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    1Surabhi Singh

    Candidate #

    Economics HL

    EXTENDED

    ESSAY

    How has the increase in price of

    milk affected the demand formilk in the household sector in

    the city of Jaipur?

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    2Surabhi Singh

    Candidate #

    Submitted by- Surabhi Singh

    Candidate #

    Word count-

    Contents

    1. Abstract......................................................................

    .........Pg

    2. Introduction................................................................

    ........Pg 3

    3. Design of the

    study............................................................Pg 6

    4. Market

    profile.....................................................................Pg

    7

    5. Theoreticalframework......................................................Pg 9

    6. Hypothesis..................................................................

    ........Pg 13

    7. Data

    collection..................................................................P

    g 14

    8. Data

    analysis......................................................................

    Pg 16

    9. Conclusion..................................................................

    .......Pg

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    10. Bibliography................................................................

    .......Pg

    List of vernacular

    words .....................................................PgList of

    figures......................................................................P

    g

    List of

    abbreviation...........................................................Pg

    11. Appendix.....................................................................

    .....Pg

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    Introduction

    Jaipur is the capital city of Rajasthan, which is a state situated in the north

    western part of India. Being a desert state, Rajasthan has an extremely dry

    climate. Because of this, milk and milk products play a vital role in the daily

    diet of the northwestern community of India. Milk is considered an essential

    drink for the children especially and milk products such as curd, butter, ghee,

    butter milk are consumed by all age groups in large quantities. Based on our

    interview with Mr. Narendra Sonigra, Manager Liquid Milk, Amul, the Jaipur

    milk market is estimated to be 12 lakh1 liters per day.

    With the setting up of the National Dairy Development Board in 1965 and

    Operation Flood2, which followed this, India has become the largest milk

    producer in the world. However, per capita milk consumption in the country

    for the year 2006-07 was extremely poor at 246 milliliters per day. This

    figure was somewhat better for Rajasthan, at 408 milliliters per day3.

    However,based on a survey carried out by Amul in 2007 in the city of Jaipur,

    the per capita milk consumption in the city of Jaipur was surprisingly low at

    268 milliliters per day. As compared to the recommended ___ milliliters perday by the World Health Organization. Besides the high population of the

    country, the main cause for this low per capita consumption is low

    productivity of the cattle and lack of extension services to the farmers, which

    in turn leads to low productivity of the milchanimals.

    Only about 18.55%of the milk production in the country is organized on the

    lines of the famous Anand Pattern, which is a 3 tier federated co-operative

    structure. In the state of Rajasthan, Saras (which is also a federated co-

    operative) is the dominant organization. It commands about 55-60% share of

    1 10 lakhs are equivalent to one million.

    2 Operation Flood was a Government program started in 1970to increase the production ofmilk in the country.

    3 http://www.nddb.org/statistics/milkprod_states_capita3.html

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    the Jaipur liquid milk market. In 2007, Amul, the most popular milk and dairy

    products brand in the country, entered the Jaipur market and started

    retailing liquid milk (it was already retailing dairy products in the State).

    Based on our discussions with Mr. Sonigra, Amul has been able to garner

    about 10-15% share of the liquid milk market in Jaipur. About 20-25% of the

    liquid milk market is catered to by the local dudhiyas (local milk vendors).

    The rest of the liquid milk market is catered to by Goras (a local brand).

    There are a few other local brands like Lotus but their sales are negligible.

    The milk products market is dominated by Amul and Saras. Besides, there

    are other small local vendors and brands but their market share is very low

    as compared to that of these leading brands.

    Large companies have tried to enter this market but they have not achieved

    much success. For example, a leading FMCG company, Britannia, retails

    dairy products such as butter and cheese in Jaipur and other parts of the

    country. However, their market share should be minimal.

    Saras, Amul and Goras are in the organized sector, having established

    front-end and back-end supply chains. Local dudhiyas sell loose milk in the

    local doodh mandis4. Besides, some of them also undertake home delivery,

    while some quality conscious consumers come to their dairy to take milk (in

    order to avoid any adulteration). In Jaipur, there are 3 local doodh mandis,

    which sell about 1.3 lakh liters of milk every day5.

