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REPORT NO 002 PUBLIC MARCH 2018 PUBLIC Suffolk County Council WAVENEY LOCAL PLAN FORECAST HIGHWAY MODELLING

Suffolk County Council · 2018-03-29 · Suffolk County Council WAVENEY LOCAL PLAN Suffolk County Transport Model (SCTM) – Preferred Option Traffic Forecasting Report TYPE OF DOCUMENT

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Page 1: Suffolk County Council · 2018-03-29 · Suffolk County Council WAVENEY LOCAL PLAN Suffolk County Transport Model (SCTM) – Preferred Option Traffic Forecasting Report TYPE OF DOCUMENT

REPORT NO 002 PUBLIC MARCH 2018 PUBLIC

Suffolk County Council

WAVENEY LOCAL PLAN FORECAST HIGHWAY MODELLING

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Suffolk County Council

WAVENEY LOCAL PLAN Suffolk County Transport Model (SCTM) – Preferred Option Traffic Forecasting Report

TYPE OF DOCUMENT (VERSION) PUBLIC PROJECT NO. 70029464 OUR REF. NO. REPORT NO 002 PUBLIC DATE: MARCH 2018

WSP WSP House 70 Chancery Lane London WC2A 1AF Phone: +44 20 7314 5000 Fax: +44 20 7314 5111 WSP.com

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WAVENEY LOCAL PLAN WSP Project No.: 70029464 | Our Ref No.: REPORT NO 002 Public March 2018 Suffolk County Council

QUALITY CONTROL

Issue/revision First issue Revision 1 Revision 2

Remarks Draft Final

Date 20 Feb 2018 28 Mar 2018

Prepared by Bashir Ahmed Bashir Ahmed

Signature

Checked by Michael Johns Michael Johns

Signature

Authorised by Matthew Chilvers Matthew Chilvers

Signature

Project number 70029464 70029464

Report number 002 002 - Public

File reference 180220 WLP – SCTM PrefOption Forecasting Report.docx

180328 WLP – SCTM PrefOption Forecasting Report - Public.docx

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WAVENEY LOCAL PLAN WSP Project No.: 70029464 | Our Ref No.: REPORT NO 002 Public March 2018 Suffolk County Council Page 7 of 44

CONTENTS

1 GLOSSARY 1

2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 5

3 INTRODUCTION 11

4 INFORMATION / DATA PROVIDED TO WSP 15

5 METHODOLOGY 25

6 RESULTS 31

7 CONCLUSIONS 43

TABLES Table 1 - V/C percentage bands 5

Table 2 - Volume to capacity ratio categorisation 6

Table 3 - Total dwellings – 2016 to 2036 16

Table 4 - Comparison of TEMPRO and WDC data household growth – 2016 to 2036 19

Table 5 - Distribution of household growth within 2011 Census MSOAs within Waveney 20

Table 6 - Distribution of job growth within 2011 Census MSOAs within Waveney 21

Table 7 - TRICS trip rates 25

Table 8 - TEMPRO growth factors – 2016 to 2036 25

Table 9 - Waveney adjusted TEMPRO growth factors – 2016 to 2036 26

Table 10 - NTM Growth Factors – 2016 to 2036 26

Table 11 - 2036 Preferred Option matrix compared to 2016 Base Year matrix – AM and PM peak 26

Table 12 - 2036 preferred option matrix total 26

Table 13 - Fuel and Income Factor Adjustments – 2016 to 2036 27

Table 14 - 2036 Preferred option with fuel and income factor adjustments – AM peak & PM peak 27

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Table 15 - 2036 Preferred option without and with fuel and income factor adjustments – AM peak & PM peak 27

Table 16 - Volume to capacity ratio categorisation 31

Table 17 – Existing Bloodmoor Roundabout layout conflicting flows by modelled scenario 39

Table 18 – Proposed Bloodmoor Roundabout layout conflicting flows by modelled scenario39

Table 19 – Change in conflicting flow between Proposed and Existing Bloodmoor Roundabout layout 40

FIGURES Figure 1 - Waveney District boundary 15

Figure 2 - Preferred option developments 17

Figure 3- NTEM 7.2 / MSOA boundaries within Waveney District 19

Figure 4 - NTEM 7.2 Household Growth in Waveney (2016 to 2036) 20

Figure 5 - NTEM 7.2 Job Growth in Waveney (2016 to 2036) 22

Figure 6 - South Lowestoft – Junctions with approaches over / near capacity 32

Figure 7 - North Lowestoft – Junctions with approaches over / near capacity 34

Figure 8 - Beccles – Junctions with approaches over / near capacity 36

Figure 9 - Rural A12 – Junctions with approaches over / near capacity 37

Figure 10 - Bloodmoor Roundabout 38

APPENDICES Appendix A Appendix B Appendix C Appendix C.1 Appendix C.2 Appendix D Appendix E Appendix F Appendix F.1 Appendix F.2

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GLOSSARY

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1 GLOSSARY Adjusted Planning Data – TEMPro (see below) allows for the use of alternative assumptions which are

different to the standard set of assumptions. This allows for specific allocated developments to be discounted from the assumptions or to adjust the overall assumptions to tie in with alternative data sources.

AM Peak – the morning peak hour (08:00 – 09:00) Assignment – A Traffic Assignment Model, in this case SATURN, has been used. An assignment model

requires two general inputs – a “trip matrix” and a “network” (thought of as the “demand” and “supply” inputs – provided by the user). These are input into a “route choice” model which allocates or assigns trips to “routes” through the network, as a result total flows along links in the network may be summed and the corresponding network “costs” (e.g. times) calculated.

Committed Development – All land with current planning permission or allocated for development in adopted development plans (particularly residential development) (Planning Portal Glossary).

Local Plan - A Local Plan is a set of documents that determine how development will be planned over time.

LPA – Local Planning Authority Matrix – see Trip Matrix Network – specifies the physical structure of the roads, etc upon which trips take place and the parameters

within it. In this report, parameters is being used as a generic descriptor of all of the pieces of information / options that go into the Saturn network, it is not a specific modelling term.

NTEM – National Trip End Model, Latest version 7.2. The National Trip End Model produces estimates of person travel by all modes based on 2011 Census boundaries. The model outputs trip productions (e.g. homes) and trip attractions (e.g. sites of employment) in each zone (collectively known as trip-ends), which may be separated by mode, journey purpose, household car ownership category and time period.

NTM – National Transport Model provides a means of comparing the consequences of national transport policies or widely-applied local transport policies, against a range of background scenarios which take into account the major factors affecting future patterns of travel. The model produces future forecasts of road traffic growth, vehicle tailpipe emissions, congestion and journey time (Department for Transport website).

PCU – Passenger Car Unit, is a method used in Transport Modelling to allow for the different vehicle types within a traffic flow group to be assessed in a consistent manner. Measured to be 5.75 m. Factors used in the SCTM are 1 for a car or light goods vehicle and 2.3 for heavy goods vehicle.

Permitted Development - Permission to carry out certain limited forms of development without the need to make an application to a local planning authority, as granted under the terms of the Town and Country Planning (General Permitted Development) Order (Planning Portal Glossary).

Person Trip Rate – The number of people making a given trip as opposed to the number of vehicles making a trip.

PM Peak – Afternoon Peak (17:00 – 18:00) SATURN – Simulation and Assignment of Traffic to Urban Road Networks is a suite of network analysis

programs used to assess the impact of road-investment schemes. Current version 11.3.12U. See also assignment. Further information can be found here: https://saturnsoftware.co.uk/

SCC – Suffolk County Council SCTM – Suffolk County Transport Model TEMPro - TEMPro is the Trip End Model Presentation Program. The National Trip End Model (NTEM)

forecasts and the TEMPro software are used for transport planning purposes. The forecast includes: population, employment, households by car ownership, trip ends, and simple traffic growth factors based on data from the National Transport Model. The current version, and the version used for this work, is NTEM 7.2. Further information can be found at: https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/tempro

Trip Matrix – the “Trip Matrix” Tij specifies the number of trips from zone i to zone j V/C Ratio – Volume / Capacity Ratio. The assigned model flow is the volume of traffic in PCUs per hour,

with the V/C percentage calculated as the volume relative to the capacity in percentage terms. WDC – Waveney District Council WebTAG – Web Transport Appraisal Guidance. Documentation produced by the Department for Transport

(DfT) to assist in transport appraisal and modelling to ensure consistency and robustness. Windfall Sites – sites for housing that have yet to be identified, accounted for through background growth. Zone Loading Point – the origins and destinations of trips within a network

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A further glossary of planning terms can be found here:

https://www.planningportal.co.uk/directory/4/glossary

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2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

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2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

2.1 REPORT PURPOSE 2.1.1. WSP have been commissioned to undertake an assessment of the Waveney Local Plan for a forecast year of

2036.

2.1.2. The purpose of this report is to assess the impact upon the highway network of the development planned within the Local Plan and to identify junctions that are likely to experience congestion in the future.

2.1.3. For the purpose of the assessment of individual junctions within this report, the volume to capacity (V/C) percentage is used. V/C percentages above 100% show a junction / approach / turn which experiences a traffic flow beyond its capacity. These locations show the greatest network stress and suggest delays are likely. At these locations the network may cease to function efficiently and blocking back from queuing may occur, constraining the capacity and causing congestion on adjacent links and junctions. Locations at which the V/C percentage is between 90-99% are also considered likely to experience congestion and are highlighted within the analysis. Table 1 outlines the V/C percentage bands which are considered within this report and how junctions have been categorised into Significant and Potentially Significant impacts.

Table 1 - V/C percentage bands

Description V/C Percentage Band

Significant 100% +

Potentially Significant

90 – 99%

WHAT HAS BEEN DONE

2.1.4. The Suffolk County Transport Model (SCTM) includes a strategic highway model built in SATURN which has been calibrated and validated to reflect traffic conditions for a base year of 2016. Traffic forecasts have been generated from this base year model to represent a forecast year of 2036.

2.1.5. The forecast modelling contained within this report represents the “Preferred Option” in terms of the distribution of housing development within the district. This Preferred Option follows tests of multiple options (Scenarios 1 to 4) for the distribution of housing and jobs carried out by WSP using the SCTM. This is detailed in the “Waveney Local Plan – SCTM Forecasting Report RevC” dated July 2017.

2.1.6. The cumulative impact of proposed housing in the Preferred Option coming forward to 2036 has been tested in the modelling detailed within this report. Waveney District Council has set a target of 9,136 houses between 2016 and 2036.

2.1.7. A core element of the demand forecasting assumptions is the use of TEMPro which assumes there will be background growth in jobs and housing. This assessment however adjusts the background assumptions in housing on the basis of the development details received from WDC to ensure consistency with the Local Plan proposals.

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WHAT THE RESULTS SHOW 2.1.8. This growth in traffic is a result of changing patterns of travel behaviour and predicted future growth in housing

and jobs across Suffolk. The transport modelling factors in an element of growth when predicting future traffic impacts and has been adapted for the purposes of this assessment to consider the specific growth locations identified in the Waveney Local Plan. The results cannot therefore be interpreted as simply as ‘Local Plan vs no Local Plan’, i.e. it could not reasonably be assumed that if there were no Local Plan traffic patterns would be the same in 2036 as they were in 2016.

2.1.9. The growth assumptions include for all of the specifically considered development within the Local Plan, but also growth generated through population growth, car ownership and relative vehicle operating costs through the use of the Department for Transport TEMPro software.

2.1.10. Numerous locations across the network are shown to have capacity issues, measured using the volume to capacity (V/C) percentage which compares the capacity of the network to the assigned traffic flow. V/C percentage figures above 100% are considered to represent significant levels of congestion, whilst V/C values between 90-99% are considered potentially significant. The analysis in this report splits the junction into the following categories shown in Table 2 to better prioritise the junctions showing the greatest stress:

Table 2 - Volume to capacity ratio categorisation

Type Description

1 100%+ both peaks

2 100%+ in one peak / 90-99% in other peak

3 100%+ in one peak / Less than 90% in other peak

4 90-99% in both peaks

5 90-99% in one peak / Less than 90% in the other peak

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN

2.1.11. The analysis has shown that while many junctions may be close to or exceed capacity in 2036; there are also many parts of the network that will operate satisfactorily.

2.1.12. Further, the development proposals assessed within the model would as part of their planning applications need to consider additional measures to help mitigate any impact. The analysis within this report has not identified any locations where it is unlikely such mitigation could not be delivered.

2.1.13. It is also necessary to remember that improvements in capacity through the removal of bottlenecks whilst desirable in location can have knock on impacts which would be less desirable than the existing congestion. For example, as traffic is more freely able to move into the network, the problem will simply move to another location. Equally, hard engineering and infrastructure solutions are not the only solutions available. Other solutions involve the optimisation of existing infrastructure and an emphasis on sustainable transport, through for example personal travel planning. Over the lifetime of the plan it is reasonable to assume that policies on sustainable transport will help to mitigate some of the increase in stress, and technological changes, such as those associated with Connected and Autonomous Vehicles, have the potential to independently improve traffic flow and conditions.

WHAT IS BEING DONE TO ADDRESS THIS 2.1.14. Mitigation has been considered for the Bloodmoor roundabout in Lowestoft and is discussed in this report.

Previous local plan scenario modelling in the SCTM showed multiple arms of this junction to be overcapacity by 2036.

2.1.15. There are already committed highway infrastructure schemes within Waveney, these have been assumed to be in place in the forecast modelling and include:

Lake Lothing Third Crossing – a new bridge across Lake Lothing in Lowestoft to reduce congestion in the town centre

Beccles Southern Relief Road

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WHAT NEEDS TO HAPPEN NEXT 2.1.16. Given the coverage of the SCTM it allows tests to be carried out for neighbouring local authorities within

Suffolk. Due to the countywide study area it will enable joint planning with neighbouring authorities.

