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Support Vector Machines for Data Fitting and Classification David R. Musicant with Olvi L. Mangasarian UW-Madison Data Mining Institute Annual Review June 2, 2000

Support Vector Machines for Data Fitting and Classification David R. Musicant with Olvi L. Mangasarian UW-Madison Data Mining Institute Annual Review June

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Page 1: Support Vector Machines for Data Fitting and Classification David R. Musicant with Olvi L. Mangasarian UW-Madison Data Mining Institute Annual Review June

Support Vector Machinesfor Data Fitting and Classification

David R. Musicant

with Olvi L. Mangasarian

UW-Madison Data Mining InstituteAnnual ReviewJune 2, 2000

Page 2: Support Vector Machines for Data Fitting and Classification David R. Musicant with Olvi L. Mangasarian UW-Madison Data Mining Institute Annual Review June

Overview Regression and its role in data mining Robust support vector regression

– Our general formulation

Tolerant support vector regression– Our contributions– Massive support vector regression– Integration with data mining tools

Active support vector machines Other research and future

directions

Page 3: Support Vector Machines for Data Fitting and Classification David R. Musicant with Olvi L. Mangasarian UW-Madison Data Mining Institute Annual Review June

What is regression? Regression forms a rule for predicting an

unknown numerical feature from known ones. Example: Predicting purchase habits. Can we use...

– age, income, level of education

To predict...– purchasing patterns?

And simultaneously...– avoid the “pitfalls” that standard statistical regression

falls into?

Page 4: Support Vector Machines for Data Fitting and Classification David R. Musicant with Olvi L. Mangasarian UW-Madison Data Mining Institute Annual Review June

Regression example Can we use.

Age Income Years of Education $ spent on software30 $56,000 / yr 16 $80050 $60,000 / yr 12 $016 $2,000 / yr 11 $200

Age Income Years of Education $ spent on software40 $48,000 / yr 17 ?29 $60,000 / yr 18 ?

To predict:

Page 5: Support Vector Machines for Data Fitting and Classification David R. Musicant with Olvi L. Mangasarian UW-Madison Data Mining Institute Annual Review June

Role in data mining Goal: Find new relationships in data

– e.g. customer behavior, scientific experimentation

Regression explores importance of each known feature in predicting the unknown one.– Feature selection

Regression is a form of supervised learning– Use data where the predictive value is known for

given instances, to form a rule

Massive datasets

Regression is a fundamental task in data mining.

Page 6: Support Vector Machines for Data Fitting and Classification David R. Musicant with Olvi L. Mangasarian UW-Madison Data Mining Institute Annual Review June

Part I:Robust Regression

a.k.a. Huber Regression

-1

0

1

2

-2 -1 0 1 2

Page 7: Support Vector Machines for Data Fitting and Classification David R. Musicant with Olvi L. Mangasarian UW-Madison Data Mining Institute Annual Review June

“Standard” Linear Regression

yê= Aw+be

Aw+beù yFind w, b such that:

y

A

b

Page 8: Support Vector Machines for Data Fitting and Classification David R. Musicant with Olvi L. Mangasarian UW-Madison Data Mining Institute Annual Review June

Optimization problem Find w, b such that:

Aw+beù y Bound the error by s:

à s ô Aw+beà yô s Minimize the error:

à s ô Aw+beà yô smin

Ps2i

Traditional approach: minimize squared error.

Page 9: Support Vector Machines for Data Fitting and Classification David R. Musicant with Olvi L. Mangasarian UW-Madison Data Mining Institute Annual Review June

Examining the loss function Standard regression uses a squared error loss

function.– Points which are far from the predicted line (outliers)

are overemphasized.

-1

0

1

2

3

4

-2 -1 0 1 2

Page 10: Support Vector Machines for Data Fitting and Classification David R. Musicant with Olvi L. Mangasarian UW-Madison Data Mining Institute Annual Review June

Alternative loss function Instead of squared error, try absolute value of

the error:

à s ô Aw+beà yô smin

Pjsij

0

1

2

-2 -1 0 1 2

This is called the 1-norm loss function.

Page 11: Support Vector Machines for Data Fitting and Classification David R. Musicant with Olvi L. Mangasarian UW-Madison Data Mining Institute Annual Review June

1-Norm Problems And Solution– Overemphasizes error on points close to the

predicted line

Solution: Huber loss function hybrid approach

Quadratic

Linear

Many practitioners prefer the Huber loss function.

