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International Republican Institute Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion June 6-15, 2015

Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

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Page 1: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

International Republican Institute

Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

June 6-15, 2015

Page 2: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

Detailed Methodology• The survey was conducted on behalf of the International Republican Institute by the Brima market research firm

(member of Taylor Nelson Sofres and Gallup International) under the supervision of David Williams from Williams

and Associates in Salem, Massachusetts.

• Data was collected from June 6-15, 2015, using in-person, face-to-face methodology by trained professional

interviewers.

• A total of 1,105 interviews was completed yielding an overall margin of error of plus or minus three percent at

the midrange of the 95-percent confidence level. A nationally representative sample was based on a multistage

stratification proportionate to population sample distribution, with a random selection of households and

respondents.

• The sample was prepared using the State Statistical Office data (2002 census results) for the population aged 18

and older, considering the structure of the population according to age, gender, education, type of housing,

national affiliation and region and updated according to estimates and primary information, collected by Brima.

• Stratification was based on three stages: first, the number of respondents for each of the regions was specified in

proportion to the size of the population aged 18 and older that live in it. Second, the sampling plan consisted of

164 sampling points located according to urban/rural split, municipality size and nationality diffusion. Third, the

selection of households was based on random route method, whereby in urban areas, every third household on

the left-hand side of the street was selected. In rural areas, the wave-wise approach is applied and the selected

household is every fourth inhabited house/dwelling on both sides of the interviewer’s route/track, counting from

the first house on the left.

• The next birthday method was used to select respondents 18 years and older.

• Figures in charts and tables may not add to 100 percent due to rounding error.

• This poll was conducted with support from the United States Agency for International Development.2

Page 3: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

International Republican Institute

Pessimism on Overall Direction of Country Driven by Concern for Economy

and Political Stability

Page 4: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

Overall, is Macedonia moving in the right or wrong direction?

27%

22%

28%

23%

30%

34%

29% 29%28%

38%

34%

32%

25% 24%26%

29%31%

23%

19%22%

27%

31%

39%

36%

29%

23%

38%

43%

31%36%

31%

27%

32% 33% 33%

28%31%

33%36%

38%40%

29%32%

45%43%

48%

44%41%

33%

39% 39%

48%

33% 33%

37%38%

36%35%

36% 36% 37%

32%

33%

38%

36%

32%

40%

35%

31%

36%

30%27%

26% 27%

24%

31%

28%

2% 2%4%

3% 3% 4% 3% 3%1%

2% 3% 2% 1%3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1%

2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 1%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Right direction Wrong direction Neutral Don't know

4

Page 5: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

When was life better for you, today or before the breakup of Yugoslavia?

18% 19% 17% 17%

12%

18%15% 16%

19%22% 20% 21% 21% 21% 22% 22% 22% 23% 22%

27%24%

21%24%

26%24%

22%

74%72% 72% 72%

80%

71% 71% 70% 70%67%

70% 68% 69%67%

70%68% 70%

67%69%

64% 64% 63%60% 60%

62%64%

8% 10% 11% 11%9%

11%15% 14%

12% 12% 10% 11% 9%12%

8%10% 8% 10% 9% 9%

12%

16% 16%14% 14% 14%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Today Before breakup Don't know

5

Page 6: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

Speaking personally, is your overall quality of life…?

14%

18%16%

16%

23%

18%

14% 19%

22% 20%19%

15%13%

16% 16%14%

17%

13%15%

13%

17%15%

13%12%

11%

43%48%

51%50%

49%

49%

52%

49%

54%53%

48%

50%

49% 48%

50%

48%

45%

47%

47%

48%

51%53%

47%

53%52%

43%

33% 33%

33%

28%

33%

34%

31%

24% 26%

32%35%

37%36%

33%

37%38%

40%

37%

39%

31%32%

38%

34%

37%

1% 1% <1% 1% 1% 1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 1% <1% 1% 0% 1% <1% 0% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Getting better Staying the same Getting worse Don't know

6

Page 7: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

How is your family’s economic situation compared with one year ago?