2.1.17. It is therefore recommended that this assessment is updated once detailed information has been provided by neighbouring local authorities if the combined impacts of the various local plans need to be considered. Further work may be required to confirm the extent of any mitigation following the issues highlighted in this report. The impact of specific local plan development sites could also be assessed within the model to identify those areas of mitigation that will be required by developers to mitigate their site impacts.

2.1.18. It is recommended that the junctions that have been identified as having the most significant impact are considered in further detail through isolated junction modelling to demonstrate the detailed impact and confirm that appropriate mitigation can be provided where required.

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3 INTRODUCTION

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3 INTRODUCTION

3.1 BACKGROUND 3.1.1. WSP have been commissioned to undertake an assessment of the impact of the Waveney Local Plan on the

highway network for a forecast year of 2036. Waveney District Council (WDC) have provided WSP with information on the Preferred Option for the Waveney Local Plan.

3.2 TRANSPORT MODEL 3.2.1. The Suffolk County Transport Model (SCTM) was has been developed by WSP to support The Upper Orwell

Crossing in Ipswich, and Lake Lothing Third Crossing in Lowestoft through the Development Consent Order process. The SCTM has also been updated in the Suffolk Coastal area to support the Outline Business Case for the A12 Suffolk Energy Gateway scheme.

3.2.2. The Preferred Option modelling detailed in this report therefore utilises the latest version of the SCTM which was available at the start of this additional forecast modelling.

3.2.3. The SCTM comprises a highway assignment model built in SATURN, as well as a public transport and demand model based in VISUM.

3.2.4. The SCTM represents a substantial improvement to previous transport modelling tools within Suffolk and allows for a greater range of behavioural responses to be tested than at present. The SCTM will provide a robust evidence base for a range of potential transport schemes and policies. These include:

Highway scheme appraisal Major public transport scheme appraisal Inputs for transport business cases and funding applications Inputs for environmental appraisals Local plan / core strategy assessment Development impact assessment.

3.2.5. The SCTM has been developed to an extent that it is able to serve as a high-level strategic assessment tool for all such applications. However, no strategic model is capable of representing a whole county in fine detail, so the level of detail required for each application is reviewed prior to testing. It may be necessary to enhance a particular local area for a specific testing purpose.

3.2.6. Additional base year refinements were made to the network within Waveney to improve the network detail. Also traffic count data commissioned by Worlingham Parish Council in Beccles was included in the base year validation which underpins the forecasting detailed within this report. Details of this traffic count data are provided in a technical note “Waveney Local Plan: Response on Beccles Transport Impact Assessment” which was produced by WSP in January 2018. The inclusion of the traffic count data within Beccles further ensures the robustness of the SCTM to test the impact of increased traffic levels on junctions within Beccles.

3.3 PREFERRED OPTION 3.3.1. Updates to the 2016 base year model have been undertaken as part of the modelling detailed in this report

including additional road network detail, zoning and traffic survey data to ensure the updated model provides a robust basis for the testing of the Local Plan.

3.3.2. It is assumed that the following schemes will be in place by 2036 and have therefore been included within all forecast model scenarios:

Lake Lothing Third Crossing Beccles Southern Relief Road

3.3.3. The forecast modelling contained within this report represents the cumulative impact of proposed developments coming forward up to 2036, from a base year of 2016.

3.3.4. The following details were provided by Waveney District Council (WDC):

Details of proposed residential developments (proposed for allocation through the Local Plan) Details of committed residential developments (those with extant planning permission)

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3.3.5. The forecast modelling detailed in the previous report “Waveney Local Plan – SCTM Forecasting Report RevC (July 2017)” represents the AM peak hour (0800-0900) and PM peak hour (1700-1800) in 2036 for the following scenarios:

Reference Case: no specifically modelled developments, only TEMPRO growth applied Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3 Scenario 4

3.3.6. This report details the forecast modelling of the Preferred Option scenario for the AM peak hour (0800-0900) and PM peak hour (1700-1800) in 2036. The Preferred Option is a derivation of the distribution of housing presented in Scenario 3 of the previous Local Plan modelling.

3.3.7. Appendix A contains details of the housing and job number assumed for developments for the Preferred Scenario.

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4 INFORMATION / DATA PROVIDED TO WSP

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4 INFORMATION / DATA PROVIDED TO WSP

4.1 INTRODUCTION 4.1.1. This section sets out all of the information that has been provided to WSP to undertake the assessment of the

Preferred Option and the methodology for use of the data in the transport modelling. This includes information on residential developments received from WDC, as well as national data sources on planning assumptions.

4.2 STUDY AREA 4.2.1. The main study area focused on in this report is compared to the base year SCTM highway network in Figure

1 below.

Figure 1 - Waveney District boundary

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4.3 WAVENEY LOCAL PLAN 4.3.1. The emerging Waveney Local Plan identifies a need for an increase of 9,136 dwellings over the period 2016 –

2036.

4.4 PROPOSED DEVELOPMENTS 4.4.1. The assessment of the proposed development has been split into two distinct sections:

Specifically assessed development, for sites where development location and size (numbers of houses) are known or can be calculated

Background traffic growth, for development which is planned, but the details or locations is not yet known.

4.4.2. Each is considered in detail in the following sections.

4.5 SPECIFICALLY ASSESSED DEVELOPMENT 4.5.1. WDC provided information on specific housing developments across Waveney District. These included

proposed developments for a period between 2016 and 2036 including developments under construction, sites with planning permission or a planning application pending, and sites which were proposed allocations or allocations but for which no planning application had been submitted.

4.5.2. The specifically assessed development totals based upon these sources / calculations are shown in Table 3. Details of all housing and employment sites are provided in Appendix A.

Table 3 - Total dwellings – 2016 to 2036

Settlement Preferred Option

North Lowestoft 1831

South Lowestoft 850

Beccles 1500

Bungay 305

Halesworth 440

Reydon 250

Rural Areas 420

Total housing – Preferred Option 5596

Total housing – Under construction / Planning permission granted (or imminent)

3540

Overall housing totals 9136

4.5.3. Figure 2 shows the developments which are included in the modelled scenario.

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Figure 2 - Preferred option developments

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4.6 BACKGROUND TRAFFIC GROWTH 4.6.1. The 2016 – 2036 Local Plan contains policies which seek to deliver 9,136 dwellings over this period. The

model has a base year of 2016 so adjustments were necessary to account for the housing and job development between 2016 and 2036.

4.6.2. TEMPRO Version 7.2 has been used to derive the background growth in car traffic. This version provides a significant upgrade to the previous version of TEMPRO including significant increases to the detail of the zones boundaries which are now based on 2011 Census Middle Super Output Areas (MSOAs).

4.6.3. Figure 3 details the MSOA boundaries within Waveney District.

Figure 3- NTEM 7.2 / MSOA boundaries within Waveney District

4.6.4. Table 4 provides a comparison of the household growth between 2016 and 2036 advised within TEMPRO 7.2 and information provided by WDC used within the scenario modelling within this report. The growth in housing is shown to be 567 dwellings higher than the increases shown in TEMPRO.

Table 4 - Comparison of TEMPRO and WDC data household growth – 2016 to 2036

Source Household Growth (2016 to 2036)

TEMPRO 7.2 8,569

Waveney District Council 9,136

Difference 567

4.6.5. Table 5 details a comparison between the growth in households between 2016 and 2036 in TEMPRO 7.2 and the assumed housing in the Preferred Scenario by 2011 Census MSOA.

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Table 5 - Distribution of household growth within 2011 Census MSOAs within Waveney

Area TEMPRO 7.2 Distribution Preferred Option Distribution

Waveney 001 494 1571

Waveney 002 544 147

Waveney 003 563 1275

Waveney 004 697 24

Waveney 005 547 1651

Waveney 006 541 0

Waveney 007 599 79

Waveney 008 510 0

Waveney 009 560 1007

Waveney 010 654 278

Waveney 011 621 1389

Waveney 012 771 53

Waveney 013 505 518

Waveney 014 448 500

Waveney 015 515 644

Total 8,569 9,136

4.6.6. Figure 4 shows the distribution of household growth between 2016 and 2036 within NTEM 7.2 for MSOAs within Waveney District.

Figure 4 - NTEM 7.2 Household Growth in Waveney (2016 to 2036)

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4.6.7. The distribution of job growth between 2016 and 2036 within TEMPRO for Waveney was utilised in the Preferred Scenario shown in Table 6.

Table 6 - Distribution of job growth within 2011 Census MSOAs within Waveney

Area TEMPRO 7.2 Distribution

Waveney 001 215

Waveney 002 129

Waveney 003 128

Waveney 004 445

Waveney 005 233

Waveney 006 98

Waveney 007 634

Waveney 008 101

Waveney 009 117

Waveney 010 406

Waveney 011 218

Waveney 012 332

Waveney 013 284

Waveney 014 198

Waveney 015 298

Total 3,836

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4.6.8. Figure 5 details the variation in job growth between 2016 and 2036 in NTEM 7.2 for MSOAS within Waveney District

Figure 5 - NTEM 7.2 Job Growth in Waveney (2016 to 2036)

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5 METHODOLOGY

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5 METHODOLOGY

5.1 INTRODUCTION 5.1.1. This sections sets out the methodology used and assumptions made in the assessment of the Preferred

Option forecast model.

5.2 SPECIFICALLY ASSESSED DEVELOPMENT TRIPS 5.2.1. For the specifically modelled developments within Waveney, trip rates were generated using TRICS version

7.3.4. Residential trip rates were based on an assumption of 65% of dwellings being privately owned housing, 35% being local affordable housing. Table 7 details the TRICS trip rates which were applied to each of the land uses for the specifically assessed developments.

Table 7 - TRICS trip rates

Land Use Type Unit AM Arrivals AM Departures

PM Arrivals PM Departures

Residential per dwelling 0.1431 0.3444 0.30605 0.19395

B2 Employment per job 0.17 0.041 0.021 0.136

Community Centre

per 100sqm 0.934 0.417 0.442 0.657

Primary School per pupil 0.291 0.216 0.03 0.045

5.2.2. Appendix B provides details of the trip generation for each development included in the scenario.

5.3 TEMPRO GROWTH FACTORS 5.3.1. TEMPRO growth factors were applied at a district level within Suffolk for model zones outside of Waveney.

For external zones outside of Suffolk, a growth rate was based on the East of England (excluding Suffolk). The growth factors were derived from the latest version of TEMPRO, version 7.2, detailed in Table 8.

Table 8 - TEMPRO growth factors – 2016 to 2036

Area AM - Origin AM - Destination

PM - Origin PM - Destination

East of England 1.182 1.188 1.191 1.188

Babergh 1.036 1.163 1.139 1.059

Forest Heath 1.215 1.204 1.212 1.219

Ipswich 1.204 1.188 1.189 1.197

Mid Suffolk 1.040 1.157 1.136 1.060

St. Edmundsbury

1.179 1.195 1.195 1.184

Suffolk Coastal 1.121 1.175 1.169 1.137

5.3.2. Table 9 details the adjusted growth factors which were applied to SCTM zones in Waveney. Correspondence between SCTM zones and 2011 MSOAs was carried out based on the centroid of the SCTM zone. These factors represent the background growth in car traffic which was adjusted to ensure the specific modelled developments within the Preferred Option were removed from the growth in housing in Waveney in TEMPRO.

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Table 9 - Waveney adjusted TEMPRO growth factors – 2016 to 2036

Area AM - Origin AM - Destination

PM - Origin PM - Destination

Waveney 1.005 1.163 1.125 1.025

5.4 NATIONAL TRANSPORT MODEL (NTM) GROWTH FACTORS 5.4.1. Traffic growth for Light Goods Vehicles (LGVs) and Heavy Goods Vehicles (HGVs) were calculated based on

the National Transport Model (NTM), following the guidance within WebTAG Unit M.4, para 7.3.18. This provides road traffic forecasts by different vehicle types. Factors were available by region, with the East of England factors derived and extrapolated to create growth factors between 2016 and 2036.

5.4.2. Table 10 details the LGV and HGV factors which were applied to the 2016 base year matrices to generate 2036 LGV and HGV matrices.

Table 10 - NTM Growth Factors – 2016 to 2036

Area LGV Factor HGV Factor

East of England 1.566 1.213

5.5 MATRIX DEVELOPMENT 5.5.1. Table 11 shows the increase in the size of the matrix from the 2016 base year to the 2036 preferred option.

Table 11 - 2036 Preferred Option matrix compared to 2016 Base Year matrix – AM and PM peak

Base Year (AM 2016)

Preferred Option (AM 2036)

Increase (AM 2016 To 2036)

Base Year (PM 2016)

Preferred Option (PM 2036)

Increase (PM 2016 To 2036)

136,446 168,050 23% 135,745 166,368 23%

5.5.2. Applying TEMPRO growth to the car user classes and NTM growth to the LGV / HGV user classes leads to an increase of 23% between 2016 and 2036.

5.5.3. Table 12 illustrates total background growth and total development trips used for the development of preferred option matrices both for AM and PM peak.

Table 12 - 2036 preferred option matrix total

Scenario Background Growth (AM 2016 To 2036)

Modelled Development Trips (AM 2036)

Final Matrix Total (AM 2036)

Background Growth (PM 2016 To 2036)

Modelled Development Trips (PM 2036)

Final Matrix Total (PM 2036)

Preferred Option

163,596 4,454 168,050 161,800 4,568 166,368

5.5.4. Due to the use of TRICS to generate trips for the specific developments in Waveney, and due to background

growth, the preferred option total matrix shows 31,604 and 30,623 more trips compare to base year matrix for AM and PM peak respectively.

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5.5.5. Tables in Appendix C-1 provide a breakdown of the increase in matrix totals by vehicle user class.

