zero-contamination of underground water.
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Water Losses
Waste water/effluent constitutes 16% of all the water resources of which only 20% is re-used. There is
an opportunity to use treated wastewater for irrigation. There are significant water losses and wastage.
An estimated 46% of purified water is not accounted for (Ministry of Finance and Development
Planning, 2010). Water efficiency levels need to be increased drastically. Most villages are at the peak
of their resource availability with water losses factored in. A 46% increase in water availability may
be achieved by either developing more water resources (assuming infinite availability) or reducing
water losses.
Water, health and sanitation
The quality of drinking water, management of sanitation infrastructure, positioning of potentially
hazardous facilities such as oil reservoirs, waste landfills and wastewater processing plants require
greater institutional diligence. Although waterborne sanitation systems are allocated according to the
size of the settlement and within the settlement, these are allocated to middle and upper income
residences. In many village locations, seepage from pit-latrines and soak-away systems represent a
risk to aquifers. Raised nitrate levels are a problem in Maun.
Of the current 55 wastewater treatment facilities, data on their capacities is available for 33. It
indicates that a total of 103,400m3 /day of water is spent on water-borne sanitation (Department of
Waste Management & Pollution Control, 2012). Assuming twice the volume when adding the
unknown figures and considering the projected 300,000 m3 by 2020 quoted in the National Policy on
Wastewater and Sanitation Management (Ministry of Local Government, 2001), the current figure
could be in the range of 210,000m3/day. The policy advocates for Sealed Dry Composting Latrines
(SDCLs), but specifically for areas where there is no piped water. The benefits may therefore need to
be compared with the infrastructure costs and water considered as an ecological limit to the universal
use of a water-borne sanitation system. The World Toilet Organisation (WTO) has supported many
governments to transform into a dual sanitation system of water-borne and dry sanitation for different
parts of the country. There are health issues to consider (Peasey, 2000) as well as the agricultural
benefits from dry waste.
The expansion of waterless sanitation will reduce costs to the beef industry currently resulting from
measles and other parasitic veterinary diseases caused by cattle coming into contact with human
faecal matter in rural Botswana. It will also reduce the potential for contamination of aquifers. The
risk-levels of aquifers needs mapping. Gantsi Township is a priority-area where improved sanitation
needs to be implemented across the township and not restricted to high-income residential areas. Dry
sanitation will also save drinking water, contribute to agriculture through reduced parasites in
livestock, and increase soil fertility.
Water for ecosystem/ecological services
The IWRM process has raised awareness about the ecological role of water – particularly for rivers
and wetlands (including dams). As fewer villages draw their drinking water directly from rivers,
concerns about water quality may minimise. But pollution of watercourses can reduce biodiversity (eg
eliminate certain species of fish) and alter riverine ecosystems. More needs to be understood about the
ecological vulnerability of Botswana’s riverine ecosystems. There is formal requirement for the dam
authority to release water from dams to maintain downstream ecosystems.
Underground storage
The lack of further economical dam-sites in Botswana should stimulate consideration of underground
storage of surface run-off water.
104
Use of economic instruments
Instruments are needed to control economic behaviour in relation to water resources, eg:
Payment for ecosystem services - where local communities residing upstream within catchment
areas are incentivised to prevent soil erosion and pollution for the benefit of the rivers and dams
downstream. Plus, identifying and terminating perverse incentives such as water consumption
subsidies for employees. Setting tradable pollution permits which recognise that some element of pollution will exists side-
by-side with economic development, but that such pollution is to be within specific Limits to
Acceptable Change. Polluters may therefore trade their permit amounts through an authority
whose costs are covered by a share of such trade. Such a system has the benefit of stimulating
reduction in pollution as a measure of a company’s progression to a greener economy and a
means of financing such a transition.
6.2 Development scenarios for the water sector
During a scenario development workshop, a number of drivers were identified as likely to have the
main influences on the development of the water sector over the coming decade (Table 6.4). These
informed the development of low-growth and high-growth scenarios for this sector over the coming
decade – as mapped in Table 6.5.
Table 6.4: Development drivers for the water sector
SD pillar Drivers
Environmental Climate change
o Water
Shared rivers are already stressed, with increased water demand in
neighbouring countries (SADC Agreement on Shared Water is a key
instrument – need to agree a Transboundary EIA protocol)
Erratic/lower rainfall will cause reduced aquifer recharge
Land use change
o Urban sprawl, habitat deterioration, reduces runoff and aquifer recharge
Social Population growth
o More people require more water (estimated 1.26%/yr population increase
nationally in 2014 – according Indexmundi1)
o Urbanisation (2.07% annual rate of change for 2010-15 estimated by
Indexmundi2) – urban people consume more water – due to increased
affluence
Economic Mining
o More mines require more water (especially coal), including associated
infrastructure which uses water
Agriculture
o More irrigation requires more water
o Feedlots (industrial beef) – require water
Power generation
o Power stations – use water
Budget constraints
o Inadequate funding for dams, pipelines
Technology and awareness
o Desalination of saline groundwater (costs and suitability are key factors)
o Better knowledge/technology will increase understanding of groundwater
availability, as well as lead to reduced leakages and wastage, and groundwater
recharge
Other Policy, politics and awareness
105
o UN declaration on water as a human right and the SDGs will stimulate water-
borne sanitation
o Incentives and technologies for recycling, water saving, and water re-use
o Food security policy - drives irrigation
o Water sector reforms – that stimulate cost recovery, efficiency, IWRM
o Better information/awareness about need to conserve water (regionally variable)
o Politicisation of water
Neighbours
o Shared rivers – what is the risk of future regional conflict over access to water?
o SADC peace and security (developments in other countries will affect
Botswana’s water availability)
o Improved water sharing agreements between neighbours 1: http://www.indexmundi.com/botswana/population_growth_rate.html
2: http://www.indexmundi.com/botswana/urbanization.html
Table 6.5: Development scenarios for the water sector over the next 10 years
CURRENT SITUATION
(BASELINE SCENARIO)
BUSINESS-AS-USUAL
(LOW GROWTH +
INFLATION)
[Over next 6 years - within
NDP11 period]
HIGH GROWTH
[Over next 10 years]
Assumptions:
No new big dam sites
available. Catchments
yielding overall similar as
now (erratic)
NSC phase 2 not fully
completed
Dams under construction
are completed
Masama emergency well
field commissioned
(3million litres per day)
Increased demand by
RSA on Lesotho water,
minimal excess for
Botswana
Major increases in
industrial activity (mines,
power stations)
SADC peaceful
No change in water
restrictions
Urbanisation, population
growth, new urban
infrastructure
Assumptions:
No new big dam sites available.
Catchments yielding overall
similar as now (erratic)
NSC phase 2 fully completed
New dams fully connected to NSC
pipelines
New Zambezi connection pipeline
done (part of NSC 3 – will connect
at Palapye)
More irrigation (food security)
Lesotho water importation in place
(feasibility study commenced in
2015) – maybe new pipelines.
Increased coal and other mines and
power stations
SADC peaceful
No change in water restrictions
Ongoing urbanisation, pop growth,
new urban infrastructure,
Water resource accounts
recommendations only partly
implemented
Siltation of dams gets worse
because of accelerated land
degradation – maybe not in the
short term
No major new technology for deep
well water exploration
106
Shared river basin commissions
are operational – protocols agreed
and signed –EIA transboundary
protocol implemented
8 large dams. Full available
capacity: 800Mm3 (380
now)
Sustainable yield from
dams: 156 Mm3 pa
Dams silted at <1% (some
>10%) (sediments are not
monitored, dam design does
not include sediment
efficiency)
92 small farm dams.
Groundwater supplies 56%
of total water use
Underground storage
capacity: 131,290 Mm3
Rainwater harvesting close
to zero
Sustainable yield of
aquifers: 96 Mm3 pa
Rural consumption: 0.15m3
per person day - literature
(30-50 litres more realistic
for small settlements, 70-80
litres for larger DWA
villages - according to SA
workshop). Water-borne
sanitation is the main
reason for increases in
DWA villages
Urban consumption:
0,55m3 pppd
(more realistically 150-170
litres pppd domestic)
Water Demand: 200 Mm3
pa
20% water re-use
Water pumped from private
boreholes not metered
Irrigation area: 6200 ha
(2000 ha under irrigation
now, 4000 ha irrigable)
o 60% using
groundwater,
o 34% rivers,
o 6% dams
Agric overall 74,6 Mm3 pa
Water for mines: 34.6 Mm3
pa
Water for power: 0.103
Mm3 pa
Water for manufacturing:
3.4 Mm3 pa
8 large dams. Full
available capacity:
800Mm3 (800 actual)
Sustainable yield from
dams: 300 Mm3 pa
Dams silted at <1% (some
>10%)
(10% increase on current
base): 101 small farm
dams..
Groundwater supplies 45-
50% of total water use
Underground storage
capacity: 131,290 Mm3
Rainwater harvesting
close to zero
Sustainable yield of
aquifers: 96 Mm3 pa
Rural consumption: 0.2m3
pp pd
Urban consumption:
0,6m3 pppd
Water Demand: 330-380
Mm3 pa by 2020
25% water re-use
Water pumped from
private boreholes not
metered
Irrigation area: 8000 ha
o 50% using
groundwater
o 34% rivers
o 16% dams
Agric overall 130 Mm3 pa
Water for mines: 50 Mm3
pa
Water for power: 1 Mm3
pa
Water for manufacturing:
4 Mm3 pa
8 large dams. Full available
capacity: 800Mm3 (800 actual)
Sustainable yield from dams: 300
Mm3 pa
Dams silted at 1% (some >10%)
(15% increase on current base):
106 small farm dams.
Groundwater supplies 55-65% of
total water use
Underground storage capacity:
131,290 Mm3
Rainwater harvesting close to 5%
of water sourcing
Sustainable yield of aquifers: 96
Mm3 pa
Rural consumption: 0.25m3 pp pd
(more realistically may increase to
60-80 litres pppd for small
villages, 100 litres pppd for larger
DWA villages)
Urban consumption: 0,7m3 pppd
Water Demand: 400-440. Mm3 pa
by 2020
35-45% water re-use
Water pumped from private
boreholes not metered
Irrigation area: 10,000 ha
o 40% using groundwater
o 50% rivers
o 10% dams
Agric overall 200 Mm3 pa
Water for mines: 70 Mm3 pa
Water for power: 3 Mm3 pa
Water for manufacturing: 4.5 Mm3
pa
107
Water for domestic use sold
by utilities: 83.7Mm3 pa
Water infrastructure
North-South Carrier 1
Sewerage treatment
facilities (55) – released to
environment
Grey water treatment plants
(some micro facilities)
Purified water losses
(leakage or unmetered use)
46%
Water for domestic use
sold by utilities:150Mm3
pa
Water infrastructure
NSC 2 in place
Sewerage treatment
facilities (60)– released to
environment
Grey water treatment
plants (some micro
facilities) 10% increase on
current base
Purified water losses 30%
Water for domestic use sold by
utilities: 160Mm3 pa
Water infrastructure
NSC 3 constructed
Sewerage treatment facilities (70)
– released to environment
Grey water treatment plants (some
micro facilities): 30% increase on
current base)
Purified water losses 20%
6.2.1 Scenario summary
The high growth scenario for the water sector is based on a number of assumptions. No new dams will
be constructed since all available sites are already used, and the yields of existing dams will remain
erratic (mirroring rainfall variability) and similar to current ones at best, and possibly reducing over
time as dams suffer increasing siltation because of accelerated land degradation.
Phase 2 of the North-South Carrier will be completed with all major dams connected to pipelines, and
an extension to draw water from the Zambezi will be completed by 2025. The more recent dams and
Zambezi access will provide water for irrigated agriculture. particularly large schemes in NE
Botswana near Pandamatenga. The total area of irrigated land will increase from about 2000 ha (note
that data are unclear – one source estimates that the actual area being irrigated is only about 600 ha) to
about 10,000 ha. Water will also be imported from Lesotho through pipelines. Demand will be
managed to equitably distribute water to various users: growing urban populations and infrastructure,
industries, mines and power stations.
Botswana will work closely with neighbouring countries to ensure that the shared river basin
Commissions are operational and work effectively to manage water resources - with protocols agreed
and signed (notably an EIA Transboundary Protocol will be implemented).
The country’s eight large dams have an available capacity of 800Mm3 when full, providing an
estimated annual sustainable yield of 300 Mm3. There will be a modest increase in the number of
small on-farm dams (perhaps 15%). Groundwater is likely to provide a greater proportion of total
water supplies than at present (an estimated 10-15% increase), but underground storage capacity will
remain unchanged (currently 131,290 Mm3). Overall water demand is likely to double by 2020 (to at
least 400 Mm3), with water consumption (both urban and rural) inevitably rising as population grows
and lifestyles change.
There will be a significant increase in the number of sewerage treatment facilities (from 55 at present
to about 70) and the number of grey water treatment plants will increase by about 15% (actual
numbers are not clear).
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6.3 Sustainability appraisal of the water sector
6.3.1 Selection of activities for appraisal
Development initiatives/activities associated the high-growth scenario for water (see Table 6.5) and
objectives/goals and projected initiatives identified for the sector in the draft Framework for a Long-
Term Vision for Botswana (27 October 2015) were reviewed. This identified the following activities
(initiatives, projects, policy thrusts, etc.) likely to be implemented over the next 10 years:
North-South Carrier (NSC) phase 2 is fully completed
New dams now being constructed are fully connected to NSC pipelines
NSC 3 (new Zambezi connection pipeline) is constructed
Lesotho water importation is in place
Expand irrigation (promoting food security) (irrigated area rising from current 2000 ha to
10,000ha)
Government will continue investing in irrigation schemes that utilize treated wastewater and in
the meantime will seek improvement of their water productivity [Vision]
Ensure shared river basin commissions are operational – with protocols agreed and signed –
particularly a transboundary EIA protocol is implemented
Promote increase in re-use of water (likely to rise from 20% to 35-40%)
Promote increase in sewage treatment facilities (likely to rise from 55 to 70 plants)
Promote increase in greywater treatment plants (likely 30% increase)
Promote water demand management and water resources stewardship [Vision]
Establish prioritized demand categories and quantities that are exempted for efficiency allocation
process, and strict application of water allocation efficiency guidelines to all other users [Vision]
Undertake sectorial integrated water resources management assessment, including cost-benefit
analysis for priority sectors to inform water allocation decisions [Vision]
Incorporate integrated water resources management (IWRM) into strategies and policies of
economic growth, trade and investment, as well as undertake environmental impact assessments
of both projects and strategies [Vision]
Encourage roof top harvesting of water for domestic use [Vision].
Develop and implement a catchment area management approach [Vision].
Strengthen management of shared water resources [Vision]
The following activities (partly amalgamating initiatives listed above) were selected by participants
for assessment in the sustainability appraisal workshop for the water sector:
Activity 1: NSC phase 2 (including the Masama emergency well field) and NSC3 (Zambezi link)
are fully completed (including providing smaller pipes to villages, and abstraction from aquifers,
dams and rivers).
Activity 2: Reclamation, treatment and re-use of waste water (including sewage) (sewage
treatment works to rise from 55 to 70).
6.3.2 Overall perspective on the sustainability of the water sector
Botswana is a water-stressed country. Surface water sources are essentially limited to shared rivers
(eg Zambezi/Chobe, Orange, Okavanago, Limpopo) which are subjected to heavy and escalating
abstraction by upstream countries. In addition to abstraction, other developments in neighbouring
countries (eg construction of infrastructure, urban expansion, land clearing and industrial
development) undermine the ability of rivers to continue performing essential ecological services.
The evidence indicates that underground water sources in Botswana are being over-extracted - some
of this is for industrial use. But water is essential for most of the country’s industries (eg diamond
109
mining) which are key contributors to the economy and generate employment, and for agriculture.
The latter is limited by erratic and low levels of rainfall, high rates of evaporation and
evapotranspiration, and predominantly poor soils. It is dominated by livestock keeping and accounts
for about 3% of GDP due to the predominance of diamond mining, but it underpins the livelihoods of
more than 80% of the population and generates about half of the country’s food requirements.
The further growth of mining projected in the draft Framework for a Long-Term Vision will place
added pressure for public water supply, although some mining companies (eg the diamond mine at
Orapa) harvest their own water; and mines and many industries recycle water in their operations.
Currently 2,000 ha of land are irrigated. But it is proposed to expand irrigation (to an estimated
10,000 ha), notably in the Pandamatenga area in NE Botswana following the development of the
NSC3 to draw water from the Zambezi. This proposal is of concern. Whilst it will be beneficial in
terms of food security, it is likely to result in a range of significant environment and social negative
impacts. The 2013 report on Environmental-Economic Accounting for Water in Botswana, considers
that the opportunity costs of water consumption for irrigation are “high” and need to be carefully
considered in development planning. The report also recommends that economic diversification
should favour the service sectors and trade policies that recognise Botswana’s comparative
disadvantage in water resources.
Some irrigation will also be possible as a result of proposals to treat wastewater. Such treatment
should be maximised wherever possible and, from a sustainable development perspective, makes
perfect sense. Water saving should be the norm in Botswana, given the water stress the country faces,
rather than being promoted only during times of acute water crisis.
Given the overall criticality of water to Botswana, there is a strong case to undertake a sustainability
assessment (SA) of the water sector, addressing economic, social, environmental and governance
issues related to water and the interactions between them. This SA should take into account both
supply and demand concerns and developments at a river basin level, and examine the cost-benefits of
proposed initiatives and alternatives to them, and options such as aquifer recharge.
110
6.3.3 Sustainability appraisal of selected activity
Table 6.5: Sustainability appraisal of selected activity in the water sector
Activity 1: NSC phase 2 (including the Masama emergency well field) and 3 (Zambezi link)
fully completed (includes providing smaller pipes to villages, and abstraction from
aquifers, dams and rivers) On balance perspective [summary conclusion of pros and cons):
It is essential to the nation (for both economic and social reasons) to ensure that water from available surface sources
(ie rivers and dams) and groundwater supplies (ie well fields) is accessed and transported to the main population
centres and industries (including for irrigated agriculture). It is equally essential that water losses (considered to be
high due to poor infrastructure) are minimised, and that as much water as possible, is recycled. The construction and
operation of the water infrastructure facilities (mainly pipelines) projected under this activity will be of clear economic
and social benefit to the country (as a whole) and to communities and individuals. There will also be some negative
consequences, and some negative environmental impacts. The significant expansion of irrigated farming (for food
crops) linked to NSC3 will also benefit the country (eg contributing to the economy, enhancing food security and
generating jobs). But this initiative to open up large areas of industrial agriculture is likely to generate a great variety
of significant negative social and environmental impacts and there are doubts about its financial viability. It requires
careful thought and a sustainability assessment to address the many likely cumulative impacts and measures to
minimise/mitigate them, and how to enhance possible synergies with other sectors.