14%13% 13%

17%

20%

18%15%

20%

18%20% 21%

16%

12%14%

16%

13% 13%11%

14% 13% 14%15% 16%

14% 13%

52%

48%

43%

43%

37% 37%38%

33%32% 32%

35%

42%

44% 43%

41%42%

45% 46%

42%44%

34%

32%30%

32%

35%34%

39%

43%

40%

42%

45% 46%45%

50%48%

44%42%

44%43% 44%

45%

43% 43%

44% 43%

51%

53% 54% 54%

51%

0% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% <1% 1% 0% 0% <1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% <1% 1%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Much or Somewhat better Much or Somewhat worse Same Don’t know

7

Page 8: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

In the next two years, will the Macedonian economy get better, get worse or stay the same?

32%

49%

42%

39%

44%

38%

44%

38%

50%

43%

33%

29%

31%

30%

31%

34%

29%

23%

28%

25% 25%26%

21%23%

19%

30%29%

34%36%

33% 33%32%

35%

29%

36%

29%

30%

29%

30%

37%

30%

32%

36%

34%

34%

40% 40%

44% 43% 43%

30%

13%

17% 18%

15%

21%

18% 19%

15% 15%

31%

37%35% 35%

28% 30%

35%37%

33%

35%

30%

29% 29% 29% 29%

8% 9% 8% 8% 8%8%

7%

9%

6% 6%

7%

4% 5% 5% 4% 5%4% 4% 4% 6%

5% 6%

7%

5%

9%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Better Same Worse Don't know/Refused to answer 8

Page 9: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

In your opinion, what are the two most serious problems facing Macedonia today? (June 2015; Open-ended)

1ST 2ND TOTAL

Unemployment 35% 18% 53%

Poverty/Low standards of living/Problems of common

people 13% 18% 31%

General political situation 11% 9% 20%

Economic crisis and financial crisis 9% 8% 17%

Low/Non-payment of salary or pension 5% 10% 15%

Corruption 3% 5% 8%

High prices 2% 5% 7%

Poor performance of the current government 3% 2% 5%

Security crises, peace/Stability, war, terrorism 2% 3% 5%

Name of the country 2% 3% 5%

Entrance into NATO/EU 2% 3% 5%

Crime 1% 3% 4%

Interethnic relations/Conflict 2% 1% 3%9

Page 10: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

In your opinion, has unemployment increased or decreased over the last year?

58%

54%50%

53%

61%

71%

76%75%

72% 71%74% 75%

71%

67%

52%

44%46%

55%

50%

30%

38% 37%34%

29%

23%

17% 19%21% 21%

19% 19%24%

27%39%

43%42%

35%

39%

12%8%

13% 13% 10%

6% 7% 7% 7% 8% 7% 5% 6% 7%9%

13% 12%

10%

11%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Increased Decreased Don't know/Refused to answer

10

Page 11: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

According to you, does the government have an effective plan to address the economic problems Macedonia is facing?

41% 40% 38% 38% 38%34%

32%

37% 36% 37%

45%

34%38%

33%

42%

46%49% 49% 49%

56%59%

56%

51% 50%

42%

52%50%

58%

18%14%

13% 13% 13%10% 10%

8%

13% 12% 13% 14%

12%

9%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Yes No Don't know/Refused to answer11

Page 12: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

Is this government seeking to solve the corruption problem?

41%43% 42%

41%

42%

29%

17%

19% 19%

24%24%

19%

34%33%

35%

31%

29%

43%

4%3% 2%

5%6%

9%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

2011 2012 2013 Feb-14 Dec-14 Jun-15

Definitely/Probably yes Neither

Definitely/Probably no Don't know/Refused to answer 12

Page 13: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

Has Prime Minister Nikola Gruevski done his job well enough to deserve re-election?

59%

61%

54%

56%

54%

66%

61%61%

51%

45%47%

45% 43%

42%39%

36%39%

41%

44%

40% 37%

32%

23%24%

30%

27%

33%

22%

27%

25%

38%40%

39%

31%

40%

48%

48%

53%

44%46%

38%

45% 48%

55%

18%15% 16%

17%

14%

12%

12%

15%

11%

15%

14%

23%17%

11%

13%

11%

17%

13%

18%

15% 15%13%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Yes No Don't know/Refused to answer13

Page 14: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

How would you describe the current internal political situationin Macedonia?