5.6 FUEL AND INCOME FACTOR ADJUSTMENTS 5.6.1. Given the Waveney Local Plan forecasting detailed in this report is a highway only assessment, guidance in

WebTAG Unit M4 – Forecasting and Uncertainty (November 2014) has been followed. Paragraph 7.4.13 stipulates for highway only assessments that the car matrix should be multiplied by two factors, based on growth in income and fuel. The November 2016 version of the WebTAG databook was used as the basis for the fuel and income factors to ensure consistency with the previous Local Plan scenario modelling.

5.6.2. Table 13 shows the combined fuel and income factors which were applied to the car user classes. Appendix C-2 provides details of these matrix adjustments by matrix user class.

Table 13 - Fuel and Income Factor Adjustments – 2016 to 2036

Time Period Fuel Factor Income Factor Combined Factor

2016 to 2036 1.053 1.022 1.075

5.6.3. Fuel and income factor adjustments lead to the following final matrix totals shown in Table 14. The comparison below shows the overall forecast traffic growth which has been applied to the base year matrix to produce the final forecast matrices.

Table 14 - 2036 Preferred option with fuel and income factor adjustments – AM peak & PM peak

Base Year (AM 2016)

Pre Option With F & I Adj (AM 2036)

Increase (AM 2036)

Base Year (PM 2016)

Pre Option With F & I Adj (PM 2036)

Increase (PM 2036)

136,446 178,368 31% 135,745 177,105 30%

5.6.4. Consideration of fuel and income factors increase the overall matrix by 31% in the AM peak and 30% in the PM peak in the preferred option compare to base year model. This is around a 6% increase compared to the 2036 matrix total without fuel and income factor adjustment as shown in Table 15 due to these factors only being applied to car traffic.

Table 15 - 2036 Preferred option without and with fuel and income factor adjustments – AM peak & PM peak

Pre Option Without F & I Adj (AM 2036)

Pre Option With F & I Adj (AM 2036)

Increase (AM 2036)

Pre Option Without F & I Adj (PM 2036)

Pre Option With F & I Adj (PM 2036)

Increase (PM 2036)

168,050 178,368 6% 166,368 177,105 6%

5.7 SATURN VERSION SATURN version 11.3.12W, the latest version available to WSP was used for assigning the 2036 forecast matrices and is consistent with the version used in the building of the SCTM.

5.8 GENERALISED COST PARAMETERS 5.8.1. Generalised costs have been defined by peak for a forecast year of 2036.

5.8.2. Generalised cost is defined in keeping with the guidance in section 2.8 of WebTAG Unit M3.1, and is as follows:

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5.8.3. Value of time is calculated in pence per minute (PPM) and vehicle operating cost is calculated in pence per kilometre (PPK). The adopted parameters were calculated from the TAG databook published in July 2016, as this is the version consistent with the previous Local Plan scenario modelling.

5.8.4. The parameters adopted are shown in Appendix D. For the HGV class, manual classified count data (2016) was used to determine the split of vehicles which could be classified as OGV1 and OGV2 by peak hour. This split was used to calculate average generalised cost parameters for HGVs.

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6 RESULTS

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6 RESULTS

6.1 INTRODUCTION 6.1.1. This section provides an assessment of the model output data in terms of link based delays and discusses

potential mitigation at the Bloodmoor Roundabout in Lowestoft.

6.2 LINK BASED DELAYS 6.2.1. Considering the overall V/C of a junction can mask locations where there may be congestion problems on a

link at the approach to a particular junction. In practice, few junctions in SATURN will show a high overall V/C when this averaged across the junction unless congestion is very severe. Therefore analysis has been undertaken to determine which junctions have an approach arm which shows congestion problems. These junctions are assigned a V/C ratio based on the worst-performing approach arm.

6.2.2. Table 16 describes the typology used to distinguish between whether junctions show congestion problems in both peak hours, and a single peak hour, and takes into account the severity of the congestion.

Table 16 - Volume to capacity ratio categorisation

Type Description

1 100%+ both peaks

2 100%+ in one peak / 90-99% in other peak

3 100%+ in one peak / Less than 90% in other peak

4 90-99% in both peaks

5 90-99% in one peak / Less than 90% in the other peak

6.2.3. Appendix E provides a comparison of the V/C value for the worst performing arm of all junctions which fall within the categorisation defined in Table 16. Comparisons are provided showing the 2016 base year compared to Scenario 3 in the previous Local Plan modelling and the Preferred Option.

6.3 BASE YEAR JUNCTIONS WITH APPROACHES NEAR / OVER CAPACITY 6.3.1. The following junction is shown to have a V/C over 100% in both the AM and PM peak in the base year:

A1117 / B1375 / Normanston Drive (node 7040)

6.3.2. The following junction is shown to have a V/C closed to capacity at 90-99% in both the AM and PM peak in the base year:

A146 Bridge Road / Cottmer Road (node 2030)

6.3.3. In the 2016 PM peak, the following junctions are shown be close to capacity (90-99% V/C):

A1117 Millennium Way / Grasmere Drive (node 7080)

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6.4 FORECAST YEAR JUNCTIONS WITH APPROACHES NEAR / OVER CAPACITY

6.4.1. Analysis of the junctions in the forecast modelling which are shown to have congestion issues have been split into the following areas which are shown to contain junctions with capacity problems:

South Lowestoft North Lowestoft Beccles A12 rural junctions

6.4.2. The analysis of the junctions showing congestion is presented in terms of the following:

Category 1 - Junctions showing capacity problems in the Preferred Option which previously did not have capacity problems in the Local Plan scenario modelling

Category 2 - Junctions showing capacity problems in both the Preferred Option and previous Local Plan scenario modelling

Category 3 - Junctions which no longer show capacity problems in the Preferred Option which previously showed capacity issues in the Local Plan scenario modelling

6.4.3. Bungay, Halesworth, Southwold and Reydon are not discussed in detail as none of these locations show significant congestion problems as a result of the forecast growth in traffic. All of the junctions within these towns return volume to capacity ratios below 90% in both the AM & PM peak in 2036, and therefore do not fit the typology in Table 16 for junctions considered likely to show congestion problems in the future.

6.4.4. Figure 6 to Figure 10 provides details of the junctions showing congestion issues in the Preferred Scenario.

6.5 SOUTH LOWESTOFT – JUNCTIONS WITH APPROACHES NEAR / OVER CAPACITY

6.5.1. Figure 6 shows the junctions in South Lowestoft by V/C type

Figure 6 - South Lowestoft – Junctions with approaches over / near capacity

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South Lowestoft – Category 1 Junctions 6.5.2. The following junction reaches 90-99% V/C in the PM peak, but operates within capacity in the AM peak in the

Preferred Option. This location did not previously show capacity issues in the Local Plan scenario modelling.

B1531 / Kirkley Run (node 4020)

South Lowestoft – Category 2 Junctions 6.5.3. The Bloodmoor Roundabout (node 3000) and Waveney Drive / Durban Road / Riverside Road Roundabout

(node 4010) are the junctions which have an approach over 100% V/C in both the AM and PM peak. These junctions operate within capacity in the 2016 base year.

6.5.4. The following junction is over 100% V/C in the AM peak, and within capacity in the PM peak:

A146 Beccles Road / Hollow Grove Way (node 2020)

6.5.5. The following junctions reach 90-99% V/C in the PM peak, but operate within capacity in the AM peak:

A12 Tom Crisp Way / Blackheath Road (node 6314) A146 Bridge Road / Cotmer Road (node 2030)

South Lowestoft – Category 3 Junctions 6.5.6. The following junctions were previously highlighted as having congestion problems but now no longer show

issues in either the AM or PM of the Preferred Option:

A12 Bloodmoor Rd / London Road Pakefield / Arbor Lane / Tower Road (node 1020) London Road South / Waterloo Road (node 1160) B1532 London Road S / Mill Road (node 1200) A12 Horn Hill / Mill Road / Kirkley Rise / Asda access (node 400) Victoria Road / Colville Road (node 4030) Tower Road / Cooke Road (node 5340) A1117 Bridge Road / Bridge Road (node 5896)

SOUTH LOWESTOFT JUNCTION ANALYSIS SUMMARY 6.5.7. The Bloodmoor Roundabout returns V/C values above 100% across multiple arms. Flow round analysis has

been undertaken at this junction with potential mitigation discussed in Section 6.3. The Preferred Option shows a number of junctions which have a similar level of congestion compared to the previous Local plan scenario modelling; however there are a number of junctions which no longer show capacity problems in the Preferred Option.

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6.6 NORTH LOWESTOFT – JUNCTIONS WITH APPROACHES NEAR / OVER CAPACITY

6.6.1. Figure 7 shows the junctions in North Lowestoft by V/C type

Figure 7 - North Lowestoft – Junctions with approaches over / near capacity

North Lowestoft – Category 1 Junctions 6.6.2. There are a total of 8 new junctions which are flagged as having capacity issues in the Preferred Option which

previously were not highlighted as having congestion problems in the Local Plan scenario modelling.

6.6.3. The following junctions operate close to capacity at 90-99% V/C in the AM but within capacity in the PM peak:

A12 / Alexandra Road (node 6075) A12 / Dukes Head / Tennyson Rd (node 6080) A12/ B1385 (node 6250)

6.6.4. The following junction operates close to capacity at 90-99% V/C in the PM but within capacity in the AM peak:

A12 / B1375 / Yarmouth Rd (node 6270) A1117 / B1074/ Peto Way (node 7070)

6.6.5. The following junction is over 100% V/C in the PM peak, and within capacity in the AM peak:

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A1117 / B1375 / Normanston Drive (node 7040)

6.6.6. The following junctions operate close to capacity at 90-99% V/C in the AM and PM peak:

A1117 Normanston Drive / A1144 Peto Way / Fir Lane (node 7060) Lake Lothing Third Crossing / Denmark Road (node 13039)

North Lowestoft – Category 2 Junctions 6.6.7. The following junctions show congestion issues in both the Preferred Option and previous Local Plan scenario

modelling.

6.6.8. The following junctions are over 100% V/C in the PM peak, and within capacity in the AM peak:

A1117 Millennium Way / Grasmere Drive (node 7080)

6.6.9. The following junctions operate over capacity 90-99% V/C in the PM but within capacity in the AM peak:

A12 Yarmouth Road / Holingsworth Road (node 6220) A12 Yarmouth Road / A12 Foxburrow Hill / Weston Road (node 10234)

North Lowestoft – Category 3 Junctions 6.6.10. The following junctions now operate within capacity in the Preferred Option having previously shown

congestion issues in the Local Plan scenario modelling

A12 / Station Road (node 4520) A12 Waveney Road / A12 Station Square / Station Square (node 6010) Denmark Road / Station Square / Bevan St E (node 6020) A1144 / A12 (node 6070)

NORTH LOWESTOFT JUNCTION ANALYSIS SUMMARY 6.6.11. North Lowestoft is now shown to be the location within Waveney with the largest number of junctions close to

or over capacity. However, no junction is shown to be over capacity in both the AM and PM peak at this location.

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6.7 BECCLES – JUNCTIONS WITH APPROACHES NEAR / OVER CAPACITY 6.7.1. Figure 8 shows the junctions in Beccles and vicinity by V/C type

Figure 8 - Beccles – Junctions with approaches over / near capacity

Beccles – Category 1 Junctions 6.7.2. There are no new junctions which show congestion problems in Beccles in the Preferred Option modelling

compared to the previous Local Plan scenario modelling.

Beccles – Category 2 Junctions 6.7.3. The following junctions are shown to reach a V/C of 90-99% in both peaks in the Preferred Option and were

previously flagged in the Local Plan scenario modelling.

A146 Norwich Road / Loddon Road (node 2851) A146 Norwich Road / A143 Yarmouth Road (node 2855)

Beccles – Category 3 Junctions 6.7.4. The following junctions were shown to have congestion issues in the previous Local Plan scenario modelling

but no longer show issues in the Preferred Option. These changes have occurred due to the updated base year model validation which has been undertaken in Beccles.

A145 / Ashman’s Road / Frederick’s Road (node 2820) A145 Blyburgate / A145 Peddars Lane (node 2823) Gosford Road / Grove Road (node 2840) George Westwood Way / Common Lane N (node 2845)

BECCLES JUNCTION ANALYSIS SUMMARY 6.7.5. In the Preferred Option, Beccles no longer shows capacity problems within the town itself. Two junctions on

the A146 in the vicinity of Beccles are shown to be close to capacity.

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6.8 RURAL A12 – JUNCTIONS WITH APPROACHES NEAR / OVER CAPACITY 6.8.1. Figure 9 shows the junctions in rural locations along the A12 by V/C type

Figure 9 - Rural A12 – Junctions with approaches over / near capacity

6.8.2. The rural junctions around the A12 which are shown to have capacity issues in the Preferred Option are shown to be the same as those highlighted in the Local Plan scenario modelling.

6.8.3. The following junction is now shown to reach a V/C over 100% in the both peaks, having been over capacity in the AM peak only in the Local Plan scenario modelling.

A12 at Wrentham (node 3228)

6.8.4. The following junction are shown to reach a V/C over 100% in the AM peak only but within capacity in the PM peak:

A12 / A145 west of Southwold / Reydon (node 3328)

RURAL JUNCTION ANALYSIS SUMMARY 6.8.5. Both of the junctions in rural areas along the A12 which return high V/C values operate within capacity in the

2016 base year. The previous Local Plan scenario modelling determined the issues at these locations were not isolated to specifically modelled developments but was a function of the general increase in traffic. As previously highlighted, it is not feasible to include every local road within the SCTM; these junctions may be showing stress given the level of network detail which is included in the rural areas in Waveney. Further analysis would be required to provide more certainty as to whether these junctions would show pressure in the future.