Synergies – within and between sectors:
The planning of water infrastructure development needs to be fully integrated with broader land use planning and
undertaken at the landscape level. This will enable appropriate routes for pipelines to be determined. Irrigated
agriculture development should be supported by analysis of the suitability of the land for irrigated crops and be
based on prior land evaluation to assess and zone land according to its suitability for different potential uses.
The development of water infrastructure will benefit considerably by working closely with sectors that require
and depend on water supplies (eg agriculture, mining and tourism); with sectors in which water has in important
role/influence (eg health and associated structures such as HIV and AIDS Management Committees); and those
agencies dealing with social issues such as gender and poverty eradication.
Antagonisms - within and between sectors:
Land previously used for traditional agriculture may be alienated for mega irrigation projects associated with
NSC3. Also, these projects will be located adjacent to major rivers (Zambezi/Chobe) that are important for
biodiversity and already utilised for tourism. There will likely be conflicts between irrigated crop production and
wildlife (eg elephants trampling and eating crops).
Botswana has submitted proposals to the Zambezi River Commission (ZAMCOM) for water abstraction and use
of water for irrigation. No formal objections have been raised, so it presumed to be acceptable. But this
abstraction could lead to tensions (since other member States also have increasing water needs for the different
development priorities) unless formal agreement is reached through ZAMCOM It is strongly recommended that
Botswana uses its influence within SADC and the various river basin commissions, to develop catchment-
specific Transboundary EA Guidelines so that developments in the basins are better coordinated and planned.
Assumptions & risks:
Importing water or food (produced by irrigation) from other countries externalises the environmental costs (the
water demand to grow those crops) to the producing country (ie it generates what is known as a ‘virtual water’
demand).
The national budget will continue to subsidize water provision to enable food production in the interests of
“national security”.
Note: [WAVES could broaden its natural capital accounting to address irrigation and emerging mining, power
and other uses of water].
Economy & employment Social upliftment Environment (Natural
Capital)
Governance, safety & security
Positive impacts
Jobs during
construction and
implementation
Water availability
stimulates economic
growth (manufacturing,
mining, energy,
Positive impacts
Improved water
availability and
employment
opportunities will
enhance and diversify
livelihood options and
family incomes
Positive impacts
None obvious
Positive impacts
Improved food security (from
irrigation crops - a national
issue)
Improved water security
111
irrigation, tourism,
aquaculture etc.) and
employment in the
above industries
Irrigation projects
associated with NSC3
will stimulate ancillary
industry and services
(engineering, transport,
banking, etc.); and
provide crops for export
(FOREX earnings) and
import substitution
Improved security of
water supply improves
investor confidence, and
thus enhances FDI
New pipelines improve
water delivery
efficiency (less water
loss than old pipelines)
Overall benefit to
national economy
through multipliers
How to enhance
Repair leaking pipes
Rationalise water
pricing (currently the
government
subsidises capital
costs, but consumers
must pay full cost
recovery for water
consumed)
Local hiring
Skills transfer
Local ownership (of
irrigation projects)
Small villages will
have improved access
to high quality, safe
drinking water –
improving health and
sanitation (a social
good)
New skills acquired
(particularly in
irrigation projects)
Irrigation projects
associated with NSC3
will stimulate more
services & social
infrastructure in the
NE area of Botswana
(eg schools, clinics);
and people in that area
will have less need to
seek jobs elsewhere
How to enhance
Strengthen local level
institutions (eg
catchment
management
committees and
maintenance centres)
that manage and
maintain infrastructure
Local hiring
Skills transfer
Local ownership
How to enhance
Improve wildlife
habitats in dams
(attractive for
tourism)
How to enhance
Establishment of Catchment
Management Committees will
empower communities
Accessing water from shared
rivers and addressing upstream
and downstream water
demand issues in such rivers
will be enhanced through
improving efforts towards
regional cooperation (through
shared river basin
Commissions), particularly
full and effective
implementation of the SADC
Protocol on shared water
courses
Improve integration of sector
development planning with
work of shared river
Commissions
Further decentralisation of
water management institutions
Negative impacts
Cost of water will
increase (because of the
capital cost of
construction and
pumping)
Some reduction of
farmers’ incomes due
to their exclusion from
grazing in areas fencing
off for pipeline
servitudes
If number of irrigation
projects increases
significantly following
Negative impacts
Involuntary
displacement of people
along pipeline routes
(and for development
of irrigation projects
associated with NSC3)
Social disruption due
to migrant workers
(and squatters) during
construction (including
increased risk of HIV
and AIDS)
Worker influx can
distort prices of goods
Negative impacts
Pipelines with cause:
Habitat
fragmentation and
loss of biodiversity
Elevated levels of
poaching by
construction
workers
Cumulative impacts of
irrigation projects
associated with NSC3:
Reduced
environmental flow
Negative impacts
Increased corruption
associated with big projects
(irrigation, pipes).
Possible tension with
Zambezi basin states
concerning water abstraction
for irrigation associated with
NSC3
Illegal in-migration because
of lure of jobs and economic
opportunities in irrigated
areas associated with NSC3
Possible increase in crime
112
completion of NSC3,
then:
a) There could be
opportunity costs –
water could be used
better (e.g. mining)
b) Could negatively
affect tourism
because of altered
sense of place
How to mitigate
Demand management
and improved efficiency
will reduce water costs
Introduce a step-price
system (eg people who
use very little pay
nothing, while those
who use vast quantities
pay treble, with a
sliding scale in
between)
Cross subsidization may
need to be considered
(some industries could
be required to pay more
so that others get a
discount)
Compensate farmers
who lose grazing
(short term)
High water costs may
place pressure on local
livelihoods
Abuse of illegal
immigrants (often
subjected to poor
conditions: low pay,
long hours, etc.)
How to mitigate
Subsidize water
according to agreed
criteria
Resettle displaced
people
EIAs/ EMPs for
irrigation projects must
address social and
health issues
Water infrastructure
developers should
implement/enforce
approved codes of
conduct for their
workers regarding
social interaction with
communities
Land use planning
(including zonation)
to rationalise
settlement patterns and
plan better for water
infrastructure
development and
associated
developments (modify
district plans)
through over-
abstraction of water
(cumulatively by the
projects and other
sectors)
Habitat loss &
fragmentation due to
clearing for
agriculture and
towns, restricting
wildlife migration
routes
Human-wildlife
conflicts
Increased poaching
Pollution and
eutrophication
(through excess use
of artificial
fertilisers)
How to mitigate
Smaller pipes to
villages (max pop
size: 8-10,000) will
cause some
disruption (as
houses are not
located in a linear
manner, so the pipes
will pass through
‘yards’)
Develop a code of
practice for irrigated
agriculture that
includes following
recommended
application
rates/levels and
application methods
for agro-chemicals
used in irrigation
projects
How to mitigate
Improve transparency in
government contract
procedures
Simplify visa
requirements/procedures for
foreign workers
In respect of the irrigated areas
in NE Botswana associated with
NSC3:
Modify relevant District Plans
(to improve allocation of areas
for various types of
development, housing,
infrastructure, etc.)
Increased security and
administrative capacity will be
needed
Activity 2: Reclamation, treatment and re-use of waste water (including sewage) (sewage
treatment works to rise from 55 to 70) On balance perspective [summary conclusion of pros and cons]
The components of this activity are important elements of an Integrated Water Resource Management (IWRM)
approach. They will contribute positively to the economy and have positive environmental and social outcomes.
Reclamation and reuse of water will reduce overall demand and provide opportunities for small-scale enterprises (eg
irrigation of horticultural crops). It will also lead to improve health of local communities (through improved
sanitation), although if water treatment fails to remove dangerous contaminants, there could be significant negative
social impacts.
Synergies - within and between sectors:
Water and: agriculture, health, environment.
Within water sector: between water institutions (utilities, regulation (DWA), Dept Waste management).
Antagonisms - within and between sectors:
113
None obvious
Assumptions & risks
Treated water has multiple uses
Water treatment will be improved to ensure removal of contaminates (eg salts, heavy metals, human waste) to
ensure it is safe to drink
Risk of technical malfunction leading to health risk – because some may consume unpotable water
Social risk of non-acceptance of using treated water – requires awareness-raising of safety of fully treated water
Not clear what is the average yield of water treatment facilities since outflows are not measured
Problem of households no connecting to sewers installed by government - need to incentivise connections
Need to look at cost-effectiveness of waste water treatment
Economy &
employment
Social upliftment Environment Governance, safety & security
Positive impacts
Good economic
return on
investment in
water
infrastructure
Increase in
downstream
economic
activities (eg small
horticultural
enterprises)
Import substitution
for crops produced
Job creation
In theory, treating
waste water
reduces the need
to import or pump
water (and thus
reduces costs)
How to enhance
Install dual
pipelines in large
cities (eg
Gaborone) so that
public areas (eg
sports fields,
parks) can be
irrigated using
grey water
Positive impacts
Could improve
sanitation if waste
water is used to
flush toilets– and
improve health (less
breeding
opportunities for
mosquitoes in pit
latrines)
How to enhance
Provide for low-
income households
to connect to sewers
and install flush
toilets
Positive impacts
Reduced water demand
benefits environmental
flows in surface waters and
to groundwater
Treated wastewater can be
used for landscape
enhancement (parks, hotel
gardens, etc.)
Toilet flushing (column 2)
means less pit latrines
which will reduce
groundwater contamination
(although toilets may be
flushed to soak-aways that
will pollute groundwater)
How to enhance
Improve connection of
toilets to the sewer network
for toilets
Positive impacts
Contributes (marginally) to
increased food security
Contributes to integrated water
resource management (IWRM)
How to enhance
No obvious measures
Negative impacts
None obvious
Negative impacts
None obvious
How to mitigate
Improve
transparency of
Negative impacts
Contaminated crops
irrigated with ‘bad’ water
(eg containing heavy
metals)
Over-irrigation with water
high in salts (not removed)
will contaminate soil –
reduce soil ability to hold
nutrients and reduce soil
productivity, etc.
How to mitigate
Strengthen water utilities to
enforce trade effluent
Negative impacts
None obvious
114
water institutions
(through them
providing
information)
agreement
6.3 Conclusions and implications for national planning
Botswana suffers from erratic rainfall and droughts and is vulnerable to climate variability and
climate change. It will face increasingly acute water shortages. Water resources are already scarce and
used unsustainably. Surface waters are limited and underground water is being over-extracted, and the
in-feed to water assets is mainly from external sources (shared rivers). The North-South
Carrier (NSC) takes raw water from various dams to Gaborone and a duplicate pipeline is being
constructed, with a further extension to the Zambezi proposed.
Water is an essential medium for many industrial processes, and is critical for mining and agriculture
and for the functioning of ecosystems. The continued growth of mining will increase the demand for,
and pressure on, fresh water supplies. Effective and sustainable water management is therefore
critical. The draft Framework for a Long-Term Vision includes a number of goals that will support
such management:
Emphasis on water resource stewardship and water demand management rather than capital
development works;
Raising the water productivity of agriculture;
An expansion of the cattle cluster that must be commercially viable with cost of water fully
covered;
Strict application of water allocation efficiency guidelines – although the Framework also
proposed to establish prioritised water demand categories and quantities to be exempted from
efficiency allocation process;
Sectoral water resources management assessment;
Integrated water resources management (IWRM) incorporated in strategies and policies for
economic growth, trade and investment; with EIAs of projects and strategies;
Efforts to reduce water distribution losses;
Increased use of treated wastewater (eg for irrigation);
Adoption of the catchment area management approach;
Strengthened management of shared water resources.
Many of the goals of the draft Framework will only be achieved if choices are made on how to use
water. These will include issues such as whether Botswana should continue with plans to expand
irrigated agriculture, or whether the numbers of livestock should be reduced. Debate on such concerns
should be part of the deliberations to agree the new Vision. Account should be taken of the argument
in the water resource accounts that the greatest value adding is for mining and tourism.
Water pollution is likely to increase with economic growth and diversification, including from
seemingly green activities such as using treated wastewater for irrigation. NDP11 should ensure that
effective pollution control measures are implemented. The Vision should set a goal to ensure that
adequate legal protection is provided for groundwater and for the protection of catchment areas.
Because Botswana’s rivers are shared with other countries, it is vulnerable to their actions to abstract
water and also to the transboundary impacts of such actions (eg upstream over-abstraction from the
Okavango threatens the delta, and river pollution from upstream agriculture). The Vision should
commit to ensuring that the shared river basin Commissions work effectively so that Botswana has a
say in what neighbours are doing.
115
Given the overall criticality of water to Botswana, there is a strong case that NDP11 should include
provisions for a sustainability assessment of the water sector addressing economic, social,
environmental and governance issues related to water and the interactions between them. This
assessment should take into account both supply and demand concerns and developments at a river
basin level, and examine the cost-benefits of proposed initiatives and alternatives to them, and options
such as aquifer recharge.
116
7: CROSS-SECTOR LINKAGES AND CROSS-CUTTING ISSUES
7.1 Cross-sector linkages
In planning for, and investing in, Botswana’s future development, it will be important to identify the
linkages between sectors to help indicate where there is a need to work together to, for example:
promote and enhance outcomes beneficial to linked sectors;
avoid or minimise developments in a sector that could impact negatively on other sectors or
inadvertently undermine or impede development policies or initiatives in other sectors;
analyse issues of mutual concern;
address common or interacting concerns;
jointly promote solutions to challenges;
engage in integrated planning.
The sustainability appraisals presented in Tables 2.3 (mining), 3.2 (agriculture), 4.4 (energy), 5.3
(tourism – including wildlife) and 6.5 (water) indicate clear potential synergies between these five
priority sectors as well as infrastructure (highlighted in Table 7.1) – that should be explored during
planning to identify how they can be enhanced to maximise positive impacts and benefits. There are
also existing and potential antagonisms between some sectors (highlighted in Table 7.2) that will need
to be addressed to minimise negative impacts, reduce conflicts, and avoid undermining or negation of
development efforts.
Table 7.1: Cross-sector interactions (synergies)
Mining Agriculture Energy Tourism
(and wildlife)
Water Infrastructure
Mining X X X
Agriculture X (localised) X X
Energy X
Tourism (and
wildlife)
X X
Water
Infrastructure
Table 7.2: Cross-sector interactions (antagonisms)
Mining Agriculture Energy Tourism
(and wildlife)
Water Infrastructure
Mining X X
Agriculture X X
Energy
Tourism (and
wildlife)
X
Water
Infrastructure
The obvious inter-sectoral synergies and antagonisms are summarised in Table 7.3, but deeper
appraisal would be likely to reveal further linkages.
117
Table 7.3: Summary of key cross-sector synergies and antagonisms
Linkage Synergies Antagonisms
Mining and agriculture
Mining can conflict with agriculture if it
requires large tracts of land and scarce
groundwater, and if pollution threatens the
health of rangelands and livestock.
During prospecting for minerals, field
teams usually traverse large areas of
farmland, often coming into conflict with
farmers.
Mining and tourism
Potential to develop mining tourism Conflicts often arise between mining and
tourism (eg in the Okavango).
Mining and water
Mining is heavily dependent on water for
its operations, and thus places stress on
water available for use in other sectors
(except where saline water or recycled
water is used).
Mining and
infrastructure
Infrastructure improvments will be
sparked by mining (eg roads and social
services), and these will benefit other
sectors, eg tourism, as well as society
and the economy as a whole.
Mining and education Education and skills development -
which inherently accompany mining
activities - can similarly be regarded as
a national good.
Mining and other
sectors The emergence of new mining areas –
often several mines close to each other
(mining hubs) - will likely stimulate
other development/investments as
opportunities emerge and the economy
grows and diversifies, thus stimulating
the need for forward planning at
district and local levels.
Mining and sensitive
areas
Mining in or near important certain
areas needs to be avoided - particularly
areas that are highly sensitive, are
important for conservation and
tourism, are biodiversity rich, contain
important archaeology, or have been
designated as having special global
status such as World Heritage or
International Wetland sites.
Agriculture and energy
New mega coal-fired power stations may
affect livestock farming in the vicinitiy
(<20km) of the facilities because of air
pollution and additional water use.
Agriculture and
tourism (including
wildlife)
There is potential for agro-tourism
(visitors to cattle posts).
Value-adding could take the form of
manufacturing of leather goods and the
selling of cured hides for tourists or
interior decoration and furniture
purposes.
Integrated game-livestock farming
could be promoted in some areas,
including tourism, to achieve greater
economic benefits from the land.
Communities near to tourism hubs
could supply lodges and restaurants
with fresh produce that is currently
imported.
Potential to develop agricultural
tourism
Tourism is in conflict with livestock
keeping in particular areas (eg western
Ngamiland).
The proximity of livestock to certain types
of wildlife (eg buffalo) increases the risk of
disease transfers and human-wildlife
conflicts.
Conversely, game farms may result in an
increase in pests and predators, which may
negatively affect adjacent livestock farms.
Agriculture and conservation may find it
difficult to coexist in areas where crops are
susceptible to raiding by wildlife (eg
elephants trampling and eating crops).
118
Agriculture and
sensitive areas
In order to reduce land use conflicts,
livestock farming needs to be avoided in
wilderness areas that are highly sensitive
and important for conservation and tourism.
Agriculture and water
Land previously used for traditional
agriculture may be alienated for mega
irrigation projects.
Agriculture (irrigated)
and integrated
planning
In NE Botswana, it is possible to
enhance the synergies between
planned large-scale irrigation and
industrialisation (agro-industries), and
the achievement of local value-adding.
Also, this initiative provides an
impetus for better multi-sector
integration and improved long term
spatial planning.