-1

0

1

2

-2 -1 0 1 2

Page 12: Support Vector Machines for Data Fitting and Classification David R. Musicant with Olvi L. Mangasarian UW-Madison Data Mining Institute Annual Review June

Mathematical Formulation indicates switchover from quadratic to linear

-1

0

1

2

-2 -1 0 1 2

ú(t) = t2=2; if jtj ô íí jtj à í 2=2; if jtj > í

ú

Larger means “more quadratic.”

Page 13: Support Vector Machines for Data Fitting and Classification David R. Musicant with Olvi L. Mangasarian UW-Madison Data Mining Institute Annual Review June

Regression Approach Summary Quadratic Loss Function

– Standard method in statistics– Over-emphasizes outliers

Linear Loss Function (1-norm)– Formulates well as a linear

program– Over-emphasizes small errors

Huber Loss Function (hybrid approach)– Appropriate emphasis on large

and small errors

-1

0

1

2

3

4

-2 -1 0 1 2

0

1

2

-2 -1 0 1 2

-1

0

1

2

-2 -1 0 1 2

Page 14: Support Vector Machines for Data Fitting and Classification David R. Musicant with Olvi L. Mangasarian UW-Madison Data Mining Institute Annual Review June

Previous attempts complicated Earlier efforts to solve Huber regression:

– Huber: Gauss-Seidel method– Madsen/Nielsen: Newton Method– Li: Conjugate Gradient Method– Smola: Dual Quadratic Program

Our new approach: convex quadratic program

zà t ô Aw+beà yô z+t

minw2R d; z2R l; t2R l

Pz2i=2+ í

Pjtij

Our new approach is simpler and faster.

Page 15: Support Vector Machines for Data Fitting and Classification David R. Musicant with Olvi L. Mangasarian UW-Madison Data Mining Institute Annual Review June

Experimental Results: Census20k

0 200 400 600

0.1

1

1.345

Li

Madsen/Nielsen

Huber

Smola

MM

Time (CPU sec)

Faster!

20,000 points11 features

Page 16: Support Vector Machines for Data Fitting and Classification David R. Musicant with Olvi L. Mangasarian UW-Madison Data Mining Institute Annual Review June

Experimental Results: CPUSmall

0 50 100 150 200

0.1

1

1.345

Li

Madsen/Nielsen

Huber

Smola

MM

Time (CPU sec)

Faster!

8,192 points12 features

Page 17: Support Vector Machines for Data Fitting and Classification David R. Musicant with Olvi L. Mangasarian UW-Madison Data Mining Institute Annual Review June

Introduce nonlinear kernel! Begin with previous formulation:

Substitute w = A’ and minimize instead:

zà t ô AA0ë +beà yô z+t

Substitute K(A,A’) for AA’:

zà t ô K (A;A0)ë +beà yô z+t

A kernel is nonlinear function.

zà t ô Aw+beà yô z+t

minw2R d; z2R l; t2R l

Pz2i=2+ í

Pjtij

Page 18: Support Vector Machines for Data Fitting and Classification David R. Musicant with Olvi L. Mangasarian UW-Madison Data Mining Institute Annual Review June

Nonlinear results

Dataset Kernel Training Accuracy Testing Accuracy

CPUSmall Linear 94.50% 94.06%Gaussian 97.26% 95.90%

Boston Linear 85.60% 83.81%Housing Gaussian 92.36% 88.15%

Nonlinear kernels improve accuracy.

Page 19: Support Vector Machines for Data Fitting and Classification David R. Musicant with Olvi L. Mangasarian UW-Madison Data Mining Institute Annual Review June

Part II:Tolerant Regression

a.k.a. Tolerant Training

Page 20: Support Vector Machines for Data Fitting and Classification David R. Musicant with Olvi L. Mangasarian UW-Madison Data Mining Institute Annual Review June

Regression Approach Summary Quadratic Loss Function

– Standard method in statistics– Over-emphasizes outliers

Linear Loss Function (1-norm)– Formulates well as a linear

program– Over-emphasizes small errors

Huber Loss Function (hybrid approach)– Appropriate emphasis on large

and small errors

-1

0

1

2

3

4

-2 -1 0 1 2

0

1

2

-2 -1 0 1 2

-1

0

1

2

-2 -1 0 1 2

Page 21: Support Vector Machines for Data Fitting and Classification David R. Musicant with Olvi L. Mangasarian UW-Madison Data Mining Institute Annual Review June

Optimization problem (1-norm) Find w, b such that:

Aw+beù y Bound the error by s:

à s ô Aw+beà yô s Minimize the error:

à s ô Aw+beà yô smin

Pjsij

Minimize the magnitude of the error.