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6.9 BLOODMOOR ROUNDABOUT CAPACITY ASSESSMENT SATURN MODEL VOLUME / CAPACITY ANALYSIS

6.9.1. The Bloodmoor Roundabout was highlighted as being over capacity (V/C over 100%) for multiple arms in the previous Local Plan scenario modelling. This continues to be the case in the Preferred Option. The following arm of the junction is over capacity in both the AM and PM peak:

Bloodmoor Road

6.9.2. The following approaches are shown to be over capacity in the PM peak (V/C over 100%), and close to capacity in the AM peak (V/C 90-99%)

A12 Bloodmoor Road Ribblesdale

6.9.3. The following approach is shown to be over capacity in the AM peak (V/C over 100%), but within capacity in the PM peak:

Castleton Avenue

6.9.4. The following approaches are shown to be over capacity in the PM peak (V/C over 100%), but within capacity in the AM peak:

A12 Tom Crisp Way Stradbroke Road

Figure 10 - Bloodmoor Roundabout

6.9.5. Given all arms of the Bloodmoor roundabout show capacity problems in at least one of the peak hours modelled, more detailed junction modelling and potential mitigation was tested to ascertain whether the congestion at this location could be mitigated.

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FLOW ROUND ANALYSIS 6.9.6. Flow round analysis was undertaken to further investigate the congestion issues at the Bloodmoor

Roundabout and to test potential mitigation. SCC carried out some initial analysis of mitigation and have proposed changing the A12 Bloodmoor Road and Bloodmoor Road exits from one to two lanes. The analysis was carried out for the following scenarios both for the current roundabout configuration and for the mitigation proposed by SCC:

2015; utilised a traffic turning count survey of the junction 2016 SCTM base year model 2036 SCTM Preferred Option model

6.9.7. In general, it is expected that the maximum opposed flow (the sum of the largest entry lane flow and the largest circulatory flow) that could be typically accommodated with spare capacity would be around 1,500 vehicles per hour at a signalled roundabout, and around 1,300 vehicles at a priority controlled roundabout. Flows of greater than 1000 vehicles in a single uncontrolled circulatory lane can also lead to problems due to limited gap time for traffic at the approaches to a roundabout. It should be noted that flows above this can typically be accommodated but more detailed junction modelling would be required to confirm.

6.9.8. Table 17 shows the conflicting flows for the existing Bloodmoor Roundabout layout. This emphasises the issues at the Bloodmoor Roundabout, which by 2036 has multiple arms with high conflicting flows in both the AM and PM peak. Red cells indicate conflicting flows of 1500 vehicles or greater which would exceed typical signalised roundabout capacities. Orange cells indicate flows of between 1300 and 1500 vehicles which would exceed typical priority controlled roundabout capacities.

Table 17 – Existing Bloodmoor Roundabout layout conflicting flows by modelled scenario Conflicting Flow:

Existing

2015 2016 2036

AM PM AM PM AM PM

Bloodmoor Rd 1488 1101 1613 1262 1779 1668

Tom Crisp Way 1183 1290 1286 1649 1639 2013

Stradbroke Road 1117 1141 1141 1197 1544 1311

A12 Bloodmoor Road 1096 1732 1117 1781 1461 1836

Ribblesdale 1146 1414 1161 1470 1449 1471

Castleton Avenue 987 1014 1009 1093 1198 1090

6.9.9. Table 18 shows the conflicting flows for the proposed Bloodmoor Roundabout layout. This highlights the

suggested mitigation still leads to high conflicting flows in the SCTM 2016 PM assignment at Stradbroke Road and the A12 Bloodmoor Road. For the 2036 there are multiple approaches in the PM where the conflicting flow is high, with Castleton Avenue also becoming an issue in the SCTM 2036 AM assignment.

Table 18 – Proposed Bloodmoor Roundabout layout conflicting flows by modelled scenario Conflicting Flow:

Proposed

2015 2016 2036

AM PM AM PM AM PM

Bloodmoor Rd 1089 919 1122 966 1272 1241

Tom Crisp Way 812 1092 895 1355 1177 1680

Stradbroke Road 1051 1377 1062 1509 1326 1644

A12 Bloodmoor Road 915 1436 952 1510 1380 1804

Ribblesdale 1043 1144 1083 1252 1319 1503

Castleton Avenue 1082 954 1134 1031 1538 1202

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6.9.10. Table 19 presents the change in conflicting flow as a result of the proposed mitigation at the Bloodmoor Roundabout.

Table 19 – Change in conflicting flow between Proposed and Existing Bloodmoor Roundabout layout

Difference 2015 2016 2036

AM PM AM PM AM PM

Bloodmoor Rd -399 -182 -491 -296 -507 -427

Tom Crisp Way -371 -198 -391 -294 -462 -333

Stradbroke Road -66 236 -79 312 -218 333

A12 Bloodmoor Road -181 -296 -165 -271 -81 -32

Ribblesdale -103 -270 -78 -218 -130 32

Castleton Avenue 95 -60 125 -62 340 112

6.9.11. The Flow round analysis highlights that changing the two Bloodmoor Road exits from one to two lanes would improve the flow balance around the roundabout, which may offer more gaps for vehicles entering the roundabout. However, the changed layout would increase the maximum opposed flow at Stradbroke Road (PM peak) and Castleton Avenue (AM peak) – the magnitude of these opposed flows suggests that this may cause capacity problems at these approaches.

6.9.12. Additionally, the Flow round analysis still highlights that there would be circulatory lanes with flows of more than 1,000 vehicles per hour, and opposed flows in excess of 1,500 vehicles per hour, which will reduce the availability of gaps. It is therefore unlikely that the improvement would fully mitigate the problems at the roundabout. This could potentially be mitigated with signalisation of the roundabout and revised lane markings on the circulatory carriageway.

6.9.13. It is recommended that:

the potential for adding an additional exit lane at the Castleton Avenue exit be explored that the possibility of signalising some nodes be considered; that the possibility of adding additional circulatory lanes be explored.

6.9.14. Appendix F-1 provides output from the Flow round analysis for the existing Bloodmoor Roundabout layout. Appendix F-2 provides outputs from the Flow round analysis for the proposed layout of the Bloodmoor Roundabout.

6.9.15. It is considered for the purposes of the Waveney Local Plan there is a mitigation solution at Bloodmoor Roundabout which can be delivered to accommodate the future housing growth proposed provided contributions are made by developers for local developments which come forward and are shown to have a material impact on the traffic flows through this junction.

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7 CONCLUSIONS

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WAVENEY LOCAL PLAN WSP Project No.: 70029464 | Our Ref No.: REPORT NO 002 Public March 2018 Suffolk County Council Page 43 of 44

7 CONCLUSIONS

7.1 SUMMARY 7.1.1. The SCTM has been used to carry out an assessment of proposed levels of development detailed within the

emerging Waveney Local Plan for a forecast year of 2036. An increase of 9,136 houses and 3,836 jobs have been modelled within the Preferred Scenario for Waveney.

7.1.2. The level of traffic included in the forecast modelling represent a substantial increase from the 2016 base year, increasing traffic levels by between 30-31% in the 2036 forecast assignments.

7.1.3. Junctions within Waveney have been analysed in terms of the Volume / Capacity (V/C) ratio, with the worst performing arm of a junction used to highlight locations at which congestion is likely to occur in 2036. Analysis of junction V/C has been split between South Lowestoft, North Lowestoft, Beccles and the A12.

7.1.4. Bungay, Halesworth, Southwold and Reydon are all shown to have junctions which operate within capacity in both the AM and PM peak in 2036 across all scenarios. The modelling detailed in this report shows there are no significant congestion issues at these locations as a result of the projected growth in traffic and distribution of development in Waveney.

7.1.5. North Lowestoft shows the highest numbers of junctions indicating congestion issues, though a number of locations in South Lowestoft also show congestion issues. The Bloodmoor Roundabout is shown to have multiple approaches over capacity in both the AM peak and PM peak.

7.2 MITIGATION 7.2.1. Mitigation at Bloodmoor Roundabout has been tested involving two lane exits at the A12 Bloodmoor Road and

Bloodmoor road arms. This proposed mitigation has been testing using Flow round analysis. The results of this analysis suggest this intervention still leads to large conflicting flows on the roundabout which would lead to potential delays. Further potential options for the mitigation at this roundabout have been proposed, it is considered the mitigation at this location can be delivered through revised lane markings and partial signalisation but require additional detailed modelling to confirm the design.

7.2.2. The modelling highlights other locations which show congestion in 2036. It is recommended more detailed modelling and/or junction modelling is carried out to determine how significant the congestion is which has been highlighted at the specific locations within this report.

7.3 AREAS FOR FURTHER STUDY 7.3.1. The SCTM will be updated in future with the local plan assumptions for neighbouring authorities. Due to the

countywide study area it will enable joint planning with neighbouring authorities.

7.3.2. It is therefore recommended that this assessment is updated once local plan assessments for neighbouring authorities have been carried out to confirm the extent of any mitigation required. The impact of specific local plan development sites could also be assessed within the model to identify those areas of mitigation that will be required by developers to mitigate their site impacts.

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Appendix A FORECAST DEVELOPMENTS

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Site Code Location Easting (X) Northing (Y) Primary Source Policy Description (All major land uses) Dwellings Total SCTM Zone

LOW3 DC/15/4547/FUL Town Hall, offices and car parks, Mariners Street, Lowestoft 655074 293881 SSA LOW3 8 764LOW4 DC/14/2322/FUL Council offices, Clapham Road, Lowestoft 654799 293246 SSA LOW4 9 562

LOW6 Neeves Pit, Normanston Drive, Lowestoft 652823 293643 SSA LOW6 Housing (retirement lodges) 49 582LOW7 Gunton Park, off Old Lane, Lowestoft 653527 296466 SSA LOW7 Housing 60 408LOW9 Monckton Avenue Nursery, Lowestoft 653030 293819 SSA LOW9 Housing 45 419BEC2 Land off Gresham Road, Beccles 642466 290512 SSA BEC2 28 550BEC3 Land at Cucumber Lane / Oak Lane, Beccles 643028 288809 SSA BEC3 Housing 20 457

BUN1 DC/14/4193/OUT

Land west of A144, St John's Road, Bungay 634403 288607 SSA BUN1 Outline Application with all matters reserved apart from access for up to 150 new dwellings (including affordable housing), associated infrastructure, open space and up to 3ha of employment land (comprising uses within use class B1 (including starter units) and use class B2)

150 470

BUN2 Telephone Exchange, Lower Olland Street 633814 289432 SSA BUN2 8 818BUN3 Community Centre, Upper Olland Street, Bungay 633769 289321 SSA BUN3 Housing 8 818HAL3 Dairy Hill Playing Fields, Halesworth 639129 277949 SSA HAL3 50 811HAL4 Dairy Farm, Saxons Way, Halesworth 638766 277278 SSA HAL4 40 809

SSP3Kirkley Waterfront and Sustainable Urban Neighbourhood, Lowestoft

653233 292651 AAP SSP3 Approx 9.8ha remaining of 12 ha of reconfigured employment land comprising: Predominantly B1 office floorspace, research and development and workshop space in the area surrounding Riverside Road and adjacent to residential areas

157 589

SSP3Kirkley Waterfront and Sustainable Urban Neighbourhood, Lowestoft

653233 292651 AAP SSP3 Approx 9.8ha remaining of 12 ha of reconfigured employment land comprising: Predominantly B1 office floorspace, research and development and workshop space in the area surrounding Riverside Road and adjacent to residential areas

83 431

SSP3Kirkley Waterfront and Sustainable Urban Neighbourhood, Lowestoft

653233 292651 AAP SSP3 Approx 9.8ha remaining of 12 ha of reconfigured employment land comprising: Predominantly B1 office floorspace, research and development and workshop space in the area surrounding Riverside Road and adjacent to residential areas

365 856

SSP3Kirkley Waterfront and Sustainable Urban Neighbourhood, Lowestoft

653233 292651 AAP SSP3 Approx 9.8ha remaining of 12 ha of reconfigured employment land comprising: Predominantly B1 office floorspace, research and development and workshop space in the area surrounding Riverside Road and adjacent to residential areas

522 857

SSP3Kirkley Waterfront and Sustainable Urban Neighbourhood, Lowestoft

653233 292651 AAP SSP3 Approx 9.8ha remaining of 12 ha of reconfigured employment land comprising: Predominantly B1 office floorspace, research and development and workshop space in the area surrounding Riverside Road and adjacent to residential areas

209 858

SSP3Kirkley Waterfront and Sustainable Urban Neighbourhood, Lowestoft

653233 292651 AAP SSP3 Approx 9.8ha remaining of 12 ha of reconfigured employment land comprising: Predominantly B1 office floorspace, research and development and workshop space in the area surrounding Riverside Road and adjacent to residential areas

104 859

SSP5

Kirkley Rise, Lowestoft 654227 292286 AAP SSP5 All land identified for employment use in the AAP on this site is currently in use. Development of Horn Hill frontage for employment-led mixed uses; Residential/employment in sites adjacent to Kirkley Rise/Horn Hill; Employment will be retained within existing sites

41 441

SSP6 Western End of Lake Lothing, Lowestoft 652280 292586 AAP SSP6 Waterfront tourism; Small-scale residential development of 57 homes; Employment, with a focus on marine activities

57 431

SSP7 DC/15/3748/FUL Oswald's Boatyard, Lowestoft 652206 292826 AAP SSP7 80 flats; replacement library; A3 coffee shop 80 583

SSP8 DC/15/4311/FUL The Scrores, Lowestoft 655217 293816 AAP SSP8 Small scale residential and employment development will be supported in the "Scores" area east of the historic High Street

30 760

DC/01/0977/OUT DC/14/1755/ARM DC/14/2515/ARM DC/15/2953/ARM

Woods Meadow, Oulton 652555 294796 PP Historic allocation

Historic allocation - mixed use development comprising of residential (800 dwellings), neighbourhood shopping centre, community hall, primary school, play areas and country park