    Thus, while the 3 organized players undertake processing and sell milk and

    milk products in various varieties (such as high fat, toned and double toned

    milk), the local dudhiyas only supply unprocessed milk.

    The price of liquid milk and dairy products has increased significantly in the

    last few years. For example, the local dudhiyas used to sell milk at about 18

    4 Mandi- a market where fruits and vegetables are sold. Milk mandi market where milk issold

    5 Data given by Mr. Narendra Singh Sonigra

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    rupees per liter back in the year 2006 but this has increased to about 26

    rupees per liter now in the year 2009. As milk is an essential part of ones

    diet, this increase in price is a matter of serious concern to most consumers.

    The price increase could especially have a significant impact on the poor.

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    RESEARCH QUESTION

    Milk is an important part of a common mans diet; it is the best source for

    calcium. Any increase in price of milk could reduce its consumption and

    have serious implications on health standards, especially of children.

    Considering the dire consequences of this increase in milk prices, I decided

    to study the impact that this could have on the demand of milk. To be

    specific, the research question is-

    How has the increase in price of milk affected the

    demand for milk in the household sector in the city of

    Jaipur?

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    Design of the Study

    Most colonies in Jaipur could be treated as homogenous units, comprising of

    inhabitants from the high, middle and low income classes. Therefore, cluster

    sampling was adopted and all respondents were chosen from 2 clusters -

    Mahesh Nagar (a small area of Jaipur where I live) and the area in and

    around my school. School is a place where people of all communities and all

    classes can be found, be it the teachers, peons or the office staff.

    Structured questionnaires were administered on consumers about how the

    increase in milk prices affected their consumption of liquid milk and milk

    products. Similarly, besides detailed discussions, questionnaires were

    administered on milk retailers, local vendors. Further, discussions were had

    with the following:

    1. An unstructured interview was conducted with Mr. Radha Swami

    Thandhani, Manager of the Gaushala. (Gaushala is a large area where

    cows are reared for milk). Along with selling loose cow milk, the

    Gaushala alsoowns the brand Goras. Besides the interview, a

    questionnaire was also administered on him.

    2. Mr. Ankur Chaturvedi, the Production Executive at the Saras processing

    plant. Along with unstructured discussions, a questionnaire was also

    administered on him6.

    3. An unstructured interview was conducted with Mr. Narendra Singh

    Sonigra, Jaipur Depot In charge, Milk, and Amul.

    4. Discussions were had with the local vendors at the largest of the three

    milk mandis.

    Limitations of the study

    6Appendix 1

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    1. The sample may not be representative as only 100 consumers were

    interviewed.

    2. Even though the questions were explained in detail, there is a

    possibility that due to lack of education, the implication of the questionmay not have been understood by the respondents.

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    Market Profile

    The milk industry in Jaipur is catered to by three-four organized players and

    numerous local dudhiyas who are categorized under the unorganized

    players. Jaipur market includes five major suppliers- Saras, Amul, Goras, local

    vendors, the Gaushala and the villagers who come and sell their stock of milk

    at the milk mandi.

    Each of the five major suppliers holds a different market share. Saras has

    gained preference over the last three to four years, hence dominates the

    market. Amul recently entered the market; although it does not hold a big

    market share it is still providing good competition to Saras and other

    suppliers. Similarly the other suppliers in the unorganized sector- local

    dhudiyas and milk mandi too hold a good market share and are giving quite

    a competition

    to the

    others.

    Figure 1

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    The above figure 1 shows the market share covered by different suppliers for

    the supply of liquid milk only.

    Mahesh Nagar is an area where people of different incomes can be found,

    hence, the consumption variation can be studied well in this area. Themarket area here is well distributed among all the five major suppliers. Saras

    has many parlors and booths in the area; located at every 100-500 meters.

    Amul has only two booths and three other retailers in the area. Goras also

    has about five booths in the area, along with this it is the only branded milk

    which does home delivery. Both Saras and Amul produce processed milk of

    different grades while Goras supplies milk only of one grade. These firms run

    on the basis of the Anand Pattern; they are owned by the milk supplyingfarmers. This helps to eliminate middlemen and thus increase profits.