Page 22: Support Vector Machines for Data Fitting and Classification David R. Musicant with Olvi L. Mangasarian UW-Madison Data Mining Institute Annual Review June

The overfitting issue

A

Noisy training data can be fitted “too well”– leads to poor generalization on future data

Prefer simpler regressions, i.e. where– some w coefficients are

zero– line is “flatter”

yê= Aw+be

Page 23: Support Vector Machines for Data Fitting and Classification David R. Musicant with Olvi L. Mangasarian UW-Madison Data Mining Institute Annual Review June

Reducing overfitting To achieve both goals

– minimize magnitude of w vector

à s ô Aw+beà yô smin

Pjwij +C

Psi

C is a parameter to balance the two goals– Chosen by experimentation

Reduces overfitting due to points far from surface

Page 24: Support Vector Machines for Data Fitting and Classification David R. Musicant with Olvi L. Mangasarian UW-Madison Data Mining Institute Annual Review June

Overfitting again: “close” points

A

“Close points” may be wrong due to noise only– Line should be influenced by “real” data, not noise

Ignore errors from those points which are close!yê= Aw+be

"

Page 25: Support Vector Machines for Data Fitting and Classification David R. Musicant with Olvi L. Mangasarian UW-Madison Data Mining Institute Annual Review June

Tolerant regression

à s ô Aw+beà yô smin

Pjwij +C

Psi

Allow an interval of size with uniform error

e" ô s How large should be?

– Large as possible, while preserving accuracy

à s ô Aw+beà yô smin

Pjwij +C

Psi à Cö"

e" ô s

Page 26: Support Vector Machines for Data Fitting and Classification David R. Musicant with Olvi L. Mangasarian UW-Madison Data Mining Institute Annual Review June

How about a nonlinear surface?

Page 27: Support Vector Machines for Data Fitting and Classification David R. Musicant with Olvi L. Mangasarian UW-Madison Data Mining Institute Annual Review June

Introduce nonlinear kernel! Begin with previous formulation:

à s ô Aw+beà yô smin

Pjwij +C

Psi à Cö"

e" ô s Substitute w = A’ and minimize instead:

à s ô AA0ë +beà yô s

Substitute K(A,A’) for AA’:

à s ô K (A;A0)ë +beà yô s

A kernel is nonlinear function.

Page 28: Support Vector Machines for Data Fitting and Classification David R. Musicant with Olvi L. Mangasarian UW-Madison Data Mining Institute Annual Review June

Our improvements This formulation and interpretation is new!

– Improves intuition from prior results– Uses less variables– Solves faster!

Computational tests run on DMI Locop2– Dell PowerEdge 6300 server with– Four gigabytes of memory, 36 gigabytes of disk

space– Windows NT Server 4.0– CPLEX 6.5 solver

Donated to UW by Microsoft Corporation

Page 29: Support Vector Machines for Data Fitting and Classification David R. Musicant with Olvi L. Mangasarian UW-Madison Data Mining Institute Annual Review June

Comparison Results

Dataset 0 0.1 0.2 ... 0.7 Total Time

Time (sec) Improvement

Census Tuning set error 5.10% 4.74% Max 0.00 0.02 79.7%

SSR time (sec) 980 935 5086 Avg

MM time (sec) 199 294 3765 26.0%

Comp- Tuning set error 6.60% 6.32% Max

Activ 0.00 3.09 65.7%

SSR time (sec) 1364 1286 7604 Avg

MM time (sec) 468 660 6533 14.1%

Boston Tuning set error 14.69% 14.62% Max

Housing 0.00 0.42 52.0%

SSR time (sec) 36 34 170 Avg

MM time (sec) 17 23 140 17.6%

m

Page 30: Support Vector Machines for Data Fitting and Classification David R. Musicant with Olvi L. Mangasarian UW-Madison Data Mining Institute Annual Review June

Problem size concerns How does the problem scale?