556 865

DC/01/0977/OUT DC/14/1755/ARM DC/14/2515/ARM DC/15/2953/ARM

Woods Meadow, Oulton 652555 294796 PP Historic allocation

Historic allocation - mixed use development comprising of residential (800 dwellings), neighbourhood shopping centre, community hall, primary school, play areas and country park

244 866

DC/86/0517/OUT Dunston, Oulton 652173 294874 PP Historic allocation

Historic allocation - approximatley 50 dwellings can be accommodated on remaining land

50 568

DC/96/0058/OUT Carlton Hall Farm, Carlton Colville 651077 290719 PP Historic allocation

Historic allocation - approximatley 124 dwellings can be accommodated on remaining land

124 639

DC/05/0540/FUL Hillside Garage Hillside Road East Bungay NR35 1RX 634356 289064 PP Windfall Housing 10 468DC/14/2252/FUL Carlton Hall Chapel Road Carlton Colville NR33 8AT 650943 290294 PP Windfall Housing (sheltered housing) 33 782

DC/14/2046/OUT Land at Fairview Road and Norwich Road Halesworth 639219 278526 PP Windfall Demolition of Existing Workshop and Construction of 22 no. dwellings and 1 no. B1 Commercial Unit and associated works

22 477

DC/13/0383/FUL Land at Lodge Road Holton [IP19 8RZ] 640107 277905 PP Windfall Housing 11 812DC/12/1105/FUL Land off Heritage Green Kessingland NR33 7UP 652229 286964 PP Windfall Housing 30 465DC/13/2169/FUL Land adjacent The Nordalls Kessingland 652998 286393 PP Windfall Housing 23 463

DC/02/0878/FULOulton Broad Caravan Site Saltwater Way Lowestoft 652131 292582 PP Historic

allocationHighways works keep planning permission live - Construction of 8 terraced houses, 16 flats, upto 5 shop units, 31 sheltered housing units and a wardens flat and provision of car parking

25 431

DC/11/0264/FUL Plots 1-11 Rodber Way Lowestoft 653366 295684 PP Windfall Housing 11 416

DC/13/0649/OUT Land off Foxborough Road Lowestoft 653339 294844 PP Historic allocation

Housing 50 420

DC/13/3638/FUL Longs Dairy St Margarets Road Lowestoft NR32 4HU 654365 294130 PP Windfall Housing (sheltered housing) 17 413DC/14/2524/ARM Phase 4 land at Foxborough Road Lowestoft 653383 295009 PP Windfall Housing 10 420DC/15/0417/FUL Tyndale Press, Wollaston Road Lowestoft 654591 293263 PP Windfall Housing 15 587

DC/03/0366/ARM Phase 3 Park Meadows Oulton 652935 295209 PP Historic allocation

Housing 119 586

DC/06/0271/FUL Service Station Site Mights Road Southwold 650499 276728 PP Windfall Housing 13 814

DC/15/0213/FUL Former Worlingham Primary School, Rectory Road Worlingham 644564 289784 PP Windfall 15 dwellings and community centre [site of former primary school] 15 549

DC/15/0712/FUL Former Meadowlands, Walker Gardens Wrentham 649685 282575 PP Windfall Housing 24 475DC/15/3221/OUT Land rear of 34-48 Old Station Road Halesworth 638469 278323 PP Windfall Housing 15 809

Total 3540

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Site Number Policy Number Location Easting (X) Northing (Y) Location Details Dwellings Total SCTM Zone

229 WLP2.12

North Lowestoft Garden Village 653192.2477 297189.6528 Access on to A47 - details yet to be

confirmed. Potential for access on to Corton

Long Lane

1400 855

223 WLP2.13 Land north of Union Lane 652501.6944 295433.1059 Access on to Parkhill (B1375) 120 417

224 WLP2.14 Land between Hall Lane and Union Lane 652404.5041 295033.9709 Access on to Hall Lane (B1074) 200 417

225 WLP2.15 Land south of The Street, Carlton Colville/Gisleham 651501.6874 289497.0753 Access on to the Street (2 points) 850 449

232 WLP2.3 Peto Square 654674.3851 292827.8439 #N/A 0 564

239a WLP3.1

Beccles and Worlingham Garden Suburb 643248.7024 288741.7813 Access on to Southern Relief Road (2 points one eastern side of

allocation one western side as per masterplan

on page 89 of First Draft Local Plan)

625 864

239b WLP3.1

Beccles and Worlingham Garden Suburb 643248.7024 288741.7813 Access on to Southern Relief Road (2 points one eastern side of

allocation one western side as per masterplan

on page 89 of First Draft Local Plan)

625 911

241 WLP3.2 Land west of London Road 641983.2562 288948.0081 Access on to London Road (A145) 250 546

226 WLP4.1 Halesworth/Holton Healthy Neighbourhood 639297.2863 278055.3705 Access on to Harrisons Lane 215 861

203 WLP4.2

Land adjacent to Chediston Street 638005.2964 277186.398 Access on to Chediston Street (B1123) at

Roman Way junction 200 862

140 WLP4.3 Site to the rear of 51 Old Station Road, Halesworth (1) 638590.2848 278318.7518 Access from Old Station Road 10 809

230 WLP4.4 Lodge Road, Holton 640059.6919 277953.5309 Access from Lodge Road 15 812

222 WLP5.1 Land at St Johns Road, Bungay, Suffolk 634566.7182 288826.9541 Access from St Johns Road (A144) 85 470

206 WLP5.2 Land to the rear of Bungay High School 634316.5233 288313.4384 Access from St Johns Road (A144) 220 470

221 WLP6.1Land to the west of Copperwheat Avenue, Reydon 649492.8525 277619.0193 Access from

Copperwheat Avenue and the Crescents

250 863

120 WLP7.10 Land west of London Road, Wrentham 649394.4519 282381.9879 Access from London Road (A12) 70 475

227 WLP7.11 Land on the south side of Southwold Road, Brampton 643767.6446 282075.4216 Access from Southwold Road 50 913

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Site Number Policy Number Location Easting (X) Northing (Y) Location Details Dwellings Total SCTM Zone

52 WLP7.12 Land at Toodley Farm, Station Road, Brampton 641091.31 283423.7019 Access from Station Road 8 475

216 WLP7.13 Land south of Hogg Lane, Ilketshall St Lawrence 638459.1693 283084.8877 Access from Hogg Lane 25 471

194 WLP7.14 Land between The Street and The Village Green, Lound 650529.7774 299028.3591 Access from The Street 10 410

212 WLP7.15 Land south of Chapel Road, Mutford 649361.4272 288166.4945 Access from Chapel Road 8 7

213 WLP7.16 Land north of Chapel Road, Mutford 649067.4869 288340.6524 Access from Chapel Road 6 7

196 WLP7.17 School Road, Ringsfield 640632.8587 287237.5498 Access from School Road 30 912

197 WLP7.18 Land Adjacent Mill Bungalow, Rumburgh 634705.1309 281286.852 Access from Mill Road 12 471

64 WLP7.19 Land east of Woodfield Close, Willingham St Mary 643675.0179 284815.2487 Access from Sotterley Road 10 458

57 WLP7.2 Land between The Street and A146, Barnby 647308.6899 289422.4947 Access from The Street 50 460

228 WLP7.21 Land at Lock's Road, Westhall 641066.5261 281774.6329 Access from Locks Road 28 476

49 WLP7.3 Land at The Homestead, Lound Road, Blundeston 650982.5107 297758.9959 Access from Lound Road 16 410

129 WLP7.4Old horticultural nursery to the north of Oakleigh, Market Lane, Blundeston

651740.4118 297824.437 Access from Pickwick Drive and the Pippins

(25 and 20 split)45 410

47 WLP7.5 Land at the Former Garage, Somerleyton 648399.3839 297316.4376 Access from The Street 10 411

127 WLP7.6 Mill Farm Field, Somerleyton 648354.9147 297004.9283 Access from Station Road 30 411

244 WLP7.7 Land north of Elms Lane 646920.1034 279434.6724 Access from Elms Lane 16 476

218 WLP7.8 Land north of Wangford Road, Wangford 646970.9281 278893.0953 Access from Wangford Road 22 476

215 WLP7.9 Land north of Chapel Road, Wrentham 649636.4929 282885.7282 Access from Chapel Road (B1127) 85 475

Total 5596

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Appendix B TRIP GENERATION

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Site Code Location Dwellings Total SCTM Zone AM - Origin Trips AM - Dest Trips PM - Origin

Trips PM - Dest Trips

LOW3 DC/15/4547/FUL Town Hall, offices and car parks, Mariners Street, Lowestoft 8 764 1 3 2 2LOW4 DC/14/2322/FUL Council offices, Clapham Road, Lowestoft 9 562 1 3 3 2

LOW6 Neeves Pit, Normanston Drive, Lowestoft 49 582 7 17 15 10LOW7 Gunton Park, off Old Lane, Lowestoft 60 408 9 21 18 12LOW9 Monckton Avenue Nursery, Lowestoft 45 419 6 15 14 9BEC2 Land off Gresham Road, Beccles 28 550 4 10 9 5BEC3 Land at Cucumber Lane / Oak Lane, Beccles 20 457 3 7 6 4

BUN1 DC/14/4193/OUT Land west of A144, St John's Road, Bungay 150 470 21 52 46 29BUN2 Telephone Exchange, Lower Olland Street 8 818 1 3 2 2BUN3 Community Centre, Upper Olland Street, Bungay 8 818 1 3 2 2HAL3 Dairy Hill Playing Fields, Halesworth 50 811 7 17 15 10HAL4 Dairy Farm, Saxons Way, Halesworth 40 809 6 14 12 8

SSP3 Kirkley Waterfront and Sustainable Urban Neighbourhood, Lowestoft

157 589 22 54 48 30

SSP3 Kirkley Waterfront and Sustainable Urban Neighbourhood, Lowestoft

83 431 12 29 25 16

SSP3 Kirkley Waterfront and Sustainable Urban Neighbourhood, Lowestoft

365 856 52 126 112 71

SSP3 Kirkley Waterfront and Sustainable Urban Neighbourhood, Lowestoft

522 857 75 180 160 101

SSP3 Kirkley Waterfront and Sustainable Urban Neighbourhood, Lowestoft

209 858 30 72 64 41

SSP3 Kirkley Waterfront and Sustainable Urban Neighbourhood, Lowestoft

104 859 15 36 32 20

SSP5 Kirkley Rise, Lowestoft 41 441 6 14 13 8SSP6 Western End of Lake Lothing, Lowestoft 57 431 8 20 17 11

SSP7 DC/15/3748/FUL Oswald's Boatyard, Lowestoft 80 583 11 28 24 16SSP8 DC/15/4311/FUL The Scrores, Lowestoft 30 760 4 10 9 6

DC/01/0977/OUT DC/14/1755/ARM DC/14/2515/ARM DC/15/2953/ARM

Woods Meadow, Oulton 556 865 80 191 170 108

DC/01/0977/OUT DC/14/1755/ARM DC/14/2515/ARM DC/15/2953/ARM

Woods Meadow, Oulton 244 866 35 84 75 47

DC/86/0517/OUT Dunston, Oulton 50 568 7 17 15 10DC/96/0058/OUT Carlton Hall Farm, Carlton Colville 124 639 18 43 38 24DC/05/0540/FUL Hillside Garage Hillside Road East Bungay NR35 1RX 10 468 1 3 3 2DC/14/2252/FUL Carlton Hall Chapel Road Carlton Colville NR33 8AT 33 782 5 11 10 6DC/14/2046/OUT Land at Fairview Road and Norwich Road Halesworth 22 477 3 8 7 4DC/13/0383/FUL Land at Lodge Road Holton [IP19 8RZ] 11 812 2 4 3 2DC/12/1105/FUL Land off Heritage Green Kessingland NR33 7UP 30 465 4 10 9 6DC/13/2169/FUL Land adjacent The Nordalls Kessingland 23 463 3 8 7 4DC/02/0878/FUL Oulton Broad Caravan Site Saltwater Way Lowestoft 25 431 4 9 8 5DC/11/0264/FUL Plots 1-11 Rodber Way Lowestoft 11 416 2 4 3 2DC/13/0649/OUT Land off Foxborough Road Lowestoft 50 420 7 17 15 10DC/13/3638/FUL Longs Dairy St Margarets Road Lowestoft NR32 4HU 17 413 2 6 5 3DC/14/2524/ARM Phase 4 land at Foxborough Road Lowestoft 10 420 1 3 3 2DC/15/0417/FUL Tyndale Press, Wollaston Road Lowestoft 15 587 2 5 5 3DC/03/0366/ARM Phase 3 Park Meadows Oulton 119 586 17 41 36 23DC/06/0271/FUL Service Station Site Mights Road Southwold 13 814 2 4 4 3

DC/15/0213/FUL Former Worlingham Primary School, Rectory Road Worlingham 15 549 2 5 5 3

DC/15/0712/FUL Former Meadowlands, Walker Gardens Wrentham 24 475 3 8 7 5DC/15/3221/OUT Land rear of 34-48 Old Station Road Halesworth 15 809 2 5 5 3

Total 3540 507 1219 1083 687

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Site Number Policy Number Location Dwellings Total SCTM Zone AM - Origin Trips