Large irrigation projects are usually located
adjacent to major rivers that are important
for biodiversity and already utilised for
tourism.
Energy and other
sectors Power security will support all sectors,
and stimulate development in
particular sectors such as mining and
manufacturing.
The placing of solar panels on
peoples’ houses (or on offices,
warehouses, etc.) creates opportunities
for synergies between energy
generation and: banking (for loans),
town planning and building, and
education (awareness and training).
All stakeholders/sectors need to work
together to achieve the desired
outcomes.
Energy and
neighbouring countries
Increased availability of baseload
power will offer improved
transboundary synergies in energy
trading through the SAPP, thus
boosting the regional economy.
Energy and
infrastructure New coal-fired power stations will
obtain coal from a new/existing mine.
There will be a need to integrate them
with planning for a new/expanded
town/village, and associated health and
social services, communications
infrastructure, power lines, roads, etc.
in order to achieve synergy and avoid
duplication.
Tourism and water
Potential for dams to be developed as
tourist attractions.
Tourism and
infrastructure
Tourism stimulates infrastructure
development (roads, airports),
Cooperation and harmonisation
between airline operators in the region
(eg code sharing, interchangable
tickets, carbon offset arrangements,
baggage handling) would greatly assist
in the realisation of transboundary
tourism initiatives.
Tourism and other
sectors The tourism sector could work more
closely with law enforcement agencies
(including BDF) in combatting
poaching.
The tourism sector can work closely
with the education sector to raise
environmental awareness.
There is considerable potential for
collaboration in marketing tourism
packages and in cross-border wildlife
management (through transfrontier
Policy conflicts between different
countries, and between sectors within
countries, may undermine this potential
transboundary tourism synergy. For
example, if there are different
environmental/service/tariff standards for
lodges and operators, then the “package” is
inconsistent. Also, there may be different
land/natural resource management practices
in one country to those across the border
(eg hunting allowed in Namibia but not in
119
conservation areas – TFCA) between
Botswana and neighbouring SADC
countries (particularly Namibia, South
Africa, Zambia and Zimbabwe).
There is also potential (because of
valuable tourism products) for a more
integrated approach towards the
management of transboundary
environmental and social impacts
resulting from ‘upstream’ projects
such as dams and irrigation on shared
rivers.
Botswana), and contradictory objectives of
promoting unfettered transboundary
wildlife movement on the one hand, and
preventing it (through veterinary fences),
on the other.
Water and other sectors The planning of water infrastructure
development needs to be fully
integrated with broader land use
planning and undertaken at the
landscape level. This will enable
appropriate routes for pipelines to be
determined.
Irrigated agriculture development
should be supported by analysis of the
suitability of the land for irrigated
crops, and be based on prior land
evaluation to assess and zone land
according to its suitability for different
potential uses.
The development of water
infrastructure will benefit considerably
by working closely with sectors that
require and depend on water supplies
(eg agriculture, mining and tourism);
with sectors in which water has in
important role/influence (eg health and
associated structures such as HIV and
AIDS Management Committees); and
those agencies dealing with social
issues such as gender and poverty
eradication.
Reclamation, treatment and re-use of
waste water (including sewage) will
benefit the agriculture and health
sectors as well as the environment.
Botswana has submitted proposals to the
Zambezi River Commission (ZAMCOM)
for water abstraction and use of water for
irrigation. No formal objections have been
raised, so it presumed to be acceptable. But
this abstraction could lead to tensions
(since other member States also have
increasing water needs for the different
development priorities) unless formal
agreement is reached through ZAMCOM.
It is strongly recommended that Botswana
uses its influence within SADC and the
various river basin commissions, to develop
catchment-specific Transboundary EA
Guidelines so that developments in the
basins are better coordinated and planned.
Water sector – internal
linkages Within the water sector, synergies can
be achieved between water institutions
(utilities, regulation (DWA), Dept
Waste management).
The natural resource base in Botswana, like everywhere else in the world, is an integrated functional
system. Its utilisation, administration and management is, however, organised along separate but
interrelated development and conservation processes, for administrative expediency. All ministries in
the central government have portfolio responsibility for some aspect(s) of development. Some
ministries also have responsibility for certain aspects of environmental management. A number of
statutory and non-statutory boards have been established to administer, manage and control some
aspects of natural resources, their products and services.
There are a number of institutional shortcomings in the current arrangements, which include:
gaps and overlaps in environmental policy formulation;
inadequate coordination, integration of activities and appropriate land use zonation (so there is a
need for consistent policies, planning, implementation and monitoring) (Box 7.1);
limited monitoring and response capability;
insufficient coordination;
lack of capacity to resolve differences; and
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inadequate response capability.
Box 7.1: Zonation in prime conservation areas
The setting aside of large conservation areas (such as national parks) aims primarily to maintain essential
ecological patterns and processes – particularly those associated with preserving functioning examples of
different biomes and landscapes, as well as cultural heritage. Large size also enhances the aesthetic appeal and
sense of place of an area.
In any national park, there are certain areas that can be considered more sensitive or important than others,
based on criteria such as the occurrence of rare habitats and species, spectacular landscapes, high tourism
appeal, etc. Usually these areas are zoned as “core”, “wilderness” or “specially protected”, with a set of
specific rules applicable to them (eg no mining or human settlements). A park zoning plan should minimize
conflicts between different users by separating potentially antagonistic activities whilst ensuring that activities
which do not clash with the park’s values and objectives can continue as appropriate.
From a conservation perspective, it is crucial that park management plans are respected and implemented
consistently. It is also essential that developments which are contrary to such plans are not allowed in national
parks and other protected areas.
It has also been observed that the enforcement of the various legislative provisions has been
inadequate. A number of reasons have been given, including the following:
the poor and/or inadequate communication of the law to stakeholders;
administrative and institutional inefficiency;
dualistic assignments to enforcing agencies;
reliance on criminal sanction as a primary sanction, instead of it being seen as a last resort;
the inadequacy of licensing as an instrument of administrative control;
the unavailability of viable alternatives to prohibited activities; and
the command and control posture of the law.
7.2 Cross-cutting issues
A number of issues cut across the sectors discussed in previous sections. These include infrastructure,
HIV and AIDs, rural policy and land tenure
7.2.1 Infrastructure
The works, transport and communications infrastructure is particularly important for the sustainable
development of a country such as Botswana given its large area, unevenly distributed population and
landlocked nature. Partly because of these characteristics, as well as the sandy terrain, semi-arid
climate, topographical conditions and shortage of construction materials, the provision of
infrastructure is relatively more expensive in terms of per capita expenditure on development and
maintenance than most countries.
A balanced and efficient works, transport and communications infrastructure is an important catalyst
for economic development. Since independence, government has emphasized its facilitative role
through the development of infrastructure and has accorded it priority. This is reflected by successive
years of major resource allocations to the works, transport and communications sectors.
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Works infrastructure consists mainly of buildings for office accommodation of public institutions.
Transport infrastructure includes roads, railways and airports. Communications infrastructure includes
telecommunications and postal services.
Botswana has made significant progress in recent years in building its infrastructure (Table 7.3), but
the country faces a variety of important infrastructure challenges:
power sector - lack of generation capacity and insufficient power supply, leaving the economy
vulnerable to power price shocks and load shedding;
completion of the critical 600 MW Morupule power generation project, which will restore
supply-demand balance in the country;
implementing the ambitious institutional reforms in the water sector, and balancing investment
and maintenance spending in the transport sector;
international transport connections and internet connectivity lag behind comparable countries;
progress in connecting to the continent’s western and eastern submarine cables;
Botswana loses US$68 million/yr to inefficiencies and faces a funding gap of US$305/yr, entirely
in the power sector. Botswana is in good position to meet infrastructure goals if it can reduce
inefficiencies, increase public-sector receipts, and attract more public funding.
Table 7.3: Achievements and challenges in Botswana’s infrastructure sectors (World Bank 2011) Achievements Challenges
Roads Procuring resources for road network
expansion and maintenance of existing
assets.
Achieving good internal connectivity
among main cities and population centres.
Creating institutional mechanisms to guarantee
funds for increasing the preservation needs of an
extended (and further extending) road network.
Increasing the competitiveness of Botswana’s
segments of international corridors.
Improving rural accessibility.
Improving logistics and other cross-border
elements of international corridors.
Railways Keeping existing railway infrastructure in
good condition relative to regional
standards.
Decreasing freight traffic levels due to increasing
regional competition.
Minimizing subsidies to freight tariffs.
Air transport Developing a clearer strategy for air
transport.
Equipping Air Botswana with new and
modern jets to provide links to regional
hubs.
Incorporating Botswana under international
safety oversight and standards.
Liberalizing, diversifying and deconcentrating
the air transport market.
Irrigation Increasing the area with irrigation infrastructure.
Increasing water storage availability.
Water and
sanitation Allocating increased and sustained
resources in support of the needs of the
sector.
Significantly increasing access to and
quality of services.
Establishing an efficient water utility
provider.
Overcoming the high development costs that
geography imposes on expanding rural area
services.
Introducing a flexible tariff regime that better
aligns costs with prices and introduces periodic
tariff revisions.
Power Doubling electrification rates.
Setting in place a very efficient power
distribution utility.
Completing the on-going expansion power
generation capacity.
Introducing a flexible tariff regime and policy
that better aligns costs with prices and introduces
periodic tariff revisions, ensuring its
implementation through an independent
regulator.
ICT Increasing mobile penetration to the
highest rate in Africa via the successful
liberalization of the sector.
Improving access to Internet.
Improving regulation.
The regulator (BTA) should begin by levelling
the playing field for newcomers.
Eliminating the BTC monopoly in fibre optics
and gateways.
Accelerating the privatization of BTC.
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The transport and energy-power sectors are expected to see the most growth over the next decade - as
a result of the government's aim to expand the mining industry and stimulate economic growth by
diversifying the economy.
"The construction market contracted sharply during the economic recession, and investors are
reluctant to invest in new infrastructure projects. Government funds have been diverted to priority
sectors and many ongoing projects have been put on hold, with future projects being delayed until
such time as funding becomes available. The government is now also considering public-private
partnerships as a means to develop infrastructure in Botswana."
Over 30 multi-million dollar projects are ongoing in Botswana. Investment in the transport and
energy-power sectors accounts for 84.7% of US$12.81 billion of infrastructure development in the
country.
The Chinese have a high success rate of winning infrastructure project tenders in the country. The
ability of Chinese investors to undercut costs (because of the subsidies they receive from their
government) gives them an unfair advantage in the selection process and stifles the growth of
domestic service suppliers.
Botswana has posted a strong investment record in the road and water and sanitation sectors, and has
successfully increased rural access to power. The country’s power and water utility post some of the
highest levels of operational efficiency to be found in Africa. Botswana has also made strides in
expanding mobile telephony, with the number of cellular subscriptions exceeding the number of
inhabitants for the first time in 2010 (WB).
7.2.2 HIV and AIDS
In 2010, it was estimated that Botswana had an adult HIV prevalence of 24.8%13
, the second highest
in the world after Swaziland – this translates into an estimated 300,000 people living with HIV in the
country or almost one quarter of the population aged 15 and over (UNAIDS, 2010). Although this
figure is high, it is down from an estimated 37.3% prevalence rate in 2003 (www.who.int).
Considering Botswana’s population is below two million, the epidemic has had a devastating impact:
life expectancy at birth fell from 65 years in 1990-1995 to less than 40 years in 2000-2005 (UN,
2004). The loss of adults in their productive years has serious economic implications, with families
being pushed into poverty through the costs of HIV and AIDS medical care, loss of income, and
funerals. The economic output of Botswana has been reduced by the loss of workers and skills;
agriculture and mining are among the worst affected sectors. The loss of adults to AIDS has also had a
significant effect on children in Botswana: an estimated 93,000 children have lost at least one parent
to the epidemic (UNAIDS, 2008). It is vital these children have access to education, but this is
problematic in families already weakened by AIDS where children may be providing care for ill
relatives or supporting siblings.
Populations at high risk in Botswana include migrant workers, construction workers, miners and sex
workers (NACA Botswana, 2010). A study in the densely populated mining town of Selebi-Phikwe,
showed an overall prevalence of 52.2%, the highest in the country (NACA Botswana, 2003). Mining,
especially when the mine is in a remote area and/or the mine workers live in single sex hostels, has
shown to bring men into increased contact with multiple partners. Sex work has become increasingly
common around these richer mining towns, at infrastructure construction sites, and at border
crossings, as this offers the best livelihood for some young, poor and vulnerable women. The influx of
13
The BAIS III estimate in 2008 gave the prevalence figure of 17.6%, but this is not reflected in the UNAIDS
Country Report for 2010. For the sake of consistency in data comparisons, all HIV epidemiological data used in
this study has been sourced from the UNAIDS Country Reports for 2010.
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immigrant workers (non-Motswana) has exacerbated this activity due to the increased spending power
of the immigrants compared to locals.
The implementation of development projects has a profound impact on women and young girls in
Botswana. Most of the major development projects such as the construction of major roads and dams
are found in semi-urban and rural communities whose female population is mainly disadvantaged
economically and disempowered socially. These disadvantages contribute to the vulnerability of this
population group to HIV Infection. In many instances, rural women are impoverished and without
reliable means of support to provide care for children and the elderly. Women also bear the brunt of
care-giving for those infected by HIV and AIDS. This undeniably results in an increase in their need
for material support and an enlarged cash base. With little or no education and very bleak prospects of
employment, commercial and transactional sex work becomes an attractive option. Young girls are
often offered as objects of sex by their guardians in exchange for basic necessities, it has been
reported that children as young as 12 years old are coerced or allowed to enter into sexual relations
with immigrant workers by their families. It is therefore evident that the vulnerability of women and
girls to HIV infection in Botswana needs to be factored in when conducting Environmental Impact
Assessment (EIA).
Another factor affecting the current (and future) performance of agriculture is the country’s
vulnerability to the HIV AIDS epidemic, which has had a devastating impact: life expectancy at birth
fell from 65 years in 1990-1995 to less than 40 years in 2000-2005 (UN, 2004). The loss of adults in
their productive years has serious economic implications, with families being pushed into poverty
through the costs of medical care and funerals, and loss of income. The economic output of Botswana
has been reduced by the loss of workers and skills; agriculture and mining are among the worst
affected sectors.
7.2.3 Rural policies
Besides agricultural policies, policies influencing rural development include the Rural Development
Policy (2003) and the National Settlement Policy (1998). The underlying thrust of these policies is to
discourage rural-urban migration and encourage the provision of infrastructure and facilities in rural
areas so as to develop the economic base. But this has largely been unsuccessful in that urban
migration has continued and the economic base of the rural areas has stagnated, even while
infrastructure (eg roads, water and electricity supplies) has been provided in rural areas at very high
cost. However, NDP10 takes a somewhat different approach in recognising that “urbanisation is an
inevitable consequence of economic development that must be recognised and provided for.
Urbanisation also presents a wide range of opportunities, including increased access to public
services” (p20).
Despite a strong role for rural development in the overall development policy framework and the
allocation of large amounts of public resources to agriculture and the rural areas, there has been little
explicit attention paid to access to finance, whether in the country as a whole or in rural areas in
particular. However, NDP 10 does indicate that, in principle, at least government wishes to promote
financial sector development and, in particular, to improve access to financial services for the poor.
The aim is to remove barriers to wider formal sector provision (eg the high cost of operating banking
services in rural areas) and to create incentives for private sector financial institutions to improve
access (p147). The high cost of operating banking services in the rural areas, which could benefit
farming and non-agricultural SMEs, has been identified as a major constraint for several years (GoB,
2002; World Bank, 2008; CSO, 2010). Government’s approach as outlined in NDP 10 is to “create an
enabling environment for financial sector development by putting in place appropriate regulatory
structures that promote more competition, allow space for innovation, improve consumer education
and infrastructure, and facilitate entry and exit to the market and institutional growth. Government
will also use its own economic position to leverage change by encouraging financial innovation, eg by
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moving to smartcard based payments systems and by providing improved and timely data” (para
9.64).
7.2.4 Land tenure
Botswana has three types of land tenure systems, each with different sets of laws and regulations
regarding access, ownership and sale/transfer (ie marketability): freehold land, state land and tribal
land. There are also different types of permitted land use, including agricultural (with sub-uses
including grazing, arable and mixed farming), commercial, industrial, community/social and
residential. The vast majority of land in the country is tribal land, followed by state land (including
national parks and the majority of urban land) and a small amount of freehold land (in both urban and
agricultural areas). Despite having one of the lowest population densities in the world (3.5 persons per
km2), Botswana has severe land shortages in certain areas. The reasons for this are complex, but
essentially reflect inflexible land tenure systems that do not easily allow change of land use in
response to evolving economic needs. As a result of laws, customs and regulations, land markets do
not function effectively in most parts of the country. So the expansion of major urban areas is
constrained by surrounding agricultural land, which cannot easily be converted to more productive
uses. And because of very low agricultural productivity, very large land areas are required for
agriculture, even to produce the country’s small agricultural output.
7.2.5 Transboundary issues
The governments of all southern African countries recognise the need for expanding their national
economies. They are initiating, facilitating or allowing an increasing number of large-scale
developments in their countries, or between themselves and neighbours. The most significant are
transport corridors, telecommunication networks, irrigated agriculture, power generation and
transmission, dams and water transfer schemes, tourism and mining. Nearly all types of development
require a great variety of new and/or upgraded physical and social infrastructure. Thus, there is a
multitude of primary, secondary and cumulative ecological, social, health, infrastructure and
institutional impacts from such developments, particularly when they involve a number of projects in
the same area at the same time (resulting in ‘development hubs’). Many of these impacts are
transboundary, and one of the most worrying examples is the possibility of the Okavango Delta
drying up or being greatly reduced in size and functionality, because of upstream development.
Most SADC countries have adopted a comprehensive code of national environmental legislation, and
the need for assessing transboundary impacts is recognised implicitly. However, the legislative
measures or accompanying regulations or guidelines for assessing transboundary impacts, and for
consulting stakeholders in the potentially affected States, requires further detailed elaboration.
The key to ensuring that transboundary impacts are assessed is that the Terms of Reference for EIAs
for individual projects must stipulate the need for transboundary assessment. Transboundary EIA is
not a separate assessment type, but refers merely to the geographical scope of the assessment.