50%

31%

26%23%

44%

53%54%

51%

56%

44%

28%

48%

42%40% 39%

44%

39%42%

15%

37%

53%

58%

61%

43%

36% 36%

38%

35% 43%

55%

41%

43%45% 45%

41%

46%

43%

61%

9%12%

13% 13%10%

8% 7% 7% 6% 10%

15%

9%

13% 13% 12%9%

12% 12%

23%

5%

4% 3% 3% 3%

4%

3%

4% 3%

3% 2% 2% 3% 3%4%

6%

4%4%

2%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Peaceful and stable Intense and uncertainCritical and unstable Don't know/Refused to answer

14

Page 15: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

Is the Republic of Macedonia more or less stable today than it was one year ago?

33%

23%

26%26%

31%

36%

23% 23%21%

26%

33%30%

24%21%22%

27%25%

14%

19% 18%21%

23%22%

18%16%

5%

16%18%

12%

19%19%17%

29%30%

35%

25%

17%23%

24%

17%19%

18%

20%

43%

26%

29%28%

33%

27%31%

31%

58%

49%

57%60%

53%

46%45%

47%46%43%

46%47%46%

51%

60%58%

54%54%

42%

54%53%

50%

43%45%47%

51%

35%

1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3%5%

4%2%

2%0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

More Less Same Don't know

15

Page 16: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

In your opinion, what is the solution to the current political crisis? (Up to three responses allowed)

1%

7%

14%

19%

21%

27%

30%

35%

Other

No action should be taken, thecrisis will pass with time

Don't Know/Refused to Answer

The resignation of governmentministers

Resolution through the courtsystem

The creation of a technicalinterim government

The opposition returns toparliament

The resignation of the primeminister

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

16

Page 17: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

Have you heard the tapped phone conversations released by the opposition?

37%

43%

14%

4% 2%

Yes, I have heard most ofthese conversations.

Yes, I have heard some ofthese conversations.

No, I haven't heard them,though I have heard ofthem

No, I haven't heard ofthem

Don't know/Refused toanswer

17

Page 18: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

Do you think the recordings of tapped phone conversations are authentic?(n=1,031)

65%

15%

21%

Yes

No

Don't know/Refused toanswer

18

Page 19: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

Did these phone conversations affect your opinion about…?(n=1,031)

10%

11%

48%

48%

33%

33%

9%

8%

The officialswho

allegedlytook part in

them

How wellMacedonia is

governed

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Yes, improved my opinion Yes, worsened my opinion

No, did not affect my opinion Don't know/Refused to answer

19

Page 20: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

According to you, who conducted these wiretaps?(n=1,031)

33%

34%

1%

1%

31%

The Administration forSecurity and CounterIntelligence (UBK)

A foreign secret serviceagency

Both

Other

Don't know/Refused toanswer

20

Page 21: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

Do you think your phone conversations…?

31%

52%

18%

Are private and safe, thatis, you and the otherperson in theconversation are the onlyones aware of theconversation

Are not private and safe,that is, there is apossibility that myconversations are beinglistened to and/orrecorded by a third party

Don't know/Refused toanswer

21

Page 22: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

On May 9 and 10, Macedonian police forces undertook an action to counter an armed group in Kumanovo. In your opinion, was this…?

29%

22%

49%

Don't know/Refused to answer

An armed group acting on itsown to achieve its politicaldemands addressed to theMacedonian government

An armed group paid/engagedby a political or governmental

entity to intentionallydestabilize the country

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

22

Page 23: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

According to you, who do you think paid/engaged the armed group to destabilize Macedonia? (Open-ended; n=544)

2%

2%

3%

3%

3%

4%

4%

6%

8%

30%

34%

Democratic Union for Integration (DUI)

Political parties from inside

Other

Political/Armed factions from Kosovo/Albania

United States/Western countries

Refused to answer

Social Democratic Party of Macedonia (SDSM)

Someone from outside, secret service agency

Ruling party [Internal Macedonian Revolutionary Organization-Democratic Party for Macedonian National Unity (VMRO-DPMNE)]

Don't know

Government of Macedonia

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

23

Page 24: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

Which of these two opinions is closer to your own?

The police action had to take place on those days to prevent imminent/planned attacks by the armed group.or

The police action was timed to take place on those days in order to divert public attention from the current political crisis (i.e. the Social Democratic Party of Macedonia’s release of wiretaps and the opposition’s call

for the Government’s and Prime Minister’s resignation).