AM - Dest Trips

PM - Origin Trips

PM - Dest Trips

229 WLP2.12 North Lowestoft Garden Village 1400 855 482 200 272 428223 WLP2.13 Land north of Union Lane 120 417 41 17 23 37224 WLP2.14 Land between Hall Lane and Union Lane 200 417 69 29 39 61225 WLP2.15 Land south of The Street, Carlton Colville/Gisleham 850 449 293 122 165 260232 WLP2.3 Peto Square 0 564 0 0 0 0239a WLP3.1 Beccles and Worlingham Garden Suburb 625 864 215 89 121 191239b WLP3.1 Beccles and Worlingham Garden Suburb 625 911 215 89 121 191241 WLP3.2 Land west of London Road 250 546 86 36 48 77226 WLP4.1 Halesworth/Holton Healthy Neighbourhood 215 861 74 31 42 66203 WLP4.2 Land adjacent to Chediston Street 200 862 69 29 39 61140 WLP4.3 Site to the rear of 51 Old Station Road, Halesworth (1) 10 809 3 1 2 3230 WLP4.4 Lodge Road, Holton 15 812 5 2 3 5222 WLP5.1 Land at St Johns Road, Bungay, Suffolk 85 470 29 12 16 26206 WLP5.2 Land to the rear of Bungay High School 220 470 76 31 43 67221 WLP6.1 Land to the west of Copperwheat Avenue, Reydon 250 863 86 36 48 77120 WLP7.10 Land west of London Road, Wrentham 70 475 24 10 14 21227 WLP7.11 Land on the south side of Southwold Road, Brampton 50 913 17 7 10 1552 WLP7.12 Land at Toodley Farm, Station Road, Brampton 8 475 3 1 2 2216 WLP7.13 Land south of Hogg Lane, Ilketshall St Lawrence 25 471 9 4 5 8194 WLP7.14 Land between The Street and The Village Green, Lound 10 410 3 1 2 3212 WLP7.15 Land south of Chapel Road, Mutford 8 7 3 1 2 2213 WLP7.16 Land north of Chapel Road, Mutford 6 7 2 1 1 2196 WLP7.17 School Road, Ringsfield 30 912 10 4 6 9197 WLP7.18 Land Adjacent Mill Bungalow, Rumburgh 12 471 4 2 2 464 WLP7.19 Land east of Woodfield Close, Willingham St Mary 10 458 3 1 2 357 WLP7.2 Land between The Street and A146, Barnby 50 460 17 7 10 15228 WLP7.21 Land at Lock's Road, Westhall 28 476 10 4 5 949 WLP7.3 Land at The Homestead, Lound Road, Blundeston 16 410 6 2 3 5

129 WLP7.4 Old horticultural nursery to the north of Oakleigh, Market Lane, Blundeston 45 410 15 6 9 14

47 WLP7.5 Land at the Former Garage, Somerleyton 10 411 3 1 2 3127 WLP7.6 Mill Farm Field, Somerleyton 30 411 10 4 6 9244 WLP7.7 Land north of Elms Lane 16 476 6 2 3 5218 WLP7.8 Land north of Wangford Road, Wangford 22 476 8 3 4 7215 WLP7.9 Land north of Chapel Road, Wrentham 85 475 29 12 16 26

Total 5596 1927 801 1085 1713

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Appendix C MATRIX TOTALS

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Appendix C.1 MATRICES WITH TEMPRO 7.2 & NTM

GROWTH

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WSP WAVENEY LOCAL PLAN February 2018 Project No.: 70029464 | Our Ref No.: REPORT NO 002 Draft Suffolk County Council

Table C-1 2036 Preferred Option matrix compared to 2016 Base Year matrix – AM and PM peak

User Class Base Year

(AM 2016)

Preferred Option (AM

2036)

Increase

(AM 2016 To 2036)

Base Year

(PM 2016)

Preferred Option (PM

2036)

Increase

(PM 2016 To 2036)

UC1 – Car 50472.43 60558.33 20.0% 49389.75 58999.56 19.5%

UC2 – Car 6804.61 8719.18 28.1% 5867.19 7619.52 29.9%

UC3 – Car 57981.39 68297.7 17.8% 64484.48 76534.13 18.7%

UC4 – LGV 12527.76 19615.55 56.6% 10091.38 15800.74 56.6%

UC5 – HGV 8659.47 10858.87 25.4% 5912.42 7414.11 25.4%

Total 136446 168050 23% 135745 166368 23%

Table C-2 2036 Preferred Option matrix comparisons – AM peak

User Class Base Year

(AM 2016)

Background Growth

(AM 2016 To 2036)

Modelled Development

Trips (AM 2036)

Final Matrix Total

(AM 2036)

Difference PO vs BY

(AM 2036)

UC1 – Car 50472.4 58366.0 2192.3 60558.3 10086

UC2 – Car 6804.6 7869.6 849.6 8719.2 1915

UC3 – Car 57981.4 66885.9 1411.8 68297.7 10316

UC4 – LGV 12527.8 19615.6 0.0 19615.6 7088

UC5 – HGV 8659.5 10858.9 0.0 10858.9 2199

Total 136446 163596 4454 168050 31604

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WAVENEY LOCAL PLAN WSP Project No.: 70029464 | Our Ref No.: REPORT NO 002 Draft February 2018 Suffolk County Council

Table C-3 2036 Preferred Option matrix comparisons – PM peak

User Class Base Year

(PM 2016)

Background Growth

(PM 2016 To 2036)

Modelled Development

Trips (PM 2036)

Final Matrix Total

(PM 2036)

Difference PO vs BY

(PM 2036)

UC1 – Car 49389.8 57208.5 1791.0 58999.6 9610

UC2 – Car 5867.2 6793.3 826.2 7619.5 1752

UC3 – Car 64484.5 74583.3 1950.8 76534.1 12050

UC4 – LGV 10091.4 15800.7 0.0 15800.7 5709

UC5 – HGV 5912.4 7414.1 0.0 7414.1 1502

Total 135745 161800 4568 166368 30623

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Appendix C.2 FINAL MATRICES

Page 71: Suffolk County Council · 2018-03-29 · Suffolk County Council WAVENEY LOCAL PLAN Suffolk County Transport Model (SCTM) – Preferred Option Traffic Forecasting Report TYPE OF DOCUMENT

WSP WAVENEY LOCAL PLAN February 2018 Project No.: 70029464 | Our Ref No.: REPORT NO 002 Draft Suffolk County Council

Table C-4 2036 Preferred Option matrix compared to 2016 Base Year matrix – AM and PM peak

User Class Base Year

(AM 2016)

Preferred Option With F & I Adj (AM

2036)

Increase

(AM 2036)

Base Year

(PM 2016)

Preferred Option With F & I Adj (PM

2036)

Increase

(PM 2036)

UC1 – Car 50472.4 65100.2 29.0% 49389.8 63424.5 28.4%

UC2 – Car 6804.6 9373.1 37.7% 5867.2 8191.0 39.6%

UC3 – Car 57981.4 73420.0 26.6% 64484.5 82274.2 27.6%

UC4 – LGV 12527.8 19615.6 56.6% 10091.4 15800.7 56.6%

UC5 – HGV 8659.5 10858.9 25.4% 5912.4 7414.1 25.4%

Total 136446 178368 31% 135745 177105 30%

Table C-5 2036 Preferred Option matrix with and without fuel and income factor adjustments – AM & PM peak

User Class Preferred Option

Without F & I Adj (AM 2036)

Preferred Option With F & I Adj (AM

2036)

Increase

(AM 2036)

Preferred Option

Without F & I Adj (PM 2036)

Preferred Option With F & I Adj (PM

2036)

Increase

(PM 2036)

UC1 – Car 60558.33 65100.2 7.50% 58999.56 63424.5 7.50%

UC2 – Car 8719.18 9373.1 7.50% 7619.52 8191.0 7.50%

UC3 – Car 68297.7 73420.0 7.50% 76534.13 82274.2 7.50%

UC4 – LGV 19615.55 19615.6 0.00% 15800.74 15800.7 0.00%

UC5 – HGV 10858.87 10858.9 0.00% 7414.11 7414.1 0.00%

Total 168050 178368 6.14% 166368 177105 6.45%

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Appendix D GENERALISED COSTS

Page 73: Suffolk County Council · 2018-03-29 · Suffolk County Council WAVENEY LOCAL PLAN Suffolk County Transport Model (SCTM) – Preferred Option Traffic Forecasting Report TYPE OF DOCUMENT

WSP WAVENEY LOCAL PLAN February 2018 Project No.: 70029464 | Our Ref No.: REPORT NO 002 Draft Suffolk County Council

Table D-1 Generalised cost parameters 2036 – Pence per Minute (PPM)

Vehicle Class AM Peak Interpeak PM Peak

Car Work 67.62 66.32 65.05

Car Commuting

19.88 19.75 19.56

Car Others 24.41 25.34 26.29

LGV 30.87 30.87 30.87

HGV 62.54 62.54 62.54

Table D-2 Generalised Cost Parameters 2031 – Pence per KM (PPK)

Vehicle Class AM Peak Interpeak PM Peak

Car Work 11.92 11.92 11.92

Car Commuting

5.17 5.17 5.17

Car Others 5.17 5.17 5.17

LGV 12.93 12.93 12.93

HGV 58.57 59.86 63.07

Page 74: Suffolk County Council · 2018-03-29 · Suffolk County Council WAVENEY LOCAL PLAN Suffolk County Transport Model (SCTM) – Preferred Option Traffic Forecasting Report TYPE OF DOCUMENT

Appendix E V/C RESULTS

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Comparison of Junction V/C by worst performing arm

Node Number Description Location Type V/C Flow V/C Flow V/C Flow1020 A12 Bloodmoor Rd / London Road Pakefield / Arbor Lane / Tower Road South Lowestoft 2 42.33 167 84.02 752 64.14 7231160 London Road South / Waterloo Road South Lowestoft 1 64.82 264 27.71 492 86.89 3321200 B1532 London Road S / Mill Road South Lowestoft 3 39.03 212 92.32 328 48.39 2472020 A146 Beccles Road / Hollow Grove Way South Lowestoft 1 28.95 160 98.86 399 101.21 9502030 A146 Bridge Road / Cottmer Road South Lowestoft 3 90.88 325 81.53 791 87.27 8472820 A145 / Ashman's Road / Frederick's Rd Beccles 1 74.53 362 86.94 393 66.12 2232823 A145 Blyburgate / A145 Peddars Lane Beccles 3 64.04 241 91.97 509 85.07 3922840 Gosford Road / Grove Road Beccles 1 24.15 120 67.41 333 44.74 1792845 George Westwood Way / Common Lane N Beccles 1 22.74 347 90.11 287 42.14 5652851 A146 Norwich Road / Loddon Road Beccles 1 67.05 304 97.49 410 95.79 3642855 A146 Norwich Road / A143 Yarmouth Road Beccles 5 67.02 989 86.57 1259 97.21 13443000 Bloodmoor Roundabout South Lowestoft 2 81.03 498 106.93 263 107.23 2323228 A12 at Wrentham Rural (at Wrentham) 1 48.62 110 104.93 156 105.26 1643328 A12 / A145 Rural (North of Blythburgh) 1 43.65 119 104.41 238 101.83 2774000 A12 Horn Hill / Mill Rd / Kirkley Rise / Asda Access South Lowestoft 2 68.28 1087 63.89 831 51.91 7504010 Waveney Drive / Durban Road / Riverside Road South Lowestoft 2 52.32 379 98.54 224 100.56 4394020 B1531 / Kirkley Run South Lowestoft 2 32.91 311 45.29 382 66.87 6564030 Victoria Road / Colville Road South Lowestoft 2 26.7 263 55.19 468 44.88 4184520 A12 / Station Road North Lowestoft 2 71.83 1431 77.26 1563 76.87 18985340 Tower Road / Cooke Road South Lowestoft 1 64.03 476 97.77 678 86.36 6425896 A1117 Bridge Road / Bridge Road (to Oulton Broad South) South Lowestoft 1 42.09 833 52.14 1029 54.73 10806010 A12 Waveney Road / A12 Station Square / Station Square North Lowestoft 3 80.24 611 90.88 692 84.51 6436020 Denmark Road / Station Square / Bevan St E North Lowestoft 1 41.37 186 23.98 165 29.32 1326070 A1144 / A12 / North Lowestoft 2 40.65 293 37.33 475 45.25 3316075 A12 / Alexandra Road North Lowestoft 1 86.27 638 21.55 853 95.65 7086080 A12 / Dukes Head / Tennyson Rd North Lowestoft 5 78.67 375 31.44 310 93.01 4296220 A12 Yarmouth Road / Holingsworth Road North Lowestoft 1 38.42 595 69.96 312 76.88 8686250 A12/ B1385 North Lowestoft 2 36.14 568 73.26 882 98.53 9606270 A12 / B1375 /Yarmouth Rd North Lowestoft 2 46.92 452 70.24 1347 71.79 5046314 A12 Tom Crisp Way / Blackheath Road South Lowestoft 3 72.87 137 97.57 137 86.92 1637040 A1117 / B1375 / Normanston Drive North Lowestoft 2 101.25 500 62.12 748 66.66 2997060 A1117 Normanston Drive / A1144 Peto Way / Fir Lane North Lowestoft 2 34.64 451 56.96 661 95.8 9177070 A1117 / B1074/ Peto Way North Lowestoft 2 30.03 380 61.24 683 92.17 9387080 A1117 Millenium Way / Grasmere Drive North Lowestoft 3 62.79 141 84 108 87.46 892

10234 A12 Yarmouth Road / A12 Foxburrow Hill / Weston Road North Lowestoft 1 37.18 674 71.94 235 69.96 113713039 Lake Lothing / Denmark Road North Lowestoft 2 0 0 73.72 652 93 897