    The Milk mandis are catered to by the villagers who live on the outskirts of

    Jaipur. Some local dudhiyas buy milk from the Milk Mandi and then do home

    deliveries, whereas, some do the same with the milk sourced from their

    home dairies itself. These home based dairies, (run by any local dhudiya) are

    small in size but there are about 20-25 of these in this area. Consumers go

    and buy loose milk from there itself.

    Saras and Amul are the dominating firms in the milk products industry. There

    are other brands too but, their sales are much lower as compared to those of

    the two dominating ones. Goras produces only cow-milk products and it is

    the leading brand for them. Other than companies there are local shops who

    sell dairy products as well. The sweets caterers are the best example of this;

    other than this there are local shopkeepers who sell products like curd,

    cottage chesse, buttermilk (lassi), skimmed buttermilk (chaach), etc.

    Saras and Goras have their dairy plants set up in Rajasthan itself. Amul does

    not have a dairy plant in Rajasthan; it gets its needed milk and products from

    the Banaskantha dairy, situated in Gujarat.

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    Theoretical Framework

    MARKET TYPE

    The market forms exist in four types, which can be categorized under four

    headings-

    Perfect competition

    Oligopoly

    Monopoly

    Monopolistic competition

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    OLIGOPOLY There are many firms present in the market but a few large

    firms dominate the market. These large firms enjoy economies of scale and

    often are able to sell their products at lower prices than other firms. The

    products sold are so similar that even a minimal increase in the price could

    have a large fall in the quantity demanded.

    There is high interdependence in an oligopolistic market. Thus, while any

    price reductions may be matched by competition (so as not to lose any

    market share), price increases may not be followed suit by the competitors.

    This implies that an oligopolistic firm will have a kinked demand curve, as

    shown in Figure 3. The demand will be relatively elastic if a firm increases its

    price but it becomes much more inelastic if the price is reduced.

    WHERE IS FIGURE 3

    MENTION HERE THE MILK MARKET IS AN OLIGOPOLISTIC

    MARKET

    ELASTICITYo PRICE ELASTICITY OF DEMAND (PED)

    It is the measure of responsiveness of the quantity demanded for a

    commodity as a result of change in price of the same commodity. It helps in

    calculating the response of consumers to a change in price of a product. The

    demand curves are always downward sloping and hence, the values are

    negative.

    PED = % change in the quantity demanded% change in

    price

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    PED varies as the elasticity of one good differs from the other. Some are

    classified as inelastic and some as elastic goods. Inelastic goods have very

    less or no substitutes and usually are necessary for a high standard of

    living. On the other hand, elastic goods are those with many substitutes

    and are usually of a luxurious nature. Milk has an inelastic demand as it is

    necessary for keeping good health.

    o CROSS PRICE ELASTICITY OF DEMAND (PEDx,y)-

    It measures the relative sensitivity of the quantity demanded of a good with

    respect to a change in the price of another related good. Cross-price

    elasticity measures the closeness of substitutes and the relevance of

    complements7.

    PEDx,y = % change in the quantitydemanded for x

    % change in

    price of y

    o PRICE ELASTICITY OF SUPPLY (PES)

    It is the measure of responsiveness of the firms to increasing the quantitysupplied on the market due to a change in price.

    PES = % change in the quantity supplied% change in

    price

    Similar to PED, the elasticity of a product supplied varies from one good to

    another. Goods are classified in different order with respect to having

    inelastic, elastic and unitary supplies.

    o INCOME ELASTICITY OF DEMAND (YED)-

    7,8 Economics- In terms of The Good, The Bad and The Economist, - Matt McGee; published

    by IBID Press, Victoria.

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    It measures the relative sensitivity of the quantity demanded of a good with

    respect to a change in peoples income.8

    YED = % change in the quantity demanded% change in income

    Goods are classified accordingly, being income inelastic and income elastic.

    Income inelastic goods are those where the proportional increase in the

    quantity demanded is less than the increase in the income. Income elastic

    goods are those where the proportional increase in the quantity demanded is

    more than the increase in the income.

    8

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    Hypotheses

    Milk is likely to have an inelastic demand (it being necessary for good

    health); With an increase in the price of milk, there is likely to be aninsignificant decline in the demand for milk.