34%

36%

14%

17%It was necessary toprevent an attack

To divert attentionfrom the currentpolitical crisis

Neither

Don't know/Refusedto answer

24

Page 25: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

International Republican Institute

Democratic System of Government MoreImportant to Citizens than Economic Prosperity;

Freedom of Expression Still a Concern

Page 26: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

If you could choose only one or the other, which is more important to you: a democratic system of government or a prosperous economy?

38%

15%16%

22%

9%

41%

14% 15%

25%

6%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

Democracy isdefinitely moreimportant to me

Democracy issomewhat moreimportant to me

Prosperity issomewhat moreimportant to me

Prosperity isdefinitely moreimportant to me

Don't know/Refusedto answer

Dec-14 Jun-15

26

Page 27: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

Do you think that free speech and the free expression of ideas exists in Macedonia today?

48%49%

48% 48%

42%

45%38%

46% 47% 46%

43%

49%48%

55%

6%4%

6%9% 10%

7% 7%

Dec-10 Nov-12 Feb-14 May-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Jun-15

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Yes No Don't know/Refused to answer

27

Page 28: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

Have you contacted a current member of parliament in the last 12 months?

84%

4%

13%

78%

14%

9%

80%

8%

12%

74%

14%

12%

75%

15%

10%

81%

10%

9%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%

I have not contacted anyone

I tried, but have not managedto establish contact

Yes

Jun-15 Dec-14 Sep-14 May-14 Feb-14 2013

28

Page 29: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

If you have contacted a member of parliament in the last 12 months, how did you establish that contact? (n=97)

0%

<1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

3%

0% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4%

Other

Via letter

Staff member at electoral district office

Through party mediator

At Parliament office

In electoral district office

Via telephone

Through personal contact at a neutral location

29

Page 30: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

Have you been personally contacted by a member of parliament in the last 12 months?

6% 6% 7% 8% 8% 6%

94% 94% 93% 92% 92% 94%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2013 Feb-14 May-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Jun-15

Yes No

30

Page 31: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

How, according to your opinion, could MPs more effectively perform their jobs? (Multiple responses)

11%

16%17%

29%

33%

36%

41%

Don't know By improving theirpresentation andpublic speaking

skills

Through oversightof the government

By workingtogether acrossparty lines onissues of great

importanceto citizens andtarget groups

Through well-grounded and

informed debatesin parliament

By being moreindependent from

their partyleadership

By communicatingmore often with

citizens andnongovernmental

organizations

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

31

Page 32: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

Do you think that Parliament should be open to citizens? For example, should citizens be allowed to enter the premises of the Parliament without a prior meeting scheduled and attend the sessions of Parliament or its committees?

56%32%

12%

Yes, open for citizens

No, should not beopen

Don't know/Refused toanswer

32

Page 33: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

How satisfied are you with how the constituency offices in your electoral unit function?

4% 14% 14% 20% 38% 10%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Jun-15

Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied

Very dissatisfied Unaware of such offices Don't know

33

Page 34: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

If parliamentary elections were held today, how likely is it that you would vote?

49%

22%

6%

8%

8%

6%

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Somewhat unlikely

Very unlikely

I will not vote

Don't know/Refused toanswer

34

Page 35: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

Have you, a member of your family, or someone you personally know ever been subjected to pressure such as force, threats, vote buying or other

illegal means to vote in a particular way? *(in Feb. 2014 responses refer to 2011, 2013 and 2014 elections)

* (in May 2014 responses refer to 2014 elections)

18%

3%

72%

7%

17%

5%

75%

3%

15%

7%

72%

7%

18%

4%

74%

4%

24%

5%

67%

5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

I personally know people whowere subjected to pressure

I was personally subjected topressure

I was neither subjected topressure nor know people who

were

Refused to answer

Jun-15 Dec-14 Sep-14 May-14 Feb-1435

Page 36: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: Politicians do not listen to the needs and ideas of women.

52%

36%

12%

50%

37%

14%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Agree Disagree Don't know/Refused toanswer

Dec-14 Jun-1536

Page 37: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

If there are two candidates running for office and they have the same qualifications aside from the fact that one is a man and one is a woman, which candidate are you

more likely to support?

16%

23%

59%

2%

12%

19%

69%

1%0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Man Woman Makes nodifference to me

Don'tknow/Refused to

answerDec-14 Jun-15

37

Page 38: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

In your opinion, is there a sufficient number of women mayors?

