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Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013

Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013

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Page 1: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013

Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21

Wilf SommerkornTed Knowlton

Utah APA Conference4 October 2013

Page 2: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013

Sustainability is an ancient concept

“My family came to America for a better life for their children and their children’s children.”

The Golden Rule: treat others as you want to be treated.

“The earth belongs to each generation during its course, fully and in its own right, but no generation can contract debts greater than can be paid during the course of its own existence.”

~Thomas Jefferson

Page 3: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013

AGENDA 21

Page 4: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013
Page 5: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013
Page 6: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013
Page 7: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013
Page 8: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013
Page 9: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013
Page 10: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013

Planning that develops public ownership of your plan (especially if there are Agenda 21

concerns (and similar)

• Process

• Communications

Page 11: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013

If Agenda 21 concerns are substantial in your community

• Listen to, don’t discount concerns

• Include these participants in every portion of the process– As long as they are willing to let others participate

Page 12: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013

When anyone comes to your public meeting intent on shutting it down!

First listen

If a group tries to obstruct the meeting:• Stand up for everyone else’s right to be heard• Divide the meeting (if necessary)

– “who would like the meeting to continue?”– “who would like to talk about these concerns”

Page 13: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013

Traditional Planning Approach

• Decide – through analysis and research

• Educate – the public about the solution

• Announce – the plan

• Defend – the plan and yourself

Page 14: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013

Process tips for developing broad grassroots support

• Strive for broad participation that represents your community

• Be an “Honest Broker” of choices and consequences

• Trust the public• Be transparent

Page 15: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013

• 501(c)(3) not-for-profit organization• Formed in 1997 to evaluate growth issues

Envision Utah

Page 16: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013

Not philosophizing, but exploring the future

Problem solving workshops

Page 17: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013
Page 18: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013

Regional Choices and Outcomes

Our Region’s Future

Transportation Land Use

Job Creation

Air Quality

Land Consump-

tionTraffic

Water Use

Miles of Driving

Open Space

HousingOpportunities

Page 19: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013

Total EmissionsTons Per Day

2,660

2,511 2,501 2,512

2,400

2,450

2,500

2,550

2,600

2,650

2,700

A B C D

Em

issi

on

s

Page 20: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013

Total Infrastructure Costs

$0

$5

$10

$15

$20

$25

$30

$35

$40

A B C D

Bil

lio

ns

1999

Do

llar

s

Municipal and Developer Regional Roads Regional Transit Regional Water

37.6

29.8

22.1 23.0

Page 21: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013

Scenario Comparisons and Survey

Page 22: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013

PUBLIC AWARENESS

EFFORTSTelevision, Radio and

Newspaper

Page 23: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013

Choosing a Scenario(Weighted vs. Unweighted Results)

1% 1% 2% 3%

13%

30%

9%

3%

25%

9%

26%

1% 1% 2%3%

13%

4%

31%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40% Unweighted results (as represented by the black dashed line) are nearly identical to weighted results

Page 24: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013

West Valley Downtown Plan, 2002

A

C D

B

Page 25: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013

Preferred Scenario

Page 26: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013

The heart of Agenda 21 concerns:

“people who don’t know our issues and concerns want to force us to do….”

Page 27: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013

Communication 101

The heart of Agenda 21 concerns: “people who don’t know our issues and concerns ………………………..….”

1.Explore local sustainability issues2.Relay impacts of potential decisions on the family, neighborhood, city, metro area3.Emphasize that solutions will be defined locally, through a public process

Page 28: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013

Benefits to your family

• Public Transportation: – Bypass congestion to enjoy more time at home

• Outdoors to enjoy together

Page 29: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013

Housing wants and needs change over people’s lives

Page 30: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013

Understand cost of living as affected by housing, transportation, and energy expenses

Page 31: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013

Communication 202

The heart of Agenda 21 concerns: “people who don’t know our issues and concerns want to force us to do….”