    It is also hypothesized that with increasing incomes and prosperity in India,

    the demand for milk should have increased. Besides, this increase should

    have been more in the poorer sections, since they would now have the

    capability to satisfy their minimum nutrition requirements.

    Further, another hypothesis is that with increasing prices of milk and given

    the necessity to consume milk, consumers could have shifted to a lower

    grade of milk.

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    Data Collection

    PRIMARY DATA

    Questionnaires were administered on the people around my house and

    the staff of my school, which include teaching staff, and other

    employees from the watchmen to the sweepers.

    Questionnaires were administered on the representatives of the

    following organized players -

    - Amul

    - Saras

    - Goras

    Questionnaires were also administered on vendors at the following

    retail points -

    - Milk Mandi

    - Local Dudhiyas

    - Booths and parlors

    - Local Shops

    Interviews were had with

    - Mr. Narendra Singh Sonigra, Depot in-charge (Milk) Jaipur, Amul.

    - Mr. Radha Swami Thandhani, the Manager of the Gaushala.

    - Mr. Kajod Sharma, the Union leader of the doodh mandi.

    Discussions with Mr. Ankur Chaturvedi, Production Executive, Saras

    during the visit to the Saras Dairy plant in Jaipur.

    SECONDARY DATA

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    Secondary data has been sourced from various websites and books

    referred to in the bibliography.

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    Data Analysis

    Milk is a drink which is consumed on a daily basis in one form or the other. It

    is one of the essential food items which are required every day and hence itshould be available to all, be it of any income group. Because of this, liquid

    milk has an inelastic demand.

    REASONING FOR THE INCREASE IN THE MILK PRICES-

    The price of milk has increased significantly in the past two years. From

    Rupees 18 per liter of full fat milk in the year 2006, it has gone up to

    Rupees 26 per liter of full fat milk in the year 2008, which is approximately a

    44% increase .As per the information obtained from the research, the main

    reasons behind this increase in price are-

    - Major increase in the cost of production

    - Shortage of supply

    - Increase in demand

    1. The cost of production of milk has been increasing over the years.

    The main reason for this increase in the cost of production is the increase

    in the cost of feed. The cattle feed comprises of both wet and dry fodder.

    The wet feed comprises of a mixture of various food materials which are

    cooked together and then served to the cattle. Dry feed, locally known as

    tura or bhusa, is served directly without any processing. Given below is

    the increase in the cost of feed.

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    As the average rainfall has decreased from 611.6 mm to 573.7 mm9 in

    the state of Rajasthan, the farmers are forced to use diesel fueled pumps

    to water their crop fields. With fuel prices increased by about 100%, the

    input cost for the cultivation and harvesting of food crops has increased.

    India experienced a real estate boom till 2008 (before the global credit

    crisis), because of which property prices rose significantly. Making use of

    this opportunity, many farmers sold their land, which led to a shortage of

    agricultural land. This resulted in reduced supply of cattle fodder and

    high prices. Besides, cost of other factors such as labour (200%) and

    groundnut cake (135-140%) also increased.

    2.The shortage of supply of milk is another major reason for the increase

    in milk prices. This shortage is due to the increase in demand for red

    meat. With changing taste buds and increasing prosperity, the people of

    Jaipur are shifting towards red meat which is giving the farmers a good

    incentive to sell away their cows and buffaloes for a good sum. The

    butchers who paid only Rupees 4,000 6,000 three years ago are now

    willing to pay Rupees 18,000 20,000 for a buffalo today. Hence, a lot of

    cattle are being slaughtered in order to fulfill the growing demand for redmeat.

    3. Other than increase in the cost of production and shortage of supply of

    cattle, the other main reason for the increase in the milk prices is the

    increasing demand for the product itself. As per the research, there has

    been an increase in the demand for milk. The local vendors at the milk

    market and Mr. Ankur Chaturvedi were persistent to point this out as a

    major reason for the increase in prices. There has been an increase in

    demand because of an increasing population. Further, with increasing

    incomes, changing lifestyles and a higher health consciousness, people

    9http://www.imd.ernet.in/section/nhac/dynamic/endofmonsoon.htm

    http://www.imd.ernet.in/section/nhac/dynamic/endofmonsoon.htmhttp://www.imd.ernet.in/section/nhac/dynamic/endofmonsoon.htm
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    are consuming more of milk, milk products and milk based drinks. A lot

    many coffee shops opened in the last two years, leading to an increase in

    demand for milk.