14%

65%

22%

13%

64%

23%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Yes No Don't know/Refused toanswer

Dec-14 Jun-1538

Page 39: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

How many of the mayors in Macedonia are women?*

3%

19%

24%

10%2%

2%

<1%

41%

0

1

2

3

4

5-9

10+

Don't know/Refusedto answer

39* There are currently four women mayors in Macedonia.

Page 40: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

Would you support and vote for a woman for mayor?

54%

34%

6%4% 4%

62%

29%

3% 4% 2%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

I would definitely support and vote

for a womanmayor

I would probably support and vote

for a womanmayor

I would probablynot support and

vote for a womanmayor

I would definitelynot support and

vote for a womanmayor

Don't know

Dec-14 Jun-15

40

Page 41: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: Politicians do not listen to the needs and ideas of young people.

69%

23%

8%

68%

24%

8%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Agree Disagree Don't know/Refused toanswer

Dec-14 Jun-15

41

Page 42: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

The Macedonian budget is largely funded by taxes paid by Macedonian citizens and companies. With this in mind, do you think that Macedonian citizens have sufficient

influence on how their taxes are being used?

21%

70%

9%

Yes

No

Don't know

42

Page 43: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

All persons who earn income from sources other than or in addition to a regular salary, pension, agricultural activity, or self-employed activity were obliged to submit a tax

report by 15 March this year. Did you submit such a tax report?

30%

63%

8%

Yes

No

Refused to answer

43

Page 44: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

Have you ever considered asking state or local institutions about how they spend taxpayers’ money? If yes, were you satisfied with the response you received?

8%

37%

51%

4%

Yes, I have considered it and have asked

Yes, I have considered it but have never asked

No, have never considered asking

Refused to answer44

2%

5%

1%

Yes, I am satisfied

No, I am not satisfied

Don't know

n=89

Page 45: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

Do you think citizens should have more influence in deciding how government funding is spent?

70%

21%

9%

Yes

No

Don't know

45

Page 46: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

International Republican Institute

Support for Euro-Atlantic Integration Remains Strong

Page 47: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

Do you support Macedonia becoming a member of the EU?

96%97%96%96%94%95%96%

94%96%

94%93%92%95%

93%96%

94%92%90%

87%84%

76%72%72%

76%

80%

3% 3% 2%4% 4% 4% 3%

5%3%

4% 5% 7%4%

6%4%

6%7%

9% 9%12%

19%20%23%

20%

14%

2%

1% 2%0% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

4% 4%6%

8%5% 4%

6%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Yes No Don't know

47

Page 48: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

Why do you support Macedonia becoming a member of EU? (n=883)

1%

1%

2%

3%

5%

5%

5%

6%

9%

9%

10%

16%

27%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

Will improve interethnic relations

We deserve it/We are part of Europe

We will be in Europe/Have the same rights, laws

Other

Employment

Better future/Perspective for Macedonian youth

Government and corruption control

Do not know

Safety/Peace

No visa/Boundaries/Able to travel/Work abroad

Investments/Financial help/Security

It will be better/More opportunities/Prosperity

Better standards/Economic situation

48

Page 49: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

Why do you not support Macedonia becoming a member of EU? (n=159)

2%

3%

3%

3%

4%

4%

9%

12%

13%

14%

16%

19%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

Because of the name issue

EU acting unfriendly toward Macedonia

We are poor/They won't accept us/We don't have culture

We are not ready for EU/They don't want us

Bad experience of the new EU members

Higher standards that we do not meet

Other

It will be more expensive

It will be worse/Crisis in Macedonia/Better without it

Do not know

Living standard will decline/People are poor

We don't need it/It will be the same/No benefit/No Effect

49

Page 50: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

According to you, how does the current political crisis affect Macedonia’s integration into the EU?

14%

8%

67%

11%

It has no influence

It helps Macedonia'sintegration with the EU

It hurts Macedoniaintegration with the EU

Don't know/Refused toanswer

50

Page 51: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

Do you think Macedonia is closer to EU entry today, or was it closer when it got its EU candidate member status?

32%

39%

32%

28%

21%

45%

34%

43%44%

51%

23%

27%25%

28%

28%

Feb-14 May-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Jun-15

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Closer today

51

Page 52: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

In how many years do you think Macedonia will become a member of the EU?