Marsden (2010) defines transboundary environmental impact assessment ( TBEIA) as “a process
applied by one or more States to evaluate the significant environmental effects from proposals within
their own territory (eg a power station) or which physically cross borders (eg a pipeline) and which
may impact upon the territory of another State or States”. As with all EIAs, TBEIA is designed to
provide better information for decision-makers, as well as involve stakeholders in the process
(including the public and NGOs as well as relevant government departments).
Fortunately, there are a number of international legal instruments which, though not directly
applicable to Botswana and her neighbours, are widely accepted to exemplify best practice as regards
the environmental assessment of transboundary impacts. For example, the 1991 UNECE (Espoo)
Convention on Environmental Impact Assessment in a Transboundary Context obliges Parties to
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assess the environmental impact of certain activities at an early stage of planning and sets down the
general obligation of States to notify and consult each other on all major projects under consideration
that are likely to have a significant adverse environmental impact across boundaries. Transboundary
EIA guidelines have been/are being compiled, respectively, for the Orange-Senqu Basin (under
ORASECOM) and the Okavango Basin (under OKACOM). Hopefully, these guidelines will be
completed and implemented soon. Similar guidelines are urgently needed for the Kwando/Chobe,
Zambezi and Limpopo shared water systems.
Another, though quite different, example of a transboundary issue and the appropriate response is the
collaborative management of shared ecosystems. There are already bodies in place to coordinate the
management of shared waters (eg ORASECOM and OKACOM), as well as transfrontier conservation
to manage shared wildlife. A good example of the latter is the Kavango-Zambezi Transfrontier
Conservation Area (KAZA-TFCA). This area (Figure 7.1) supports large herds of elephant and
buffalo, plus rare and endangered species such as roan, sable antelope and African wild dog. KAZA
promotes the maintenance of important corridors for animal movement within the greater region. In
addition to State-owned parks, the area includes numerous community conservation areas, forest
reserves, and iconic tourism destinations such as the Victoria Falls and Okavango Delta. KAZA aims
to broaden the protected areas network, thus increasing biodiversity, expanding historical game
migration routes and creating potential to draw more tourists to the area. In a place where local people
often bear the costs of living with wildlife, KAZA aims to make the protection of wildlife and wild
places economically more attractive to rural communities.
Figure 7.1: The Kavango Zambezi Transfrontier Conservation Area
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8: CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
Putting development on a sustainable pathway is important for Botswana and its citizens, as it is for
all countries. But whilst some steps have been taken (eg leading implementation of the Gaborone
Declaration on Sustainability in Africa (GDSA), and committing to address sustainable development
in NDP11), much remains to be done. Failure to take the necessary steps to commit to, and invest in,
transitioning to sustainable development is likely to undermine the countries efforts to implement
Vision Beyond 2016 and make many of it goals unachievable.
A significant effort is needed to raise awareness amongst stakeholders (government, private sector
and civil society) at all levels in Botswana about what sustainable development is, how it can be
realised, and the roles and responsibilities of stakeholders.
Chapters 2 – 6 provide an analysis of the sustainability of policies, plans and particularly projects for
each of the priority sectors: mining, agriculture, energy, tourism and water, They do not appraise the
draft Framework for a Long-Term Vision itself (although account was taken of the main proposed
objectives and strategies set out in the Framework). Nor were the sector appraisals able to address the
sustainability of NDP11 since draft text was not available and the NDP11 process was suspended at
the time (although account was taken of the Keynote Policy Paper (KPP) and Thematic Key Issues
Papers (TKIPs).
However, the sector appraisals do identify a range of issues for each sector that the new Vision and
NDP11 should take into account (related to key policy thrusts, initiatives and projects likely to be
included in these instruments and implemented over the next 10 years). And the appraisals also make
recommendations for commitments and provisions that should be considered for inclusion in these
instruments – see summary sections to Chapter 2 – 6. Amongst these, it is recommended that
provision needs to be made in NDP11 to conduct a number of sustainability assessments (Box 8.1),
using the platform of Botswana’s SEA regulations.
Box 8.1: Options for sustainability assessments
Mining Conduct an sustainability assessment (SA) of one or more of Botswana’s “mineral hubs“ (eg western
copperbelt, NE hub, central Kalahari CBM) to better understand cumulative impacts and plan sector and inter-
sectoral co-investment in avoidance/mitigation actions.
Irrigated agriculture Large-scale irrigated agriculture is planned in north-east Botswana, which is likely to result in significant
impacts - both social (eg involuntary resettlement, social disruption, spread of HIV and AIDS) and
environmental (eg habitat loss, wildlife displacement, pollution). These concerns and the opportunities for
integrated multi-sector and spatial planning would benefit greatly from an SA.
Tourism Tourism is a cornerstone of Botswana’s economy, and there are high expectations from this sector. Large-scale
transboundary tourism initiatives (linked to transboundary conservation areas) would benefit greatly from the
application of an SA. The Kavango Zambezi Transboundary Conservation Area (KAZA) initiative presents the most significant
opportunity and need for a transboundary SA, because this extensive area covering Botswana, Namibia,
Zambia, Zimbabwe and Angola, has a complex interaction of potentially conflicting policies, plans,
programmes and projects. These need to be assessed in an integrated way to achieve the desired level of
synergy and to mitigate potential antagonisms. At a smaller scale, there is strong case to conduct a
transboundary SEA for the Kagaladi Transfrontier Conservation Area.
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Water Given the overall criticality of water to Botswana, there is a strong case to undertake an SA of the water sector
(addressing economic, social, environmental and governance issues related to water and the interactions
between them). This SA should take into account both supply and demand concerns, developments at a river
basin level; and examine the cost-benefits of proposed initiatives and alternatives to them, and options such as
aquifer recharge.
Other sectors
It is also suggested that a transboundary SA be undertaken of the Trans Kalahari Railway before any decision
is taken to commit to this venture.
Some key recommendations for individual sectors that the Vision and NDP11 need to address are
listed in Box 8.2.
Box 8.2: Key sector recommendations for Vision Beyond 2016 and NDP11
Mining
o Surface and open pit mining generate multiple environmental and social impacts (see Box 2.1 and
Appendix 3). These include, for example, land degradation, habitat alteration, biodiversity loss,
community disruption, spread of HIV and AIDS. As part of its strategic planning function, guided by the
Vision Beyond 2016, NDP11 will need to take steps to ensure that these aspects of the sustainability of
mining are addressed and impacts are appropriately managed.
Agriculture
o Whilst the Vision emphasises improving niche-marketing of Botswana’s naturally-produced beef, the
Vision and NDP11 also need to recognise the critical importance of traditional subsistence farming to
rural communities, and particularly their reliance on small-stock such as goats and sheep. These
instruments should elaborate ways to support improvements and investment in such farming, develop local
markets for products, and increase job opportunities.
o Both the Vision and NDP11 should strongly emphasise the need to move to a more integrated approach to
rangeland management.
Energy
o Although coal-powered energy is an obvious option for Botswana, a mix that includes a greater
contribution of renewables is a more appropriate long-term approach in the context of transitioning to
sustainable development, given that fossil fuel burning has significant environmental and social impacts.
The Vision needs to more fully address the balance and trade-offs between the benefits to the economy
and energy security of expanded coal mining and coal-fired electricity generation on the one hand, and
significantly increased carbon emissions on the other hand. Admittedly, the draft Framework for a Long-
Term Vision does recognise the need to stay within sustainability constraints by reducing coal-fired
energy generation. But the final Vision should set ambitious targets and align policies, plans, programmes
and projects to facilitate the long-term transition from fossil fuels to renewables.
Tourism
o The Vision and NDP11 need to encourage involvement of local communities in new, (likely) small-scale
tourism products such as cultural, mining-based and agriculture-based tourism - so that they can enjoy
(potentially significant) employment and economic benefits.
o Whilst nature-based tourism is a strongly positive contribution to sustainable development, it nevertheless
has some negative impacts (eg social disruption, loss of local habitats, pollution). So policies emanating
via the new Vision and initiatives under NDP11 will need to ensure that these are mitigated and managed
effectively.
o The Vision and NDP11 should identify ways to reduce leakage in the sector to ensure greater value adding
within the national economy.
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Water
o Many of the goals of the draft Framework for a Long-Term Vision will only be achieved if choices are
made on how to use water. The Vision process and NDP11 need to consider issues such as whether
Botswana should continue with plans to expand irrigated agriculture, or whether the numbers of livestock
should be reduced. Account should be taken of the argument in the water resource accounts that the
greatest value adding is for mining and tourism.
o Water pollution is likely to increase with economic growth and diversification, and including from
seemingly green activities such as using treated wastewater for irrigation. NDP11 should ensure that
effective pollution control measures are implemented. The Vision should set a goal to ensure that adequate
legal protection is provided for groundwater and for the protection of catchment areas.
o Botswana’s rivers are shared with other countries, so it is vulnerable to how they abstract water and to the
transboundary impacts of such actions (eg upstream over-abstraction from the Okavango threatens the
delta, and river pollution from upstream agriculture). The Vision should commit to ensuring that the
shared river basin Commissions work effectively so that Botswana has a say in what neighbours are doing.
In addition, the business-as-usual and high-growth scenarios generated for each sector were prepared
by reference to a range of development drivers. These are listed in Tables 2.1 (mining), 3.1
(agriculture), 4.2 (energy), 5.1 (tourism) and 6.4 (water). In further developing the Vision, it will be
important to review which of these drivers have already been accounted for, and which not, and how
objectives and strategies may need to be adjusted to take them into account. Responses may be
required in terms of development initiatives that may need to be included by in NDP11.
The new Vision and NDP11 will need to be linked effectively to the preparation of new district, urban
and village development plans as well as regional and local physical/spatial development plans. The
Vision should provide a platform for successive national development plans (NDPs) to set out
medium-term actions to drive Botswana towards achieving its goals.
But it must be recognised that the process of preparing successive National Development Plans in
Botswana has been essentially government-centric to date. The implementation of NDP11 will likely
remain dependent mainly on government financing, while the role of the private sector and civil
society is not immediately apparent. For a truly national development plan, opportunities for the
private sector and civil society to contribute need also to be identified. Some people have argued that
both the private sector and civil society need to develop their own parallel national plans that are
integrated with NDPs. The process of developing NDP11 will need to establish meaningful and
effective mechanisms to engage the private sector and civil society so that the objectives, activities
and modalities of triad members (government, private sector and civil society – see Figure 1.3) are
integrated and balanced. A process to develop a National Strategy for Sustainable Development is the
obvious way to facilitate the participation of both the private sector and civil society, together with
government - as advocated under the Gaborone Declaration for Sustainability in Africa (GDSA).
As Botswana seeks to move beyond Middle Income Country status, it will need to more directly
address poverty, social concerns and inequalities, create decent jobs and sustainable growth, and put
in place measures to counter environmental decline (loss of ecosystem services, biodiversity and
natural capital), and invest in sound environmental management. Meeting these challenges is central
to transitioning to sustainable development.
The Vision Beyond 2016 needs to place sustainable development at its core and as an umbrella
objective if it is to realise prosperity for all Botswana’s citizens across generations. Furthermore,
NDP11 really needs to be positioned as a transitional NDP with budget resources allocated to
undertake key processes (eg undertaking sustainability assessments of major sectoral initiatives) and
for establishing the processes and institutional arrangements to promote sustainable development
across government and so as to engage the private sector and civil society in a partnership with
government.
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The world is now moving from Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) towards Sustainable
Development Goals (SDGs). Botswana will need to consider how it might align its long-term
aspirations (as to be set in Vision Beyond 2016) and development frameworks with the new global
framework being developed for the medium- to long-term in order better to pursue a pathway towards
sustainable development, and how the SDGs might be ‘domesticated’ in an appropriate and
meaningful way to support development. This will make it easier to implement and report on global
requirements at the same time that the country is implementing and reporting on its own development
agenda, ie it will avoid the duplication of efforts that often arise from parallel systems established to
address local and international requirements. It will also put Botswana at the forefront of the emerging
post-2015 development agenda so that, by the time the post-2015 framework is in place, Botswana
will be well placed to move forward quickly and effectively. Thus, as the Vision Beyond 2016 and
NDP11 processes progress, sustainable development issues and the post-2015 framework will be
brought clearly to the attention of a wider range of stakeholders in Botswana.
The DEA, with support from UNDP-Botswana, is spearheading the development of a National
Framework for Sustainable Development. This will be in synergy with the new Vision Beyond 2016
and NDP11, aiming to ensure sustainable development is integrated fully in both processes and across
sectors. The Framework will need to ensure that Botswana’s Strategy for Sustainable development is
not developed as a different, new master plan for sustainable development. Rather it should comprise
a set of coordinated mechanisms and processes that, together, offer a participatory system to support
the inclusion of goals and targets for sustainable development in Vision Beyond 2016 and NDP11 and
subsequent NDPs, and should establish cross-sector mechanisms to coordinate implementation and
review of progress towards sustainable development. A sustainable development strategy should not
be a one-off initiative. It needs to be a continuing participatory process, with monitoring, learning and
continuous improvement.
The scenario analyses undertaken for priority sectors, discussed in earlier chapters, mapped the ways
in which each sector is likely to develop under business-as usual and high-growth scenarios (as
envisaged in the draft Framework for a Long-Term Vision) and identified major activities which are
currently in the pipeline or likely to be completed or initiated during the next decade. These activities
and the major policy directions, proposals and initiatives heralded in the draft Framework for a Long-
Term Vision for Botswana (27 October 2015) provided the substrate for sustainability appraisals for
each priority sector. The latter examined some of the complex web of interlocking issues that will
need to be addressed by sectors individually and on an inter-sectoral basis as part of overall national
development planning. They have also enabled experts to identify the main economic, social,
environmental and governance-related impacts (both positive and negative) likely to result from the
major activities and initiatives within each sector.
In the mining sector the activities proposed have significant environmental impacts (land degradation,
habitat alteration, biodiversity loss), and social impacts (community disruption, HIV and AIDS) that
need to be avoided and/or mitigated. There are also concerns around competition for scarce resources
(eg water and energy) and land use conflicts (mining in areas important for agriculture, conservation
and tourism) that could result in serious opportunity costs.
Whilst the agriculture sector, makes a modest contribution to GDP (it is dwarfed by diamond
mining), it plays a vital role (particularly subsistence agriculture) in underpinning rural livelihoods,
providing food, income and employment for the majority of the rural dwellers. But the sector is one of
the most vulnerable to climate change in Botswana and therefore requires very careful planning.
There are varied activities proposed in this sector, which have different implications for sustainable
development. Significant sustainable development concerns are raised by the proposed large-scale
irrigated agriculture in north-east Botswana, which is likely to result in significant impacts – both
social (eg involuntary resettlement, social disruption, spread of HIV and AIDS) and environmental
(eg habitat loss, wildlife displacement, pollution). The policy to erect and maintain veterinary fences
will also need significant assessment from a sustainable development perspective. Good policy
options include Integrated Land Management (ILM), Conservation Agriculture (CA) and improved
130
integration of the livestock and crop farming sub-sectors.
From a sustainable development perspective, in the longer-term, the energy sector needs to move to a
more diverse energy mix, seeking a greater contribution from, and a gradual transition to, renewable
energy sources. This would respond to the concern that burning fossil fuel leads to significant
environmental and social (health) impacts. At this stage, solar solutions may be better suited to niche
developments (eg tourism lodges), high density places that only need power in the daytime, or very
remote villages/mines where building long power lines would be too expensive and environmentally
damaging.
The tourism sector competes with neighbouring countries which also offer good attractions, so
Botswana will have to improve its standards, upgrade and diversify its products, services and facilities
to be competitive in the region and globally. However, there is limited potential for increasing the
number of lodges in prime areas, given that the de facto policy (which is in line with sustainability
principles) is to focus on high-value, low-volume tourism. Thus, the logical expansion option is to
improve bed night occupancy within existing establishments, as well as offer additional tourism
products (eg cultural and mining tourism). Also, the opportunities to be gained from collaborating
with neighbouring countries that offer complimentary tourism products should not be ignored.
From a sustainability perspective, proposed activities are mainly beneficial with positive economic,
social, governance and environmental outcomes.
The water sector is critical to an arid country like Botswana. Surface water sources are essentially
limited to shared rivers and underground water sources are being over-extracted. Mining and
industrial developments will place added pressure on public water supply. Plans to expand irrigation
raise considerable sustainable development concerns and, whilst beneficial in terms of food security,
are vulnerable to climate variability and likely to result in a range of significant environment and
social negative impacts. Some irrigation will also be possible as a result of proposals to treat
wastewater, and from a sustainable development perspective, this is positive. Water saving should be
the norm in Botswana, given the water stress the country faces, rather than being promoted only
during times of acute water crisis.
As indicated above, it is strongly recommended that independent sustainability assessments be
budgeted for and commissioned (using Botswana’s SEA regulations as the framework) for key
activities and initiatives in the priority sectors (see Box 8.1)– to address cumulative impacts (positive
ones – so as to identify how best to enhance possible synergies; and negative ones – so as to maximise
efforts at mitigation).
Other key strategies for improving sustainability include the use of EIA, environmental management
plans and post-implementation monitoring (for individual projects). Some of these safeguards might
require institutional reforms, such as increased staff and training in government departments, or
increased use (at proponent cost) of consultants to do the work. A key question is what are the most
appropriate arrangements for post-project closure and rehabilitation (eg mines), especially regarding
the setting aside of funds for closing and rehabilitating mines.
Given Botswana’s vulnerability to activities in neighbouring countries (eg in shared river basins), it is
strongly recommended that the GoB uses its influence within SADC to speed up the process of
developing transboundary EIA guidelines and protocols. This will improve Botswana’s ability to
influence policies, plans, programmes and projects that may undermine sectors such as agriculture and
tourism.
The professional and focused contributions of participants in these workshops underscored that
Botswana has expertise and skills in areas concerned with sustainable development. But it is critical to
continue to provide opportunities for such experts to engage in processes that critically assess the
challenges the country faces and support planning and decision-making.