    CHANGING PREFRENCES

    Traditionally, most of Jaipur consumed unprocessed milk by purchasing it

    from the local vendors. But recently this has changed with a greater demand

    for processed milk. Saras has been in the Jaipur market since a long time,

    but its sales for liquid milk have increased only in the recent times. Based on

    our interview with Mr. Sonigra, Amul too has found high demand for its milk.

    The reasons for this shift are as follows:1. Higher health consciousness (demand for fat free milk has increased).

    2. Assurance of good quality and unadulterated milk by the organized

    players.

    3. Local vendors sell milk based on a take or pay model.

    However, no such Convenience, in terms of is another ground on

    what basis this change has taken place. Consuming milk from the local

    vendor meant going to the local vendors dairy at a particular time

    and then waiting for your turn to come. Even if the local vendorsused

    the required utensils, quantity remained a reason of concern. As the

    milk was fetched and sold right away, a lot of foam would lie in the

    container and hence, consumers would always complain. Other than

    this, mixing of water would often be a matter to concern and

    arguments between the vendor and the consumer. The price of milk

    would be same for all income groups and the quantity that one would

    purchase was also fixed (no fluctuations on every day basis). Whereas

    on the other hand, processed milk is available in different grades to

    suit a consumers choice and financial status. Also, mixing of milk is

    never a concern and so is not the quantity. Along with this, processed

    milk can be purchased at any time of the day and from any source

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    that comes your way. The different grades of processed milk available

    are as follows-

    Saras supplies with five types of everyday use processed milk-

    o Saras gold (full cream milk)

    o Saras shakti (standard milk)

    o Saras taaza (toned milk)

    o Saras smart (double toned milk)

    o Saras fat free (skimmed milk- fat free)

    The toned and full cream milk are purchased most in this area. Saras also

    produces long shelf cow milk, whose demand as compared to the other

    everyday use milk is not much in the area.

    As for Amul, it supplies three qualities of everyday use packed milk-

    o Amul gold (standardized milk)

    o Amul shakti (toned milk)

    o Amul taaza (double toned milk)

    Amul also supplies long shelf milk which is of four types-

    o Amul gold (standardized milk)

    o Amul shakti (toned milk)

    o

    Amul taaza (double toned milk)

    o Amul slim and trim (fat free)

    o Amul cow milk

    Goras produces only one grade of cow milk.

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    MILK MARKET TYPE

    The milk market would be categorized as an oligopolistic market rather than

    being a monopoly. One could argue about this milk market being a monopoly

    as Saras dominates more than 50% of the market, but this would not be soas the other firms (suppliers) are giving it good competition. Along with this

    there are no such barriers to enter this market, and all have the good

    knowledge about the products and price.

    In an oligopolistic market, firms tend to have interdependence between

    them. If any firm increases its price then its sales will decrease to substantial

    amount. Although, if a firm decreases its price, then it cannot be assumed

    that its sales will increase. Milk market shares the same theory; the prices of

    milk are more or less similar still there are differences in the quantity

    consumed from each firm. The prices are still in coordination with the other

    suppliers present in the market. Even though Saras owns more than 50% of

    the market, it still does not hold the power to be a price giver. If the firm

    tries to increase its prices much higher than the other brands or suppliers

    available in the market then it will lose its consumers as they will switch to

    the other suppliers available in the market.

    PRICING

    The prices of the branded goods (milk and milk products) are fixed by the

    firms or companies and hence the consumers cannot bargain with them.

    Even the local vendors, who sell their milk to fixed consumers (bandhi), sell it

    at a fixed price which is decided in the beginning of the month as the

    payments are done on monthly basis. A routine change in price is seen in the

    milk market where the some villagers sell the milk to brokers who then

    further sell it the consumers. Other villagers sell their milk themselves. The

    price of milk may differ from one seller to other as it is based on the fat

    present in the milk; which is merely tested on fingers.

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    Analysis

    In analyzing the impact of the increase in price on the demand for milk in the

    household sector, the population was divided into 3 categories, based on the

    type of tenement. The primary data found strong correlation between

    income levels and the type of house that the respondents lived in, which is

    shown below.