Node Number Description Location Type V/C Flow V/C Flow V/C Flow1020 A12 Bloodmoor Rd / London Road Pakefield / Arbor Lane / Tower Road South Lowestoft 2 48.95 487 85.11 348 83.67 3881160 London Road South / Waterloo Road South Lowestoft 1 53.9 223 24.31 455 76.89 3071200 B1532 London Road S / Mill Road South Lowestoft 3 39.53 204 102.67 530 60.41 2662020 A146 Beccles Road / Hollow Grove Way South Lowestoft 1 29.88 148 102.45 210 89.12 4372030 A146 Bridge Road / Cottmer Road South Lowestoft 3 92.72 342 106.23 409 99.25 4152820 A145 / Ashman's Road / Frederick's Rd Beccles 1 67.64 274 89.74 360 76.34 2932823 A145 Blyburgate / A145 Peddars Lane Beccles 3 72.94 228 92.27 448 82.21 3032840 Gosford Road / Grove Road Beccles 1 26.55 132 91.96 236 43.88 1782845 George Westwood Way / Common Lane N Beccles 1 25.93 114 48.44 131 46.34 1512851 A146 Norwich Road / Loddon Road Beccles 1 61.74 265 91.69 314 97.69 2632855 A146 Norwich Road / A143 Yarmouth Road Beccles 5 76.24 1148 90.97 1343 90.75 11923000 Bloodmoor Roundabout South Lowestoft 2 73.75 475 109.44 144 106.47 5263228 A12 at Wrentham Rural (at Wrentham) 1 63.55 201 74.31 168 102.05 2403328 A12 / A145 Rural (North of Blythburgh) 1 44.19 196 83.66 176 68.69 1394000 A12 Horn Hill / Mill Rd / Kirkley Rise / Asda Access South Lowestoft 2 58.25 1045 79.25 376 38.89 6734010 Waveney Drive / Durban Road / Riverside Road South Lowestoft 2 67.24 387 91.72 1053 100.89 9884020 B1531 / Kirkley Run South Lowestoft 2 35.05 316 54.25 512 98.41 8104030 Victoria Road / Colville Road South Lowestoft 2 30.95 259 93.67 465 82.54 7544520 A12 / Station Road North Lowestoft 2 70.57 1515 75.29 1613 78.11 21085340 Tower Road / Cooke Road South Lowestoft 1 44.55 331 137.98 897 59.65 4445896 A1117 Bridge Road / Bridge Road (to Oulton Broad South) South Lowestoft 1 46.57 922 101.7 428 49 9706010 A12 Waveney Road / A12 Station Square / Station Square North Lowestoft 3 79.88 949 58.93 897 56.65 6706020 Denmark Road / Station Square / Bevan St E North Lowestoft 1 81.84 368 63.46 427 87.03 3926070 A1144 / A12 / North Lowestoft 2 69.93 512 46.77 492 87.93 6446075 A12 / Alexandra Road North Lowestoft 1 68.03 503 36.08 192 64.16 4756080 A12 / Dukes Head / Tennyson Rd North Lowestoft 5 50.34 240 41.25 487 52.72 2966220 A12 Yarmouth Road / Holingsworth Road North Lowestoft 1 40.84 602 92.65 364 91.72 4136250 A12/ B1385 North Lowestoft 2 46.48 666 81.47 993 82.67 10216270 A12 / B1375 /Yarmouth Rd North Lowestoft 2 60.3 1028 68.71 1234 92.29 14176314 A12 Tom Crisp Way / Blackheath Road South Lowestoft 3 64.12 96 103.98 315 97.61 2657040 A1117 / B1375 / Normanston Drive North Lowestoft 2 104.58 462 52.33 651 102.2 3367060 A1117 Normanston Drive / A1144 Peto Way / Fir Lane North Lowestoft 2 25.45 353 71.47 773 91.48 8697070 A1117 / B1074/ Peto Way North Lowestoft 2 32.5 420 50.55 501 62.12 5077080 A1117 Millenium Way / Grasmere Drive North Lowestoft 3 90.95 354 100 461 101.49 512

10234 A12 Yarmouth Road / A12 Foxburrow Hill / Weston Road North Lowestoft 1 52.25 731 93.42 164 97.33 109413039 Lake Lothing / Denmark Road North Lowestoft 2 0 0 65.77 793 92.22 936

Type Description1 100%+ both peaks2 100%+ in one peak / 90-99% in other peak3 100%+ in one peak / Less than 90% in other peak4 90-99% in both peaks5 90-99% in one peak / Less than 90% in the other peak

BYAM Peak

PM PeakBY Sce3 PrefOp

Sce3 PrefOp

Page 77: Suffolk County Council · 2018-03-29 · Suffolk County Council WAVENEY LOCAL PLAN Suffolk County Transport Model (SCTM) – Preferred Option Traffic Forecasting Report TYPE OF DOCUMENT

Appendix F FLOW ROUND ANALYSIS

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Appendix F.1 EXISTING LAYOUT

Page 80: Suffolk County Council · 2018-03-29 · Suffolk County Council WAVENEY LOCAL PLAN Suffolk County Transport Model (SCTM) – Preferred Option Traffic Forecasting Report TYPE OF DOCUMENT

2015 AM

2015 AM : 08:00 - 09:00

E1

97147,

380,

624

747

4875,

123

123

C2

23355, 21, 310

310 5763, 299, 21, 108, 62, 14, 1, 146, 91, 3, 864

864

X37 7

160,

3 0

9 ,

115 ,

17

,

678

6 78

E4

26, 1

7620

2

202

29, 1

85, 1

723

1

231

C5

147

108,

62,

14,

1,

380,

146,

91 ,

3,

952

952

4875,

123

123

X6

97233,

55, 21,

407

407

5763,

299, 21,

439

439

X726

147,

108,

62,

14, 1,

358

358

E8

48, 4

2, 73

, 115

, 42,

1

321

321

C9

176380,

146, 91,

3, 796

79629

48, 185,

75, 17,

354354

E10

25, 135, 309

469

469

299, 14, 3

316

785

X11

48, 1

76, 3

80, 1

46, 9

1, 3

844

844

C12

42, 29, 48, 73, 185, 75, 115, 17, 42, 1627 627

E13

116

0,

55,

216

216

6362

, 91

,

216

432

X14

25, 42, 29, 48144 144

C15

135, 73, 185, 75 , 309 , 115, 17, 21

930

930

299, 21 , 14, 1, 3

338

338

E16

77233, 311

311 57108, 146,

311

621

C17

160

309,

11

5,

17,

55,

21,

677

677

6329

9,

21,

62,

14,

1,

91,

3,

554

554

X181, 135, 73, 185, 75

469

469

A

B

C

D

E

F

Tom Cris

p Way

Stradbroke Rd

A12 Blo odmoo r R

d

Ribbles

dale

Castleton Avenue

Blood mo o r R

o a d

A12/ A1145 Bloodmoor Rbt

1488

1183

1117

1096

1146

987

Page 81: Suffolk County Council · 2018-03-29 · Suffolk County Council WAVENEY LOCAL PLAN Suffolk County Transport Model (SCTM) – Preferred Option Traffic Forecasting Report TYPE OF DOCUMENT

2015 PM

2015 PM : 17:00 - 18:00

E1

55135,

291,

481

731

16783,

250

250

C2

16013, 13, 1, 186

186 7452, 170, 13, 1, 96, 27, 21, 111, 53, 3, 620

620

X312

51 1

6 ,

399,

1 2

9 ,

60,

829

8 29

E4

47, 2

6230

9

309

130,

365

, 60,

155

6

556

C5

135

96,

27,

21,

291,

111,

53,

734

734

1673,

83,

253

253

X6

55160,

13, 13,

1,

241

241

7452,

170, 13,

1,

309

309

X747

135,

96,

27,

21,

326

326

E8

27, 4

9, 10

2, 12

9, 25

332

332

C9

262291,

111, 53,

717717

130167,

3, 365,

83, 60,

1, 809

809

E10

88, 131, 399

618

618

170, 21

191

809

X11

27, 2

62, 2

91, 1

11, 5

3

744

744

C12

49, 130, 167, 3, 102, 365, 83, 129, 60, 25, 11114 1114

E13

311

6,

13,

132

132

5227

, 53

,

132

264

X14

88, 49, 130, 167, 3437 437

C15

131, 102, 365, 83 , 399 , 129, 60, 13, 1

1282

1282

170, 13 , 1, 21

204

204

E16

125160,

285

285 7496, 111, 3,

285

569C

17

116

399,

12

9,

60,

13,

13,

1,

730

730

5217

0,

13,

1,

27,

21,

53,

336

336

X183, 131, 102, 365, 83

684

684

A

B

C

D

E

F

Tom Cris

p Way

Stradbroke Rd

A12 Blo odmoo r R

d

Ribbles

dale

Castleton Avenue

Blood mo o r R

o a d

A12/ A1145 Bloodmoor Rbt

1101

1290

1141

1732

1414

1014

Page 82: Suffolk County Council · 2018-03-29 · Suffolk County Council WAVENEY LOCAL PLAN Suffolk County Transport Model (SCTM) – Preferred Option Traffic Forecasting Report TYPE OF DOCUMENT

2016 AM

2016 AM : 08:00 - 09:00

E1

29135,

499,

663

765

4755,

102

102

C2

26152, 34, 347

347 4989, 387, 34, 123, 28, 19, 130, 91, 950

950

X34 1

157,

3 2

5 ,

123 ,

17

,

663

6 63

E4

38, 1

1515

3

153

42, 2

02, 1

726

1

261

C5

135

123,

28,

19,

499,

130,

91,

1025

1025

4755,

102

102

X6

29261,

52, 34,

376

376

4989,

387, 34,

559

559

X738

135,

123,

28,

19,

343

343

E8

15, 9

, 91,

123,

68

306

306

C9

115499,

130, 91,

835835

4247,

202, 55,

17, 363

363

E10

32, 106, 325

463

463

387, 19

406

869

X11

15, 1

15, 4

99, 1

30, 9

1

850

850

C12

9, 42, 47, 91, 202, 55, 123, 17, 68654 654

E13

157

52,

209

209

8928

, 91

,

209

417

X14

32, 9, 42, 47130 130

C15

106, 91, 202, 55 , 325 , 123, 17, 34

953

953

387, 34 , 19

440

440

E16

41261, 302

302 49123, 130,

302

604C

17

157

325,

12

3,

17,

52,

34,

708

708

8938

7,

34,

28,

19,

91,

648

648

X18106, 91, 202, 55

454

454

A

B

C

D

E

F

Tom Cris

p Way

Stradbroke Rd

A12 Blo odmoo r R

d

Ribbles

dale

Castleton Avenue

Blood mo o r R

o a d

A12/ A1145 Bloodmoor Rbt

1613

1286

1141

1117

1161

1009

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2016 PM

2016 PM : 17:00 - 18:00

E1

7112,

419,

538

708

12446,

170

170

C2

20236, 17, 255

255 23272, 17, 157, 15, 20, 137, 83, 724

724

X36 3

8 5,

475 ,

1 2

7,

60,

810

8 10

E4

16, 1

0612

2

122

206,

440

, 60

706

706

C5

112

157,

15,

20,

419,

137,

83,

943

943

124

46,

170

170

X6

7202,

36, 17,

262

262

23272,

17,

312

312

X716

112,

157,

15,

20,

320

320

E8

30, 2

5, 10

5, 12

7, 34

321

321

C9

106419,

137, 83,

745745

206124,

440, 46,

60, 876

876

E10

60, 79, 475

614

614

272, 20

292

906

X11

30, 1

06, 4

19, 1

37, 8

3

775

775

C12

25, 206, 124, 105, 440, 46, 127, 60, 341167 1167

E13

8536

, 12

1

121

2315

, 83

,

121

242

X14

60, 25, 206, 124415 415

C15

79, 105, 440, 46 , 475 , 127, 60, 17

1349

1349

272, 17 , 20

309

309

E16

63202, 265

265 157137,

294

559C

17

8547

5,

127,

60

, 36

, 17

, 80

080

023

272,

17

, 15

, 20

, 83

, 43

043

0

X1879, 105, 440, 46

670

670

A

B

C

D

E

F

Tom Cris

p Way

Stradbroke Rd

A12 Blo odmoo r R

d

Ribbles

dale

Castleton Avenue

Blood mo o r R

o a d

A12/ A1145 Bloodmoor Rbt

1262

1649

1197

1781

1470

1093

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2036 AM

2036 AM : 08:00 - 09:00

E1

159421,

580

641

3823,

61

61

C2

232105, 103, 51, 490

490 107592, 51, 201, 37, 13, 129, 68, 1199

1199

X34 0

108,

3 2

8 ,

142 ,

21

,

639

6 39

E4

85, 5

2661

1

611

87, 2

95, 2

140

3

403

C5

159

201,

37,

13,

421,

129,

68,

1028

1028

3823,

61

61

X6

232105,

103, 51,

490

490

107592,

51,

751

751

X785

159,

201,

37,

13,

495

495

E8

8, 19

, 129

, 142

, 102

400

400

C9

526421,

129, 68,

11441144

8738,

295, 23,

21, 464

464

E10

29, 146, 328, 103

606

606

592, 13

605

1211

X11

8, 5

26, 4

21, 1

29, 6

8

1152

1152

C12

19, 87, 38, 129, 295, 23, 142, 21, 102856 856

E13

108

105 ,

21

3

213

107

37,

68,

213

425

X14

29, 19, 87, 38173 173

C15

146, 129, 295, 23 , 328 , 142, 21, 103, 51

1238

1238

592, 51 , 13

656

656

E16

40232, 272

272 201129,

330

602C

17

108

328,

14

2,

21,

105,

10

3,

51,

857

857

107

592,

51

, 37

, 13

, 68

, 86

986

9

X18146, 129, 295, 23

593

593

A

B

C

D

E

F

Tom Cris

p Way

Stradbroke Rd

A12 Blo odmoo r R

d

Ribbles

dale

Castleton Avenue

Blood mo o r R

o a d

A12/ A1145 Bloodmoor Rbt

1779

1639

1544

1461

1449

1198

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2036 PM

2036 PM : 17:00 - 18:00

E1

108470,

578

787

13871,

209

209

C2

31572, 4, 1, 392

392 37523, 1, 210, 23, 200, 97, 1090

1090

X37 5

8 5,

379 ,

68

, 60

7

6 07

E4

21, 2

5827

9

279

301,

604

905

905

C5

108

210,

23,

470,

200,

97,

1108

1108

138

71,

209

209

X6

31572,

4, 1,

392

392

37523,

1,

560

560

X721

108,

210,

23,

362

362

E8

19, 1

09, 6

8, 1

197

197

C9

258470,

200, 97,

10251025

301138,

604, 71,

11141114

E10

63, 79, 379, 4

525

525

523

523

1048

X11

258,

470

, 200

, 97

1025

1025

C12

19, 301, 138, 109, 604, 71, 68, 11311 1311

E13

8572

, 15

7

157

3723

, 97

,

157

314

X14

63, 19, 301, 138521 521

C15

79, 109, 604, 71 , 379 , 68, 4 , 1

1315

1315

523, 1

523

523

E16

75315, 390

390 210200,

410

800C

17

8537

9,

68,

72,

4,

1,

609

609

3752

3,

1,

23,

97,

680

680

X1879, 109, 604, 71

863

863

A

B

C

D

E

F

Tom Cris

p Way

Stradbroke Rd

A12 Blo odmoo r R

d

Ribbles

dale

Castleton Avenue

Blood mo o r R

o a d

A12/ A1145 Bloodmoor Rbt

1668

2013

1311

1836

1471

1090

Page 86: Suffolk County Council · 2018-03-29 · Suffolk County Council WAVENEY LOCAL PLAN Suffolk County Transport Model (SCTM) – Preferred Option Traffic Forecasting Report TYPE OF DOCUMENT
Page 87: Suffolk County Council · 2018-03-29 · Suffolk County Council WAVENEY LOCAL PLAN Suffolk County Transport Model (SCTM) – Preferred Option Traffic Forecasting Report TYPE OF DOCUMENT