131
132
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134
APPENDICES
1 Lists of participants in the scenario workshops
2 Lists of participants in the sustainability appraisal workshops
3 Baseline information for the mining sector
4 Baseline information for the agriculture sector
5 Baseline information for the energy sector
6 Baseline information for the tourism sector
7 Baseline information for the water sector
8 Supplementary information on infrastructure
9 Definitions of terms
135
Appendix 1: Lists of participants in the scenario workshops
NAME INSTITUTION
Agriculture
Thato Supang Agribusiness Forum Database Botswana
Kgotso Oteng Ministry of Agric (Animal Production)
Nyasha Chapata AT & T Travel
Tiny Motlhaodi Dept of Agric Research
Dr Davis Marumo Botswana College of Agriculture
MC Bonyongo SASSCAL
MBK Darkoh UB
Linnet Nyandoro Enviro Affairs
Mining
Fred Jansen Bots Chamber of Mines
Neeraj Saxena Jindal Botswana
Ngonidzashe I. Tobani Dept of Geological Surveys
Taboka Mabudi Ecosurv
Rutang Moses SAFDICO & Diamond Technology Park
Tourism
Nyasha Chapata Alenwood
Duly C Otimile Dept of Lands
Temalo M. Lesetlhe Dept of Tourism
Maitseo M. M. Bolaane University of Botswana
Myra Sekgororoane Hospitality Planet
Sarah Mulwa Enviroplan
Shepherd Chakalisa Dept of Town and Regional Regional
Mosimanegape Nthaka DEA
Linnet Nyandoro Enviro Affairs
Ruud Jansen Consultant
Sekgowa Motsumi OKACOM
Energy
Linnet Nyandoro Dept of Enviro Affairs
Judith MAifala Enviro Affairs
Sarah Mulwa
Karen Giffard SO Solar
Bonolo Baker So Solar
Tebalebo Baletlwa Farmer
Nozipho Wright Bebezip/Energia
Martin Dube Van Der Merwe & Sons
Mokgadi Monamati Dept Environmental Affairs-Tsabong
David Lesolle Univ Botswana
Ken Johnstone BITRI
Water
BP Parida Univ Botswana (civil engineering)
PK Kenabatho Univ Botswanav science)
David Lesolle
Neeraj Saxena
Ruud Jansen
Fred Jansen
MC Bonyongo
136
Appendix 2: Lists of participants in the sustainability appraisal workshops
NAME ORGANISATION
Taboka Mabudi ECOSURV
Oageng Disang DEA
Nyandoro Linnet Kakiso DEA
Tsosoloso Matale DEA
David Parry ECOSURV
David Farr EXPLORATION
Sekgowa Motsumi OKACOM
Gabriel Monageng NSO
Khulekani Mpofu DEA
Tsalano P Kedikilwe DEA
Ngonidzashe Isaac tabani DGS
Hossia Chimbombi DOM
Mokgadi Monamaii DEA
Stephen Chakalina DTRP
Maina Bolokwe DWA
Shatho Mathangwane DTRP
Gareutlwane Gaopatwe DVS
Setshwane Khetse DAP
Grace G Mafhoko DCP
Nametso Monametsi DAR
Otlaadisa Naane NSO
Douglas Machacha DAR
Chada Koketso AGRIC HUB
Jaap Arntzen CAR
Davis Marumo BCA
Janet Selato DMS
Ruud Jansen CONSULTANT
Thato B Morule NSO
Keletso Senabye MTI-DIT
Mpho Motsonkana DWA
Gorata Modise DWA
Mmathapelo Laletsang DOT
One Tshukudu ECOSURV
Liny Rakorong HATAB
Mosimanegape Nthaka DEA
Alex Masiziani DTRP
Ramogampi Gaborekwe DEA
Kuvare Venjonokova DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY
Rakgati BITRI
Martin Dube VAN DER MERWE & SONS HOLDINGS
Kwashirai chigodora STATISTICS BOTSWANA
Tshepo Baakile DEA
Karabo Magetse SOLAHART BOTSWANA
Sarah S.B Mulwa ENVIROPLAN
Karen Giffard SO SOLAR
Bonolo Baker SO SOLAR
Unopa Sikuku GEOFLUX
K.F. Dintwa STATISTICS BOTSWANA
Tshepo Setlhogile CENTRE FOR APPLIED RESEARCH
Lesego Seakanyeng DEA
Saniso Sakuringwa DWA
Bogadi Mathangwane DWA
Saidy Motladiile DWNPC
Robert Gumiremhete WELLFIELD CONSULTING SERVICES
137
Patrick Seitiso MFDP-PDC
Eben Chonguiza OKACOM
Kakanyo Dintwa STATISTICS BOTSWANA
Tej Bakaya WATER RESOURCE CONSERVANTS
Sarah S.B Mulwa ENVIROPLAN
Portia Segomelo WAVES SECRETARIAT
Oldman Koboto UNDP
Bame Mannathoko UNDP
Charles Nkile DWA
138
Appendix 3: Baseline information for the mining sector
Table A3.1: Botswana’s legislative framework for mining and prospecting (modified from Mengwe 2010, SAIEA
2012)
Date of
enactment
Legislation Brief description Implications for environmental
management/safeguards 1967 Mineral Rights in
Tribal Territories
Act
Right of prospecting, mining or disposing of minerals vested in the state
Land ownership or stewardship has no right to the mining / or non-mining of minerals in or
around the Okavango Delta
1967 Mines and Minerals
Act
Provisions for granting of prospecting and
mining licences
Environmental requirements within these
provisions must be fulfilled for licence holders to retain their rights. Non compliance can be
reported by stakeholders to the mining authorities
1968 Waterworks Act Amongst other aims, prevents pollution of public water bodies
Offers added protection to the water quality of wetlands and aquifers (within Botswana)
1971 Atmospheric
Pollution
Prevention Act
This statutory regulation for the control of air
pollution empowers the state to monitor and
regulate emissions from industry
Any deterioration in air quality as a result of
mining can be reported to authorities in order to
take action
1971 Mineral Rights Tax
Act
Mechanism for the generation of state
income through minerals taxation
Use of tax income to enable investment and
development in other sectors
1977 Mines and Minerals
Act (updated)
Regulates mining and prospecting activities
including the granting and termination of licences. Provisions for environmental
protection are included
Non-compliance in terms of environmental
protection can result in licences being revoked
1978 Mines, Quarries, Works and
Machinery Act
Complimentary to the Mines and Minerals Act which makes provision for the regulation
of health and safety standards within mining
operations, and includes quarrying as a mining activity
Quarrying for building materials are subject to this Act
1981 Public Health Act Prohibits the disposal of waste or noxious
substances into water courses or beds not approved for such disposal
See Waterworks Act above
1984 Employment Act Provisions requiring mining operations to
provide medical benefits to employees, and
offers severance protection to employees
Employment benefits offered for mining attracts
trained workers, potentially creating capacity
voids elsewhere
1998 Waste Management
Act
Provisions for the prevention of pollution
from waste disposal sites
Waste disposal (waste rock, tailings, or other
waste has the potential to impact on water
quality. Mining operations’ waste management facilities need to be up to standard where this
potential exists
1999 Mines and Minerals
Act (updated)
Update of the 1977 Act, includes provisions
to creating a favourable environment for mining investment
Same as Mines and Minerals Act 1977;
Increased mining pressure on other land use in general
2005 Environmental
Impact Assessment Act
Requires all mining activities and other major
developments to conduct an Environmental Impact Assessment prior to commencing
operations, and to implement impact
mitigation and monitor its effect on the receiving environment
Land and natural resource users are recognised as
stakeholders in the EIA process for developments.
2006 Radiation
Protection Act
Entered into force in 2007. Provides for the
safe use of atomic energy and nuclear technology and for matters incidental thereto.
Established the Radiation Protection
Inspectorate
2008 Acquisition of Property Act
Includes provision authorizing the acquisition of property for public and other purposes,
and for settling the amount of any
compensation to be paid, or any matter in difference.
2010 Environmental
Assessment Act
Update to the Act of 2005. Stresses
intersectoral cooperation. Includes substantial penalties for non-compliance
Enables more collaborative decision making with
regard to the issuing / renewal of mining licences if they impact on other users.
139
Generic impacts of mining
The generic impacts of mining are well documented - see: www.elaw.org/files/mining-eia-
guidebook/Chapter1.pdf) which describes the following to be the main impacts from mining:
Impacts on water resources:
o Acid mine drainage and contaminant leaching;
o Erosion of soils and mine wastes into surface waters;
o Impacts of tailings impoundments, waste rock, heap leach, and dump leach facilities;
o Impacts of mine dewatering;
Impacts on air quality:
o Mobile sources (vehicles and machinery);
o Stationery resources (combustion and power generation);
o Fugitive emissions (dust and fumes);
Noise and vibration.
Impacts on biodiversity:
o Habitat loss;
o Habitat fragmentation;
Impacts on soil quality.
Impacts on social values:
o Human displacement and resettlement;
o Impacts of migration;
o Lost access to resources;
o Impacts on livelihoods;
o Impacts on health (particularly HIV and AIDS);
o Impacts on gender;
o Impacts to cultural and aesthetic resources;
Climate change impacts:
o Lost CO2 uptake;
o CO2 emitted by machines;
o CO2 emitted by processing activities.
Table A3.2 summarises the activities and impacts associated with mining through its different phases in a
Botswana context.
140
Table A3. 2: Overview of the Potential Environmental Impacts associated with the different stages of
mining activities in a Botswana context (source: Adapted from Mengwe (2004, 2010), Misra (1994), Rao and Yerpude (1996))
Stage of
Mining
Activities
Potential Environmental Impacts
Exploration, surveying and
mine site
development
Geochemical, geophysical and airborne surveys
Drilling and trenching.
Establish temporary camp and facilities
Access road and rail construction.
Waste disposal (garbage) and sanitation
facilities.
Stripping/storing of waste (overburden).
Waste rock stock piles.
Piling of low and high-grade ore stock.
Mine construction, roads, power lines, offices, housing, recreation facilities, vehicle
and machinery parks, fuel points, storage areas, service bays etc.
Installation of mine and surface water
treatment equipment.
Construction of processing plants, smelters
and refineries.
Landscaping of site.
Temporary employment.
In migration of labour
Loss and/or displacement of habitats and biodiversity.
Soil erosion along trenches and transects – could result in siltation of drainage lines.
Dumping of drill cores and waste.
Demand on local water resources.
Pollution of soil and groundwater (eg acid rock drainage).
Increased demand on local water sources.
Land alienation and restricted public access.
Noise and light pollution
Loss of heritage sites.
Aesthetic deterioration.
Altered drainage patterns and run-off flows.
Displacement of people.
Impacts on livelihoods.
Increase in job seekers.
Spread of HIV (AIDS)
Mining and
beneficiation
Blasting of rock.
Extraction of ore (mechanical – crushing and
milling, chemical – flotation and leaching.
Smelting / roasting.
Transport of product and wastes.
Development of service industries.
Increased job opportunities.
Increased national revenue.
In migration of labour and job seekers.
Air pollution, including dust, heavy metals, organics and sulphur dioxide.
Leakages and spillages leading to soil and water pollution
Energy usage (electricity, diesel etc).
Increased demand for electricity
Noise and vibration
Aesthetic and sense of place impacts (including
light pollution).
Loss of biodiversity, fragmentation, disturbance of ecological processes.
Strain on existing infrastructure (medical, education, accommodation, roads, electricity etc).
Noise pollution
Loss of heritage sites.
Altered drainage patterns and run-off flows.
Increased demand on water resources.
Altered drainage patterns and run-off flows.
Acid mine drainage.
Chemical spills.
Economic dependence on mining.
Skills drain on other industries.
Increased spending on alcoholism / prostitution (HIV and AIDS).
Increased crime.
Mine closure and
rehabilitation
Removal of infrastructure.
Physical, chemical and biological rehabilitation of mine sites.
Water management (pumping, chemical treatment etc.).
Management of safety aspects (fencing of voids,
subsidence).
Retrenchment / redeployment of labour.
Loss of employment.
Out migration.
Impact on related industries.
Disrepair of infrastructure (roads, railways, pipelines).
Decline in local economy.
141
Appendix 4: Baseline information for the agriculture sector
Table A4.1: Botswana’s legislative framework for agriculture
State Land Act of 1966
Defines state land of Botswana and provides for its disposal.
Provides for the imposition of a service levy as may be considered necessary to
defray any expenditure incurred or to be incurred for the grant of such land and for
the provision of services and other amenities in connection with the use of such
land.
Fees due to the state for the use of areas on state lands are to be administered
under this Act.
Agricultural Resources
Conservation Act (1974)
Makes provision for the conservation and improvement of the agricultural
resources of Botswana;
Establishes an Agricultural Resources Board and to define its powers and
functions; to provide for conservation committees and subordinate conservation
committees and prescribe their functions; and to
Provide for matters incidental to the foregoing.
Agricultural Resources
Conservation Act of 1974 (as
amended 2011)
This Act Is under revision.
Provides for the conservation and improvement of agricultural resources of
Botswana (soils, waters, vegetation and animals).
The 2011 amendment focuses on the utilisation of veld products. In the
amendment it is noted that veld products of such as mopane worm, motshikiri
thatching grass require a permit if the amount to be harvested exceeds certain
thresholds.
Herbage Preservation Act of
1977 [under revision.]
This Act was instituted to control bush and other fires. It states that every person
before burning of vegetation on land of which he is the owner or on which he is
permitted or authorised to burn, shall give reasonable notice to all owners or
occupiers of the adjoining land of his intention to do so and of the time at which
the burning is to begin.
Livestock and Meat Industries
Act (2007)
Re-enacts, with amendments, the Livestock and Meat Industries Act,
Provides for the slaughter of domestic livestock, farmed game, wild game and
poultry for human consumption,
Controls the operation of abattoirs, slaughter slabs, cold storage facilities, meat
processing plants, cutting premises, canning plants and the marketing, grading and
inspection of livestock, livestock products and other matters related thereto.
Table A4.2: Agricultural parastatal organisations
Parastatal Role
Botswana Meat Commission
(BMC)
Established to purchase and slaughter livestock, process and sell meat and other
animal products in such a manner as to promote the interest of the livestock
industry in Botswana.
The BMC owns marketing subsidiaries in the United Kingdom, Germany and
Holland, an insurance company in the Cayman Islands, cold storage facilities in
the United Kingdom and South Africa, and transport companies in Botswana.
Botswana College of
Agriculture
Established in 1991 as an associate institute of the University of Botswana. Its
mandate is to provide education and training in the science and practice of
agriculture as well as conduct research.
Botswana Agricultural
Marketing Board (BAMB)
Established in 1974 to secure a stable market for both the producers and customers
for scheduled produce against market related prices. Is also the custodian of the
strategic gain reserve for government.
Botswana Vaccine Institute
Established in 1980 to produce FMD vaccine to enhance ability of the country to
import beef. Over the years it diversified and it now produces Rinderpest, Anthrax,
Blackquarter, CBPP and PPR vaccines.
Banyana PTY (Ltd) Established in 1998 as a government owned company whose mandate is
breeding/rearing good quality beef cattle to supply breeding stock to farmers and
finished stock to BMC and local butcheries.
142
Figure A4.1: Ministry of Agriculture organogram
143
Appendix 5: Baseline information for the energy sector
Table A5.1: Botswana’s legislative and policy framework for energy
MAIN OBJECTIVES / ACTIONS & STRATEGIES
ELECTRICITY SUPPLY ACT 1973
Provision for licensing & control of undertakings for
generation & supply of electricity & connected matters
Enables issuing of licences (to generate/supply
electricity)
Acquisition of land for electricity purposes (eg for
generation/supply)
Wayleaves over land (eg for transmission lines)
Rights of entry (eg for inspection, maintenance of lines,
meters, apparatus)
NATIONAL ENERGY POLICY (final draft) (March 2009)
Responsible agency: Ministry of Minerals, Energy and Water Resources, Energy Affairs Division
Policy issues
Inadequate security & reliability of energy supply
Poor access to affordable energy services
(particularly for low-income & marginalised)
Lack of energy, hampering socio-economic
development & causing social hardships
Ineffective institutional arrangements & governance
for energy sector
Inadequate government capacity for service delivery
Lack of energy information for policy, planning and
decision-making
Negative energy-related safety, environmental &
health impacts of energy use & exploitation
Weak energy trade & international cooperation
Inefficient service delivery & utilisation of energy
sources – no demand-side management program
Ineffective energy-related research & development
programs
Ineffective private sector participation & low
investment in energy sector
Gender, age and socio-economic status not taken into
consideration in formulating energy policies &
programs
Regional elements
SADC Energy Protocol – regional integration &
cooperation in energy development
Southern African Power Pool (SAPP) – energy trade
through interconnected electricity network
Western Corridor Project - ??
Regional Petroleum & Gas Association – not yet
operational
Regional Research Alliance
Regional Electricity Regulators Association
International elements
Volatile oil prices & insecure supplies
Promotion of renewables
Botswana ratified Kyoto Protocol – carbon
emissions trading
Policy Vision
Secure, safe, sustainable & reliable energy supply for
social and economic activities for all sectors & for
the disadvantaged segment of society;
Information on energy readily available;
Active participation by the private sector including
local citizens and robust investment in the energy
sector by the private sector;
144
Equitable, transparent and consultative regulatory
system that is people-sensitive and promotes
efficiency and accountability; and
Energy related research and development programs
that address the country’s development needs.
Overall policy goal
“To meet the energy needs of Botswana for social and
economic development in a sustainable manner” (ie to
include elements of economic, social, efficiency and
environmental sustainability).
Policy Goals
1. Improved security and reliability of energy supply to
all sectors of the economy.
2. Increased and equitable access to affordable energy
services for all sectors of the economy, particularly
the low income and marginalized.
3. Energy contributing to socio-economic development
and social wellbeing of all the people of Botswana.
4. Effective institutional arrangement and governance
for the energy sector.
5. Improved capacity for service delivery for all key
stakeholders in the energy delivery chain.
6. Improved availability of energy information for
policy and planning.
7. Minimized energy related environmental, safety and
health impacts.
8. Strengthened energy trade and cooperation for
enhanced energy security and reduction in costs.
9. Improved energy efficiency for all energy sources in
all sectors for economy, increased security and
environmental protection.