    Income categories Type of tenementLow income Kuccha houseMedium income Semi-pucca houseHigh income Pucca house

    Table 02: represents the different categories based on the type of

    house

    Source:

    The price of milk has increased significantly in the last two years. Table XX

    below gives the estimated increase in price per litre of different grades of

    milk.

    Price per litre (in Indian

    Rupees)

    December

    2006

    December

    2008

    % increase in

    the Price

    Full fat 18 26 44.44

    Standard 16 22 37.5

    Toned 15 20 33.33Double toned

    milk

    13 17.5 34.61

    Cow milk 16.5 19 15.15

    Figure : xx

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    Source: Based on discussions with the suppliers and confirmed by Mr

    Chaturvedi, Production _________.

    As can be seen from Table XX, while the increase in price of buffalo milk (in

    nominal terms) has ranged from 33% to 44%, the price of cow milk (in

    nominal terms) has increased only by 15.15% since December 2006.

    Table XX below analyzes the increase in the price of milk in real terms, ie, in

    inflation adjusted terms. In arriving at the increase in price in real terms, the

    Consumer Price Index Urban Non-Manual Employees (CPI UNME) has been

    considered to measure the inflation during the chosen period.

    December 2006 December 2008 % increaseCPI (UNME)

    Index10

    483 569 17.8

    Price (full fat

    milk)

    18 26 44.44

    Price

    (Standard mik)

    16 22 37.5

    Price (Toned

    milk)

    15 20 33.33

    Price (Double

    toned milk)

    13 17.5 34.61

    Price (Cow

    milk)

    16.5 19 15.15

    Table XX:

    Source:

    10http://mospi.nic.in/stat_act_t4.htm

    http://mospi.nic.in/stat_act_t4.htmhttp://mospi.nic.in/stat_act_t4.htmhttp://mospi.nic.in/stat_act_t4.htm
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    Thus, while all varieties of buffalo milk have experienced an increase in price

    in inflation adjusted terms, the price of cow milk has failed to keep pace with

    inflation. This could indicate a preference for buffalo milk in the city of Jaipur.

    There are various factors which determine the demand of a product,

    economically stated as the determinants of demand. Price, income, prices of

    other commodities, change in tastes and preferences, availability of

    substitutes are some major determinants of demand. In this study, the

    income and price has been looked upon in detail.

    The demand for milk is highly inelastic as milk is considered as an important

    ingredient of everyones daily diet. As the demand of any good is majorly

    affected by any change in price and income, liquid milk is just one of such

    products. The table below shows the variation of quantity demanded

    between each income group11.

    December

    2006

    December

    2008

    % change in

    demand

    Low income

    group

    0.80 1.02 27.5

    Middle income

    group

    0.82 1.39 69.5

    High income

    group

    1.82 2.56 40.65

    Figure xx

    Source: based on the questionnaire administered on the consumers.

    On a weighted average the consumption of liquid milk now (December 2008)

    in low income group is 1.02 liters; 1.39 liters in middle income group and

    2.56 liters for the high income group. There has been a substantial amount

    of change in the consumption as compared to two years back (December

    2006) which has been represented in the figures above. The figures

    11 Appendix

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    represent an increase in quantity demanded, much higher in the middle

    income group than in the high income group. The reason being, the ability to

    fulfill ones basic needs, the consumers belonging to the high income group

    were capable enough to fulfill their basic needs like consumption of liquid

    milk, back in 2006 as well. With increasing incomes the middle income group

    has increased its demand and therefore representing a higher increase in the

    quantity demanded.

    December

    2006

    December

    2008

    % change in the

    expenditure

    Low income

    group

    17.215 21.045 22.25

    Middle income

    group

    17.58 22.03 25.31

    High income

    group

    16.055 20.055 24.91

    Figure - xx

    Source: based on the questionnaire administered on the consumers.

    The table above represents the increase in expenditure on liquid milk. The

    major reason behind this increase in expenditure is the increase in incomes

    of each income group. The Per-capita income-based, Gini coefficient has

    moved up by 13% for rural India 0.38 in 1995-06 vis--vis 0.41 in 2004-05

    and as much as 15% in urban India 0.39 vis--vis 0.43. At the all-India

    level, the Gini coefficient has moved up from 0.43 (1995-96) to 0.45 (2004-

    05)12. These figures depict an increase in the incomes of the people of India

    (this data was the most recent data available).