– m = number of points– n = number of features

For linear kernel: problem size is O(mn)

à s ô Aw+beà yô s For nonlinear kernel: problem size is O(m2)

à s ô K (A;A0)ë +beà yô s

Thousands of data points ==> massive problem!

Need an algorithm that will scale well.

Page 31: Support Vector Machines for Data Fitting and Classification David R. Musicant with Olvi L. Mangasarian UW-Madison Data Mining Institute Annual Review June

Chunking approach Idea: Use a chunking method

– Bring as much into memory as possible– Solve this subset of the problem– Retain solution and integrate into next subset

Explored in depth by Paul Bradley and O.L. Mangasarian for linear kernels

Solve in pieces, one chunk at a time.

Page 32: Support Vector Machines for Data Fitting and Classification David R. Musicant with Olvi L. Mangasarian UW-Madison Data Mining Institute Annual Review June

Row-Column Chunking

Why column chunking also?– If non-linear kernel is used, chunks are very

wide.– A wide chunk must have a small number of

rows to fit in memory.

Both these chunks use the same memory!

Page 33: Support Vector Machines for Data Fitting and Classification David R. Musicant with Olvi L. Mangasarian UW-Madison Data Mining Institute Annual Review June

Chunking Experimental Results

Dataset: 16,000 point subset of Census in R 11+ noiseKernel: Gaussian Radial Basis KernelLP Size: 32,000 nonsparse rows and columnsProblem Size: 1.024 billion nonzero valuesTime to termination: 18.8 daysNumber of SVs: 1621 support vectorsSolution variables: 33 nonzero componentsFinal tuning set error: 9.8%Tuning set error on first chunk (1000 points)

16.2%

Page 34: Support Vector Machines for Data Fitting and Classification David R. Musicant with Olvi L. Mangasarian UW-Madison Data Mining Institute Annual Review June

Objective Value & Tuning Set Errorfor Billion-Element MatrixObjective Value

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

00

5005

10009

150013

200018

Row-Column Chunk Iteration NumberTime in Days

Objective Value

Tuning Set Error

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

20%

00

5005

10009

150013

200018

Row-Column Chunk Iteration NumberTime in Days

Tuning Set Error

Given enough time, we find the right answer!

Page 35: Support Vector Machines for Data Fitting and Classification David R. Musicant with Olvi L. Mangasarian UW-Madison Data Mining Institute Annual Review June

Integration into data mining tools Method runs as a stand-alone application, with

data resident on disk With minimal effort, could sit on top of a RDBMS

to manage data input/output– Queries select a subset of data - easily SQLable

Database queries occur “infrequently”– Data mining can be performed on a different machine

from the one maintaining the DBMS

Licensing of a linear program solver necessary

Algorithm can integrate with data mining tools.

Page 36: Support Vector Machines for Data Fitting and Classification David R. Musicant with Olvi L. Mangasarian UW-Madison Data Mining Institute Annual Review June

Part III:Active Support Vector Machines

a.k.a. ASVM

Page 37: Support Vector Machines for Data Fitting and Classification David R. Musicant with Olvi L. Mangasarian UW-Madison Data Mining Institute Annual Review June

The Classification Problem

w

x0w= í +1

x0w= í à 1x0w= íSeparating Surface:

A+

A-

Find surface to best separate two classes.

Page 38: Support Vector Machines for Data Fitting and Classification David R. Musicant with Olvi L. Mangasarian UW-Madison Data Mining Institute Annual Review June

Active Support Vector Machine Features

– Solves classification problems– No special software tools necessary! No LP or QP!– FAST. Works on very large problems.– Web page: www.cs.wisc.edu/~musicant/asvm

• Available for download and can be integrated into data mining tools

• MATLAB integration already provided

# of points Features Iterations Time (CPU min)4 million 32 5 38.047 million 32 5 95.57

Page 39: Support Vector Machines for Data Fitting and Classification David R. Musicant with Olvi L. Mangasarian UW-Madison Data Mining Institute Annual Review June

Summary and Future Work Summary

– Robust regression can be modeled simply and efficiently as a quadratic program

– Tolerant regression can be used to solve massive regression problems

– ASVM can solve massive classification problems quickly

Future work– Parallel approaches– Distributed approaches– ASVM for various types of regression

Page 40: Support Vector Machines for Data Fitting and Classification David R. Musicant with Olvi L. Mangasarian UW-Madison Data Mining Institute Annual Review June

Questions?