10. An effective and sustainable energy research and
development program that addresses the country’s
energy development priorities.
11. Effective private sector participation and investment
at all levels in the energy sector.
12. Gender, age and socio-economic status are
mainstreamed in all energy policies and programs.
Policy objectives
Increasing access to affordable energy services to all
sectors of the economy
Stimulating sustainable economic growth by
promoting competition, efficiency and investment in
the sector and thus achieve poverty reduction
Improving institutional arrangements and
governance in the energy sector
Improving capacity in the various players in the
energy development and delivery chain
Improving the availability of energy information
Managing energy related environmental and health
impacts
Improving energy security through diversity in
supply and through regional cooperation and energy
trade
Mainstreaming gender, age and socio-economic
considerations in energy planning and development
POLICY IMPLEMENTATION PLAN 2009
Implementation Areas
Institutional arrangements:
o Generally accepted accounting principles;
o Creation of energy regulator;
o Independent power producer framework.
Energy efficiency:
o Demand side management;
145
Increasing access to modern energy:
o Renewable Energy Programme: biomass. biogas,
energy, biofuels, solar (solar PV, solar heaters,
solar thermal);
Security of supply.
Institutional needs
o Energy Water Regulator
o Independent Power Produce (IPP) Framework
o Energy Efficiency Office
o Modern Energy Access Office
o Renewable Energy Office
o Oil Secretariat
o National Petroleum Company
Figure A5.1: Southern Africa power supply
146
Figure A5.2: Botswana’s domestic electricity distribution network
Figure A5.3: National powerline map
147
Box A5.1: Key energy statistics (2014)
Peak power demand: 578 MW (2012) – est 902 MW (2020) (56% increase).
Peak demand: 598 MW
Current supply: 392 MW (excluding 200 MW emergency supply from Eskom)
Shortfall 206 MW
Average load growth rate/yr 5.5%
148
Appendix 6: Baseline information for the tourism sector
Table A6.1: Botswana’s legislative and policy for tourism
MAIN OBJECTIVES ACTIONS & STRATEGIES
TOURISM POLICY 1990
Definition: A “tourist is a temporary visitor staying at least 24
hours away from his/her place of permanent residence in order
to pursue purposes related to leisure or business”
Focus for tourism: wildlife & wilderness, rock paintings,
industrial activities, historical monuments & museums
Area/site attributes:
Possess certain resources: wildlife & scenic beauty,
Have rare aesthetic, ecological, social or cultural
attributes.
Be accessible at affordable prices.
Offer degree of protection.
Convey spirit of hospitality.
General policy objective [para 3.8]
Obtain , on a sustainable basis, the greatest possible net
social & economic benefits for Batswana from their
tourism resources; scenic beauty; wildlife & unique
ecological, geological & cultural characteristics [para 3.8].
Specific policy objectives [para 3.1]
Increase foreign exchange earnings & govt revenues.
Generate employment, mainly in rural areas.
Raise incomes in rural areas – to reduce urban drift.
Provide rural development & stimulate provision of other
services in remote areas.
Improve quality of national life by providing educational
& recreational opportunities.
Project a favourable national image to the outside world.
Tourism is on ecologically sustainable basis.
Provide local communities with direct/indirect benefits.
Tourism objectives to be pursued within two constraints:
o Wildlife Conservation Policy 1986 – requires
complete protection of NPs & Game Reserves [need
to address potential conflicts from increased tourist
numbers].
o National Policy on Economic Opportunities –
requires increased participation of nationals in
ownership/management of tourism enterprises [may
inhibit foreign investments].
Shift the mix of tourists away from casual campers to
occupying permanent accommodation [para 2.2.7].
(B) TOURISM ACT 1992
Provisions:
Establish Director of Tourism
Licensing tourism enterprises
Requires classifies categories of tourism enterprises
Establishes Tourist Industry Licensing Board
Grading of tourism enterprises
(C) WILDLIFE CONSERVATION & NATIONAL PARKS ACT 1992
Provisions:
Enables declaration, control, management &
maintenance of national parks
Prohibits certain acts in parks (eg convey weapons,
hunt, cause damage, introduce or remove
animals/vegetation, etc) & in other specified areas
Require permission for new mining
Declare game reserves & sanctuaries, private game
149
reserves, & wildlife management areas
Specify protected & partially protected game
animals
Licensing/permitting of hunting/capturing outside
parks & reserves
Sets out landholders’ privileges
Permitting game farms & ranches
Issuing professional guide and hunters licenses
Control of export/import of animals. Trophies,
meat; & sale/manufacturing of articles from
trophies
(D) BOTSWANA TOURISM ORGANISATION ACT NO. 14 2009
Vision: “To develop Botswana into a unique preferred tourism
destination of choice in order to increase the sector’s
contribution to the nation’s economic growth, through active
participation of the local and international communities for the
sustainable utilization of tourism resources”
Repealed Botswana Tourism Board Act 2003, &
established the Botswana Tourism Organisation to
market and position Botswana as a premier tourist
destination; promote investment in the tourism sector;
and to classify and grade tourism facilities.
Figure A6.1: National parks in Botswana
150
Figure A6.2: Most visited destinations in Botswana (2006-2010) (Source: http://www.mewt.gov.bw/uploads/files/Tourism/Tourism%20Statistics%202006-2010%20V2%200.pdf)
Figures A6.3-6: Location of Lodges
151
152
Box A6.1: Key statistics/data for the tourism sector
International Tourist Arrivals: 2,145,079
Day visitors (2010) 386,900
Total visitors 2,531,979
Average Annual Growth Rate: Tourist Arrivals 2006-2010 10.7%
Average Length of Stay of International Tourists (nights) 5.3
International Tourist Expenditure (pula) 5.1 billion
International Tourist Average Spend/Night (pula) 450
Domestic Overnight Tourist Trips 1,166,141
Domestic Tourist Expenditure: Day and Overnight Trips (pula) 955 million
Accommodation Room Occupancy Rate 48.1%
Accommodation Bed Occupancy Rate 40.7%
Average Length of Stay in Accommodation (nights) 2.2
Leisure tourists 2010
>58% of all leisure tourists stayed in a lodge
37% camped
90% of VFR tourists stayed in private accommodation
57% also visited South Africa
Accommodation use 2010
(Source: http://www.mewt.gov.bw/uploads/files/Tourism/Tourism%20Statistics%202006-2010%20V2%200.pdf
There has been a sharp increase in the utilisation of lodges by tourists over the period 2007-2010, mainly at the expense of
hotels and private accommodation. Camping has also increased in popularity
Hotel 14.2
Lodge 39.9
B&B 6.7
Camping 20.9
Self-catering 1.2
Hostel 0.7
Private 23.5
Other 4.4
Status of the graded facilities (Source: BTO 2012/13)
1 Star 86
2 Star 79
3 Star 56
4 Star 42
5 Star 27
Grade Pending 83
No Award 51
Total 424
Accommodation statistics 2011
Number of Rooms 7,131
Number of Beds 4,386
Room Occupancy Rate 55.1%
Bed Occupancy Rate 43.3%
Average Length of Stay 2.5 Nights
Accommodation Employment 9,600
Accommodation Turnover Pula 2.3 Billion
Total Wages & Salaries Pula 57 Million
Number of facilities 428
Room 7,131
Beds 14,386
Rooms occupied 1,341,507
Beds occupied 2,274,292
Occupancy rate 51.5%
153
Table A6.1: Transport used 2010
All tourists Lesire tourists Business Visit family/relatives
Bus 26%
Own car 25%
Hire car 21%
Other 20%
Air 8%
Hire car 33%
Bus 25%
Air 16%
Own car 14%
Other 12%
Air 44%
Own car 32%
Other 5%
Bus 6%
Hire car 3%
Bus 38%
Other 35%
On car 18%
Air 8%
Hire car 1%
154
Appendix 7: Baseline information for the water sector
Table A7.1: Legislative and policy framework, and related issues
MAIN POLICY OBJECTIVES STRATEGIES
WATER ACT 1968
Comment:
Many elements now ineffective in dealing with present &
future challenges of water resources management (eg
population increase, climate change).
Establishes Water Apportionment Board.
Sets out ownership & inherent rights to use public
water:
o Casual rights (eg for watering stock, drinking,
washing/cooking, use in a vehicle, sink,
wells/boreholes & abstract for domestic purposes);
o Sets out right to abstract & use water for mining &
forestry (under their sector Acts);
o Prohibits free diversion, damming, storing &
abstraction of water, & discharge of water discharge
of effluent to public water.
Registration of existing rights.
Granting & revision/variation of water rights.
Creation of servitudes (rights to access, eg to
construct/maintain water works).
Powers to inspect, demolish unlawful works, establish
hydro stations and make surveys.
DRAFT NATIONAL WATER POLICY (2012) [Not seen – analysis relies on BIRMWE Plan doc]
Objectives
Foster good quality water for all users.
Advocates sustainable development of water
resources in support of economic growth,
diversification & poverty eradication.
Decentralised catchment area approach,
Establish Water Resources Board – responsible for
equity & sustainable allocation of water resources, &
efficient implementation of IWRM plan,
Form a Water Regulator – to ensure financial
sustainability, guide & monitor development &
implementation of water tariff structures, ensure service
providers comply with standards.
Key focus areas
Water for growth
Water demand management and water conservation
Domestic water supply & sanitation
Water for environment & tourism
Water for agriculture
Water for mining & industry
Water for energy
Information management
Research & development
International cooperation
Monitoring & evaluation
Comments on policy made in Botswana Integrated
Resource Management & Water Efficiency Plan 2013
Climate change adaptation strategies not addressed
Water pricing not mentioned
No details on how water allocation to be pursued
Water use for environment highlighted, but limited
attention to water protection & water quality issues
Mobilisation & financing of water infrastructure get
insufficient attention
Stakeholder participation in IWRM needs stipulating
Conflict resolution not addressed
BOTSWANA INTEGRATED RESOURCES MANAGEMENT AND WATER EFFICIENCY PLAN, MAY 2013
Goal
“To improve people’s livelihoods & welfare & contribute
to sustained economic growth, economic diversification,
social justice and poverty eradication through efficient,
equitable and sustainable water resources development &
management”
Elevate agricultural production & food security
Expand number people accessing potable water
& proper sanitation
Increase & improve water delivery supplies
Diversify economy
Offers coordinating & catalytic framework
Implementation driven by DWA
10 Strategic areas for action (55 activities recommended: 9
immediate. 35 short-term – by 2015; 17 medium-term – by
2023; 3 long-term – by 2030)
Efficiency of water allocation
Water supply & demand management
IWRM main streaming in development & land use
planning
Establish an IWRM-WE (water efficiency) enabling
environment
Development of catchment area management approach
Management of shared water resources
Institutional capacity-building in IWRM
Stakeholder participation in IWRM
Maintaining water quality & pollution control
Integration of ecological water requirements
155
Plus:
Creation of enabling environment (policy, legislative &
institutional framework)
Challenges
Water resources increasingly scare
Opportunities of additional water infrastructure are
limited & costs very high
Growth of mining will increase competition for
scarce water more than anticipated in Water Master
Plan
Future Irrigation development will strain water,
unless use treated effluent
Options
Need for water stewardship and water demand
management – rather than capital development works
Re-use /recycle all treated wastewater
IWRM Principles adopted
Water resources are ecological, economic and social
goods that need to be managed accordingly;
Water management is not the sole responsibility of
government, but of all stakeholders, including water
users, women, the private sector, academia and civil
society;
Decentralised water management is most effective,
eg at the water catchment Area level;
Water resources need to be wisely used and
governed.
Institutional features
Greater inclusiveness & participation of stakeholders
Holistic approach – close linkages to development &
land use planning
Decentralised catchment area institutions liked to
national institutions
Separation of water sector management tasks
Full integration of transboundary water management
Based on current institutional capabilities, & realistic
capacity-building
Integration of fresh & wastewater planning &
management
Plus: M&E
REVIEW OF NATIONAL WATER MASTER PLAN 2006 (NWMPR)
Review of first BNWP 1991 – identified 0utstanding recommendations from 1st plan
Need to promote WDM, water stewardship & use of non-conventional water, eg rainwater
Need national policy on rainwater harvesting
Need amendments to Building Control Regs & Development Control Code
Reduce water losses in distribution system
Increase water use efficiency in industrial & institutional sectors
Govt should encourage development in central Botswana to reduce water delivery costs
Presents WDM recommendations
Promotes SEA of development plans to determine impact on water demand
Curb pollution
Locate water dependent industries close to water sources
Incorporate water saving measures into building regs
Encourage water saving technologies
Request use of shared water resources – under international agreements
Manage water based on international best practice & IWRM
Develop National Water Resources Strategy
NATIONAL MASTER PLAN FOR WASTEWATER & SANITATION 2003 (NMPWWS)
Preceded by Policy for Wastewater & Sanitation
Management 2001:
“To promote the health & well-being of Batswana
through the provision of appropriate & sustainable
wastewater/sanitation management & to introduce
mechanisms for the protection & conservation of
water resources”
Enact legislation for wastewater & sanitation sector
o Licenses for facilities
o National asset register
o Permit system for commercial discharges of
effluents
o Monitoring of trade effluent agreements
Recover operational costs for households – national
tarriff
156
Overall objective of NMPWWS
“To evaluate the current scenario on wastewater
generation & disposal, on-site sanitation facilities & their
impact on the environment, & to develop planning &
implementation strategies for regulating the generation,
collection & disposal of wastewater in an environmentally
friendly & acceptable manner”
Wastewater plans & facilities – required in 70
settlements
Wastewater treatment, reuse & recycling – national
target for 2030: increase reuse to 96% of outflow or
48% of inflow
Coordinate IWRM-WE Plan with relevant national
policies (listed)
NDP 10
Implement water sector reform programme
More dams – complete Dikgatlhong, Lotsane, Thune,&
Mosetse dams
Further groundwater investigations
LEGISLATION AND NATIONAL POLICIES THAT AFFECT THE BOTSWANA WATER SECTOR
Development
Revised National Policy for Rural Development (2002)
Rural Development Policy and Strategy (2001)
Vision 2016
Community Based Rural Development Strategy (1996)
Industrial Development Policy (1998)
Poverty reduction strategy (2003)
Environment & biodiversity
National Conservation Policy(1990)
National Biodiversity Strategy and Action Plan (NBSAP)
(2007)
National Action Programme to Combat Desertification
(2006)
National Policy on Natural Resources Conservation and
Development (2007)
Community-Based Natural Resources Management
Policy (2007)
Wildlife Conservation Policy (1986)
Water & wetlands
Wetlands Policy and Strategy (2001)
Okavango Delta Management Plan (2007)
Land
National Settlement Policy (1998)
National Policy on Land Tenure (1985)
Review of the National Land policy (2003)
National Policy on Tribal Grazing Land (1975)
Forests
Draft National Forestry Policy (2005)
Agriculture
Arable Land and Development Programme (1997)
Arable Lands Development Programme (1976)
National Master Plan for Arable Agriculture and Dairy
Development (NAMPAD) (2001)
National Policy on Agriculture Development (NPAD)
(1991)
Tourism
Ecotourism Strategy (2002)
Game Ranching Policy of Botswana (2002)
Tourism Master Plan (2000)
Tourism Policy (1990)
Energy
National Energy Policy (2004)
National Energy Policy and Master Plan (2006)
Gender
National Policy on Women in Development (1995)
National Policy on Gender and Development (2008)
Other legal instruments described in Botswana
Integrated Water Resources Management & Water
Efficiency Plan:
Environmental Impact Assessment Act of 2011. - provides
for EIA for projects and strategic environmental assessments
(SEA) for policies, strategies and programmes. The SEA
and EIAs have to be approved by the DEA. The EIAs and
SEAs guidelines need to adopt the IWRM concept
Town and Country Planning Act 32:09 of 1978. - controls
the land use planning in urban areas. Urban planning should
adopt IWRM and link land and water resources planning
(e.g. storm water), & Botswana Integrated Water Resources
Water Efficiency Plan Volume 1
Tribal Land Act and Amendment Act Cap 32:02 of 1993.
- provides for the allocation and management of Tribal Land.
Land Boards are the key institution responsible for allocation
of Tribal land, issuing of user rights and imposing land use
restrictions. Land use and allocation processes have a
profound impact on water resources and demand, and
therefore IWRM needs to be fully integrated in the
implementation of the Tribal Land Act;
Agricultural Resources (Conservation) Act 1974. - deals
with veld products and has little direct relevance to water
resources. It also covers Agricultural Resources
Conservation (utilisation of veld products) regulations
(December 2006);
Tourism Act of 1992. - control tourism operations in the
country and requires operations to be registered and licensed
through the Department of Tourism. Water Conservation
measures could be integrated in the license requirements
(e.g. similar
to the ecotourism grading system);
Forestry Act No 23 of 1968, No 29 of 1980 and No 8 of
2005. The 1968 Act provides for the establishment of Forest
Reserves, Protected Trees, control of forest produce through
licensing and imports and exports of endangered tree species
in line with CITES. Maintaining forest resources and control
of exotic species that consumer excessive water are
important aspects of IWRM-WE;
Wildlife Conservation and National Parks Act 28 of 1992.
- aims to preserve and sustainably use wildlife resources in
Parks and WMAs respectively. It provides for different
wildlife zones and licenses for hunting, Park fees etc.
Waste Management Act Cap 65.06 of 1998. - deals with
solid waste, including hazardous waste (from households,
industries and government) and requires districts, towns and
cities to prepare waste management plans. The Department
of Waste Management and Pollution Control (DWMPC) has
the overall responsibility for waste management. Licenses
are requires for waste collection and disposal. Improper
waste management and disposal poses risks of water
pollution. Failure to prepare waste management plans is
157
therefore an IWRM concern;
Mines and Mineral Act No 17 of 1999. - provides for
prospecting and mining licenses for minerals. The
prospecting license gives holders the rights to drill boreholes
Table A7.2: Responsibilities of River Basin Commissions
RBC Responsibilities
Permanent Okavango
River Basin Water
Commission
(OKACOM)
Established by the OKACOM Agreement 1994) advises the three riparian states (Botswana,
Namibia & Angola) about the best possible use of the Okavango River's natural resources. Its
responsibilities are to:
Determine the long term safe yield of the river basin
Estimate reasonable demand from the consumers
Prepare criteria for conservation, equitable allocation and sustainable utilisation of water
Conduct investigations related to water infrastructure
Recommend pollution prevention measures
Develop measures for the alleviation of short term difficulties, such as temporary droughts
Address other matters determined by the Commission.