    According to the basic law of demand, with an increase in the price of a good

    there should be a decrease in the quantity demanded13. But this is not the

    case for liquid milk as despite an increase in its price the demand has12 The Economic Times: India rising, Bharat awaits trickle to turn into flood. 7 Feb, 2008, 0100 hrs IST, TNN

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    increased. The table above (figure XX) represents an increase in the prices of

    different grades of milk available in the Jaipur market. Demand and price are

    negatively correlated, but in the case of liquid milk there is a positive

    correlation, that is even the quantity demanded is increasing with an

    increase in the price. This is basically because of an increase in the increase

    in incomes. Income and demand have a positive correlation that is with an

    increase in the price the demand also increases.

    As stated before, the demand of a product depends on the various factors

    simultaneously and can be measured though different econometric models

    like multiple regression models and factor analysis. But these measures are

    not yet taught; therefore individual factor elasticity could not be computed.Although as increase in price seems to have no impact on the demand, the

    PED is primary based on the increase in incomes and can be assumed to be

    0.114.

    The Indian government has improved the budgets and hence the incomes

    have increased. This has had a major impact especially on the low and

    middle income groups as their living standards have improved. The per

    capita incomes have increased by about 10.468%; the household sectors

    contribution in the gross capital formation increased from Rs

    5,00,036 crore in 2006-07 to Rs 5,78,775 crore in 2007-0815. This

    shows an increase in the overall incomes of all groups.

    13 Economics- In terms of The Good, The Bad and The Economist, - Matt McGee; published by

    IBID Press, Victoria.

    14 Rakesh Saxena: Dynamics of Demand for Milk in this Millennium; Published in Indian

    Dairyman, December 2000.

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    %change

    in

    demand

    % change in

    demand because

    of increase in

    prices

    % change in

    demand because

    of increase in

    incomes

    Low income group 27.5 -2.225 29.725

    Middle income

    group

    69.5 -2.531 72.031

    High income group 40.65 -2.491 43.141

    Figure xx

    Source: figure xx and data calculated on the basis of the questionnaires

    administered on the consumers.

    As there increase in price seems to have a minimal effect on the demand of

    liquid milk, it can be clearly stated that the increase in demand is mostly

    based on the increase in incomes. The table above represents the change in

    demand for liquid milk due to the increase in the incomes. The middle

    income group is

    %change in

    demand

    % change in

    incomes

    PEY

    Low income

    group

    29.725 13.88 2.14

    Middle income

    group

    72.031 5.169 13.93

    5High income

    group

    43.141 15.45 2.79

    Figure XX

    Source: % change in demandbased on table 1

    % change in incomes--- based on the data from the NSSO16

    15 http://www.domain-b.com/economy/general/20090130 income up.html ---based on CSO

    figures

    16http://mospi.nic.in/rept%20_%20pubn/ftest.asp?rept_id=523&type=NSSO;

    http://mospi.nic.in/rept%20_%20pubn/ftest.asp?rept_id=527&type=NSSO

    http://www.domain-b.com/economy/general/20090130%20income%20up.htmlhttp://mospi.nic.in/rept%20_%20pubn/ftest.asp?rept_id=523&type=NSSOhttp://mospi.nic.in/rept%20_%20pubn/ftest.asp?rept_id=523&type=NSSOhttp://mospi.nic.in/rept%20_%20pubn/ftest.asp?rept_id=523&type=NSSOhttp://mospi.nic.in/rept%20_%20pubn/ftest.asp?rept_id=527&type=NSSOhttp://www.domain-b.com/economy/general/20090130%20income%20up.htmlhttp://mospi.nic.in/rept%20_%20pubn/ftest.asp?rept_id=523&type=NSSOhttp://mospi.nic.in/rept%20_%20pubn/ftest.asp?rept_id=527&type=NSSO
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    The percentage change in demand because of increase in incomes varies for

    each income group. The table above shows the PEY for each income group.

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    Conclusion

    Milk is a good with high inelasticity.

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