Appendix F.2 PROPOSED LAYOUT

Page 88: Suffolk County Council · 2018-03-29 · Suffolk County Council WAVENEY LOCAL PLAN Suffolk County Transport Model (SCTM) – Preferred Option Traffic Forecasting Report TYPE OF DOCUMENT

2015 AM

2015 AM : 08:00 - 09:00

E1

374374

747

374374

374

C2

23359, 150, 21, 463463 311212, 172, 22, 717717

X3

7716

0,

238,

58

, 9,

541

541

7158

, 9,

137

137

E4

202

202

202

231

231

231

C5277

181,

108,

16, 1,

582

582

374

73,

46,

7,

499

499

X6

97233,

59, 150,

21,

560

560

5759,

150, 21,

286

286

X726

147,

108,

62,

14, 1,

358

358

E8

321

321

321

C9

176130,

73, 46,

2, 425

425231

374, 73,

46, 7,

730730

E10

393

393

393

393

393

785

X11

48, 1

76, 1

30, 7

3, 4

6, 2

473

473

251,

73,

46,

2

371

371

C12

101, 9109 109173, 223, 123, 6524 524

E13

161

161

161

271

271

432

X14

19, 42, 29, 48, 6144 144

C15

373, 131, 194, 75

772

772

393, 101, 9

502

502

E16

311 311

311 311 311

621

C17

160

238,

58

, 9,

46

446

427

139

3,

101,

9,

77

377

3

X181, 135, 73, 185, 75

469

469

A

B

C

D

E

F

Tom C

risp W

ay

Stradbroke Rd

A12 Blo odm

oo r Rd

Ribbles

dale

Castleton Avenue

Blo od mo o r R

o a d

A12/ A1145 Bloodmoor Rbt

1089

812

1051

915

1043

1082

Page 89: Suffolk County Council · 2018-03-29 · Suffolk County Council WAVENEY LOCAL PLAN Suffolk County Transport Model (SCTM) – Preferred Option Traffic Forecasting Report TYPE OF DOCUMENT

2015 PM

2015 PM : 17:00 - 18:00

E1

55135,

175,

366

731

116167,

83,

366

366

C2

16033, 85, 13, 1, 290290 7433, 85, 13, 1, 96, 27, 21, 111, 53, 3, 39,

555555

X3

125

116,

224,

65

, 30

,

560

560

175

65,

30,

269

269

E4

47, 2

6230

9

309

130,

365

, 60,

155

6

556

C5135

96,

27,

21,

175,

56,

27,

537

537

116

56,

27,

167,

3,

39,

83,

489

489

X6

55160,

33, 85,

13, 1,

345

345

7433,

85, 13,

1,

205

205

X747

135,

96,

27,

21,

326

326

E8

27, 4

9, 10

2, 12

9, 25

332

332

C9

262175,

56, 27,

520520

11656,

27, 130,

167, 3,

39, 365,

83, 60,

1, 1045

1045

E10

49, 131, 224

405

405

175, 170, 21, 39

405

809

X11

27, 2

62, 1

75, 5

6, 2

7

547

547

116,

56,

27

198

198

C12

49, 130, 167, 3, 39, 102, 365, 83, 65, 301032 103265, 30, 25, 1121 121

E13

311

6 ,

119

119

6527

, 53

,

145

264

X14

49, 49, 130, 167, 3, 39437 437

C15

131, 102, 365, 83 , 224 , 65, 30

1000

1000

175, 65 , 30, 170, 25, 1, 21, 39

525

525

E16

125160,

285

285 7496, 111, 3,

285

569C

17

116

224,

65

, 30

, 43

543

517

565

, 30

, 65

, 17

0,

25,

1,

27,

21,

53,

<<67

067

0

X183, 131, 102, 365, 83

684

684

A

B

C

D

E

F

Tom C

risp W

ay

Stradbroke Rd

A12 Blo odm

oo r Rd

Ribbles

dale

Castleton Avenue

Blo od mo o r R

o a d

A12/ A1145 Bloodmoor Rbt

919

1092

1377

1436

1144

954

Page 90: Suffolk County Council · 2018-03-29 · Suffolk County Council WAVENEY LOCAL PLAN Suffolk County Transport Model (SCTM) – Preferred Option Traffic Forecasting Report TYPE OF DOCUMENT

2016 AM

2016 AM : 08:00 - 09:00

E1

29135,

219,

383

765

28147,

55,

383

383

C2

26171, 194, 34, 559559 4971, 194, 34, 123, 28, 19, 130, 91, 3,

741741

X3

4115

7,

299,

62

, 9,

567

567

2662

, 9,

96

96

E4

38, 1

1515

3

153

42, 2

02, 1

726

1

261

C5135

123,

28,

19,

219,

65,

46,

634

634

281

65,

46,

47,

3,

55,

496

496

X6

29261,

71, 194,

34,

588

588

4971,

194, 34,

347

347

X738

135,

123,

28,

19,

343

343

E8

15, 9

, 91,

123,

68

306

306

C9

115219,

65, 46,

444444

28165,

46, 42,

47, 3,

202, 55,

17, 757

757

E10

29, 106, 299

434

434

26, 387, 19, 3

435

869

X11

15, 1

15, 2

19, 6

5, 4

6

459

459

281,

65,

46

391

391

C12

9, 42, 47, 3, 91, 202, 55, 62, 9519 51962, 9, 68138 138

E13

157

157

157

141

28,

91,

260

417

X14

29, 9, 42, 47, 3130 130

C15

106, 91, 202, 55 , 299 , 62, 9

823

823

26, 62 , 9, 387 , 68, 19, 3

573

573

E16

41261, 302

302 49123, 130,

302

604C

17

157

299,

62

, 9,

52

652

626

62,

9,

141,

38

7,

68,

28,

19,

91,

3,

833

833

X18106, 91, 202, 55

454

454

A

B

C

D

E

F

Tom C

risp W

ay

Stradbroke Rd

A12 Blo odm

oo r Rd

Ribbles

dale

Castleton Avenue

Blo od mo o r R

o a d

A12/ A1145 Bloodmoor Rbt

1122

895

1062

952

1083

1134

Page 91: Suffolk County Council · 2018-03-29 · Suffolk County Council WAVENEY LOCAL PLAN Suffolk County Transport Model (SCTM) – Preferred Option Traffic Forecasting Report TYPE OF DOCUMENT

2016 PM

2016 PM : 17:00 - 18:00

E1

7112,

235,

354

708

184124,

46,

354

354

C2

20230, 136, 17, 384384 30136, 17, 157, 15, 20, 137, 83, 18,

613613

X3

6385

, 33

2,

64,

30,

574

574

143

64,

30,

236

236

E4

16, 1

0612

2

122

206,

440

, 60

706

706

C5112

157,

15,

20,

235,

69,

42,

649

649

184

69,

42,

124,

18,

46,

482

482

X6

7202,

30, 136,

17,

391

391

30136,

17,

183

183

X716

112,

157,

15,

20,

320

320

E8

30, 2

5, 10

5, 12

7, 34

321

321

C9

106235,

69, 42,

451451

18469,

42, 206,

124, 18,

440, 46,

60, 1188

1188

E10

42, 79, 332

453

453

143, 272, 20, 18

453

906

X11

30, 1

06, 2

35, 6

9, 4

2

481

481

184,

69,

42

294

294

C12

25, 206, 124, 18, 105, 440, 46, 64, 301058 105864, 30, 34128 128

E13

8585

85

5915

, 83

,

157

242

X14

42, 25, 206, 124, 18415 415

C15

79, 105, 440, 46 , 332 , 64, 30

1096

1096

143, 64 , 30, 272, 34, 20 , 18

581

581

E16

63202, 265

265 157137,

294

559C

17

8533

2,

64,

30,

511

511

143

64,

30,

59,

272,

34

, 15

, 20

, 83

, 18

, 73

873

8

X1879, 105, 440, 46

670

670

A

B

C

D

E

F

Tom C

risp W

ay

Stradbroke Rd

A12 Blo odm

oo r Rd

Ribbles

dale

Castleton Avenue

Blo od mo o r R

o a d

A12/ A1145 Bloodmoor Rbt

966

1355

1509

1510

1252

1031

Page 92: Suffolk County Council · 2018-03-29 · Suffolk County Council WAVENEY LOCAL PLAN Suffolk County Transport Model (SCTM) – Preferred Option Traffic Forecasting Report TYPE OF DOCUMENT

2036 AM

2036 AM : 08:00 - 09:00

E1

159162,

321

641

26038,

23,

321

321

C2

232106, 348, 51, 736736 106348, 51, 201, 37, 13, 129, 68,

953953

X3

4010

8,

328,

71

, 11

,

557

557

7111

, 82

82

E4

85, 4

2250

7

507

104,

87,

295

, 21

507

507

C5159

201,

37,

13,

162,

65,

34,

670

670

260

65,

34,

38,

23,

419

419

X6

232106,

348, 51,

736

736

106348,

51,

505

505

X785

159,

201,

37,

13,

495

495

E8

8, 19

, 129

, 142

, 102

400

400

C9

422162,

65, 34,

682682

104260,

65, 34,

87, 38,

295, 23,

21, 926

926

E10

29, 146, 328

503

503

695, 13

708

1211

X11

8, 4

22, 1

62, 6

5, 3

4

690

690

104,

260

, 65,

34

462

462

C12

19, 87, 38, 129, 295, 23, 71, 11673 67371, 11, 102184 184

E13

108

108

108

212

37,

68,

317

425

X14

29, 19, 87, 38173 173

C15

146, 129, 295, 23 , 328 , 71, 11

1002

1002

71, 11 , 695, 102, 13

892

892

E16

40232, 272

272 201129,

330

602C

17

108

328,

71

, 11

, 51

751

771

11,

212,

69

5,

102,

37

, 13

, 68

, 12

0912

09

X18146, 129, 295, 23

593

593

A

B

C

D

E

F

Tom C

risp W

ay

Stradbroke Rd

A12 Blo odm

oo r Rd

Ribbles

dale

Castleton Avenue

Blo od mo o r R

o a d

A12/ A1145 Bloodmoor Rbt

1272

1177

1326

1380

1319

1538

Page 93: Suffolk County Council · 2018-03-29 · Suffolk County Council WAVENEY LOCAL PLAN Suffolk County Transport Model (SCTM) – Preferred Option Traffic Forecasting Report TYPE OF DOCUMENT

2036 PM

2036 PM : 17:00 - 18:00

E1

108286,

394

787

185138,

71,

394

394

C2

31555, 264, 1, 633633 55264, 1, 210, 23, 200, 97, 849849

X3

7585

, 37

8,

34,

572

572

134

, 35

35

E4

21, 2

5827

9

279

301,

604

905

905

C5108

210,

23,

286,

100,

49,

775

775

185

100,

49,

138,

71,

542

542

X6

31555,

264, 1,

633

633

55264,

1,

319

319

X721

108,

210,

23,

362

362

E8

19, 1

09, 6

8, 1

197

197

C9

258286,

100, 49,

692692

185100,

49, 301,

138, 604,

71, 1447

1447

E10

63, 79, 378

520

520

1, 527

528

1048

X11

258,

286

, 100

, 49

692

692

185,

100

, 49

333

333

C12

19, 301, 138, 109, 604, 71, 341276 127634, 135 35

E13

8585

85

109

23,

97,

229

314

X14

63, 19, 301, 138521 521

C15

79, 109, 604, 71 , 378 , 34

1275

1275

1 , 34, 527, 1

563

563

E16

75315, 390

390 210200,

410

800C

17

8537

8,

34,

497

497

134

, 10

9,

527,

1,

23

, 97

, 79

279

2

X1879, 109, 604, 71

863

863

A

B

C

D

E

F

Tom C

risp W

ay

Stradbroke Rd

A12 Blo odm

oo r Rd

Ribbles

dale

Castleton Avenue

Blo od mo o r R

o a d

A12/ A1145 Bloodmoor Rbt

1241

1680

1644

1804

1503

1202

Page 94: Suffolk County Council · 2018-03-29 · Suffolk County Council WAVENEY LOCAL PLAN Suffolk County Transport Model (SCTM) – Preferred Option Traffic Forecasting Report TYPE OF DOCUMENT

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