The Orange-Senqu
River Commission
(ORASECOM)
Formalised in 2000 – following regional ratification of the SADC Protocol on Shared Water
Course Systems - promotes the equitable and sustainable development of the resources of the
Orange-Senqu River. ORASECOM provides a forum for consultation and coordination between
the riparian states to promote integrated water resources management and development within the
basin. The goals of ORASECOM are to:
Develop a comprehensive perspective of the basin
Study the present and planned future uses of the river system
Determine the requirements for flow monitoring and flood management
Zambezi Watercourse
Commission
ZAMCOM
The ZAMCOM Agreement (2004) came into force in 2011. Its goal is to assist the Riparian States
(Angola, Botswana, Malawi, Mozambique, Namibia, Tanzania, Zambia, Zimbabwe) achieve
regional cooperation and integration through sharing treasured benefits from the water resources
of the Zambezi river basin. Responsibilities are:
Collect, evaluate and disseminate all data and information on the Zambezi Watercourse for
implementation of the Agreement;
Promote, support, coordinate and harmonize the management and development of the water
resources of the Zambezi Watercourse;
Advise Member States on the planning, management, utilization, development, protection
and conservation of the Zambezi Watercourse as well as on the role and position of the
Public with regard to such activities and the possible impact thereof on social and cultural
heritage matters;
Advise Member States on measures necessary for the avoidance of disputes and assist in the
resolution of conflicts among Member States with regard to the planning, management,
utilization, development, protection and conservation of the Zambezi Watercourse;
Foster greater awareness among the inhabitants of the Zambezi Watercourse of the equitable
and reasonable utilization and the efficient management and sustainable development of the
resources of the Zambezi Watercourse;
Cooperate with the institutions of SADC as well as other international and national
organizations where necessary;
Promote and assist in the harmonization of national water policies and legislative measures.
Limpopo Watercourse
Commission
(LIMCOM)
Established by the LIMCOM Agreement (2003) to advise the Contracting Parties (Botswana,
South Africa, Zimbabwe and Mozambique) and provide recommendations on the uses of the
Limpopo, its tributaries and its waters for purpose and measures of protection, preservation and
management of the Limpopo. Functions of the LIMCOM Council are:
Measures and arrangements to determine the long term safe yield of the water available from
the Limpopo;
The equitable and reasonable utilisation of the Limpopo to support sustainable development
in the territory of each Contracting Party and the harmonisation of their policies related
thereto;
The extent to which the inhabitants in the territory of each of the Contracting Parties
concerned shall participate in the planning, utilisation, sustainable development, protection
and conservation of the Limpopo and the possible impact on social and cultural heritage
matters;
All aspects related to the efficient and effective collection, procession and dissemination of
data and information with regard to the Limpopo;
158
Contingency plans and measures for preventing and responding to harmful conditions
whether resulting from natural causes such as drought or human conduct as well as
emergency situations that result suddenly from natural causes such as floods or human
conduct such as industrial accidents;
The investigations and studies, separately or jointly by the Contracting Parties with regard to
the development of the Limpopo including the construction, operation or maintenance of any
water works;
Measures with a view to arriving at settlement of a dispute.
Figures A7.1 River basins in Southern Africa
159
Figure A7.2
160
Figure A7.3: The North South Carrier
Figure A7.4: Botswana’s main aquifers
161
Figure A7.5: Botswana’s aquifers and their yields
Box A7.1: Key statistics for the water sector
Access to water
Access to safe drinking water (overall) 97%
Access to drinking water in urban areas 99.5% (2008)
Access to drinking water in rural areas 81.45% (2008)
Access to improved sanitation 79.8% (2010)
Rainfall
Mean annual rainfall 416 mm, (650 mm in N - 250 mm in SW)
Dams
Total dam capacity c. 800Mm3
Sustainable yield of storage dams 73.2 Mm3/yr
Additional sustainable yield of dams under construction 72.7 Mm3 /yr
New dams will increase to: 317 Mm3 ; 415L/person/day
Groundwater
Underground capacity (developed resources) 131,290 m3/day
Sustainable yield
Sustainable yield of aquifers 96 Mm3/yr
Sustainable yield per capita/day 216L/person/day
Planned sustainable yield per capita/day 415L/person/day
Potential sustainable yield from shared water courses 550 – 1750Mm3/yr
Est combined sustainable yield of well fields and dams: 165 Mm3 ; 216L/person/day
Water demand and consumption
Annual water consumption (2003): 170Mm3; , now est 200Mm3
Current water demand: 200 Mm3 ; 262L/person/day
National per-capita consumption 0.15m3/d
Annual water abstraction (water accounts) 195Mm3
Use by self providers 51.8%
Use by service providers 48.2%
Water supply
Self-providers (mostly mines & borehole owners) (86Mm3);
WUC 50Mm3;
District Councils 22Mm3
DWA 12Mm3
Water losses: 25% (2010-12)
162
Appendix 7: Supplementary information on Botswana’s infrastructure
A7.1 Institutional arrangements
The mission of the Ministry of Infrastructure, Science & Technology (MIST) is to deliver quality
building infrastructure, promote socio-economic oriented technological research, and the safe
application of nuclear technology, in partnership with its stakeholders to enhance economic
diversification and efficiency. Subdivisions include: Department of Building and Engineering
Services - provides sustainable buildings in partnership with its stakeholders; Radiation Protection
Inspectorate; and Department of Research, Science and Technology.
A7.2 Some key facts
Rail lines 971 kilometers (603 miles)
Roads 18,482 km (11,484 miles) (23% paved),
Airports 92 (12 with paved runways.
Telephones: 160,488 (2012).
A much greater density of transport, power, and ICT infrastructure is observed in the east
(particularly in the southeast) than in the rest of the country
A7.3 Transport links
Botswana's rail network is in desperate need of expansion. The country has a single North-South rail
corridor with three small branches, connecting only two of its neighbours, Zimbabwe and South
Africa. An estimated US$8.4 billion will be invested in expanding the railway network. This
investment will see Botswana connected to Namibia and Mozambique through two new rail links
(Figure A7.1), allowing the efficient transportation of minerals for export. It is hoped that the
improved rail network will also transform Botswana into a transport hub in southern Africa, with the
country facilitating trade in the Southern African Development Community (SADC). Botswana railways’ single main line runs along the north-south corridor and currently transports only
freight. It serves to provide access to the South Atlantic coast (at Walvis Bay) when connecting via
the proposed Trans-Kalahari railway.
Botswana has a strong record of road network expansion, quality, and to much lesser extent
maintenance. 80 % of the main road network and 73 % of the rural network are in good or fair
condition. Other indicators, such as network density and road traffic, are below the typical levels for
low income countries. The low network density is correlated to the desert geography of much of the
country rather than to a lack of connectivity.
The aircraft fleet of Air Botswana, the main airline of the country, is one of the newest on the
continent. The country is taking full advantage of its proximity to one of the most important air
transport hubs in Africa: Johannesburg. Botswana does well to provide short local and regional links
to South Africa, which in turn serves as the international gateway to the country.
163
Figure A7.1: Regional rail links – existing and proposed
A7.4 Air quality
The air pollution control division of the Department of Mines is responsible for air quality. A small
number of bubbler samplers for SO2 have operated since the mid-1970s. Total suspended aerosols
have been measured since the 1990s. A new air quality network is proposed, consisting of 17 sites in
ten towns, at which SO2 (14 sites), NOx (nine sites), CO (four sites), O3 (four sites), particulates (two
sites) and hydrocarbons (one site) will be monitored on a continuous basis. The first samplers were
commissioned in June 1999.
Precipitation chemistry is measured at Maun.
A7.5 Weather and climate
The Meteorological Department in the Ministry of Transport and Works operates a network of about
400 rainfall stations and 14 temperature and humidity stations. The geographical coverage is sparse in
the central Kalahari, which has few inhabitants and few roads. Data is measured daily on paper forms
and submitted on a monthly basis to the head office in Gaborone, where they are entered onto the
CLICOM database. Hourly surface meteorological data is measured at Gaborone, Ghanzi, Maun and
Francistown, and upper-air soundings daily at Gaborone, Tsabong, Letsekane and Maun.
The earliest rainfall record is from 1909. The major part of the network was established after 1930,
with the temperature stations added after 1958.
In addition to the above, there are 20 automatic weather stations (11 operated by the meteorological
office, and nine by the Department of Hydrology). They collect temperature, wind, humidity, solar
radiation and rainfall data hourly, and download the information via satellite. These stations are
designed to fill the information gaps in the sparsely populated parts of the country, and only require
servicing once every two years.
The Meteorological Department has a Meteosat and NOAA receiver, and has collected these data for
four years. They have investigated the use of Cold Cloud Duration for rainfall estimation in remote
areas.
164
A7.6 Information and communications
Botswana’s ICT policy is called Maitlamo - building on the National ICT Vision and Objectives
(2004): “Botswana will be a globally competitive, knowledge and information society where lasting
improvements in social, economic and cultural development is achieved through effective use of ICT”:
Creation of an enabling environment for the growth of an ICT industry in the country;
Provision of universal service and access to information and communication facilities in the
country; and
Making Botswana a Regional ICT Hub so as to make the country’s ICT sector globally
competitive.
An ICT Legal Framework accompanies the policy. Seven Task Forces have been established to
develop key aspects of the ICT Policy: Community Access and Development, Government, Learning,
Healthcare, Economic Development and the ICT Sector, Infrastructure, and Legal and Policy.
Highlights of the National ICT Policy are:
Connecting Communities Programme: All communities over 2000 inhabitants to be
connected to high speed network access by 2016;
All appropriate government information & services on-line;
ThutoNet - provide literacy, skills and knowledge required for both formal and non-formal
learners in the networked world;
e-Health Botswana - simple applications, eg Healthcare Portal and improving health related
information delivered over the radio and television. Over time, more sophisticated solutions
such as Telehealth (healthcare advice provided over the telephone) and Telemedicine
(healthcare services provided over the Internet) will be introduced;
ICT and Economic Diversification - further development of the International Financial
Services Centre (IFSC) and positioning the country as an attractive location for Business
Process Outsourcing (BPO) investment;
Connecting Botswana - design and deployment of an enabling technical infrastructure for
Maitlamo.
Table A7.1: Status of National Environmental Observing Systems
Government Organizations
Ministry Department EIS Functions
Ministry of Transport and Works Meteorological Department Collects, analyses and disseminates weather data
Ministry of Agriculture Agricultural Resources Board Wide powers, especially around drought interventions and fires
Dept. of Agricultural Planning and Statistics Collects and publishes (annually) data on agricultural
inputs and outputs
Department of National Parks and Wildlife Aerial survey of wildlife
Botswana Range Inventory and Monitoring
Project (BRIMP)
Vegetation inventory and monitoring of rangeland
condition
Ministry of Mineral Resources and
Water Affairs
Dept. of Water Affairs Monitoring ground and surface waters, quantity and
quality
Dept. of Mines, Air pollution control division Air quality
Ministry of Local Government, Lands
and Housing
National Conservation Strategy Advisory
Board
Coordination between government departments on
sustainable development
Ministry of Health Environmental Health Unit Hazardous waste, human health issues
Ministry of Finance Central Statistics Office Economic and population statistics
Parastatal Organizations
Botswana Power Generation
Corporation
Operates the only thermal power station in Botswana
Non-governmental Organizations
Kalahari Conservation Society Wildlife and birds
Veld Products Community-based natural resource management
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A7.2: District Map
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Appendix 9: Definitions of terms
Beneficiation
In mining, beneficiation (occasionally spelled "benefication") is one of a variety of processes that
take extract ore from mining and separate it into the desirable mineral andgangue, the part of the ore that is
unusable.
Biodiversity
Biodiversity is the variety of different types of life found on earth. It is a measure of the variety
of organisms present in different ecosystems. This can refer to genetic variation, ecosystem variation,
or species variation (number of species) within an area, biome, or planet. Terrestrial biodiversity tends to be
highest near the equator, which seems to be the result of the warm climate and high primary
productivity. Biodiversity is not distributed evenly on Earth. It is the richest in the tropics. There are latitudinal
gradients in species diversity. Biodiversity generally tends to cluster in hotspots, and has been increasing
through time but will be likely to slow in the future.
Climate change
Climate change is a change in the statistical distribution of weather patterns when that change lasts for an
extended period of time (ie decades to millions of years). Climate change may refer to a change in average
weather conditions, or in the time variation of weather around longer-term average conditions (ie more or fewer
extreme weather events). Climate change is caused by factors such as biotic processes, variations in solar
radiation received by Earth, plate tectonics, and volcanic eruptions. Certain human activities have also been
identified as significant causes of recent climate change, often referred to as "global warming".
Coal-bed methane
Coal-bed methane (CBM) – also called coalbed gas, coal seam gas, or coal-mine methane (CMM) - is a form
of natural gas extracted from coal beds. In recent decades it has become an important source of energy in USA,
the Canada, Australia, and other countries. The term refers to methane adsorbed into the solid matrix of the coal.
It is called 'sweet gas' because of its lack of hydrogen sulphide. The presence of this gas is well known from its
occurrence in underground coal mining, where it presents a serious safety risk. Coal-bed methane is distinct
from a typical sandstone or other conventional gas reservoir, as the methane is stored within the coal by a
process called adsorption. The methane is in a near-liquid state, lining the inside of pores within the coal (called
the matrix). The open fractures in the coal (called the cleats) can also contain free gas or can be saturated with
water. Unlike much natural gas from conventional reservoirs, coal-bed methane contains very little heavier
hydrocarbons such as propane or butane, and no natural-gas condensate. It often contains up to a few
percent carbon dioxide. Some coal seams contain little methane, with the predominant coal seam gas being
carbon dioxide.
Community-based natural resource management
A process by which landholders gain access and use rights to, or ownership of, natural resources; collaboratively
and transparently plan and participate in the management of resource use; and achieve financial and other
benefits from stewardship.
Conservation agriculture
Defined by the Food and Agricultural Organization of the UN as “a concept for resource-saving agricultural
crop production that strives to achieve acceptable profits together with high and sustained production levels
while concurrently conserving the environment”. Conservation agriculture applies three key principles:
minimum mechanical soil disturbance (tillage) which is essential to maintaining minerals within the soil,
stopping erosion, and preventing water loss from occurring within the soil.
managing the top soil to create a permanent organic soil cover that can allow for growth of organisms
within the soil structure which will break down the mulch that is left on the soil surface.
crop rotation with more than two species.
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Cumulative effects/impacts
Effects on the environment caused by the combined results of past, current and future activities. Over time,
direct and indirect human activities, which may be relatively minor, combine to have a collectively significant
impact on the environment. These effects may differ from the original, individual activities. For example,
ecosystems can be damaged by the combined effects of human activities, such as air, land, and/or water
pollution, improper handling of industrial waste, and other human development activities. Global warming is the
cumulative effect caused by too much greenhouse gas, and it may then cause a loss in biodiversity and acid rain.
Decent jobs / work
The availability of employment in conditions of freedom, equity, human security and dignity. According to the
International Labour Organization, decent work involves opportunities for work that is productive and delivers a
fair income, security in the workplace and social protection for families, better prospects for personal
development and social integration, freedom for people to express their concerns, organize and participate in the
decisions that affect their lives and equality of opportunity and treatment for all women and men.
Development drivers
Factors, issues, or trends that are having, or are likely to have, an influence on or determine the course of
development directions, initiatives, or decisions
Ecosystem services
The collective benefits that societies and communities derive from. Ecosystem services are regularly involved in
the provisioning of clean drinking water and the decomposition of wastes. While scientists and
environmentalists have discussed ecosystem services implicitly for decades, the ecosystem services concept
itself was popularized by the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (MA) in the early 2000s. This grouped
ecosystem services into four broad categories: provisioning, such as the production of food and
water; regulating, such as the control of climate and disease; supporting, such as nutrient cycles and
crop pollination; and cultural, such as spiritual and recreational benefits. To help inform decision-makers, many
ecosystem services are being assigned economic values.
Ecotourism
A form of tourism involving visiting fragile, pristine, and relatively undisturbed natural areas, intended as a low-
impact and often small scale alternative to standard commercial (mass) tourism. Its purpose may be to educate
the traveler, to provide funds for conservation, to directly benefit the economic development and political
empowerment of local communities, or to foster respect for different cultures and for human rights. Ecotourism
focuses on socially responsible travel, personal growth, and environmental sustainability. It typically involves
travel to destinations where flora, fauna, and cultural heritage are the primary attractions., and is intended to
offer tourists insight into the impact of human beings on the environment, and to foster a greater appreciation of
our natural habitats. Responsible ecotourism programs include those that minimize the negative aspects
of conventional tourism on the environment and enhance the cultural integrity of local people. An integral part
of ecotourism is the promotion of recycling, energy efficiency, water conservation, and creation of economic
opportunities for local communities.
Environmental impact assessment (EIA)
The formal process used to predict the potential environmental consequences (positive or negative) of a
development activity. Preferably EIA is undertaken prior to the decision to move forward with the proposed
action. It is usually applied at the level of individual projects and is distinguished from strategic environmental
assessment which at the higher levels of policies, plans and programmes. Formal impact assessments may be
governed by rules of administrative procedure regarding public participation and documentation of decision-
making, and may be subject to judicial review. An impact assessment may propose measures to adjust (mitigate)
impacts to acceptable levels or to investigate new technological solutions. The purpose of the assessment is to
ensure that decision-makers consider the environmental (and social) impacts when deciding whether or not to
proceed with a project. The International Association for Impact Assessment (IAIA) defines an EIA as "the
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process of identifying, predicting, evaluating and mitigating the biophysical, social, and other relevant effects of
development proposals prior to major decisions being taken and commitments made." EIAs are unique in that
they do not require adherence to a predetermined environmental outcome, but rather they require decision-
makers to account for environmental values in their decisions and to justify those decisions in light of detailed
environmental studies and public comments on the potential environmental impacts.