1. Relate sustainable development to market desires

2. Relate sustainable development to the taxpayer (fiscal impacts)

3. Explore how “choices” are broadened

Page 32: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013

1. Sustainability and the free market

What are the housing and area characteristics that will attract buyers over many decades?

• Today’s preferences?• Demographic shifts?

Page 33: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013

Desired Neighborhood Attributes - NAR 2011

Source: National Association of Realtors, American Preference Survey 2011.

Page 34: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013

Gen Y and Baby Boomers are the largest generations

• Of those that move, 7 out of 8 downsize

• 77% of Gen Y plans to live in an urban setting

Page 35: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013
Page 36: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013

The Market for Transportation-Land Use Integration: Do Developers Want Smarter Growth than

Regulations Allow?

Jonathan Levine, 2004N=656

Is there adequate supply of alternative development…?• Not enough: 67%

Developers perception of the “single most important obstacle” to alternative development?• “local regulation”

Page 37: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013

Regulation almost always sets a ceiling on intensity

Eg:– Minimum single family lot size– Maximum density– Maximum FAR– Parking requirements– Land use restrictions

Efforts to allow more variety in scale, use, parking, better allow market demand to be expressed

Page 38: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013

2. Sustainability and the taxpayer?

Page 39: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013

1 1.25 1.5 2 2.5 4 5 63

43,600 S.F.34,800 S.F. 29,000 S.F.

21,800 S.F. 17,400 S.F.

14,400 S.F.10,900 S.F.

8,700 S.F. 7,200 S.F.

Street Frontage Relative to Lot Size

150’ 130’ 110’ 100’ 90’ 90’ 83’ 75’ 65’

Units Per Ac

Typical Lot Frontage

Larger lots = More street frontage per

residence

Smaller lots = Less street

frontage per residence

Page 40: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013

Per Capita Residential Water UseAs A Function of Residential Density

50

70

90

110

130

150

170

190

210

230

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Average Residential Density - DU's per Acre

Res

iden

tial

Wat

er U

se -

Gal

lon

s p

er C

apit

a p

er D

ay

1 1.25 1.5 2 2.5 4 5 63

43,600 S.F.34,800 S.F. 29,000 S.F.

21,800 S.F. 17,400 S.F.

14,400 S.F.10,900 S.F.

8,700 S.F. 7,200 S.F.

Water Use Relative to

Lot Size

(Source: USU Extension)

Units Per Ac

Page 41: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013

“The Growth Ponzi Scheme”Chuck Marohn, Thoughts on Building Strong Towns

Page 42: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013
Page 43: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013

2. Choices

• Housing

Page 44: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013

2. Choices

• Getting around

Page 45: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013

The heart of Agenda 21 concerns:

“people who don’t know our issues and concerns want to force us to do….”

Page 46: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013

If Agenda 21 concerns are substantial in your community

• Listen to, don’t discount concerns

• Include these participants in every portion of the process– As long as they are willing to let

others participate

Page 47: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013

Process tips for developing broad grassroots support

• Strive for broad participation that represents your community

• Be an “Honest Broker” of choices and consequences

• Trust the public• Be transparent

Page 48: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013

Communication 101

The heart of Agenda 21 concerns: “people who don’t know our issues and concerns ………………………..….”

1.Explore local sustainability issues2.Relay impacts of potential decisions on the family, neighborhood, city, metro area3.Emphasize that solutions will be defined locally, through a public process

Page 49: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013

Communication 202

The heart of Agenda 21 concerns: “people who don’t know our issues and concerns want to force us to do….”

1. Relate sustainable development to market desires

2. Relate sustainable development to the taxpayer (fiscal impacts)

3. Explore how “choices” are broadened

Page 50: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013

“The earth belongs to each generation during its course, fully and in its own right, but no generation can contract debts greater than can be paid during the course of its own existence.”

~Thomas Jefferson

Page 51: Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21 Wilf Sommerkorn Ted Knowlton Utah APA Conference 4 October 2013

Sustainability, Utah, and Agenda 21

Wilf SommerkornTed Knowlton

Utah APA Conference4 October 2013