16%

11%

23%

26%

25%

Don'tknow/Refused

to answer

Never

More than 10

5-10

Less than 5

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

52

Page 53: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

According to you, what is the reason for the slowdown in Macedonia's EU integration?

2%

11%

16%

23%

48%

Other

Don't know/Refused toanswer

New conditions set by EU

Lack of domestic reforms

The name issue

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

53

Page 54: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

Do you support Macedonia becoming a member of NATO?

90% 89% 89% 90% 89%91% 91%

89%92% 90% 90% 89%

94% 92%94%

91%89% 89%

91%

87%85%

78% 77%

83% 83%

7% 8% 8% 7%9%

7% 7% 8%5%

8% 8% 9%6% 7%

5%8%

10% 10%

6%9%

11%

16% 15%13% 12%

3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 4%

3%

2% 2% 2%1% 1%

1%1% 2% 2% 3%

4% 4%6%

7%4% 5%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Yes No Don't know

54

Page 55: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

Which one of these would you say is the most important foreign policy issue facing Macedonia?

19%

43%

30%

10%

8%

23%

29%

26%

6%

9%

23%

27%

25%

11%

8%

22%

28%

25%

9%

10%

19%

26%

31%

15%

10%

18%

29%

23%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%

Becoming a member of NATO

Relations with neighbors

Increasing foreign investments in Macedonia

Recognition of the country's name as Republic of Macedonia

Starting negotiations with the EU/EU integration

Jun-15 Dec-14 Sep-14 May-14 Feb-14 Nov-12 55

Page 56: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

International Republican Institute

News and Information Sources

Page 57: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

What is your primary source of political news? (Multiple response)

84%

10%

16%21%

5%

25%

90%

5%

12%15%

2%

19%

90%

4%

13%

18%

3%

23%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Television Radio Print media Family/Friends Political Parties Internet/Web sites

Sep-14 Dec-14 Jun-15

57

Page 58: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

Which television station do you watch most often for political news?

1%

1%

1%

1%

3%

4%

4%

10%

12%

15%

24%

25%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

Other

Local TV Station

MTV (Albanian language)

Don't know/Refused to answer

Alfa

MTV (Macedonian language)

Do not watch TV

Telma

24 vesti

Kanal 5

AlsatM

SITEL

58

Page 59: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

Which daily newspaper do you read most often for political news?

0%

1%

1%

2%

2%

4%

4%

5%

7%

8%

67%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

Other

Don't know/Refused to answer

Nova Makedonija

Utrinski Vesnik

Vecer

Sloboden pecat

Lajme

Vest

Dnevnik

Koha

Do not read newspapers

59

Page 60: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

Which weekly newspaper do you read most often for political news?

1%

2%

3%

5%

90%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Kapital

Republika

Don't know/Refused to answer

Fokus

Do not read weekly newspapers

60

Page 61: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

Which Internet news portal/website do you read most often for political news? (Open-ended; Spontaneous First Mention; n=272)

1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%

2%2%

3%3%

3%3%3%

6%7%

7%10%

17%

0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18%

VECERTETOVA1KANAL 5

VESTSDSM

NOVA TVVesti

REPUBLIKAA1ON

Google.comTocka

LIBERTAsBRIF

LAJMIDIVIDI

PRES24Grid

Puls 24Zurnal.com

+INFOSITEL

DRINI.MKALSATOtherKURIR

24 VESTITime.mk

Facebook

61

Page 62: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

International Republican Institute

Demographics

Page 63: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

Demographics

2%1%

31%66%

28%13%

20%27%

12%19%

51%23%

7%16%15%

18%18%

20%13%

43%57%

50%50%

64%25%

3%5%

1%2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

Refused to answer

Other

Public sector

Private sector

Don't know/refused to answer

27001 and more

18001-27000 den

9001-18000 den

0-9000 den

Higher education/University

Secondary

Elementary

None/Incomplete elementary

65+

55-64

45-54

35-44

25-34

18-24

Rural

Urban

Female

Male

Macedonian

Albanian

Turkish

Roma

Serbian

Other

63

GENDER

POPULATION DENSITY

AGE GROUP

EDUCATION

HOUSEHOLD INCOME

(MONTHLY)

ETHNICITY

EMPLOYMENT BY

SECTOR

Page 64: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

www.IRI.org | @IRIGlobal

International Republican Institute

(202) 408-9450 | [email protected]