Environmental (and social) management plan
An Environmental Management Plan (EMP) (or environmental and social management plan, ESMP) describes
the strategies, processes and actions that a project proponent or organization will follow to maximize its
compliance with environmental (and social) standards or requirements, and mitigate/minimize environmental (
and social) harm or enhance environment (and social) benefits . This plan also helps a proponent/organization to
map its progress toward achieving continual improvements.
Fossil fuel
Fuels formed by natural processes such as anaerobic decomposition of buried dead organisms. The age of the
organisms and their resulting fossil fuels is typically millions of years, and sometimes exceeds 650 million
years. Fossil fuels contain high percentages of carbon and include coal, petroleum, and natural gas. Other more
commonly used derivatives of fossil fuels include kerosene and propane. They range from volatile materials
with low carbon:hydrogen ratios like methane, to liquid petroleum to non-volatile materials composed of almost
pure carbon, like anthracite coal. Methane can be found in hydrocarbon fields, alone, associated with oil, or in
the form of methane clathrates.
Gaborone Declaration for Sustainability in Africa
In May 2012, ten African heads of states in collaboration with some public and private sector partners held a
two day summit on sustainable development. The summit resulted in the Gaborone Declaration for
Sustainability in Africa (GDSA) where countries recommitted to implementing all conventions and declarations
that promote sustainable development. The overall objective of the Declaration is “To ensure that the
contributions of natural capital to sustainable economic growth, maintenance and improvement of social capital
and human well-being are quantified and integrated into development and business practice.” This was
propelled by the signatories’ realization of the limitations that GDP has as a measure of well-being and
sustainable growth. The following action statements are the impetus of the Declaration:
Action Statement 1: Integrating the value of natural capital into national accounting and corporate planning
and reporting processes, policies, and programs, in agreed efforts.
Action Statement 2: Building social capital and reducing poverty by transitioning agriculture, extractive
industries, fisheries and other natural capital uses to practices that promote sustainable employment, food
security, sustainable energy and the protection of natural capital through protected areas and other
mechanisms.
Action Statement 3: Building knowledge, data, capacity and policy networks to promote leadership and new
model in the field of sustainable development and to increase momentum for positive change.
The GDSA signatories agreed to meet regularly in order to share information on progress made with regards to
the action statements that they have committed to.
Green economy
Definitions of green economy/growth vary:
The UNEP report interprets a green economy (GE) as “an economy that results in improved human well-
being and reduced inequalities over the long term, while not exposing future generations to significant
environmental risks and ecological scarcities”. This is a ‘do-no-harm’ approach.
According to the OECD, green growth is “the fostering of growth and development while ensuring that
natural assets continue to provide the environmental resources and services on which human well-being
relies”.
UNEP defines green growth simply as “resource-efficient, low-carbon, climate-resilient & socially-
inclusive growth”, and also uses the (interchangeable) term “green economy”.
The World Bank has defined green growth as “a strategy for promoting economic growth while adding an
ecological quality to existing economic processes and creating additional jobs and income opportunities
with a minimal environmental burden”.
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The Global Green Growth Institute also takes a strategic view by stating that it is “growth that leapfrogs the
resource-intensive and environmentally unsustainable model of industrial development pioneered by
advanced economies”.
The Green Economy Coalition defines green economy as a “fair and resilient economy, which provides a
better quality of life for all achieved within the ecological limits of one planet”.
Groundwater
The water located beneath Earth's surface in soil pore spaces and in the fractures of rock formations. A unit of
rock or an unconsolidated deposit is called an aquifer when it can yield a usable quantity of water. The depth at
which soil pore spaces or fractures and voids in rock become completely saturated with water is called the water
table. Groundwater is recharged from, and eventually flows to, the surface naturally; natural discharge often
occurs at springs and seeps, and can form oases or wetlands. Groundwater is also often withdrawn
for agricultural, municipal, and industrial use by constructing and operating extraction wells. The study of the
distribution and movement of groundwater is hydrogeology, also called groundwater hydrology.
Habitat
An ecological or environmental area that is inhabited by a particular species of animal, plant, or other type
of organism. It is the natural environment in which an organism lives, or the physical environment that
surrounds a species population. A habitat is made up of physical factors such as soil, moisture, range of
temperature, and availability of light as well as biotic factors such as the availability of food and the presence
of predators. But a habitat is not necessarily a geographic area—for a parasitic organism it is the body of its
host, part of the host's body such as the digestive tract, or a cell within the host's body.
Human-wildlife conflicts
Human–wildlife conflict refers to the interaction between wild animals and people and the resultant negative
impact on people or their resources, or wild animals or their habitat. It occurs when growing human populations
overlap with established wildlife territory, creating a reduction of resources, or access to resources, for people
and/or wild animals. The conflict takes many forms ranging from loss of life or injury to humans, and animals
both wild and domesticated, to competition for scarce resources, to loss and degradation of habitat.
Conflict management strategies earlier comprised lethal control, translocation, regulation of population size and
preservation of endangered species. Recent management approaches attempt to use scientific research for better
management outcomes, such as behaviour modification and reducing interaction. As human-wildlife conflicts
inflict direct, indirect and opportunity costs, the mitigation of human-wildlife conflict is an important issue in
the management of biodiversity and protected areas.
Integrated land management
ILM – sometime referred to as sustainable land management – is the use of land resources ( including soils,
water, animals and plants) for the production of goods to meet changing human needs, while simultaneously
ensuring the long-term productive potential of these resources and the maintenance of their environmental
functions” (UN Earth Summit, 1992). It means the adoption of land use systems that, through appropriate
management practices, enables land users to maximize the economic and social benefits from the land while
maintaining or enhancing the ecological support functions of the land resources. It is crucial to minimizing land
degradation, rehabilitating degraded areas and ensuring the optimal use of land resources for the benefit of
present and future generations. It is based on four common principles:
land-user driven and participatory approaches;
integrated use of natural resources at ecosystem ands farming systems lecels;
multi-level and multi-stakeholder involvement; and
targeted policy and institutional support, including development of incen tives.
Its application requires collaboration and partnership at all levels – land users, technical experts and policy-
makers – to ensure that the causes of the degradation and corrective measures are properly identified, and that
the policy and regulatory environment enables the adoption of the most appropriate management measures.
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Integrated rangeland management
A strategy for managing rangeland that aims to sustain the values and uses of rangeland including livestock
grazing, wildlife habitat, healthy watersheds, wildland recreation, and aesthetic value. The interactions between
the three major components – vegetation, livestock and people – are complex and not easy to manage. IRM
seeks to establish a framework for those with interest in the rangelands to develop strategies and actions to
sustainably manage change and ensure a viable legacy for future generations. The challenge is to balance the
diverse economic, cultural and social needs of rangeland residents, users and other stakeholders with the need to
maintain its natural resources and conserve the biological and cultural heritage. Since rangeland systems are
cross-sectoral in nature, there is a need for effective management strategies so as to enhance their sustainability.
An holistic approach is therefore needed to identify the values, needs and threats, and to suggest appropriate and
effective management interventions.
Integrated water resource management
Integrated water resources management (IWRM) has been defined by the Global Water Partnership as "a
process which promotes the coordinated development and management of water, land and related resources, in
order to maximize the resultant economic and social welfare in an equitable manner without compromising the
sustainability of vital ecosystems".
Mainstreaming (sustainable development)
The informed inclusion of sustainable development concerns (environmental, social, economic and institutional)
into the decisions and institutions that drive development policy, rules, plans, investment and action.
Middle income country
The world’s Middle Income Countries (MICs) are defuined by the World Bank as having a per capita gross
national income of US$1,026 TO $12,475 (2011). They are a diverse group by size, population and income
level. And are home to five of the world’s seven billion people and 73% of the world’s poor people. At the time,
MICs represent about one third of gloibal GDP and are major engines of global growth.
Millennium development goals
The Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) are eight international development goals (each with specific
targets, and dates for achieving those targets) that were established following the Millennium Summit of
the United Nations in 2000, following the adoption of the United Nations Millennium Declaration. All
189 United Nations member states at the time (there are 193 currently), and at least 23 international
organizations, committed to help achieve the following Millennium Development Goals by 2015:
1. To eradicate extreme poverty and hunger
2. To achieve universal primary education
3. To promote gender equality and empower women
4. To reduce child mortality
5. To improve maternal health
6. To combat HIV/AIDS, malaria, and other diseases
7. To ensure environmental sustainability[1]
8. To develop a global partnership for development
The MDGs are due to be replaced by new sustainable development goals at the end of 2015.
Molapo
Molapo fields are located close to or in a floodplain or river channel where soils are moistened by seasonal
flooding or the draining of water into low-lying ground, supplemented by rainfall. During the recession of the
floods the fields gradually dry up and strips parallel to the remaining water can be successively planted as the
water recedes.
National Development Plan
For many developing countries, the norm for development planning continues to be the 5-year national
development plan (NDP). These are usually driven by Ministries of Development Planning or Ministries of
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Finance as the main vehicle for structuring the allocation of budgetary resources to sectors and achieving
economic development. Botswana’s Third NDP covers the period to 2016
(http://www.nationalplanningcycles.org/sites/default/files/country_docs/Botswana/ndp_botswana.pdf) when it
will be replaced by NDP11.
National Strategy for Sustainable Development
Perception of what should constitute a National Strategy for Sustainable development has evolved.. It was once
seen as a single, new, master plan for sustainable development. Today there is consensus that it should comprise
a set of coordinated mechanisms and processes that, together, offer a participatory system to develop visions,
goals and targets for sustainable development, and to coordinate implementation and review. It is also accepted
that a strategy cannot be a one-off initiative but needs to be a continuing participatory process, with monitoring,
learning and continuous improvement. In this vein, rather than develop a stand-alone NSDS, the Department of
Environmental Affairs, with support from UNDP-Botswana, is currently leading efforts to prepare a National
Framework for Sustainable Development that will be in synergy with the new Vision Beyond 2016 and NDP11,
aiming to ensure sustainable development is integrated fully in both processes and across sectors.
National Vision (for development)
A National Vision defines broad future trends and reflects the aspirations, objectives and culture of a country.
By shedding light on the future, the Vision illuminates the fundamental choices that are available to a country
and its society. Simultaneously, it aims to inspire people to pursue common goals related to their future. A
vision will usually define the long-term outcomes for the country as a whole rather than the processes for
reaching these outcomes. It will provide a framework within which national and more local development plans
and strategies can be developed. Botswana’s current Vision expires in 2016 when it will be replace by a new
Vision Beyond 2016 – currently being developed (led by the National Strategy Office).
River basin/catchment
A river basin is an extent or area of land where surface water from rain, melting snow, or ice converges to a
single point at a lower elevation, usually the exit of the basin, where the waters join another waterbody, such as
a river, lake, reservoir, estuary, wetland, sea, or ocean. For example, a tributary stream of a brook that joins a
small river is tributary of a larger river, which is thus part of a series of successively smaller area but higher
elevation drainage basins. Similarly, the Kafue and Luangwa (in Zambia), Cuando and Luaiana (in Angola)
and rivers in northern Zimbabwe each have their own drainage basins but are all part of the greater Zambezi
River basin.
Other terms that are used to describe river basins are catchment, catchment area, catchment basin, drainage area,
drainage basin, and water basin. In North America, the term watershed is commonly used to mean a river basin,
though in other English-speaking countries, it is used only in its original sense, to mean a drainage divide, the
one meaning an area, the other its high elevation perimeter of that area.
Scenarios
Scenarios focus on the joint effect of many factors and provide alternative views of the future. They identify
some significant events, main actors and their motivations, and they convey how the world functions. Building
and using scenarios can help us explore what the future might look like and the likely changes of living in it.
Scenario planning (also called scenario thinking/analysis) is a method for thinking systematically about and
understanding the nature and impact of the most uncertain and important driving forces affecting our future. It is
a usually a flexible and adaptable group process to encourage knowledge exchange and development of mutual
understanding of central issues important to sustainable development. But the purpose of scenario planning is
not to imminently decide which scenario is correct; rather it is to look at each plausible future scenario and
examine how prepared an organisation or company is or how robust a policy/plan/programme (PPP) is, for the
potential change and consequences. Scenario planning provides a learning mechanism to enable policies, plans
or programmes to be more robust and capable of responding to or adapting to shocks and surprise. It helps
policy-makers, planners and decision-makers make more resilient strategic decisions.
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Social upliftment
Social development refers to the qualitative changes in the structure and framework of society, that help the
society to better realize its aims and objectives. Social upliftment refers to efforts to enable society (particularly
the poor and disadvantaged) to improve their situation, and overcome social inequalities and deprivations,
Strategic environmental assessment
Strategic environmental assessment (SEA) is an umbrella term for analytical and participatory approaches
applied at the very earliest stages of decision-making to integrate environmental considerations and evaluate the
inter linkages with economic and social considerations. It thus helps to formulate policies, plans and
programmes and assess their potential development effectiveness and sustainability. An SEA can be initiated
due to administrative or legal requirement in a country, or following a request from donor agency or initiative on
part of government champion.
Sustainability appraisal
See section 1.3. There is no accepted international definition of sustainability appraisal or sustainability
assessment, and no common approach. The term is variously applied for both generic and specific approaches.
But it is particularly valuable when used as a mainstream tool to proactively assess the impact of proposed
actions. As a decision tool, sustainability appraisal provides a means of specific input and a potential vector for
effecting longer term policy change (as well as informing the wider discourse on critical issues). This ex ante
approach is often undertaken through existing, formal processes such as impact assessment or land use planning.
It can be defined as any process that provides for (a) some form of integrated analysis of the economic,
environmental and social aspects of development actions, and (b) an evaluation of their effects with regard to
agreed aims, principles or criteria of sustainable development (Dalal-Clayton and Sadler 2014).
Sustainable development
Sustainable development is a process of change in which the exploitation of resources, the direction of
investments, the orientation of technological development, and institutional change are all in harmony and
enhance both current and future potential to meet human needs and aspirations. It is not static or a fixed pattern
of socio-economic growth, land use, or social development, but an evolving agenda to achieve a quality of
continuity or a condition or state that can be maintained into the future. Sustainable development has been
defined in many ways, but the most frequently quoted definition is from Our Common Future, the report of the
World Commission on Environment and Development (also known as the Brundtland report) WCED 1987):
"Sustainable development is development that meets the needs of the present without compromising the
ability of future generations to meet their own needs. It contains within it two key concepts:
the concept of needs, in particular the essential needs of the world's poor, to which overriding
priority should be given; and
the idea of limitations imposed by the state of technology and social organization on the
environment's ability to meet present and future needs."
Sustainable development goals
A set of sustainable development goals are due to be launched at the UN post-2015 Summit in September 2015.
The process of their development has been led by UN Member States with broad participation from Major
Groups and other civil society stakeholders as a key component of developing a post 2015 development agenda.
The development of SDGs was agreed as one of the main outcomes of the United Nations Conference on
Sustainable Development (Rio+20), held in Rio de Janeiro in June 2012. Rio+20 did not elaborate specific goals
but stated that the SDGs should be limited in number, aspirational and easy to communicate. The goals should
address in a balanced way all three dimensions of sustainable development and be coherent with and integrated
into the UN development agenda beyond 2015. The 30-member, constituency-based Open Working Group
(OWG) of the General Assembly was established in January 2013 (most of the seats in the OWG are shared by
several countries), tasked with preparing a proposal on the SDGs. The OWG is co-chaired by the UN Permanent
Representatives of Hungary and Kenya (https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/owg.html). The Rio+20 outcome
document, The Future We Want, gave the mandate that the SDGs should be coherent with and integrated into
the UN development agenda beyond 2015.
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After 17 months of debate among representatives of 70 countries, the OWG has proposed a comprehensive and
potentially transformative set of 17 goals and 169 targets. The goals and targets will be further elaborated
through indicators focused on measurable outcomes.
The UN states that the goals and targets are “action oriented, global in nature and universally applicable. They
take into account different national realities, capacities and levels of development and respect national policies
and priorities. They build on the foundation laid by the Millennium Development Goals (MDG)s, seek to
complete the unfinished business of the MDGs, and respond to new challenges. These goals constitute an
integrated, indivisible set of global priorities for sustainable development. Targets are defined as aspirational
global targets, with each government setting its own national targets guided by the global level of ambition but
taking into account national circumstances. The goals and targets integrate economic, social and environmental
aspects and recognize their inter-linkages in achieving sustainable development in all its dimensions”
(https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/focussdgs.html).
In addition to tackling core dimensions of poverty eradication, other critical areas of concern such as inequality,
climate change, sustainable consumption and production, and sustainable cities are included. And other
important areas receive strengthened attention—such as targets on ecosystems and natural resources, and on
transparent institutions and access to information—that go well beyond the MDGs.
Thematic Working Groups
During the preparation of the Tenth National Development Plan (NDP10), for each Key Result Area (KRA),
one or more themes were identified. Each theme was assigned to a Lead Ministry to form a Thematic Working
Group (TWG). The TWGs discussed and prepared the thematic and sector submissions that formed part of
NDP10. The TWGs proved to be a useful mechanism for bringing all the development partners together to
discuss and consolidate contributions to the NDP10 process. This structure and mechanism was retained for the
TWGs to meet on a periodic basis when necessary to review and validate the implementation of their respective
programmes under NDP10; and for the preparation of NDP11.
Virtual water
Virtual water (also known as embedded or embodied water) refers to the hidden flow of water if food or other
commodities are traded from one place to another. For instance, it takes 1,600 cubic meters of water on average
to produce one metric tonne of wheat. The precise volume can be more or less depending on climatic conditions
and agricultural practice. Hoekstra and Chapagain have defined the virtual-water content of a product (a
commodity, good or service) as "the volume of freshwater used to produce the product, measured at the place
where the product was actually produced". It refers to the sum of the water use in the various steps of the
production chain.
The virtual water concept was introduced to support the argument that countries in the Middle East can save
their scarce water resources by relying more on import of food. The water is said to be virtual because once the
wheat is grown, the real water used to grow it is no longer actually contained in the wheat. The concept of
virtual water helps to realize how much water is needed to produce different goods and services. In semi-arid
and arid areas, knowing the virtual water value of a good or service can be useful towards determining how best
to use the scarce water available.